Franken in trouble in MN for 2014?

posted at 2:01 pm on December 2, 2013 by Ed Morrissey

Don’t get too excited about the latest St. Cloud State University poll in Minnesota, but it does at least offer a glimmer of hope for a Minnesota Republican Party that still finds itself in financial and organizational straits. Just a year after getting blitzed in the 2012 election, Minnesotans find themselves less than enchanted with Democratic officeholders. And 2014 incumbent Sen. Al Franken fares the worst of all:

In the poll released this week, 44% of Minnesotans polled said Governor Mark Dayton is doing excellent or pretty good. That’s a 9% drop from last year, which political analyst David Schultz says may have something to do with football.

“I think he’s getting a lot of blowback on the Vikings stadium,” said Schultz, “especially in the financing mechanisms, and I think he’s starting to feel some of the repercussions and some of the negative approvals coming off of a deal many people are thinking was not best for state of Minnesota.” …

In the Senate Democrat Al Franken shows only a 39% in terms of a pretty good or excellent rating. He too is up for re-election next year. Last time Franken only eked by Norm Coleman in a recount.

Franken has kept a low profile in the past five years since his disputed election in 2008, which has served him well back home, at least until now. He only gives interviews to Minnesota media, and after a couple of incidents in his first few months of attempting to pick fights on the floor of the Senate, he has become a natural backbencher. Minnesotans aren’t terribly impressed with public-relations stunts from their politicians, with the temporary exception of Jesse Ventura, and the low profile has protected Franken from questions about his lackluster track record and rubber-stamp approach to the Obama agenda.

That, however, has backfired of late, thanks to the ObamaCare disaster. Barack Obama has also nose-dived in a state which he won handily a year ago, dropping nine points as well to 38% who give him “excellent” or “pretty good” marks on job approval. That kind of linkage — if supported by more polling — might force people to rethink the risk Democrats run in 2014′s midterms, especially for Senate seats.  Most people would have considered Minnesota a fairly safe bet for Franken’s re-election, and Republican disorganization might still prove that true. But if ObamaCare drives numbers this far down in blue Minnesota, which states will still be safe for Democrats in 2014?

Small wonder, then, that Franken told Minnesota Public Radio last week that he’d back a delay in the individual mandate if the incompetence continues at HHS.  Franken might be forced to raise his profile in order to do something he hasn’t done in the past five years — distance himself from the Obama agenda. He won’t be the only one doing so, either, if this disaster rolls into January.

Eric Ostermeier analyzes the buyers’ remorse arising in Minnesota:

Polling has been sparse in Minnesota’s 2014 U.S. Senate race – a contest that a year ago was seemingly a slam dunk for one-term DFL incumbent Al Franken.

Franken’s seat currently sits on the ‘watch list’ of D.C. prognosticators Charlie Cook and Larry Sabato – both identifying the race as a ‘likely’ hold for Franken, with the caveat that the race may yet become competitive.

Such caution seems validated in light of a new St. Cloud State University poll that was released on Wednesday, which shows Franken receiving a job approval rating of just 39 percent among his constituents – 18 points behind the state’s senior delegation member Amy Klobuchar at 57 percent.

Fifty-one percent of Gopher State residents rated Franken’s job performance negatively.

I’m still skeptical of a flip in Minnesota, but I’d have laughed out loud two months ago.


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LIZARD MEN 2014!

Gatsu on December 2, 2013 at 2:01 PM

Franken in trouble for 2014?

No. He has several trucks filled with plenty of ballots with a check mark next to his name.

Conservative4Ever on December 2, 2013 at 2:05 PM

“I’m good enough, I’m smart enough, and, doggone it, ……”

The clown needs to go.

iurockhead on December 2, 2013 at 2:08 PM

Car trunks everywhere begin their preparations for Nov 2014.

The Schaef on December 2, 2013 at 2:09 PM

nah, they have the cheatin’ down to the finite details in that state…

DanMan on December 2, 2013 at 2:09 PM

Franken can’t lose an election as long as a disinterested populace cares less about car trunks full of filled out ballots waiting in the parking lot…just in case.

HotAirian on December 2, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Minnesotans find themselves less than enchanted with Democratic officeholders. And 2014 incumbent Sen. Al Franken fares the worst of all:

Yeah, but perfectly safe as long as Dems can discover trunkloads full of ballot boxes. Like they did here in VA in the still contested AG race. The Republican was ahead until suddenly Fairfax county had a “mathmatical anamoly” in the counting and a Richmond district found a whole uncounted ballot box.

Coincidence, I am sure that these were both rabid left precincts.

Happy Nomad on December 2, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Nah.
Fraud and the media will pull him through.

Dr. Carlo Lombardi on December 2, 2013 at 2:13 PM

I’m still skeptical of a flip in Minnesota, but I’d have laughed out loud two months ago.

I’d say a lot goes to who the GOP runs. If it is somebody with the charisma of T-Paw then Franken has nothing to fear.

Happy Nomad on December 2, 2013 at 2:15 PM

Who is his likely opponent?

Missy on December 2, 2013 at 2:16 PM

Uh oh. Better step up the community organizing to get more of the felon vote.

oldroy on December 2, 2013 at 2:18 PM

Hardly surprising. He didn’t win last time, either.

There Goes the Neighborhood on December 2, 2013 at 2:18 PM

I’m still skeptical of a flip in Minnesota, but I’d have laughed out loud two months ago.

Ya never know – in the “Minnesota Massacre” of 1978 the Republicans flipped the governorship, both Senate seats and got half the state legislature, to boot.

whatcat on December 2, 2013 at 2:19 PM

What’s that noise? A collective cranium out of orifice by the MN populace. Yes, the rest of the country, maybe except California, NJ, and NY laugh at your senator.
I worry about the lizard people vote.

AllahsNippleHair on December 2, 2013 at 2:26 PM

No wonder he wants obama’care’ changed.

Only half of all US Americans pay federal income tax; another thirty per cent pay very little. The top five per cent pay the bulk, and the trillion-dollar annual deficit is expanding the seventeen trillion dollar debt, which doesn’t include unfunded liabilities and is in addition to the Fed’s printing of trillions of dollars. This undermines the currency. Inflation is in our future here but hidden (just see the trend of prices for food alone), and it’s going to hurt those who depend on government checks, and who lack marketable skills the most.

50 million, of 300 million US Americans receive Social Security.

Within ten years, an additional seventy million people are scheduled to begin receiving Social Security benefits.

With young college graduates unable to find work, or to pay their student loans, they’re beginning to look at huge increases in taxes, to pay for Social Security. The analogy of one generation ordering a huge meal and skipping out on the bill, leaving the next generation to pay, is dawning on young professionals.

Add to that what they are asked to shoulder with obama’care’.

A large segment of the country’s population can’t read, in part because they spend an average of five hours every day watching television.

Half of the children who graduate from New York City schools can’t read; forty per-cent of children in Los Angeles schools move from one grade to the next through “social promotion” – they’re unable to maintain passing grades. Nevertheless, some, many of them, feel great anger at being victimized by people who’ve developed marketable skills and earn a better living.

The political left doesn’t seem to realize that the country needs to produce marketable wealth to pay for government spending and to support increases in the money supply.

Yet, federal agencies, especially the EPA, are preventing the production of wealth. Sooner or later, the land needs to dramatically increase the production of marketable wealth or suffer a significant decrease in the standard of living. The hour is here…sheepleton.

People who lack marketable skills will suffer the most. It’s sad that their political leaders are feeding themselves at the eventual expense of their followers – the people whom they deceive. Yes, that w/b you, leftist morons. Your looters keep you in modern day plantations, for votes only, ignorant as dead wood. They actually hate you.

Ayn Rand was right – as government becomes more greedy and oppressive, the most productive people will stop working or will flee the government’s sphere of influence.

Already, obama’care’ is driving doctors and the best hospitals, out of the profession/service.

Even after the website is up and those who’ve lost their coverage are forced to subscribe to the new plans, the sticker shock and huge deductibles will set multiple segments of the population against each other. It’s what re-distribution does, all intended by obama.

You can’t underestimate the Republicans’ flair for missing opportunities, or for being dumber than rocks, but the next year is going to be difficult for many, especially the patients who have no coverage and no jobs, and the Democrats who brung the travesty upon the land.

Schadenfreude on December 2, 2013 at 2:30 PM

Don’t pay attention to the polls that say I…Al Franken….am in trouble. Its not true. You see, I…Al Franken….believe that the good people of Minnesota voted for me…Al Franken….because they knew I….Al Franken…..would take their concerns to Washington and champion them….I…Al Franken….have done so repeatedly and am convinced the people will continue to vote for me….Al Franken.

BobMbx on December 2, 2013 at 2:30 PM

Franken won by the skin of his teeth last time. I don’t know why anyone would consider his seat a safe Dem hold.

NotCoach on December 2, 2013 at 2:34 PM

In the Senate Democrat Al Franken shows only a 39% in terms of a pretty good or excellent rating. He too is up for re-election next year. Last time Franken only eked by Norm Coleman in a recount.

“Eked” is French for car trunked.

rich801 on December 2, 2013 at 2:36 PM

Franken in trouble in MN for 2014?

No, no he isnt. Senator Smalley cheated his way into office once and no one stopped him or even slowed him down. Why wouldn’t he do it again if that’s what it takes?

Sacramento on December 2, 2013 at 2:36 PM

Why wouldn’t he do it again if that’s what it takes?

Sacramento on December 2, 2013 at 2:36 PM

He would. But this time it might not be close enough to steal.

Missy on December 2, 2013 at 2:38 PM

I don’t like the GOP “chosen” person that will most likely get the nomination.

I like this guy

http://mikemcfadden.com/

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 2:39 PM

Still a year away, hope Republicans can figure a way to outwit and outspend democrats bent on doing what it takes to keep an Obama rubber stamp in the Senate.

mike0993 on December 2, 2013 at 2:39 PM

Who is his likely opponent?

Missy on December 2, 2013 at 2:16 PM

http://julianne.mn/

She won the straw poll a couple months ago.

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 2:40 PM

I have a better chance of bearing Hagan than Franken does in losing (although if I receive enough funds, I’d primary Burr).

nobar on December 2, 2013 at 2:43 PM

Public opinion polls in Minnesota are only to inform the Democratics how many votes they need to get ready to steal in the real election.

Unless they clean up elections in Minnesota, I expect Franken to retire while in office.

slickwillie2001 on December 2, 2013 at 2:51 PM

Who is his likely opponent?

Missy on December 2, 2013 at 2:16 PM

http://julianne.mn/

She won the straw poll a couple months ago.

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 2:40 PM

Is she TEAParty?: http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/12/01/Mitch-McConnell-Time-for-GOP-establishment-to-stand-up-to-conservatives

davidk on December 2, 2013 at 2:52 PM

I’d say a lot goes to who the GOP runs. If it is somebody with the charisma of T-Paw then Franken has nothing to fear.

Happy Nomad on December 2, 2013 at 2:15 PM

Would that be the same T-Paw who won statewide twice, including in the disasterous (for GOP) year of 2006? Yeah, let’s nominate someone “colorful” like Sharron Angle.

BuzzCrutcher on December 2, 2013 at 2:54 PM

Is she TEAParty?: http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/12/01/Mitch-McConnell-Time-for-GOP-establishment-to-stand-up-to-conservatives

davidk on December 2, 2013 at 2:52 PM

She started her own law firm and was successful. Reminds me of “nonpartisan”‘s blathering this weekend that Obama could make partner at a law firm and then start his own. That was a funny thread!

22044 on December 2, 2013 at 3:03 PM

We need a choice in 2014, not an echo.

Wigglesworth on December 2, 2013 at 3:03 PM

Is she TEAParty?: http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/12/01/Mitch-McConnell-Time-for-GOP-establishment-to-stand-up-to-conservatives

davidk on December 2, 2013 at 2:52 PM

Other Minnesotans may disagree but I think she says whatever she thinks people want to hear. I don’t think she’s very trustworthy.

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 3:04 PM

Michele Bachmann for US Senate !!!

TimLenox on December 2, 2013 at 3:06 PM

Funny that Franken is in “trouble” while Klobuchar enjoys a comfortable position in the polls. They vote the same way on pretty much every issue. They’re both non-controversial in the issues they really speak out about. When it comes to the big stuff, they don’t make much noise.

I don’t believe he’s in any real trouble. The lefty machine is in high gear in this state (The Northeastern part of it, anyway). If anything, the unhappy people are only unhappy because their representatives aren’t far enough to the left.

AScott on December 2, 2013 at 3:24 PM

http://julianne.mn/

She won the straw poll a couple months ago.

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 2:40 PM

What happened to Mike McFadden? He isn’t a huge draw but seemed a solid enough self-funder out of the private sector that could Ron Johnson his way into a quiet lead.

Gingotts on December 2, 2013 at 3:27 PM

All of these politicians need to be put on record regarding the employer mandate that will hit during next year’s elections. When Franken gets in front of a camera (or the GOP want to do some initial legwork), they should ask him if he believes that only 5% of the insurance industry will be effected. If he agrees (which will be on the record), then they need to question him on why would a mandate be needed if it didn’t effect the employer plans.
The theme to the 2014 race should be centered on trust. Who do you trust more? Given the numerous scandals and the ObamaCare disaster, this should be the focus of all election races. They could even wreak havoc on the media for their aiding in the lies.

djaymick on December 2, 2013 at 3:29 PM

What happened to Mike McFadden? He isn’t a huge draw but seemed a solid enough self-funder out of the private sector that could Ron Johnson his way into a quiet lead.

Gingotts on December 2, 2013 at 3:27 PM

He’s my choice but I’m not sure he’ll make it out of the convention.

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Uh oh. Better step up the community car trunk organizing to get more of the felon vote.

oldroy on December 2, 2013 at 2:18 PM

FIFY

ToddPA on December 2, 2013 at 3:31 PM

The Lizard people have his back, it’s all OK.

Johnnyreb on December 2, 2013 at 3:33 PM

Senator 60th Vote will sail to re-election.

The Minny Pubbies are not the Party of Stupid – the are The Spawn of the Party of Stupid.

Plus, the DFL has the vote fraud system so down pat, particularly in the Twin Cities and the Arrowhead, it’s almost a waste for the GOP to even bother to participate in the charade.

Other than that, though, the GOP in Minny is doing swell.

Bruno Strozek on December 2, 2013 at 3:34 PM

No worries they will miraculously “find” just enough votes in the trunk of someones car to put Frankenberry over the top.

neyney on December 2, 2013 at 3:35 PM

He’s my choice but I’m not sure he’ll make it out of the convention.

gophergirl on December 2, 2013 at 3:30 PM

That’s too bad. He’s what you’d need to bounce a backbencher in Minnesota. Cash and a practical outsider’s background… National GOP is gutless and is going to be too focused “fighting” in North Carolina and Louisiana.

Minnesota’s candidate will have to do a lot of heavy-lifting on their own, as Land is doing over in Michigan. Don’t know that a middling-name State Sen. would be enough even if Ortmann were sincere.

Gingotts on December 2, 2013 at 3:37 PM

“. . . the state’s senior delegation member Amy Klobuchar (is) at 57 percent.”

THIS is a disgrace (can’t believe I’m about to defend Al Franken . . . sort of). Not only is Sweet Little Amy voting lock-step with this lying, deceptive, criminal Obama regime, she has openly admitted to wanting “to use the Courts to get things done.” How charming.

Sweet Little Amy is none of the sort. She is Obama — lying, deceptive, fraudulent, an certainly no American.

RobertMN on December 2, 2013 at 3:45 PM

RobertMN on December 2, 2013 at 3:45 PM

YOu guys don’t have much of a choice in Minn. do you? :(

avagreen on December 2, 2013 at 4:04 PM

I don’t care what any poll says.
We don’t have a candidate strong enough to defeat Franken.

dverplank on December 2, 2013 at 4:27 PM

He didn’t win the first time. He shouldn’t win this time. Sadly, he’ll win.

ConDem on December 2, 2013 at 4:41 PM

The funniest thing he ever did in his entire comedic career was to “win” the Senate race. He could top that by losing.

Chickyraptor on December 2, 2013 at 5:14 PM

He could resign the seat, and run as Sturat Smalley.

Ward Cleaver on December 2, 2013 at 5:21 PM

He could resign the seat, and run as Sturat Smalley.

Ward Cleaver on December 2, 2013 at 5:21 PM

Or Stuart Smalley.

Ward Cleaver on December 2, 2013 at 5:22 PM

And with the Secretary of State we have, he will make sure that those trunk load of ballots will be counted. Just like the last time.

Mirimichi on December 2, 2013 at 5:33 PM

Look, if OBOZO could STEAL TWO ELECTIONS, franken might have a chance for a second one.

TeaPartyNation on December 2, 2013 at 6:22 PM

If Al Franken doesn’t get enough votes to win, the Dems will manufacture them. No worries for Stuart Smalley.

Philly on December 2, 2013 at 7:12 PM

After reading these posts, a few comments:

No election in MN will be safe unless Rs take control of SOS, period. The Rs have a good candidate but there’s that cheating mindset. The Dems here have their data so fine-tuned that, coupled with absolutely NO proof of who you are requirement, vote for college students out of state. Real cute, huh?

As for the R party – its current leadership is getting it back on track but this team was left with an awful mess after 2011. It’s turning around but it’s hard to do your job when you’re still in debt.

THere are many problems in MN – a Dem controlled state for the past 35 years – not all Dem but enough to control the internal workings of the state. THAT’s the problem. I’ve been on the inside – and it stinks. But, for the record, I’m working to make the best of a bad situation. And, I’m not alone.

MN J on December 2, 2013 at 9:56 PM

In the Senate Democrat Al Franken shows only a 39% in terms of a pretty good or excellent rating. He too is up for re-election next year. Last time Franken only eked by Norm Coleman in a recount.

Not a problem, the Democrats will just have to create “find” Democrat ballots in 18 wheeler semis and walk-in closets instead of finding them in regular car trunks and closets.

RJL on December 3, 2013 at 2:27 AM

I think a lot of Obama 2012 stickers are disappearing from Minnesota’s cars and SUVs. Perhaps the pride they felt as supporters of the president is turning to shame?

J Baustian on December 4, 2013 at 12:29 AM