Uh oh: Sen. Kay Hagan’s lead disappears in North Carolina
posted at 8:51 pm on November 12, 2013 by Mary Katharine Ham
Incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) is near the top of national Republicans’ target list for 2014 — and a new poll shows her lead over her potential GOP challengers has all but evaporated.
Against state House Speaker Thom Tillis, Hagan leads by only 2 points, 44 percent to 42 percent, according to the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling. She leads Rev. Mark Harris by 2 points as well, 43 percent to 41 percent, and nurse Heather Grant by 3 points, 43 percent to 40 percent.
Hagan trails physician Greg Brannon, the Rand Paul-endorsed candidate in the race, by 1 point: he leads 44 percent to 43 percent.
That’s a huge difference from PPP’s September poll, which gave Hagan leads of anywhere from 12 to 17 points against all possible GOP challengers.
PPP’s write-up suggests Obamacare implementation has a lot to do with Hagan’s disapproval numbers spiking 10 points in a month, with 69 percent of those polled calling Obamacare roll-out unsuccessful. Ya think?
It’s bad news for an incumbent to be tied or behind an opponent. The news gets a bit worse when you consider there are four Republican candidates, none superstars, and she’s still losing ground.
The news gets even worse when you look at the poll’s demographic splits:
That spread approximates the 2012 exits and the numbers that got Hagan a 53-44 win in 2008, as part of the Obama wave election. The electorate make-up is likely to be at least a bit less hospitable to her in an off year.
But the party ID is different. For reference, North Carolina was 42/31/27 Democrat, Republican, and Independent in 2008. In 2012, it was 39/33/29.
Anyone believe turnout will be several points better for Democrats in 2014 than 2008?
Sen. Kay Hagan (D-N.C.) will ask two oversight agencies for a full-blown investigation into the problems surrounding the ObamaCare launch.
Hagan, who is up for reelection in 2014, is asking her Senate colleagues to co-sign a letter asking two agencies to conduct “a complete, thorough investigation to determine the causes of the design and implementation failures of HealthCare.Gov.”
“These problems are simply unacceptable, and Americans deserve answers and swift solutions,” Hagan writes in a letter obtained by The Hill. “Taxpayers are owed a full and transparent accounting of how the vendors contracted to build the site failed to launch it successfully.”
The letter, which is in draft form and could be changed, is addressed to the Government Accountability Office and the Inspector General for the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).
Brannon is a Tea Party activist and physician recently endorsed by Rand Paul. Harris is head of the state Baptist Convention. Tillis is the national GOP recruit. Grant is a nurse, veteran, and political newcomer. A radio host also recently declared. The primary is in May.
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