Open thread: Moment of truth in the Old Dominion; McAuliffe wins

posted at 6:41 pm on November 5, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

Republican Gov. Chris Christie is cruising toward a historical win in uber-blue New Jersey tonight, but in tonight’s other, less certain gubernatorial race down in Virginia, lifelong Democratic fundraiser and “businessman” Terry McAuliffe is well-positioned to make some history of his own in the opposite direction: For three decades, Virginia’s one-term-limited governors have been elected from the party not sitting in the White House, but with an average lead of almost seven points going into this morning, it’s entirely possible that Virginia’s changing demographics and purplish new reality have killed the reliability of that pattern dead.

All of those years of Democratic fundraising weren’t for nothing, of course, and Team Terry has enjoyed a massive cash advantage throughout the race and used it to pummel Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli as a crazy-eyed social conservative in ad after ad after ad. Camp Cuccinelli, meanwhile, has lately turned to nurturing a full-force Republicans turnout; Virginia has a typically Republican lean in off-year elections, so that could be another possibly disrupted pattern to look for once all the dust has settled. Looking at the down-ticket races, especially Attorney General, could help to shed some light on whether the results will be all about the characteristics of McAuliffe v. Cuccinelli, or indicative of some deeper demographic shifts.

One of the big takeaways from the Old Dominion tonight will be the effect of the Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis on the race; he’s been polling around a surprisingly solid 9 percent or so, according to the RCP average, and there has been plenty of contention about whether he is pulling away votes from McAuliffe and Cuccinelli equally or primarily harming Cuccinelli’s chances. How many people actually end up voting for Sarvis when push comes to shove is tough to predict, but for any of those potential Sarvis voters that might have been on the fence about it, this may have come as a rather unwelcome nugget of news this morning (or not, as the case may be). Via The Blaze:

A major Democratic Party benefactor and Obama campaign bundler helped pay for professional petition circulators responsible for getting Virginia Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Robert C. Sarvis on the ballot — a move that could split conservative votes in a tight race.

Campaign finance records show the Libertarian Booster PAC has made the largest independent contribution to Sarvis’ campaign, helping to pay for professional petition circulators who collected signatures necessary to get Sarvis’ name on Tuesday’s statewide ballot.

Austin, Texas, software billionaire Joe Liemandt is the Libertarian Booster PAC’s major benefactor. He’s also a top bundler for President Barack Obama.

Another big factor, as I mentioned above, are Virginia’s shifting demographics. Sean Trende explains:

We’ve talked a lot about demographics this year, but we’re finally going to get some good data. We’re getting exit polls in the races, as we did in 2009, and it couldn’t be more timely. One of the big question marks for Democrats going forward is whether Obama’s turnout among minority voters is transferable, or whether it is an Obama-specific phenomenon.

Gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe has invested scads of money trying to replicate the Obama turnout patterns. We should probably expect a bounce-back in Democratic groups from 2009, simply because that environment was so overwhelmingly lousy for Democrats (if we don’t, it’s a big problem for the party). But if the breakdowns look like 2012 or 2008, it’s a pretty good sign for Democrats.

Virginia’s polls close at 7 PM Eastern, and Virginia’s official election page as well as HuffPo‘s live results are both good places to watch the precinct reports start to stream in. Rural Virginia counties tend to get their vote counts in sooner, so the early stages of reporting might be a little misleading (you’ll recall that things looked that way in the Romney episode of yesteryear, as David Jarman points out), and I’ll be keeping an eye on things with updates below.

Update: Both Obama and Biden took some time to stump for McAuliffe over the past couple of days, and both largely avoided the subject of ObamaCare while President Obama really hammered the government shutdown as the major issue du jour. Suffice it to say that O probably wouldn’t have won McAuliffe any votes he didn’t already have by mentioning that “glitchy” living nightmare:

Update: And here come more exit polls:

Update: Here’s an exit-poll extravaganza from the Washington Post; it would seem that all of that “war-on-women”-izing in which Team Terry absurdly yet aggressively engaged came in mighty handy:

And again:

Update: Oh?

Update: Sean Trende has been filtering the incoming results through his model and chronicling the evolution thereof on his Twitter feed; things started out looking fairly favorable for Cuccinelli, but sounds like it’s getting tighter:

Update: The Associated Press is calling the lieutenant governor’s race for the Democrat, Ralph Northam:

Democratic state Sen. Ralph Northam defeated Republican E.W. Jackson in a race sharply defined by social issues.

Northam easily beat Jackson on Tuesday following a campaign that centered on Northam’s defense of abortion rights and Jackson’s Christian-based anti-abortion platform. Jackson also opposes gay marriage, while Northam supports it.

The winner succeeds Republican Bill Bolling. A Democrat hasn’t occupied the office since U.S. Sen. Tim Kaine was lieutenant governor in 2006.

Update: I must say, I would have estimated that somebody would have called this thing by now, but the counts are still going, and it’s definitely going to be quite a bit closer than many of the polls were predicting; NBC is still saying the race is “too close to call,” but the latest numbers are still looking like they’re in McAuliffe’s favor:

Update: Fox News is calling it, ya’ll:

Democrat Terry McAuliffe is projected to win the Virginia gubernatorial race, defeating Republican nominee Ken Cuccinelli in a surprisingly close victory.

Fox News projected McAuliffe as the winner Tuesday night.

Update: Wow, this race looks like it’s going to be way closer than the polls were generally predicting; with 92 percent of precincts reporting, we’re looking at only a 47 – 46 split between McAuliffe and Cuccinelli, with Sarvis at 7 percent.

Update: I would merely point out that McAuliffe outraised Cuccinelli by something like $16 million, a lot of it from bigger donors. I’m sure we can rely on hearing the Democrats’ usual outraged cries about the lamentable influence of big, outside money in politics any time now. …Yep, any time now.

Update: With 97 percent of precincts reporting, the split is still 47 – 46. (Emerson College kinda’ called that one, eh?)


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If you elect that effing dumbass McAuliffe Virginia, you deserve everything that happens to you.

gsherin on November 5, 2013 at 6:44 PM

C’mon KC! Let’s DO IT!

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 6:45 PM

Drudge has more or less called it for McAuliffe…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:49 PM

The ads here were absolutely beyond belief. Outright lies, which I’m sure had the typical ignorant democrat voter outraged and raring to vote.

Every single ad was targeted to women with horror stories of what Cuccinelli would do. “He’ll ban abortion!!!! He’ll ban birth control!!!!” “He’ll ban women!!!!!!!!!!!!”

There were a few ads claiming that unless the corrupt McAuliffe was elected every “extreme” form of weather under the sun would hit Virginia all at once.

No doubt brain dead voters flocked to the polls to stop Cuccinelli from destroying the planet by his mere presence in the governor’s mansion.

darwin on November 5, 2013 at 6:51 PM

Levin made the point the RINO’s want Ken to lose and Christie to win because they can use it to propagate the nonsense that the TeaParty is the problem.

Shame on Virginia woman if you let this worm McAuliffe buy your vote with his lies about KC and birth control. And shame on you so called libertarians for throwing your vote away on this anti-liberty democrat plant fraud Sarvis.

jawkneemusic on November 5, 2013 at 6:51 PM

Beckel was very triumphant because the tea party will be the cause of a total loss throughout VA races.

sounded like McCain and all the other RINOs

r keller on November 5, 2013 at 6:51 PM

If you elect that effing dumbass McAuliffe Virginia, you deserve everything that happens to you.

gsherin on November 5, 2013 at 6:44 PM

Yeah thanks. The people here that have a clue know full well what McAuliffe will do. Virginia will be destroyed and reborn as a liberal zombie factory.

darwin on November 5, 2013 at 6:53 PM

If you elect that effing dumbass McAuliffe Virginia, you deserve everything that happens to you.

gsherin on November 5, 2013 at 6:44 PM

Here’s a thought. Instead of bashing Virginia’s voters, why don’t you acknowledge that McAuliffe was easily beatable and Cuccinelli blew it?

He’s a bad fundraiser, he made no effort to forge ties with community leaders as Bob McDonnell did, and he decided to flout the party structure rather than use it to his advantage, as Christie has clearly done in NJ.

Now, you can say that it all makes him a better conservative or whatever you want to salvage this debacle as a moral victory. But if you try to win elections with a method that doesn’t work, you’d best be prepared to lose.

KingGold on November 5, 2013 at 6:53 PM

It’s not the end of the world if Cucc loses. Virginia is a purple State at best and Brit Hume said yesterday it is closer to blue. This will not be the end for the tea party…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:54 PM

Drudge has more or less called it for McAuliffe…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:49 PM

0% reporting yet, so no one really knows. Probably doesn’t want to embarrass himself with some misleading headline when it’s more likely that McAuliffe wins.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 6:54 PM

Question: What’s the makeup of VA legislature? Might not be a total loss if the state chambers can neuter McClinton.

nobar on November 5, 2013 at 6:57 PM

Check this out. The democrat party is full of these people I am sure. This is no longer about left vs right. There is a SERIOUS character problem within the democrat party. It’s made up of liars and thieves.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/11/05/Dem-Robo-Calls-Claim-Cuccinelli-Supports-ObamaCare-And-Abortion

jawkneemusic on November 5, 2013 at 6:58 PM

I’m a California Republican – the antithesis of a tea party guy – and I have been calling everyone I know back in Virginia (where I was born and grew up) to get out and vote for Ken C. The reverberation of a severely underfunded conservative candidate coming back from double digits down in the polls to win a swing state will undo Obamacare faster than anything that has happened over the past three years. The stories would write themselves.

ak90049 on November 5, 2013 at 6:59 PM

7

Bmore on November 5, 2013 at 7:00 PM

Voted for KC a couple of hours ago. From the looks of things, I’ll be crying in my beer again on this election night (2008 and 2012 come to mind). Oh, and wrote myself in for the House of Delegates since the choice was a D or Write In. Couldn’t bring myself to vote for the unopposed D and couldn’t leave it blank. Thought about Brewster’s Millions – None of the above. We’ll see,and I hope that the polls were as wrong as they were in ’12 for Romney.

mel23059 on November 5, 2013 at 7:01 PM

Ugh. Just saw the Obamacare exit poll. It the voter makeup is 48% Support to 50% Oppose, it’s going to be a long night.

ak90049 on November 5, 2013 at 7:02 PM

Drudge has more or less called it for McAuliffe…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:49 PM

Do you have a link for that? That’s not what I see.

bmmg39 on November 5, 2013 at 7:03 PM

@nobar … House is strong R at the state level; Senate is pretty evenly split. Sorry, don’t know the numbers off the top of my head, but can come back with a talley later tonight or tomorrow.

mel23059 on November 5, 2013 at 7:03 PM

mel23059 on November 5, 2013 at 7:01 PM

Are you in a R or D district? How was the turnout?

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:03 PM

Virginia, US
53s

At poll closing time, NBC News declares the Virginia governor’s race too early to call; Democrat Terry McAuliffe is leading – @mpoindc
read more on twitter.com

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:04 PM

It’s not the end of the world if Cucc loses. Virginia is a purple State at best and Brit Hume said yesterday it is closer to blue. This will not be the end for the tea party…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:54 PM

It won’t be if the lesson is learned, no. But Cuccinelli losing is not a good thing by any stretch of the imagination. National Republican candidates don’t lose Virginia and win the election.

The Tea Party’s greatest successes have always been the ones where Tea Party candidates work hand in hand with the state party establishment instead of both sides constantly undermining one another.

Instead of nasty primaries or “maverick candidates,” Tea Party activists should be busting their asses early in the election cycle, shaking hands and making nice with state party officials, in order to get full support going into the election. Ron Johnson, John Kasich, Scott Walker, Susana Martinez – all of these people got the state parties on their side when they ran. And they all won comfortably.

Chris Christie – whether you hate him or you don’t hate him – is one of the smartest politicians in America. He’s running in a state that routinely rejects Republicans by a 60-40 margin, and yet he’s cruising to victory. Why? Because not only has he gotten the state party, conservative activists, and virtually every independent voter in Jersey lined up behind him, he’s managed to pry moderate Democrats loose from the party line. That’s how you win big. Not by giving the middle finger to everyone but the base.

KingGold on November 5, 2013 at 7:04 PM

Do you have a link for that? That’s not what I see.

I think its the fact that Drudge uses the “Big Mac” headline with McCaullife’s picture, not the content of the article itself.

ak90049 on November 5, 2013 at 7:05 PM

Polling Hours: 6 A.M. to 7 P.M.

http://sbe.virginia.gov/

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:06 PM

This has nothing to do with the fiscal conservative movement, it has more to do with the GOP. Damaged goods.

They have lied and capitulated to the liberals when they could have fought and won. They are French surrender monkeys and no one has faith in the them.

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:07 PM

Anecdotally what I’m hearing is widespread disaffection with both candidates. Expect low turnout. McAwful might win, but it’ll be a lot closer than 7pts I think.

This “sick of both parties” that’s the “meme du jour” among LIV’S is extremely useful to the Democratic Party. If people get so cynical about ” both sides” that they just give up, it advantages the Left whose electoral base is primarily motivated by handouts. As long as people are sick of both parties, then they’re not sick of the Democrats.

SAMinVA on November 5, 2013 at 7:10 PM

Unofficial Results – General Election – November 5, 2013

Precincts Reporting
40
1.57%
2541

http://electionresults.virginia.gov/

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:10 PM

3 votes for Ken in my house plus several people in my office I made sure went out and voted. Not sure if there are enough of us here in SW VA to overcome the hoards in NOVA, but we’re trying.

Lost in Jersey on November 5, 2013 at 7:11 PM

It will be a miracle if Cuccinellin wins this I have already resigned myself to the fact.Rove and his minions have already guaranteed a victory for the Clintonite Stooge.The GOP better get their $hit together before next Nov. or all is lost.

jeffinsjvca on November 5, 2013 at 7:11 PM

Cuccinelli running against

Democrat
Libertarian
republican establishment

outspent by $20 million. The RGA, ends up giving Christie millions for his race when Cucc could have used it. After Christie French kissed Obama a few days before the prez election, he made sure Tubby didn’t have competition. Then to keep the black turnout down he schedules bookers senate win a month before his election. Then you wonder why all these black leaders came out for him.

If Christie filled the seat till 2014, the GOP could have won the seat.

Christie is a fat, ambitious pig that has hurt the conservative movement!

Danielvito on November 5, 2013 at 7:12 PM

A vote for McAuliff is nothing more than confirmation of the acceptance of the abysmal state of our decline, which is being defined by Obamacare.

/If they turn VA blue? It’s only due to public sector unions.

Key West Reader on November 5, 2013 at 7:12 PM

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 3m
Third wave of exit data is in: In Virginia, women (51% of electorate) broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli, 53-39%. (Sarvis at 7%)

If this is close to true, it’s curtains, right? I doubt there are enough real men left in this state to close that gap.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:12 PM

Exit polling shows Hillary would beat Christie by 6% in NJ, lol.

xblade on November 5, 2013 at 7:14 PM

This has nothing to do with the fiscal conservative movement

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:07 PM

You’re absolutely right. The fiscal conservative movement has nothing to worry about. The social conservative movement, however, is going to have to go into overdrive in the hearts-and-minds department, I’m afraid.

Cuccinelli’s not behind because of any fiscal policy. It’s the “war on women” bullcrap that’s dragging him down like a pair of cement shoes. The gender gap in this election is horrifying.

Personally, if I were in Susan B. Anthony List, NOM, or something of that nature, I’d get out of the politics game altogether and start my own television network with all the money I’m raising. The under-30 demographic is getting increasingly socially liberal – hopefully not irretrievably so. Propaganda would be more effective than ad spending, in my estimation.

KingGold on November 5, 2013 at 7:15 PM

Tweets All / No replies

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 29s

For folks focused on party ID in Virginia: according to exit data, electorate was 38% Democratic, 31% Republican, 31% indie/other.
==============================================================

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 1m

Virginia turnout also tracked with the 2012 presidential cycle electorate: 72% white, 20% black, 4% Hispanic, 2% Asian, 2% other.
==================================================================

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 2m

Third wave of exit data is in: In Virginia, women (51% of electorate) broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli, 53-39%. (Sarvis at 7%)

https://twitter.com/mpoindc

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:15 PM

Ken over Terry 55% to 33% with 840 votes.

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:15 PM

You’re absolutely right. The fiscal conservative movement has nothing to worry about. The social conservative movement, however, is going to have to go into overdrive in the hearts-and-minds department, I’m afraid.

Very much agree.

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:16 PM

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 1m
At first glance, looks like McAuliffe folks succeeded at their goal of replicating Obama 2012 turnout model in this off-year contest. Big.

Ok, I think I’m going to get in a run and start figuring out if I can support a Christie candidacy in ’16. In the meantime, hopefully GOP polls figure out that you can’t just let the left smear you on social issues and fight back with economic issues.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

Brett Baier just said unmarried women broke for McAwfull 76%-16%. If that’s the case we’ve lost.

Big Orange on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

Mark Levin on the race.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 1m

At first glance, looks like McAuliffe folks succeeded at their goal of replicating Obama 2012 turnout model in this off-year contest. Big.
=====================================================================

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 3m

Virginia exit data: Moderates (44% of electorate) went 57% McAuliffe, 31% Succinelli, 10% Sarvis.
============================

https://twitter.com/mpoindc

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

@nobar … House is strong R at the state level; Senate is pretty evenly split. Sorry, don’t know the numbers off the top of my head, but can come back with a talley later tonight or tomorrow.

mel23059 on November 5, 2013 at 7:03 PM

Senate is 20-20, with tying vote going to Lt. Gov. No Senate races this year, only House. (House election is every odd year. Senate election is every other odd year.)

House is pretty securely Republican.

CJ on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

Sarvis, very early, is holding at nearly 11%.

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:18 PM

Very early results, less than 1000 returns:

Candidate Votes Percent
REP Party Ken T. Cuccinelli II 457 55.73%
DEM Party Terry R. McAuliffe 274 33.41%
LIB Party Robert C. Sarvis 89 10.85%
Write-in 0 0.00%
Total Votes 820

predator on November 5, 2013 at 7:18 PM

Really hate to say it but say bye to the Old Dominion. Sadly with the massive influx of government workers and illegals, I don’t think it will ever vote for a conservative again. Well VA you deserve what ever happens to you. Virginia=the new Maryland/New York.

tom2789 on November 5, 2013 at 7:18 PM

If CNN is saying a 7 point exit poll spread is “too close to call” then they are saying they have little confidence in their poll sample and don’t believe it is indicative of the state as a whole. Maybe they limited their polling regionally or something but it means the “error bars” on their sampling are wider than +/- 7 points.

crosspatch on November 5, 2013 at 7:19 PM

Tweets All / No replies

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 11s

Correx w/ third wave: Obama in VA, per exits: 48% approve of his job performance, 52% disapprove. Split over ACA: 47% support, 51% oppose
=====================================================================

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 2m

Obama in Virginia, per exits: 46% of Va. voters approve of his job performance, 53% disapprove. Split over ACA: 48% support, 50% oppose

https://twitter.com/mpoindc

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:19 PM

Mike O’Brien ‏@mpoindc 3m
Third wave of exit data is in: In Virginia, women (51% of electorate) broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli, 53-39%. (Sarvis at 7%)

If this is close to true, it’s curtains, right? I doubt there are enough real men left in this state to close that gap.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:12 PM

Abortion Barbies rejoice!

*blech*

workingclass artist on November 5, 2013 at 7:19 PM

I think the issues with McDonnell really hurt Cuccinelli. And Bolling’s snit didn’t help either.

CJ on November 5, 2013 at 7:19 PM

Virginia turnout also tracked with the 2012 presidential cycle electorate: 72% white, 20% black, 4% Hispanic, 2% Asian, 2% other.

If that’s even remotely close to true, Cuccinelli’s toast and we’re going to have big problems come 2014. This is an off-year election. If we don’t have the advantage in off-year elections any more, that’s pretty much the end of the party as it stands today.

The only way this is mitigated is by the fact that the Democrats have poured every last dollar into Virginia while ignoring the other, uncompetitive races. Which “only” means that if they can generate enough money to keep up in 2014, you can forget about the second big conservative wave election.

KingGold on November 5, 2013 at 7:19 PM

Just like the libs are crying now over Obamacare; what, they just woke up & realized what was going to happen?

That’s how the Virginians are going to be crying when they’re taxes sky rocket.

Sarvis, the democratic plant, will secure a win for the Clinton clone.

Belle on November 5, 2013 at 7:20 PM

predator on November 5, 2013 at 7:18 PM

Thanks.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:20 PM

Voted mid-afternoon, about eight other people there… slow but steady trickle.

Generally R district, and the turnout is about normal for the off-year elections.

The Democrats poured in tons of cash into the State and the ads were basically carbon copies: he/she will ban abortion! he/she will ban birth control! War on Wimmenses!

That was the D campaign top to bottom with a few added smears for good measure.

After voting I felt I needed to go to a gun store…

ajacksonian on November 5, 2013 at 7:21 PM

Precincts Reporting
52
2.05%
2541

http://electionresults.virginia.gov/

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:21 PM

tom2789 on November 5, 2013 at 7:18 PM

I think we’ll be like PA for a while – not full retard liberal like PA, but reliably bluish. NoVa will be our Filthadelphia. We won’t go full retard like MD for a while, but it still sucks that the parasites have taken over.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:21 PM

This race has been over for a long time.

VA is going to elect a failed businessman who lied about green energy and couldn’t answer policy questions… Because his opponent has personal conservative views.

And people believe that Ocare will sink O. A huge portion of the electorate is incapable of thinking objectively.

We’re talking VA not NY here. Without a national revival, Goodnight, America.

mankai on November 5, 2013 at 7:21 PM

Surge from Ken:

Candidate Votes Percent
REP Party Ken T. Cuccinelli II 61
DEM Party Terry R. McAuliffe 32
LIB Party Robert C. Sarvis 6.5
Write-in 0 0.00%
Total Votes 3771

Sarvis support falling

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:22 PM

Candidate Votes Percent
REP Party Ken T. Cuccinelli II 5,832 54.51%
DEM Party Terry R. McAuliffe 4,147 38.76%
LIB Party Robert C. Sarvis 689 6.44%
Write-in 31 0.29%
Total Votes 10,699

predator on November 5, 2013 at 7:23 PM

Lou Dubois ‏@dubois 2m

Election Night 2013 is upon us. For the best info, follow this @NBCPolitics Twitter list: https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/nbc-politics-team

https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/nbc-politics-team

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:23 PM

Mankal, I’m afraid you’re right.
Will there be any red states left standing after amnesty is passed?

Belle on November 5, 2013 at 7:24 PM

Cuccinelli convinced the R Party Honchos that he didn’t need to be in a primary.

Here is a big hint: whenever a candidate says they don’t need to be in a primary, they need to be in a primary.

Cuccinelli would have benefited greatly by a primary by getting organized State-wide for it and getting an actual message together.

Primaries are NOT just about getting good people in: they are also a sanity check and means to find out who are weak campaigners.

It felt like the NRA suddenly lit a fire under his butt two weeks ago with THEIR mass callings. That is when the D’s had to really ramp up their slander campaigns because an effective group had finally gotten involved. The NRA should not be the one to be pointing out that to campaign for office one must, indeed, CAMPAIGN FOR OFFICE.

ajacksonian on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

Ugh. Just saw the Obamacare exit poll. It the voter makeup is 48% Support to 50% Oppose, it’s going to be a long night.

ak90049 on November 5, 2013 at 7:02 PM

I don’t believe that poll. Exit polling is sort of iffy, imo.

bluefox on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

Since Cuccinelli is presently leading could we have a moratorium on the wrist-slitting and RINO propaganda until he falls behind.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

KingGold on November 5, 2013 at 7:19 PM

That’s a little too pessimistic.

It’s just a Virginia Gov race. It’s not that big a deal to me as a non virginian. From what I hear Cuc just ran a bad campaign. And that fucking libertarian.

Flapjackmaka on November 5, 2013 at 7:27 PM

Mark Levin on the race.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

I like Mark, but he’s wrong here. KC let the WoW attacks go unanswered. If you do that, you WILL lose whether you’re Romney or Cucinelli.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:27 PM

Virginia Governor
<1% reporting
Cuccinelli Cuccinelli 7,915 51.7%
Mcauliffe McAuliffe 6,205 40.5%
Sarvis Sarvis 1,183 7.7%

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:28 PM

Unofficial Results – General Election – November 5, 2013

Precincts Reporting
84
3.31%
2541

http://electionresults.virginia.gov/resultsSW.aspx?Select=1&selectids=%2C215

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:28 PM

Since Cuccinelli is presently leading could we have a moratorium on the wrist-slitting and RINO propaganda until he falls behind.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

If I’m wrong I’ll happily buy you a beer if you’re local, paypal $5 if you’re not.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:29 PM

Rick Perry needs to get up to Virginia and recruit more conservative companies to come to Texas.

Texas – the last and best place for freedom.

redguy on November 5, 2013 at 7:30 PM

Brett Baier just said unmarried women broke for McAwfull 76%-16%. If that’s the case we’ve lost.

Big Orange on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

THIS is likely THE primary advantage, other than voter fraud, that the Dems now — and likely until there’s a second American Renaissance — possess nationwide …

ShainS on November 5, 2013 at 7:30 PM

ajacksonian on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

indeed

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:30 PM

Too Close To Call???

Since when has 7% been too close to call. The Cooch is cooked.

Abby Adams on November 5, 2013 at 7:32 PM

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:29 PM

If you look at the official virginia results page all three republicans have roughly the same percentage of the vote. The libertarian (fake) is taking votes from McAuliffe so far.

Yes, it’s early still …

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:32 PM

Since Cuccinelli is presently leading could we have a moratorium on the wrist-slitting and RINO propaganda until he falls behind.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

Heh.

ShainS on November 5, 2013 at 7:32 PM

LIVE ELECTION RESULTS

Virginia Governor
7% reporting
Cuccinelli 44,295 52.3%
Mcauliffe 32,777 38.7%
Sarvis 7,597 9.0%

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:33 PM

It’s not the end of the world if Cucc loses. Virginia is a purple State at best and Brit Hume said yesterday it is closer to blue. This will not be the end for the tea party…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:54 PM

Sorry..I disagree. If VA goes blue…it’s done we’re doomed..Obama won there in 08 and 12…and now VA loses a GOP governor. Not good for the GOP

Redford on November 5, 2013 at 7:33 PM

Results in Virginia: TOO CLOSE TO CALL. Preliminary CNN Exit Polls: McAulliffe 50%, Cuccinelli 43%, Sarvis 7%

Those results wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest given the polling.

One question I have is that yes, Cuccinelli was outraised by a 2-to-1 margin. So why was he outdone on television by a 10-to-1 margin? It makes me wonder about how Cuccinelli chose to spend campaign funds and exactly what that cash was going to achieve given that he’s been essentially off-the-air for the past 2 months (although there’s been plenty of advertising for GOP candidate Mark Obenshain for Attorney General, and a smattering of late advertising for GOP candidate EW Jackson for Lt Governor).

Stoic Patriot on November 5, 2013 at 7:34 PM

Ace’s poll guru, CAC, is calling it for TM based on bellweather county returns.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:34 PM

official unofficial

took the link from the post … but the page says un

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:35 PM

Photo: Crowd trickling in at Ken Cuccinelli party in Richmond, Va., – @Erin_WAVY
see original on twitter.com

https://twitter.com/Erin_WAVY/status/397881875672629249

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:35 PM

It’s not the end of the world if Cucc loses. Virginia is a purple State at best and Brit Hume said yesterday it is closer to blue. This will not be the end for the tea party…

sandee on November 5, 2013 at 6:54 PM

Sorry..I disagree. If VA goes blue…it’s done we’re doomed..Obama won there in 08 and 12…and now VA loses a GOP governor. Not good for the GOP

Redford on November 5, 2013 at 7:33 PM

How often has Virginia had a Republican Governor?

rob verdi on November 5, 2013 at 7:35 PM

Virginia is doomed…

Washington Nearsider on November 5, 2013 at 7:35 PM

Candidate Votes Percent
REP Party Ken T. Cuccinelli II 59,795 54.65%
DEM Party Terry R. McAuliffe 40,667 37.17%
LIB Party Robert C. Sarvis 8,620 7.88%
Write-in 324 0.30%
Total Votes 109,406

Since Cuccinelli is presently leading could we have a moratorium on the wrist-slitting and RINO propaganda until he falls behind.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 P

M

+1

predator on November 5, 2013 at 7:35 PM

With 15% of the vote in, Cuccinelli’s lead remains unchanged.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Since Cuccinelli is presently leading could we have a moratorium on the wrist-slitting and RINO propaganda until he falls behind.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:26 PM

He’s not “currently leading.” Vote totals this early in the evening are representative of smaller precincts wrapping up their totals and reporting earlier, which means you can’t go by these percentages until more of the state comes in. If we get to about 40% reporting and Cuccinelli’s still up, maybe we can calm down.

For what it’s worth, CAC at Ace’s blog is calling the race of McAuliffe based on the swing county precincts, in which Cuccinelli’s performance is underwhelming.

KingGold on November 5, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Brett Baier just said unmarried women broke for McAwfull 76%-16%. If that’s the case we’ve lost.

Big Orange on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

And there you have the reason the left is frothing at the mouth at the idea of destroying the institution of marriage. When woman don’t want a man, the fill the void with big papa government.

jawkneemusic on November 5, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Third wave of exit data is in: In Virginia, women (51% of electorate) broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli, 53-39%. (Sarvis at 7%)

https://twitter.com/mpoindc

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:15 PM

Just thinking that this race may not be McAuliffe vs Cuccinelli per se. It may be a pre-Hillary election.

bluefox on November 5, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Hmmmm,…………..Tea Party???

Jessica Taylor ‏@JessicaTaylor 27s

43% in #VAGov exits says they oppose the Tea Party. 28% support, 27% neutral

https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/nbc-politics-team

canopfor on November 5, 2013 at 7:37 PM

Sorry..I disagree. If VA goes blue…it’s done we’re doomed..Obama won there in 08 and 12…and now VA loses a GOP governor. Not good for the GOP

Redford on November 5, 2013 at 7:33 PM

The GOP right now has a problem winning states like VA, NC, OH, CO, FL, and IA — all of which they used to dominate in, or at least be competitive in. The GOP is going to need to find someone who is a compelling speaker for conservatism to have a chance, because going RINO a la Romney doesn’t win those states.

Stoic Patriot on November 5, 2013 at 7:37 PM

Stoic Patriot on November 5, 2013 at 7:34 PM

KC supposedly tried to allocate his modest cash reserves into GOTV efforts while he got pummeled over the air.

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:37 PM

” If VA goes blue”

Excuse me? Virginia has been “blue” more than it has been red over the past 100 years. Since 1900 there have been 6 Republican governors and 24 Dem governors. Since 1966 it is tied, 6 Dem and 6 Rep (and those six Republicans are the ONLY Republicans since 1900).

Virginia is not a particularly “red” state.

crosspatch on November 5, 2013 at 7:37 PM

15% reporting

Cuchinelli – 55%

McCauliff – 37%

Sockpuppet – 9%

workingclass artist on November 5, 2013 at 7:38 PM

Rick Perry needs to get up to Virginia and recruit more conservative companies to come to Texas.

Texas – the last and best place for freedom.

redguy on November 5, 2013 at 7:30 PM

Yep.

VA can become another Michigan.

Don’t really care if blue states fail.

tetriskid on November 5, 2013 at 7:38 PM

The Virginia gov website for results, like healthcare.gov…seems to be slow to failing.

http://electionresults.virginia.gov/resultsSW.aspx?type=SWR&map=CTY

Panther on November 5, 2013 at 7:38 PM

Talking with my coworkers this morning, one is a far left. He was disgusted with the candidates. “I hate one, I merely loathe the other.” he voted for the one he hates less.

My wife is apolitical. Has center right values, but is generally a low information voter. She looked at the exit poll numbers on Obama, obamacare, and the governors race, and said (remember, she is apolitical) “I don’t understand how anyone could support Obama, obamacare, or a Democrat right now.”

mkbruin on November 5, 2013 at 7:38 PM

crrr6 on November 5, 2013 at 7:34 PM

Well his numbers show the opposite so far.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:39 PM

CUCCINELLI 54.65%
MCAULIFFE 37.17%

Headline at Drudge at the moment. Second look at hope?

Scott P on November 5, 2013 at 7:39 PM

Mark Levin on the race.

gh on November 5, 2013 at 7:17 PM

Thanks. I missed that. Have his show on now.

bluefox on November 5, 2013 at 7:41 PM

We’re seeing the true democrat plan. Create a new slave class so dependent on the government that they have no choice but to vote democrat or face the whip of their “livelihood” (aka welfare of one form or another) being taken away.

Zaggs on November 5, 2013 at 7:41 PM

Cuccinelli’s got it,

jake49 on November 5, 2013 at 7:41 PM

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