Quinnipiac: McAuliffe “clinging” to a 4 point lead in Virginia

posted at 1:21 pm on October 30, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

It’s quite the reversal from the WaPo/Abt SRBI poll out earlier this week that gave Terry McAuliffe all of the Virginia gubernatorial race’s momentum with a whopping 12 point edge, but considering that Quinnipiac’s two previous polls at the both the start and middle of October were in keeping with this race’s (now erstwhile) running average of a 7 or 8 point advantage to McAuliffe, their newest poll released this morning is definitely significant:

The Virginia governor’s race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 – 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. …

Today’s survey shows that if Sarvis were not in the race, McAuliffe would have 47 percent to 45 percent for Cuccinelli, too close to call.

“State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe’s heels as the race to be Virginia’s next governor enters the final week of the campaign,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters.”

Oh, my. The RCP average is now just over +9 for McAuliffe, with Sarvis holding on to his average of a full 9 percentage points for himself; as Brown notes, “Nationally, third-party candidates often lose support in the end as voters enter the voting booth and back someone they consider the lesser of two evils,” and however the currently proclaimed Sarvis supporters actually ending up voting — or not voting — on election day could still have a lot of impact (and if you happen to be a libertarianish-minded Virginia voter, I’d point you toward some competing and compelling recent pieces from Nick Gillespie and Scott Shackford in one corner and Tim Carney and Matt Lewis in the other).

As Brown also notes, Cuccinelli seems to be benefitting from Republicans “coming home” and committing their support at the last; I would think that the gigantic parade of fail that is ObamaCare right now, and perhaps the help of surrogates like Rand Paul and Bobby Jindal, is a big help, and his camp’s challenge will be really driving up Republican turnout. They’ll definitely have their work cut out for them, because both Obama and Biden will be making appearances on McAuliffe’s behalf before election day, and McAuliffe’s major fundraising advantage is still going strong:

Abortion-rights groups, environmentalists, gun-control advocates and the National Rifle Association all have jumped into the battle, one of two governorships to be decided next week. Virginia also is one of a handful of states where individuals, unions and corporations can donate unlimited amounts directly to candidates. McAuliffe has pulled in more than $34 million, while Cuccinelli has raised nearly $20 million. …

Seventy-two percent of McAuliffe’s campaign funds through Sept. 30 came from outside Virginia, according to an analysis by the Virginia Public Access Project, a non-partisan group that tracks political money. Cuccinelli relied on out-of-state donors for 64% of his haul during the same period.

Groups backing McAuliffe’s candidacy are among the biggest outside spenders in the race. They include NextGen Climate Action, a political action committee founded by California billionaire Tom Steyer, that has spent more than $2.4 million to run independent commercials slamming Cuccinelli in the state’s largest television markets.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Give up your Sarvis-dreams and take down McAuliffe!

thebrokenrattle on October 30, 2013 at 1:25 PM

What would have happened if the GOP had actually supported his candidacy instead of trying to cut him off at the knees and get McAuliffe elected? But, that’s not the meme they want to push – they want everyone to know that if you knuckle dragging base voters don’t support the big government statist candidate, you will lose. (Sure, you’ll lose with their statist candidate too, but that’s not a lesson anyone should ever learn.)

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 1:25 PM

Sarvis is one crappy libertarian. I wonder how many people considering voting 3rd party know this.

hollygolightly on October 30, 2013 at 1:28 PM

I hope ObamaCare is killing the Progs/Socialists…

d1carter on October 30, 2013 at 1:28 PM

Forecast for Election Day: Cloudy with a 100% chance of voter fraud.

Bruno Strozek on October 30, 2013 at 1:31 PM

AND … just last week, there was this poll …

POLL: VA GOV RACE A TOSS UP

McAuliffe leading Republican Ken Cuccinelli 41%-40%.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/10/24/Exclusive-Poll-VA-Gov-Race-A-Toss-Up

Pork-Chop on October 30, 2013 at 1:32 PM

unfortunately Roanoke college poll released today has macawful pulling away and bringing the dem candidates for lt.gov and atty.gen with him.

Lost in Jersey on October 30, 2013 at 1:34 PM

This race is no where close enough to be outside the fraud margin. WIN demoncrap.

I don’t like it either but such is the reality. Rs gotta beat the margin of fraud to even have a hope of winning.

Skwor on October 30, 2013 at 1:35 PM

Both Pauls endorsed Cuccinelli over Sarvis.

At this point Sarvis supporters are libertines, not libertarians.

22044 on October 30, 2013 at 1:35 PM

If the White House (isn’t really a racist description) thought that Global Crossing Terry wasn’t going to win they wouldn’t be sending in the DOTUS. To stick it to the Conservatives.

With the establishment gop also working against Ken Cuchey so they can pound the Tea Party afterwards……how can he win?

PappyD61 on October 30, 2013 at 1:36 PM

Libertarians, wake up.

Do you want McAuliffe or a free thinker?

Schadenfreude on October 30, 2013 at 1:38 PM

Cucinelli was way more behind when he ran before.

It’s still possible.

VA, show the world how free you are!!!

Schadenfreude on October 30, 2013 at 1:39 PM

Trump obama, free people.

He hates the middle/lower classes and wants their full destruction, except for sheep in the voting plantation.

Schadenfreude on October 30, 2013 at 1:40 PM

Forecast for Election Day: Cloudy with a 100% chance of voter fraud.
Bruno Strozek on October 30, 2013 at 1:31 PM

This race is no where close enough to be outside the fraud margin. WIN demoncrap.
I don’t like it either but such is the reality. Rs gotta beat the margin of fraud to even have a hope of winning.
Skwor on October 30, 2013 at 1:35 PM

FRAUD? Right next to Washington, DC?
Say it ain’t so, Joe!

Marcola on October 30, 2013 at 1:40 PM

Amazing how libertarian s claim to be for liberty, but in actuality all they care about is sexual perversity and doing drugs.

Disclaimer, I’m talking about the libertarian s that always support candidates on those issues and ignore limited government and the economic reality of social Democrat behavior.

njrob on October 30, 2013 at 1:40 PM

McAuliffe “clinging” to a 4 point lead in Virginia

Heh, Obama will sink his chances for good.

redguy on October 30, 2013 at 1:40 PM

Sarvis was interviewed by our local morning radio guy, and he was AWFUL…he could not defend his position on tolls, he got completely flustered, and the interviewer (Tony Macrini, who IMO is a wonderful interviewer and VERY fair) was not even setting him up with gotcha questions at all…I’m not sure why he is even on the ballot, he may be a book smart guy but he is a big nothing burger…shame that he will probably be a big contributing factor in the slimy McAuliffe possibly winning, although this poll does give me some hope and I hope it convinces people here to GET OUT AND VOTE on Tueeday!

ellifint on October 30, 2013 at 1:43 PM

Heh, Obama will sink his chances for good.

redguy on October 30, 2013 at 1:40 PM

That thought crossed my mind, too, right off the top. Obama has got to be poison at this particular point in time.

NJ Red on October 30, 2013 at 1:44 PM

Libertarians – would you rather get 75% of what you want with Cuccinelli or 90% of the exact opposite of what you want with McAuliffe?

Half the pie is better than no pie.

ramesees on October 30, 2013 at 1:49 PM

I am curious how a guy from NY was that far ahead in the Virginia governors race to begin with.

Amidst all the destruction Democrats are reaping on the country I can’t believe Virginia’s citizens would vote for their own destruction.

This race is going to be about turnout. Don’t stay home- vote and save your state.

Marcus Traianus on October 30, 2013 at 1:50 PM

with Sarvis holding on to his average of a full 9 percentage points for himself

George Will was kind of vague on why he endorsed Sarvis, though “social issues” was given as the reason. But I don’t think it was gay marriage or even abortion per se, but it was that Cuccinelli has just gone overboard with his abortion position of no exceptions for rape .. or incest. McAuliffe has deftly taken advantage of Cuccinelli’s position in this ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZckqiIJdKE&Offended

The people seem to agree with George Will. We are talking about Republicans.. voting for Sarvis, becuase of the no exceptions for rape position, which polls show as much as 80% of the population finds repulsive.

I think the people of VA are willing to take a stand now for Sarvis, as Will wants them to, to send a message to the Republican establishment or Tea Partiers or evangelicals or whoever it is that is responsible for current rash of Republicans taking the extreme Akin position on abortion of no rape exception. Better that we lose now in a relatively minor race, and we get the message: by all means do not nominate any more candidates that hold that extreme rape position, especially for president in 2016. Rand Paul, Perry, Scott Walker, and others, hold that no exception for rape position, and we would be fire roasted if our top candidate had that position. Conceivably our candidate could win with that position, but it would be a huge handicap, and there would be negative coattail repercussions that would impact house and senate races.

I hear a lot people say “I would rather lose than change my position on that rape thing.” Others say that that position has no practical impact on policy. It then is just really completely symbolic, and it’s a symbol that really disgusts people. Think about putting the brakes on this little bit of revolting fringe extremism gone wild.

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 1:51 PM

Please God let it be so! No Virginian should be wasting their vote on the libertarian. Cuccineli was endorsed by Ron Paul for crying out loud. The guy never endorses candidates.

Jack_Burton on October 30, 2013 at 1:52 PM

9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

I’d be surprised to see Sarvis end anywhere near 9%.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 1:54 PM

The many failures of Obamacare that have been revealed over the past few weeks is bound to help Cuccinelli, who was one of the State Attorneys General who brought the lawsuit against the individual mandate. Even though the suit was eventually struck down by Chief inJustice Roberts’ taxalty/penaltax, voters who have received health insurance cancellation letters will realize that Cuccinelli had it right, and might reward him with their votes.

Steve Z on October 30, 2013 at 1:55 PM

Say, isnt Dear Leader going to stump for you? That should be the nail in the coffin.

Philly on October 30, 2013 at 1:56 PM

Oh, my. The RCP average is now just over +9 for McAuliffe, with Sarvis holding on to his average of a full 9 percentage points for himself…

We know that PPP and Pew have no credibility as pollsters, having proven and in the case of Pew admitted their own corruption. RCP unfortunately sometimes includes them in their average pool which dirties the pool.

In this case PPP appears to be floating in the pool.

slickwillie2001 on October 30, 2013 at 1:57 PM

Amidst all the destruction Democrats are reaping on the country I can’t believe Virginia’s citizens would vote for their own destruction.

Marcus Traianus on October 30, 2013 at 1:50 PM

Believe it because they’re not born in Virginia.

Northern Virginia has become a transplant of liberals from the Northeast, Michigan, Chicago, northeast Ohio, etc. because that fat government contracts which require little competence and results, but with great financial returns.

So, like locusts, after ruining their Blue states with their liberal views, they move onto a successful conservative state and ruin that.

sentinelrules on October 30, 2013 at 1:57 PM

Cucinelli was way more behind when he ran before.

It’s still possible.

VA, show the world how free you are!!!

Schadenfreude on October 30, 2013 at 1:39 PM

Of course the difference is that Cuccinelli had McDonnell and Bolling at the top of the ticket. He’s at the head of the ticket this time and it seems like he’s bringing the rest of the ticket down with him.

With that said, I hope this poll this accurate and nothing would make me happier than seeing a Cuccinelli win.

GOPRanknFile on October 30, 2013 at 1:57 PM

The early polls are designed to influence people into supporting the candidate that is destined to win in the eyes of the pollster.

As the vote gets closer, they shift closer to the truth in order to save face for their next set of corrupt polling efforts.

Freddy on October 30, 2013 at 2:00 PM

Bull.

I’m not falling for this. This is all part of the pattern of HA and others showing polls close to the election day that supposedly show a already lost race in play.

This race is not in play. It’s decided already.

Moesart on October 30, 2013 at 2:00 PM

Of course the difference is that Cuccinelli had McDonnell and Bolling at the top of the ticket. He’s at the head of the ticket this time and it seems like he’s bringing the rest of the ticket down with him.

GOPRanknFile on October 30, 2013 at 1:57 PM

McDonnell is bringing it down. And I suspect that Bolling would be further down given his closer relationship with McDonnell.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 2:01 PM

aking the extreme Akin position on abortion of no rape exception

And the McAuliffe position of piercing a baby’s skull as it comes out of the birth canal alive is not extreme?

Ridiculous and stupid!

jmell7 on October 30, 2013 at 2:01 PM

As the vote gets closer, they shift closer to the truth in order to save face for their next set of corrupt polling efforts.

Freddy on October 30, 2013 at 2:00 PM

Polls are definitely used by leftists as “tail wagging the dog” tools.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 2:02 PM

We need more progressives in power. Americans need to feel the pain for a few more years to make sure this progressive love affair is put to bed for generations.

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:02 PM

McAwful is what you get when you combine all of the worst liberal traits in a single person – unable to tell the truth, malevolent, dumb, *and* incompetent.

Most libs are all of that but usually choose between dumb or incompetent, not both.

Wait, let me ponder that a moment…

Midas on October 30, 2013 at 2:03 PM

As the vote gets closer, they shift closer to the truth in order to save face for their next set of corrupt polling efforts.

Freddy on October 30, 2013 at 2:00 PM

They also have to close the gap late so the McA supporters don’t start the celebrations early and forget to actually go to the polls and vote .

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:04 PM

These days I don’t know if I can trust anything coming out of the MSM. Not a thing.

NavyMustang on October 30, 2013 at 2:06 PM

ellifint on October 30, 2013 at 1:43 PM

Hey there fellow Tidewater voter!

Moving along, I got a PPP robocall last week; I wonder where that poll is?

Jeff Weimer on October 30, 2013 at 2:06 PM

“..but considering that Quinnipiac’s two previous polls at the both the start and middle of October were in keeping with this race’s (now erstwhile) running average of a 7 or 8 point advantage to McAuliffe, their newest poll released this morning is definitely significant..”

..relax, O dewy-eyed ingenue, it’s just the bookies shaving the spread so they can amp the handle.

The War Planner on October 30, 2013 at 2:07 PM

But I don’t think it was gay marriage or even abortion per se, but it was that Cuccinelli has just gone overboard with his abortion position of no exceptions for rape .. or incest. McAuliffe has deftly taken advantage of Cuccinelli’s position in this ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZckqiIJdKE&Offended

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 1:51 PM

LOL. Your only evidence to support your absurd assertion is a McAuliffe ad? What a rube. But, I guess I should thank you for providing an illustration of what I said above is true:

What would have happened if the GOP had actually supported his candidacy instead of trying to cut him off at the knees and get McAuliffe elected? But, that’s not the meme they want to push – they want everyone to know that if you knuckle dragging base voters don’t support the big government statist candidate, you will lose.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 2:08 PM

McAwful is what you get when you combine all of the worst liberal traits in a single person – unable to tell the truth, malevolent, dumb, *and* incompetent.

Midas on October 30, 2013 at 2:03 PM

Are we talking about McAuliffe or Obama?

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 2:09 PM

I’m convinced these pollsters do all they can to suppress the R vote early on with inaccurate polls and only start polling accurately days before the election.

jawkneemusic on October 30, 2013 at 2:10 PM

Ron Paul sees what the GOP establishment is doing and that is why he made a rare endorsement.

Wigglesworth on October 30, 2013 at 2:16 PM

POTUS going to VA is a sure sign that McAuliffe is going to win. The WH political operation would never send him in otherwise. They are desperate for any kind of political win for POTUS.

rockmom on October 30, 2013 at 2:17 PM

On TV in the D.C. suburbs (NoVa) it’s all McAuliffe, all the time, which means it’s all abortion, all the time, except in those rare instances when it’s gun control. I see this crap on D.C. stations from Maryland.

Maybe my perspective is skewed, but I can’t believe Cuccinelli can pull it out.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on October 30, 2013 at 2:17 PM

I’m convinced these pollsters do all they can to suppress the R vote early on with inaccurate polls and only start polling accurately days before the election.

jawkneemusic on October 30, 2013 at 2:10 PM

It’s called the bandwagon effect. The low info voters want to support the winner. McAwful is 15 points ahead? They must know something I don’t. He’s my guy. I supported him from the beginning!

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:17 PM

Bull.

I’m not falling for this. This is all part of the pattern of HA and others showing polls close to the election day that supposedly show a already lost race in play.

This race is not in play. It’s decided already.

Moesart on October 30, 2013 at 2:00 PM

As much as I would like for this poll to be true, I agree with you. I think McAuliffe has this one in the bag. We nominated the worst possible candidate for VA.

GOPRanknFile on October 30, 2013 at 2:20 PM

I’m convinced these pollsters do all they can to suppress the R vote early on with inaccurate polls and only start polling accurately days before the election.

jawkneemusic on October 30, 2013 at 2:10 PM

Absolutely, that’s the mission of the corrupt proggie pollsters.

“Cuccinelli doesn’t have a chance, why bother to vote?”

slickwillie2001 on October 30, 2013 at 2:21 PM

I’m convinced these pollsters do all they can to suppress the R vote early on with inaccurate polls and only start polling accurately days before the election.

jawkneemusic on October 30, 2013 at 2:10 PM

Well, PPP certainly does. Look at how much press that ridiculous 17-point poll got. Nobody even questioned it, despite PPP’s known shoddy work and Democrat bias.

rockmom on October 30, 2013 at 2:21 PM

The Obamacare nightmare may just take down McAuliffe…he’d be the first Dem victim…

PatriotRider on October 30, 2013 at 2:24 PM

much like Scott Browns special election victory in massachusetts this race is becoming a referendum on Obama.

gerrym51 on October 30, 2013 at 2:25 PM

I hear a lot people say “I would rather lose than change my position on that rape thing.” Others say that that position has no practical impact on policy. It then is just really completely symbolic, and it’s a symbol that really disgusts people. Think about putting the brakes on this little bit of revolting fringe extremism gone wild.

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 1:51 PM

That’s not what i said. This is what I said:

Cuccinelli’s not “taking a position” (on abortion) – that’s his belief. And he’s not trying to force it on other people through legislation. Are you saying that the Republican party should rule out candidates with that belief? or that the candidates should deny it? That would rule out a hell of a lot of people. And it wouldn’t gain many votes.

I understand your frustration – I live in one of the most socially liberal cities in the country. I know how intolerant social liberals are. But what you’re suggesting is that the Republican party should cater to that intolerance. If that’s the only way to win (and it isn’t) then I would rather lose.

I will add that you’re a bit narcissistic if you think a political party should change it’s policy because it makes you uncomfortable. Do yourself a favor and just vote your beliefs.

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 2:25 PM

bottom line is he’s still behind the lousy Dem. As I understand it the reason McAwful is ahead is the female vote. Cucinelli needs to get out there and talk to the wimmins.

neyney on October 30, 2013 at 2:29 PM

Cuccinelli’s not “taking a position” (on abortion) – that’s his belief.

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 2:25 PM

Here is his political position on abortion (from his webpage):

I believe that all human life is precious, which is why I am a strong supporter of life. As a member of the state Senate, I worked to promote a culture of life in Virginia by working to end the gruesome procedure known as “partial-birth” abortion, advance parental consent, and improve health and safety standards to protect women’s health in abortion facilities across the Commonwealth.

The thing is that limited government conservatives believe in limited government. Small government-types often have personal beliefs and opinions that they don’t want to have the state force on everyone. That is the difference between limited government conservatives and Democrats and statist Republicans, who cannot separate their personal preferences from what they want the government to force upon everyone.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 2:32 PM

Cuccinelli’s not “taking a position” (on abortion) – that’s his belief. And he’s not trying to force it on other people through legislation. Are you saying that the Republican party should rule out candidates with that belief? or that the candidates should deny it? That would rule out a hell of a lot of people. And it wouldn’t gain many votes.

We keep getting caught in the weeds with this abortion crap. The truth is, the Fed govt shouldn’t be establishing laws regulating what is, essentially, a medical procedure. What we need to do is define, legally, the point at which life begins. Any action that results in death after that point is murder. We should squabble over when life begins, not when and how the govt should regulate a medical procedure.

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:32 PM

And the McAuliffe position of piercing a baby’s skull as it comes out of the birth canal alive is not extreme?

Ridiculous and stupid!

jmell7 on October 30, 2013 at 2:01 PM

Despite the plea that the no exceptions for rape and no exceptions for incest position on abortion is going to kill us in election after election … we see the zealous proponents of the no rape position always finding a “rationale” for their position.

The no exceptions abortion position can be directly held responsible for most of these recent senate loses (2010 &’12) in MO (Murdoch), IN (Akin), CO (Buck), NV (Angle [no exceptions position a contributing factor to the loss]), DE (o’donnell [contributing]), Alaska (Joe Miller [R nominee lost to Murkowski as write in candidate!]). We would hold the senate right now if it wasn’t for the no exceptions for incest position derailing at least 5 candidates. Now we are going to go ahead and nominate more senate candidates that hold that position, right? And a presidential candidate like Rand Paul that holds the no exception position? Obamacare is a serious issue, and we need to win these elections, and not instead go down with the ship by taking a futile symbolic Picket’s Charge type stand on rape and incest tied up to abortion that just really makes people shake their heads, as now in VA.

Yeah, people have a ready morally self-righteous rationale for supporting the no rape exception position. But that’s not going to change that 80% of the people don’t agree, usually vehemently. Elections will be lost, but at least we would of held to our superior principle, held the higher ground, but the immoral masses will be shown to be wrong but they, the Dems, will control everything, super majorities, and we’d have Wealth Taxes, open borders amnesty, restrictions on (conservative) free speech, single payer, socialism straight out, and yes, unrestricted abortion not just with exceptions for rape .. or incest. Make a pragmatic exception for rape that’s all. Otherwise we lose.

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 2:38 PM

VA may be a beautiful place, but I gave up on the place as being a statist hellhole when they decided to ban radar detectors.

I wish Cuccinelli luck, he’s fought the good fight on a number of issues as AG, but in a state that’s increasingly just suburban/exurban DC it’d take a hell of a wave.

JEM on October 30, 2013 at 2:38 PM

We should squabble over when life begins, not when and how the govt should regulate a medical procedure.

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:32 PM

The fight is over whether a babies life should be protected in the womb. There’s no question that a fetus is alive.

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 2:46 PM

LP voters are delusional as always. Remember in South Dakota when Thune ran against Tim Johnson the first time, the LP candidate withdrew from the race and endorsed Thune, but enough votes were still cast for him to throw the election the other way.

These people fool themselves into thinking they are “participating in the process” when in fact they would have more impact with a protest on the Capitol steps in Richmond. There are only two candidates with any chance in Hades of being the next Governor and Sarvis isn’t one of them.

It’s particularly frustrating for me as one who lived in Virginia for over 20 years, there are still friends there who insist on voting for Sarvis because they’ve been convinced Cooch is “extreme” (I suspect their LIV wives are pro-abortion). All I can do is remind them it is still a secret ballot and they can claim to have voted for whoever they choose for whatever reason, but can do the right thing behind the curtain.

Adjoran on October 30, 2013 at 2:50 PM

ellifint on October 30, 2013 at 1:43 PM

Hey there fellow Tidewater voter!

Moving along, I got a PPP robocall last week; I wonder where that poll is?

Jeff Weimer on October 30, 2013 at 2:06 PM

~~~~~~~~

I LOVE that you used, ‘Tidewater’, and not the ridiculous, Hampton Roads! Hello to you, too!

What worries me is I have not been inundated with calls and mailers as I was in 2012…I want Cuccinelli to FIGHT!

ellifint on October 30, 2013 at 2:56 PM

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 2:25 PM

I appreciate your considerate and reasoned approach. I hope people will, though, consider adding just a bit of electoral practically to their beliefs. The amount of abortions related to rape I hear are way less than 1%, so it is, it seems, virtually symbolic. And if in the long term the no exceptions position caused more pro-abortion candidates to get elected, then the no exceptions position could actually lead to a lot more abortions taking place. Just something to consider.

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 2:59 PM

(I suspect their LIV wives are pro-abortion). All I can do is remind them it is still a secret ballot and they can claim to have voted for whoever they choose for whatever reason, but can do the right thing behind the curtain.

Adjoran on October 30, 2013 at 2:50 PM

Heh, I suspect this is why democrats are so keen on mail-in and absentee ballots. Does VA have a generous approach to absentee voting?

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 3:02 PM

I appreciate your considerate and reasoned approach. I hope people will, though, consider adding just a bit of electoral practically to their beliefs. The amount of abortions related to rape I hear are way less than 1%, so it is, it seems, virtually symbolic. And if in the long term the no exceptions position caused more pro-abortion candidates to get elected, then the no exceptions position could actually lead to a lot more abortions taking place. Just something to consider.

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 2:59 PM

Thanks. This is the advice I would give candidates: when asked about the issue say “It’s a horrible thing to be the victim of rape or incest. Despite my personal beliefs I would never vote to force a woman to carry a pregnancy to term in that situation.”

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 3:06 PM

I would think that the gigantic parade of fail that is ObamaCare right now, and perhaps the help of surrogates like Rand Paul and Bobby Jindal, is a big help, and his camp’s challenge will be really driving up Republican turnout.

You forgot to add the Dems went full bore gun control the last few weeks in Virginia, including ads from Mr. gun control himself himself…Bloomberg.

Once again Bloomberg is helping the cause of 2nd amendment supporters and thus conservatives as a result. Sometimes I almost think he is some kind of undercover agent for our side, but then I remember what a arrogant doofus he is so it all makes sense.

William Eaton on October 30, 2013 at 3:06 PM

I’m convinced these pollsters do all they can to suppress the R vote early on with inaccurate polls and only start polling accurately days before the election.

jawkneemusic on October 30, 2013 at 2:10 PM

It’s called the bandwagon effect. The low info voters want to support the winner. McAwful is 15 points ahead? They must know something I don’t. He’s my guy. I supported him from the beginning!

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:17 PM

This is what s going on. If you carefully read the polls that you show large margins for McAwful they will tell you that they sampled registered voters, not likely voters. Deep down, when you look at the likely voters, the gap closes to within the margin of error.

It will come down to the wire.

DagoTwit on October 30, 2013 at 3:19 PM

It’s called the bandwagon effect. The low info voters want to support the winner. McAwful is 15 points ahead? They must know something I don’t. He’s my guy. I supported him from the beginning!

tdarrington on October 30, 2013 at 2:17 PM

And democratic voters tend to live in “clusters” more than republican voters do. Inner cities, university towns, trendy hipster neighborhoods, wealthy suburbs etc. That makes it easy for them to generate a bandwagon and a crowd-think effect. That’s the secret of Obama’s get out the vote success.

kcewa on October 30, 2013 at 3:29 PM

I do hope Obambi still has his anti-magic touch so McAuliffe looses.

TerryW on October 30, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Is anyone in Va. trying to get the Sarvis voters to back Cuccinelli? Or have they rejected the offer if it has been made. Sarvis stands no chance. Obvious to all except his supporters. Could keep the Commonwealth modestly red if they would throw in with Cuccinelli.

Bmore on October 30, 2013 at 3:39 PM

Where is the “establishment”? Why are they so eager for a Clinton Crony victory? Do they think that next time we’ll learn to be “moderate” like good little DINOs and vote for their chosen one next time? Do they not understand that if the libs get in this time, they’ll make it next to impossible to ever win again?

Money bomb time for Ken

Iblis on October 30, 2013 at 3:40 PM

Eddie Haskell is so sleazy, and the Clinton’s owe him.

All of this attention to Cuccinelli on abortion doesn’t change that Roe v. Wade is the law and he won’t be able to change that. Of course they like to do the boogeyman and “Women will Die” but it is the plain fact, that pro life has only the power to make abortion safer…yah, really good for our cause.

Fleuries on October 30, 2013 at 3:44 PM

That is the difference between limited government conservatives and Democrats and statist Republicans, who cannot separate their personal preferences from what they want the government to force upon everyone.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 2:32 PM

Last time I checked, small government conservatives believe that one of the indisputably justified jobs of government is to protect its citizens from those who would kill them. Abortion is not about a “personal preference,” it’s about whether the youngest among us ever get to exercise those liberties that libertarians are so fond of. That’s why the Pauls are pro-life, and rightly so.

Athanasius on October 30, 2013 at 3:47 PM

I just got a push poll call for McAuliffe disguised as a survey about my opinion on man made global warming. This is not a joke. The questions were so ridiculous as to be funny. No, not funny hilarious. By the time I finished with the 20 something dumb as a hammer he was actually laughing with me. I found out that Cuccinelli was solely responsible for the last ice age and the extinction of the Mammoths. He is also trying to freeze all the old people to death in nursing homes because of his ties to big energy. The kid asked me if I would support McAuliffe so I could continue to have a voice in global climate change issues. When I stopped laughing you can imagine what my answer was. I’m pretty old and I have never heard a more ridiculous line of questions in my life. It was really amazing. This just a few days from the election.

Oldnuke on October 30, 2013 at 4:15 PM

Last time I checked, small government conservatives believe that one of the indisputably justified jobs of government is to protect its citizens from those who would kill them. Abortion is not about a “personal preference,” it’s about whether the youngest among us ever get to exercise those liberties that libertarians are so fond of. That’s why the Pauls are pro-life, and rightly so.

Athanasius on October 30, 2013 at 3:47 PM

I certainly agree with that and in no way intended to imply otherwise. However, to gain an understanding of Cuccinelli’s policy prescriptions, since he is a small government conservative, one needs to look at his actual policy positions, not his personal preferences.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 4:30 PM

Yeah, people have a ready morally self-righteous rationale for supporting the no rape exception position.

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 2:38 PM

Give me one example with supporting evidence of someone who has run on a platform of outlawing rape, without exception. Somehow, I think you’re lying.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 4:39 PM

doh. Let me fix that:

Give me one example with supporting evidence of someone who has run on a platform of outlawing rape abortion, without exception. Somehow, I think you’re lying.

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 4:39 PM

besser tot als rot on October 30, 2013 at 4:40 PM

Never mind. Pathetic.

Bmore on October 30, 2013 at 4:43 PM

So Va will be blue. Enjoy it to all that will have it so. You folks will never get it.

Bmore on October 30, 2013 at 4:50 PM

never underestimate the ability of the Democrats to stuff the ballot box

RonK on October 30, 2013 at 4:56 PM

McAwful was both a Bag Man and Butt Boy for William Jefferson Bly Clinton.
I suppose everyone KNOWS what a Bag Man is.
The Libertarians need to go find out what Butt Boy means.

Bill Clinton’s BUTT BOY!

Pittyful Virginia … elect Terry and get the noble Klinton’s for another decade.
I suggest that ya’ll have the POWER to END THIS NOW. So do it!

Missilengr on October 30, 2013 at 5:06 PM

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 2:38 PM

You really crushed that strawman. Right out of the oark. Just like Barry Bonds. You wouldn’t happen to be on somerhing, would ya?

Your concern troll act is getting old.

njrob on October 30, 2013 at 6:45 PM

Cuccinelli is playing to the base right now. Gee, imagine that.

SouthernGent on October 30, 2013 at 7:52 PM

anotherJoe on October 30, 2013 at 2:38 PM

Your concern troll act is getting old.

njrob on October 30, 2013 at 6:45 PM

Seriously.

S. D. on October 30, 2013 at 8:26 PM

Here in NOVA the TV TM ads are running 15 to 1 over Cooch. He is not getting the message out to the LIV’s. Looks like we are Maryland after this.

faol on October 31, 2013 at 8:59 AM