Virginia: Three new post-shutdown polls show McAuliffe in the lead

posted at 3:21 pm on October 8, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

The first round of Virginia gubernatorial polls conducted since the start of the government shutdown (remember: NoVa. Bureaucrats and contractors. SO many bureaucrats and contractors.) are out; I definitely wouldn’t go so far as to say that Cuccinelli “doomed,” but with both camps running ads disparaging the shutdown and trying to link to other guy to the ‘DC dysfunction,’ it doesn’t look like the situation has improved Cuccinelli’s fortunes. The first poll, via Politico, has McAuliffe at 54 percent and Cuccinelli at 44 percent in a one-to-one contest:

McAuliffe, the former national Democratic Party chairman, is now 9 points ahead of Cuccinelli, the current state attorney general, in a race that also includes Libertarian nominee Robert Sarvis. In the survey, McAuliffe drew support from 44 percent of Virginians versus 35 percent for Cuccinelli and 12 percent for Sarvis. …

The POLITICO poll, conducted by Democratic firm Public Policy Polling and Republican firm Harper Polling using automated survey methodology, is the first snapshot of the Virginia race to take into account the impact of the closure of the federal government. The survey tested 1,150 likely voters Oct. 5- 6 with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. …

Of the Virginia voters who oppose the shutdown, nearly two-thirds — 64 percent — support McAuliffe while 16 percent support Cuccinelli, and 12 percent back Sarvis. Shutdown supporters prefer Cuccinelli over McAuliffe, 73 percent to 10 percent with 11 percent for Sarvis.

And with a full 62 percent of respondents opposing the shutdown, that’s advantage, McAuliffe.

This is the Christopher Newport University poll also released today, with more evidence of that oh-so-lovely gender gap McAuliffe has going in his favor:

Businessman McAuliffe tops Attorney General Cuccinelli 47 percent to 38 percent and Libertarian Robert Sarvis notched 8 percent support, though his seems softer. Seven percent remain undecided. …

Among registered voters, McAuliffe’s advantage dips to 5 points, 43 to 38 percent. …

Gaps in support among women and independents — McAuliffe’s lead is 12 points and 16 points respectively among those voters — are key factors in his overall advantage in the poll from Christopher Newport University’s Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy. …

Regionally, McAuliffe looks strong in two-thirds of Virginia’s so-called urban crescent, widely leading in vote-rich Northern Virginia and by a smaller edge in the Richmond area.

But Cuccinelli is solidly up in Hampton Roads, and the two men are virtually even in the traditional Republican strongholds of Southside and Southwest Virginia.

If the candidates are really polling about the same in southwestern Virginia, then that definitely explains Cuccinelli going all-in to hammer McAuliffe on his only recently-decided support for the Obama administration’s anti-coal regulations, but as I suggested yesterday, supporting Obama’s grandiose climate-change plans won’t hurt McAuliffe in his own purplish-blueish urban strongholds. Back to Politico:

The poll … found that 45 percent of likely voters support new EPA climate regulations for coal-fired power plants, an issue that has become a flashpoint in the Virginia governor’s race. Thirty-three percent of likely voters say they oppose the regulations and 22 percent aren’t sure. …

More independents support the rule than oppose it, with 44 percent backing it and 36 percent against it. …

The results appear to validate Democrat Terry McAuliffe’s decision, after days of hesitation, to come out in favor of the proposed EPA regulation, even though it could hit southwest Virginia’s coal country. The polling results were not broken down by region so it’s unclear how unpopular the regulation is in the southwest.

I saved the best of today’s news for last, from the new poll from Roanoke College:

Democrat Terry McAuliffe has opened a six-point lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli (40%-34%), while 16 percent of likely voters in Virginia remain undecided in the 2013 gubernatorial election, according to The Roanoke College Poll. Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis was supported by 9 percent of respondents.* …

Both candidates remain “underwater” in terms of favorable/unfavorable ratings (Cuccinelli-31% favorable, 46% unfavorable; McAuliffe-32% favorable, 36% unfavorable). While the percentage of respondents who said they did not know enough about the candidates to have an opinion about them is less than half of what it was in the July Roanoke College Poll and has declined several points since September, most of that shift for each candidate continues to go to the unfavorable category. Just over two-thirds of likely voters (68%) said they know some or a great deal about Cuccinelli’s qualifications to be governor, while fewer (59%) said the same about McAuliffe.

That’s still a solid chunk of independents, and turnout (Virginia traditionally has a slight Republican lean in off-year elections, although I would by no means rely on that this time around), as well as to what degree the libertarian-leaning respondents either don’t show up or end up voting for a mainstream candidate, will definitely have an effect on the race — but the time to turn things around is running out, with exactly one month to go.


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I keep getting DNC paid for propaganda in my mailbox. Haven’t seen or heard a single thing from the GOP.

ButterflyDragon on October 8, 2013 at 3:25 PM

Buyers remorse settles in by May.

Eph on October 8, 2013 at 3:27 PM

They’ll get the governor they deserve.

Rational Thought on October 8, 2013 at 3:27 PM

Virginia is lost as a Republican state… It has been lost for a while…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:29 PM

Not good for the GOP…VA is supposed to be Republican…I guess N VA is all loon town living off taxpayers…in their cushiony government jobs…

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:29 PM

Buyers remorse settles in by May.

Eph on October 8, 2013 at 3:27 PM

Not it will not… socialists and parasites are very faithful voters…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Not good for the GOP…VA is supposed to be Republican…I guess N VA is all loon town living off taxpayers…in their cushiony government jobs…

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:29 PM

It has not been a Republican state for a long time…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:31 PM

Jeez. When did the Old Dominion become Massachusetts? Is this caused by all the blue-staters on the federal teat swarming into NoVa like locusts?

Travis Bickle on October 8, 2013 at 3:32 PM

Not good for the GOP…VA is supposed to be Republican…I guess N VA is all loon town living off taxpayers…in their cushiony government jobs…

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:29 PM

It has not been a Republican state for a long time…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:31 PM

VA didn’t vote for Clinton. they turned blue when Obama ran in 08…and now it’s worse

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:33 PM

Urban VA is basically a suburb of DC and votes Bureaucratic.

JEM on October 8, 2013 at 3:35 PM

If they elect McAuliffe, then they deserve him.

BigGator5 on October 8, 2013 at 3:35 PM

Time to split VA up (again).

nobar on October 8, 2013 at 3:35 PM

It may be McAuliffe is leading but I am highly cynical of polls coming from universities, the one in Roanoke included. None are known as bastions of conservatism.

iamsaved on October 8, 2013 at 3:36 PM

Oddly, the Libertarian is helping another liberal win a major political seat. Weird, because that never happens.

Did I say never? I meant every single time.

cpaulus on October 8, 2013 at 3:36 PM

If Virginia wants to elect a Clintonian Corruptocrat, it deserves whatever it gets.

Resist We Much on October 8, 2013 at 3:37 PM

Liberal and uninformed woman are lemmings. Just wave some birth control in their face and accuse your opponent of wanting to an it, and they fall in line.

jawkneemusic on October 8, 2013 at 3:37 PM

The GOP needs to drop the SoCon nonsense, we’re getting killed with female voters.

BradTank on October 8, 2013 at 3:38 PM

VA didn’t vote for Clinton. they turned blue when Obama ran in 08…and now it’s worse

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:33 PM

It started to turn liberal in 2006… Virginia may represent the fastest shift of political affiliation in modern politics…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:39 PM

VA didn’t vote for Clinton. they turned blue when Obama ran in 08…and now it’s worse

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:33 PM

It started to turn liberal in 2006… Virginia may represent the fastest shift of political affiliation in modern politics…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:39 PM

Well, we are doomed then

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:40 PM

Oh hell we don’t need amy more business in Texas – we are getting full…..

redguy on October 8, 2013 at 3:41 PM

First why report on a 9 or 10 point spread when it is 5 amongst registered voters? The likely voter spread is 4. Then there are true anomaly’s such as SW VA being tied. If true it is over. However in the past 3 national elections it has voted 6 to 1 Republican. One last thing. EW Jackson the very outspoken black Pastor Republican who was supposed to bring the ticket down…is polling better then Cuccinelli.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 3:41 PM

The GOP needs to drop the SoCon nonsense, we’re getting killed with female voters.

BradTank on October 8, 2013 at 3:38 PM

Dropping social conservatives will cost you support from folks like me, and gain you nothing. Remember, the way McAuliffe originally broke being in a deadlock with Cuccinelli was not through ads on abortion (although he’s running those now), but accusing Cuccinelli of wanting to cut entitlements.

Stoic Patriot on October 8, 2013 at 3:42 PM

The GOP needs to drop the SoCon nonsense, we’re getting killed with female voters.

BradTank on October 8, 2013 at 3:38 PM

Single women, in particular under the age of 40, are also voting for Big Government sugar daddy… The Republicans cannot drop social conservatism because they will lose far more voters from their base than they will gain among single women…

Republicans should focus on getting two third of whites voting for them rather than just 55-60% of whites…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:42 PM

McDonald bare any responsibility?

I’m not surprised if the DC suburb carries this. You’re asking for those people to vote for a guy whose been aligned with the Tea Party on certain fronts, which adds risk to their “property investments” in overpriced housing.

Look at the EPA issue. How many people connected to, or are believers in, the EPA live in Virgina as a DC suburb?

Apparently just as many who make a living off of coal.

budfox on October 8, 2013 at 3:44 PM

Well, we are doomed then

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 3:40 PM

There is nothing permanent in politics… We may be doomed for now and for few other election cycles in Virginia but not necessarily on national level…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:45 PM

McDonald bare any responsibility?

budfox on October 8, 2013 at 3:44 PM

Cuccinelli is struggling here for several reasons, including:

1.) Governor McDonnell’s corruption scandals
2.) Money disadvantage
3.) Running a lackluster campaign
4.) The government shutdown

Stoic Patriot on October 8, 2013 at 3:47 PM

The GOP needs to drop the SoCon nonsense, we’re getting killed with female voters.

BradTank on October 8, 2013 at 3:38 PM

We droped that “nonsense” in 2012 and guess what? Democrats just made sh#t up. Remember “binders full of women”? They actually campaigned on the fact that Willard wanted more women for his cabinet, as a friggin negative.

Stay true to your position and max out the support you get for that position. Otherwise your traditional supporters will stay away, other voters will be sceptical of your sincerity, because your opponent will hammer you for the position that you are publicly identified with and you’ll end up in a political no-mans-land.

Valkyriepundit on October 8, 2013 at 3:49 PM

I had the feeling the shutdown would guarentee McAuliffe winning. I just hope there enough pro-Second Amendment Democrats in the House of Delegates to keep my gun rights intact.

There is a lesson here for the Kamikaze brigade execpt it’s to late to learn. It was a suicidal strategy to link the budget to killing off Obamacare. The votes just weren’t there. So instead of limiting the amendments to something like the repeal of the device tax and putting at least Congress and their staffers back on the program you guys went for mission impossible. This is what is going to happen next November. You idiots will put Pelosi back in the Speaker’s chair in 2015. I hope you are happy with your one party socialist state.

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 3:49 PM

Color me unsurprised. I love all the polls that show McAwful leading. Polls are typically taken by Leftist organizations and are skewed accordingly. Two lefty newsrags here in eastern Virginia, the Virginian Pilot in Virginia Beach, and the Daily News in Hampton/Newport News are in the tank for anything with a “D” after it’s name. (Not for nothing are they referred to the Virginian Pravda and the Daily Worker.) As a Virginia voter, no one has called me yet to ask for whom I’m voting. As Ronald Reagan used to say, the only poll that matters is the one taken on the first Tuesday of November.

(Somewhat OT. Years ago, as part of my undergraduate work, I was required to generate a survey and analyze the polling data. My prof didn’t tell us at the outset, but one of the things she wanted to demonstrate to us was how easily polls can be manipulated. Lesson learned.)

oldleprechaun on October 8, 2013 at 3:50 PM

Oh hell we don’t need amy more business in Texas – we are getting full…..

redguy on October 8, 2013 at 3:41 PM

If I decide to move my family there, will you sponsor us?

oldleprechaun on October 8, 2013 at 3:51 PM

Just out of curiousity … who CARES about the Virginia governor’s race?

The growth of the “Washingtonians” in Northern Virginia sucking down Kneepad Media coverage has made this a foregone conclusion.

Yet every day, HA has to revisit the train wreck.

PolAgnostic on October 8, 2013 at 3:53 PM

The GOP needs to drop the SoCon nonsense, we’re getting killed with female voters.

BradTank on October 8, 2013 at 3:38 PM

It’s not a direct correlation. Yeah, you have the prog girlz who are voting for infanticide, but you also have a massive contingent who are Federal and SCM employees.

You’re not going to get a single woman, with or without child, to vote for a guy who believes in smaller government.

It can be bureaucratic, postal, military, education, etc…

Social issues are the excuses because it’s near impossible to get public sector workers to admit they vote Dem to protect their jobs.

So unless they’re coming from a two-income household where one person is in the private sector, forget it.

And that’s the real demo change. Women who planned on getting married at some point, but were diverted by career, and are now single and childless.

They do not have to be wards of the state financially to make them worry about losing the “social safety net”.

And that’s the real social science trick the GOP just cannot pull off; how do you show these people the direction we’re heading is going to obliterate the net, and not have it shrugged off as fear-mongering?

Like 0Care, they can’t do it until it becomes reality.

budfox on October 8, 2013 at 3:53 PM

Vote your guns and energy jobs away Virginia. Northern Virginia demands it.

You stupid fools.

Daemonocracy on October 8, 2013 at 3:54 PM

It may be McAuliffe is leading but I am highly cynical of polls coming from universities, the one in Roanoke included. None are known as bastions of conservatism.

iamsaved on October 8, 2013 at 3:36 PM

Oh, the polls are lying again. Just like in 2012. Got it.

Mr. Arkadin on October 8, 2013 at 3:54 PM

The GOP needs to drop the SoCon nonsense, we’re getting killed with female voters.

BradTank on October 8, 2013 at 3:38 PM

What’s killing the GOP in Virginia is McDonnell fatigue. Also make note of Stoic Patriot’s comment above.

We droped that “nonsense” in 2012 and guess what? Democrats just made sh#t up. Remember “binders full of women”? They actually campaigned on the fact that Willard wanted more women for his cabinet, as a friggin negative.

Valkyriepundit on October 8, 2013 at 3:49 PM

They will never admit this. Akin is the excuse for 2012. If Akin hadn’t existed, it would have been Santorum’s fault.

Doomberg on October 8, 2013 at 3:55 PM

Oddly, the Libertarian is helping another liberal win a major political seat. Weird, because that never happens.
Did I say never? I meant every single time.
cpaulus on October 8, 2013 at 3:36 PM

Republicans openly admit that they don’t like libertarians nor do they agree with them. So how is it the fault of libertarians when Republicans lose?

antifederalist on October 8, 2013 at 3:55 PM

Virginia needs to be in every ad in every other red state warning about who moves into their states. This is a culture war, and the carpetbaggers are winning.

Daemonocracy on October 8, 2013 at 3:56 PM

Goodbye Virginia. Enjoy being the new Maryland. In a few years when liberals permanently ruin the state, they will go in droves to states further south. Up next North and South Carolina.

tom2789 on October 8, 2013 at 3:56 PM

I had the feeling the shutdown would guarentee McAuliffe winning. I just hope there enough pro-Second Amendment Democrats in the House of Delegates to keep my gun rights intact.

There is a lesson here for the Kamikaze brigade execpt it’s to late to learn. It was a suicidal strategy to link the budget to killing off Obamacare. The votes just weren’t there. So instead of limiting the amendments to something like the repeal of the device tax and putting at least Congress and their staffers back on the program you guys went for mission impossible. This is what is going to happen next November. You idiots will put Pelosi back in the Speaker’s chair in 2015. I hope you are happy with your one party socialist state.

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 3:49 PM

It is too early for the November 2014 elections… This shutdown to my surprise is not having the negative effect that I expected on the people or on the Republican party… In fact the voters almost equally blame both parties for the shutdown but people seem not to care too much about it unless they are government workers and the vast majority of government workers do not vote Republican anyway…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:57 PM

But, but, but, Ted Cruz keeps telling me that every time we nominate a Real Conservative ™ we win. Well, we nominated a real conservative for governor and lieutenant governor so we a guaranteed to win! No more squishes who will only lose us states like VA!

FranklinBluth on October 8, 2013 at 3:59 PM

Can someone answer me this. I hear many moderate Republicans are going to vote for McAuliffe. Really? Seriously, how can anyone call themselves a Republican and vote for Terry McAuliffe. Maybe someone on here has a good answer. But it just seems to me that every-time a moderate like Bill Bolling loses a primary they tuck tail and stab the conservative nominee in the back.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 4:00 PM

Do I have to remind you again? Since the Civil War, Virginia governorship has been:

29 Democrat
8 Republican

Got it?

Bat Chain Puller on October 8, 2013 at 4:01 PM

Clearly Die Valkyrie has fallen for McAuliffe’s big lies. First of all Cuccinelli has not campaigned on social issues. McAuliffe grossly misrepresented three bills the Cuccinelli sponsored to such extent that they can be considered out-and-out lies.

(1). Cuccinelli did not sponsor a bill to outlaw abortion. He isn’t stupid. He knows it can’t be done. What he did do is sponsor a bill to force abortion clinics to meet a set of reasonable health and safety standards that had they been in place in Pennsylvania would have closed down Kermit Gosnell. Since McAuliffe opposes those restrictions he supports Kermit Gosnell. You can’t prevent sociopaths from setting up an abortion mill unless you have regulations to prevent it.

(2) McAuliffe claimed that Cuccinelli’s bill to prohibit no fault divorce when minor children were involved as “getting the government into people’s lives.” What happened to “do it for the Children?”

(3) McAuliffe’s ad claiming that Cuccinelli introduced a bill to “outlaw birth control pills” was an out and out lie. He introduced a bill to make it a crime to kill or harm an unborn child where criminal negligence is involved or if it happens as result of criminal act.
You have apparently fallen for the big lie so what does say about you?

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 4:01 PM

Democratic policies burned Richmond to the ground once. They can burn it to the ground again.

DarthBrooks on October 8, 2013 at 4:02 PM

Do I have to remind you again? Since the Civil War, Virginia governorship has been:

29 Democrat
8 Republican

Got it?

Bat Chain Puller on October 8, 2013 at 4:01 PM

Good point about the Virginia governors… From the end of the civil war till the last 1970′s most of the South was reliably democrat and then everything changed with Reagan… However Virginia has been a reliable Republican state, at least in Presidential elections from 1950′s to 2004… But it is very clear that Virginia has shifted very badly to the left since 2006 and elected 3 democrat senators during this period…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 4:05 PM

Just out of curiousity … who CARES about the Virginia governor’s race?

The growth of the “Washingtonians” in Northern Virginia sucking down Kneepad Media coverage has made this a foregone conclusion.

Yet every day, HA has to revisit the train wreck.

PolAgnostic on October 8, 2013 at 3:53 PM

Yeah, I gotta quit reading these posts.

22044 on October 8, 2013 at 4:06 PM

MMjg:

A majority of government workers who live in NOVA work for DoD. They aren’t automatic Democrats. A majority of them are Repbulicans. Northern Virginia has had huge growth in non governmental employment (and not talking about one step removed companies like SAIC or Booze-Allen) You are just looking for exuses for the suicidal strategy that some very naive junior members of the Republican caucus forced upon the leadership.

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 4:07 PM

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 3:49 PM

VA tends to trend red in off years when most D’s/LIV’s don’t even realize we still hold elections. The shutdown has certainly switched a lot of disengaged unlikely voters into engaged furloughed likely voters.

I live in VA and feel your frustrations, but the writing is on the wall with this state, if you haven’t noticed. All the liberal refugees from DC and MD moving to Northern VA for lower taxes cost of living don’t ever make the connection and still vote Democrat. Liberals are morons, what can you say?

Goodbye Virginia. Enjoy being the new Maryland. In a few years when liberals permanently ruin the state, they will go in droves to states further south. Up next North and South Carolina.

tom2789 on October 8, 2013 at 3:56 PM

Yup. Looks like I didn’t move far enough south the first time around.

crrr6 on October 8, 2013 at 4:09 PM

There too many people dependent on their taxpayer funded pay checks for a Republican to get elected any more in Virginia.

cajunpatriot on October 8, 2013 at 4:09 PM

The Republican establishment want to lose this race. Also remember that Mcdonnell out performed his poll numbers by over 4 points in 2009. Also, the election will likely be over 3 weeks after the shut down is over.

If the Republican loses it will be Bill Bolling, Bob Mcdonnell, and the RNC’s fault as much as Ken Cuccinelli’s fault.

KMav on October 8, 2013 at 4:11 PM

Can someone answer me this. I hear many moderate Republicans are going to vote for McAuliffe. Really? Seriously, how can anyone call themselves a Republican and vote for Terry McAuliffe. Maybe someone on here has a good answer. But it just seems to me that every-time a moderate like Bill Bolling loses a primary they tuck tail and stab the conservative nominee in the back.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 4:00 PM

The biggest success of the democrats since 2006 has been their ability to get a lot of white “moderate” Republicans to vote for them… White “moderate” Republicans = socially liberal (abortion, gay marriage, etc…) but fiscally conservative… Since the white “moderate” Republicans are well to do and their taxes have not increased massively under the democrats a good number of them are voting for democrats but no a majority of them… However since the democrats are socialists who have to keep expanding the welfare state and since increasing taxes on people making over $ 400,000 a year will not be enough to maintain their welfare state which the majority of their voters depend on then they have to eventually call for tax increase on those who are making less than $ 400,000 a year and that is when they will lose the white “moderate” Republicans who are currently voting for them…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 4:13 PM

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 4:07 PM

This state helped elect and reelect the most hyper-liberal president in history against 2 moderate Republicans. I don’t doubt that the shutdown put this more out of reach, but Cuccinelli wasn’t even leading in any polls before the shutdown anyway. IIRC, we had one or 2 where he was in the MoE. Blaming the Tea Party for what appears to be a gubernatorial loss seems to be like blaming the incorrectly shuffled Titanic deck chairs for why the ship went down.

crrr6 on October 8, 2013 at 4:14 PM

But, but, but, Ted Cruz keeps telling me that every time we nominate a Real Conservative ™ we win. Well, we nominated a real conservative for governor and lieutenant governor so we a guaranteed to win! No more squishes who will only lose us states like VA!

FranklinBluth on October 8, 2013 at 3:59 PM

It’s math.

Since 2009 VA has almost doubled registered (D)’s. Absolutely no Republican candidate will every win statewide in VA ever again.

It has nothing to do with positions of the the candidate. Just simple math.

tetriskid on October 8, 2013 at 4:17 PM

Admittedly, very unscientific, but…

Cuccinelli has 96K more Facebook fans than McAuliffe.

22044 on October 8, 2013 at 4:18 PM

A majority of government workers who live in NOVA work for DoD. They aren’t automatic Democrats. A majority of them are Repbulicans. Northern Virginia has had huge growth in non governmental employment (and not talking about one step removed companies like SAIC or Booze-Allen) You are just looking for exuses for the suicidal strategy that some very naive junior members of the Republican caucus forced upon the leadership.

jerryofva on October 8, 2013 at 4:07 PM

I doubt your numbers. NOVA has been voting democrat for many years and before any shutdown or debt ceiling… Also 90% of the DOD employees are back to work… The shutdown is effecting 17% of the total federal workers…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 4:18 PM

How sad that one major state that so provided leaders in our founding and the revolution has turned its back on freedom for a secular messiah to replace the king.

Why did we bother to do all this fighting for freedom, only to have the free lunch, lust, deviancy, abortion, and the “aren’t we special” crowds throw it away?

Don L on October 8, 2013 at 4:22 PM

Makes zero sense to me that Mcweasel will win VA.

Jack_Burton on October 8, 2013 at 4:23 PM

Republicans openly admit that they don’t like libertarians nor do they agree with them. So how is it the fault of libertarians when Republicans lose?

antifederalist on October 8, 2013 at 3:55 PM

Exactly.

Panther on October 8, 2013 at 4:27 PM

Clearly BS polls. All three on the ticket don’t seem to be in panic mode at all so their internals must be OK. It’s the Dems coming out with their polls every day that seem to be overly concerned. They have to keep propping up their thugs.

BetseyRoss on October 8, 2013 at 4:32 PM

Outside of the fact that the parasitic libs left the liberal nests they crapped in and moved to Virginia to drink at the government trough, one sided cheer leading by liberal rags like the Washington Post, the questionable vote counts in liberal areas like Northern Va, Richmond, and the Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads area, and massive amounts of outside money coming here from around the country for McAuliffe, it’s little wonder Cucinelli is behind. Think Illinois in the not too distant future where a small number of highly concentrated takers in the population centers run rough shod over the less populated areas that are conservative.If one wanted a RINO, Bolling should have been the nominee. If the so-called Tea Party supporters want strong conservative values in their candidates than Cucinelli is the better candidate. No, he’s not a Todd Aiken.

iamsaved on October 8, 2013 at 4:37 PM

I don’t like polls, but for the past week or so every poll has had it at the 4 to 5 point margin. So it is probably that…but no one should panic. Determining turnout for a poll in an off-off year election is like polling Alaska. It is notoriously bad. And some of these just don’t make a lot of sense. There is absolutely no way it is tied in SW VA. So that at least is wrong.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 4:41 PM

I don’t like polls, but for the past week or so every poll has had it at the 4 to 5 point margin. So it is probably that…but no one should panic. Determining turnout for a poll in an off-off year election is like polling Alaska. It is notoriously bad. And some of these just don’t make a lot of sense. There is absolutely no way it is tied in SW VA. So that at least is wrong.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 4:41 PM

I once lived in SW VA…it’s not what some people think. Lot of ‘hippies’ moved there around 10 – 12 years ago…look at Asheville NC..that is more like SW VA now. Little San Fran….mountains..back to nature cult…lot of liberals there now…..

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 5:04 PM

I’m a (furloughed) federal employee who’s a native of the bluest part of the state (Northern Virginia). I’ve voted conservative/Republican every election since I started voting. I’ll vote for Ken on election day, but it’s discouraging to know it won’t do any good. Reminds me of the despair I felt last November when I realized every person around me in the line that snaked out the door was…not voting for Romney.

mrsknightley on October 8, 2013 at 5:06 PM

It has not been a Republican state for a long time…

mnjg on October 8, 2013 at 3:31 PM

And it’s always been statist, relying on kleptocratic spoils based governance.

besser tot als rot on October 8, 2013 at 5:17 PM

I’m a (furloughed) federal employee who’s a native of the bluest part of the state (Northern Virginia). I’ve voted conservative/Republican every election since I started voting. I’ll vote for Ken on election day, but it’s discouraging to know it won’t do any good. Reminds me of the despair I felt last November when I realized every person around me in the line that snaked out the door was…not voting for Romney.

mrsknightley on October 8, 2013 at 5:06 PM

Well, if you were voting against Jim Moran, I may have been in that line with you at some point in the past. And, I think that line was much better than when I was in line to vote against Henry Waxman.

besser tot als rot on October 8, 2013 at 5:21 PM

Republicans openly admit that they don’t like libertarians nor do they agree with them. So how is it the fault of libertarians when Republicans lose?

antifederalist on October 8, 2013 at 3:55 PM

Exactly.

Panther on October 8, 2013 at 4:27 PM

Stop the crazy talk. Next, you’re going to tell us that it’s the job of the candidate to put forward a thoughtful platform that he can use to win voters. No. No. That’s nuts. In reality, the GOP owns our votes. And if we don’t give them our votes, we are essentially stealing. And should be thrown in prison like the criminal scum that we are.

besser tot als rot on October 8, 2013 at 5:24 PM

Can someone answer me this. I hear many moderate Republicans are going to vote for McAuliffe. Really? Seriously, how can anyone call themselves a Republican and vote for Terry McAuliffe. Maybe someone on here has a good answer. But it just seems to me that every-time a moderate like Bill Bolling loses a primary they tuck tail and stab the conservative nominee in the back.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 4:00 PM

It is simple. The Republicans own the conservative’s votes. But, the moderates, being our overlords, can do as they please. You see, they are part of the autonomous aristocracy, whereas conservatives are slaves fully owned by the Republican party. Got it?

besser tot als rot on October 8, 2013 at 5:28 PM

Anyone who pays any attention to a PPP poll is an idiot.

I really wish some Republicans would put together their own BS polling firm like PPP. Republican pollsters are far too competent and ethical. PPP cooks polls like meth to get whatever result will help the Democrats drive the narrative that they are winning.

These are still not great numbers for Macker.

rockmom on October 8, 2013 at 5:31 PM

What’s killing the GOP in Virginia is McDonnell fatigue. Also make note of Stoic Patriot’s comment above.

Doomberg on October 8, 2013 at 3:55 PM

McDonnell and most VA GOP politicians are awful, and their damage is twofold. (1) Their self-dealing scandals tarnish all GOP pols (the Democrats are also self-dealing statists, but the press only cares when it involves Republicans). (2) The VA GOP fears non-statist pols because if the statist lose their hold on the party, they will lose out on the spoils system that is their primary concern.

As for what Stoic Patriot said: probably something fascist. About how he loves government control and surveillance over everything we say and do, amiright? Because the government is benign and totally trustworthy in all instances.

besser tot als rot on October 8, 2013 at 5:35 PM

Can someone answer me this. I hear many moderate Republicans are going to vote for McAuliffe. Really? Seriously, how can anyone call themselves a Republican and vote for Terry McAuliffe. Maybe someone on here has a good answer. But it just seems to me that every-time a moderate like Bill Bolling loses a primary they tuck tail and stab the conservative nominee in the back.

jmell7 on October 8, 2013 at 4:00 PM

I used to live in northern VA, and most of my friends were what I would call moderate Republicans. Virginia elections are always about who can stake out the center and paint their opponent as the extremist. Democrats alomost never put forward a real liberal because the state is decidedly not liberal, and when they have (Don Beyer and Mary Sue Terry come to mind – Creigh Deeds was just an idiot, though he did get a little bit of the Daily Kos stink on him.)

Republicans also lose when they put forward too-conservative candidates. They always seem to do this at the same time Democrats pick a moderate businessman like Mark Warner or Terry McAuliffe. Tim Kaine was pretty liberal but he got a way too conservative opponent in Mark Earley and beat him. Republicans win when they pick moderate candidates who focus on non-social issues like jobs and crime.

There is no party registration in Virginia. People can pick which party’s primary to vote in. This usually leads to moderate nominees for both parties. This is why the conservative activists engineered a convention this year instead of a primary. Bill Bolling would certainly have won a primary, and probably be running away with this race. My friends all wanted him to be the GOP nominee. Some of them may still vote for Cuccinelli, but I’m sure some will not.

rockmom on October 8, 2013 at 5:40 PM

The way these liberal single woman swallow this ‘war on women’ crap and blindly pull the ‘D’ lever so long as you toss a condom their way, makes one rethink the whole suffrage issue… At least for liberal single women.

Just makes you want to grab some pliers and start yanking all those hooks from their mouths while screaming, “Have you even looked at the job numbers for women over the past five years?”

CaptFlood on October 8, 2013 at 5:40 PM

Cuccinelli is running a horrible campaign and pretty much alienated the establishment which plays kingmaker.

Punchenko on October 8, 2013 at 5:52 PM

Get ready……TERRY MCAULIFFE / WENDY DAVIS 2016.

Two “Progressive” Governors that ran gop killer campaigns with the media on their side.

Why not take it to the White House?

PappyD61 on October 8, 2013 at 6:03 PM

The gop sucks.

PappyD61 on October 8, 2013 at 6:03 PM

Bill Bolling would certainly have won a primary, and probably be running away with this race. My friends all wanted him to be the GOP nominee. Some of them may still vote for Cuccinelli, but I’m sure some will not.

rockmom on October 8, 2013 at 5:40 PM

Yes, Bolling would have won it.

Bolling is a boring, bland businessman with a very, very Virginian last name and who had the backing of our entrenched establishment that is fiscally conservative and socially moderate.

Punchenko on October 8, 2013 at 6:05 PM

Bill Bolling would certainly have won a primary, and probably be running away with this race.

rockmom on October 8, 2013 at 5:40 PM

Yes, Bolling would have won it.

Punchenko on October 8, 2013 at 6:05 PM

Good to know you both have crystal balls. Can you give me some stock tips?

besser tot als rot on October 8, 2013 at 6:14 PM

Virginia is not purple. The election of Tim Kaine proved that. It has been blue for years, with pockets of red.

ladyingray on October 8, 2013 at 6:43 PM

Virginia is facing the same problem as Ohio did with Bob Taft. Taft had a corrupt administration and left a seriously damaged GOP brand for Ken Blackwell. Strickland, also a Clintonian crap weasel, then ran the state into the ground. Kasich won as a result, but Ohio may never recover from Strickland’s fecklessness just as the US will not recover from Obama’s.

Quartermaster on October 8, 2013 at 7:05 PM

Cuccinelli is struggling here for several reasons, including:

1.) Governor McDonnell’s corruption scandals
2.) Money disadvantage
3.) Running a lackluster campaign
4.) The government shutdown

Stoic Patriot on October 8, 2013 at 3:47 PM

This is something that does matter. It really does. A candidate who is already at a disadvantage to the other guy due to money must overcome with charisma and intelligence. The McDonnell corruption issue is no big deal because McAuliffe is a crook himself and even many independents and even Dems acknowledge that.

Chris Christie is not winning NJ just because he is a sell out RINO, he is winning because to his credit (give the devil his due) he has a magnetic personality and is intelligent. Same with Reagan, he was called the “great communicator” not the “great conservative”.

Ted Cruz is more than a conservative, but because he has the ability to inspire people to fight for a cause. In short…A leader.

Just going to church and quoting the bible is not good enough. The “Akin Story” is an example not of how conservatism does not work, but of a man not realizing his own limitations and worse the people who voted for him in the primary not realizing it either.

This is not bible study folks, or a theological discussion of the bible, this is politics….an ugly and brutal business.

William Eaton on October 8, 2013 at 7:16 PM

If Republicans were really for small government like they claim to be, there would be no need for a Libertarian candidate or party.

Stuff it, Cooch.

Sarvis ’13.

RayinVA on October 8, 2013 at 7:22 PM

Bill Bolling would certainly have won a primary, and probably be running away with this race.
rockmom on October 8, 2013 at 5:40 PM

Baloney. Bolling is a milquetoast moderate who would’ve faced the same financial shortfall, the same attacks, the same McDonnell headwind…he wouldn’t be polling any better, and in fact would probably be doing worse.

McAuliffe is winning because the Cuccinelli campaign is nonexistent. Even in my reliably Republican neck of the woods, I have seen NO yard signs or bumper stickers of any sort…except for the stray commercial you wouldn’t even know there was an election coming up.

changer1701 on October 8, 2013 at 7:26 PM

Virginia is not purple. The election of Tim Kaine proved that. It has been blue for years, with pockets of red.

ladyingray on October 8, 2013 at 6:43 PM

You know we have a Republican governor right now, don’t you?

RayinVA on October 8, 2013 at 7:32 PM

Just going to church and quoting the bible is not good enough. The “Akin Story” is an example not of how conservatism does not work, but of a man not realizing his own limitations and worse the people who voted for him in the primary not realizing it either.

This is not bible study folks, or a theological discussion of the bible, this is politics….an ugly and brutal business.

William Eaton on October 8, 2013 at 7:16 PM

And until the GOP voters realize this, they will remain the minority party. We are losing guys…young people nor non-Christians want religion shoved down their throats. Lot of fiscal conservatives out there..even Jews, but they despise the religious right. Actually, I don’t blame them…I am a Republican and it has nothing to do with Christianity…but I’m one of the minorities in the party.

Redford on October 8, 2013 at 7:56 PM