Dewhurst: Texas could turn blue if you get complacent

posted at 11:01 am on September 29, 2013 by Jazz Shaw

I haven’t heard much from (or about) Texas Lt. Governor David Dewhurst since he came in second in his Senate primary race with Ted Cruz. But he’s still on the job in the Lone Star state and taking an active role in state politics. He probably raised eyebrows yesterday when he issued a potentially dire warning to his fellow Texas Republicans.

AUSTIN, Texas — Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst said here on Saturday that Texas could turn blue if Republicans get “complacent.”

“If we’re complacent, yeah, it could happen,” said Dewhurst, who last year lost to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) in the state’s GOP Senate primary.

Dewhurst, speaking at the Texas Tribune Festival, said efforts to flip the deep-red Lone Star State to the Democrats probably wouldn’t be successful “today,” but could eventually pan out. The state is home to Battleground Texas, an effort to turn the state blue led by Obama veterans.

It’s no secret among Democrats either locally or inside the beltway that this is one of the crown jewels they are veritably drooling over in the next few presidential election cycles. If the Democrats could somehow flip Texas into the D column it would be the same type of bombshell as the Republicans carrying California or New York. It would turn the starting advantage for the Democrats in the Electoral College into a virtual lock with essentially no path for the Republican candidate to win the national contest. Of course, as Dewhurst notes, that day isn’t here. But might it be coming?

There’s been a lot of talk since the last election about the shifting demographics of the country, particularly the growing Hispanic – and uncomfortably Left leaning – population surge in Texas. But there’s another, and far more ironic side to this story which doesn’t get discussed as much. I spoke to one Lone Star politico during the aforementioned primary who brought up a different factor which is diluting the conservative base there. Texas, he said, may become a victim of its own success.

The basic idea he expressed was that Texas has been one of the few state to experience relatively robust growth during the recession which has gripped the nation since 2007. One of the beneficial effects of this is that many new businesses have opened and others have relocated from other parts of the nation to set up shop in their more favorable business climate. But the new businesses bring a lot of people with them and then they recruit to fill jobs from all across America. The states getting hit the hardest with job losses – through no coincidence at all – are, in many cases, some deep blue ones, full of unemployed workers ready to pack up and move to where the paychecks are. So this has resulted in a new influx of fairly liberal blood strains moving in, working, buying homes, shopping… and voting. Combined with the previously mentioned demographic shift, it could eventually play out just as Dewhurst warns.

Talk about your unintended consequences.


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There is no “if” about it. Texas will turn blue and that will be the final nail in the coffin. Open borders and Amnesty have guaranteed this outcome. That is why what Marco “Amnesty” Rubio did is so disgraceful.

MPan on September 29, 2013 at 3:54 PM

Well, then, conservative Texans. It’s up to you to be vigilant. The rest of us will help, but the basics come from you.

It is worrying, though, that these people will bring their fail with them.

kim roy on September 29, 2013 at 4:41 PM

Yep…that’s the goal by 2020

And I hate to sound like a broken record:) But Wendy Davis has a solid chance of being the next TX Governor

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

Texas is huge. There is a sign as you drive west from the Louisiana border stating the distance to El Paso—800-something miles.

Sekhmet on September 29, 2013 at 1:55 PM

That’s true-El Paso is actually closer to LA and the Pacific Ocean than it is to Texas’ own eastern border.

But to the Dems, Texas is still a “southern state”.

Del Dolemonte on September 29, 2013 at 5:11 PM

The state is home to Battleground Texas, an effort to turn the state blue led by Obama veterans.

It’s no secret among Democrats either locally or inside the beltway that this is one of the crown jewels they are veritably drooling over in the next few presidential election cycles.

And what plans do Republicans have of turning any … any blue state red?

None, of course. Because the GOP doesn’t think that way. Only Democrats act. Republicans react. Only Democrats plot. Republicans run.

JellyToast on September 29, 2013 at 5:26 PM

What is comfortable will not make you a better man, growth comes from pain.
nonpartisan on September 29, 2013 at 12:08 PM

Gee, sure sound like he’s into S&M.

kjatexas on September 29, 2013 at 5:58 PM

Which is why the black community that has spent decades sucking comfortably on the government teat is a cesspool of ignorant and uneducated Trayvon Martins and Rachel Jeantels.

And that’s how the Democrat Party wants to keep them.

kjatexas on September 29, 2013 at 6:02 PM

Yep…that’s the goal by 2020

And I hate to sound like a broken record:) But Wendy Davis has a solid chance of being the next TX Governor

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

are you high?? no chance wendy davis ever becomes governor in Texas. there are dems out there that can win, but not her.

chasdal on September 29, 2013 at 6:06 PM

Yep…that’s the goal by 2020

And I hate to sound like a broken record:) But Wendy Davis has a solid chance of being the next TX Governor

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

are you high?? no chance wendy davis ever becomes governor in Texas. there are dems out there that can win, but not her.

chasdal on September 29, 2013 at 6:06 PM

The same thing was said about Ann Richards….her daughter Cecile Richards is one of the most powerful democrats in the country who happens to be president of Planned Parenthood. Davis has a real shot…and no I’m not high….:) Women do NOT want to be told what they can or cannot do their OWN bodies. And guess what women vote, men don’t.

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:27 PM

Yep…that’s the goal by 2020

And I hate to sound like a broken record:) But Wendy Davis has a solid chance of being the next TX Governor

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

You ARE delusional.

Do you even live in Texas?

avagreen on September 29, 2013 at 7:36 PM

A more professional poll was conducted by the University of Texas and the Texas Tribune. It shows that 46 percent of Texans think abortion should either be illegal or only legal in the cases of rape, incest, or when there is danger to the life of the mother. Only 36 percent thought abortion should be a matter of personal choice. The rest declined to respond or felt that abortion should be available only when need was clearly established. This is consistent with survey results from other red states. More importantly, this poll shows that banning abortion after 20 weeks of gestation — one of the provisions of SB5 — has the support of over 62 percent of Texas residents. Of course, these sorts of surveys often receive little attention from many media outlets.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/351959/yes-pro-life-laws-are-popular-texas-michael-new

avagreen on September 29, 2013 at 7:42 PM

Yep…that’s the goal by 2020

And I hate to sound like a broken record:) But Wendy Davis has a solid chance of being the next TX Governor

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

You ARE delusional.

Do you even live in Texas?

avagreen on September 29, 2013 at 7:36 PM

No…I work for the gop…and I see how organized the Dems are compared to the gop. they have a rabid base and their ground game is light years ahead of ours. So, yes TX is their goal…and if things stay the course…TX will turn blue in 2020….

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:44 PM

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:27 PM

Wendy Davis will have a tougher time winning as Ted Cruz would have in getting elected governor of MA. IIRC, Deval was only reelected in 2010 by 6 points.

crrr6 on September 29, 2013 at 7:45 PM

No…I work for the gop…and I see how organized the Dems are compared to the gop. they have a rabid base and their ground game is light years ahead of ours. So, yes TX is their goal…and if things stay the course…TX will turn blue in 2020….

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:44 PM

Many of the most rabid D’s are either too young/dependent to make a check on their own, or are years away from their golden years turning into illness-plagued geezerdom.

Sekhmet on September 29, 2013 at 7:54 PM

But Wendy Davis has a solid chance of being the next TX Governor

She won’t even be the final Democrat candidate.

Marcus on September 29, 2013 at 7:55 PM

About 40 percent of Davis’s money comes from out-of-state. By weight of comparison, donations to Bill White (2010 Dem candidate) from out of state were a bit over 25 percent.

Sekhmet on September 29, 2013 at 8:02 PM

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

Oh please! Not even them dims believe that they have a chance in hell of winning the governorship back….regardless of who they run.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 29, 2013 at 8:05 PM

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 4:53 PM

Oh please! Not even them dims believe that they have a chance in hell of winning the governorship back….regardless of who they run.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 29, 2013 at 8:05 PM

Is that why Obama organization has been down since 08 working over-time? OFA is all over TX…they are targeting high population districts…same thing they learned to do in 08…Ohio, FL, VA, NC…we won NC and IN in 2012 by a very very slim margin. VA is lost…OH is lost….

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 8:08 PM

I think it means that you had better elect him to some high office or the state will turn blue. So he is a RINO looking for a potential position. I don’t live in Texas, but it seems to me that he is not the one. Keep looking Texans, there are plenty of real Conservatives there that would make better governors than what you have available right now.

BetseyRoss on September 29, 2013 at 12:07 PM

No, he’s trying to keep his current office, Lt Gov. Three Republican officeholders are running against him in the primary. It’s going to be a real mud fight.

Greg Abbott is going to be the next governor.

juliesa on September 29, 2013 at 8:13 PM

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:27 PM

when I was pregnant nearly 20 years, I had MY body-and my unborn son had HIS body. They weren’t one and the same. That’s why a woman who has an abortion for ANY reason except if her life is in danger-is a murderer.
Wendy Davis won’t win a damn thing in Texas!

annoyinglittletwerp on September 29, 2013 at 8:16 PM

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 8:08 PM

I live here. You’re wrong about Texas.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 29, 2013 at 8:18 PM

Dallas right now is still very homogenous, compared to where I come from.

nonpartisan on September 29, 2013 at 11:52 AM

What Dallas are you talking about? Dallas TX has always had a high black population, and now whole swathes of town are full of panaderías, carnecerías, cambios etc. Koreatown is huge too.

juliesa on September 29, 2013 at 8:19 PM

I live in TX, and it’s scary how many liberal idiots have flooded the state, either illegally or from blue states

Yes, it keeps me up at night thinking of TX very possibly turning blue in the next generation. Game over for the US as a Republic if TX falls

Will Abortion Barbie have a chance in hell of winning Gov in 2014? God no

Now do one of those creepy, unaccomplished Castro bros have a chance at Gov in 2018? Absolutely. Which would be when I leave this state for good.

And does Hillary have a decent chance of winning TX in 2016? Actually yes she does, as much as it disgusts me to say, I’d say 40/60 to win TX outright at this point

thurman on September 29, 2013 at 8:19 PM

Is that why Obama organization has been down since 08 working over-time? OFA is all over TX…they are targeting high population districts…same thing they learned to do in 08…Ohio, FL, VA, NC…we won NC and IN in 2012 by a very very slim margin. VA is lost…OH is lost….

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 8:08 PM

You’re right, but it’s not just Texas. The democrats won by changing the culture. However, it’s going to be a Pyrrhic victory, since governing is completely different than the process of radicalization. Winter is coming.

P.S. A bone for all the Game of thrones fans.

DFCtomm on September 29, 2013 at 8:53 PM

Yes Texas could turn blue if you get complacent. There’s no magic in Texas soil. When Texas has the same demographics as California it will have the same politics as California. When both California and Texas have the same demographics as the worse parts of Mexico, they will impose the same kind of economic drag that the worse parts of Mexico being included in the Union would, and they’ll have the same political effects as letting the poor parts of Mexico vote in American elections would.

America is importing a permanent bias to left wing politics and permanent poverty.

More important than what is being added is what is being taken away. Mass immigration and forced integration is white genocide. It means white communities turn non-white and white people have no future.

The Republican Party gets 90% of its votes from whites. Any party that relies on conservative votes will need whites. You can’t get elected without them, you can’t govern without them, and you can’t pay for anything without them. A policy that says that any place that is historically white is too white and it needs more diversity till it’s no longer white, in other words a policy of getting rid of the whites, collectively, means that any other idea you also have that practically speaking relied on white people to support it is finished. It’s not one particular policy or value that goes away when you get rid of the whites, it’s everything that distinguishes your country from a Third World war zone. Not that it matters to white people, who’ll be gone.

David Blue on September 29, 2013 at 8:55 PM

LASue on September 29, 2013 at 12:47 PM

I have lived in Southern California all my life and am hoping to retire in Texas. Is it difficult adjusting to the new weather conditions?

Rose on September 29, 2013 at 1:09 PM

SoCal weather is better, but I like it hot, so I’ll take this any day. And everything is air conditioned. Weather-wise, it’s been an easy adjustment for me.

LASue on September 29, 2013 at 8:58 PM

The democrats won by changing the culture.

DFCtomm on September 29, 2013 at 8:53 PM

They did. Owning the mass media helps.

So do left-wing activist judges. For example, the Supreme Court making it a matter of constitutional law that there are no real reasons to object to gay marriage, only illegitimate homophobic bias – that’s changing the culture, top down.

But even more important, Democrats won by importing their preferred electorate, a million a year, roughly, since 1965, and 90% non-white.

David Blue on September 29, 2013 at 9:01 PM

TX will turn blue in 2020….

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:44 PM

Agreed.

TX will be blue in 2020 if not sooner.

That is because blue staters are virus; a disease.

When they destroy their cities (Balitmore, Detriot, etc…) and strip them of their resources they move on and begin slowly destroying red states.

tetriskid on September 29, 2013 at 9:08 PM

They did. Owning the mass media helps.

So do left-wing activist judges. For example, the Supreme Court making it a matter of constitutional law that there are no real reasons to object to gay marriage, only illegitimate homophobic bias – that’s changing the culture, top down.

But even more important, Democrats won by importing their preferred electorate, a million a year, roughly, since 1965, and 90% non-white.

David Blue on September 29, 2013 at 9:01 PM

So? You going to send them and all their progeny back? You going to undo MTV? You really think you’re going to roll back the tide? I suggest you adapt to the coming new normal.

nothing lasts forever

DFCtomm on September 29, 2013 at 9:19 PM

So? You going to send them and all their progeny back? You going to undo MTV? You really think you’re going to roll back the tide? I suggest you adapt to the coming new normal.

nothing lasts forever

DFCtomm on September 29, 2013 at 9:19 PM

The issue is not “sending people back” it’s a continuing influx, deliberately, politically imposed, and the effect of that.

David Blue on September 29, 2013 at 9:28 PM

Dewhurst: Texas could turn blue if you get complacent

Yes indeed. I’ve said it at least 30 times at HA. Amnesty will turn Texas blue. Arizona too. And maybe even Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama before we’re through. I hope those RINOs don’t cave on Amnesty–the winnable war and the most important war as well.

MaiDee on September 29, 2013 at 9:30 PM

I hope those RINOs don’t cave on Amnesty–the winnable war and the most important war as well.

MaiDee on September 29, 2013 at 9:30 PM

Amen to that.

David Blue on September 29, 2013 at 9:31 PM

This is why politics won’t save the country. The system is now fully rigged to make sure Marxism takes hold whether by hook or crook. And when they come for and take the guns it will all be over.

bgibbs1000 on September 29, 2013 at 10:35 PM

Not gonna happen. Texas will not turn blue any time soon. One need only take a gander at the Nov 2012 election map of Texas broken down by county. Notice that the large urban areas and some of the border counties went blue (as should always be expected), but those blue counties are surrounded and thoroughly outnumbered by red counties. Just so y’all understand, we have here in Texas something called urban sprawl. For example, while Dallas County is blue, the city of Dallas sprawls beyond its own city limits to become one of America’s largest metropolitan areas, and all those counties that surround Dallas are guess what? Red. And they aren’t pink-red–they’re blood red. So what if the inner cities become even more blue? Light blue, blue, dark blue, navy, indigo–it’s all the same. But the fact remains that the suburbs in Texas are red to the bone, and our suburbs are Texas-sized and well-populated.

TXJenny on September 29, 2013 at 11:11 PM

I am on the front lines of this phenomena. I have already had several discussions with these liberals invading my state. I point out to them that the reason they arent still living in their liberal utopian states is because liberalism has driven out the jobs to states like my Texas. A couple I know from Washington state finally saw the light and voted for Romney last year so they can be converted. Make no mistake though as to why these Dems are jonesing for amnesty. Texas turns navy blue if all the hispanics get to vote. No Repub will win ever again here.

neyney on September 29, 2013 at 11:21 PM

Oh and Rose I’m late to this discussion as I was at the Ranger game but I’ll answer your question about the weather. From May into October its varying degrees of hot, from the 80s and 90s in the months of May and June to the hell months of July and August. If you live on the coast like in Corpus Christi ir Houston add 80% humidity to that and hell becomes HELL. Lets just say that air conditioners are your friend. I’m a redhead and tend to stay inside during the hottest months but I also walk every evening when it cools down to the 90s. On the upside, if you move south of Austin ice and snow very rarely occur and even here in the DFW area we only get one or two ice or snow days a winter and the rest of the time winter is mild in the 30s or 40s. Hope that helps. Oh and it isn’t soda its coke, it isn’t you guys its y’all, and when we say you are about to knock that over we say you’re fixin to tump that over. We hope you enjoy Texas.

neyney on September 29, 2013 at 11:54 PM

The lib organizers in blue states need to drive their fund raising and keep donors donating in blue states. If a state is solidly blue, what keeps people donating, coming up with schemes to turn other states blue. So the lib organizers will throw these ideas out there to keep people donating instead of sitting on their money. Sounds great on paper, but in reality, outside of amnesty, Texas ain’t going blue anytime soon.

johnny mox on September 30, 2013 at 12:03 AM

Agreed.

TX will be blue in 2020 if not sooner.

tetriskid on September 29, 2013 at 9:08 PM

Yes. On the current trajectory, they’re unstoppable everywhere. Until the Right learns how to fight them. Will they ever learn?

rrpjr on September 30, 2013 at 1:07 AM

On the current trajectory, they’re unstoppable everywhere. Until the Right learns how to fight them. Will they ever learn?

rrpjr on September 30, 2013 at 1:07 AM

McCain learned to say “complete the danged fence!”

He was still on the wrong side though, and that’s the problem.

David Blue on September 30, 2013 at 2:17 AM

That’s why I voted for Cruz and not for you, Dewhurst…

golfer1 on September 30, 2013 at 2:20 AM

People would be wise to heed Dewhurst’s warnings.

bluegill on September 30, 2013 at 5:40 AM

The problem for now for Democrats in Texas is the same one that caused Texas to turn Red 20 years ago — the more the local politicians are seen as having ties to the ideology of the national Democratic Party, the less they’re able to galvanize the swing voters they need to win elections.

Richards was elected in 1990, during an economic downturn in Texas due to lower oil prices and the national savings & loan collapse, which was similar to the 2008 mortgage crisis in collapsing the state’s housing market. The Democrats’ answer in 1991 was to pass a state income tax through the Legislature. Fortunately, they couldn’t do it without a constitutional amendment, and the reaction was so vehement that not only did voters reject it, it set in motion the eventual GOP landslides in 1994 and ’98 (Democrat Lite Gov. Bob Bullock saved his skin in ’94 by passing an amendment which made it even tougher in the future to vote in an income tax, but when he retired in ’98, Dem comptroller John Sharp lost the race for his seat to Rick Perry).

Fast-forward 20 years and the main thing the Dems have to contend with in the Hispanic-majority regions of South and West Texas is fracking. The party’s national activists want to kill the process dead, but the oilfield boom has boosted the salaries and lifestyles of hundreds of thousands of workers in what were formerly high-poverty counties, and many of those workers are Hispanic.

Wendy Davis’ views on abortion aren’t going to galvanize Hispanic Catholics to begin with. If Texas Republicans have half a brain, they’ll start pushing Davis on her views about not just fracking, but also things like the keystone pipeline, which also passes through East Texas. She’d either have to voice her support for the actions, which would kill a lot of her out-of-state voter support, or she’ll have to basically tell a ton of the voters she and any other Democrats need to win statewide office that she wants them to lose their $40,000-$100,000 a year jobs and go back to a much lower living standard, or even back onto food stamps. Hispanic voters may lean Democrat, but they don’t lean that much.

jon1979 on September 30, 2013 at 8:32 AM

No…I work for the gop…

Redford on September 29, 2013 at 7:44 PM

Well, THERE’S your problem.

Myron Falwell on September 30, 2013 at 9:13 AM

bluegill on September 30, 2013 at 5:40 AM

HA readers would be wise to ignore you.
Texas is NOT in danger of turning blue.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 30, 2013 at 9:49 AM

That’s why I voted for Cruz and not for you, Dewhurst…

Exactly. I’m a former Dewhurst supporter but it goes back to when he first got elected three or four sessions ago. I supported him because he talked a much more conservative game that than his republican predecessor practiced. Bill Ratliff’s legacy are the Robin Hood school funding deal and the senate rosebush rule.

Dewhurst immediately pissed off a lot of people by maintaining the rosebush rule although I believe he reduced the quorum needed to forward legislation from 2/3 of the senate to a “mere” 60%. Very little legislation of consequence got through his chamber for two or three sessions because of this. This past session the most meaningful stuff came in the special session when the rosebush rule is put aside. This is inside baseball I realize.

Dewhurst was basically the off ramp of the bridge that took us from the Bob Bullock days of complete Texas democrat rule to the very moderate (ahem liberal) Bill Ratliff years. He just drove too slow for us and that is why he is being turned out. See Kay Bailey Hutchison for past reference.

My preferred candidate for Lt. Gov. is Todd Staples right now. I do not believe David Dewhurst would be an improvement from John McCornyn as a US senator and that is based on his past performance but this last session I felt was his best and as I said in my earlier post I believe that is because he learned to listen after getting his azz handed to him by Ted Cruz. See John Boehner for another current example of somebody taking notice of the impact of a non-insider that represents his constituents having an impact.

DanMan on September 30, 2013 at 10:00 AM

There’s been a lot of talk since the last election about the shifting demographics of the country, particularly the growing Hispanic – and uncomfortably Left leaning – population surge in Texas.

The Texas Comptroller predicts: By 2020, the Texas Hispanic population is expected to outnumber the White population (Exhibit 8).

rukiddingme on September 30, 2013 at 11:42 AM

I’ve said it repeatedly here at HA (and other blogs) that dems have been pushing to turn Texas blue since Bush won in 2000. They see turning Texas blue as revenge for Bush “stealing” that election so this campaign of theirs has been going on a while. All it takes is for an influx of dems from other states and illegals to keep filling the cities like Dallas and Houston and eventually their votes will outnumber the conservative rural areas, so no one should be complacent.

clearbluesky on September 30, 2013 at 12:10 PM

Dewhurst: Texas could turn blue if you get complacent

That’s true anywhere, anytime. It’s the nature of mankind. Without a higher purpose, a higher calling that leads to putting others first, self-denial or at least delayed gratification, we become lazy and greedy, looking for others to provide for us and trading freedom for security.

Marcola on September 30, 2013 at 12:41 PM

Of course, Texas will turn blue in the next few election cycles, but depressing as that prospect is, do not let it scare you. Blacks will continue to vote Democrat for president (and other offices) until a black Republican presidential nominee squares off against a white or Latino Democrat. The Latino vote is slightly more in play, as is the Asian-American vote. The white vote is slowly shrinking, but it is still the largest share of the American electorate, and it is in play.

When Democrats begin to hold unchallenged electoral sway, and as such, begin to embrace full-on Marxism, simply b/c there won’t be anywhere else to go after the Obama presidency, you will see a realigning of the American voting electorate.

This country has had huge electoral swings, sometimes in successive elections. No party will remain unchallenged for long. The country is becoming more progressive socially, but once all the firsts — first Latino president, first woman president, first gay president — have played out, the fiscal and personal liberty issues (i.e., gun rights) Republicans champion will remain.

In just a couple/few presidential elections, the Republican nominee may be black, young, gay or pro-gay rights, female, Latino, or some combination of all of these, and in tomorrow’s America, he or she may win in a landslide. The Republican party is far from dead.

The Bringer on September 30, 2013 at 3:28 PM

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