Putin: I can’t be 100% sure that Syria will comply in getting rid of its chemical WMD; Update: Assad still moving weapons

posted at 8:41 pm on September 19, 2013 by Allahpundit

A little companion piece to the news yesterday that Assad might miss the very first deadline in the disarmament process.

The Kremlin must be such a fun place to work lately:

Speaking at a forum of journalists and political scientists, Russian president Vladimir Putin said that he could not be 100 percent sure that the government of Syria will comply with a plan to destroy chemical weapons. “Will we manage to carry it through? I can’t say 100 percent, but all that we have seen recently, in the last few days, inspires confidence that it is possible and that it will be done,” Putin said.

The key news out of Syria this week, by the way, isn’t the disarmament kabuki at the UN but the fact that the war-within-a-war among rebel groups is now fierce enough to attract major western media attention. The Journal has a long read today about jihadi outfits in northern and eastern Syria launching attacks against the Free Syrian Army (in one instance entitled, charmingly, “Operation Expunging Filth”). How do you fight the regime goon in front of you when you’re being shot at by the fanatic behind you? Good question:

Some FSA fighters now consider the extremists to be as big a threat to their survival as the forces of President Bashar al-Assad.

“It’s a three-front war,” a U.S. official said of the FSA rebels’ fight: They face the Assad regime, forces from its Lebanese ally Hezbollah, and now the multinational jihadist ranks of ISIS…

Along Syria’s border with Turkey, ISIS fighters are trying to wrest the four major crossings from other rebel units, in a bid to control supply routes, according to rebels battling the extremists, and Western officials.

In recent weeks, ISIS fighters have adopted a strategy of dropping back—taking rear positions—as rebels with the FSA alliance leave for front lines to fight government forces, allowing ISIS to build a presence in towns and villages left without security or services.

FSA leaders claim Obama’s dithering has been a propaganda coup for ISIS, who are now telling the locals that they’ll never be able to rely on a fickle America to protect them. I wonder too how much of O’s blathering about “red lines” has inadvertently encouraged the jihadis to be more aggressive about purging the “moderates” in their midst. If you’re a fanatic worried that the United States is about to jump into Syria, whether through strikes on Assad or more significant aid to the FSA, logically you’d want to weaken the moderates sooner rather than later. The better armed they are, the more they can threaten the new caliphate you’re trying to set up. Expunge “the filth” now and you don’t need to worry about them in the future. We already have reason to believe that Obama’s meaningless tough talk about “red lines” last year made it harder to neutralize Assad’s WMD; it’d be perversely fitting if it also made it harder to neutralize the jihadis on the other side.

The punchline to all this is that one of the things keeping the U.S. and western allies from arming the FSA more robustly is that they’re not quite antagonistic enough towards the jihadis who are fighting Assad. Time mag had an interesting piece a few days ago about how, while some Al Qaeda-type outfits wage war against the FSA in some parts of Syria, in other parts the two movements still unite for joint operations against Assad’s troops. If you’re a CIA analyst looking to arm the “moderates,” then, you have to deal not only with the risk that jihadis will crush the people you’re arming and take their weapons but also the risk that the people you’re arming will fight alongside the jihadis and maybe lend them their weapons. How do you negotiate that?

Speaking of neutralizing Assad’s WMD, here’s the man himself telling Fox News last night that America might need to pony up a cool billion in order to make it happen. The way this process has been going, I half-expect Obama to reject the idea out of hand and give him two billion instead.

Update: “Motive unclear.”

The Syrian regime is again moving around its stockpile of chemical weapons, leaving the United States trying to figure out what Bashar al-Assad will do next with his deadly arsenal…

“There is activity at known chemical weapons storage sites,” one official said. “What is unclear is whether they are moving them to consolidate the stockpile and then declare it, or are they moving it around to conceal it” in advance of reporting it to international inspectors.

Any guesses as to which it is?


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How is there an update before the first comment?

besser tot als rot on September 19, 2013 at 8:44 PM

Anyway, I can be 100% sure that they won’t. But, that wasn’t the point of this charade, was it?

besser tot als rot on September 19, 2013 at 8:45 PM

Guess you got owned, Dog Eater.

Bishop on September 19, 2013 at 8:49 PM

How do you like your daddy now, Obama? Once his bitch always his bitch.

Si se Putin!

TXUS on September 19, 2013 at 8:49 PM

How do you like your Daddy now, Obama??? Once his b!tch, always his b!tch.

Si se Putin.

TXUS on September 19, 2013 at 8:50 PM

I wonder how Obama feels about being lied to by Putin. Anyone else thinking, “What goes around, comes around?”

Obama, meet Karma. Karma, Obama.

Wino on September 19, 2013 at 8:51 PM

We just needs us some more of Jug Ear’s “Smart Diplomacy”. Maybe he can drag Hillary! out of retirement to deliver another “Reset” button!

GarandFan on September 19, 2013 at 8:52 PM

I love Assad having MORE CAJONES than the gop congressional leadership by asking for $1 billion to get rid of the chems.

Any word on if he’s also asking to be included in the ObamaCare healthcare exchanges or maybe asking the DOTUS to declare undesirable Syrian refugees to be given “Dreamer” status and allowed into the U.S.?

PappyD61 on September 19, 2013 at 8:53 PM

C’mon, they are all for jihad, stop calling them moderates.

jephthah on September 19, 2013 at 8:53 PM

How is there an update before the first comment?

besser tot als rot on September 19, 2013 at 8:44 PM

The text of the post probably has to be scanned first by Salem to make sure no banned words are used, whereas in the meantime Allah added an update?

;-)

ShainS on September 19, 2013 at 8:54 PM

Sarah’s recent tweet:
https://twitter.com/pambesteder/status/380843186312060928/photo/1/large
JellyToast on September 19, 2013 at 8:45 PM

Did Sarah really say that? I wish she’d be a little more dignified sometimes. I don’t like her good old gal truck driver act.

bluegill on September 19, 2013 at 8:57 PM

Putin’s new b!tch can consider this the diplomatic equivalent of his “Daddy” leaving an empty envelop on the dresser, as he quietly sneaks out the door.

TXUS on September 19, 2013 at 8:57 PM

But what difference does it make who came up with this great idea – Kerry, Obama or Putin – it’s a great idea. So… yeh.

Hill60 on September 19, 2013 at 8:58 PM

bluegill on September 19, 2013 at 8:57 PM

Broad, you don’t like ANYTHING she does, so just move on…

JFKY on September 19, 2013 at 8:59 PM

Obama may have finally gotten himself into a situation where the media can’t save him from looking like an idiot of massive proportions.

The racist tag won’t play here as Putin doesn’t give a shit about that. He knows how to play hardball, international style. Obama is a bust at the tee-ball level without his media protectors.

Meremortal on September 19, 2013 at 9:02 PM

bluegill on September 19, 2013 at 8:57 PM

Attention whoring again?

cozmo on September 19, 2013 at 9:02 PM

ot

PELOSI ON OBAMA: ‘He has been practically apolitical, certainly nonpartisan’… Developing… Drudge

Delusion continues…some days worse than others.

CoffeeLover on September 19, 2013 at 9:04 PM

I can’t wait until I get to say that Pwned-bama went into Syria and there were no WMD. Saddam used them on the Kurds, the moved them to Syria. al-Assad then used them on the jihadi rebels, and will move them back to Iraq.

Does anyone notice a pattern here?

Wino on September 19, 2013 at 9:07 PM

Sarah’s recent tweet:
https://twitter.com/pambesteder/status/380843186312060928/photo/1/large

JellyToast on September 19, 2013 at 8:45 PM

She’s too easy on that guy sometimes.

kcewa on September 19, 2013 at 9:08 PM

Obama just got double pantsed. Obama to issue World Wide Executive Order against bullying Community Organizers. He will send it to Dimitry who will transmit the memo to Putin. Putin will wipe his a$$ again with Obama paper.

Key West Reader on September 19, 2013 at 9:09 PM

“How do you fight the regime goon in front of you when you’re being shot at by the fanatic behind you?”

They re all fanatics, they all believe in jihad, they all follow a false prophet.

jephthah on September 19, 2013 at 9:11 PM

You need to re-post that hilarious piece by Slate’s Fred Kaplan on how this deal was so swell.

Amazing, just amazing.

SteveMG on September 19, 2013 at 9:14 PM

Attention whoring again?

cozmo on September 19, 2013 at 9:02 PM

Whoring Again. Kind of sums up the entire presidency of Putin’s b!tch.

TXUS on September 19, 2013 at 9:16 PM

Any guesses as to which it is?

NSA guys,you wanna answer that ?

burrata on September 19, 2013 at 9:20 PM

Sarah’s recent tweet:
https://twitter.com/pambesteder/status/380843186312060928/photo/1/large
JellyToast on September 19, 2013 at 8:45 PM

Before that,
there was this
:O

burrata on September 19, 2013 at 9:23 PM

The Moscow Metro’s red line goes to the FSB (formerly KGB) headquarters. Putin will be waiting there for Obama.

kcewa on September 19, 2013 at 9:25 PM

“How do you fight the regime goon in front of you when you’re being shot at by the fanatic behind you?”

They re all fanatics, they all believe in jihad, they all follow a false prophet.

jephthah on September 19, 2013 at 9:11 PM

And why we should be supporting Assad or at least stay out of the whole thing. I could care less whether he kills all of the jihadis or how. Yes, he’s a bad guy, he’s supported by Iran, and he’s no friend of Israel. But you are asking for Armageddon and the destruction of the US and the West, if you allow any of those jihadist groups to get control of Syria’s substantial stockpile of WMDs (much of which came from Hussein, as in Saddam, not as in Obama).

TXUS on September 19, 2013 at 9:25 PM

In some country club in a secluded spot in Washington DC….An aide runs to Obama and says Putin is on the phone…he wants to remind you he has the reset button and wanted to know if you’d like to push it?

Rndguy on September 19, 2013 at 9:31 PM

(in one instance entitled, charmingly, “Operation Expunging Filth”).

ROFL…

ddrintn on September 19, 2013 at 9:39 PM

How is there an update before the first comment?

besser tot als rot on September 19, 2013 at 8:44 PM

L’esprit de l’escalier?

ddrintn on September 19, 2013 at 9:41 PM

This is so silly, these buffoons have been fighting each since their stupid caliphs had a power struggle. Get off the Internet and read some books. It’s a legacy of barbarism, they re all jihadis.

jephthah on September 19, 2013 at 9:45 PM

The text of the post probably has to be scanned first by Salem to make sure no banned words are used, whereas in the meantime Allah added an update?

;-)

ShainS on September 19, 2013 at 8:54 PM

Is Salem run by the NSA?

bw222 on September 19, 2013 at 9:47 PM

Before that,
there was this :O

burrata on September 19, 2013 at 9:23 PM

I can hardly wait until bluegill asks if Sarah Palin really dressed up in a soccer uniform and kicked Obama’s butt while he was on a beach following a hurricane.

bw222 on September 19, 2013 at 9:52 PM

I can hardly wait until bluegill asks if Sarah Palin really dressed up in a soccer uniform and kicked Obama’s butt while he was on a beach following a hurricane.

bw222 on September 19, 2013 at 9:52 PM

:O :O

burrata on September 19, 2013 at 9:59 PM

burrata on September 19, 2013 at 9:23 PM

I laughed so hard when I saw that!

JellyToast on September 19, 2013 at 10:34 PM

I hate Putin.

Why do I feel safer with Putin handling this than Obama? I. hate. this.

Obama can’t do anything right. I. hate. this.

I have zero faith in my own government. I. Hate. This.

I trust Putin more than Obama. This is wrong.

petunia on September 20, 2013 at 1:05 AM

If the deadline passes for providing the list of chemical weapons Assad has, as he promised he would deliver, Assad and putin should hear 2 sounds shortly thereafter….

1) The 1st should be Obama’s testicles dropping….

2) The 2nd should be the missiles exploding as they begin striking all these different locations where Assad is hiding his weapons…

easyt65 on September 20, 2013 at 8:18 AM

petunia on September 20, 2013 at 1:05 AM

Petunia, the difference between Obama and Putin is Obama is a former Community Organizer and a Communist/Socialist Theologist who is pushing a narrow agenda….Putin is an extremely intelligent, tactically-minded, calculating ex-KGB agent who knows how to lead.

It was easy for Obama to aid Al Qaeda, ordering our military to help GIVE THEM Libya because no one (Russia/China/et al) had any ‘skin in the game’ regarding Libya. No one opposed him because no one really cared. It was easy for Obama to back the Muslim Brotherhood and help them take over Egypt, pretty much for the same reason.

Syria is a completely different game. Syria is Iran’s ‘toady’, a go-between fro Hezbolah and Iran, a huge weapons purchasing customer of Russia’s, and is a HUGE ‘domino’ in the Middle East – if it goes down it send ripples all over. MANY people DO care and pose quite an impressive opposition to Obama. Obama just walked away from the ‘little kids’ table’ and tried to sit down with the adults….and was promptly SCHOOLED by Putin. Yeah, Assad scored some points in this, but Putin was pulling the strings and putting the words in his mouth. Obama sat down at the table and was ready to play checkers and quickly found out the game was CHESS, which he was not prepared for.

The UN knows the rebels have already used chemical weapons and has the proof. They are not sure Assad has, but they now KNOW Assad was lying when he denied having any. It is being reported that Al Qaeda and the Jihadists in Syria are fighting the ‘good rebels’, killing each other. There is a small group that truly want freedom, but Jihadists and terrorists are flocking to Syria because they want to establish another terrorist safe haven and Shar’ia-governed nation.

Assad wants to stay in power, Putin wants their customer to stay in power, Iran wants its ‘toady’ to remain, Hezbollah wants its go-between and weapons provider from Iran to remain. And Obama is over his head.

It would be great for the Middle East if Assad was taken out AND Al Qaeda/Jihadists did not take over…It would also be great if Obama had not won the 2012 election, but we can’t ensure what is best will happen. We can be sure, however, that Putin can’t be trusted, Obama can’t be trusted, Kerry can’t be trusted, and we are trapped by having to rely on all of these clowns to do ‘the right thing’.

easyt65 on September 20, 2013 at 8:36 AM

I drive a truck and I thought what Sarah said was funny and true.
Assad is asking for 1$B and we have to bring the poison here and risk an environmental disaster trying to destroy it. Like that will ever happen. Oh, snap, that’s how all the kabuki show got started with Pooty. In the meanwhile, everyone thinks there’s a deal and we’re done with Syria.

Kissmygrits on September 20, 2013 at 9:00 AM