Global warming cleverly hides itself with 1 million sq miles more arctic ice

posted at 5:01 pm on September 8, 2013 by Jazz Shaw

The science is settled unsettling. Comedian Lewis Black said it best on his White Album when he asked, “Do you know what Meteorologist means in English? It means liar.” It seems that we now have more science to settle atop the mountains of previous science which all purports to prove one thing or another. You can decide on the reasons for yourself, but the arctic ice sheet is back with a vengeance.

A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.

The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.

Instead, days before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores.

Good news for polar bears, if nothing else. But talks of a clear Northwest Passage seem to have fallen by the wayside. In fact, a few people who were counting on it rather heavily are left sort of… stuck.

Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast. Perhaps it was their confidence that led more than 20 yachts to try to sail the Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific this summer. As of last week, all these vessels were stuck in the ice, some at the eastern end of the passage in Prince Regent Inlet, others further west at Cape Bathurst.

Shipping experts said the only way these vessels were likely to be freed was by the icebreakers of the Canadian coastguard. According to the official Canadian government website, the Northwest Passage has remained ice-bound and impassable all summer.

Some of the analysts currently scratching their heads over how the planet stubbornly refuses to do what they insist it must are apparently now reflecting on some much older data. Reports are available which indicate a massive melting of the arctic ice sheet in the 1920′s and 30′s, long before the era of global climate studies. But then, it crashed into another period of increased freezing and expansion. The current photo has a few of them wondering if we might be in danger of heading into another ice age, which would be disastrous for mankind.

MoS2 Template Master

This just in from Jeff Dunetz.

Today’s UK Daily Mail gives more evidence that would have made my mother, of blessed memory issue a major Jewish Mother Sweater Alert because the Arctic Ice cap grew by 60% this past year and more scientists are warning of the coming ice age.


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the arctic ice sheet is back with a vengeance.

A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.–Jazz

Jazz, this isn’t phrased properly.

See this chart.

As you can see from the chart, the Arctic sea ice has decreased in area much less this year than it did last year.

blink on September 8, 2013 at 5:08 PM

So let me see if I have this straight.

Jazz posts that “the Arctic sea ice is increasing with a vengeance” and in fact has increased by a million square miles since last year. That’s a pretty big deal, I thought.

But then Blink provides a chart which shows that, although there’s more ice than last year, last year just happened to have a particularly low amount. Actually, as the chart indicates, the amount of ice from this year is more like just an average amount. For example, there’s still less ice this year then there was as recently as 2009.

In other words, there’s a pretty substantial amount of annual weather flux, so this year’s frozen square footage isn’t such a big deal.

Of course, BBC’s fanatical global-warming scare-mongering is nuts, but that’s another story.

Burke on September 8, 2013 at 8:22 PM

Stop laughing, the Global Warming can hear you. Don’t make it angry.

happytobehere on September 8, 2013 at 8:22 PM

Resist We Much on September 8, 2013 at 7:41 PM

^ just copy/paste/q-format for convenient bookmarking. please ignore.

Axe on September 8, 2013 at 8:13 PM

Like this….

[after sex with The Monster]

Elizabeth: Oh. Where you going?… Oh, you men are all alike. Seven or eight quick ones and then you’re out with the boys to boast and brag. YOU BETTER KEEP YOUR MOUTH SHUT. Oh… I think I love him.

dentarthurdent on September 8, 2013 at 8:22 PM

Which means that Rush Limbaugh and Sarah Palin were right about “global warming” and The New York Times, The Economist, National Geographic, NPR, Time, Newsweek, The LA Times, BBC,and most of the citizens of Cambridge, Ann Arbor, Madison, Santa Monica, Palo Alto, New Haven, Hyde Park, Providence, Ithaca, and Washington DC were wrong.

Viator on September 8, 2013 at 8:31 PM

Gotta paraphrase this one:

Dr. Peter Venkman: This city The world is headed for a disaster of biblical proportions.
Mayor: What do you mean, “biblical”?
Dr Ray Stantz: What he means is Old Testament, Mr. PeacePrizePrezzyMayor, real wrath of God type stuff.
Dr. Peter Venkman: Exactly.
Dr Ray Stantz: Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boilingfreezing!
Dr. Egon Spengler: Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes…
Winston Zeddemore: The dead rising from the grave!
Dr. Peter Venkman: Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together… mass hysteria!

dentarthurdent on September 8, 2013 at 8:33 PM

Rajendra K. Pachauri has a legitimate PhD, but his PhD is in economics which he never practiced. He was a business man before getting the climate job.

I thought he was a railroad engineer.

Mimzey on September 8, 2013 at 8:40 PM

They embraced each other, smacking lips and hands like two thawed hams eager to overlap. Slapping and sucking sounds filled the kitchen — yeah, like a symphony of wet steaks being thrown onto a counter and yanked up again.

“I want you, Billy Bing! I want you so. bad!” Nellie squealed.

“Tell me something I don’t know, baby,” Billy replied gutturally.

They careened through the living room, a tornado of lust ejecting bits of clothing and gasps of pleasure. Like sweating cattle in a China shop, they knocked over tables, lamps, found their way through the living room, into the back yard.

“The neighbors!” Nellie gasped as she stretched sexily on the grass.

“It would be wrong to deny them this, baby,” Billy sneered, pulling his shirt off and exposing his powerful, furry, Sas.quatch like chest.

. . . etc.

. . . *engineers represent*

/k, i know, enough of that. :)

Axe on September 8, 2013 at 8:43 PM

Can we all spell SHAM………

crosshugger on September 8, 2013 at 9:21 PM

So now that we are back to fear mongering over a ice age apocalypse can we have a cash for priuses program. I hate those smug little cars.

jhffmn on September 8, 2013 at 9:26 PM

Rajendra K. Pachauri has a legitimate PhD, but his PhD is in economics which he never practiced. He was a business man before getting the climate job.

I thought he was a railroad engineer.

Mimzey on September 8, 2013 at 8:40 PM

A lot of folks watched the sub-moronic Al Gore become a near-billionaire hawking his Warmist theories. They figure they can make a few bucks too.

slickwillie2001 on September 8, 2013 at 9:27 PM

Can we have incandescent light bulbs back then?

Murphy9 on September 8, 2013 at 9:29 PM

Can we have incandescent light bulbs back then?

Murphy9 on September 8, 2013 at 9:29 PM

We might need them to melt the ice….

dentarthurdent on September 8, 2013 at 9:39 PM

Jack London is laughing his behind off from the grave.

I sure wish some super smart lib could tell me what the optimal average temperature of the planet should be.

Shouldn’t Brayam have weighed in on this and told us how we all just don’t understand, man!

H.E. Pennypacker on September 8, 2013 at 9:48 PM

blink on September 8, 2013 at 9:44 PM

Thanks, Blink. The kind of intelligence and helpfulness you show on this thread is why I read this blog regularly.

Burke on September 8, 2013 at 10:05 PM

Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast.

Yup. And Katie Couric not only bought that lie but also tried to sell that lie to her audience with dramatic flourish…

… for which she was rightly (and righteously!) parodied… (just watch the first 30 seconds)

ITguy on September 8, 2013 at 10:32 PM

I posted this article on FB and of course a super liberal friend called me crazy and blah blah 97% of scientists..i guess he thinks the pictures from NASA are fake..nope, much more real than what that fool believes

sadsushi on September 8, 2013 at 10:59 PM

.i guess he thinks the pictures from NASA are fake..nope, much more real than what that fool believes

sadsushi on September 8, 2013 at 10:59 PM

NASA faked the dramatic moon landing arctic ice growth.

Resist We Much on September 8, 2013 at 11:06 PM

Yes, and ask any global warming believer that comments on the Arctic ice if they understand that it refreezes every year. Most will simply give you a blank stare.

blink on September 8, 2013 at 9:44 PM

But then you have this….

Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast.

Explain this.

itsspideyman on September 8, 2013 at 11:07 PM

What will it take to stop spending billions on this global warming horsecrap?

Axion on September 8, 2013 at 11:54 PM

What will it take to stop spending billions on this global warming horsecrap?

Axion on September 8, 2013 at 11:54 PM

Armageddon.

Ugly on September 9, 2013 at 12:36 AM

I caution not engaging in too much Schadenfreude, it has a way of biting you in the ass regardless of your political affiliation.

Science isn’t perfect; nothing human ever is. The one thing that has drastically changed our world in the past few hundred years is the scientific method. Take away the politics from this issue and examine the data and it’s not a rosy picture that we have tons of ice this year.

From all the data points, the trend is warming. And even if you hold the belief (for whatever reason: religious, political, Schadenfreude-fantastic, etc), that AGW is crap, at least be concerned that the data shows long term changes in climate is above what we’ve seen from natural causes.

UrbanCoyote on September 9, 2013 at 2:06 AM

Nasa will still claim that 2013 was in the top ten warmest years ever. I think if you take ten towns at random that have been recording daily temps for a hundred years, not large enough to have the increasing heat island effect, and just average out the temperatures for every year using the daily high and/or low temp recordings, you can get a precise picture of warming or cooling. Then do another random ten and then another. Do this a hundred times and then throw out the outliers ( if you want, you don’t have to ) and average out the rest and you have a precise chart of what the climate has done for the last hundred years. You could have several people doing this independently and they will concur if each analyst is doing a large enough sample.

I expect this year would be in the top ten coolest.

Buddahpundit on September 9, 2013 at 2:34 AM

Beware the coming Ice Age.
What’s old is new again… Next thing you know they tell us it’s all because of man made pollution reflecting the sun’s rays back into space.

Gwillie on September 9, 2013 at 3:10 AM

From all the data points, the trend is warming.

UrbanCoyote on September 9, 2013 at 2:06 AM

What trend are you looking at? The trend is NOT warming.
http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadcrut3gl/from:2002/to:2014/trend/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2014/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2002/to:2014/trend

We now have a 12 year trend of COOLING — when temperaturs are supposed to be going through the roof because CO2 levels are now higher than any time in thousands of years — according to Warmists.

But not only is it NOT warming — it’s COOLING.

This SCAM has gone on for more than 30 years and hundreds of billions spent. Where do we go to get our money back?

Where do we collect for all the damage done to our children, scared into sleepless nights because they were propagandized into believing mommy and daddies’ SUV was destroying the planet?

Axion on September 9, 2013 at 4:53 AM

I was taught in geology class that the Earth was in a temporary warming phase between two ice ages. Then along come liberals to inform us that Fairbanks, Alaska will soon have palm-lined streets because4 of heat entrapping “greenhouse” gasses caused by human “folly”–the same gasses, incidentally which liberals in the 40′s and 50′s claimed were blocking the sun, turning Earth into a giant popsicle. At that time pollution was blamed for global cooling and the term ICE BLITZ was common. The Amazon rain forest would be buried under six feet of snow by this Ice Blitz.LOL.

MaiDee on September 9, 2013 at 8:04 AM

Good news for polar bears, if nothing else.

Actually, the polar bear population has been growing for years, despite the hysteria.

The Monster on September 9, 2013 at 8:32 AM

So let me see if I have this straight.

Jazz posts that “the Arctic sea ice is increasing with a vengeance” and in fact has increased by a million square miles since last year. That’s a pretty big deal, I thought.

But then Blink provides a chart which shows that, although there’s more ice than last year, last year just happened to have a particularly low amount. Actually, as the chart indicates, the amount of ice from this year is more like just an average amount. For example, there’s still less ice this year then there was as recently as 2009.

In other words, there’s a pretty substantial amount of annual weather flux, so this year’s frozen square footage isn’t such a big deal.

This might be a meaningful criticism if sea ice extent was a random white noise phenomenon. However, there is a high degree of autocorrelation in sea ice, meaning that there is some “memory” in the system. Multi-year ice will persist and is more resistant to melting than new ice. Yes, Arctic sea ice extent is below the 30 year average, but it is now just at the low end of the normal variability. In the meantime, Antarctic sea ice (subject to the same extra long wave radiation from CO2 as Arctic ice) is at an all time high for the satellite era. Gee, how could that be?

MichiCanuck on September 9, 2013 at 8:47 AM

That headline alone deserves a comment, Jazz. Lol!

Sterling Holobyte on September 9, 2013 at 9:03 AM

The analysis here is a bit deceptive. The reason ice has rebounded 60% this year is because it was so ridiculously low last year — 1.3 million square miles. By comparison, 40 years ago, it was over three times as big. Second, if you look at sea ice volume, you’ll see it’s fallen even more precipitously.

Hal_10000 on September 9, 2013 at 9:25 AM

From all the data points, the trend is warming. And even if you hold the belief (for whatever reason: religious, political, Schadenfreude-fantastic, etc), that AGW is crap, at least be concerned that the data shows long term changes in climate is above what we’ve seen from natural causes.

I’m not concerned at all about climate changes over the relatively small number of years of the human record. I doubt if we really know what to expect from natural causes. After all, it was not all that long ago that we came out of an ice age and that was a climate change that was a lot more than anything we have seen in the last few thousand years. If your timeline is long enough, natural climate fluctuation is a lot more than anything we have seen. I

JohnnyL on September 9, 2013 at 9:52 AM

Science isn’t perfect; nothing human ever is. The one thing that has drastically changed our world in the past few hundred years is the scientific method. Take away the politics from this issue and examine the data and it’s not a rosy picture that we have tons of ice this year.

From all the data points, the trend is warming. And even if you hold the belief (for whatever reason: religious, political, Schadenfreude-fantastic, etc), that AGW is crap, at least be concerned that the data shows long term changes in climate is above what we’ve seen from natural causes.

UrbanCoyote on September 9, 2013 at 2:06 AM

So, ice ages, warming periods, etc., that we have evidence of are not “long term changes in climate” that are more significant than anything we have seen thus far from the current warming trend?

the problem with arguments like yours is that they are not based in facts or science. Your argument is simply, factually, untrue. The earth’s climate has changed radically over time, and we have scientific proof of such changes. What we do not currently have is proof that a) any current climate changes are caused by man or that b) such current climate changes will be in any way catastrophic. In fact, there is no proof that the recent extremely slight warming is going to continue at all.

the idea that the earth has not seen climate changes from natural causes significantly more extreme than the current alleged warming period is absurd. In order to state something like that, one has to ignore ice ages, warming periods, and multitudes of other climate issues over the earth’s existence.

Which is why AGI alarmists are always so inane. They make such ridiculous claims as if the earth’s climate is not ALWAYS in a state of flux. As if the earth’s climate is some stable institution that never changes and never has changed and therefore, if it is warmer today than on this date last year it means we must adopt Marxism immediately to cure it!

Absurd.

Monkeytoe on September 9, 2013 at 10:06 AM

My friends mocked me when I referenced this book in the last 20 years;

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallen_Angels_(science_fiction_novel)

Whose laughing now???

patch on September 9, 2013 at 12:05 PM

I was wondering just recently where all the hurricanes are. Granted, we’re not thru with the season yet but along with this story on arctic ice I don’t think the world will end as global warming alarmists have predicted. Anyone know if al gore was available for comment ?

jaywemm on September 9, 2013 at 12:41 PM

Message from Al Gore: See, I told you it would work, if everybody but the Chinese, Leonardo DiCaprio and me reduced their carbon footprint.— Regular Right Guy …Full Caf Americano

Mornin Mojo on September 9, 2013 at 1:17 PM

at least be concerned that the data shows long term changes in climate is above what we’ve seen from natural causes.

UrbanCoyote on September 9, 2013 at 2:06 AM

Humans, they think so small. What long term trends? We have only had really good data over the last decade or so and it is not showing warming. All other data is model based or proxy based. What is considered a long term tread? For humans it may very well be decades. Maybe even a century. For the Earth it is tens of thousands of years. Years we have 0 data for other than proxy data which cannot be considered iron clad. It’s also data from very small sample areas like a few trees or ice cores from limited areas.

Dr. Frank Enstine on September 9, 2013 at 1:54 PM

My friends mocked me when I referenced this book in the last 20 years;
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fallen_Angels_(science_fiction_novel)
Whose laughing now???
patch on September 9, 2013 at 12:05 PM

Sounds interesting and I like a lot of their writings. I’m between books right now and will look this one up. Thanks for the heads up. Another one that is good is “State of Fear” by Michael Crichton. The plot involves the eco-freaks trying to make their pridictions come true.

Dr. Frank Enstine on September 9, 2013 at 2:00 PM

For humans it may very well be decades. Maybe even a century. For the Earth it is tens of thousands of years. Years we have 0 data for other than proxy data which cannot be considered iron clad. It’s also data from very small sample areas like a few trees or ice cores from limited areas.

Dr. Frank Enstine on September 9, 2013 at 1:54 PM

A former co-worker who used to be an Air Force meteorologist made an interesting point many years ago when algore started this AGW fraud – prior to this scam, the standard base unit of measure for climatology used to be 10,000 years.
In order to perpetuate this fraud, the AGW alarmists have had to change the climatology base unit of measure to the 1 year or maybe decade level.

dentarthurdent on September 9, 2013 at 3:02 PM

Mother Nature is a Republican liar who doesn’t care about the environment.

Dollayo on September 9, 2013 at 3:10 PM

@ blink on September 8, 2013 at 9:44 PM

You forgot to note that 1979 is itself an arbitrarily picked cherry. The Arctic ice extent was the century’s largest, deep in the heart of the last “climate science” organized fraud. That time it was the new man caused “ice age”.

In a way, yes. But Arctic sea ice extent has been trending downward since 1979 – when data collection started (because satellites made it possible).

Actually, as the chart indicates, the amount of ice from this year is more like just an average amount.
Average going back as far as 2002.

papertiger on September 9, 2013 at 3:31 PM

forgot the link.
Long term trend towards scientific stupidity.

Love the way Goddard names his links.

papertiger on September 9, 2013 at 3:38 PM

And so I ask one more time, will one of the eco-fascists explain this:

Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast.

Well, were they right or wrong? If right, then show. If wrong, isn’t there the possibility that they’re wrong about everything?

itsspideyman on September 9, 2013 at 4:27 PM

Leaked IPCC report: The planet is actually cooling…

Resist We Much on September 9, 2013 at 7:11 PM

slickwillie2001 on September 9, 2013 at 8:07 PM

@ blink on September 9, 2013 at 6:37 PM

It’s arbitrary because there are satellite readings of the Arctic prior to 1979 that when included drastically alter the ice pack average, putting current conditions firmly in the normal category.

Steve’s graph (look at the 2nd one) is taken directly from the IPCC.

It’s irritating that he uses the overgrown snot rag, but throwing the whole 20K page book back in their smug faces has a certain justice to it, after what the warmists have been putting us through.

papertiger on September 10, 2013 at 12:44 AM

Nasa will still claim that 2013 was in the top ten warmest years ever. I think if you take ten towns at random that have been recording daily temps for a hundred years, not large enough to have the increasing heat island effect, and just average out the temperatures for every year using the daily high and/or low temp recordings, you can get a precise picture of warming or cooling. Then do another random ten and then another. Do this a hundred times and then throw out the outliers ( if you want, you don’t have to ) and average out the rest and you have a precise chart of what the climate has done for the last hundred years. You could have several people doing this independently and they will concur if each analyst is doing a large enough sample.

I expect this year would be in the top ten coolest.

Buddahpundit on September 9, 2013 at 2:34 AM

This reminds me of an analysis of heat island effect I read a few years ago (it possibly from the fellow who documented how many temperature stations used in the “official studies” were placed next to an asphalt parking lot or an AC compressor unit, etc.). It showed how a TX community’s temperatures showed a remarkable change in average high temperature – it was directly the result of a change in the agricultural irrigation methods used which increased the humidity of the area adjacent to the reporting station. So much for global warming.

in_awe on September 10, 2013 at 2:14 PM

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