Quinnipiac poll: McAuliffe +6 in Virginia

posted at 3:21 pm on August 21, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

We’re getting into that back-to-school time of year when people typically begin to actually tune in to upcoming elections in earnest, and the airwaves in Virginia are already plenty occupied with campaigns ads from the Terry McAuliffe and Ken Cuccinelli camps. I think we probably still have a little ways to go on the attention-front, but the latest poll on the gubernatorial race from Quinnipiac showing McAuliffe taking the edge isn’t particularly encouraging:

Democrat Terry McAuliffe has a 48 – 42 percent lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli in the race to become Virginia’s next governor, according to today’s Quinnipiac University poll, the first survey in this race among voters likely to vote in the November election.

The six-point lead for McAuliffe is not comparable to previous surveys by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, taken among registered voters.

Honesty is the most important quality Virginia likely voters are considering when they choose a candidate as 58 percent of voters say a candidate’s “honesty and trustworthiness” are “extremely important” while 35 percent say “very important.” Voters are divided 39 – 36 percent on whether McAuliffe is honest and trustworthy, and are divided 42 – 43 percent on Cuccinelli’s honesty.

It’s the first Virginia poll that’s been conducted in awhile, and I do think it’s a little odd that the pollsters left the libertarian candidate out of it, but… still. It isn’t surprising that the firebrandish Cuccinelli is the more strongly polarizing of the two, with McAuliffe still something of an unknown and squishy quantity. The interesting part, however, is that the GOP typically has an off-year turnout advantage — but with Virginia’s growing number of resident Democrats in recent years, with both candidates taking at least 90 percent of their own partisans (although with a few more Republicans defecting than Democrats), and independents swinging for Cuccinelli 44 – 42 — whether or not the usual Republican advantage will hold true is anybody’s game.

Also, this.

And of course, the gender gap. Oh, the gender gap.

The candidates break even 45 – 46 percent among men while McAuliffe takes women 50 – 38 percent. Cuccinelli wins white voters 50 – 42 percent, while black voters go Democratic 74 – 7 percent.

I guess this kind of crapola is still going strong, then. Exit quotation: “She’s got a great life. Listen, her credit cards are paid and all that. She knows I do very well.”


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Northern Federal State. Blue.

Bmore on August 21, 2013 at 3:28 PM

Well the LOFo’s loves them some crooks and McAuliffe fits the bill perfectly….

sandee on August 21, 2013 at 3:28 PM

They won’t even have to give him a key to the Governor’s Mansion, he can just ooze under the door.

trubble on August 21, 2013 at 3:29 PM

Virginia turned from a very reliable Republican state to a democrat state in less than 10 years… The reason is that there has been a huge increase in federal bureaucrats among its residents… In other word a massive increase of democrat voters…

mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:30 PM

“It is not enough to have every intelligent person in the country voting for me. I need a majority.”
- Adlai [Ewing] Stevenson (1900 – 1965)

Schadenfreude on August 21, 2013 at 3:32 PM

I feel sad for all those along the 81 corridor and elsewhere in the beautiful state of Va. Soon to be listed on states likely to fail?

Bmore on August 21, 2013 at 3:32 PM

More revolving establishment pols keeping the spoils among themselves.

Anyone ready to give up?

Parties are meaningless now.

We’re just pawns in the game, folks.

rickyricardo on August 21, 2013 at 3:32 PM

It’s Quinnipiac .. does it matter? Always scews to the lib side this pol does. :P

The ONLY reason that virginia is purple is because all the refugees from the PEOPLES REPUBLIC of MARYLAND have fled that messed up state to do the same to the Great Common Wealth of Virginia. GO BACK TO THE MESS YOU CREATED AND LEAVE MY STATE ALONE!

Cadian on August 21, 2013 at 3:33 PM

The States of Eastern California, Southern Illinois, and Northern Colorado will balance this out.

Oil Can on August 21, 2013 at 3:33 PM

mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:30 PM

No kidding. Here’s hoping for a state of South Virginia in the near future.

crrr6 on August 21, 2013 at 3:34 PM

Who cares? Virginia has been in a slow liberal rot for years.

rplat on August 21, 2013 at 3:35 PM

Virginia is pretty much going to be a blue state soon. The Northern part is getting more population dense with everyone moving there from DC and Maryland to find a cheaper place to live. It’s gonna turn blue sometime in the very near future.

Johnnyreb on August 21, 2013 at 3:35 PM

I don’t recall being polled. I guess the only way I can express my boundless contempt, disgust, and loathing for McScumbag is with my vote in November.

oldleprechaun on August 21, 2013 at 3:38 PM

The States of Eastern California, Southern Illinois, and Northern Colorado will balance this out.

Oil Can on August 21, 2013 at 3:33 PM

Do not forget East Oregon and East Washington. However, we will take a loss due to the breakaway Republic of Texas.

antisense on August 21, 2013 at 3:39 PM

The States of Eastern California, Southern Illinois, and Northern Colorado will balance this out.

Oil Can on August 21, 2013 at 3:33 PM

What about North Florida?

nobar on August 21, 2013 at 3:40 PM

If Virginians elect the sleazy dirtbag McAuliffe, they will truly get the leadership they deserve.

And they’ll get it good and hard.

AZCoyote on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Quoting myself from Headlines:

Here’s what Cuccinelli must overcome, and it has nothing to do with Filner’s “war on women”:

Honesty is the most important quality Virginia likely voters are considering when they choose a candidate as 58 percent of voters say a candidate’s “honesty and trustworthiness” are “extremely important” while 35 percent say “very important.” Voters are divided 39 – 36 percent on whether McAuliffe is honest and trustworthy, and are divided 42 – 43 percent on Cuccinelli’s honesty.

A candidate’s “understanding of the problems of people like you” is extremely important, 44 percent of voters say, while 38 percent say very important. Voters are divided on McAuliffe as 38 percent say he understands and 42 percent say he doesn’t. By a wide 51 – 37 percent margin, voters say Cuccinelli does not understand.

He has to make inroads on honesty. He should be hammering GreenTech. If there’s an opening for him, it’s right there. But even with that, “understanding of the problems of people like you” is killing Cuccinelli. I don’t know how you overcome that in late August. Probably too late. But he needs some down home, “hey, I’m just a regular guy” advertising, and he needs it quick.

Chris of Rights on August 21, 2013 at 3:35 PM

Chris of Rights on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Virginia turned from a very reliable Republican state to a democrat state in less than 10 years… The reason is that there has been a huge increase in federal bureaucrats among its residents… In other word a massive increase of democrat voters…
mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Virginia turned from a very reliable Republican state to a democrat state in less than 10 years… The reason is that there has been a huge increase in federal bureaucrats among its residents… In other word a massive increase of democrat voters…

mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Also a very large influx of immigrants into Fairfax and Prince William Counties.

rockmom on August 21, 2013 at 3:42 PM

Virginia is pretty much going to be a blue state soon. The Northern part is getting more population dense with everyone moving there from DC and Maryland to find a cheaper place to live. It’s gonna turn blue sometime in the very near future.

Johnnyreb on August 21, 2013 at 3:35 PM

It has been already turned into a blue state due to a massive increase in federal work force among its resident and as someone else mentioned on this thread a massive migration to Virginia from Maryland and DC… The only reason Republicans are still holding House Seats and have strong presence in local legislature is that these elections are held on district level where Republicans voters have district distribution advantage for now… However on a total state vote like Presidential, Senate, or Governor the parasites of the democrat party have the advantage…

mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:42 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Wisconsin and Michigan are getting close. Pennsylvania would be red were it not for Philadelphia.

rockmom on August 21, 2013 at 3:43 PM

I don’t recall being polled. I guess the only way I can express my boundless contempt, disgust, and loathing for McScumbag is with my vote in November.

oldleprechaun on August 21, 2013 at 3:38 PM

Not to worry. I’ve been polled twice and I expressed enough contempt, disgust and loathing for Democrats in general and McDipstick in particular for both of us and then some.

Oldnuke on August 21, 2013 at 3:43 PM

But, but, I was told that when you run a True Conservative against a liberal on clearly articulated conservative principles, the conservative will win every time.

Don’t tell me, the polls are rigged, and Cucinelli is really ahead.

Excuse me while I go get ready for Ted Cruz 2016, because he’s going to be President.

Mr. Arkadin on August 21, 2013 at 3:45 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Republicans don’t promise free stuff.

Oldnuke on August 21, 2013 at 3:45 PM

However, we will take a loss due to the breakaway Republic of Texas.

antisense on August 21, 2013 at 3:39 PM

I believe if Texas breaks away you see every other red state follow. It will become three countries…with some of the red areas in blue states trying to join the Red USA.

Oil Can on August 21, 2013 at 3:46 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Many Southern states were reliably democrat until Ronald Reagan came… Now all these states are reliably Republican…

mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:46 PM

Before you slit your wrists, let’s put things in a little perspective.

Since the Civil War, Virginia has had 29 Democratic governors and 8 Republicans.

2 of the last 3 Virginia governors were Democrats.

Bat Chain Puller on August 21, 2013 at 3:46 PM

In any sane year, the idea that the most corrupt Clinton crony could become governor in Virginia would be considered insane. However, in this year, the current R governor has given truth to Lord Action’s axiom. And that tars Cuccinelli, fair or not. There’s no evidence to suggest that Cuccinelli is guilty of any shenanigans, but the MacacaPo will continue to beat the topic to death. Also, I’m looking forward to the next expose of Cuccinelli’s 1st grade writing.

One big difference that I’ve noticed in the last few years is how my response to scandalous behavior by people that I’ve voted for is to hope that they go away. Quickly. The Democrats, on the other hand, tend to support their guy no matter what. Send pictures of your junk over the Internet? Cheat on your taxes? Have sex with underage people? Leave someone to suffocate/drown in the back of your car? Apparently none of that matters if you have a “D” after your name.

I’ve lived through governors that I didn’t like, and whose policies I opposed, but McAuliffe would be my first governor that make me physically ill.

Physics Geek on August 21, 2013 at 3:47 PM

Go ahead Virginia, vote in another Obama crony statist and you will look like Maryland & New York….
All the small business’s flee and your taxes go way up…..and quality of life keeps on sucking.

redguy on August 21, 2013 at 3:47 PM

Seems that all is working out well for Team Cantor.

besser tot als rot on August 21, 2013 at 3:50 PM

So the more he’s exposed as a corrupt businessman,
and all around Human Parasite, the more he leads in
the polling there??

Got it.
To quote a famous Christmas message,

“Yes Virginia, there’s is a Fu*king idiot soon to be
your Governor”

ToddPA on August 21, 2013 at 3:51 PM

Go ahead Virginia, vote in another Obama crony statist

redguy on August 21, 2013 at 3:47 PM

Cantor’s strategist and former chief of staff just endorsed him. Can he really be called an “Obama crony statist?” I prefer to call him a “Cantor crony statist.”

besser tot als rot on August 21, 2013 at 3:51 PM

Wasn’t there another recent poll where Cuccinelli was up 6 points?

It probably depends on whom you ask…

Steve Z on August 21, 2013 at 3:52 PM

Q also has nothing on McDonnell. But it’s perfectly obvious McD’s scandal has hurt Cuccinelli. Letter “R” links them.
6:41 AM – 21 Aug 2013

Ain’t that the truth. The Virginia Beach Pilot has been doing it’s very best to tie Cuccinelli to McDonnell’s scandals. They finally did a piece on Mcauliffe’s green tech disastrous business deal, but it was short lived. I actually received a Breaking News email on Saturday about McD’s wife and the loan deal. Cuccinelli has a lot of work to do since it’s an unfair fight.

conservative pilgrim on August 21, 2013 at 3:53 PM

It’s Quinnipiac .. does it matter? Always scews to the lib side this pol does. :P

The ONLY reason that virginia is purple is because all the refugees from the PEOPLES REPUBLIC of MARYLAND have fled that messed up state to do the same to the Great Common Wealth of Virginia. GO BACK TO THE MESS YOU CREATED AND LEAVE MY STATE ALONE!

Cadian on August 21, 2013 at 3:33 PM

I don’t agree at all. The VA GOP is horrific and is largely to blame for their own debacle.

besser tot als rot on August 21, 2013 at 3:54 PM

Before you slit your wrists, let’s put things in a little perspective.

Since the Civil War, Virginia has had 29 Democratic governors and 8 Republicans.

2 of the last 3 Virginia governors were Democrats.

Bat Chain Puller on August 21, 2013 at 3:46 PM

Great point to put things in perspective… When we look at the history US elections we find out that there is an overall equilibrium and corrections occurred all the time to bring this equilibrium… There was never a single party rule and will never be… I know some very pessimistic people (who think that they are realists) really do believe that there will a democrat rule forever but it is never going to happen…

mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:56 PM

I don’t think that a single year passed when I lived in VA that the VA GOP congress (especially Senate) voted to raise taxes.

besser tot als rot on August 21, 2013 at 3:56 PM

Perhaps this country is too dumb to save.

bw222 on August 21, 2013 at 3:57 PM

The state immediately to the south, North Carolina, will experience a bit of a rebirth soon.

If McScumbag gets elected, we’ll see businesses start to relocate there.

22044 on August 21, 2013 at 4:00 PM

This is why I’m looking to move…the libs have fled the states they’ve ruined only to infest VA and slowly seek to turn it into what they left behind. McAuliffe is a snake, the kind of man his best bud Bill Clinton wouldn’t buy a used car off of, and he’s done nothing that makes him qualified for the office. Yet, these idiots will vote for him because Cuccinelli wants to force women into back alley abortions, or whatever the hell they’re lying about at the moment.

Ugh. Of course, it doesn’t help that yet another moderate GOPer who didn’t get the nod is refusing to support the nominee. Maybe we’ll get attorney general, at least.

changer1701 on August 21, 2013 at 4:00 PM

Voters are divided 39 – 36 percent on whether McAuliffe is honest and trustworthy.

Just let this bit of info soak in for a moment…

ToddPA on August 21, 2013 at 4:05 PM

Cadian on August 21, 2013 at 3:33 PM

4

Hey I fled MD to get a damn job-don’t blame me I’m a conservative who was trapped in a Blue State hell. Then again I fled far enough south that NoVA is a separate state to us down here.

SgtSVJones on August 21, 2013 at 4:06 PM

So, black and women voters are objectively stupid or uninformed and do not care about chronic and abusive corruption in government.

rrpjr on August 21, 2013 at 4:08 PM

Cooch needs to be winning at least 55% of the white vote.
He’s only at 50% in this poll.

sentinelrules on August 21, 2013 at 4:08 PM

But, but, I was told that when you run a True Conservative against a liberal on clearly articulated conservative principles, the conservative will win every time.

Don’t tell me, the polls are rigged, and Cucinelli is really ahead.

Excuse me while I go get ready for Ted Cruz 2016, because he’s going to be President.

Mr. Arkadin on August 21, 2013 at 3:45 PM

Oh, look. A Mittbot that is still in circulation.

Hate to break it to you, but Mitt lost.

Bitter Clinger on August 21, 2013 at 4:09 PM

In other news Lucifer elected to Presidency of United States……who would be surprised at this point?

I mean when you have McCain appearing in a promo for Aljezzera and their new cable channel…..what could be shocking?

Virginia is lost when someone as bad as Mr. Global Crossing can win the highest office in the state.

Hells bells maybe Biden or Hillary will pick him for Veep.

PappyD61 on August 21, 2013 at 4:12 PM

And why do any of you still support the gop, when they can’t even find a candidate to beat someone as bad as McAullife?

A great mystery.

PappyD61 on August 21, 2013 at 4:14 PM

Don’t tell me, the polls are rigged, and Cucinelli is really ahead.
Mr. Arkadin on August 21, 2013 at 3:45 PM

Pretty much. He’s also operating a significant money disadvantage. But he’s going to win.

And “moderate Mitt” lost, by the way.

rrpjr on August 21, 2013 at 4:15 PM

for once I would just like to see a blue state go red

ChunkyLover on August 21, 2013 at 4:16 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

West Virginia, Arkansas both have or are in the process of doing so.

KW64 on August 21, 2013 at 4:18 PM

We did elect Kaine as both Gov and then Senator and there is not a dimes worth of difference between him and McAuliffe. So, I’m not optimistic but I am donating and supporting Cucinelli as much as possible. Our area is being bombarded with McAuliffe commercials. They outnumber the Cucinelli spots by about five to one.

And, please quit tarring all government workers with the same brush. As one myself and listening to informal conversations around the building Cucinelli is up big with the government workers at this site.

SoonerMarine on August 21, 2013 at 4:18 PM

Robert Sarvis: The sensible alternative.

RayinVA on August 21, 2013 at 4:20 PM

West Virginia, Arkansas both have or are in the process of doing so.

KW64 on August 21, 2013 at 4:18 PM

Problem is that those two states have fewer combined electoral votes than VA. We’re going to have to flip bigger states.

Mark1971 on August 21, 2013 at 4:22 PM

if you look at this map

http://www.270towin.com/

the current status quo looks pretty stable…for the left. VA and FL are two big EV players..the left wants to keep them. Thus the zimmerman trial and the VA gov. I’m sure they’ll spend anything to get McAuliffe in there

r keller on August 21, 2013 at 4:25 PM

The hangover from McDonnell’s gift “scandal” (there remains no evidence of any laws broken, just looks bad) is dragging down the GOP, there is time to distance our candidates from that.

McAuliffe is fortunate that the bulk of Democratic voters are stupid, parasitic drones for whom his history of corrupt cronyism is an unwelcome distraction from his promises of more gravy. Low Information Voters are all that keep the Democrats viable in all but the bluest states, primarily women and minorities, all with their minds tightly closed and their hands outstretched.

If McAuliffe can be elected, it is a very bad sign for America. It’s a bad sign for America that the SOB isn’t in prison, come to think of it.

Adjoran on August 21, 2013 at 4:29 PM

This state would be red as a beet if we could give NOVA to the District of Columbia. Instead, the rest of the state are stuck with all of the federales who are beholdin to the gubmint for their jobs. They vote in their own interest and not those of the rest of VA. Too bad because it gives us idiots like McAwful and Tim Kaine.

College Prof on August 21, 2013 at 4:32 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Call me crazy but Wisconsin may be a long term project for slowly moving Red and it has 10 EV. WI has several rising GOP stars that can bring appeal to the middle class for the GOP brand on terms of fiscal responsibiility.

KW64 on August 21, 2013 at 4:33 PM

1998 is the last time Cali went red

ChunkyLover on August 21, 2013 at 4:37 PM

1988 not 1998

ChunkyLover on August 21, 2013 at 4:38 PM

In my NoVA voting precinct it was 900 Obama, 400 Romney, 21 Johnson.
and 2 of those Johnson votes were from my household.

It’s a mix of bureaucrats and aging hippies in my neighborhood. and a few right-wing nut jobs (a term of endearment) and what McCain would call whack-o-birds.

NoVAHockey on August 21, 2013 at 4:40 PM

Wisconsin and Michigan are getting close.

Based on what evidence?

Pennsylvania would be red were it not for Philadelphia.

rockmom on August 21, 2013 at 3:43 PM

But Philadelphia exists so…..I don’t know why that is relevant. And Pittsburgh is also quite blue.

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:47 PM

. Low Information Voters are all that keep the Democrats viable in all but the bluest states, primarily women and minorities, all with their minds tightly closed and their hands outstretched.

That’ll win em over!

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:48 PM

NoVAHockey on August 21, 2013 at 4:40 PM
mnjg on August 21, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Yep. Northern VA is staining this state blue. I would add the high number of immigrants in this region are adding to the D count as well.

lucyvanpelt on August 21, 2013 at 4:49 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

you know what they say, “Once you go slack you never go back”.

DanMan on August 21, 2013 at 4:49 PM

Call me crazy but Wisconsin may be a long term project for slowly moving Red and it has 10 EV. WI has several rising GOP stars that can bring appeal to the middle class for the GOP brand on terms of fiscal responsibiility.

KW64 on August 21, 2013 at 4:33 PM

By the time WI goes red, AZ will be blue….

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:52 PM

That’ll win em over!

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:48 PM

Why not thats how you got them in the first place its called the great society and dont f ing deny it.

ChunkyLover on August 21, 2013 at 4:53 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

mrscullen on August 21, 2013 at 3:41 PM

Conservatives do not move into failing liberal states. Fkg. liberals move but continue to be and vote for the commies that destroyed the state they abandoned. Proving once again that fkg. libs. are insane.

they lie on August 21, 2013 at 4:56 PM

. Low Information Voters are all that keep the Democrats viable in all but the bluest states, primarily women and minorities, all with their minds tightly closed and their hands outstretched.

That’ll win em over!

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:48 PM

Kind of like your Racist diatribes on here….

..That’ll win us over!!!!!!!!!!!!

ToddPA on August 21, 2013 at 4:59 PM

By the time WI goes red, AZ will be blue….

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:52 PM

And as more people move to economically growing states, electoral votes shift to GOP areas. Look at the 2010 census results. I expect a simlar change in 2020. The trends may balance out.

KW64 on August 21, 2013 at 5:07 PM

And as more people move to economically growing states, electoral votes shift to GOP areas. Look at the 2010 census results. I expect a simlar change in 2020. The trends may balance out.

KW64 on August 21, 2013 at 5:07 PM

Except that a number of red states are failing economically. That’s the hilarity of conservatives complaining about blue state decline. For most of the 20th centuries, rural America has been economically stagnant or depressed. The cities, and modern life, drove economic growth. What you are seeing is blue states come back into line with red states…so yeah that’s a victory for conservatism or something.

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 5:11 PM

It’s time to have an open dialogue about breaking this country up to keep the blue state parasites out of red states

Daemonocracy on August 21, 2013 at 5:12 PM

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 5:11 PM

Ah, thanks for the lesson. Nice to know that’s why everyone is moving down here from those blue states. Good deal.

Bmore on August 21, 2013 at 5:18 PM

I thought for a minute it might be those pesky failing Northern cities. You know, like Detroit.

Bmore on August 21, 2013 at 5:21 PM

For most of the 20th centuries, rural America has been economically stagnant or depressed. The cities, and modern life, drove economic growth. What you are seeing is blue states come back into line with red states…so yeah that’s a victory for conservatism or something.

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 5:11 PM

Yeah, everybody wants to move to Detroit.

Happy Nomad on August 21, 2013 at 5:22 PM

Go ahead Va, this guy is a complete disaster. Don’t say I didn’t tell ya.

rjoco1 on August 21, 2013 at 5:43 PM

Bill Bolling would have won and is more in line with the typical Virginia politician. Cuccinelli on the other hand seems to be universally hated by both Democrats in the state and the Republican establishment in Richmond.

Punchenko on August 21, 2013 at 5:46 PM

By the time WI goes red, AZ will be blue….

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:52 PM

But you will also probably loose Michigan. The one advantage of having a major city blow up is it kills a massive voting block of progressives. I have come to the conclusion that this is a urban vs. rural battle with the berbs up for grabs depending the circumstances. For example there was a largely Hispanic California district that voted for a republican for the California senate but it was rural. Thus if the Hispanics are migrant farm workers, or work in agricultural fields they may not end up as democrats. Rural Hispanics are not fans of environmentalism, gay rights, abortion, etc. just like rural whites. The ones that end up in urban hell holes are more likely to be indoctrinated into voting for the left.

This is my theory: The democrat base is reliant on tax dollars for their living. So a state or city that can pay for their services will be democratic but if that area, state or city won’t or can’t anymore that vote will dry up because those people will leave for greener pro-tax and spend pastures.

The GOP battle plan should be let Philadelphia, Chicago, and the whole state of California go bankrupt and fall to pieces then come in and retake the state once those that rely on tax dollars for living leave for other states who will pay for their services. The way to predict this is to look at the cities and states in the most economic trouble like Detroit. If a big urban center goes down in flames it will purge the state of a major democrat voting block needed for winning national elections for President, and state wide positions like Senate and Governor.

So Virginia will become more blue, Pennsylvania will become more red once Philadelphia dies economically. In other words racial demographics is not a good indicator of future performance of a political party.

William Eaton on August 21, 2013 at 6:01 PM

In other words racial demographics is not a good indicator of future performance of a political party.

William Eaton on August 21, 2013 at 6:01 PM

Except that every Presidential election of the past 30 years says otherwise….but go with it!

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 6:07 PM

Except that every Presidential election of the past 30 years says otherwise….but go with it!

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 6:07 PM

1984, 1988, 1992, 1996, 2000 and 2004 were decided by racial demographics?

sentinelrules on August 21, 2013 at 6:11 PM

libfreeordie on August 21, 2013 at 4:52 PM

Let me add this as well the progressive model has one fatal flaw in it which the idea that you run up huge debts for a massive civil service, and pay super generous pension plans to city and state employees forever is wrong. At some point the people who produce the tax dollars leave or the funds are spent so badly that no amount tax dollars can save it. It may take half a century from the beginning to the end of the ride but it will happen. When it happens it will cause a collapse of progressive population in a area. Also suburbia will experience the same thing leaving only the more conservative or at least people employed in the private sector behind.

The progressive model also has other flaws like their support of abortion which mostly terminates future progressive voters, conservatives don’t abort their children, and support for certain religions like Islam which go counter to women’s rights and almost everything progressives believe in. Also racial politics is a double edge sword because at some point Hispanics vs. Blacks/White Progressives will square off for power in the party leading to massive divisions. I don’t think Hispanics will be happy being led around by white folks from Manhattan, Ivy League lawyers and black race baiters. They will want their people running the show…thus leading to a break.

William Eaton on August 21, 2013 at 6:17 PM

Virginia (Maryland too for that matter) are so overwhelmed with the Fourth Branch of government (the Bureaucracy)-hundreds of thousands of overpaid, underworked, non-firable union employees whose lavish salaries, medical insurance (and it will NEVER be Obamacare) and nation=draining pension plans are ALL overwhelmingly paid for by white taxpayers, that what used to be the most Confederate of the Confederate State is turning into Massachusetts.

Virginia is going from red to blue. Maryland from powder blue to navy blue.

MaiDee on August 21, 2013 at 6:32 PM

with McAuliffe still something of an unknown and squishy quantity.

Yeah, the clips i’ve seen of him tells me he’s going to win easily, he vomits out all the correct bland stuff that never links him with an unpopular issue even if he is linked with it and only gets specific on issues he knows are popular, low info voters eat that up and the media will cover for him since has a D by his name, all that equals an easy win.

clearbluesky on August 21, 2013 at 6:41 PM

Oh, look. A Mittbot that is still in circulation.

Hate to break it to you, but Mitt lost.

Bitter Clinger on August 21, 2013 at 4:09 PM

I know Mitt lost. According to you, he lost because he was a RINO, no difference between him and Obama. Cucinelli is a conservative’s conservative. Big difference between him and McAuliff. So why is he not ahead?

This is your chance, Bitter Clinger. Virginia may be leaning blue, but it leans less blue than the country at large. Not long ago it was bright red. So a True Conservative candidate should have a better shot here than in the country at large. Either Cucinelli wins in Virginia, or the entire theory that clearly articulated conservatism wins every time when given a chance fails.

Or are you going to argue that Cucinelli is a RINO? Or that the Obama administration is using data illegally collected by the NSA to manipulate the polls and the election?

Mr. Arkadin on August 21, 2013 at 6:43 PM

This is almost entirely the result of that morass around D.C. There are other areas that have begun to cling more tightly to the government teat, as well, but they’re the lion’s share.

GWB on August 21, 2013 at 7:07 PM

Why is it that we never see blue states turn red? It’s rather saddening.

WEST Virginia?

Another Drew on August 21, 2013 at 7:20 PM

William Eaton on August 21, 2013 at 6:17 PM

William Eaton, spot on. Nice job. Can’t be said enough. Thank you. ; )

Bmore on August 21, 2013 at 7:24 PM

So the cockroaches are moving in, devouring another prosperous state, then will move out and destroy another once the taxes and regs get too high.

Decoski on August 21, 2013 at 8:56 PM

Look at the Hispanic population by county for the most recent census.

They will turn Texas blue by the end of the decade. Arizona will fall first (probably 2016). Montana is also close. Florida is gone. The entire Northeast and Midwest are blue. The gop leadership is already pissing on their southern Conservative base so turnout will suck in 2014 and with a RNO in 2016 the republican will be lucky to win 200 EV. Even with Biden as the Dem nominee.

And that’s without 20 million PLUS legal new Illegal aliens being able to vote after AMNESTY.

Think that’s to pessimistic? Have you forgotten what the gop nominated in the last two cycles?

PappyD61 on August 21, 2013 at 9:25 PM

The rise of TEATERMERICA!!

Where everyone can get a backpack if food for the weekend…..

http://feedingamerica.org/how-we-fight-hunger/programs-and-services/child-hunger/backpack-program.aspx

Who needs parents to feed you when Uncle Sam will provide?

PappyD61 on August 21, 2013 at 9:31 PM

What is amazing about this poll if it is accurate is that educated bureaucrats will vote like lemmings when their wallet is in jeopardy. It is unbelieveable that educated people would elect a buffoon like Mcauliff knowing that he is one of the biggest hucksters in this century. They know that he will destroy the state and ruin anyone connected to him and yet they cannot take their eyes off of the prize which is more federal money and job security for them. Anyone who says that Republicans vote along party lines hasn’t seen anything like this where their vote is self destructive.

inspectorudy on August 21, 2013 at 11:53 PM

If that scumbag McAuliffe gets elected then Virginia ought change its name to “Washington’s Little Bitch.”

I pray the decent part of the state outvotes the Washington crowd and other looters.

WannabeAnglican on August 22, 2013 at 9:39 AM

This state would be red as a beet if we could give NOVA to the District of Columbia. Instead, the rest of the state are stuck with all of the federales who are beholdin to the gubmint for their jobs. They vote in their own interest and not those of the rest of VA. Too bad because it gives us idiots like McAwful and Tim Kaine.

College Prof on August 21, 2013 at 4:32 PM

Give Arlington, Alexandria, the peoples Republic of the City of Falls Church, and eastern portions of wFairfax Co. to DC. My little outpost of western Fairfax Co is pretty solid red, as is neighboring Loudon Co. and Prince William Co.

RandallinHerndon on August 22, 2013 at 9:58 AM

In a normal, sane world, Cuccinelli’s ads would have sunk an opposing candidate who lied about bringing manufacturing jobs to Virginia when he instead shipped them to China and Mississippii. But, Northern Virginia is heavily democratic with 99% of it’s population latched onto the Federal, BIG-GOVERNMENT teat as civil service employees. They love Mega-Government types like McAuliffe. They couldn’t give a rat’s pitooty about private sector jobs or scandals associated therewith.

olesparkie on August 22, 2013 at 10:55 AM