PPP poll: McAuliffe plus four over Cuccinelli in Virginia

posted at 1:21 pm on July 16, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

Public Policy Polling is the latest to take the temperature of 2013′s only competitive gubernatorial race, and by their measure, Democrat Terry McAuliffe currently has a four-point lead over Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, via Politico:

The survey by Democratic firm Public Policy Polling has McAuliffe at 41 percent, compared with 37 percent for Cuccinelli and 7 percent for libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis. Fifteen percent said they’re undecided.

McAuliffe also leads among self-described independents, 40 percent to 33 percent. Twenty percent of independents are undecided.

The poll, shared early with POLITICO, also finds both McAuliffe and Cuccinelli with underwater favorability ratings: 32 percent of voters view Cuccinelli favorably, while 47 percent have a negative opinion of him. McAuliffe’s ratings are 34 percent favorable and 36 percent unfavorable.

The candidates have been running close in polls for months. Both McAuliffe and Cuccinelli have stepped up their attacks in recent weeks, which is likely to make their favorability ratings drop even further.

The polls concerning Cuccinelli and McAuliffe have indeed been going back-and-forth with often slim margins for months now, but this is the first poll anyone’s taken since a libertarian managed to make his way onto the ballot at the end of June:

The Libertarian Party of Virginia announced Thursday that its gubernatorial candidate, Robert Sarvis, obtained the 10,000 signatures of registered Virginia voters needed to earn a spot on November’s ballot. Virginia’s requirements for third-party ballot access required Sarvis to collect at least 400 of those signatures from each of the Commonwealth’s 11 congressional districts.

Sarvis, a lawyer, software engineer and math teacher from Annandale who might be characterized as fiscally conservative and socially liberal, is running a campaign around the issues of tax reform, school choice, gun rights, marijuana legalization, drug decriminalization and reform, and recognizing gay marriages.

“Virginia needs open-minded, economically literate leadership, not culture wars and class wars,” Sarvis said in a statement announcing he had earned a spot on the ballot. “By protecting personal and economic freedom, we can make Virginia the envy of the world, with a growing economy that adds jobs and raises incomes, and a system of laws providing equality and justice for all. So let’s buck the two-party system, bring people together and build a Virginia that’s open-minded and open for business.”

Ahem. And… well, to put it somewhat gently — things are not going too well for current Gov. Bob McDonnell during his final year in office, via HuffPo:

Scandal-plagued Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell’s (R) approval rating has dropped 12 percentage points in the past two months, according to a survey released Monday by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling.

A widening FBI probe into gifts from a corporate donors has driven McDonnell’s job rating underwater for the first time in his tenure, according to PPP, with 36 percent of voters approving and 41 percent disapproving. In May, McDonnell had a 44 percent approval rating. …

Since then, news about the FBI investigation has grown. Last week, The Washington Post reported that McDonnell and his wife received $120,000 in undisclosed gifts from Jonnie R. Williams Sr., the CEO of a dietary supplement company called Star Scientific whose products McDonnell promoted.

…Merp. The tarnishing of what might have been Gov. McDonnell’s otherwise fairly sterling legacy began with widespread conservative wrath over his mega-sized transportation bill last spring, but now Democrats are going to use his possible indictment to try and cast a pall over the entire Virginia GOP — and you can bet that they’ll be making every effort to paint Cuccinelli with the same brush by linking him to the scandal.

Anyhow. The cash-monies situation seems to be trending toward McAuliffe at the moment, too; the guy is a former Democratic National Committee chairman, and his years building up his fundraising ability was definitely a huge factor in his candidacy in the traditionally more reddish-leaning but lately pretty purplish commonwealth:

Democrat Terry McAuliffe’s campaign outpaced Republican rival Ken Cuccinelli in June fundraising in Virginia’s gubernatorial race, according to figures released Monday.

McAuliffe’s campaign reported that it raised more than $1.9 million in June, compared to $1.1 million raised during the same period by Attorney General Cuccinelli.

McAuliffe also is leading Cuccinelli when it comes to the total amount of cash each campaign has available to spend, which becomes more important as Election Day nears. McAuliffe reported having more than $6 million in cash on hand. Cuccinelli reported having nearly $2.7 million in cash on hand.

The Virginia Public Access Project reported that Cuccinelli spent nearly $100,000 more in June than he raised, while McAuliffe raised more than $580,000 than he spent.


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Yay?

Bmore on July 16, 2013 at 1:23 PM

Federal employee state.

Bmore on July 16, 2013 at 1:24 PM

The next Md.

Bmore on July 16, 2013 at 1:24 PM

Gah!

annoyinglittletwerp on July 16, 2013 at 1:28 PM

Always thought about moving to Virginia. Not so much now.

mrscullen on July 16, 2013 at 1:30 PM

Looks like I didn’t move far enough south. Oh well – still too early to be meaningful.

crrr6 on July 16, 2013 at 1:30 PM

Virginia is no longer a Southern state. Too many of its residents owe their livelihood to the government, and it is getting worse.

fegerter on July 16, 2013 at 1:34 PM

Virginia is gone.

To latched onto the teat of the Federal Sow to think straight.

Add Va to the list:

California
New York
Illinois
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Vermont
Conn and Rhode Island
Oregon
Washington state
Hawaii
Colorado….and now…
….Virginia

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:35 PM

….I forgot Maryland, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota as well.

GONE.

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:36 PM

McAullife / Gentel 2016

The Cracka and the…..not Cracka.

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:37 PM

This is a two-fer. The Dems are going after McDonnell to squash any future political ambitions and connect (try anyway) Cuccunelli to a “scandal-plagued” McDonnell.

conservative pilgrim on July 16, 2013 at 1:37 PM

PUNK

ToddPA on July 16, 2013 at 1:38 PM

I’m in VA, I’m registered Republican and I wouldn’t vote for Cuccinelli. I think he’s an extremist and a knucklehead and he’s borderline corrupt.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

We’re screwed. Kaine was bad enough, but McAuliffe is a snake oil salesmen and an absolute joke of a candidate for governor.

Oh well, there’s always the attorney general spot.

changer1701 on July 16, 2013 at 1:44 PM

Virginia is just another part of the East Coast liberal swamp. What once was a conservative stronghold is now the kingdom of federal workers and left wing causes.

rplat on July 16, 2013 at 1:45 PM

I’m in VA, I’m registered Republican and I wouldn’t vote for Cuccinelli. I think he’s an extremist and a knucklehead and he’s borderline corrupt.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

I just can’t wait to those of your ilk run out and display those stupid women again who make the claim that anybody who is pro-life is dangerous for the Commonwealth. Because, after all, the governor’s race is all about getting in the guy who best protects the vagina vote. Stupid, vapid single-issue partisan whores who don’t give a rat’s behind the Macauliffe is getting most of his money from unions and has declared he isn’t overly supportive of VA as a right-to-work state.

Whatever hatred you have for Cuccinelli, the solution to the Commonwealth’s problems is not Macauliffe and his Clinton connections and national corruption that isn’t close to being borderline.

Happy Nomad on July 16, 2013 at 1:45 PM

I’m in VA, I’m registered Republican and I wouldn’t vote for Cuccinelli. I think he’s an extremist and a knucklehead and he’s borderline corrupt.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

You’re either on crack or not actually a Republican. Cuccinelli is a solid conservative and AG. You’re going to stay home and not try to stop Terry McAuliffe, the liberal former DNC chairman, from becoming your governor?

crrr6 on July 16, 2013 at 1:47 PM

I feel for all those in Va. along 81 and the rest of the state where the citizens do not rely on the Feral gov.

Bmore on July 16, 2013 at 1:49 PM

I’m in VA, I’m registered Republican and I wouldn’t vote for Cuccinelli. I think he’s an extremist and a knucklehead and he’s borderline corrupt.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

I doubt you live in Virginia, since you can’t register as a Republican nor a Democrat in Virginia.

You can’t register by party in Virginia.

sentinelrules on July 16, 2013 at 1:49 PM

Gah!

annoyinglittletwerp on July 16, 2013 at 1:28 PM

Still being moderated by the nannies?

cozmo on July 16, 2013 at 1:50 PM

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:35 PM

You need to look at the history of VA in electing Governors. It’s been back and forth here for years.

That being said, there is a long way to go here. But I do agree that the tide has been turning slowly the last few years.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

I assume you mean you are registered metaphorically. VA does not ask for party affiliation.

BierManVA on July 16, 2013 at 1:51 PM

Apparently this will be the Bush light election version of 2008. Except this time it will be McDonnell as the scape goat. Oh well another State down the crapper.

DDay on July 16, 2013 at 1:52 PM

How glad am I for moving to Texas from Virginia in 2009?

I have as good of a chance of becoming Governor, in comparison to any Democrat who will run, including Windy Davis.

NoDonkey on July 16, 2013 at 1:52 PM

Politicians are not Saints. However, is it coincidence the Obuma FBI and who knows how many others in that Admin just happen to be investigating a sitting R Governor in a VA Governor’s election year. Why is not the FBI investigating McAuliffe, plenty of underhanded goings on there to warrant an investigation since way back to the Clinton Admin. Never mind, McAuliffe is untouchable with that capital D behind his name.

aposematic on July 16, 2013 at 1:56 PM

VA elections are now controlled by the massive corruption in the Counties surrounding DC, the East coast, the UVA area Counties, and the voter machine controllers.

aposematic on July 16, 2013 at 2:02 PM

I’m in VA, I’m registered Republican and I wouldn’t vote for Cuccinelli. I think he’s an extremist and a knucklehead and he’s borderline corrupt.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

That reads like a “how to concern troll” 101 answer.

conservative pilgrim on July 16, 2013 at 2:04 PM

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

Thank you for not being helpful. And being ignorant as well. Cuccinelli is not an extremist.

22044 on July 16, 2013 at 2:08 PM

When Reps don’t nominate those with views that reflect a WINNING % of their constituencies…they may expect to be 3rd partied and voted down. VA ain’t SC or GA where Cucci-Cucci might be a good fit. The “prober” should never have been nominated.
YES…McAuliffe if FAR worse… but not on the things that matter most to VA residents this cycle. Cucci’s high negatives are the result of HIS actions and HIS rejection by more moderate Republicans and Independents…and particularly women. He has only himself to blame. Personally I think he is a self-promoting charlatan…but I’d vote for him over McA while holding my nose anyway.

camaraderie on July 16, 2013 at 2:09 PM

No awesome…

go ahead Virginia you’ve benfitted mightily from the SuperState’s theft from the rest of America may as well keep the chain going.

harlekwin15 on July 16, 2013 at 2:14 PM

As someone who lives in Northern Virginia, I can assure you that the reason that Virginia is being corrupted is because of all the liberals who have fled Maryland due, to the hell hole that is Maryland, to only defile the great state of Virginia with their Socialist and morally degraded ideas. This pack of locusts will keep moving from state to state that they in turn ruin until everyone state in America is a wellfare state and completely controlled by a feckless central government that will be the demise of this once great nation.

Cadian on July 16, 2013 at 2:16 PM

McAuliffe is guarenteed the win.He is owed big time by the dems.The ballots are already counted.They will steal the election in full view and get away with it.

docflash on July 16, 2013 at 2:18 PM

It is beginning to look like the Libertarians are a false flag operation for the Democrats. The Libertarian party never will gain enough support to even come close to winning a statewide election anywhere but they will make sure Republicans won’t get elected. McAuliffe is a corrupt New Jersey politician that has migrated to the DC suburbs. He didn’t move to Maryland because there was no way he could run for Governor.

We have to live with the fact Democratic Party constituencies don’t care how corrupt their candidates are or that they not only fail to keep their promisies but they constantly screw their main supporters. As long as they keep abortion legal until the 10 month they will pull the D lever. Libertarians aren’t any better. Just give them drugs, sex and of course abortion and they don’t care if a Democrat ends up in office because at least abortion and sex will be swell.

For those who claim that the left has taken over Virginia guess again. The balance has changed enough because of the growth federal employees and not welfare recipients in Northern Virginia. The rest of the state remains solidly red. Virginia is a purple state where turnout will determine who wins.

There is still plenty of sway in the electorate for Cuccinelli to win but with the idiot Libertarian in the way it is going be very dificult.

jerryofva on July 16, 2013 at 2:23 PM

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:36 PM

+ New Mexico

kirkill on July 16, 2013 at 2:23 PM

jerryofva on July 16, 2013 at 2:23 PM

None of the libertarians I know favor any social issues over conservative fiscal issues.

kirkill on July 16, 2013 at 2:25 PM

“Blind pursuit of ideological battles have repulsed many voters, leaving them with a sense the GOP is a scary, narrow-minded, out-of-touch party, he added, arguing Republicans can maintain their core principles and still make an appealing case to voters.”

http://hamptonroads.com/2013/03/bolling-gop-needs-new-outreach-not-slavery-rhetoric

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 2:26 PM

Before you throw in the towel, MacAuliffe’s 41% isn’t exactly a ringing endorsement. It’s a long way until the election and nationally the Dem’s aren’t building any momentum.

Tater Salad on July 16, 2013 at 2:27 PM

Thank you for not being helpful. And being ignorant as well. Cuccinelli is not an extremist.

22044 on July 16, 2013 at 2:08 PM

Cuccinelli and his sidekicks are the ones not being helpful. Do a google search on him and E.W. Jackson, it’s simple stuff. Instead of focusing on the issues, which is all they really had to do to win, they’ve been running around making one controversial statement after another, and they’re the reason we’ll lose.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 2:30 PM

“Blind pursuit of ideological battles have repulsed many voters, leaving them with a sense the GOP is a scary, narrow-minded, out-of-touch party, he added, arguing Republicans can maintain their core principles and still make an appealing case to voters.”

http://hamptonroads.com/2013/03/bolling-gop-needs-new-outreach-not-slavery-rhetoric

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 2:26 PM

Bolling is behaving like a sore loser, publicly trashing the party a la McCain and Graham.

changer1701 on July 16, 2013 at 2:32 PM

And I stand corrected, I’m a registered VA voter, just not by party.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 2:32 PM

Before you throw in the towel, MacAuliffe’s 41% isn’t exactly a ringing endorsement. It’s a long way until the election and nationally the Dem’s aren’t building any momentum.

Tater Salad on July 16, 2013 at 2:27 PM

You forgot a Trojan Horse Libertarian candidate is also in the race. The 41% isn’t a ringing endorsement, but it’s enough to pull McAuliffe to an inevitable victory in a three-way race.

Turn off the lights… the party’s over.

Myron Falwell on July 16, 2013 at 2:34 PM

kirkill:

They may call themselves Libertarian and they may be in the old Hayekian sense of the word but they are not Libertarians in the modern sense. Social issues and personal autonomy trump everything else.

jerryofva on July 16, 2013 at 2:35 PM

How glad am I for moving to Texas from Virginia in 2009?

I have as good of a chance of becoming Governor, in comparison to any Democrat who will run, including Windy Davis.

NoDonkey on July 16, 2013 at 1:52 PM

Huh? Who is this “Wendy Davis” character? Never heard of her.

Myron Falwell on July 16, 2013 at 2:36 PM

I see the Washington Post is doing their part for the election. I’ll never forgive them for macaca, and this is just another example of going after a Republican with questionable articles.

I’d love to see the Post prove they’re not biased and dig into Global Crossing and McAuliff. If something doesn’t smell there, people’s noses have been cut off. You can just hold your nose to vote for McAuliff, you have to have it cut-off.

bflat879 on July 16, 2013 at 2:36 PM

Bolling is behaving like a sore loser, publicly trashing the party a la McCain and Graham.

changer1701 on July 16, 2013 at 2:32 PM

That’s because he is just as much of a liberal squish as McCain, Graham, or Rubio. He’s just a big crybaby for not getting the nomination that he saw as his entitlement.

I just hope the VA GOP gets its act together because we really can’t afford a filthy criminal like Mcauliffe at the same time we have two liberal skunks in the Senate and far too many liberals in all aspects of government. Cuccinelli needs to be the pitbull that Romney wasn’t when those vile pro-murder crones get back out there and continue lies about the GOP. He needs to smackdown Mcauliffe as a non-Virginian carpetbagger who drifted in with the Clintons and never bothered leaving (didn’t even create jobs for the state with his business enterprises). That McAuliffe says that he isn’t wedded to the idea that VA maintain its status as a right-to-work state. Etc.

These are the issues that matter. And doubly important because I don’t think the GOP is going to be able to pull off the Lt Gov slot what with all the haters.

Happy Nomad on July 16, 2013 at 2:44 PM

Huh? Who is this “Wendy Davis” character? Never heard of her.

Myron Falwell on July 16, 2013 at 2:36 PM

Google “catheter Texas Senate” A real class act.

Happy Nomad on July 16, 2013 at 2:46 PM

o/t Free Swalker from his banishment.

celtic warrior on July 16, 2013 at 2:47 PM

Once again, the Losertarians jump in full-bore when that is the only way to guarantee a Rat win.

Steve Eggleston on July 16, 2013 at 2:57 PM

+ New Mexico

kirkill on July 16, 2013 at 2:23 PM

You beat me to it. Yes they have an (R) governor (for now) but they are still leaning left in national elections.

New Mexico ranks 6th in percentage of government employees.

Difficultas_Est_Imperium on July 16, 2013 at 3:05 PM

Virginia is gone.

To latched onto the teat of the Federal Sow to think straight.

Add Va to the list:

California
New York
Illinois
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Vermont
Conn and Rhode Island
Oregon
Washington state
Hawaii
Colorado….and now…
….Virginia

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:35 PM

NEVADA is on the verge of joining the list. I give it another 2 years or so, what with GULAG liberals moving en masse here in the past year and continuing to do so.

riddick on July 16, 2013 at 3:09 PM

McAwful.

Yet another old parasite Dem that won’t just go away. Virginia’s version of Spitzer/Weiner, just without the sex (unless you count the work he did covering for his buddy Slick Willie).

Red Cloud on July 16, 2013 at 3:10 PM

The governor’s race is what all the recent articles and hit pieces on Bob McDonnell are all about. They want to say republicans are corrupt. They phrase news articles to ask what republicans are hiding when there is nothing there, they just need to repeat those things. They need to demonize Cuccinelli as a right wing lunatic. I would cancel your subscription to the Washington Post and don’t read it, if you have not done so already. And don’t watch the MSM channels and DO listen for the headline on the radio news, a lot of times CBS and ABC radio spots have built in bias to begin with.

Fleuries on July 16, 2013 at 3:13 PM

Huh? Who is this “Wendy Davis” character? Never heard of her.

Myron Falwell on July 16, 2013 at 2:36 PM

She has magic shoes, you must have missed the 10,000 stories about them.

Oh yeah, and she’s really enthused about killing children. That’s kind of her cause.

NoDonkey on July 16, 2013 at 3:14 PM

Virginia is gone.

To latched onto the teat of the Federal Sow to think straight.

Add Va to the list:
California
New York
Illinois
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Vermont
Conn and Rhode Island
Oregon
Washington state
Hawaii
Colorado….and now…
….Virginia

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:35 PM

Still plenty of good land available between the coasts to establish the independent nation of ‘Screwyouistan…’ We can invite all the conservative workers and producers in and build a wall. Then we can sit back and watch the blue states crumble…

CaptFlood on July 16, 2013 at 3:27 PM

PappyD61 on July 16, 2013 at 1:35 PM

You have to wonder just how bad it has to get for blue state idiots to stop electing Democrats.

cajunpatriot on July 16, 2013 at 3:38 PM

That’s because he is just as much of a liberal squish as McCain, Graham, or Rubio. He’s just a big crybaby for not getting the nomination that he saw as his entitlement.

I just hope the VA GOP gets its act together because we really can’t afford a filthy criminal like Mcauliffe at the same time we have two liberal skunks in the Senate and far too many liberals in all aspects of government.

Happy Nomad on July 16, 2013 at 2:44 PM

Ultimately it’s not the GOP that needs to get its act together, it’s the progressive elite in the party that does. They have a huge entitlement mentality and any time they don’t get what they want they run off with the Democrats. And when they DO get put in charge, they spend most of their time passing Democrat-style policies. The GOP party base wearily votes for them time after time, hoping “this time is different.”

How many elections have been hurt or lost now, because the progressive elite bailed and jumped into bed with the Democrats/MSM?

Doomberg on July 16, 2013 at 3:41 PM

If McAuliffe wins, it means Virginia will have bucked its long-term trend of forty years of electing a Governor of the party not in the White House in order to put a known crook and liar in the Governor’s Mansion.

We could then officially write off the Commonwealth, home to so many of our Founders, as lost to America.

Libertarians are a destructive force. Like cancer, they never really gain a majority, just barely enough to destroy life.

Adjoran on July 16, 2013 at 3:42 PM

I’m in VA, I’m registered Republican and I wouldn’t vote for Cuccinelli. I think he’s an extremist and a knucklehead and he’s borderline corrupt.

scalleywag on July 16, 2013 at 1:40 PM

Pretty hard to believe given that Virginia has open registration and no party affiliation is included. At least not on any of the voter ID’s I’ve had for the past 40 years.

Oldnuke on July 16, 2013 at 3:55 PM

D+5 poll in a R+3 state as of August of 2012. And this is a PPP(D) push poll special — MONTHS out from the election. They had Deeds losing only by single digits to McDonnell only 6 weeks or so prior to the election in 2009 TRASH IT.

cdog0613 on July 16, 2013 at 3:55 PM

Virginia is just another part of the East Coast liberal swamp. What once was a conservative stronghold is now the kingdom of federal workers and left wing causes.

rplat on July 16, 2013 at 1:45 PM

It has definitely changed over the years. Lots of liberal influx to feed on the government teat. The military retirees that remain tend to offset it somewhat but they’ve been vastly outnumbered in the last decade. What we call NoVa is spreading it’s poisonous tentacles further and further afield. Disheartening really.

Oldnuke on July 16, 2013 at 4:02 PM

Pee Pee Pee (Dee) is a left-leaning pollster, so that a 4-point lead for McAuliffe translates to an even race. Also, Libertarian candidates never get anywhere near 7% in a real election–they’re lucky to get 1% or 2%. That might be enough to throw a very close election to the Democrats, but by Election Day most of those would-be Libertarian voters will probably decide to vote Cuccinelli, in order to not waste their vote.

This race is probably a draw for now, although Gov. McDonnell’s corruption scandal doesn’t help Cuccinelli.

Steve Z on July 16, 2013 at 4:46 PM

The last visage of hope left in this country will be that the voter has the good sense to reject this phony. If this man is elected it will prove that the American voter has no sense of what goodness is.

Pardonme on July 16, 2013 at 5:02 PM

Virginia has never been a reliable “red state” when it came to local elections since the Commonwealth has always been a state controlled by elites. And the elites very much preferred Bill Bolling over Cuccinelli and were mightily disappointed when Bolling was passed over.

And it’s only recently that VA became a blue state in presidential elections, and that’s only because Obama’s candidacy turned out enough minority voters and the Dems actually spent the money training activists to organize and agitate. The GOP is pretty oblivious to the vast infrastructure the Democrats have set up to turn out their voters and train a generation of tech and politically savvy professionals for future campaigns and causes.

Punchenko on July 16, 2013 at 6:32 PM

Steve: The Libertarian strategy is to deny the Republicans office and destroy the party. Then magically all those former Republicans will vote for them. If the Democrats ever embraced free markets the way the former Chinese Communists have then the Libertarians would flock to the Democratic Party. They really don’t care about Liberty, just personal autonomy.

jerryofva on July 16, 2013 at 7:47 PM

The American voter has already proved over and over again that it has no sense of anything good. Just look at the fake Indian and the late night clown as the latest in living proof.

Kissmygrits on July 16, 2013 at 10:54 PM