Quotes of the day

posted at 10:41 pm on July 1, 2013 by Allahpundit

The Grand Old Party has changed. No really. That was the earnest message from Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus, who took his claim to the annual National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials conference, which ended Sunday in Chicago.

Republicans have “reshaped” their outreach, Mr. Priebus told the group, which represents some 6,000 officials. Republicans get community; they get neighborhoods and churches. They get immigration and educational reform plus economic opportunity. “In America, it doesn’t matter where you come from; it matters where you’re going,” Mr. Priebus noted…

“I know that this is a bipartisan audience. And I didn’t come here to convert you. But I hope that it’s clear that we do want to earn your trust and your vote, and that we can find common ground,” he added.

***

Boehner has already ruled out the simplest course of action, which would produce the best outcome for the nation and also boost the prospects of the Republican Party: Bring the Senate bill up for a vote.

Under the most likely scenario, Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who has the whole cat-herding thing down pat, would deliver virtually the entire Democratic caucus in support. Most Republicans would vote no, but there should be enough defections to push the measure over the 218-vote threshold and send it to President Obama for his signature.

Obama would be able to trumpet a centerpiece accomplishment for his second term. But the GOP would reap far greater political gain by sending a message to Latinos — the nation’s largest minority group — that’s different from the customary “Go away.”

***

The Latino share of the electorate was 8.4% in 2012. What’s worrisome to the GOP is that the Latino share of the population in 2012 was 17.2% and growing. The reason for the disparity has much less to do with illegal immigration than it does with the relative youth of the Latino community, where the median age is 27 versus 42 for whites. According to Pew, there are about 7.1 million undocumented Latino adults who could become citizens under the Senate bill–and only some of them would do so, let alone vote. That group is dwarfed by the 17.6 million Latinos under-18, the overwhelming majority of whom (93%) are US-born citizens. Every election cycle, more of them will become eligible to vote, while the oldest, whitest and most Republican generation age out of the electorate on the other end. (“Age out of the electorate” is a euphemism for “die.”)

It actually gets worse for the GOP. Hispanic turnout is extremely low–48% in 2012–in part because their eligible voters are so young. By comparison, white turnout was 64% and black turnout was 66%. That gives Democrats room to grow their Latino base through registration and voting drives–an area where they’ve been incredibly successful with black voters already–while Republicans may be operating near their ceiling with whites.

The white vote also looks so GOP-friendly because the Deep South backs Republicans by huge margins: Obama won 51% of the white vote in Iowa, for example, but just 10% in Mississippi. And according to Trende’s analysis, a lot of the “missing” white vote is concentrated in rural portions of the Northeast. So even if Republicans boost white turnout, a bunch of the gains will go to running up the score in Southern states they already win or to improving their margin in Northern states they don’t contest.

This is the “demographic death spiral” Sen. Graham is so worried about.

***

No Republican would vote for legislation that stifled economic growth, promoted illegal immigration, added to the welfare rolls, and failed to ensure a secure border. Yet they essentially will do just that if they fail to pass comprehensive immigration reform—and leave in place a system that does all of those things

The necessary overhaul of the immigration system cannot be achieved piecemeal. The most important changes—reducing family preferences, creating a robust guest-worker program, and increasing border security—cannot be enacted with Republican votes alone. That means compromise and a comprehensive approach—or the perpetuation of the status quo that has all of the detriments of amnesty without any of the economic benefits of reform.

Such reform is commended by both sound policy and principle. And it will also earn goodwill among citizens of Hispanic and Asian descent. In the 2012 presidential election, Republicans received only 27% of Hispanic votes—down from 40% only 12 years earlier. Fifty thousand Hispanics turn 18 and become eligible to vote every month. Republicans did even worse among Asians—now the largest group of immigrants every year—receiving only 26% of their votes.

Immigration is not the only issue on which Hispanics or Asians vote. But it is a gateway issue.

***

Normally, politics is a zero sum game. One party can only win an election if the other party loses. But on immigration, Democrats want Republicans to know that they are only pushing amnesty because they have the GOP’s best interests at heart.

“We wouldn’t even be where we are right now had it not been that 70% of Hispanics voted for President Obama, voted Democratic in the last election. That caused an epiphany in the Senate, that’s for sure,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., on Meet the Press. “And it’s certainly right– for the Republicans if they ever want to win a presidential race. The senators know it’s important to win statewide– to have Hispanics and other immigrant populations– supporting them. Hopefully, they can persuade their colleagues in the House.”…

On CNN’s State of the Union, House Judiciary Chairman Bob Goodlatte, R-Va., signaled exactly where his committee was going on the issue. “When you use the word ‘pathway to legalization,’ I would say yes … not a special pathway to citizenship,” he said.

That would leave Democrats with a stark choice: Do they take the opportunity to legalize the millions of immigrants who are living here illegally now, or do they let immigration reform die and take the issue to the American people in 2014.

***

If the House Democrats replicate the Senate Dems remarkably disciplined (unanimous) support shown in the upper house, there is probably a “Dems +17″ majority in the House for some form of legalization bill, if it’s allowed to come to the floor. And the Speaker, the guy who gets to decide whether it comes to the floor, is widely believed to secretly favor it…

Conservative opponents of the Gang face an obvious trap, outlined by Bill Kristol: Speaker Boehner lets them introduce and pass their own strong, enforcement-only anti-illegal immigration bills. Build the fence! Mandate E-Verify! End Sanctuary Cities! But these oh-so-tough little bills then go to a stacked conference committee with the Senate and come back as ‘legalistion-first’ bills. Then Boehner just has to somehow engineer one floor vote to produce an amnesty. The operative cliche in the Senate was “fig leaf;” in the House it’s “Trojan Horse.” Except, of course, that many of the conservative sponsors of the “tough” House bills might be in on the trick–’Just let us posture with our little bills before you beat us!’…

Is there some unexpressed, semi-subconscious force that might motivate Boehner to break his deal? Yes! Money. In terms of campaign contributions, legalization backers seem to have outspent opponents by a margin of 24 to 1. Of course, this led the press to launch one of its familiar campaigns against the influence of money in politics … oh wait, that didn’t happen at all. Instead, WaPo‘s Chris Cillizza and Sean Sullivan wrote movingly of “[o]ne voice lost in this battle over what the right, next move is on immigration for the party.” The lost voice ? ”The major donors of the party who serve as the bundlers of presidential campaigns and the funders of super PACs.”

***

Finally, there is always the power of pork. When Lyndon Johnson, as Senate majority leader, had to craft a deal over the Civil Rights Act of 1957, one of the tools he used to win over Western senators to vote in ways that were helpful to him was to convince Southerners to support a major water project in Arizona. Today, the tools of pork are not as voluminous. A stringent budget and limits on earmarks have taken away some of the tools that the leadership depends on. Yet there is still pork to go around.

While tea party Republicans allegedly don’t like this, nothing could be further from the truth. In 2011, an investigation by Newsweek found how, despite their rhetoric, tea party Republicans have made the same kind of demands for money in their districts as others. Virginia’s Eric Cantor, House majority leader, for instance, pressed for transportation funding in his home state even while deriding Congress for its spending habits.

All these tools offer Boehner some path and muscle to make the impossible possible. If the immigration bill goes down to defeat in the House it would be a huge blow to those desperately seeking a path to citizenship, to the national standing of the GOP and to Boehner. His power as a legislative leader would totally vanish, and other than tea party Republicans, there would be little support for him.

***

The Social Security Administration’s most recent estimate says the system will become insolvent in 2033. Under the Gang bill, according to Goss’ estimate, even with all those new immigrants paying taxes, the system will become insolvent in 2035. Not much difference there. And after that, when the immigrants hit retirement age and begin collecting benefits, they will increase Social Security’s deficit.

Of course, the immigrants will have children, who will also pay into the system. Put it all together, according to Goss, and immigration reform will add about $2 trillion in tax revenues in the next 75 years, while costing about $1.5 trillion in benefits. That’s a net plus, but not much of a boon, since it is stretched out over more than seven decades — and certainly not when one considers the tendency of federal programs to grow in cost.

So even with reform, the nation’s entitlement programs are on as shaky ground as before. “This means immigration reform doesn’t make entitlement reform any less necessary — it just puts off the depletion date by two years,” says conservative analyst Yuval Levin. “And it’s important to understand that this two-year difference basically amounts to nothing, since projections of the depletion date change by that much every couple of years now.”

***


***

In the end, House Speaker John Boehner will be forced to allow the bill to pass “with a majority of Democratic votes and some Chamber of Commerce-type Republicans.” Political pressure and the weight of public opinion, including mass protests, will force Boehner’s hand, Schumer argued.

“I could see a million people on the (National) Mall (in Washington) in August asking for the bill. And who’s going to be on stage? Not the usual suspects but the bishops, evangelicals and business leaders,” the New York Democrat said.



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Comment pages: 1 2 3 4

Dire Straits on July 2, 2013 at 2:18 AM

Worthy. A new version to me.

novaculus on July 2, 2013 at 2:29 AM

For bnmine:

Al Green – “Here I Am (Come and Take Me)”

:)

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 2:34 AM

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 2:27 AM

Very nice..Two thumbs up..:)

Dire Straits on July 2, 2013 at 2:36 AM

The Killing Moon

novaculus on July 2, 2013 at 2:40 AM

Very nice..Two thumbs up..:)

Dire Straits on July 2, 2013 at 2:36 AM

Glad you liked it! This one is pretty good, too :)

Procol Harum – “A Salty Dog”

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 2:43 AM

The only one of those four Republican Presidents you named who would have seriously wanted to roll-back “The Great Society” and the “New Deal” was Ronaldus Magnus, and he wasn’t getting anywhere with Tip O’Neill.

listens2glenn on July 2, 2013 at 2:17 AM

Yes, I suppose the power and corruption of the Leftists and the RINOs was too much for one man to deal with.

All in all, Reagan did the best he could do under the circumstances. What’s sad is that Reagan was an exceptional president-we should be getting at least a Reagan every election cycle and from either party.

I can’t believe there’s not one, just ONE Democrat in the Senate complaining about the corruption and the creeping Socialism that’s been going on in Washington forever. What’s even worse is that the Republicans are too afraid to call it like it is.

Dr. ZhivBlago on July 2, 2013 at 2:45 AM

novaculus on July 2, 2013 at 2:40 AM

Very worthy!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 2, 2013 at 2:48 AM

After You’ve Gone

novaculus on July 2, 2013 at 2:49 AM

I like this one at least as much as “Cars”:

Gary Numan – “Me! I Disconnect From You”

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 2:50 AM

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 2:43 AM

Very nice!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 2, 2013 at 2:56 AM

Work To Make It Work

novaculus on July 2, 2013 at 2:58 AM

The title may be a reference to our first white African-American President!

Funkadelic – “Maggot Brain”

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 3:01 AM

Very nice!!..:)

Dire Straits on July 2, 2013 at 2:56 AM

The Beatles – “Here Comes The Sun”

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 3:09 AM

From an article back in ’08 interviewing Andy McCain, CFO of Hensley Beverage Company which is Juan and Cindy’s cash cow:

Q: Immigration?

A: You see a lot of Hispanics leaving our state since employer sanctions. They are a big part of our market, so it has had an impact on our business. Also, the construction industry is on the decline. The construction worker is a core client of ours, and that has had an impact.

Read more: http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/business/articles/2008/11/30/20081130biz-andymccainprofile1201-ON.html#ixzz2XrygoXiC

It’s all about the $$$ with amnesty-pushing Republicans.

Punchenko on July 2, 2013 at 3:11 AM

“I could see a million people on the (National) Mall (in Washington) in August asking for the bill. And who’s going to be on stage? Not the usual suspects but the bishops, evangelicals and business leaders,” the New York Democrat said.

Ok, I’m going if there’s a pro-immigration law enforcement rally!

Palin needs to start organizing one now.

Sarah, we need to get to work!

bluegill on July 2, 2013 at 3:22 AM

We need a bigger protest than the illegal alien rally!

bluegill on July 2, 2013 at 3:23 AM

If the protests mattered based on size, then Obamacare would never have been passed.

It doesn’t matter if the anti-amnesty rally is ten times the size of the pro-amnesty rally, the media has already written their stories and they will, once again, put the conservatives in the worst possible light.

Theophile on July 2, 2013 at 4:11 AM

I see that the Wikileaks Party is now registered for the upcoming elections in Australia. Trying to get Julian Assange elected in absentia?

Hilarious!

Crux Australis on July 2, 2013 at 5:12 AM

If the protests mattered based on size, then Obamacare would never have been passed.
It doesn’t matter if the anti-amnesty rally is ten times the size of the pro-amnesty rally, the media has already written their stories and they will, once again, put the conservatives in the worst possible light.
Theophile on July 2, 2013 at 4:11 AM

It does matter. It would send a strong message.

bluegill on July 2, 2013 at 5:35 AM

But the GOP would reap far greater political gain by sending a message to Latinos — the nation’s largest minority group — that’s different from the customary “Go away.”

Yeah.. because that’s what it’s all about! That’s why we’re all here! This is the reason we all vote, why we get up in the morning!

In fact.. it’s the reason we have a congress, courts and even a military! To protect the right to hand out free stuff to offended groups everywhere! To send a message to all who think themselves a minority group that “We love you and we get it and we’re here to bow to your wishes! Your demands are our desires!”

Yeah, I read this in Federalist 12, “Governments are formed to protect the rights of political parties to win elections for the purpose of handing out free stuff to groups of people who think they are offended!”

JellyToast on July 2, 2013 at 6:47 AM

Have you ever heard of “Lonesome Rhodes”? Well, you have heard of Barack Hussein Obama (mm mmm mmmm). Same thing. My take.

kingsjester on July 2, 2013 at 6:57 AM

I like this one at least as much as “Cars”:

Gary Numan – “Me! I Disconnect From You”

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 2:50 AM

Another innovative track of his from the Replicas album (continuing the robotic / Blade Runner theme) is Are Friends Electric? at least for the synthesizer work.

Many people don’t know he was a big supporter of Margaret Thatcher.

viking01 on July 2, 2013 at 7:27 AM

I watched that movie a couple of months ago, KJ. The comparison is quite apt, except “A Face in the Crowd” was not a horror film, and the obama administration is.

Naturally Curly on July 2, 2013 at 7:36 AM

Naturally Curly on July 2, 2013 at 7:36 AM

True. Just seeing Mooch all the time is horror enough. Imagine her first thing in the morning. Yikes!

kingsjester on July 2, 2013 at 7:42 AM

Enough of this “outreach” garbáge. One should be consistent in delivering ones message instead of pandering to every fringe group that wants special “rights” and freebies. There is ONE United States of America and those who do not wish to participate in this Representative Republic can pound sand.
The GOP is always playing catch-up because they insist upon playing the same lame game as Leftists in the mistaken belief that they’ll win a political race. This Conservatarian stopped buying it long ago. Thanks, Johnny Mac, ya doddering turncoat loser!
~(Ä)~

Karl Magnus on July 2, 2013 at 7:49 AM

Ok, I’m going if there’s a pro-immigration law enforcement rally!

Palin needs to start organizing one now.

Sarah, we need to get to work!

blueball on July 2, 2013 at 3:22 AM

…we’re waiting for you!…since you always know so much better!

KOOLAID2 on July 2, 2013 at 8:25 AM

kingsjester on July 2, 2013 at 6:57 AM

…ha ha!…tell us how you really feel kj about the rat eared wonder!

KOOLAID2 on July 2, 2013 at 8:31 AM

KOOLAID2 on July 2, 2013 at 8:31 AM

I know. I hold back too much. don’t I?/

kingsjester on July 2, 2013 at 8:49 AM

The Rhinos say, “we lost the presidential election because we didn’t get enough hispanic votes.” Odd we don’t have all of their votes, because it was a Republican Presidet, Ronald Reagen, who provided amnesty last time. The Rhinos also say that Rubio is supporting the immigration bill because he believes it is the best thing for the country. Odd, where have I heard that before? Oh yeah, Edward Snowden! I no longer believe anything they say because they speak and behave like elitist (I know so much better than the people) democrats!

Oracleforhire on July 2, 2013 at 9:00 AM

Can the GOP find enough greedy traitors willing to betray American workers? Probably.

bluesdoc70 on July 2, 2013 at 10:33 AM

Another innovative track of his from the Replicas album (continuing the robotic / Blade Runner theme) is Are Friends Electric? at least for the synthesizer work.

“Are ‘Friends’ Electric” is a good one, too. I think “Replicas” is his best album.

Many people don’t know he was a big supporter of Margaret Thatcher.

viking01 on July 2, 2013 at 7:27 AM

He’s an interesting, thoughtful guy. One of his quotes: “I’m not socialist, I know that. I don’t believe in sharing my money.”

Anti-Control on July 2, 2013 at 12:35 PM

Holiness is the balance between my disposition and the law of God as expressed in Jesus Christ.
I don’t understand this at all, though.
Cleombrotus on July 2, 2013 at 12:01 AM

Axe on July 2, 2013 at 12:10 AM

“Holiness is the balance between my nature and the law of God as expressed in Jesus Christ.”

NOW does it make more sense, Axe?

Cleombrotus on July 2, 2013 at 1:18 PM

NOW does it make more sense, Axe?

Cleombrotus on July 2, 2013 at 1:18 PM

Yes.

That’s more consistent use, more consistent with the other things enumerated. I think. :) He has an unusual way of using those words and looking at those ideas.

Axe on July 2, 2013 at 8:04 PM

Boo!! Lol… am here A_C :)

Scrumpy on July 2, 2013 at 9:50 PM

Done gone now, see you on QOTD!

Scrumpy on July 2, 2013 at 10:08 PM

He has an unusual way of using those words and looking at those ideas.

Axe on July 2, 2013 at 8:04 PM

I think it’s because he’s on a different wavelength than us as regards his understanding of the faith.

It’s interesting that one site uses the word disposition and another uses the word nature (even though it’s originally written in English). I take it that he’s referring to his flesh, something the modern Western church seems to have little to no understanding of anymore, either what it is exactly, or how it works against the individual believer hence, little to no understanding of holiness as well.

Cleombrotus on July 2, 2013 at 10:50 PM

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