Hmmm: Hillary’s favorable rating down nearly 10 points since February

posted at 3:21 pm on May 31, 2013 by Allahpundit

Six months of Benghazi revelations last fall and winter did nothing to her numbers but Greg Hicks’s splashy testimony a few weeks ago may have finally made a dent. In February she was at 61/34. Today?

q

Her leads over Jeb Bush and Rand Paul in hypothetical match-ups have also shrunk to single digits, which is … encouraging, I guess? Despite ample evidence that State knew just how dangerous Benghazi was for diplomats stationed there and did little to demand appropriate security, Hillary’s popularity remains sufficiently strong to keep her ahead of every prominent Republican. What you’re seeing in these new numbers, I think, is less a reaction to Benghazi specifically than to her re-emergence as a polarizing “political figure.” For four years, as diplomat-in-chief, she was even further above the fray than President Above the Fray was. There was residual sympathy for her over losing a tough race in 2008, and she sure did seem to be working hard at State even though her actual foreign-policy accomplishments remain obscure. (She helped put together the “reset” with Russia, which is working out smashingly right now in Syria.) As you can see above, she remains almost uniformly popular with Democrats; it’s Republicans and independents who’ve soured on her a bit over the last three months, her favorables among the GOP dropping from 27 to 18 percent and among indies from 59 to 46 percent. Her topline number of 52 percent remains impressive at a moment when virtually every major politician on the American landscape is in negative territory, but compare that figure to where she’s been over the past five years. In most polls, she hasn’t been south of 60 percent since early 2009. She’s morphing from quasi-nonpartisan diplomat into a Democrat again; her numbers will morph with that. The one to watch going forward, I think, is her popularity among women. Even if there’s some inevitable slippage on partisan grounds, +27 right now means the GOP nominee will have to perform exceptionally well with men to beat her if she’s the Dems’ pick in 2016.

One other tidbit from the poll. This is … surprising:

jb

Biden’s polling over the last three years shows him ranging from fairly strong job approval to an even split between those who approve versus disapprove. To find him seven points underwater here and 24 points underwater among indies(!) in terms of his favorable rating is odd. Maybe that’s a byproduct of his visibility during the big gun push or collateral damage from Scandalmania, but Obama’s own approval rating is bouncing around the break-even point. (Besides, the White House’s background-checks campaign tends to poll reasonably well.) Could be that, for whatever odd reason, Quinnipiac is systematically underestimating Democrats’ popularity in this poll. Which would mean Hillary’s numbers remain a bit higher than we think. Hmmm.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

What difference does it make? She’s done.

John the Libertarian on May 31, 2013 at 3:23 PM

What is wrong with you people? Look how smart she looks in those glasses!

trs on May 31, 2013 at 3:24 PM

Dang it JTL, you beat me to it!

cornbred on May 31, 2013 at 3:24 PM

A little good reviews from that upcoming bio, a wink and a nod to “teh gheys”, and a pander or three to the poor minorities and it will all be forgotten.

Sad times we live in. Even sadder if she wins in ’16.

Gatsu on May 31, 2013 at 3:24 PM

Benghazi is Kryptonite…

d1carter on May 31, 2013 at 3:24 PM

yawn

DanMan on May 31, 2013 at 3:25 PM

The 3:00 a.m. Dummy, same as Obama, has become very taciturn, lately, along with Biden.

What a scumhag!

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:27 PM

Sunlight is the best disinfectant.

blammm on May 31, 2013 at 3:28 PM

Hillary Clinton is, as is her husband, as is her daughter, a remorseless sociopath.

For all three of them … what SWalker said.

M240H on May 31, 2013 at 3:28 PM

Guess it does make a difference.

Resist We Much on May 31, 2013 at 3:28 PM

At this point, the difference it might make, is that she won’t ever see that POTUS status that all the libs were swooning over her for…

And if I was in Bill Clinton’s shoes, I wouldn’t have had sex with that woman either…

kirkill on May 31, 2013 at 3:30 PM

My prediction just based on this, it`ll be Cuomo/Patrick 2016 or Patrick/Cuomo 2016.

ThePrez on May 31, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Hey, AP, are you saying “hmmm, that’s suspicious”, or “hmmm, that’s good stuff”, or “mmmMurderer!”? I want to get my facts straight.

madmonkphotog on May 31, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Screwed again witch! HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:31 PM

Which would mean Hillary’s numbers remain a bit higher than we think.

Yup.
What’s not to like about a anti-American vindictive alinskyte with a history of fraud and intimidation adding a few more dead bodies to her already long trail of dead bodies ?

burrata on May 31, 2013 at 3:31 PM

By the way, where has she been lately. She is hunkered down waiting for the storm to pass. Also, who told her to whisper to the relatives of one of those brave Americans killed that they will find and prosecute the video maker. All a total prevarication.

rjoco1 on May 31, 2013 at 3:31 PM

She still has youtube guy in her dungeon, right?

forest on May 31, 2013 at 3:31 PM

Guess it does make a difference.

Resist We Much on May 31, 2013 at 3:28 PM

That’s gooooood!

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:32 PM

Jim Treacher’s take
On “what diff. does it make”

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:32 PM

She’s likable enough.

Curtiss on May 31, 2013 at 3:33 PM

Update: Hillary Clinton about to join Twitter. Well, good. She’ll be at @HillaryClinton, reportedly. I think we should give her a nice warm welcome.

– Jim Treacher

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:34 PM

Biden’s polling over the last three years shows him ranging from fairly strong job approval to an even split between those who approve versus disapprove. To find him seven points underwater here and 24 points underwater among indies(!) in terms of his favorable rating is odd.

Sign of the month “BIDEN 20163″

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:34 PM

The Obamas hate the Clintons and vice-versa.

However, they are forever linked in the Benghazi cover up.

Where was Obama during the Benghazi hours and what was he into?

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:35 PM

There’s no accounting for the stupidity of American citizens, apparently.

Midas on May 31, 2013 at 3:35 PM

My prediction just based on this, it`ll be Cuomo/Patrick 2016 or Patrick/Cuomo 2016.

ThePrez on May 31, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Or Weiner/Holder :)

jimver on May 31, 2013 at 3:36 PM

I can think of 4 people who weren’t polled on this.

Bishop on May 31, 2013 at 3:37 PM

The Obamas hate the Clintons and vice-versa.

However, they are forever linked in the Benghazi cover up.

Where was Obama during the Benghazi hours and what was he into?

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:35 PM

Drunk, high or both.

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:37 PM

Where that woman spits, grass never grows again.

kingsjester on May 31, 2013 at 3:37 PM

Shrew.

Sherman1864 on May 31, 2013 at 3:37 PM

Where was Obama during the Benghazi hours and what was he into?

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:35 PM

Please do not address Mr Reggie as a ” what ”
:O

burrata on May 31, 2013 at 3:38 PM

The LSM adores Hillary. If they bother talking about this, they’ll put it down to Republicans hate women, especially the Conservatives. Or, they’ll say the sampling was weighted in favor of Republicans (in any poll that includes Republicans, even at 1%, liberals will say it’s weighted).

I don’t bother with polls. But you can be sure the media do, and they’ll ignore this one while telling everyone how great Hillary and how much she is loved worldwide. Those who don’t agree will be discounted. But you can be sure the IRS knows who they are and where they live.

Liam on May 31, 2013 at 3:38 PM

Nurse Ratchad looks scary.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 3:41 PM

I’m not sure what argument Hillary to has to not challenge Biden if he runs. It’s not like he can beat her up over Benghazi (other than saying he’s had no responsibilities as VP, aside from smiling and telling us how to shoot a shotgun). So, I guess that leaves Mowwiow or that dope, O’Malley.

I think O’Malley might be a solid sleeper pick. Coming from Maryland, he’s been able to pander to all the radical leftist client groups, and he’s sufficiently angry and strident on tv. He check all the boxes, carries no Obama or Clinton baggage and doesn’t have an annoying NY accent that will be toxic to the south and midwest.

crrr6 on May 31, 2013 at 3:42 PM

The one to watch going forward, I think, is her popularity among women. Even if there’s some inevitable slippage on partisan grounds, +27 right now means the GOP nominee will have to perform exceptionally well with men to beat her if she’s the Dems’ pick in 2016.

And the Republican nominee probably will do very well with men if Hillary is his opponent. I can only speak for myself as a dude, but I get chills from the thought of listening to that voice for 4-8 years.

Doughboy on May 31, 2013 at 3:44 PM

and doesn’t have an annoying NY accent that will be toxic to the south and midwest.

crrr6 on May 31, 2013 at 3:42 PM

New Yawkers ain’t the wuns wit da ack sent. It’s aw da resta yooz dat’s got da ak sent.

Liam on May 31, 2013 at 3:45 PM

‘Liberal Activist’ Admits to Bugging Mitch McConnell’s Office

Resist We Much on May 31, 2013 at 3:37 PM

It seems that his attorney isn’t giving him very good advice, or that he’s ignoring good advice.

Curtiss on May 31, 2013 at 3:45 PM

I think O’Malley might be a solid sleeper pick. Coming from Maryland, he’s been able to pander to all the radical leftist client groups, and he’s sufficiently angry and strident on tv. He check all the boxes, carries no Obama or Clinton baggage and doesn’t have an annoying NY accent that will be toxic to the south and midwest.

crrr6 on May 31, 2013 at 3:42 PM

He is my governor, and I can tell you he is a flaming idiot. When he gets on the national stage he will spit up all over himself. He looks semi-competent now because MD is basically a one party state.

He will break once any sort of pressure is put on him.

Gatsu on May 31, 2013 at 3:45 PM

H: “I’M MELTING! I’M MELTING!!! YEAAAARRRGGHHHH…”

Marcola on May 31, 2013 at 3:46 PM

‘Liberal Activist’ Admits to Bugging Mitch McConnell’s Office

Resist We Much on May 31, 2013 at 3:37 PM

Tea Party people like me are always called ‘extremists’. But liberals who blow up buildings are always called ‘activists’ by the LSM. There is no such thing to them as a Leftist extremist.

Liam on May 31, 2013 at 3:47 PM

It seems that his attorney isn’t giving him very good advice, or that he’s ignoring good advice.

Curtiss on May 31, 2013 at 3:45 PM

What do you think will happen to him? I mean, it’s not like he said something mean about a muzzie. He bugged an old white dude republican politician, he will probably end up with a medal.

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:49 PM

We’ll have to see how her impending makeover, including botox injections/plastic surgery works out.

And does that poll figure in the fact that she dodged sniper fire in Bosnia? Just wondering.

TarheelBen on May 31, 2013 at 3:51 PM

Hillary’s over 90% with Dems, and has a plurality with Indies.

W.

T.

F.

nukemhill on May 31, 2013 at 3:51 PM

+1 KJ @3:37

cmsinaz on May 31, 2013 at 3:52 PM

A few weeks ago, Meg Lanker-Simons was exposed for the radical, pathological fraud that she has always been. In her defence, her supporters invited the world to dive head-first down the rabbithole when they argued this:

‘MEG LANKER-SIMONS IS INNOCENT we believe WHAT SHE DID WAS JUSTIFIED AND DESERVES NOT TO BE HELD ACCOUNTABLE FOR HER ACCUSATIONS.’

Which I reduced at the time to::

‘Yes, she did it, but she’s innocent because it was a justifiable faking of a hate crime and she doesn’t deserve to be held accountable because, well, she’s special. That’s why.’

Now, let’s hear from the male gender riding in the Progressive surrey with the lunatic fringe on top…

‘Earlier this year, I secretly made an audio recording of Sen. Mitch McConnell, the most powerful Republican on the planet, at his campaign headquarters in Kentucky.

In a technology age marked by vigilante heroes like Julian Assange and Anonymous, the line between journalism and espionage has grown thin. McConnell was quick to frame himself as the victim of a crime, which was to be expected. It was the guilty repositioning of a politician who has been caught being craven.’

- Curtis Morrison, a self-titled ‘liberal activist’

Reduced:

‘Victims of my crimes should just STFU about my craven behaviour and acknowledge that my guilty repositioning is noble because I’m like Julian Assange or something. This applies, especially, to those that are not enlightened Progressives like myself.’

Progressivism is a mental disease.

Resist We Much on May 31, 2013 at 3:53 PM

Scrape her off your shoe!

SMACKRUNNER on May 31, 2013 at 3:54 PM

You betcha Liam @3:38

cmsinaz on May 31, 2013 at 3:55 PM

What do you think will happen to him? I mean, it’s not like he said something mean about a muzzie. He bugged an old white dude republican politician, he will probably end up with a medal.

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:49 PM

Well, if the grand jury passes down an indictment, he’ll go to trial. He may be found not guilty, but going through a criminal trial is not nothing.

But I take your meaning.

Curtiss on May 31, 2013 at 3:56 PM

My prediction just based on this, it`ll be Cuomo/Patrick 2016 or Patrick/Cuomo 2016.

ThePrez on May 31, 2013 at 3:30 PM

Good odds. I don’t think Barky’s voters want to take a giant step backward with an ugly old and fat white woman.

slickwillie2001 on May 31, 2013 at 3:59 PM

ThePrez, I too sense that Cuomo would be the dem nominee. If Clinton runs, I doubt that she’ll win the primaries. Sexism is ingrained on both sides of the aisle. They’ll put down any wimmenz (read Clinton, Palin) cos they somehow, comically, ain’t Presidential material (and the present POTUS is. Lol). Its ironic that the crazy country, Pakistan, once had a female head of state. But us, naya. But if Clinton ever ends up being the dem nominee, she’d easily win over the pub. First female Preezy et all. Yep, Cuomo has a better chance to be the dem nominee.

tommy71 on May 31, 2013 at 4:00 PM

“Most transparent and trusted, evah”

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 4:01 PM

The media can’t decide to blame Obama or Hillary for Benghazi.
Once they decide to blame Obama then Hillary’s numbers will rise.

albill on May 31, 2013 at 4:02 PM

John Boehner will make sure that the Benghazi hearings go nowhere in placing blame. Until he is replaced by a real conservative, Hillary’s transgressions will be forgotten in 2016. They are all in bed with each other.

Conservative4Ever on May 31, 2013 at 4:03 PM

Significantly, among Independent voters, who are likely to decide many of the crucial House and Senate races in November 2014, 57 percent disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance, and 56 percent do not believe that the president is “honest and trustworthy.” By a 45 percent to 35 percent margin, Independents believe that Republicans in Congress are doing a better job than President Obama on handling the economy, the number one issue for the American electorate.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 4:04 PM

The media can’t decide to blame Obama or Hillary for Benghazi.
Once they decide to blame Obama then Hillary’s numbers will rise.

albill on May 31, 2013 at 4:02 PM

The media blame barky? You’re delusional.

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 4:05 PM

Overall, 68 percent of Americans are “somewhat dissatisfied” or “very dissatisfied” with the direction the United States is taking, hardly a vote of confidence in Mr. Obama’s leadership. Expect even worse figures for the White House in the coming weeks, as the pressure intensifies on a scandal-hit presidency.

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 4:06 PM

H: “I’M MELTING! I’M MELTING!!! YEAAAARRRGGHHHH…”

Marcola on May 31, 2013 at 3:46 PM

Who poured a Constitution over her?

LetsBfrank on May 31, 2013 at 4:06 PM

The media can’t decide to blame Obama or Hillary for Benghazi.
Once they decide to blame Obama then Hillary’s numbers will rise.

albill on May 31, 2013 at 4:02 PM

Or, they’ll blame Republicans, citing the sequester (figuring people will forget Benghazi happened months before the sequester kicked in and amounted to nothing anyway). Then Obama will endorse Hillary for president, and the media will simply be gushing.

Liam on May 31, 2013 at 4:06 PM

@Conservative4Ever Lol. Yeah, blame Boehner. Tinfoil hat, much?

tommy71 on May 31, 2013 at 4:07 PM

Com’on now. Hillary isn’t bad if you don’t mind a lying liar who lies in high office.

LetsBfrank on May 31, 2013 at 4:08 PM

Com’on now. Hillary isn’t bad if you don’t mind a lying liar who lies in high office.

LetsBfrank on May 31, 2013 at 4:08 PM

Neither is the flu ‘bad’ until it kills you.

Liam on May 31, 2013 at 4:09 PM

Hillary/Lois Lerner — 2016

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 4:13 PM

Hillary has vanished – $1 will get you $10 – she’s gone under the glamor knife.

Any takers?

“Oh she looks so rested” – coming soon

jake-the-goose on May 31, 2013 at 4:13 PM

@Conservative4Ever Lol. Yeah, blame Boehner. Tinfoil hat, much?

tommy71 on May 31, 2013 at 4:07 PM

That isn’t what I said. Should I type slower for you to get my point across? Boehner will not let the Benghazi hearings get to the point of assessing blame onto Clinton or Obama. Boehner is not on “our side”

Slow enough for you?

Conservative4Ever on May 31, 2013 at 4:13 PM

Significantly, among Independent voters, who are likely to decide many of the crucial House and Senate races in November 2014, 57 percent disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance, and 56 percent do not believe that the president is “honest and trustworthy.”

Schadenfreude on May 31, 2013 at 4:04 PM

What this tells us is that roughly 43-44% of ‘independent voters’ are actually not ‘independent’ at all, and are completely f*cktarded imbeciles.

Midas on May 31, 2013 at 4:15 PM

Hillary has vanished – $1 will get you $10 – she’s gone under the glamor knife.

Any takers?

“Oh she looks so rested” – coming soon

jake-the-goose on May 31, 2013 at 4:13 PM

“What’s that thing on her chin?”. “Her bellybutton”.

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 4:15 PM

The Secretary of State gig certainly did not do her any favors. :-(

Punchenko on May 31, 2013 at 4:21 PM

The Secretary of State gig certainly did not do her any favors. :-(

Punchenko on May 31, 2013 at 4:21 PM

Nor us.

Nor the four folks from Benghazi who are unavailable to comment.

Midas on May 31, 2013 at 4:24 PM

But it’s the mileage, not the years, according to left.

LetsBfrank on May 31, 2013 at 4:25 PM

In no ways is she tiard from all those employees dyin.

trs on May 31, 2013 at 4:28 PM

Not to worry. She’ll make a speech somewhere or something and it will go right back up.

Not that I wouldn’t like to see her go to some faraway place with a strange sounding name and take that husband of hers with her.

And stay there.

TimBuk3 on May 31, 2013 at 4:33 PM

I think leftists know this, and that further emboldens them to push nonsense like this. They’re hoping someone on our side snaps so they can paint us all as violent nuts with short fuses.

CurtZHP on May 31, 2013 at 4:17 PM

Let them do so; maybe if they really thought someone would snap and retaliate rather than let them continue to get away with this crap, they’d start to behave themselves.

Enough. Civilized society only works so long as everyone respects it. We’ve left that behind once these jackbooted pissants believe themselves to be untouchable.

They are not.

When it comes to someone thinking they can abuse my wife or kids with impunity, I’ll show them the definition of a violent nut with a short fuse.

Midas on May 31, 2013 at 4:35 PM

WTF; how’d I get in this thread instead of the cap gun one?

*sigh* lol

Midas on May 31, 2013 at 4:35 PM

No worries..slick Willie will dip a cigar into a campaign worker so cankles can get the sympathy rise in the polls.

HumpBot Salvation on May 31, 2013 at 4:44 PM

Can’t see her even attempting run in another 3 years. She’s done.

Dems will get behind another women more appealing:

Elizabeth Warren Too wacko Bird for most folks.
Caroline Kennedy Have you heard her speak?

Amy Klobuchar…Possible
Kirsten Gillibrand…Most likely. Already being mentored by Chucky and spearheading Veteran’s benefits legislation.

can_con on May 31, 2013 at 4:44 PM

Ah yes, cue the entry music by ZZ Top.. “She’s Got Legs….”

She’s pretty much a mash-up of Slick Willie and Dear Leader, without the warmth, personality, and sex appeal. Oh, and morality.

sgtstogie on May 31, 2013 at 4:45 PM

Hillary represents a Dem’s wet dream: Perception over Reality.

She gets the “my horrid hubby/b-friend cheated on me too” vote
She gets the “strong without ever really accomplishing anything” vote
She gets the X chromosome vote

And a bunch of other fluff thrown in. This is a woman who either had no idea or didn’t care about her husband banging everything in sight, while Islamic terrorists also banged everything in sight – and she didn’t know or care.

Odie1941 on May 31, 2013 at 4:47 PM

I think O’Malley might be a solid sleeper pick. Coming from Maryland, he’s been able to pander to all the radical leftist client groups, and he’s sufficiently angry and strident on tv. He check all the boxes, carries no Obama or Clinton baggage and doesn’t have an annoying NY accent that will be toxic to the south and midwest.

crrr6 on May 31, 2013 at 3:42 PM

Ugh.. So you are picking the model for the douch-y politician on the Wire for the Democratic nominee in 2016.

And guys I’m less worried about Hillary than you think. The person ahead this far out almost never wins the election.

Illinidiva on May 31, 2013 at 4:55 PM

Ol Hill has been around a Loooooong time…

..she and her Sycophants (see Lanny Davis)
will simply blame it on a Vast Poll Conspiracy..

In the Real World, her numbers should be South of 10%.

ToddPA on May 31, 2013 at 4:58 PM

even though her actual resume foreign-policy accomplishments remains obscure.

accuracy in reporting.

hillsoftx on May 31, 2013 at 4:59 PM

Hillary should be a pariah the way Jane Fonda became one during the Vietnam war and has been ever since. Never forget!

iamsaved on May 31, 2013 at 5:12 PM

Hillary Rodham Clinton, AKA Hillary Fonda Clinton. This is going to be fun watching the Liberals eating their own.

DDay on May 31, 2013 at 5:24 PM

What do you think will happen to him? I mean, it’s not like he said something mean about a muzzie. He bugged an old white dude republican politician, he will probably end up with a medal.

VegasRick on May 31, 2013 at 3:49 PM

Or an ambassadorship.

Or a cushy job at the IRS. Or DoJ – they like his kind of initiative.

Midas on May 31, 2013 at 5:47 PM

I’m no democrat, but if I was, I’d be wondering why the party wasn’t out looking for and recruiting fresh new squeaky clean candidates instead of dredging up the same old tired, unaccomplished, corrupt and incompetent losers to run again. Especially those who are involved in an ongoing scandal that cost Americans their lives.

scalleywag on May 31, 2013 at 5:52 PM

And then she’ll go on Dance with the Stars and it will go up 12 points. The polls are little more than emotional popularity gauges. What can go down so easily can be manufactured to go back up, when the electorate isn’t basing its opinions on truth or principles.

paul1149 on May 31, 2013 at 6:16 PM

scalleywag on May 31, 2013 at 5:52 PM

You are right!

Further, why isn’t her head covered like a virtuous female?

She has obviously found the higher morality of Islam.

But she probably eats foul western food, fails to pray, watches degenerate media and in all respects is an infidel.

She cries about stupid movies getting four people killed then runs around half naked.

Why don’t we ask them if they would like us better if we turned the chicks er, women into chattels and kept them in the house and not voting and driving and going out alone..etc.

Or let us just do it and see if terrorism goes down!

IlikedAUH2O on May 31, 2013 at 9:47 PM

Stab her with a fork.

She is done.

itsspideyman on May 31, 2013 at 11:37 PM