Poll: Gomez within single digits of Markey in Massachusetts

posted at 9:21 pm on May 2, 2013 by Mary Katharine Ham

Interesting:

Only two days into the general election to fill Secretary of State John Kerry’s Massachusetts Senate seat, the race between longtime Democratic Rep. Ed Markey and Republican businessman Gabriel Gomez is fairly close.

According to an Emerson College poll released Thursday, Gomez trails Markey by just six points in the blue state, 36 percent to 42 percent.

Both candidates are popular, with Markey boasting a 48 percent favorability rating and Gomez 45 percent. But Markey has higher unfavorables, at 37 percent, than Gomez, who is viewed unfavorably by only 25 percent of people. Still, those numbers show Gomez to be a much less-well known quantity, meaning they could shift as voters get to know him.

Plenty of reasons to be skeptical of a Republican candidate who backed Barack Obama in 2008, but I like to see Democrats have to work for it, even in Massachusetts, and I can’t help but like a SEAL.

A little taste of Gomez on Greta Van Susteren’s show, with a harrowing story about his Boston Marathon experience and a jab at Markey’s career as a politician:

Dave Freddoso notes that PPP announced it has the race in single digits, too, making the Emerson College poll more newsworthy. What does it mean for Gomez?

But here’s the other thing that makes me wonder:

The close dynamic of this race is in stark contrast to the Special 2010 Election where Republican Scott Brown trailed Attorney General Martha Coakley (D) 58% to 27% (Suffolk University Poll 11/8/2009).

This is a double-edged observation. On the one hand, it could mean Gomez is already in far better shape than Brown was. On the other hand, it could mean he’s popped up too soon and lost the element of surprise. One thing Brown had going for him in his January 2010 election was that nobody saw him coming until it was too late. That probably isn’t going to happen here.

Meanwhile in a mirror special election in South Carolina’s very Republican 1st Congressional District, the powers that be seem to be setting low expectations for Colbert Busch.


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The people from the Commonwealth of Taxachusetts will not disappoint…

They will vote DIMocrat… just watch…

Stupid sheeple…

Khun Joe on May 2, 2013 at 9:24 PM

Anything can happen from now to then..

We’ve seen it before..
Racism claims..
Kooky claims..
Something..

There is time..

Electrongod on May 2, 2013 at 9:25 PM

Two leftists running against each other in massawhatsis, who cares?

VorDaj on May 2, 2013 at 9:25 PM

What’s the difference between them? Both support 0bama. Gomez will make you wish for the good old days of Scott Brown…

bofh on May 2, 2013 at 9:31 PM

I want him to win just so I can hear him call Boxer ma’am.

Mark1971 on May 2, 2013 at 9:31 PM

The people of MA deserve Markey. Although, he hasn’t claimed any Cherokee heritage. Perhaps they’ll just overlook that shortcoming.

Curtiss on May 2, 2013 at 9:31 PM

Yup! Two Obama rump swabs. I haven’t made up my mind whether to vote for Gomez or write in a candidate.

Wigglesworth on May 2, 2013 at 9:31 PM

Two leftists running against each other in massawhatsis, who cares?

VorDaj on May 2, 2013 at 9:25 PM

Yep.

fitzfong on May 2, 2013 at 9:32 PM

This is MASSACHUSETTS.
There is no hope here – for anyone to the right of Ted Kennedy.

graywolf on May 2, 2013 at 9:32 PM

It means Brown might have had a fair chance against a guy that hasn’t campaigned in 30 years and probably has no idea how to run a statewide organization in the 21st century.

It also means that PVI will take over in what will be a race between two no names, Markey will coast to a low-turnout victory, and conservatives will say “meh.”

Gingotts on May 2, 2013 at 9:32 PM

You mean to tell me that all the idiots on this site who, on principal (hahah!), are openly rooting for a Union owned, abortionist to beat a former small government Governor who married the woman he left his wife for, aren’t winning the day?

AmeriCuda on May 2, 2013 at 9:33 PM

The people of MA don’t know Ed Markey, just his name. He doesn’t even live here…he lives in Maryland. His mother’s house, his permanent address…is empty. He is so retro to the 70′s. You don’t want him in the senate. Anyone but Markey, ah, it’s Gomez.

Fleuries on May 2, 2013 at 9:33 PM

a Republican candidate who backed obama in 2008 …

… is a dunderheaded LIBERAL.

Pork-Chop on May 2, 2013 at 9:35 PM

” What does it mean for Gomez?”
-
If Republicans couldn’t defeat Fauxcahontas…

diogenes on May 2, 2013 at 9:37 PM

President Evil supports letting MINORS abort at age 15 without a parent knowing it.

And this loser in the Bay State voted for him?

VOTE THIRD PARTY OR WRITE IN THE CONSERVATIVE.

PappyD61 on May 2, 2013 at 9:39 PM

Massachusetts already has an ethnic Senator in Elizabeth Warren… why would they vote for someone named Gomez?

malclave on May 2, 2013 at 9:41 PM

President Evil supports letting MINORS abort at age 15 without a parent knowing it.

And this loser in the Bay State voted for him?

VOTE THIRD PARTY OR WRITE IN THE CONSERVATIVE.

PappyD61 on May 2, 2013 at 9:39 PM

“punished with a baby”
Let the village raise your kids..
Let the village do the cover up.

Whatever it takes..

Obama Approves of this message..

Electrongod on May 2, 2013 at 9:42 PM

I hear this guy makes Mike Castle look like Ted Cruz, but it would bring us one seat closer to the gavels.

crrr6 on May 2, 2013 at 9:43 PM

I hear this guy makes Mike Castle look like Ted Cruz, but it would bring us one seat closer to the gavels.

crrr6 on May 2, 2013 at 9:43 PM

…in name only.

fitzfong on May 2, 2013 at 9:48 PM

I repeat this is not a candidate worth backing. He is not even a RINO. He is running as a liberal Democrat with an R next to his name. This is another Chafee. The only purpose a Republican like this would serve is to give cover to the Democrats so the Dems appear “bipartisan.”

When I say Gomez is liberal, I mean he is running to the LEFT of Markey on some issues. And Markey is a freaking communist.

Raquel Pinkbullet on May 2, 2013 at 9:59 PM

Elizabeth Warren wins and now Markey, jr senator from MA, awesome.

arnold ziffel on May 2, 2013 at 10:19 PM

Yes but the R helps repubs get control of Senate committees

losarkos on May 2, 2013 at 10:22 PM

I’ll repeat my prediction from last week:

Sanford by 3+

SouthernGent on May 2, 2013 at 10:28 PM

In a race in Massachusetts between a Leftist Democrat, and a Leftist Institutional Republican; Massachusetts voters will always vote for the Democrat Leftist. Republicans cannot move Left enough to win votes in Leftist states; a lesson that they will not learn.

Massachusetts will never again vote for a Republican. Brown was an aberration, and in any case the Democrat machine controls the vote count.

Subotai Bahadur on May 2, 2013 at 10:47 PM

I’d be Gomez’s Monica. Heck, I’d even wear a blue dress.

txag92 on May 2, 2013 at 11:11 PM

Only racists would vote for Markey over Gomez. Voters in Taxachusetts aren’t racist, are they?

Either way, even the operator community has its bottom half.

JAGonzo on May 2, 2013 at 11:12 PM

Si, se puede.

Schadenfreude on May 2, 2013 at 11:16 PM

Blue and light blue…it’s Massassuchetts

Schadenfreude on May 2, 2013 at 11:28 PM

Elizabeth Warren wins and now Markey, jr senator from MA, awesome.

arnold ziffel on May 2, 2013 at 10:19 PM

What do you expect from a state that gave us two terrorists.

tetriskid on May 3, 2013 at 12:11 AM

LoInfoVoters could give Gomez the win. Many will assume he’s democrat because of his Hispanic last name.

I’m in the camp of “who cares” – they both suck.

SheVee on May 3, 2013 at 12:25 AM

One thing Brown had going for him in his …. election was that nobody saw him coming until it was too late. That probably isn’t going to happen here.

It only about 6 weeks until the election. If he can’t hold on then lord help us… He might not be a conservative’s conservative but he’s the only one I can vote for… we are trying to find some common sense in MA… baby step by baby step someday we might be a swing state verses a push over.

wubu on May 3, 2013 at 12:42 AM

Yeah, he’s a Rubio Jr.
He’s the brown Scott Brown.
But, I like the Seal part.

AllahsNippleHair on May 3, 2013 at 12:42 AM

Brown had the advantage of people wanting Obamacare stopped when he pulled his upset. In this case, unless Team Obama just so botches the Marathon bombing case over the next couple of weeks enough Massachusetts voters want to spank t he Democrats, there’s really nothing in the way of immediate hot-button issues in the Bay State that will get the swing voters to opt for Gomez.

(And, as noted above, based on his past record, Gomez would be likely to lurch back to the left anyway if he got elected — maybe not as far as the Lurch he’d be replacing in office, but after seeing what Mass voters did to Brown in his campaign against Princess Fullobull, he’s likely to turn into the Latino Lincoln Chaffee to make himself more viable to ‘soft’ liberal voters in 2014).

jon1979 on May 3, 2013 at 2:06 AM

This is MASSACHUSETTS.
There is no hope here – for anyone to the right of Ted Kennedy.

graywolf on May 2, 2013 at 9:32 PM

I think Brown won because people in Mass thought he was conservative and he lost when they found out he wasn’t.

dogsoldier on May 3, 2013 at 5:57 AM

Plenty of reasons to be skeptical of a Republican candidate who backed Barack Obama in 2008

He sounds like a McCain Republican but he endorsed the radical leftist Democrat candidate over McCain. If the Republican Party lets this guy become a Republican senator, it would be wise to turn all efforts into destroying the Republican Party before wasting time worrying about the Democrat Party.

There is no way the Democrats would allow a Democrat senatorial candidate who endorsed Romney over Obama. That is why the Democrats are winners ( politically ) and Republicans are pathetic losers.

Buddahpundit on May 3, 2013 at 6:38 AM

The gap will widen as the election draws nearer as the Left,Unions,etc.start pouring money into the race.Markey will win by 18-29 points. The Hispanic vote will not matter because in Mass. they are virtually non-existent.

jeffinsjvca on May 3, 2013 at 8:02 AM

Plenty of reasons to be skeptical of a Republican candidate who backed Barack Obama

No more. Frankly, in the end, there’s no difference between half retard and full retard.

So who’s the libertarian? Is there a Constitution Party candidate? I have no reason anymore to vote between coke/pepsi. They’ll both get us to the same place, just one a little sooner than the other, and I’d rather get there sooner so as to rebuild sooner.

MNHawk on May 3, 2013 at 8:22 AM

Yes but the R helps repubs get control of Senate committees

losarkos on May 2, 2013 at 10:22 PM

With the GOPe (lack of) leadership in the senate, we might be better off being in the minority and filibustering whenever possible.

You and I know the Dems will filibuster anything passed by the GOPe until they have less than 40 seats. And if you say, “we’ll, let’s get rid of the filibuster,” and opposed Reid’s like attempt a few months back, then I have no words for you.

Myron Falwell on May 3, 2013 at 8:33 AM

Blue and light blue…it’s Massassuchetts

Schadenfreude on May 2, 2013 at 11:28 PM

I disagree…it’s dark blue and darker blue.

cajunpatriot on May 3, 2013 at 8:52 AM

I supported Scott Brown when we all hoped it would make a difference in the Obamacare vote. Scott Brown turned out to be both figuratively and literally useless to the GOP. He couldn’t beat a second-rate congenital liar like Elizabeth Warren.

No way the RSCC should be supporting candidates who supported Obama. Let Gomez lose to Markey on his own. He doesn’t need our votes or our money for that.

The People of Massachusetts get what they deserve.

SAMinVA on May 3, 2013 at 8:58 AM

Every time I see a Markey ad on TV I want to vomit. Sadly for the next few weeks there will be many. I need to add Pepto to the shopping list.

bsinc1962 on May 3, 2013 at 9:21 AM

Gomez is relatively new to politics and the notion he supported Obama came from a letter to Deval Patrick asking to be appointed as the interim senator.

He has since disavowed the letter and clarified his positions on immigration and gun control. He opposes the assault weapons ban and believes we need to secure the border first.

Gomez has shown a high willingness to win and by denying Markey a Senate Seat he is our best way to lure in a much stronger Democrat like Joe Kennedy III to run for Senate – JKIII would have to give up his congressional seat to run and that seat is winnable where the Senate ultimately might not be in 2014.

Gomez is worlds apart from Markey and infinitely more representative of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Michael Sullivan was the more conservative candidate and was unable to draw in the resources and support to win in the three way primary with another more liberal candidate on the ballot. Gomez is more than deserving of Republican support – he has earned it.

BKennedy on May 3, 2013 at 10:06 AM

I would love to get rid of my Congressman, Ed Markey. But not by electing him to the senate.

Rich on May 3, 2013 at 10:39 AM

Normally i would say that gomez does not stand a chance-however special elections do not get democrats to turn out in mass. who knows-but if he wins he won’t win a normal general election.

gerrym51 on May 3, 2013 at 3:17 PM

I supported Scott Brown when we all hoped it would make a difference in the Obamacare vote. Scott Brown turned out to be both figuratively and literally useless to the GOP.

SAMinVA on May 3, 2013 at 8:58 AM

Scott Brown’s victory helped by getting us the Senate version of Obamacare rather than Nancy Pelosi’s House version of Obamacare.

As much as I hate the version of Obamacare that we got, at least we didn’t get stuck with the House version of Obamacare including the “single payer” health care system that Nancy Pelosi craves.

wren on May 3, 2013 at 5:12 PM

I think Brown won because people in Mass thought he was conservative and he lost when they found out he wasn’t.

I always figured he won because Martha’s people were caught on camera literally attacking people in the street that had the nerve to ask them a question. (Shoving your constituency to the ground always looks bad.)

Dave_d on May 3, 2013 at 6:40 PM