Big news: Max Baucus to retire

posted at 10:44 am on April 23, 2013 by Allahpundit

The first Senate casualty of ObamaCare?

First elected in 1978, Baucus has been the top Democrat on the powerful tax-writing committee for more than a dozen years. At times infuriating his Democratic colleagues, he worked with Republicans to co-write the Bush-era tax cuts and the Medicare prescription drug plan, but he also served as the lead defender against George W. Bush’s 2005 effort to partially privatize Social Security and played a critical role in writing President Obama’s national health-care plan…

Despite Obama’s double-digit defeat in Montana, Democrats intend to vigorously defend the seat. The leading Democratic candidate is former governor Schweitzer, a popular figure who at times has feuded with Baucus over parochial political issues in the Big Sky state.

He made news twice last week, once for voting against the Democrats’ gun-control bills and the other for warning that ObamaCare, of which he was a lead architect, would be a “train wreck” if not implemented properly. Maybe he hears the train whistle in the distance and figures he’ll get off the tracks now. As for the gun-control votes, two theories. One: He really does believe in gun rights. He’s not just pandering to his red-state constituency. Two: He was fully prepared to run again (he has millions in the bank to fund a campaign), but something happened between last Wednesday and today to make him suddenly reconsider. Hmmm.

Normally the retirement of a six-term Democratic incumbent from a conservative state is cause for celebration, but I don’t know. When PPP polled Montana two months ago, Baucus’s approval was underwater at 45/48. Republicans will be out in force next year for the midterms, and Baucus hasn’t had to run a midterm campaign under a Democratic president since his first election in 1978. With ObamaCare hanging over his head, he was beatable. Brian Schweitzer, his likely replacement as Democratic nominee who once said he couldn’t run for Senate because he’s not “senile enough,” has huge name recognition as governor, a favorable rating of 56/37 per PPP, and none of Baucus’s Senate baggage (“Too tied to the Washington special interests, too aloof, too close to the Obama administration”). Arguably the Democrats are trading up here, to the point where I’m tempted to wonder if maybe they pushed Baucus out somehow. Is that even possible, though, with a six-term Senator who’s written most of the country’s tax laws? They’d have to have some awfully grimy dirt on him. And if they did, why not drop it on him before the gun votes so that he’d vote their way?

Exit question: What will the poor lobbyists do now?

Update: Via NRO’s Andrew Stiles, here’s Schweitzer four days ago checking the gun-rights box:

Former Montana Gov. Brian Schweitzer says his position on gun control is one reason he couldn’t step onto the national political stage.

Political pundits have mentioned Schweitzer as a possible candidate for the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination.

The Bozeman Daily Chronicle reports a bearded Schweitzer told some Montana State University students on Thursday that he couldn’t give an acceptable answer to voters in states like Iowa and Florida if they asked him about gun control. He says his response would be something like: “You control yours, I’ll control mine.”


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The legacy of Max Baucus

US National debt when he first took office: $789,207,000,000

Current US National debt: $17,000,000,000,000

His legacy? “Added $10,000,000,000,000 to your childrens’ debt payments”

His reward? Pension and healthcare for life, paid for by those who also have to pay off the debt he incurred.

BobMbx on April 23, 2013 at 10:46 AM

He won’t be subject to the law he wrote.

*sigh*

22044 on April 23, 2013 at 10:48 AM

Normally the retirement of a six-term Democratic incumbent from a conservative state is cause for celebration, but I don’t know.

I think that’s the nice way of saying we’re screwed…again.

We’re all eeyores now.

changer1701 on April 23, 2013 at 10:50 AM

Maybe some Montana commenters could add some local insight on GOP possibilities for the vacant seat.

Curtiss on April 23, 2013 at 10:50 AM

Just another opportunity to take a seat that the GOP will find some way to squander…

rcpjr on April 23, 2013 at 10:50 AM

Schweitzer’s popular and can run against Washington without actually changing anything when he gets there. This is terrible news.

jr.ewing.78 on April 23, 2013 at 10:53 AM

Sanford and Weiner rethinking their home address.

Limerick on April 23, 2013 at 10:54 AM

Say hello to Bart Stupak, sucker.

budfox on April 23, 2013 at 10:54 AM

Baucus hasn’t had to run a midterm campaign under a Democratic president since his first election in 1978.

Baucus, Levin, Rockefeller, Johnson….. The rats are leaving the ship.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 10:54 AM

Change the face keep the same Progressive ruling class policies in place.

Yawn.

Now Hamza Bin Laden?…….should THAT be breaking news?

PappyD61 on April 23, 2013 at 10:55 AM

As a proud native Montanan…don’t let the door hit ya’ where the good Lord split ya’, Max. Mr. Flannel can settle in New York with the rest of his buddies.

Wyznowski on April 23, 2013 at 10:56 AM

Baucus, Levin, Rockefeller, Johnson….. The rats are leaving the ship.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 10:54 AM

Said it before I could.

I’ll use another cliche then:

He just saw the writing on the wall.

Only his wasn’t MENE MENE TEKEL, it was OBAMACARE VOTE.

makattak on April 23, 2013 at 10:57 AM

Get Jim Demintt to interview possible Republicans.

Get Ted Cruz to help.

Keep Karl Roves greedy RINO hands off the deal..

If Rove and the RNC or the R leadership in Montana pick the person to run we will not win.

If Jim, Ted together with Sarah Palin pick the person we win.

Karl Rove picks piss ants who quake when the commie press call them names.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 10:57 AM

Socon nominee will lose by 8.

EddieC on April 23, 2013 at 10:58 AM

Say hello to Bart Stupak, sucker.

budfox on April 23, 2013 at 10:54 AM

I forgot about traitor Bart. Somebody should ask him how his 30 pieces of silver look now that Obamacare is kicking in.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 10:59 AM

GOP plan: Take top 5 potential Republican candidates, choose one with most problems and get him to run.

albill on April 23, 2013 at 10:59 AM

Unions =’s Montana votes for commie Democrats

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 10:59 AM

Arguably the Democrats are trading up here, to the point where I’m tempted to wonder if maybe they pushed Baucus out somehow.

Nope, twas Obamacide. Death by association with Baracky. He did himself in by dealing with the devil.

fogw on April 23, 2013 at 11:00 AM

Liz Cheney? O please o please oplease

SarahW on April 23, 2013 at 11:01 AM

Quitting before you lose. Smart move, Baucus.

Red Cloud on April 23, 2013 at 11:02 AM

Send these guys money help them.

http://bozemanteaparty.com/

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 11:03 AM

Schweitzer will win this one easily.

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:04 AM

I’d be curious how long Schweitzer will remain a Dem if he gets to Washington.

Tater Salad on April 23, 2013 at 11:07 AM

Maybe some Montana commenters could add some local insight on GOP possibilities for the vacant seat.

Curtiss on April 23, 2013 at 10:50 AM

I’ll bring this over from the other thread… The local prog’s are celebrating this morning on twitter.

The Secretary of State is a Soro’s monkey.
The Deck is stacked the State GOP is going to put a referendum on the ballot to get rid of same day registration, and another to have just the top two primary vote getters to go on to the general. We have Tester and a Dem Gov because a libertarian ran and split enough votes off to put the D over the top. (with help of a shadow group)paying for ads to support the libertarian.
Unfortunately these won’t be in time for 2014.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:02 AM

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:07 AM

Baucus, Levin, Rockefeller, Johnson….. The rats are leaving the ship.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 10:54 AM

Or, they actually studied the Russian and French revolutions and don’t want to be on the sharp end of the stick.

LoganSix on April 23, 2013 at 11:07 AM

I think an inanimate carbon rod should run.

Can’t do anything but sit there, which is a win for everyone I think.

Gatsu on April 23, 2013 at 11:08 AM

Schweitzer will win this one easily.

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:04 AM

You’re making this statement more than a year before the election with no clue who the GOP might run. Talk about going full Eeyore if you want change!

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:08 AM

I’m not from Montana, but I get the sense that Schweitzer is probably the overwhelming favorite for this seat. Obviously Montana is a pretty red state at the presidential level, but they seem to have a knack for electing Democrats into statewide offices.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:09 AM

Ted Cruz is vice chair of the NRSC, someone should ask him what they are doing to recruit candidates.

commodore on April 23, 2013 at 11:10 AM

AP, Brian will run he was tweeting out a poll just a few days ago showing his huge support.

The local libs are really mad about his gun vote, but mostly all the talk is about his ties to lobbyists and all his aids turning into them, they like to call them the k street boys.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:10 AM

I’m sure he decided on retirement long before he made his “brave” statement about the train wreck. I would not doubt that Obama bought him off to stay long enough to vote it in, and then retire.

PattyJ on April 23, 2013 at 11:10 AM

Maybe some Montana commenters could add some local insight on GOP possibilities for the vacant seat.

Curtiss on April 23, 2013 at 10:50 AM

I gave some thoughts over on the Headlines thread. Basically, Montana is a pretty Democratic state in statewide elections, except at the Presidential level. And the GOP has a very, very, very thin bench. Two candidates are already running (one of whom I like, and has a shot, but it will be tough). Schweitzer will be hard to beat if he decides to run. (I don’t think he’ll like being a senator, though. It doesn’t fit his personality well.) But Baucus would have been very hard to beat, too.

Liz Cheney? O please o please oplease

SarahW on April 23, 2013 at 11:01 AM

She’s from Wyoming.

acasilaco on April 23, 2013 at 11:11 AM

Liz Cheney? O please o please oplease

SarahW on April 23, 2013 at 11:01 AM

I’m with you but that’s Wyoming not Montana (as if anybody could tell the difference).

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:12 AM

You’re making this statement more than a year before the election with no clue who the GOP might run. Talk about going full Eeyore if you want change!

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:08 AM

http://missoulian.com/news/local/edmunds-announces-run-for-baucus-u-s-senate-seat/article_ca79973c-81e6-11e2-a7bc-0019bb2963f4.html

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:13 AM

You’re making this statement more than a year before the election with no clue who the GOP might run. Talk about going full Eeyore if you want change!

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:08 AM

I have family up there, all staunchly conservative and I know that if Schweitzer runs, many of them will vote for him. The man is really, really popular. I cant think of a Republican pol from Montana to match that.

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:13 AM

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:07 AM

Democrats have mastered the art of winning. Republicans have mastered the art of watching them win.

The system is fubar.

fogw on April 23, 2013 at 11:13 AM

Any chance Racicot runs??

cdog0613 on April 23, 2013 at 11:14 AM

Ted Cruz is vice chair of the NRSC, someone should ask him what they are doing to recruit candidates.

commodore on April 23, 2013 at 11:10 AM

They should run a candidate boot camp. If the hopeful answers a question about abortion with an explanation that pregnancy doesn’t happen if the woman isn’t enjoying it….. time to find a new candidate.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:15 AM

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:13 AM

Schweitzer is an azzhat, pretends to be all “moderate”, just like the rest of them.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:15 AM

acasilaco on April 23, 2013 at 11:11 AM

Then the one who you believe has a shot, why can’t the GOP tend to the garden and work on building their chances? Instead they seem to just grab the person with the most Facebook hits. In poker sometimes you have to chip away at your adversary’s pile of chips before you go all in. I distrust the cigar room GOP folks almost as much as I do the Donks.

Limerick on April 23, 2013 at 11:16 AM

the one x-factor in all these races is Obamacare

If Obamacare is a trainwreck when it goes into effect next year, it could potentially be tied to Dem candidates, even as popular as Schweitzer.

commodore on April 23, 2013 at 11:18 AM

Any chance Racicot runs??

cdog0613 on April 23, 2013 at 11:14 AM

Was wondering/hoping this myself.

Red Cloud on April 23, 2013 at 11:18 AM

You all might find this an interesting read.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/30/Was-Jon-Tester-Elected-Through-Fraud

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:19 AM

Schweitzer is an azzhat, pretends to be all “moderate”, just like the rest of them.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:15 AM

Maybe thats true, but he has convinced a lot of people that his moderation is genuine and thats what matters.

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:19 AM

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:13 AM

Thanks for the link though I think that the retirement announcement is a game changer in terms of who might consider running. No offense to Edmunds but when you are a state representative announcing your candidacy against a six-term incumbent US Senator- nobody takes you too seriously.

BTW, Edmunds might want to re-think the Chris Christie look if he wants to improve his chances.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:21 AM

Baucus sets down the Obamacare backpack, glances in both directions, then steps away and blends into the crowd. “They’ll never catch me”, he thought.

joejm65 on April 23, 2013 at 11:22 AM

Maybe thats true, but he has convinced a lot of people that his moderation is genuine and thats what matters.

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:19 AM

I agree.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:22 AM

Ted Cruz is vice chair of the NRSC, someone should ask him what they are doing to recruit candidates.

commodore on April 23, 2013 at 11:10 AM

Unfortunately, candidates have to exist in order for them to be recruited. It is the state/local party’s job to develop strong candidates, aka, build a bench.

A quick look at Montana’s major elected officials shows that, at least on paper, the best the GOP has to offer is either a first term Attorney General or a first term Congressman. That’s a pathetic GOP bench for a state that’s not exactly Vermont.

The GOP needs to, in one way or another, build up benches in states, particularly these right leaning states that send an inordinate amount of Democrats to Washington (Montana, both Dakotas, West Virginia). That starts with nailing down offices like Secretary of State, Treasurer, and Attorney General. Not exciting, but that’s how you lay the groundwork for victories 10 years down the road.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:23 AM

Enjoy youre “seperate but equal” pension and healthcare plan you voted for yourself.

A pox on you and your family.

acyl72 on April 23, 2013 at 11:25 AM

Maybe thats true, but he has convinced a lot of people that his moderation is genuine and thats what matters.

Valkyriepundit on April 23, 2013 at 11:19 AM

Style over substance only works if the voters are so stupid they can’t see the truth. Montanans sent Baucus to Congress for 36 years so they clearly aren’t the brightest bulbs in the chandelier.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:27 AM

One: He really does believe in gun rights. He’s not just pandering to his red-state constituency. Two: He was fully prepared to run again (he has millions in the bank to fund a campaign)

You forgot Three: His son Zeno works in the US Attorney’s Office in Montana. Yes – Zeno. Max teed up his son with ObamaCare slam & Gun Control No Vote

drivingtheview on April 23, 2013 at 11:30 AM

A quick look at Montana’s major elected officials shows that, at least on paper, the best the GOP has to offer is either a first term Attorney General or a first term Congressman. That’s a pathetic GOP bench for a state that’s not exactly Vermont.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:23 AM

You do realize that a Senate candidate doesn’t have to be an already elected official, right? I would think that a business leader with strong ties in the state, for example, would be just as strong a candidate as somebody already holding an office.

In other words, if you don’t like your choices among public officials you don’t settle for the best of the worst you expand your search.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:30 AM

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:27 AM

uhummmm, I’m sure you meant present company excepted.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:32 AM

A quick look at Montana’s major elected officials shows that, at least on paper, the best the GOP has to offer is either a first term Attorney General or a first term Congressman. That’s a pathetic GOP bench for a state that’s not exactly Vermont.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:23 AM

True. The bench is very thin.

But your mention of the first term Congressman (Daines) reminds me, though… He was planning to run for Senate against Tester last time, but switched to the House race when Rep. Rehberg chose to challenge Sen. Tester. I had forgotten about him. Baucus’ decision to retire might prompt Daines to go for the Senate. And he might be a decent candidate.

acasilaco on April 23, 2013 at 11:35 AM

Don’t let the door hit you in the arse on the way out! We’re Maxxed-out in Montana…

jbtripp on April 23, 2013 at 11:39 AM

All the old, dead meat, can’t be gone soon enough. Their self-perceived righteousness, and self-endowed “wisdom” has done nothing but hurt the Republic. Ben Franklin was right….. it’s tough to keep it. Adios Baucus, you idiot.

ultracon on April 23, 2013 at 11:42 AM

And hopefully McCain will take the hint……….

ultracon on April 23, 2013 at 11:42 AM

Last time Baucus ran (2008), this guy was the person the GOP primary voters chose to run against him:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bob_Kelleher

The late Mr. Kelleher was a nice man, I think. (I once sat next to him at a state bar meeting.) But he was a colorful character, to say the least. In 2002 he had also run against Sen. Baucus… as the Green Party’s nominee.

acasilaco on April 23, 2013 at 11:43 AM

uhummmm, I’m sure you meant present company excepted.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 11:32 AM

Oh! Of course. Thought that went without saying. ;0

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:49 AM

You do realize that a Senate candidate doesn’t have to be an already elected official, right? I would think that a business leader with strong ties in the state, for example, would be just as strong a candidate as somebody already holding an office.

In other words, if you don’t like your choices among public officials you don’t settle for the best of the worst you expand your search.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:30 AM

I’m well aware that Senate candidates don’t *have* to be elected officials, I’m just recognizing the reality that they pretty much always are, at least the successful ones. There is something to be said for gaining political and campaign experience at lower levels.

In 2006 in my home state of Nebraska, the Republicans nominated Pete Ricketts, a former COO of (and the son of the founder of) TD Ameritrade, one of Nebraska’s largest and best known companies, to challenge Ben “Vote #60 for Obamacare” Nelson. Despite outspending Nelson nearly 2-1, he lost 42% of Republicans, 73% of Independents, and the state 64-36. He may have been a good businessman, but he was a dreadful candidate.

That’s not to say that all first-time politicians are going to do poorly but off the top of my head, they don’t have a great track record.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:49 AM

And hopefully McCain will take the hint……….

ultracon on April 23, 2013 at 11:42 AM

Are you kidding? McCain comes close to the top ten list in seniority with all these retirements.

)

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:53 AM

No wonder there was an article quoting Brian in the local paper about gun control. He says he’s all for it. You control yours and he’ll control his. The Rs will have a tough time beating him. He gave out more money than dear leader per capita and has that folksy humor goin’.

Kissmygrits on April 23, 2013 at 11:56 AM

Good Riddance

workingclass artist on April 23, 2013 at 11:57 AM

That’s not to say that all first-time politicians are going to do poorly but off the top of my head, they don’t have a great track record.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:49 AM

True enough unless you are an idiot First Lady who buys the state of New York’s open Senate seat before your serial rapist husband leaves the Presidency. My only point, particularly in a state like Montana, is that there is an opportunity for somebody with strong name recognition within the state.

The reason the nomination usually goes to somebody who already has run a statewide race is less about experience than it is because they already have an organization in place and statewide name recognition.

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:59 AM

Considering Max Baucus nominated his Girlfriend for US Attorney……

portlandon on April 23, 2013 at 11:59 AM

Big meeting at RNC HQ this morning, topic -’How Can We F This Up’.

slickwillie2001 on April 23, 2013 at 12:00 PM

Big news: Max Baucus to retire

Which explains his relative ease at throwing out the “train wreck” comment regarding OButtheadCare.

How convenient.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on April 23, 2013 at 12:00 PM

The Rs will have a tough time beating him. He gave out more money than dear leader per capita and has that folksy humor goin’.

Kissmygrits on April 23, 2013 at 11:56 AM

Funny stuff alright.

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 12:02 PM

Dear Leader: Max who..? per Twitter.

d1carter on April 23, 2013 at 12:02 PM

As popular as Schweitzer may be, remember he’s the one who, when away from Montana, likes to put down Montanans – Montana’s Democrat governor calls constituents white, racist rednecks

Katja on April 23, 2013 at 12:05 PM

As popular as Schweitzer may be, remember he’s the one who, when away from Montana, likes to put down Montanans – Montana’s Democrat governor calls constituents white, racist rednecks

Katja on April 23, 2013 at 12:05 PM

Is that some of his “folksy charm” that Valkyriepundit is gushing about?

Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 12:09 PM

I’ll keep you up to date on local mumblings….

Sean Quinn ‏@nachofiesta 7m

That Politico piece mentions Corey Stapleton as possible R for Baucus seat. True story, Messina hired me to track him in 2007 #mtleg session
Expand

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 12:12 PM

Update.

John S. Adams ‏@TribLowdown 2h

Former Gov. @brianschweitzer says he’s focused on saving the Stillwater Mine, but is “not ruling anything out,” re: Senate run. #mtpol
Retweeted 8 times

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 12:15 PM

Bob Brigham ‏@BobBrigham 1h

pls retweet that @brianschweitzer has a website where you can sign up with your email address! #MTsen #MTpol
Expand

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 12:16 PM

The legacy of Max Baucus

US National debt when he first took office: $789,207,000,000

Current US National debt: $17,000,000,000,000

His legacy? “Added $10,000,000,000,000 to your childrens’ debt payments”

His reward? Pension and healthcare for life, paid for by those who also have to pay off the debt he incurred.

BobMbx on April 23, 2013 at 10:46 AM

I just had to check this out since it looked like Bob left a factor of 10 out. My bad, it was a factor of 22.

1978 debt $771,544,000,000 (todays dollars = $2,716,704,225,352)
2013 debt $17,000,000,000,000.

In a just world he would be in jail.

http://www.davemanuel.com/history-of-debt-in-the-united-states.php

DanMan on April 23, 2013 at 12:17 PM

One more for the road.

http://mtstreetfighter.com/could-she-be-montanas-first-female-u-s-senator/

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 12:23 PM

Schweitzer’s popular and can run against Washington without actually changing anything when he gets there. This is terrible news.

jr.ewing.78 on April 23, 2013 at 10:53 AM

Bingo. We just went from about a 50/50 shot (assuming we have a good nominee, which is a big if) to about 25/75.

BuzzCrutcher on April 23, 2013 at 12:33 PM

Boo hoo another supporter of baby killing stepping down…

crosshugger on April 23, 2013 at 12:39 PM

It’d be nice if we got some aggressive conservatives to run.

Iblis on April 23, 2013 at 12:39 PM

Any chance Racicot runs??

cdog0613 on April 23, 2013 at 11:14 AM

He would probably be the GOP’s best chance at taking this seat. It’s a shame that he didn’t run against Baucus in 2002.

I’m well aware that Senate candidates don’t *have* to be elected officials, I’m just recognizing the reality that they pretty much always are, at least the successful ones. There is something to be said for gaining political and campaign experience at lower levels.

In 2006 in my home state of Nebraska, the Republicans nominated Pete Ricketts, a former COO of (and the son of the founder of) TD Ameritrade, one of Nebraska’s largest and best known companies, to challenge Ben “Vote #60 for Obamacare” Nelson. Despite outspending Nelson nearly 2-1, he lost 42% of Republicans, 73% of Independents, and the state 64-36. He may have been a good businessman, but he was a dreadful candidate.

That’s not to say that all first-time politicians are going to do poorly but off the top of my head, they don’t have a great track record.

LukeinNE on April 23, 2013 at 11:49 AM

I’m with you on this. We’ve had our fill of “self-funding” businessman (or businesswoman) Senate candidates who keep on losing. Pete Coors in CO, Linda McMahon in CT, Carly Fiorina in CA, and the list goes on and on. Business leaders can win Republican primaries, but they sometimes don’t reach the middle-of-the-road persuadable voters who don’t own businesses, but work for someone else, and who perceive business owners as rich and privileged, and possibly “stingy” like their bosses. Even on the Democrat side, successful businessman Jon Corzine turned out to be a lousy Senator and Governor, and opened the door for Chris Christie.

Most of the Republicans recently elected to the Senate have held other elective office, meaning that they already know how to win elections. The best Senate candidates are current or former Governors, or other statewide office holders, such as State Treasurers or Attorneys General, followed by current or former House members, for states having few Congressional districts.

Steve Z on April 23, 2013 at 12:40 PM

Sorry to be doom-and-gloom on this, but I’m calling it now — this is a seat the Dems will hold.

Tester’s victory in 2012 was prima facie evidence of a pretty catastrophic organizational failure by the NRSC and Rove’s Crossroads group. Tester had to thread a needle to win — and he did by outperforming the NRSC and Rehberg on every single level (except $$$): advertising, GOTV, messaging, retail politicking, etc.

Bottom line: the institutional GOP establishment SUCKS at campaign politics right now and unless there is a radical change in the quality of their performance, the DSCC and the Dems will hold onto this seat.

Schweitzer’s a better candidate than Tester. The NRSC isn’t going to find anyone for 2014 with the advantages Rehberg should have had.

Robert_Paulson on April 23, 2013 at 12:50 PM

Hand writing on the wall …

cut and run …

Coward.

parke on April 23, 2013 at 12:56 PM

Shameful legacy I say.

jake49 on April 23, 2013 at 12:58 PM

Do unto others, then scram. Thanks for scroogling us with Obamacare then fleeing the scene. Trainwreck looming.

Philly on April 23, 2013 at 1:03 PM

BuzzCrutcher on April 23, 2013 at 12:33 PM

+1

Robert_Paulson on April 23, 2013 at 1:04 PM

Rove is no doubt calling Tommy Thompson and George Allen right now to see if either has a vacation home in MT that could be the basis for residency.

“Don’t worry,’ he’ll tell them, “the fresh Montana air will blow away the smell of mothballs on you.”

Wethal on April 23, 2013 at 1:05 PM

Schweitzer’s a lock.

steebo77 on April 23, 2013 at 1:06 PM

One more for the road.

http://mtstreetfighter.com/could-she-be-montanas-first-female-u-s-senator/

MontanaMmmm on April 23, 2013 at 12:23 PM

Ugh. She’s a radical pro-abort.

22044 on April 23, 2013 at 1:07 PM

Rove is no doubt calling Tommy Thompson and George Allen right now to see if either has a vacation home in MT that could be the basis for residency.

Wethal on April 23, 2013 at 1:05 PM

Why got to Thompson or Allen when you can just run Rehberg again (and again, and again, and again…)?

steebo77 on April 23, 2013 at 1:08 PM

Republicans will be out in force next year for the midterms,

Will they? Did they come out in force last November?

Kensington on April 23, 2013 at 1:14 PM

Now, if we can just get the rest of the Dem/RINO basteds/biatches to resign we might have a chance in turning the country around. Big, fat f’ing chance. We’re doomed.

HiJack on April 23, 2013 at 1:17 PM

but something happened between last Wednesday and today to make him suddenly reconsider. Hmmm.

Dead horsehead from Sir Golfsalot, via OfA, on his pillow…

Schadenfreude on April 23, 2013 at 1:20 PM

I bet he is already organizing his former staffers and getting ready to open a lobbying firm.

JR on April 23, 2013 at 1:29 PM

Montana is a beautiful libertarian state, with lots of stupid people in it, lots immigrated from blue heavens. The destruction is apace.

Schadenfreude on April 23, 2013 at 1:32 PM

Brian Schweitzer, his likely replacement as Democratic nominee

As a neighbor of MT, this man is a douche.
I have family living in E. MT & have business dealings on occasion there as well.
His handling of the wolf introduction & the bison/elk disease problems ALONE make him a double douche in my eyes.

I’m with you but that’s Wyoming not Montana (as if anybody could tell the difference).
Happy Nomad on April 23, 2013 at 11:12 AM

I feel like being nice about this snark.
Having lived in Wyoming before, been to E. MT (& other parts) a lot over the last 15 years, I can tell you there is a big difference.
And it is insulting to hear $hit like that. You must be either en Easterner, West Coaster, or elitist to say such a thing.
And it has partially to do with this:

Montana is a beautiful libertarian state, with lots of stupid people in it, lots immigrated from blue heavens. The destruction is apace.

Schadenfreude on April 23, 2013 at 1:32 PM

Rich liberals have been fleeing & vacationing in MT, especially W. MT where it’s ‘prettier’ for decades.
You can’t spit in the west half of the state without hitting a liberal twit.
The same exact thing has happened to OR,WA,ID,& CO.
Wyoming & E. MT are still a bit too harsh for rich liberals, climate wise.
The only couple of places where rich liberals seem to congregate in WY is Jackson Hole & Cody.

Badger40 on April 23, 2013 at 1:42 PM

Of some note:

Several of the CountryWideHomeLoans “friends of angelo” kick back graft loans were in Montana.

One or two of them will be well funded by the commie crook democrats.

Former boss of Fannie Mae if memory serves got one of the loans for a $3,000,000 montana mountain top home.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 2:13 PM

Ya, way back machine:

Both James Johnson and Franklin Rains of Fanny Mae got the kick back loans..

Seems James Johnson was the one who got the mountain top deal in Montana, if memory serves.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 2:18 PM

James Johnson CountryWideHomeLoan in Big Timber Montana.

Robber In His Roost.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 2:23 PM

Bacus most likely was the Real Estate Broker on the deal…..

APACHEWHOKNOWS on April 23, 2013 at 2:25 PM

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