Poll: Sequester fall-out is not going the way Democrats had wished

posted at 10:01 pm on April 4, 2013 by Mary Katharine Ham

I am mildly heartened by the fact that the American public is not absolutely freaking out over a small percentage of the budget. It gives me hope that perhaps we can stomach more necessary reforms in the future. For the same reason, Democrats are worried that they’re not freaking out, which is why Greg Sargent at the Washington Post flags this McClatchy-Marist result:

When it comes to the impact of the automatic spending cuts on the economy, 40 percent of adults nationally say they have had no effect on the economy. 36 percent believe they have had a negative impact while 14 percent say the sequester cuts have had a positive one. 10 percent are unsure.

There has been an increase in the proportion of Americans who think these across-the-board spending cuts have had little impact on the nation’s economy.

When McClatchy-Marist reported this question last month, 27% of residents thought sequestration would not affect the economy. Nearly half — 47 percent — said the economy would be adversely affected, and 19% thought it would be positively impacted. Seven percent, at that time, were unsure.

On the personal side, almost two-thirds of adults — 65 percent — say these automatic budget cuts have not had any effect on their family.

The “no effect” camp is up 13 points in a month, and the personal effect number is pretty brutal for fearmongers, too— 65 percent say the cuts have no effect on their family.

The sequestration will continue to ripple through the country and media coverage, but at this point, it seems unlikely public opinion against it would build to such a head that it would change the political calculus involved. The public is perfectly willing to blame Republicans for most problems, according to the rest of the poll, but they’re just not willing to believe this is as big a problem as they were told. No doubt, part of the reason is, for every genuine story of cutback pain, there seem to be more than a few that make the American public doubt all the stories they’ve been told.

For instance, a Sequester Scare Story Implosion, in Three Acts and The GOP Congressman Who Destroyed Obama’s Sequester Scare Story. The raft of sequester fibs floated by the White House and other members of the administration in the month between McClatchy’s last poll and this one may have something to do with that erosion.


Sargent keeps the hope alive:

But if the public doesn’t grow convinced that the sequester is hurting the economy, Republicans will probably be persuaded that they should continue to hold out against any compromise to replace the sequester, in the belief that the public will come to accept it as the new normal. Which means the only way things will change will be if the sequester cuts in individual districts or states pressure individual Republicans to peel off from the party’s absolutist anti-tax stance, a process Obama will try to push along by continuing to appeal directly to officials outside the leadership who might be more open to compromise. If not, we’re stuck in extended sequestration.

The American public accepted a lot of new normals to reelect President Obama—the lowest workforce participation in years, the highest food stamp rolls in years, and real unemployment in the teens. Reducing the federal government’s budget by a pittance over the next 10 years may be the first new normal that’s healthier than the old one.


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…jackasses…

KOOLAID2 on April 4, 2013 at 10:02 PM

…we need to make sure poor people can get mortgages again…so we can have a bigger sequester!

KOOLAID2 on April 4, 2013 at 10:04 PM

But if the public doesn’t grow convinced that the sequester is hurting the economy

…the MSM must be slacking!

KOOLAID2 on April 4, 2013 at 10:05 PM

+1 KA2 on the first post

cmsinaz on April 4, 2013 at 10:06 PM

. If not, we’re stuck in extended sequestration

…the new normal!

KOOLAID2 on April 4, 2013 at 10:06 PM

I am mildly heartened by the fact that the American public is not absolutely freaking out over a small percentage of the budget. It gives me hope that perhaps we can stomach more necessary reforms in the future.

The last thing any leftists ever wants is an actual government shutdown because it will immediately put the lie to the notion we can’t function without our dear government nannies.

NotCoach on April 4, 2013 at 10:07 PM

is that mooch in a bunny costume? i guess she had to hide her face as not to scare the kiddies at the easter egg roll.

GhoulAid on April 4, 2013 at 10:08 PM

It destroys the entire foundation of Liberal attack.

Over the years, the Dems have had to contort their rhetoric to such. Point, the only thing that will get attention is the ridiculous.

It’s kinda like the reverse of the abortion strategy. Nothing the Libs have said is true regarding Republican or other efforts to curtail abortion, but almost everything abortion opponents warned would happen has.

If these ‘cuts’ hold out, it will be harder for the .left to caterwaul about any cuts we actually need to make in the future.

catmman on April 4, 2013 at 10:08 PM

Evening you guys…

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:08 PM

Obama sucks..

2 out of 22..

0 out of 1…

Break a leg…,.

Electrongod on April 4, 2013 at 10:11 PM

Evening you guys…

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:08 PM

Evening…

Electrongod on April 4, 2013 at 10:12 PM

Sargent is afraid not enough people are afraid. Something good finally happens in this country and this fellow wants people to panic?

Know It All on April 4, 2013 at 10:13 PM

Mooch is single..

Her words..

And who cares…

Electrongod on April 4, 2013 at 10:14 PM

Hey EG, I still chuckle over that basketball fiasco

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:14 PM

The Azzhole in Chief is out campaigning.

Schadenfreude on April 4, 2013 at 10:15 PM

I suspect that Obama actually wants the sequestration, despite his theatrics recently in fighting it. Since it seems the sequestration affects more the defense side of government, he’s achieving cutting some money while not really hurting his base.

nonpartisan on April 4, 2013 at 10:16 PM

The Azzhole in Chief is out campaigning.

Schadenfreude on April 4, 2013 at 10:15 PM

When is he not campaigning?

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:16 PM

The cuts will have an adverse effect on MSNBCs reporting. Now that is a total world wide disaster. I mean, Mary, can’t you undertand that?

Limerick on April 4, 2013 at 10:21 PM

Hey EG, I still chuckle over that basketball fiasco

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:14 PM

I know..

North K has missile pointed at us..

And the media is concerned that Obama can’t shoot..

But has an excuse..

Or course..

Electrongod on April 4, 2013 at 10:21 PM

When McClatchy-Marist reported this question last month, 27% of residents thought sequestration would not affect the economy. Nearly half — 47 percent — said the economy would be adversely affected, and 19% thought it would be positively impacted. Seven percent, at that time, were unsure.

On the personal side, almost two-thirds of adults — 65 percent — say these automatic budget cuts have not had any effect on their family

…oh oh! …JugEars counts on that magic 47 number!…

KOOLAID2 on April 4, 2013 at 10:22 PM

What really pisses me off is the lack of leadership shown by this President as to what was cut. Saying that it was out of his hands using no management skills to carefully manage any reduction on funds. Oh yeah, He wanted to use others as a tool for his agenda. Then Obama gives back part of salary this late into the game. This is probably how it went down.

Obama – “Now that I am back from my third vacation this year, what can we do to make this sequester pay off for us and hurt the republicans”

Staffer – How about giving back part of your salary to show your solidarity with those effected by the cuts?”

Obama – “Will I still be able to have Michelle’s birthday party?”

Staffer – “As large as ever, especially after we cancelled the Army Ball”.

Obama – “Will I still be able to play golf all the time?”

Staffer – “Of course, we don’t allow the press near the course any more after how well that worked when you played with Tiger Woods.”

Obama – “Can I continue to travel the country fund raising for MY Obama For America, i mean Organizing For America.”

Staffer – Without anymore white house tours, nobody will notice that you are not here at the Oval office doing any work.”

Obama – “Well since I will not have to give up anything, sure give part of my salary back.”

turbeda on April 4, 2013 at 10:22 PM

Not going well,on SeQuester,I guess thats why,Team Democrat
are pushing a decrease in there Salarys PR Campaign!!

As in Kerrys latest attempt!!

US sequester, budget resolution 2013

Secretary of State John Kerry to give 5% of paycheck to charity for department employees, spokeswomen says – @AP

7 hours ago from http://www.huffingtonpost.com by editor

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:25 PM

Electrongod on April 4, 2013 at 10:21 PM

I keep listening to these pundits say it’s all bluster and they cannot hit the US. The Drudge headline with the flowers saying that the US has pulled back our rhetoric.

He can’t shoot and he certainly leads from behind. I don’t see where this one ends.

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:25 PM

They should have given it a sexier name. Sequestration just doesn’t evoke the impending sense of doom that the Dems wanted.

Curtiss on April 4, 2013 at 10:26 PM

The Obama regime deserves full credit for shooting themselves in the feet. The RINOs in Congress are useless except when it comes to passing whatever the Democrats can pass in the Senate.

Wigglesworth on April 4, 2013 at 10:26 PM

Heh, not only does she claim to be “single”, but that she’s “busy”, the witch.

Schadenfreude on April 4, 2013 at 10:26 PM

I don’t see where this one ends.

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:25 PM

Cluster? Yeah the F too.

Limerick on April 4, 2013 at 10:26 PM

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:25 PM

Why are they getting a choice as to where it should go? They give an add’l 5% of their salaries and then get to deduct it on their taxes next year???? WTH

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:27 PM

Limerick on April 4, 2013 at 10:26 PM

one big clusterf

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:29 PM

Results for #Obamaquester

https://twitter.com/search/%23Obamaquester
==========================================

Results for #sequester

https://twitter.com/search?q=%23sequester

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:29 PM

If $1 billion= 1 mile, the Federal yearly budget would be the distance between Florida and Washington state plus about 500 or so miles.

If $1 billion= 1 mile, the “cuts” wouldn’t get me from east Tucson to west Tucson.

Perspective.

$3.whatever trillion ~vs~ a few billion.

wolly4321 on April 4, 2013 at 10:29 PM

Curtiss on April 4, 2013 at 10:26 PM

Not to worry. In a few days they’ll rename it as the Ds always do.

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:30 PM

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:25 PM

Why are they getting a choice as to where it should go? They give an add’l 5% of their salaries and then get to deduct it on their taxes next year???? WTH

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:27 PM

CoffeeLover:Oh I agree,adding insult to injury,its TAXPAYER LOOT that
Kerry,is handing out,…le ugh!:)

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:31 PM

No doubt, part of the reason is, for every genuine story of cutback pain, there seem to be more than a few that make the American public doubt all the stories they’ve been told.

I think even in the stories of “cutback pain,” there’s a sense that it was unnecessary, that the administration could have cut elsewhere without effect, and is just trying to make everyone believe painful cuts were necessary.

I know the federal defense workers who are having to take two days off a pay period don’t believe for a second that forced furloughs was the only way to reach the sequester goals.

There Goes The Neighborhood on April 4, 2013 at 10:32 PM

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:31 PM

…ain’t that the truth!

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:34 PM

The cuts will have an adverse effect on MSNBCs reporting. Now that is a total world wide disaster. I mean, Mary, can’t you undertand that?

Limerick on April 4, 2013 at 10:21 PM

Limerick:Good point,speaking of MSLSD old news!!:)

msnbc ‏@msnbc 3 Apr

President Obama to give up 5% of his salary in the wake of the #Sequester cuts, reports @NBCNews http://on.msnbc.com/Xe5re7

https://twitter.com/search?q=%23sequester

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:35 PM

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:31 PM

…ain’t that the truth!

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:34 PM

CoffeeLover:Tru Dat:)

canopfor on April 4, 2013 at 10:36 PM

There Goes The Neighborhood on April 4, 2013 at 10:32 PM

Yep and when you really understand that the “cuts” are not cuts to the budget line but merely the AMOUNT OF INCREASE…it is IMO immoral what they are doing.

CoffeeLover on April 4, 2013 at 10:36 PM

Does anyone else see this as a more sophisticated ‘Washington Monument’ maneuver than the carrier stay at home move a while ago?
Obama has told the Pentagon to go along with treating this DPRK seriously and he might let them off the hook for sequestration. He convinces the spineless repubs to let him raise taxes, then blames them for taking so long and putting the nation at risk. Win win for the permanent campainer.
The stealth bombers over the DMZ are what kicked off the anthill, to me that’s our first move in the charade. And then send out the latest State department actress to throw dust in our eyes. Sound familiar, Valerie?
And KJU may be going along with it as a way to get his regime behind him and fend off the Chinese who are probably asking wtf behind the scenes.
Now that I think of that, he and Obama need each other, and share a lot of psychological traits.

sleepyhead on April 4, 2013 at 11:01 PM

This is why the fresh prince of Bill Ayers suddenly wants more flexibility in what to cut. He wants to find ways to make it hurt more.

The Rogue Tomato on April 4, 2013 at 11:03 PM

Freeze the spending at last year’s nominal dollar amount with no adjustment for inflation, followed up by subsequent 1 per cent cuts. Then maybe Obama can get to work on analyzing the budget line by line – like he promised years ago.

Bernfp on April 4, 2013 at 11:53 PM

There has been an increase in the proportion of Americans who think these across-the-board spending cuts have had little impact on the nation’s economy.

Except, of course, that there were no cuts.

The government will spend more then it did last year.

18-1 on April 5, 2013 at 12:29 AM

Which means the only way things will change will be if the sequester cuts in individual districts or states pressure individual Republicans to peel off from the party’s absolutist anti-tax stance

Except, of course, the Republicans just went along with Obama’s tax increase.

Speaking of which, when are we going to hear about Obama’s absolutist anti-spending cut stance?

18-1 on April 5, 2013 at 12:30 AM

well, of course, there’s the Rs want cancer patients to die by not paying for their cancer drugs…that issue that will grow.

r keller on April 5, 2013 at 12:35 AM

36 percent believe they have had a negative impact

These are Obama’s true believers. They could see Obama drowning and still tell the pollsters that he walks on water. Add a few more points, and that’s why his favorables well never go below, say, 40. It’s the soft bigotry of low expectations. Blacks are every bit as capable as anyone else–just not this liberal black community-organizing huckster.

BuckeyeSam on April 5, 2013 at 1:24 AM

Eire the Federal leeches. Cut them off. Let them farm in Alaska. Move to Mexico and go on welfare in Britain. Enjoy multiculturalism in Malmo, Sweden. Be street entertainers and lecturers in black Chicago. Just go away.

pat on April 5, 2013 at 1:26 AM

Fire the leeches. Eire the leeches? Hmmmm. Ireland may want more liberals. It is failing, but perhaps not fast enough for liberals. It can take another boat load of USA Federal employees.

pat on April 5, 2013 at 1:29 AM

Medicare is cutting Part B reimbursements and this means some clinics are turning away Medicare patients for some chemotherapy drugs, because the cuts mean administering the drugs would be a money-loser.

They are blaming the “sequester” but these appear to be the cuts due to ObamaCare which would happen with or without the sequester.

Adjoran on April 5, 2013 at 2:12 AM

The low information voter did not lose his free cell phone

They also have had no major change in their Obamacare experience so far this year

And the idiots in the MSM keep saying the Stock Market is gangbusters and the economy is great

Obama is still President

He is not even worried about N Korea saying they will nuke us

His wife is still all over tv handing telling people to eat less

So what changed

OH, Leno. And he isnt leaving right away. What to worry

entagor on April 5, 2013 at 2:53 AM

I can’t even begin to say how vile Obama and others of his ilk really are. They are, truly, scum of the Earth.

DevilsPrinciple on April 5, 2013 at 4:46 AM

See this is what happens when you let the lefts garbage actually play out. We are seeing the same thing with the AHC act. They told everyone how wonderful it was going to be… it had some support…now that it is in play, even those that supported or was on the fence are seeing the lies that were put forth and now do not like it one bit.

The same has happened here… let it play out and guess what.. another lie by the left. Life did not stop. In WI with the public workers unions… stuff just did not stop because they had to pay a little bit into retirement and health care…

watertown on April 5, 2013 at 6:05 AM

Should be a lesson to Boehner and Republican leadership. When you don’t play Obama’s game, Obama loses.

Barrack on April 5, 2013 at 6:22 AM

I’ve already heard it in ABC this morning. Today’s dismal jobs report? Yeah, sequestration did that.

Happy Nomad on April 5, 2013 at 7:40 AM

The best part is that it was Obama who proposed the sequester in the first place.

This is something he should take credit for: that he can start biting into the cost curve of government spending!

If it was a BAD THING then why did he propose it?

If it was a GOOD THING then why doesn’t he take credit?

Damned if he does, damned if he doesn’t, this is his box and the lid now needs to be closed an sealed with him in it.

Of course the Stupid Party won’t be able to do that. It loves only to take blame, and Obama loves to give blame to them. This is a lethal co-dependent relationship for our Nation.

ajacksonian on April 5, 2013 at 7:42 AM

AT first, I thought Obama was being very clever. I am a Fed and I’ve been through all the furloughs. They used to be in-your-face, close-the-doors affairs. This one is being managed in a way to stretch out the pain – amortise it. Instead of closing doors, we’re having to offer up 13 days without pay stretched over about six months – we get to schedule them ourselves. And, those of us who earned a performance bonus this past year, aren’t getting them paid out for the foreseeable future. Oh, and we’re hiring, so it appears we’re taking cuts in pay in order to hire newbies. (By contrast, Reagan had the decency to freeze hiring when he had battles like these.)

As a result, there’s no pressure on the politicians to fix anything, but we Federal workers get really angry. And I think it was supposed to work out that we would be angry at the Republicans, but we know the Democrats designed this sequester and the rules that we work under, so everyone knows it’s their fault.

They were too clever by half and now they’re going to pay for it.

Cricket624 on April 5, 2013 at 10:11 AM