Virginia poll: McAuliffe, Cuccinelli still pretty much tied

posted at 2:41 pm on March 27, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

Ah, dear ol’ Virginia. The now-purplish commonwealth has gone from swinging blue for Obama in 2008, to electing Gov. McDonnell in a landslide just one year later, and then right back to supporting Obama in 2012 — and it’s so far looking like the 2013 gubernatorial is very much up for grabs. This is the first polling update since Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling announced earlier this month that he was scrapping the idea of an indie bid, which had the potential to siphon off votes from both Cuccinelli and McAuliffe, but it looks like his withdrawal had pretty much no effect on the virtual tie between the remaining two. In a nutshell, though, the race is still seven months away and Virginians just haven’t invested that much interest in it yet, via Quinnipiac:

Virginia State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is viewed as having better experience while voters see Terry McAuliffe as slightly less ideological, but neither is well-known to voters who are divided on who should be the next governor, with 40 percent for Republican Cuccinelli and 38 percent for Democrat McAuliffe according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. …

“Neither candidate for governor is that well known to voters although Cuccinelli has a small edge in that department,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Because of their relatively low profiles at this point, the horse race numbers pretty much reflect a generic Democratic-Republican race. …

Virginia voters still know little about either candidate. Cuccinelli gets a 30 – 24 percent favorability rating, with 44 percent who don’t know enough about him to form an opinion. McAuliffe has a 20 – 16 percent favorability, with 63 percent who don’t know enough about him.

The real gist of it, then, is that there’s still plenty of room for all of those independently-minded Virginians to be swayed, and given that Chris Christie would have to royally screw things up in New Jersey to lose 2013′s only other gubernatorial, I’d count on the Democrats throwing everything they have at this race. Gov. McDonnell’s job approval rating is still pretty darn solid (53 percent with 26 percent disapproving, according to this Quinnipiac poll), and while there was an outbreak of anger over his recent transportation bill, Cuccinelli was openly opposed to the whole thing — ergo, I’m steeling myself for what I’m guessing will be a bunch of “extremist Tea Partier,” “war on women”-themed ad assaults coming up here. Yippee.


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Cuccinelli better be prepared to define himself early, and often, before they do.

changer1701 on March 27, 2013 at 2:46 PM

When in doubt always vote socialist.

You’ll get more free stuff that way and the rich people don’t mind paying for it.

If money get’s tight just tax more and blame it on the republicans. A winning formula everytime.

acyl72 on March 27, 2013 at 2:46 PM

Anyone know how McDonnell(or any generic Republican) was polling at this point in 2009? Cuz he ended up winning that race by around 18 points.

Doughboy on March 27, 2013 at 2:49 PM

One of them better be gay or they will definitely lose.

Bishop on March 27, 2013 at 2:50 PM

voters see Terry McAuliffe as slightly less ideological

Bwahahahaha! Boy oh boy are they in for a surprise.

platypus on March 27, 2013 at 2:50 PM

If I were Ken I’d make a big f…ing deal out of
the cost of health care coming down the road .
He knows that stuff inside and out .
Take no prisoners !
( well , I can still dream can’t I ? )

Lucano on March 27, 2013 at 2:54 PM

Anyone know how McDonnell(or any generic Republican) was polling at this point in 2009? Cuz he ended up winning that race by around 18 points.

Doughboy on March 27, 2013 at 2:49 PM

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2009/governor/va/virginia_governor_mcdonnell_vs_deeds-1055.html

steebo77 on March 27, 2013 at 2:59 PM

McCauliffe is from the Corrupt Clinton administration…that people tend to forget now a days. We need a trip down memory lane.

Fleuries on March 27, 2013 at 3:02 PM

Cuccinelli should definitely start talking about the cost of Obamacare. It is greatly affecting the people of Virginia.

Just because the Republican Party has abandoned this as an issue, does not mean Cuccinelli should.

Marcus Traianus on March 27, 2013 at 3:06 PM

I’m worried that Cuccinelli’s spending too much time fighting with McDonnell and Bolling over Richmond inside legislative baseball and not enough time focusing on going to war with McAuliffe.

Robert_Paulson on March 27, 2013 at 3:07 PM

McCauliffe is from the Corrupt Clinton administration…that people tend to forget now a days. We need a trip down memory lane.

Fleuries on March 27, 2013 at 3:02 PM

I remember him and his major creep factor !

Lucano on March 27, 2013 at 3:09 PM

Ken is an awesome, fearless conservative. Can’t wait to vote for him again.

crrr6 on March 27, 2013 at 3:12 PM

Are they gay?

Schadenfreude on March 27, 2013 at 3:15 PM

It’s gonna be a dry year for political fundraising but I’ll send some bucks Cuccinelli’s way. Gotta support a fellow birther – and I don’t give a flyin’ eff what GOP establishment thinks of it.

Archivarix on March 27, 2013 at 3:25 PM

Keep pushing on guns Obama, keep pushing.

Daemonocracy on March 27, 2013 at 5:10 PM

A state filled with government workers.

Imagine that they might want a democrat as their ruler.

The states already been split up once. It probably wouldn’t hurt to split it again. Maybe you could have Virginia, West Virginia, East Virginia. Just rename the capital of East Virginia – Obamamond or maybe Nairobi and everyone’s happy.

East Virginia would be a gun free zone, abortions up to 8 months 3 weeks, free healthcare, contraception and all of the government holidays you want. All rich people, except the ruling elite and government workers, would be taxed at 90%. It would be a virtual paradise… just like DC is.

acyl72 on March 27, 2013 at 6:18 PM