Pew poll shows 8-point drop in Obama approval rating

posted at 8:41 am on March 22, 2013 by Ed Morrissey

Well over a month ago, Sean Trende warned me that the numbers had started to shift away from Barack Obama, and that his election-cycle rise in approval had come to an end.  We have seen that in a number of polls already, and last night Pew confirmed it with its latest survey results — and in a big way.  Obama has dropped eight points since his re-election, and five points since his win on tax rates in January:

Barack Obama’s job approval rating has tumbled since shortly after his re-election, as the public’s economic expectations for the coming year have soured. Despite substantial public awareness of recent gains in the stock market and rebounding real-estate values, the percentage saying economic conditions will get worse over the next year has risen to its highest point in nearly eight years.

Obama’s job approval measure has fallen eight points since December, from 55% to 47%. His rating is comparable to George W. Bush’s (45%) at the same point early in his second term and is much lower than Bill Clinton’s 60% rating in February 1997.

He’s still doing better than Congressional Republicans on the economy, at 53/39.  However, surveys of this type beg the response.  Presidents have higher profiles and people invest more confidence naturally in an individual executive to get things done; by definition, Congress is a committee.  Even the party caucuses are committees, and people don’t put a lot of confidence in committees, and perhaps especially not in Congress.

And even that may not last long.  Pew also reports that Americans have grown significantly more pessimistic about the economy:

When it comes to views of the national economy, most Americans do not think a recovery has taken hold. Just 27% say that the economy is recovering, while 31% say it will recover soon and 40% say it will be a long time before the economy recovers. These views have changed little over the past year.

Looking ahead, the public’s forecast for the national economy has deteriorated. A year ago, nearly three times as many Americans expected the economy to be better as worse in the next year (44% vs. 14%). Today, just a quarter (25%) expect economic conditions to be better a year from now, while nearly a third (32%) say conditions will be worse.

Part of this is a backfire from Obama’s Nightmare on Sequester Street public-relations strategy.  He painted a scary picture of economic doom, selling it 24/7 on news programs and speeches, with his Cabinet Secretaries warning of imminent disaster at airports, in employment, and in every area of American life.  Even those demagogic horror stories failed to materialize, the tone had to have impacted the way Americans see the economy.  That will make it much more difficult to keep insisting on a stay-the-course economic strategy.

Of course, Obama could use that unrest to argue for even more tax hikes and “stimulus” spending, but he’s been doing that ever since his big win on tax hikes on New Years Day.  That doesn’t appear to be lifting his approval rating or his credibility.  The necessary support Obama needs for that kind of policy is eroding underneath his feet.

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Did Obama really just say that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is just like the US-Canada conflict?

No wonder his numbers are dropping.

I wonder what Canada thinks of that statement.

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 8:46 AM

Somebody needs to tell Rasmussen so he can stop polling Obama’s staff.

rplat on March 22, 2013 at 8:49 AM

BFD, he’s still president. if anything this might make him desperate to cement his legacy. which in his mind means grabbing more power and forcing more socialist liberal policies on the country. maybe everyone should lie and push his rating up in the 60′s. then he’ll think its all good and golf instead of attempting to rule.

chasdal on March 22, 2013 at 8:51 AM

Just wait til Obamacare kicks in. You think people are pessimistic now? And at some point enough folks will notice that Obama has been in office nearly as long as Bush was and actually start to link his failed policies to the man himself which will erode his support even more. His base of suckers and leeches is strong enough that he’ll probably never drop below 40%(barring an economic collapse), but that kind of rating would still be devastating for the Dems in 2014 and harm whomever the party puts up for President in 2016.

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 8:51 AM

I didn’t realize Canadians were raised to believe that Americans are descendents of apes and pigs. Wish I had known that before I married one.

ctmom on March 22, 2013 at 8:51 AM

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 8:51 AM

i’m skeptical that will ever happen. the core dems will never think that way and the casual voters never pay attention until elelctions are way too influenced by the press

chasdal on March 22, 2013 at 8:54 AM

But, But, he support gay marriage and abortion so his polls should be soaring according to Hotair..

melle1228 on March 22, 2013 at 8:54 AM

Crayons
-gibbsy

cmsinaz on March 22, 2013 at 8:54 AM

Whatever the rat-eared devil thinks he can bully through Congress by sheer popularity is going to be nothing but a dream if his approval ratings continue to tank, the economy turns south, and the mid-term election cycle comes closer. My guess is that “immigration reform” is already toast, any sort of gun-grabbing legislation is not a sure thing, and the media will become more critical now that propping up the bastard no longer matters.

Exit prediction. More Executive Orders to mandate amnesty, legitimize sodomite marriage, anti-business/pro-union regulation, and the destruction of the domestic energy industries.

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 8:55 AM

He just started his second term; is “approval” really necessary?

listens2glenn on March 22, 2013 at 8:56 AM

Did Obama really just say that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is just like the US-Canada conflict?

No wonder his numbers are dropping.

I wonder what Canada thinks of that statement.

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 8:46 AM

Seems like just yesterday when missles were being launched from Vancouver toward school kids in Seattle,doesn’t it?…

hillsoftx on March 22, 2013 at 8:57 AM

i’m skeptical that will ever happen. the core dems will never think that way and the casual voters never pay attention until elelctions are way too influenced by the press

chasdal on March 22, 2013 at 8:54 AM

That’s why I said his base of support will likely remain around 40% barring another recession(or worse). But once Obamacare is fully implemented, the effects on both the health care system and the economy will be too obvious for even the low information voter to ignore. And blaming it on the GOP will be more than a stretch considering none of them voted for the bill.

And yes, I’m fully aware that more than a few Republicans have technically voted to fund Obamacare, but I seriously doubt Obama will go on national TV and trash the opposition for voting to pay for his signature piece of legislation.

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 8:59 AM

But, But, he support gay marriage and abortion so his polls should be soaring according to Hotair..

melle1228 on March 22, 2013 at 8:54 AM

Seriously, his support of those things was already assumed. Nobody thinks he evolved in his opinion on sodomy and a guy who is okay with letting children be wheeled into a closet to die is already pro-murder.

But more importantly were I to list what is most important to me in the grand scheme of things, sodomy and abortion far below things like the economy, debt, and national security. I suspect that is true with most Americans other than the single issue parasites who don’t give a flip about anything other than forcing society to agree with their view.

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 9:00 AM

All he has to do is tell a funny story, knock a Republican, and he is back up again…or just move the unemployment down by .25%…and they may make him king.

right2bright on March 22, 2013 at 9:01 AM

I find it distasteful that this site deliberately chooses ‘ugly’ pictures of president Obama to go along with its posts

nonpartisan on March 21, 2013 at 3:11 PM

I have a feeling we’re going to be able to use this one a lot.

And my source can’t be questioned, as it is self-identified as nonpartisan!!

Washington Nearsider on March 22, 2013 at 9:01 AM

Did Obama really just say that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is just like the US-Canada conflict?

No wonder his numbers are dropping.

I wonder what Canada thinks of that statement.

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 8:46 AM

Seems like just yesterday when missles were being launched from Vancouver toward school kids in Seattle,doesn’t it?…

hillsoftx on March 22, 2013 at 8:57 AM

Fox News’ Todd Starnes posted on Facebook that Obama had made that comparison. I looked into it, & it’s not quite as bad as what Starnes said:

But my (Obama’s) argument is even though both sides may have areas of strong disagreement, may be engaging in activities that the other side considers to be a breach of good faith, we have to push through those things to try to get to an agreement — because if we get an agreement then it will be very clear what the nature of that agreement is: There will be a sovereign Palestinian state, a sovereign Jewish State of Israel. And those two states I think will be able to deal with each other the same way all states do. I mean, the United States and Canada has arguments once in a while, but they’re not the nature of arguments that can’t be solved diplomatically.

Sorry. I should have looked into it first before posting.
As Starnes should have.

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 9:02 AM

I suspect his ratings drop is because more and more people can see through his power grabs. I suspect the Republicans will always have low ratings because it is almost impossible to fight the press. The big press lie will eventually be believed, at least subconsciously, by the people if the lie is big enough and is repeated enough. I think the pollsters promulgate this condition.

Old Country Boy on March 22, 2013 at 9:03 AM

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 9:00 AM

I agree.. I was being snarky at the Repubs who think if we just change our positions on those things; the stars will align perfectly for Repubs and suddenly we will win widespread elections across the country, because ya know gay marriage and abortion is the only problem Repubs have. :)

They don’t even think of the precarious positions it would put red state Governors, Senators and Congressman in, but Meh.

The economy is and should be the number one issue and if you are voting for Dems on those stupid issues; you are not going to suddenly vote Repub because they had a Rob Portman change of heart.

melle1228 on March 22, 2013 at 9:03 AM

Did Obama really just say that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is just like the US-Canada conflict?

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 8:46 AM

Yes he did. Seems our disputes with our neighbors to the north are just like the conflict between the Israelis and their terrorist neighbors. It shows such a breath-taking ignorance of world affairs I’ve got to wonder what seventh-grader Valarie Jarrett is talking to.

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 9:03 AM

But those ignorant gop don’t want background checks and assault weapons ban
-morning joe crew

cmsinaz on March 22, 2013 at 9:06 AM

should go down even more when Ried and the Senate start pushing gun control bills.

unseen on March 22, 2013 at 9:07 AM

I suspect his ratings drop is because more and more people can see through his power grabs. I suspect the Republicans will always have low ratings because it is almost impossible to fight the press. The big press lie will eventually be believed, at least subconsciously, by the people if the lie is big enough and is repeated enough. I think the pollsters promulgate this condition.

Old Country Boy on March 22, 2013 at 9:03 AM

It is time for Republicans to stoop wasting money on elections and start building their own media. They can make some profit from it, too. Fox News just blazed the trail.

Archivarix on March 22, 2013 at 9:07 AM

He just started his second term; is “approval” really necessary?

listens2glenn on March 22, 2013 at 8:56 AM

Absolutely it is. Remember how much worse Bush’s second term was compared to his first? A big reason for that was that his approval rating tanked halfway through 2005 and he was essentially a lame duck for the remaining 3 1/2 years of his Presidency. Aside from the surge and the first stimulus(the one where everyone got 600 bucks), no major piece of legislation got passed.

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 9:08 AM

I agree.. I was being snarky at the Repubs who think if we just change our positions on those things; the stars will align perfectly for Repubs and suddenly we will win widespread elections across the country, because ya know gay marriage and abortion is the only problem Repubs have. :)

melle1228 on March 22, 2013 at 9:03 AM

But you’re wrong! Sure gay marriage and the “right” to kill one’s child are important to GOP success but the key that will make the party perpetually in the majority is through amnesty for illegals. Got to get those Hispanics to like us by giving them stuff. ;0

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 9:08 AM

Good day so far – I should go buy a lottery ticket.

gophergirl on March 22, 2013 at 9:15 AM

Called it back in August and September 2012 when the Fed was frantically pushing out another round of worthless inflationary stimulus in hopes that a temporary sugar rush of economic good feelings would hit the economy just in time for the November elections. Well, to paraphrase Finding Nemo, good feeling’s gone.

JeremiahJohnson on March 22, 2013 at 9:16 AM

Even those demagogic horror stories failed to materialize, the tone had to have impacted the way Americans see the economy.

Yep, and the way Americans see the economy has a real impact on the economy. Gloomy outlook leads to lousy performance.

But the Campaign doesn’t give a rip that they are doing harm to people. The goal is to destroy the enemy and if there’s collateral damage, so be it.

forest on March 22, 2013 at 9:17 AM

When will start hearing “Obama Fatigue”?

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 9:19 AM

Doesn’t. Mean. Jack. Squat.

Barry won’t care about “polling” until either a)the mid-term campaigning start or b) he drops below 35%.

To go below 35%, then he’s losing non-black minority report.

But the odds of him going below %35 is very difficult. It would force him to pick sides in prog wars, like choosing Labor or La Raza.

But between black support, ghey mirage and vapid college, it will always be easy to show Obama hovering above W and near 40%.

budfox on March 22, 2013 at 9:21 AM

Seems like his poll numbers keep ‘dropping’ to 42 percent.

TimBuk3 on March 22, 2013 at 9:25 AM

Monalisa…. with this lsm…..never

cmsinaz on March 22, 2013 at 9:25 AM

When will start hearing “Obama Fatigue”?

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 9:19 AM

For me, it was 12:01 EDT, Jan 20th, 2009.

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 9:26 AM

When will start hearing “Obama Fatigue”?

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 9:19 AM

About 80 years after his state funeral.

Washington Nearsider on March 22, 2013 at 9:30 AM

Needs more Beyonce.

Marcus on March 22, 2013 at 9:30 AM

Monalisa…. with this lsm…..never

cmsinaz on March 22, 2013 at 9:25 AM

Not necessarily. Everyone has their limits. Reportedly there were groans in the press room when Moochelle made her appearance via satellite at the Oscars. Notice how she’s far less ubiquitous in the month since that event?

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 9:32 AM

It is too late… He has been re-elected… Polls are meaningless for a second term President… The important thing is to stop his destructive socialist agenda until January 20 2017.

mnjg on March 22, 2013 at 9:37 AM

Somebody needs to tell Rasmussen so he can stop polling Obama’s staff.

rplat on March 22, 2013 at 8:49 AM

Rasmussen has been totally terrified since he got his polls wrong in the last elections so he is not going to show Obama below 50% approval anytime soon. However all these polls are meaningless when it comes to a second term President… The important thing now is to stop Obama destructive socialist agenda until he leaves office on January 20 2017…

mnjg on March 22, 2013 at 9:40 AM

Polls matter at least until October 2014,he knows if he gets the house,then Katy bar the door the next 2 yrs folks.

ohiobabe on March 22, 2013 at 9:41 AM

Hope doughboy?

That would be nice

cmsinaz on March 22, 2013 at 9:44 AM

The important thing now is to stop Obama destructive socialist agenda until he leaves office on January 20 2017…

mnjg on March 22, 2013 at 9:40 AM

Assuming he leaves.

Washington Nearsider on March 22, 2013 at 9:50 AM

The media did its job – with enough stoeies making Romney look bad and Obama look good – to improve Zippy’s popularity ratings in the first week in November. It doesn’t matter now because Obama will be in office for another four years.

bw222 on March 22, 2013 at 9:54 AM

Did Obama really just say that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is just like the US-Canada conflict?

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 8:46 AM

What? No. Really?

Bishop on March 22, 2013 at 9:56 AM

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 9:08 AM

George Bush also had to deal with DAILY DEATH TOTALS from the wars Democrats voted for on every channel.

Wagthatdog on March 22, 2013 at 10:02 AM

Big Media has moved backed to policy issues and the Great Transformation…. Ocommie supporters focused back onto their reality shows..

The Pravda media can put the Marxist-Raised vote buying Community Organizer occupying the WH over 50% whenever they want.

The crisis and squirrel distraction is so easy to manufacture these days, the Propagandists are probably getting a little bored. Pushing and solving the serious issues, like Homo Marriage, is not so glamorous stuff as well.

FlaMurph on March 22, 2013 at 10:11 AM

Not necessarily. Everyone has their limits. Reportedly there were groans in the press room when Moochelle made her appearance via satellite at the Oscars. Notice how she’s far less ubiquitous in the month since that event?

Doughboy on March 22, 2013 at 9:32 AM

I was one who groaned. But she’s on the cover of Vogue this month with the headline “How the Obamas Inspire America”.

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

I was one who groaned. But she’s on the cover of Vogue this month with the headline “How the Obamas Inspire America”.

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

I’m inspired. To buy more gold, guns, and sandbags.

Bishop on March 22, 2013 at 10:27 AM

I was one who groaned. But she’s on the cover of Vogue this month with the headline “How the Obamas Inspire America”.

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

I guess you must have missed the Executive Order where media outlets are required to write gushing articles or give air time to celebrate just how awesome, beautiful, smart, and wonderful the First Mooch is. Why do you think she’s been on virtually every cable channel but the Home Shopping Network?

The woman isn’t even raising her own kids!

Happy Nomad on March 22, 2013 at 10:37 AM

George Bush also had to deal with DAILY DEATH TOTALS from the wars Democrats voted for on every channel.

Wagthatdog on March 22, 2013 at 10:02 AM

Funny how we never heard about it when we lost our 2,000th soldier in Afghanistan in August of 2012. In fact, I just did a Google news search on the topic, and had to get to the second page of results in order to find a small story marking the occasion from the NY Times, and they went to great pains to tell us that said death toll was “less than half” of Bush’s death toll in Iraq.

Del Dolemonte on March 22, 2013 at 10:39 AM

Monalisa…. with this lsm…..never

cmsinaz on March 22, 2013 at 9:25 AM

…they would lie for him!

KOOLAID2 on March 22, 2013 at 10:43 AM

I was one who groaned. But she’s on the cover of Vogue this month with the headline “How the Obamas Inspire America”.

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

They also photoshopped the heck out of her. She actually looks “soft’ and attractive.

melle1228 on March 22, 2013 at 11:05 AM

I’m inspired. To buy more gold, guns, and sandbags.

Among other commodities that would be wise to have stocked up.

hawkeye54 on March 22, 2013 at 11:07 AM

The emperor is exposing himself.

BHO Jonestown on March 22, 2013 at 11:08 AM

I was one who groaned. But she’s on the cover of Vogue this month with the headline “How the Obamas Inspire America”.

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

They also photoshopped the heck out of her. She actually looks “soft’ and attractive.

melle1228 on March 22, 2013 at 11:05 AM

So …not this picture?

slickwillie2001 on March 22, 2013 at 11:19 AM

Really don’t care. They voted for him now it’s time to “embrace the suck”.

batter on March 22, 2013 at 11:23 AM

Quick! Get Michelle on the cover of another magazine!!!

albill on March 22, 2013 at 11:27 AM

Have y’all seen this on wanna be queen mAo? This makes me sick!

http://nation.foxnews.com/michelle-obama/2013/03/22/michelle-obama-crowned
L

letget on March 22, 2013 at 11:36 AM

And blaming it on the GOP will be more than a stretch considering none of them voted for the bill.

Doughboy

Yeah, that sounds like it makes sense, until you take into account that the other things he blames the GOP for aren’t true either, yet plenty of folks believe they are.

xblade on March 22, 2013 at 11:47 AM

The polling drop is from his buffoon supporters who formerly believed that Obama was only going after the filthy one per centers,but who now see their own paychecks shrink from the payroll tax cut that just hit 70% of the electorate in the face like a pie.

These Obama loving idiots got what they voted for, the tragedy is dragging the rest of the 48.5% of the country down with them.

Cavalry on March 22, 2013 at 11:50 AM

Did Obama really just say that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is just like the US-Canada conflict?

No wonder his numbers are dropping.

I wonder what Canada thinks of that statement.

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 8:46 AM

What? No. Really?

Bishop on March 22, 2013 at 9:56 AM

Fox News’ Todd Starnes posted on Facebook that Obama had made that comparison. I looked into it, & it’s not quite as bad as what Starnes said:

But my (Obama’s) argument is even though both sides may have areas of strong disagreement, may be engaging in activities that the other side considers to be a breach of good faith, we have to push through those things to try to get to an agreement — because if we get an agreement then it will be very clear what the nature of that agreement is: There will be a sovereign Palestinian state, a sovereign Jewish State of Israel. And those two states I think will be able to deal with each other the same way all states do. I mean, the United States and Canada has arguments once in a while, but they’re not the nature of arguments that can’t be solved diplomatically.

Sorry. I should have looked into it first before posting.
As Starnes should have.

itsnotaboutme on March 22, 2013 at 12:01 PM

One can tell by the silence from the WH, the sudden trip to Israel, and the “charm” offensive that the WH polls show an even more dire problem for the Dolt In Chief.

pat on March 22, 2013 at 12:39 PM

Since Canada has been an independent country, the most serious ‘problems’ we have had are a dispute about lumber imports and disputes about fishing rights. Of course Obama thinks of this analogy because he is trying to stick it to the conservative government with his Keystone BS. He really is a despicable man.

pat on March 22, 2013 at 12:43 PM

But she’s on the cover of Vogue this month with the headline “How the Obamas Inspire America”.

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

“…Inspire (stupd) America”, plenty, to be certain.

Schadenfreude on March 22, 2013 at 12:43 PM

Has anyone else noticed that Obama never seems to get below 47%? That seems to be the magic number.

When it comes to views of the national economy, most Americans do not think a recovery has taken hold. Just 27% say that the economy is recovering, while 31% say it will recover soon and 40% say it will be a long time before the economy recovers. These views have changed little over the past year.

With these numbers, how is he even at 47% and more importantly, WHY was he re-elected?

hopeful on March 22, 2013 at 12:44 PM

monalisa on March 22, 2013 at 10:15 AM

The ONLY thing Michelle ever ‘accomplished’ in her professional life, for $450,000/yr, was to write a program to dump poor patients from hospitals. This is illegal. Yes, I know where all those docs are.

Schadenfreude on March 22, 2013 at 12:45 PM

Biden’s One-Night Paris Hotel Tab: $585,000.50…
$459,388.65 Hotel Bill in London…

–Drudge

Schadenfreude on March 22, 2013 at 1:08 PM

I find it distasteful that this site deliberately chooses ‘ugly’ pictures of president Obama to go along with its posts

nonpartisan on March 21, 2013 at 3:11 PM

I have a feeling we’re going to be able to use this one a lot.

And my source can’t be questioned, as it is self-identified as nonpartisan!!

Washington Nearsider on March 22, 2013 at 9:01 AM

And the tool had the audacity to whine about it in the Gosnell thread.

kim roy on March 22, 2013 at 2:02 PM

OH PLEEZE!!

Stop with the celebration of the 43% Obama approval rating. He’s been there before. Call me when he’s in the low 30s. That’s when pigs fly!

WC on March 22, 2013 at 3:22 PM

As others have said previously, it’s too late. The only poll that really mattered was the one on last November 6th. Obummer and his Demoncrats will push through whatever they think they can get away with.

sherrimae on March 22, 2013 at 9:18 PM

I agree with others above. Not nearly enough drop. He was down before the election and bounced back in days to win. OTOH, even if significant, why would it matter? Obama has no reason to change anything. It’s too early to affect 2014. It has not even started to cut into the wavering portion of the left. These are the same clowns who did not know how they would vote on Nov 1 last. Give them candy and they run back.

ironked on March 22, 2013 at 9:57 PM