Mia Love, take two

posted at 3:31 pm on March 17, 2013 by Jazz Shaw

Among the many disappointments which came with the elections of 2012, one of the real heartbreak moments for many observers was Mia Love’s race in Utah’s 4th congressional district. After seemingly coming out of nowhere in January of that year, Love surged in both popularity and national profile, even getting a speaking slot at the RNC in Tampa. But even with all of the attention and energy surrounding her candidacy, she came up a single point short of her opponent, Congressman Jim Matheson.

But that story looks like it’s not quite over. With more than twenty months until voters next go to the polls, it looks like Love has gotten up, dusted herself off and is ready to take another run at it.

In preparation for a bid, Love has hired former state GOP Chairman Dave Hansen, who was widely heralded last year for successfully managing the re-election campaign of Sen. Orrin Hatch.

Love and Hansen sat down with CQ Roll Call for an interview Saturday at the Conservative Political Action Conference, where she was scheduled to speak.

“We are looking at it very seriously,” Love said. “We are trying to get people engaged and going, and let them know that we have to start early so that we are not starting from behind.”

Love is reaching out to donors now, some 20 months before the election, and putting in place a campaign team far earlier than last cycle. Love didn’t formally enter the wide, 4th District Republican field until January 2012. She shocked Republicans by emerging from the April state party convention with the nomination in hand.

“Getting that message out takes a lot of effort, a lot of funds, so we want to make sure that we are defining ourselves before the opposition does,” Love said.

Second acts in politics are far from impossible, but they’re not as common as they were back in the day. So would Ms. Love stand a better chance the second time around? Over at The American Thinker, Rick Moran thinks she’s got a pretty good shot.

I think she’s going to make it this time. She’s got experience, she’ll have plenty of money, and Hansen is a savvy operator who knows the district. Combine that with a lower mid-term turnout, and Ms. Love has an excellent chance of breaking through.

Rick’s point about turnout is absolutely valid in general terms, though we can’t do a one for one comparison here in the currently cut 4th district. It’s a brand new one which was created after the 2010 census. (Utah previously had 3.) But turnout does tend to be lower in the midterms across the nation and the more energized, reliable voter base usually prevails. The Cook Report currently lists the 4th at an R+14 which should bode well for her.


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I Love Mia Love!

BigGator5 on March 17, 2013 at 3:34 PM

Is the Libertarian spoiler going to run again too?

Mark1971 on March 17, 2013 at 3:34 PM

My understanding is (Utahns, please correct) that UT-4 is actually more republican post-redistricting than before. However, Matheson benefitted from substantial Republican cross-over voting. Sure, Love made some rookie mistakes, but what really hurt her was a lackluster ground organizing campaign (and a pretty tough TV Ad campaign from Matheson). Matheson keeps ekeing out victories because he benefits from residual loyalty to his Mormon-elite family as well as the fact that he always wages an intense ground campaign that his opponents have never matched. Matheson is beatable, but Love is going to have really run a top flight effort.

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 3:43 PM

I just love Mia and was so sorry she didn’t win. We did a bit to help fund and will do all we can if she runs this time.

Does anyone know if Sarah helped Mia last time? I hope she does this time. Also will Demint get his group to help?

Guess rove will get his nasty fingers in to tell UT voters who they want/need to fund and vote?
L

letget on March 17, 2013 at 3:44 PM

Matheson keeps ekeing out victories because he benefits from residual loyalty to his Mormon-elite family

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 3:43 PM

Jon Huntsman Sr. endorsed Matheson over Love in 2012. I guess we shouldn’t be surprised by that.

Mark1971 on March 17, 2013 at 3:48 PM

IIRC, Mia is also a Mormon?
L

letget on March 17, 2013 at 3:54 PM

I’m going to donate to Mia’s effort. Time to pony up people.

WestTexasBirdDog on March 17, 2013 at 3:58 PM

The fact that Mia entered the race late (by current campaign standards) and had next to no name recognition when she did enter the race, makes what she did last year astounding. Getting in and organized now, makes sure that she will be able to give Matheson all that and then some. She could pull it off.

Lady Logician on March 17, 2013 at 4:02 PM

Conservative, smart, good-looking – and totally inept as a politician.

Archivarix on March 17, 2013 at 4:06 PM

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 3:43 PM

The district may have a registered R +14 but Republicans in this state (well a majority of them anyway) look for an “acceptable” Democrat to vote for to try to shake the hard core conservative image that the rest of the country has of this state. Matheson IS that acceptable Democrat. Given that district is mostly made up of Salt Lake County (Democrat County Mayor and a 4-3 GOP/Dem spit in the County Council) a lot of those R’s are squishy at best.

And never underestimate how much having this one blue seat means to the DNC. They will pour a ton and a half of mid-term cash into this race. I’ll garon-dam-tee it……

LL

Lady Logician on March 17, 2013 at 4:08 PM

Play it again, Sam

Racist.

happytobehere on March 17, 2013 at 4:36 PM

An impressive young woman.

God bless and good luck. Again.

locomotivebreath1901 on March 17, 2013 at 4:42 PM

I’m very happy to hear she hasn’t given up after such a crushingly close loss

I’ll definitely be donating to her when she runs

thurman on March 17, 2013 at 4:48 PM

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 3:43 PM

Mormon-elite? Would have just saying elite have sufficed? She’s a Mormon too.

Rusty Allen on March 17, 2013 at 5:21 PM

Mormon-elite? Would have just saying elite have sufficed? She’s a Mormon too.

Rusty Allen on March 17, 2013 at 5:21 PM

Some Mormons are more preferable than others, if you examine the history of the Latter Day Saints.

unclesmrgol on March 17, 2013 at 5:34 PM

I’m going to donate to Mia’s effort. Time to pony up people.

WestTexasBirdDog on March 17, 2013 at 3:58 PM

I’m on board. I gave to her last year and I’d be happy to do it again.

juliesa on March 17, 2013 at 5:44 PM

Conservative, smart, good-looking – and totally inept as a politician.

Archivarix on March 17, 2013 at 4:06 PM

Right./

That’s why the race was so close – even though she started late.

Solaratov on March 17, 2013 at 6:41 PM

Play it again, Sam

Racist.

happytobehere on March 17, 2013 at 4:36 PM

Where did that come from?

Solaratov on March 17, 2013 at 6:45 PM

I live right over the border from the 4th district. My in laws are in that district. Based on them, I think it was name recognition that she lost since they didn’t really know who she was. But the media war was intense for it as it was the only competitive race in Utah. Matheson wins because he is a blue dog and he has name recognition. And his family is probably the only acceptable democrat here ( I think a relative was the last Democrat governor Utah had).

I don’t know if he can cling to power forever though. On the other hand, turnout may favor him. Utah was really romney’s base of support and we gave him lots of votes and a high turnout. Lots voted for Romney and Matheson. So turnout may be a mixed bag.
Mia has come closest of anyone to taking him out so hopefully she can do it next time.

Vanceone on March 17, 2013 at 6:54 PM

Where did that come from?

Solaratov on March 17, 2013 at 6:45 PM

Tagline under the photo for the post, front page.

Bmore on March 17, 2013 at 7:16 PM

Third Party FOOLISHNESS kept Mia Love from winning.

*facepalm*

MikeknaJ on March 17, 2013 at 7:42 PM

Rusty Allen on March 17, 2013 at 5:21 PM

No offense intended, friend. My point was simply that Matheson can trace his Utah LDS heritage back to the 1870s at least, is distantly related by marriage to the Romneys, and his family have held major political positions in the state since at least the Truman Administration. There’s a reason why Jon Huntsman Sr, who’s a fairly hard-core conservative and a Reaganite and LDS luminary, was willing to back Matheson over Love despite the fact that, as you pointed out, Love is also a Mormon. Matheson simply has relationships that Love doesn’t and those relationships are founded on family and religious bonds.

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 8:33 PM

What a breath of fresh air Ms. Love is! She will grab the brass ring next time.

Ladysmith CulchaVulcha on March 17, 2013 at 9:06 PM

There’s a reason why Jon Huntsman Sr, who’s a fairly hard-core conservative and a Reaganite and LDS luminary,

The same John Huntsman Sr that is backing illegal immigration AND gay marriage? Conservative?????

HARDLY….

LL

Lady Logician on March 17, 2013 at 9:07 PM

…watch the voting machines this time!

KOOLAID2 on March 17, 2013 at 9:21 PM

Lady Logician on March 17, 2013 at 9:07 PM

I thought that was Junior, not Senior. Huntsman Sr, at least by reputation, is both a fiscal and social conservative.

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 9:33 PM

Is the Libertarian spoiler going to run again too?
Mark1971 on March 17, 2013 at 3:34 PM

Did not know this!

Are you telling me she would have won if not for spoiler candidate?

If so, what a shame!!

Sherman1864 on March 17, 2013 at 9:56 PM

You have to win by 5 points. 1 point is not enough to overcome the Acorn/ SEIU/ DNC get-out-the-fraud campaign margin.

virgo on March 17, 2013 at 9:57 PM

Did not know this!

Are you telling me she would have won if not for spoiler candidate?

If so, what a shame!!

Sherman1864 on March 17, 2013 at 9:56 PM

Matheson – 48.8%
Love – 48.3%
Jim Vein – 2.6%

Mark1971 on March 17, 2013 at 10:30 PM

Robert_Paulson on March 17, 2013 at 8:33 PM

Great points, and thank you.

Rusty Allen on March 17, 2013 at 10:50 PM

This is the key lesson that all Republicans have to learn:

Love is reaching out to donors now, some 20 months before the election, and putting in place a campaign team far earlier than last cycle.

Who is the Republican candidate running in your Congresional District?

What are they doing to ramp up their campaign fundraising NOW?

wren on March 18, 2013 at 2:28 PM