Jeb Bush: Take me off the CPAC presidential straw poll ballot

posted at 2:08 pm on March 14, 2013 by Allahpundit

Supposedly he wants out because he’s uncomfortable with all the 2016 talk lately, but c’mon. He appeared on six Sunday shows last week to hawk his book, knowing full well that 95 percent of the interest in it is because he might be the GOP’s next nominee. BuzzFeed’s sources told them just a few days ago that he’s already putting people in place to eventually staff a campaign just in case he ends up jumping in. There’s an obvious answer why he’s bowing out this time, no?

“It was our request to Mr. Cardenas when he extended the invite for Gov. Bush to speak. We asked not to be included, as Gov. Bush has said repeatedly, it is too early to think about 2016,” Bush spokesperson Jaryn Emhof told CNN Chief Washington Correspondent Jake Tapper, anchor of the upcoming CNN program “The Lead.”…

“I suspect Jeb didn’t want to be on straw poll list. He has consistently said it’s too early for 2016 talk and doesn’t do anything to fan the flames,” said Ana Navarro, a GOP strategist, CNN contributor and friend of Bush.

And a source very close to Bush told CNN Chief Political Correspondent Candy Crowley, anchor of CNN’s “State of the Union,” that the straw poll “would start a conversation he doesn’t want and doesn’t even think should happen at this time.”

He doesn’t want to do anything to “fan the flames”? Besides appearing on six Sunday shows and pointedly refusing to rule out running?

The real reason he’s withdrawn from the ballot, of course, is that he’s likely to do poorly among a group as conservative as CPACers. In recent history, there’s been two ways to win the straw poll: Either you’ve got intense grassroots support, a la Ron Paul, or you’ve got an organization that’s busing people in to help you win, a la Mitt Romney. It’s a lot like the Ames straw poll just before the GOP primaries — essentially meaningless but catnip for political reporters who are eager to use the results as tea leaves for a candidate’s chances at the nomination. In other words, it’s a buzz factory, for good or ill. They’ve held 18 CPAC straw polls over the past 27 years and, incredibly, only once has a Bush been victorious. (That was Dubya in 2000.) How do you suppose Jeb, a famously moderate Republican, would fare against grassroots rock stars like Rand Paul, Bobby Jindal, and most importantly Rubio, whose entry into the race might well preclude him from running given how many of their top supporters overlap? The last thing Jeb needs is a “RUBIO CRUSHES BUSH AMONG CONSERVATIVES” headline. Worse, what if he ended up behind someone like Chris Christie, whose RINO tendencies have led him to be banished from the whole affair? (“BUSH FINISHES BEHIND RINO.”) If only for the sake of his book sales, it’s best to do what Romney did in Ames in 2011 and take himself out of the running. You can’t be said to have “lost” if you didn’t really compete, right? Take that, political media.


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Comments

He doesn’t want to get Pawlenty’d?

portlandon on March 14, 2013 at 2:10 PM

We might as well run Bush. What difference does it make?

happytobehere on March 14, 2013 at 2:10 PM

He should go all in and then pull a Pawlenty.

besser tot als rot on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Jeb Bush: Take me off the CPAC presidential straw poll ballot

More Jeb Bush: Because I can’t stand the embarrassment of coming in second-to-last

steebo77 on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

You don’t have to tell me twice.

CurtZHP on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

He doesn’t want to get Pawlenty’d?

portlandon on March 14, 2013 at 2:10 PM

Bah. Beat me to it. I knew I shouldn’t read the whole thing before posting.

besser tot als rot on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Obviously those (expletive) CPACers don’t know what’s good for them, or the rest`of the country.

listens2glenn on March 14, 2013 at 2:12 PM

More Jeb Bush: Because I can’t stand the embarrassment of coming in second-to-last

steebo77 on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Out of curiosity who do you see him beating? Or, do you just assume that he must be capable of beating someone?

besser tot als rot on March 14, 2013 at 2:12 PM

More Jeb Bush: Because I can’t stand the embarrassment of coming in second-to-last

steebo77 on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

I agree. Hey Jebbie if you can’t stand the heat, get out of the kitchen.

bluefox on March 14, 2013 at 2:16 PM

More Jeb Bush: Because I can’t stand the embarrassment of coming in second-to-last

steebo77 on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Who comes in behind Bush? Obama? Nancy Pelosi?

Maybe Chris Christie?

DRayRaven on March 14, 2013 at 2:17 PM

Butt hurt and ego-bruised…

Liam on March 14, 2013 at 2:18 PM

Yes, take him off the ballot! No more Bushes please. Please.

Aodhan on March 14, 2013 at 2:18 PM

Tangentially related: if, as Rush Limbaugh just said, Rubio believes in American-exceptionalism, then why does he want to destroy it by amnestying tens of millions of world-socialist illegal aliens? I believe in American-exceptionalism, for real, and that’s why I oppose allowing illegal aliens to move in and take over America.

Amnesty for illegal aliens = victory of World-Soc over America!

FloatingRock on March 14, 2013 at 2:18 PM

That internal polling certainly crushes dreams, doesn’t it?

kingsjester on March 14, 2013 at 2:19 PM

We should nominate Bush so that when the GOP inevitably loses in 2016 we can blame him instead of the electorate.

happytobehere on March 14, 2013 at 2:19 PM

CPAC presidential straw poll ballot

Isn’t this the same straw poll that kept putting Ron Paul right there at the top year after year? Yeah, how’d that work out.

Happy Nomad on March 14, 2013 at 2:20 PM

More Jeb Bush: Because I can’t stand the embarrassment of coming in second-to-last

steebo77 on March 14, 2013 at 2:11 PM

Out of curiosity who do you see him beating? Or, do you just assume that he must be capable of beating someone?

besser tot als rot on March 14, 2013 at 2:12 PM

He’s afraid of losing to Ron Paul.

RickB on March 14, 2013 at 2:22 PM

Gawd help us, another Booosh? Good career move there Jeb, you saved yourself a LOT of embarrassment.

De Oppresso Liber on March 14, 2013 at 2:22 PM

Yack, I can’t stand seeing these pictures any more. Just go away.

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 2:25 PM

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 2:25 PM

I’m with you.

thatsafactjack on March 14, 2013 at 2:32 PM

Possibly has more to do with the Rasmussen poll (which probably aligns with internal polls Bush has) that came out this morning:

Rubio : 70% TOT FAV inc 45 VFAV; 13 TOT UnFAV inc 3 VUnFAV
Bush J: 68% TOT FAV inc 28 VFAV; 22 TOT UnFAV inc 7 VUnFAV
Paul : 67% TOT FAV inc 35 VFAV; 23 TOT UnFAV inc 9 VUnFAV

McCain: 52% TOT FAV inc 16 VFAV; 46 TOT UnFAV inc 12 VUnFAV
Graham: 45% TOT FAV inc 10 VFAV; 27 TOT UnFAV inc 7 VUnFAV

This was among Likely Republican voters.

For total favorability, Rubio, Bush J, and Paul are in a dead heat; however, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio handily pull ahead in the very favorable ratings with Rubio crushing Bush – 17 points ahead.

When you are Jeb Bush, tying with two younger, less known, folks is not a winning strategy.

As an aside, happily, McCain is in total disgrace at this point with Grahammy Pants not far behind.

Greyledge Gal on March 14, 2013 at 2:32 PM

All of these Bush’s are beginning to remind me of weeds.

OhEssYouCowboys on March 14, 2013 at 2:36 PM

…Jackoff Jeb !

KOOLAID2 on March 14, 2013 at 2:37 PM

We should all just relax, and let Karl Rove and D – I – C – K Morris tell us who is best for us.

OhEssYouCowboys on March 14, 2013 at 2:39 PM

I asked to be taken off the list, too, so it ain’t just Jeb. /

Besides, if the group is so conservative, why is Donald Trump speaking?

changer1701 on March 14, 2013 at 2:40 PM

Indeed, Jackie, and a good day good lady.

Howdy Greyledge Gal.

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 2:40 PM

I wonder if this George P. Bush that is running for Texas Land Commish is going to be the conservative one. I don’t want to even hear from a moderate Bush anymore.

DanMan on March 14, 2013 at 2:42 PM

Even the idea of Jeb Bush running in the primaries is so maddeningly insanely bad for the GOP. His run would only weaken the chances of the eventual nominee. The idea of him running needs to be ended now before it does some actual damage to the Republican brand.

thuja on March 14, 2013 at 2:50 PM

We should nominate Bush so that when the GOP inevitably loses in 2016 we can blame him instead of the electorate.

happytobehere on March 14, 2013 at 2:19 PM

Now that’s strategic thinking!

thuja on March 14, 2013 at 2:51 PM

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 2:40 PM

And a good afternoon to you, sir!

Greyledge Gal on March 14, 2013 at 2:51 PM

Amnesty for illegal aliens = victory of World-Soc over America!

FloatingRock on March 14, 2013 at 2:18 PM

Sadly, you are right. The Constitution was written long before immigration became so easy to do, and the ability to go back home for a while as a way of not integrating into the society wasn’t even a possibility. Now, we have Muslim immigrants who “vacation” in their real home every year, and never face any pressure to assimilate to this country’s values. We need to make immigration difficult again.

thuja on March 14, 2013 at 2:56 PM

DanMan on March 14, 2013 at 2:42 PM

Dan, there are NO conservative Bush(es). George H W Bush was awarded the moniker because he served for 8 years as Reagan’s VP. He was never “conservative”. He was the darling of the establishment in 1980 who wanted Ronald Reagan to just go away.

All the rest of the Bush(es) have traded off of their connection to Reagan. Jeb Bush was doing it last weekend, wrapping himself in the mantel of Reaganism, just like John McCain does when he tries to cadge his own views by falsely comparing them to Reagan’s “Peace through Strength” doctrine.

I am so tired of everyone apron-stringing onto Reagan and, in doing so, perverting what people believe Reagan really stood for.

Greyledge Gal on March 14, 2013 at 2:57 PM

As an aside, happily, McCain is in total disgrace at this point with Grahammy Pants not far behind.

Greyledge Gal on March 14, 2013 at 2:32 PM

So is Bush and Rubio…

voiceofreason on March 14, 2013 at 3:14 PM

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 2:40 PM

Good afternoon, my friend. :)

Sorry so late responding. I was off site. Just popping in from time to time while I’m working.

thatsafactjack on March 14, 2013 at 3:14 PM

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 2:40 PM

Sorry for the strike last post…purely unintentional I assure you. :)

thatsafactjack on March 14, 2013 at 3:15 PM

No worries, ever, Jackie. Happens to all of us.

Schadenfreude on March 14, 2013 at 3:21 PM

The CPAC poll is meaningless; even so, Jeb doesn’t want to be a big loser. I don’t for one moment believe that he is “uncomfortable” with talk of 2016. I do believe that talk of 2016, regarding anyone, is very premature.

fight like a girl on March 14, 2013 at 3:24 PM

Is Ron Paul still on the ballot? I wouldn’t be surprised if some paulnuts managed to get his name on there.

He’s afraid of losing to Ron Paul.

RickB on March 14, 2013 at 2:22 PM

Bingo. ;)

Seriously. No more Bush’s for president. Politics should not be dynastic or familial.

And politicians wonder why people have such distrust in them. Leave the dynastic, familial politics to the Democrats and liberals.

Logus on March 14, 2013 at 3:33 PM

He’d get hammered.

He knows it.

The end.

novaculus on March 14, 2013 at 3:52 PM

No way we’re all gonna download the latest version of Bush. And we’re not pressing the maybe later button, we’re pressing the h*ll no – don’t ask again button. Too many new gadgets to look at.

LetsBfrank on March 14, 2013 at 4:26 PM

The precious flower Jebby doesn’t want to be clumped with the proles in the straw poll…he wants his little buddy Karl to let him parachute into the nomination when the time is right.

el Vaquero on March 14, 2013 at 4:38 PM

I can’t even put into words how much I loathe the Bush family.

…. and Juan McCain.

stenwin77 on March 14, 2013 at 4:42 PM

If only for the sake of his book sales,

That’s one seriously buried lede you have there, AP.

wolfsDad on March 14, 2013 at 4:45 PM

Just what the heck is all of this talk about Rubio? Cruz is head and shoulders above him.

Mirimichi on March 14, 2013 at 5:53 PM

In a poll run by conservatives, Bush is fighting for LAST PLACE!

Now you know why he doesn’t want to be included in polls today.

DannoJyd on March 14, 2013 at 6:00 PM

Just what the heck is all of this talk about Rubio? Cruz is head and shoulders above him.

Mirimichi on March 14, 2013 at 5:53 PM

Rubio is not even in the same Class as Ted Cruz. Cruz is Supreme Court material, Chief Justice imo.

Rubio doesn’t impress me at all as Presidential material. He doesn’t have the knowledge nor is he a fighter. He’s another “I’m not a divider, I’m a uniter” type.

We need a fighter, actually 2 fighters. A President & VP and a great Cabinet.

bluefox on March 14, 2013 at 6:22 PM

In a poll run by conservatives, Bush is fighting for LAST PLACE!

Now you know why he doesn’t want to be included in polls today.

DannoJyd on March 14, 2013 at 6:00 PM

Thank you! I was wondering what a poll would look like if they polled Conservatives when I first saw this thread go up.

bluefox on March 14, 2013 at 6:24 PM

George. W. Jeb. No. No. NO!

AshleyTKing on March 15, 2013 at 1:10 AM

No more Bushes. Sorry, poor track record. Ain’t gonna do it.

Mr. Grump on March 15, 2013 at 11:37 AM

Sorry, no more Bushes. Poor track record. Not gonna do it.

Mr. Grump on March 15, 2013 at 11:41 AM