Confirmed: Obama approval dropping

posted at 8:41 am on March 13, 2013 by Ed Morrissey

We started seeing this with the Reason/Rupe poll almost two weeks ago, which Sean Trende insisted wasn’t really an outlier.  Barack Obama’s approval rating started sliding in Gallup, and last week Reuters had him at 43%. Today, the Washington Post reports that Obama has lost five points in approval in their latest poll, with the most significant decline in his economic policies:

The afterglow of President Obama’s reelection and inauguration appears to have vanished as increasingly negative views among Americans about his stewardship of the economy have forced his public approval rating back down to the 50 percent mark, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

In December, just after he won a second term, Obama held an 18-percentage-point advantage over congressional Republicans on the question of whom the public trusted more to deal with the economy. Now, it’s a far more even split — 44 percent to 40 percent, with a slight edge for the president — but the share of those saying they have confidence in “neither” has ticked up into double digits.

As one might expect, it’s the middle that has shifted:

Obama’s overall job-approval rating stands at 50 percent, down five points from before he took the oath of office in January. Looking along partisan lines, the slippage since then has been particularly pronounced among political independents. Two months ago, independents tilted clearly in his direction, with 54 percent approving and 41 percent disapproving. Now, half of independents express a negative opinion of the president’s performance; just 44 percent approve.

For those keeping track of sample demos, this one’s a D+8 at 33/25 — probably about the same split as the election last November, at least in practical terms.  That’s close to the same split as their last few polls, so this probably isn’t a sampling artifact.  The movement in the other polls corroborate the trend.  Gallup shows Obama above water too, but down to 49/44.

As I’ve written before, this is the outcome from attempting to incite hysteria over a small reduction in the rate of increase in federal spending.  While the respondents in this poll view the sequester cuts negatively, the split isn’t that wide at 39/53.  Almost three-quarters (73%) have felt no impact at all from the sequester, and only 25% report a major negative impact.  And while 64% believe that the cuts will have a net negative impact on the economy, only half of those believe it will have a major negative impact.

In fact, Gallup’s poll from yesterday finds confidence rebounding after the sequester cuts went into effect:

Americans’ confidence in the economy improved last week after it was shaken during the debate in Washington about the budget sequestration. Gallup’s Economic Confidence Index improved to -17 from -22 the prior week, when the budget sequestration took effect. Still, last week’s score is nine percentage points lower than the five-year high reached in early February.

That would be, of course, about the time that Obama launched his Nightmare on Sequester Street campaign to scare Americans about the ruin that would occur if federal spending was reduced 2.3% after having it rise 37% since 2007.  The level now in Gallup’s poll is still significantly higher than it was when Obama declared that “the private sector is doing just fine” last June, when it hit -26.

Given the history of Obama’s approval ratings, I wouldn’t expect this to last a long time. It is, however, a reminder that there is a price to pay for screaming that the sky is falling when it’s barely even cloudy.


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No matter – he won.

OldEnglish on March 13, 2013 at 8:46 AM

At this point, what does it matter?

tdarrington on March 13, 2013 at 8:46 AM

Elections. Have. Consequences.

jas88 on March 13, 2013 at 8:47 AM

Just a few harsh words condemning Republicans, and he’ll be back on top again.

Liam on March 13, 2013 at 8:51 AM

poll driven news…meh

DanMan on March 13, 2013 at 8:51 AM

More propaganda… I know but 2 or 3 people that openly claim their support for DingleBarry. He’s lucky to be in the low to mid-thirties, but the show must go on.

Regardless, he’ll never tack toward the middle. Suicide bombers never change course.

Polish Rifle on March 13, 2013 at 8:54 AM

His numbers no longer matter. They can pretend they’re being honest with these numbers, but will fudge the numbers again once they’ve identified their preferred 2016 candidate.

Flange on March 13, 2013 at 9:04 AM

If he could run for a third (or even fourth) term, he’d be reelected easily.

hatecraft on March 13, 2013 at 9:05 AM

It’s no longer important how many support you.

It’s who supports you that counts.

Ben Hur on March 13, 2013 at 9:08 AM

Meaningless. Lame duck President…
Say he dropped into the 20′s as far as approval. It would mean nothing.
The press would still fawn over him.

But you can bet that before the 2014 elections the press will try its hardest to get his approval numbers up and Republican numbers down…

albill on March 13, 2013 at 9:09 AM

As I’ve written before, this is the outcome from attempting to incite hysteria over a small reduction in the rate of increase in federal spending

I agree the MSM will once again pump up the rat-eared wonder’s poll numbers by focusing on demonization of the GOP. However, you can only beat that horse so many times before it dies.

I think the MSM will have a harder time propping up the rat-eared wonder in the wake of sequestration hysteria. Why? Because that is all the bastard did. He has shown no leadership in trying to reduce the impact of the cuts that he orchestrated and “blame the GOP” isn’t working as a campaign strategy. People are watching just how lazy Obama is and how ineffectual he is as a leader.

Happy Nomad on March 13, 2013 at 9:10 AM

Mittmentum!!!! feel it!!!!

DBear on March 13, 2013 at 9:10 AM

Obama’s popularity has always been more Fifth Column Treasonous Media propaganda than anything else. Joesph Goebbels would be envious of the degree that America’s propaganda meisters have perfected the art/science of propaganda and indoctrination.

SWalker on March 13, 2013 at 9:15 AM

I’m still skeptical. Even if the general public thinks Obama is an economic midget, they also see his welfare give-aways as the backup that compensates. He really cares about them, unlike those evil Republicans. The stupid, entitled vote is still the majority.

ironked on March 13, 2013 at 9:16 AM

Given the history of Obama’s approval ratings, I wouldn’t expect this to last a long time.

I wouldn’t be so sure. This time, the drop does feel different. The press has been writing semi-critical questions about the sequester PR moves and even Congressional Democrats are saying they’re nervous over the budget battles to come. I’m not saying you’re wrong, I’m saying that (maybe for the first time) the President may have to actually make some deals to satisfy the voters, and perhaps can’t simply rely on unicorn dust anymore.

MTF on March 13, 2013 at 9:20 AM

Obama’s popularity has always been more Fifth Column Treasonous Media propaganda than anything else. Joesph Goebbels would be envious of the degree that America’s propaganda meisters have perfected the art/science of propaganda and indoctrination.

SWalker on March 13, 2013 at 9:15 AM

Amen. It helps that the teachers unions have been teaching our children that socialism is ‘caring’ and capitalism is ‘greed’ for the last forty years.The image of the greedy white man is deeply entrenched .

DeweyWins on March 13, 2013 at 9:22 AM

If he could run for a third (or even fourth) term, he’d be reelected easily.

he doesn’t have too. We’ve got Michelle.

earlgrey133 on March 13, 2013 at 9:29 AM

I’m saying that (maybe for the first time) the President may have to actually make some deals to satisfy the voters, and perhaps can’t simply rely on unicorn dust anymore.

MTF on March 13, 2013 at 9:20 AM

The critical fallacy in your suggestion, is assuming that Obama gives a rats a$$ what the voters think or want. He does not. Nor is there any indication that he cares what the consequences for his fellow Democrats might be regarding his accomplishing his end goals.

He fully expects the various elected democrat officials to fall on their swords to hep solidify what he believes are the advancements he has made thus far in “Fundamentally Transforming” America into a Marxist Utopia.

Every single action you witness the Obamanation Administration take for the next 4 years will be dedicated to keeping those advancements and preventing anyone especially the Republicans from reversing them.

SWalker on March 13, 2013 at 9:29 AM

It doesn’t matter what his numbers are anymore. We’re stuck for the next 4 years. Good thing the EBT peeps is livin the life! I haven’t had steak in about 8 weeks but hey… at least ObamaVoters are gettin their fair share.

/See how I got with the program?
grrrrrrrrrrrr

Key West Reader on March 13, 2013 at 9:29 AM

If he could run for a third (or even fourth) term, he’d be reelected easily.

hatecraft on March 13, 2013 at 9:05 AM

He won’t need to “RUN” or be “ELECTED” for a third, fourth, fifth … term – DHS’s 1.6 BILLION rounds of ammo, 2,717 shiny new tanks, massive stockpile of 5.56x45mm NATO “personal defense weapons” and a huge fleet of unmanned drones for domestic use, etc., will do obama’s “running” for him.

Elections are sooooooo last century.

Pork-Chop on March 13, 2013 at 9:30 AM

He could be in the 20′s for all I care. At least his EBT peeps is gettin their fair shares! That’s all that really matters, amirite?

Key West Reader on March 13, 2013 at 9:31 AM

Sorry for the pseudo dupe post.

Key West Reader on March 13, 2013 at 9:32 AM

Quick…Moochelle needs a new hair dew for the “Press” to talk about.
There, now isn’t that better?

trs on March 13, 2013 at 9:32 AM

I wouldn’t be so sure. This time, the drop does feel different. The press has been writing semi-critical questions about the sequester PR moves and even Congressional Democrats are saying they’re nervous over the budget battles to come.

MTF on March 13, 2013 at 9:20 AM

I’d point out that this is the same press that calls it a “charm offensive” when the rat-eared has dinner with a bunch of RINOs, lunch with Paul Ryan, and shows up at the Capitol a couple of times in the same year for reasons other than the SOTU speech.

But I agree with you. If Obama wants to accomplish anything during this Congress, he is going have to make a deal. The delicious part of that is that dealmaking is not in the bastard’s DNA.

Happy Nomad on March 13, 2013 at 9:36 AM

Elections are sooooooo last century.

Pork-Chop on March 13, 2013 at 9:30 AM

hey Pork Chop, sorry about my post yesterday.
It was not aimed at you, just the people who were
“not happy” about the CPAC setup with Cruz-Palin.

ToddPA on March 13, 2013 at 9:36 AM

Having just spent the last two months dealing with pneumonia, . . . I’d rather have pneumonia than Obama.

rbj on March 13, 2013 at 9:39 AM

Elections have consequences.

farsighted on March 13, 2013 at 9:41 AM

The Rat Faced Dog Eating Destroyer of Nations could have a .1% approval and he wouldn’t care, the man and his hulking grifter of a wife were never in this for anyone but themselves. A low approval doesn’t keep them from swiping the flatware or candlesticks, or traveling the world on our dime.

Bishop on March 13, 2013 at 9:42 AM

Meanwhile Rasmussen keeps hedging that Barry is about 51-52 percent approval. His FAIL in this past election has obviously scared him.

cdog0613 on March 13, 2013 at 9:46 AM

Obama’s popularity has always been more Fifth Column Treasonous Media propaganda than anything else. Joesph Goebbels would be envious of the degree that America’s propaganda meisters have perfected the art/science of propaganda and indoctrination.

SWalker on March 13, 2013 at 9:15 AM

The post directly above yours confirms your theory.

Del Dolemonte on March 13, 2013 at 9:47 AM

It is, however, a reminder that there is a price to pay for screaming that the sky is falling when it’s barely even cloudy.

And what price is that? And who’s paying it?

I think this is a reminder that winning elections is all that matters and Dems will win in increasing numbers every election here on out till the fall of the Republic.

happytobehere on March 13, 2013 at 9:51 AM

ToddPA on March 13, 2013 at 9:36 AM

I figured as much – I just wanted to clarify. Thanks.

Pork-Chop on March 13, 2013 at 9:53 AM

Obama has an agenda and no chance of reelection. He probably couldn’t care less about any numbers at this point.

HotAirian on March 13, 2013 at 9:54 AM

The entertainment President fawned over by the entertainment media supported by those who love being entertained. Sad state of affairs.

hillsoftx on March 13, 2013 at 9:55 AM

Why would he care? There is no threshold of popularity required for Executive Orders, the media isn’t going anywhere and republicans are terminal patsies.

rrpjr on March 13, 2013 at 10:01 AM

Somebody tell Rasmussen . . . perhaps he can correct his math.

rplat on March 13, 2013 at 10:04 AM

Oh no! Obama is being hurt by his own sequester!

Galt2009 on March 13, 2013 at 10:05 AM

Confirmed: Obama approval dropping

Given the history of Obama’s approval ratings, I wouldn’t expect this to last a long time

…it should have been in the toilet years ago…but the MSM is doing its job!

KOOLAID2 on March 13, 2013 at 10:07 AM

Mittmentum!!!! feel it!!!!

DBear on March 13, 2013 at 9:10 AM

Hey bigotbear, how does that change the article?

hawkdriver on March 13, 2013 at 10:07 AM

It will be interesting to see Obama’s approval numbers next year, after Obamacare has gone into full effect and people start to realize just what a hugely expensive and inefficient clusterf*ck this thing is going to be.

I saw some idiot Florida Dim congressman, can’t recall his name, on t.v. the other day, whining about how the Republicans had “demagogued” the $716 billion in “Medicare savings” in the 2012 election. Can’t wait to see how much seniors are going to appreciate having 3/4 of a trillion dollars cut . . . er, “saved” . . out of Medicare spending to fund Obamacare. My guess is that Dim politicians like that Florida dope are going to be receiving something other than kisses and letters of appreciation from seniors for all the “Medicare savings” the old-timers are soon going to be experiencing.

AZCoyote on March 13, 2013 at 10:09 AM

Mittmentum!!!! feel it!!!!

DBear on March 13, 2013 at 9:10 AM

…we don’t walk around 24/7 with our hand on our crotch like you do!
…you don’t feel nothing…it’s your imagination again!

KOOLAID2 on March 13, 2013 at 10:10 AM

I agree on Rasmussen. I have wondered how he found the empty suit from Chicago to be -20 around election time, yet recovering to stratospheric approval numbers after winning 51/49. Strange, no? I have simply cancelled my subscription to Rasmussen. What a joke!

AnnaS on March 13, 2013 at 10:11 AM

Plenty of time for the propaganda media to shift blame back to the Republicans. Obama did just magnanimously reach out to the intransigent, racist, homophobic, misogynist, baby-killing, puppy-kicking Republicans.

Grunt on March 13, 2013 at 10:11 AM

I wouldn’t be so sure. This time, the drop does feel different. The press has been writing semi-critical questions about the sequester PR moves and even Congressional Democrats are saying they’re nervous over the budget battles to come. I’m not saying you’re wrong, I’m saying that (maybe for the first time) the President may have to actually make some deals to satisfy the voters, and perhaps can’t simply rely on unicorn dust anymore.

MTF on March 13, 2013 at 9:20 AM

I don’t really see that Obama has anything to worry about where the voters are concerned. He’s not running for re-election and he has suffered bouts of unpopularity before, always coming out on top. Even if the Republicans win, is there any evidence that they will block most of his agenda? Doubt it. They will pick 1-2 “hot button” issues and then pass everything else.

And this assumes the Republicans don’t pass amnesty, which they almost certainly will. At that point it no Republican will ever win election again.

Doomberg on March 13, 2013 at 10:13 AM

It’s not sequester, it’s the taxes.

The genital public opinion is always lagging by about 2-4 weeks.

Barry’s high water numbers were holiday residuals.

These numbers are the hangover from the tax spike, the tangible realization inflation is setting in and changes to insurance policies.

You’re not going to be thrilled with the economy when your spouse gets dropped or your rate jumps.

You ain’t going to love $4 gas combined with store increases.

On top of waving bye-bye to the payroll holiday and other jumps

and that’s all while filing your taxes.

budfox on March 13, 2013 at 10:14 AM

Obama has an agenda and no chance of reelection. He probably couldn’t care less about any numbers at this point.

HotAirian on March 13, 2013 at 9:54 AM

I think that sums it up nicely.

farsighted on March 13, 2013 at 10:15 AM

Cry me a river. You sad sacks voted for him, so you’re stuck. Eat your peas.

totherightofthem on March 13, 2013 at 10:16 AM

After Obamacare kicks in and the economy continues to tank, Obama will be looking at Bush-type numbers.

In the meantime, Americans who voted to re-elect this idiot get zero sympathy from me no matter how badly they suffer.

DRayRaven on March 13, 2013 at 10:20 AM

Mittmentum!!!! feel it!!!!

DBear on March 13, 2013 at 9:10 AM

Ah the traditional “yell squirrel” technique. The election is over and thanks to greedy stupid people and outright fraud we got what we got- a lazy socialist bastard.

Yet, some would rather keep the general campaign battle alive rather than deal with the present reality. I wouldn’t want to defend the rat-eared wonder either. Instead of dealing with the Obama sequester of 2011, he is out there golfing in Florida with Tiger while the rest of his worthless family is on a ski trip to Aspen. All of them spending millions in taxpayer dollars. Of course this was after 5200 miles of campaigning against sequester instead of trying to reach a different solution with the Congress.

Then there is the 20 car motorcade to get him to that dinner with 12 RINOs.

And we still don’t have his budget submission for 2014 but we do know who is going to headline Mooch’s birthday party next January.

The White House tours are cancelled but we know that the travel budget for the rat-eared wonder and his family remains untouched. In fact, they’re doing their usual multi-million (taxpayer) trip to Nantucket for the month of August.

So yeah, if I am some stupid brain dead partisan, I’d be trying to inject Mitt Romney into the picture too.

Happy Nomad on March 13, 2013 at 10:20 AM

Mittmentum!!!! feel it!!!!

DBag on March 13, 2013 at 9:10 AM

You do know he needs to win back Congress now, right?

Chuck Schick on March 13, 2013 at 10:24 AM

Worst president in my lifetime. Worst president ever.

hawkdriver on March 13, 2013 at 10:25 AM

Hulking grifter. Too funny

H/t Bish.

SparkPlug on March 13, 2013 at 10:32 AM

Who cares? There’s nothing to gloat over. The situation is no worse than it was five months ago. There has been no revelation or downturn.

The bottom line is that these people voted for Obama, took a four year look, then did it again. He’s never given the faintest impression that his concern is to represent that public. So why should he care what they think?

HitNRun on March 13, 2013 at 10:33 AM

Cry me a river. You sad sacks voted for him, so you’re stuck. Eat your peas.

totherightofthem on March 13, 2013 at 10:16 AM

..yeah, but so are we.

The War Planner on March 13, 2013 at 10:35 AM

The sequhysteria reinforced, what most of us already knew, but others were blind to; that Obama is a liar. Once you begin to lose the public trust, it is hard to get it back.

Tater Salad on March 13, 2013 at 10:37 AM

Obama’s problem is he’s losing credibility. His prediction that “higher taxes on the wealthy” would help the poor isn’t coming true, he lied on the effects of the sequester, and now is purposely trying to enhance the cuts for political gain. Once people quit seeing him as a transformative figure and as the Chicago pol that he is, his ratings will never come back.

Tater Salad on March 13, 2013 at 10:44 AM

The critical fallacy in your suggestion, is assuming that Obama gives a rats a$$ what the voters think or want. He does not. Nor is there any indication that he cares what the consequences for his fellow Democrats might be regarding his accomplishing his end goals.

He fully expects the various elected democrat officials to fall on their swords to hep solidify what he believes are the advancements he has made thus far in “Fundamentally Transforming” America into a Marxist Utopia.

SWalker on March 13, 2013 at 9:29 AM

If his poll numbers drop far enough, it’ll be such that red state Democrats and a large number of tossup state Democrats will find it to their advantage to hammer the President and revolt. Obama relies on a cohesive Senate majority and House minority, as well as the peeling off of weaker RINOs from the GOP in order to do his bidding. With low poll numbers, too many Democrats are going to see tangible benifits and have political cover to tell him to sit on it and rotate, at which point he may find himself making deals not with Republicans, but with his own caucus, out of fear that Congressional Democrats will tarnish his glorious legacy because of their backward-thinking intransigence.

Barack Obama is a creature of ego, first and foremost. If he is unable to satisfy and soothe his ego, he will take great steps to ensure that, at the very least, his legacy remains untouched. His narcissism is a huge liability to this nation, but also to himself, and it makes him very predictable.

mintycrys on March 13, 2013 at 11:27 AM

Sitting in a chair, mid-sections SQUARELY facing cameras, knees spread as far as the limits of the chair, feet pointing straight out and toes curling and uncurling, Obama said:

“I WON!”

……end of argument

williamg on March 13, 2013 at 12:03 PM

The name “Mitt” and ANY derivation of the word “momentum” in the same sentence – is mutually contradictory and inappropriate.

williamg on March 13, 2013 at 12:06 PM

What I don’t get is how merely winning the election increased his approval. People are strange.

Othniel on March 13, 2013 at 12:08 PM

it does not matter. he’s still president

gerrym51 on March 13, 2013 at 12:15 PM

So yeah, if I am some stupid brain dead partisan, I’d be trying to inject Mitt Romney into the picture too.

Happy Nomad on March 13, 2013 at 10:20 AM

Now that was a glorious beat down. I hope Dbear was still around to read it. I certainly enjoyed it.

jazzuscounty on March 13, 2013 at 1:12 PM

So yeah, if I am some stupid brain dead partisan, I’d be trying to inject Mitt Romney into the picture too.

Happy Nomad on March 13, 2013 at 10:20 AM

Now that was a glorious beat down. I hope Dbear was still around to read it. I certainly enjoyed it.

jazzuscounty on March 13, 2013 at 1:12 PM

DBear is probably baby-sitting his niece and nephew. Late last year he proudly told us all how he was already teaching them to Hate Republicans.

Del Dolemonte on March 13, 2013 at 1:19 PM

His numbers haven’t dropped at all. They were always this low. I still feel that he didn’t win this election, it was stolen. Too many multi-time voters, shenanigans with the voting machines, kicking out Republican poll watchers etc. on election day. He may have “won” the election by thievery but he won’t be able to keep it that way. Just try to get our guns Obama and it;s 1860 all over again.

neyney on March 13, 2013 at 2:41 PM

I was talking to a lady today who is a big Liberal, a public school teacher in New York City. I’m a realtor and she’s on the co-op board of a building where I just got a listing. She was complaining that I priced it too low, and the co-op board won’t be happy if it sells for less than they think it’s worth.

She was saying how the economy is improving and will continue to improve and real estate prices will be going up.

As I was listening to her I was thinking about the HotAir post the other day about how we’ve reached an all time high for the amount of people on food stamps. This was completely ignored by the same MSM who broke out the champagne when the death toll in Iraq reached a certain number (I think it was 5,000).

Business in my office does seem to be a little better these past few months, but I’ve seen this all before. The MSM tells people that things are starting to get better. So people go out and start spending a little more. Then they see that it’s not getting better and things slump back to where they were before.

The bottom line is that there’s absolutely nothing about Obama’s policies that are geared toward economic growth. It’s like watching a football team that has a record of 2 wins and 8 losses, and thinking that they’re going to win their next 6 games simply because the MSM says they’re getting better.

ardenenoch on March 13, 2013 at 7:26 PM

Obama’s popularity has always been more Fifth Column Treasonous Media propaganda than anything else.

SWalker on March 13, 2013 at 9:15 AM

‘zactly.

The Rat Faced Dog Eating Destroyer of Nations could have a .1% approval and he wouldn’t care, the man and his hulking grifter of a wife were never in this for anyone but themselves. A low approval doesn’t keep them from swiping the flatware or candlesticks, or traveling the world on our dime.

Bishop on March 13, 2013 at 9:42 AM

My favorite Hot Gas comment to date.

S. D. on March 13, 2013 at 10:34 PM