Obama drops 10% in one month. In… New York?

posted at 9:21 am on March 12, 2013 by Jazz Shaw

What with the recent changes to various regulatory aspects regarding the lives of American citizens I was expecting a bit of backlash against President Obama, but I certainly didn’t see this coming.

President Barack Obama’s approval rating in New York fell precipitously in the past month, according to a poll released Monday, and three-fifths of the state’s registered voters now believe the country is heading in the wrong direction.

Obama’s approval rating remains high in New York, at 56 percent, with 41 percent disapproving, according to the Siena College poll.

But the president’s approval rating was at 66 percent last month, with only 32 percent disapproval — so the change is a net 19 point decline.

“President Obama’s favorability rating dropped significantly this month,” Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said.

Yes, 56% is still nothing to sneeze at, but this is a state where Obama won 63.33% of the vote to Mitt Romney’s 35.19% in 2012, and that wasn’t a particularly high turnout cycle. At other times he’s been much closer to 70. What does Siena attribute it to? New Yorkers feel that the country is on the wrong track by a margin of 60 to 32. But I suspect there’s something more to the story. At the same time, Andrew Cuomo has dipped to 64% when he was at 67-29 last month and in the seventies last year. What’s the connection?

My guess is that the liberal wing has overplayed its hand in the Empire state, sending even borderline supporters upstate heading for the exits. Even in a decidedly liberal state, Cuomo has been on the Obama bandwagon, but putting it on steroids. Cuomo signed a gun control bill which is becoming increasingly unpopular as people find out more about it. He also passed an abortion bill which even had nominally pro-choice voters asking what the heck was going on. (The procedure can be performed by people who aren’t doctors???)

This is a formula for opportunity for the GOP if they play their cards right. No, I don’t expect New York to suddenly turn red in 2016, but there will be a lot of congressional districts – as well as state Senate and assembly seats – where the worm may turn back a bit. When you grab for too much at one time you lose the middle, and that’s what I think is happening here right now.


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What difference does it make?

We get four more years of the Obama Administration. At a minimum.

Washington Nearsider on March 12, 2013 at 9:25 AM

lol @ New Yorkers. It’s funny when you hurt.

Daemonocracy on March 12, 2013 at 9:26 AM

Eh, a state chock full of statists will never truly leave behind a dedicated fellow traveler, they’ll just talk big about their concerns and continue to elect the same control freaks they always have.

Cuomo and Bloomberg could build a network of death camps throughout the state and they would still win the popular vote next election.

Bishop on March 12, 2013 at 9:27 AM

Cuomo signed a gun control bill which is becoming increasingly unpopular as people find out more about it.

Just think how unpopular Obama would be if American voters had a media that informed them about all the ignorant, stupid, and counter-productive legislation he has signed into law.

AZCoyote on March 12, 2013 at 9:32 AM

In Colorado, we’ve got enough problems dealing with the people from California and Nevada taking refuge here. Please let New Yorkers stay in New York. They voted for these guys, now they need to live with their choice.

lea on March 12, 2013 at 9:32 AM

Are the useful imbeciles slowly waking from their slumber, or are they simply getting ready to hit the snooze button now that they can still purchase their 32 oz. trough of sugar fizz?

Polish Rifle on March 12, 2013 at 9:32 AM

(The procedure can be performed by people who aren’t doctors???)

Because women’s health.

CDeb on March 12, 2013 at 9:34 AM

It’s all because he banished the sequester to Portugal.

OldEnglish on March 12, 2013 at 9:35 AM

This is a formula for opportunity for the GOP if they play their cards right.

Thanks Jazz. I needed a laugh this morning.

SAMinVA on March 12, 2013 at 9:41 AM

Who gives a sh!t about how much Obambi has dropped in the polls? It’s not as if it matters. If the idiots/sheeple who voted for him last November hadn’t been sleepwalking for the previous four years, then maybe – that’s maybe – it would have mattered. But now? Screw ‘em all – they deserve what they get.

Dopenstrange on March 12, 2013 at 9:44 AM

Eh, a state chock full of statists will never truly leave behind a dedicated fellow traveler, they’ll just talk big about their concerns and continue to elect the same control freaks they always have.

Bishop on March 12, 2013 at 9:27 AM

Agreed. This is a big load of nothing. And since when have Demcrats ever given a flying fig about opinion polls anyway? The country was heavily opposed to Obamacare in record numbers. Public opinion matters very little in a one party state; it’s little different than polling the Iranians on the street about what they think of their own regime.

Doomberg on March 12, 2013 at 9:44 AM

Needs more Beyonce at the White House.

Marcus on March 12, 2013 at 9:46 AM

Bishop @ 9:27 am

That’s it, in a nutshell. Blah, blah, blah, then put the Fuhrer back in office.

teacherman on March 12, 2013 at 9:48 AM

It doesn’t matter.

portlandon on March 12, 2013 at 9:49 AM

I live in NY, and it’s comical how so many gripe and grumble all the time, yet will vote again for the same people causing the low state of affairs. I find it comical, because I expected such results, while they have a this-shouldn’t-be-happening-to-me kind of shocked surprise. I guess what helps me is that I live a basic and simple life — one with few possessions, fewer bills, a decent income, and no wealth that might attract the wallet-dipping fingers of thieving politicians. But these liberals get sticker shock when they go buy a new car or boat, and when they see their electric- or property tax bills.

I find it funny, in a mean sort of way.

Liam on March 12, 2013 at 9:49 AM

But the president’s approval rating was at 66 percent last month, with only 32 percent disapproval — so the change is a net 19 point decline.

Ya think maybe New Yorkers are finally getting around to reading a 2000+ page health care bill? Or, perhaps they’ve found out they’re losing their doctors or private health care insurance, WHEN THEY WERE TOLD THEY COULD KEEP IT? OR, they’ve found out Obama cares more about his golf handicap than the price of gas?

Rovin on March 12, 2013 at 9:50 AM

These polls are worth exactly the digital ink they are printed upon. The poll that matters happened, sadly, last November. We are stuck with this guy for the next four years. I doubt he cares, at this point, what his poll numbers are — which bodes well for Republican office-seekers in the next election cycle.

The President, by not dealing with jobs but instead dealing with increased taxes, the minimum wage, guns, etc. have handed us a signal opportunity.

Even here in Los Angeles, a proposed increase in the sales tax was voted down. Voters are not willing to vote for that which decreases their take-home pay or their job security.

unclesmrgol on March 12, 2013 at 9:54 AM

New Yorkers feel that the country is on the wrong track by a margin of 60 to 32

Don’t look at me. I was for the other guy :-)

antisocial on March 12, 2013 at 9:54 AM

…was conducted from March 3 to March 7

I blame the Village People.

The only thing that moves the LIV’s opinion of Obama is what they see in the entertainment media. Entertainment media started making fun of Obama’s absurd sequester lies just about the time they began doing interviews for this poll.

forest on March 12, 2013 at 9:56 AM

Upstate New York trends light Red, if for no other reason than they don’t like being in the same party as the deep Blue downstaters, who are the nine-county tail that wags the 53 country Upstate dog. The current situation with hydraulic fracking is a good example — allowing it would bring a gas drilling boom to impoverished areas of Upstate, but the Democrats and Cuomo are balking at approving it because of the environmentalists in the city, who want all fracking banned while they continue to live their 21st Century lifestyles courtesy of the electricity fairies.

But New York City isn’t San Francisco, Washington D.C. or Chicago — if you get a situation where Democrats are running Albany and Washington D.C. with no Republican power source in sight, if the city is a total basket case, voters there will go with the Republican, which is how the city got Rudy Giuliani in 1993.

My guess is the city’s ties to Wall Street and it’s need to remain the nation’s financial capital to keep it’s identity is what’s at play here. Having to rely on capitalism — even crony capitalism — to keep your city’s prestige means you can’t go 24/7/365 moonbat like the voters in San Francisco, while pols can’t total disregard Quality of Life issues out of fear of offending a key voting block, as with Chicago, out of fear those financial insitutions will simply pick up and move over to Chris Christieland or elsewhere, which is what happened in the 1970s and 80s. It’s the one little glimmer of rationality that keeps the city from heading totally in the direction of Chicago (or Detroit), and why fear of going that way might cause a sharp drop in Obama’s numbers.

jon1979 on March 12, 2013 at 10:17 AM

New Yorkers, for all their supposed intelligence, can only be stupid for so long.

GarandFan on March 12, 2013 at 10:29 AM

And now the ultimate indignity – New Yorkers fleeing New York for the tax haven of . . . wait for it . . . Puerto Rico?

http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-11/paulson-said-to-explore-puerto-rico-as-home-with-low-tax.html

JoseQuinones on March 12, 2013 at 10:37 AM

It’s all because he banished the sequester to Portugal.

OldEnglish on March 12, 2013 at 9:35 AM

How about that black woman declaring that she voted for Obama only because he was black?

Classic. Content of character, rather than color of skin, right?

BuckeyeSam on March 12, 2013 at 10:43 AM

OldEnglish on March 12, 2013 at 9:35 AM
Can you imagine if some person on the street
had said ……” I didn’t vote for him because he’s
black ” ?

Lucano on March 12, 2013 at 10:43 AM

Needs more Beyonce at the White House.

Marcus on March 12, 2013 at 9:46 AM

The other b…. in the WH could have pulled a coup
by announcing either a public concert or a charity
event . Bet it never even occurred to her .

Lucano on March 12, 2013 at 10:50 AM

I expect journalism from HotAir. Not poll reporting.

bloviator on March 12, 2013 at 11:36 AM

The other b…. in the WH could have pulled a coup
by announcing either a public concert or a charity
event . Bet it never even occurred to her .

Lucano on March 12, 2013 at 10:50 AM

Of course it didn’t this is all about her and her birthday bash…. Next January. But I don’t blame her for getting a jump start on the planning. There is the month-long vacation to Nantucket to arrange. Next year’s trip to Hawaii over the holidays. And of course all the mini-vacations, concerts, and travel and appearances harranguing the public to her agenda. Those billions in taxpayer dollars don’t spend themselves you know!

And the optics are really interesting. It points out just how blind these vile people are to the real world. You don’t head out on two separate vacations (Fl and Aspen) the week before sequestration hits. You don’t announce your star-studded birthday party in eight months at the same time you’re cancelling White House tours for “lack of money.” When the DoD personnel cuts hit next month, it is going to get really interesting.

Happy Nomad on March 12, 2013 at 11:37 AM

a. It does not matter.
b. Solved quickly by putting more people on Food Stamps.

albill on March 12, 2013 at 11:41 AM

What difference does it make?

We get four more years of the Obama Administration. At a minimum.

Washington Nearsider on March 12, 2013 at 9:25 AM

Exactly.

This is like a poll that shows that Adam regretted eating that fruit.

TOO LATE … THE DAMAGE IS DONE.

OhEssYouCowboys on March 12, 2013 at 11:42 AM

bloviator on March 12, 2013 at 11:36 AM

John, is that you here?

avagreen on March 12, 2013 at 11:58 AM

lol @ New Yorkers. It’s funny when you hurt.

Daemonocracy on March 12, 2013 at 9:26 AM

Screw you, a**hole.

ThePrez on March 12, 2013 at 12:42 PM

Screw you, a**hole.

ThePrez on March 12, 2013 at 12:42 PM

You just made me laugh harder.

If it’s any consolation, I am from CT, and take even more pleasure in watching CT hurt even with me as collateral damage.

Then again, in a couple years I may be off to South Carolina, more of my family is receptive to the idea. Then I’ll really laugh hard in between 30 round magazines at the shooting range.

Daemonocracy on March 12, 2013 at 1:04 PM

The procedure can be performed by people who aren’t doctors???

That’s because you don’t need to be a doctor to be a judge, or sit on a jury, or to be an executioner…

dominigan on March 12, 2013 at 3:03 PM

Agreed. This is a big load of nothing. And since when have Demcrats ever given a flying fig about opinion polls anyway? The country was heavily opposed to Obamacare in record numbers. Public opinion matters very little in a one party state; it’s little different than polling the Iranians on the street about what they think of their own regime.

Doomberg on March 12, 2013 at 9:44 AM

New York will always vote DEM at the presidential level but it is not a purely one party entity like the city of Chicago. It does elect GOP congressmen and when the House majority is at play, that is important. Also, there is a good chance the GOP could win numerical rather than just nominal control of the State Senate in 2014. Right now they rely on Democrat votes to keep the place running (a number of Democrat Senators do not trust the Democratic Senatorial leadership and for good reason). The result is they have had to go along with a lot that they did not really like in order to just stay in the game. With a real majority, they won’t have to cave to Governor Cuomo on everything he wants and everything Cuomo won’t back them on. This is important at the state level; especially if Gov. Cuomo is angling for the 2016 Dem presidential nomination because he may push things to appeal to Dem primary voters that are not good for the State as a whole.

KW64 on March 12, 2013 at 4:06 PM

Screw these pathetic sheep. Tax them at 80% and let them keep a whopping 20% of the their check. Make them defenseless at home and out in the gang ridden streets. Prosecute anyone that has the audacity to stand up to their assailant.

Make sure they don’t drink coke and soft drinks and charge them $9 a pack for cigerettes and $5 a gallon for gas.

You elitist arses deserve all that’s coming to you. You are nothing more than indentured serfs too stupid to figure out you are nothing but peasants working for the man.

acyl72 on March 12, 2013 at 8:04 PM