Democrats planning for victory over the “six-year itch”

posted at 7:21 pm on February 15, 2013 by Erika Johnsen

For President Obama to have any hope of enacting any of his grandiose ambitions via legislation, getting rid of that pesky House Republican majority is going to be clutch — hence his sudden willingness to partner up with and fundraise for the Democratic campaign committees and finally act like a team player. It’s a long row to hoe, but the Democrats are at least sending out optimistic signals with the promise of the president’s popular support, via Politico:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee expects that President Barack Obama will wield his national political machine on behalf of House Democrats in the 2014 campaign… DCCC Chairman Steve Israel wrote in a memo to his fellow lawmakers Friday. …

Israel stops short of pledging that the party will win the House, instead predicting his committee is on track to “continue defeating Republicans and to send the tea party to the dustbin of political history.” …

“In 2012, President Obama was completely focused on his own re-election, as he should have been. But for 2014, he will be able to focus on Congressional races, and he has already made early commitments that are unprecedented and transformational. President Barack Obama has agreed to eight events just in 2013 for House Democrats, with additional support from Vice President Biden and other surrogates,” Israel writes. “In addition, OFA’s ground game, which was a vital part of the Obama campaign’s success in 2012, will now be focused on Congress — energizing the critical ‘New American Electorate’ that we need to keep engaged through the 2014 elections.”

The fundraising for Obama’s nonprofit advocacy group is already well underway, with Team O courting his major campaign bundlers to keep the cash flow going strong — and part of the effort to get Democrats elected in the midterms will include keeping ground support mobilized and maintaining popular enthusiasm for Obama’s agenda in just the way that his erstwhile campaign machinery knows how.

As James Taranto writes, it looks like President Obama has pretty much given up on working constructively in a divided government, and is really setting his heart on beating the traditional six-year itch that keeps the president’s party at bay during his second round of midterms — but good luck with beating history on that one.

Of course unprecedented things do happen in politics. Never before 2010 had a party captured the House while leaving the Senate in the other party’s hands. And last year Obama became the first president to be elected to a second term with a smaller popular-vote total than in his first election. But the rarity of such occurrences suggests that they are the product of unusual or changed circumstances.

Do today’s circumstances point toward a precedent-shattering Democratic victory in 2014?

… Which means that to win the House in 2014, the Democrats would have to carry districts that not only sent Republicans to the House in 2012 but preferred Romney to Obama. If Obama is betting his presidency on a Democratic House in 2015-16, it’s a long shot.

Although, of course, we’ve underestimated Obama’s campaign machinery before — probably a good idea to take a little more heed this time:

At their first political conference meeting of the 113th Congress… GOP pollster Neil Newhouse told members to be on guard for Obama’s campaign machine. …

“His attention has gone from getting himself elected to keeping the majority in the Senate and winning the majority in the House,” Westmoreland said in an interview, paraphrasing his remarks. “They need to be prepared for him being involved, because he made it quite clear at their retreat that he wanted his last two years to be like his first two years and that means, of course, having Pelosi as the speaker.”


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Ban guns and hi-caps, that is a sure election winner.

Bishop on February 15, 2013 at 7:23 PM

I’ll make a prediction right now. Come summer of ’14, Democrats will be asking him not to show up in their districts. They will be trying to distance themselves from him as much as possible in order to save their seat.

ButterflyDragon on February 15, 2013 at 7:27 PM

If they ram through amnesty before then they’ll get it and everything else they want. And let’s be honest – even if they DON’T ‘scratch the itch’, can we really do any more at this point than slightly delay the inevitable?

MelonCollie on February 15, 2013 at 7:28 PM

Did any of you see Rubio take that sip of water…!

… Oh, Boy!

Seven Percent Solution on February 15, 2013 at 7:29 PM

Oh no. The Democrats will actually be trying to win elections in 2014? That’s it. We should give up right now.

PerceptorII on February 15, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Well Soros just made a billion dollars betting against the Japanese Yen,will probably kick in about 500 million.Money……no problem!!

jeffinsjvca on February 15, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Did any of you see Rubio take that sip of water…!

… Oh, Boy!

Seven Percent Solution on February 15, 2013 at 7:29 PM

Sure did..

He finished it all in one gulp and then threw the empty at the camera..

Electrongod on February 15, 2013 at 7:37 PM

All Bronco Bama has to do is keep explaining in public how bipartisan and compromising he is, and telling Boehner to piss off in private. The 51% will fall right in line.

“Let’s get it done.”

Curtiss on February 15, 2013 at 7:38 PM

Oh no. The Democrats will actually be trying to win elections in 2014? That’s it. We should give up right now.

PerceptorII on February 15, 2013 at 7:36 PM

Either you’re trolling or your Perception is suffering -10 penalties.

MelonCollie on February 15, 2013 at 7:38 PM

All Bronco Bama has to do is keep explaining in public how bipartisan and compromising he is, and telling Boehner to piss off in private. The 51% will fall right in line.

Curtiss on February 15, 2013 at 7:38 PM

That’s the real problem: a culture where a majority will vote in these people. We can withstand the ravages of Democrat-run Clowngresses and pResidents. We cannot and will not withstand the population handing them the reigns of power at pretty much every opportunity.

MelonCollie on February 15, 2013 at 7:39 PM

These seats up in 2014 are Senate seats that were last up in 2008, an unusually good year for Democrats. There are few “swing” House districts anymore. And without 0bama himself at the top of the ticket, good luck turning out the minorities.

Sekhmet on February 15, 2013 at 7:45 PM

I used to laugh at the people that sited the “emerging Democrat majority”. Then the last election happened. Now I’m a believer. I think the GOP will lose seats but probably keep a majority. I shudder to think of what this country will look like in 12 years however.

There are just too many brainless, useless indoctrinated idiots in this country and their numbers grow larger by the day.

hisfrogness on February 15, 2013 at 7:47 PM

Oh, so more election fraud.

Mirimichi on February 15, 2013 at 7:48 PM

Unless Obama can redistrict after the last redistricting, good luck…

Khun Joe on February 15, 2013 at 7:50 PM

I used to laugh at the people that sited the “emerging Democrat majority”. Then the last election happened. Now I’m a believer.

hisfrogness on February 15, 2013 at 7:47 PM

2008 could have been a (sandra) fluke; a perfect storm of half the nation sick of the cowboy who lost his pea-pickin’ mind in his latter term.

But 2012 was no accident. Even accounting for a very lackluster R candidate, America deliberately chose Chimpy Disasterpants for a 2nd term. And there is a move afoot to repeal the 2-term limit. Make of THAT what you may.

MelonCollie on February 15, 2013 at 7:54 PM

Democrats planning for victory over the “six-year itch”

…and what are they going to do…when they end up with jock itch !

KOOLAID2 on February 15, 2013 at 7:56 PM

They need to be prepared for him being involved, because he made it quite clear at their retreat that he wanted his last two years to be like his first two years and that means, of course, having Pelosi as the speaker.

Let’s not too over-confident that there is no chance of Speaker Pelosi, because the stakes are too high if we lose. If we lose, we lose this country. It will become the mediocre hellhole most countries are.

thuja on February 15, 2013 at 7:57 PM

But 2012 was no accident. Even accounting for a very lackluster R candidate, America deliberately chose Chimpy Disasterpants for a 2nd term. And there is a move afoot to repeal the 2-term limit. Make of THAT what you may.

MelonCollie on February 15, 2013 at 7:54 PM

Yeah, dude. What political party controls the most chambers in state legislatures?

thuja on February 15, 2013 at 8:01 PM

Packing blue districts with fraudulent and imaginary votes won”t help Obama a bit. Only in very marginal districts will he have a chance. Ohio is already considering ways to tighten up election procedures to prevent a repetition of last year’s fiasco.

FirelandsO3 on February 15, 2013 at 8:04 PM

You are all forgetting Obama’s tactics. He doesnt have to push Democrats over the finish line to win back the House….he just has to keep leaning on the cracks in the GOP. By 2014, their will be a full on split between conservatives and the party elites.

Id be surprised if the Republicans dont sabotage themselves right into minority status.

The GOP leadership is inept, incompetent, and invertebrate. I put no amount of losing out of their reach.

alecj on February 15, 2013 at 8:06 PM

Ban guns and hi-caps, that is a sure election winner.
Bishop on February 15, 2013 at 7:23 PM

They just passed a magazine ban of more than 15 rounds in the Colorado House tonight. It’s likely Colorado democrats are going to get everything they want in regards to gun control. If they retain power in 2014 after this, I’m gone. Moving to WY or ID. So sick of this sh!t.

jawkneemusic on February 15, 2013 at 8:20 PM

I don’t trust them

Beware gop

cmsinaz on February 15, 2013 at 8:30 PM

thuja on February 15, 2013 at 8:01 PM
FirelandsO3 on February 15, 2013 at 8:04 PM

Wish I had your confidence, but I don’t. This nation is already a shell of its former self. Liberals have indoctrinated generations of Americans already in our schools, and now we are about to legalize millions of illegal liberals. Barring a miracle, we are done.

They just passed a magazine ban of more than 15 rounds in the Colorado House tonight. It’s likely Colorado democrats are going to get everything they want in regards to gun control. If they retain power in 2014 after this, I’m gone. Moving to WY or ID. So sick of this sh!t.

jawkneemusic on February 15, 2013 at 8:20 PM

I’ll see your 15 round mag ban and raise you “Twenty new gun control measures.” Can’t wait to see how many the rino Christie Creme signs into law.

IrishEi on February 15, 2013 at 8:38 PM

Correction: Rove and Fox News will help make this happen.

Mr. Arrogant on February 15, 2013 at 8:39 PM

They can steal state-wide elections, but redistricting essentially neutralizes that. Obamacare realities will be more apparent then, also.

FirelandsO3 on February 15, 2013 at 8:56 PM

IrishEi on February 15, 2013 at 8:38 PM

God help us all.

jawkneemusic on February 15, 2013 at 9:04 PM

I’ll make a prediction right now. Come summer of ’14, Democrats will be asking him not to show up in their districts. They will be trying to distance themselves from him as much as possible in order to save their seat.

ButterflyDragon on February 15, 2013 at 7:27 PM

I think you might be right. 2014 is when Obamacare taxes fully kick in, so Obama will stack those middle class tax hikes like hotcakes on top of the elimination of the payroll tax holiday, and other taxes Obama has coming.

But hey, the majority of the electorate voted for him, so they should be made to pay for him.

Cavalry on February 15, 2013 at 9:07 PM

IrishEi on February 15, 2013 at 8:38 PM

God help us all.

jawkneemusic on February 15, 2013 at 9:04 PM

Speaking of gun control, I remember when they passed the Brady Bill and I was surprised at how many times I heard the counter-argument; that we don’t need more laws we need better enforcement of the laws we already have.

That simple logic seems to have lost its venom.

hisfrogness on February 15, 2013 at 9:14 PM

Speaking of gun control, I remember when they passed the Brady Bill and I was surprised at how many times I heard the counter-argument; that we don’t need more laws we need better enforcement of the laws we already have.

That simple logic seems to have lost its venom.

hisfrogness on February 15, 2013 at 9:14 PM

There is no logic in what they’re doing. Get this, Colorado is home to the largest 30 round magazine producer Magpul. They threatened to move their operations out of colorado if a ban on 30 round magazines were to pass taking $85 million in future 2013 spending as well as 200 jobs with them so what did the Dems here do? Amend the bill to allow them to continue making the magazine as long as they’re not sold to Coloradans. So per libtard logic, 30 round magazines are too dangerous to be sold to law abiding Coloradans but not dangerous enough that Colorado state democrats are willing to give up the tax revenue generated by the deadly magazines.

Fluke these damn liberals. Hypocritical hacks. All of them!

jawkneemusic on February 15, 2013 at 11:13 PM

So I guess we again need Sarah Palin to get involved and prove her King Maker credentials once more. The Willard benchwarming supporters[?] will not like that one bit.

“His attention has gone from getting himself elected to keeping the majority in the Senate and winning the majority in the House,” Westmoreland said in an interview, paraphrasing his remarks.

Huh? Has Westmoreland even bothered to learn what 0bama has been up to lately? The ‘community organizing’ guy is busy making the case for the NEXT Historic TEAnami!

The real problem STILL lays with apathetic Americans who REFUSE to do any thing to correct America’s problems. That remains chrystal clear, so for the few who have decided that the time to stop being bench warmers has arrived, you should begin here IF you are REALLY WORRIED about being screwed. Then, IF you agree with Brent Bozell’s summation AND you sill have that fire in your belly, you need to start looking for the closest TEA Party group to your location and go to one of their meetings. The winners of elections owe allegiance only to those who worked to get the votes for them, no matter how close the margin of victory.

It is SO EASY to get involved today! I had realized that if I weren’t willing to get involved then I deserved the worst the corrupt-o-crats could deliver. That is why I am AGAIN going to the MIGOP Convention as THE elected delegate from my township [for the fourth time], which is being held later this month. I can promise you that the politicians there will be made MOST UNCOMFORTABLE when I confront them and there will be absolutely no doubt in their minds as to whose ass they will have to kiss [as Allahpundit so colorfully likes to put it].

NEVER FORGET! America ALWAYS gets the government it DESERVES, and whiners win nothing!

DannoJyd on February 16, 2013 at 2:57 AM

Of course it would be foolish to take Obama lightly in this but the reality that the Dems can’t bring themselves to acknowledge is that no matter how much Obama tries to campaign for other Dems the “magic” only works when he’s at the top of the ticket. He’s got the cult of personality that got him reelected but his ignorant supporters can’t be bother to show up for random Dems. And yes, there will be plenty of Dems who don’t want their chances ruined by Obama showing up.

cicerone on February 16, 2013 at 12:58 PM