Chart of the Day: Austerity? What austerity?
posted at 2:31 pm on February 1, 2013 by Ed Morrissey
What did the Q4 GDP number and the January jobs report show us? To listen to the White House, the New York Times, and Obama administration apologists, it supposedly proves that “austerity” is the culprit behind the lack of growth. Newsbusters catches the Times blaming “austerity efforts” are damaging economic recoveries in developed nations:
The drop in American exports stemmed in part from a decline in economic growth in Europe, where governments have also been cutting spending in a bid to balance budgets. The parallel contractions are likely to provide fodder for economists who argue that austerity efforts have gone too far in many developed economies.
The surprisingly weak numbers could also force politicians to limit the cuts that are scheduled to take effect if Congress fails to produce a budget bargain in the coming weeks and strengthen the argument that deficit reduction is a lesser concern than job creation.
“Our economy is facing a major headwind, and that’s Republicans in Congress,” said the White House spokesman Jay Carney.
Republicans said the White House was not advancing concrete plans for creating new jobs and stimulating the economy.
The “headwinds” referenced by Carney are the upcoming sequestrations of spending cuts — that were proposed by the White House, not Republicans, in 2011. The excuse also assumes that the US has actually implemented austerity measures. Despite the quarter-on-quarter reduction in federal spending in the GDP report this week, that’s not the case at present, nor is it the case in the future — even with the sequestrations in place. John Merline of Investors Business Daily makes that plain in the chart of the day:
According to monthly spending data from the Treasury Dept., total federal spending — which includes transfer payments and other federal outlays not counted by the BEA — increased by $98 billion in Q4 compared with Q3. And spending was up $31 billion when compared with Q4 2011.
For the entire year, spending in 2012 was virtually unchanged from 2011, and was up $86 billion over 2010, a year when the government was still spending stimulus money in earnest.
Plus, the “fiscal cliff” deal worked out between President Obama and the Republicans actually added almost $50 billion to planned spending in 2013, and a total of $332 billion over the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Almost half of the 2013 increase will go to pay extended unemployment benefits, which Democrats have long argued are highly stimulative.
Reid himself has said that unemployment benefits “help our economy because recipients spend the cash they receive on the things they need right away.”
We’ll get back to stimulus in a moment. Merline points out that even the sequestrations aren’t cuts in overall federal spending, but reductions in the rate of increase, emphasis mine:
In addition, even if the “sequester” should go through, federal spending will continue to climb.
In fact, if nothing else changes, spending in 2013 will be $3.6 trillion, an increase of nearly 2% over 2012, according to data from the CBO. That’s because the sequester’s “cuts” are actually just reductions in planned spending hikes.
Nor is the federal government operating anything close to an austere budget when looked at as a share of the economy. According to the CBO, spending this year will account for 22.4% of GDP, a level reached only eight times since 1946 — four of which occurred under Obama.
This is why Republicans are smart to keep the sequesters in place. The deficit explosion undermines confidence in the dollar and the overall American economy, which produces a downward pressure on expansion. That would be an acceptable short-term tradeoff if the extra spending produced long-term economic growth. The Q4 contraction demonstrates that’s not the case, though.
Gerri Willis at Fox Business comes to the same conclusion after calculating all of the stimuli and bailouts provided by the government over the last six years or so (via Nick Gillespie). The total? $7.6 trillion. What did it do for us? Well …
Whew! That’s a lot of money and where are we? Nowhere, as far as I can tell. Unemployment is at 7.8%, exactly where it was when President Obama came into office.
The economy is contracting, shrinking, and consumers and taxpayers say they aren’t too happy. It’s no wonder. All of this money out the door and much of it will have to be paid back. Our economy hasn’t recovered. The stimulus spending was a bust!
Next time you hear Paul Krugman say we need more stimulus spending, ask him: where’s my $7.66 trillion, mister?
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Pelosi AND Rosa DeLauro? My eyes are bleeding.
steebo77 on May 16, 2013 at 7:17 PM
…DUMB B!TCH!
KOOLAID2 on May 16, 2013 at 7:18 PM
*shaking the head*
Get away from the koolaid
cmsinaz on May 16, 2013 at 7:19 PM
Is this even English?
ThePrimordialOrderedPair on May 16, 2013 at 7:19 PM
Look at all those milfs in the screen cap.
arnold ziffel on May 16, 2013 at 7:19 PM
…no…there is a ‘collection’ of ugly women!
KOOLAID2 on May 16, 2013 at 7:20 PM
‘Cuz ‘Draining the Swamp’ is only a priority when Maerose Prizzi is wielding her gigantic gavel.
Resist We Much on May 16, 2013 at 7:21 PM
Excuuuse me… I think I just threw up in my mouth a little…
bigbeachbird on May 16, 2013 at 7:21 PM
She is completely delusional…”Great President”??? Who is that she speaks of? More proof that libs will protect their chosen one no matter what and the best interests of the country pale in comparison to what is good for the party. They just suck…
major dad on May 16, 2013 at 7:22 PM
This stuff actually leaks out to the low information American.
This is what they see (on TMZ, D-Listed, E-Tonight, etc) and their is no correction mechanism.
The MSM just lets it go.
aquaviva on May 16, 2013 at 7:22 PM
…I wouldn’t get near them!…’things’… would fall off!
KOOLAID2 on May 16, 2013 at 7:23 PM
God bless America as she rolls over and slips beneath the waves of history……….
dmann on May 16, 2013 at 7:23 PM
She sounds hoarse.Wondering what she has been doing to cause it.
docflash on May 16, 2013 at 7:23 PM
AP, It’s easy to understand once you understand that she and Obama are pathological liars! Being steeped in left wing ideas for so long does that to you.
They would even deny that the sun shines (while looking at it natch) during the day if it served their purpose! It’s a sickness.
geojed on May 16, 2013 at 7:24 PM
Heh heh heh heh. ….oh, Pelosi….
SailorMark on May 16, 2013 at 7:25 PM
actually, the Rs are using the time away from the glare of the TV camera to tidy up the Immigration Reform bill..the House version
http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/house-immigration-bill-91499.html
i’m sure that once all these distracting scandals are cleaned up, the Rs will roll out the shiny new bill…all worked out and ready to vote on, up or down…and boom! it will be done. And then Rs can go back to their favorite work, getting $$$$$ from their business friends.
what a grand life they have…$$$$$ flooding in. Selecting new drapes, clinging to the old ones…whatever
r keller on May 16, 2013 at 7:25 PM
What she really meant to say…
Resist We Much on May 16, 2013 at 7:25 PM
Jobs?
Evasions?
Pelosi is one of all Democrats evading the matter of jobs.
They long know how to make for a climate of job-creation. Instead, they do the opposite.
Camera time is more important than doing her job.
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:25 PM
Here’s a checklist to create jobs….
1.) Fire Obama
2.) Fire Pelosi
3.) Fire Reid
4.) Take back the Senate
5.) Repeal ObamaCare
6.) Abolish the IRS
7.) Abolish the EPA
8.) Abolish the NLRB
etc, etc, etc……
redguy on May 16, 2013 at 7:26 PM
Brace yourself, because HERE COME THE MOTHERFUGGING JOBS!
Chuck Schick on May 16, 2013 at 7:26 PM
btw, the comments at Politico are very funny…well, unless they’ve been moderated away
r keller on May 16, 2013 at 7:26 PM
Certifiable.
CW on May 16, 2013 at 7:27 PM
I believe that something may have been lost in translation from the original German, IYKWIMAITTYD.
turfmann on May 16, 2013 at 7:27 PM
Pelosi is sounding quite paranoid about what the Republicans are doing.
Dusty on May 16, 2013 at 7:27 PM
I’ waiting, wishing, and hoping for the day average low-information tyes say en masse, “I’ve had enough here!”
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:27 PM
…unemployment jobs?
KOOLAID2 on May 16, 2013 at 7:28 PM
As to Nancy Pelosi-
What SWalker said.
M240H on May 16, 2013 at 7:28 PM
She’s not worried at all about Republicans.
She’s worried about what 315 million other Americans are going to first think, and then might do.
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:29 PM
Resist We Much on May 16, 2013 at 7:30 PM
Saw this clip on tv earlier, she’s also shaky and had odd head movements. Could be Parkinson’s or just old-fashioned senility.
On the other hand, the Pelosis own a winery or two, so maybe she’s drunk.
slickwillie2001 on May 16, 2013 at 7:32 PM
Yep. It’s time for a national divorce so that America can be started over. There is repairing this American Socialist Superstate. The game is well over for this place.
ThePrimordialOrderedPair on May 16, 2013 at 7:32 PM
What, she’s all about jobs now? I thought she was all about the glorious economic value of unemployment checks.
Expel the illegals and you’ll have 20 million new job openings. Your employer will need to give you a raise to keep you from quitting and filling one of those jobs.
There would be wage-based inflation that would shrink the gap between rich and poor a little bit. Employers would even need to offer benefits like health insurance to keep employees. This along with taxes on imports is the solution.
Buddahpundit on May 16, 2013 at 7:33 PM
…unemployment jobs?
KOOLAID2 on May 16, 2013 at 7:28 PM
well unemployment IS a great driver of the economy.
Grunt on May 16, 2013 at 7:34 PM
I’m not ;-) I have so much to say about this .
So Allah, no ban hammer for one hour ???
Pleeeeeeeeeeeese :O
burrata on May 16, 2013 at 7:34 PM
I’m ready for this woman’s demise. Eager, even.
Midas on May 16, 2013 at 7:37 PM
You forgot the Gheys!
Hell, you posted 1 million threads on it.
bazil9 on May 16, 2013 at 7:37 PM
Beyond time.
Midas on May 16, 2013 at 7:38 PM
and food stamps create jobs , remember ?
burrata on May 16, 2013 at 7:38 PM
Liberals are, by nature, abusive people.
We see that with Obama and the Senate.
When out of power, like is Pelosi, they go nuts. Which makes them more abusive.
Nancy can’t stand being where she is right now. She is so low, even among Democrats, that she’s seriously upset, internally.
She used to be House Speaker. What is she now? In the greater scheme of things, even among Dem politicians, she’s nothing.
Reality doesn’t sit well with her.
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:39 PM
Slightlt OT, but the House Gang of Six has reached a deal on Shmanesty. At least this bill has to go through Goodlatte’s committee.
Wethal on May 16, 2013 at 7:39 PM
Can we all agree that gun legislation is off the table?
mjbrooks3 on May 16, 2013 at 7:40 PM
Uh oh. I reported myself about 138 times back in 2009.
steebo77 on May 16, 2013 at 7:40 PM
Is that Kieth Richards on the left, wearing a dress and talking to Renee Zellweger??
Mimzey on May 16, 2013 at 7:42 PM
Senility and Botox are taking their toll on Nancy-poo.
GarandFan on May 16, 2013 at 7:42 PM
How are the Democrats’ obsessions with gun control and legalizing illegal immigration helping with the “jobs” issue?
farsighted on May 16, 2013 at 7:42 PM
More than that. She implying the GOP is in their way, trying to keep them from attending to what’s important.
Axe on May 16, 2013 at 7:43 PM
Never think it is. Dems and other liberals want guns out of our hands — out of the hands of the law-abiding.
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:44 PM
Hey, you forgot the /sarc tag on THAT….
Sarah Palin: Totally Hot Milf…
Pelosi & Co: Totally Hot Mess…
BlaxPac on May 16, 2013 at 7:44 PM
Everything out of this woman’s mouth is a joke..she really needs to retire.
celt on May 16, 2013 at 7:47 PM
Just pretend to be a troll.
slickwillie2001 on May 16, 2013 at 7:47 PM
“IRS” and “Evasion” in the same sentence, well played Senorita Natzi…
hillsoftx on May 16, 2013 at 7:47 PM
Embarrassing…ugh.
d1carter on May 16, 2013 at 7:48 PM
Never one to be particularly coherent, she is really coming off her hinges. If this goes on much longer she is going to be reduced to babbling, drooling, diaper-wearing idjit.
novaculus on May 16, 2013 at 7:48 PM
Pelosi served as Speaker of the House from January 4, 2007 – January 3, 2011.
Compare the following BLS measurements from the last full month before Pelosi (December 2006) to the last full month of her time as Speaker (December 2010).
Pelosi’s record is one of destroying jobs (with three hikes in the minimum wage, TARP, Porkulus, Cash for Clunkers, OBAMACARE, etc.), not creating jobs.
Pelosi didn’t create jobs, she created over a Million more discouraged workers, and several Million more unemployed.
ITguy on May 16, 2013 at 7:51 PM
At least the House voted to repeal Ocare, today.
229-195.
pambi on May 16, 2013 at 7:51 PM
That requires a lobotomy, lots of pot, dressing in tights, and living in mommy’s basement.
Don’t you understand what it means to be liberal?
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:52 PM
IN CHARGE DURING ‘TEA PARTY’ TARGETING, NOW RUNS IRS OBAMACARE OFFICE
WTH…I don’t even know what to say.
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/05/irs-official-in-charge-during-tea-party-targeting-now-runs-health-care-office/
Zcat on May 16, 2013 at 7:52 PM
This….
Tilly on May 16, 2013 at 7:52 PM
This is the same broad that proclaimed that unemployment benefits would drive the economy to new heights.
JimK on May 16, 2013 at 7:53 PM
How about a Dem senate that didn’t write a
budget for years, POS.
Too busy? Doing what? Oh yes..OB Care and playing with themselves..writing letters to the IRS to take down citizens..preparing lies and deals.
Jobs? I thought we were recovering and OB care
your train wreck is going to create millions of jobs! Now that business will have more ash to hire instead of paying for bene’s.
Who cares about Bengazi, or our ambassador,troops,The corruption/stomping on the constitution, and the hammer and sickle at the IRS-threats, intimidation-supply guns to heinous cartels- Er no!..jobs-(that is rich)..birth control, more birth control gheys, poor immigrants.
I hate this bi$ch!
bazil9 on May 16, 2013 at 7:54 PM
Ugly is the final frontier of civil rights — Ralph Nader
J_Crater on May 16, 2013 at 7:55 PM
When you get down to it, especially in Washington politics, Pelosi is a nothing.
She may get invited to all the hip social events but, in the end, she has to go begging for support.
When Speaker, she could make deals. Now, as a nothing, I imagine what she hears a lot is, “There’s nothing you can do for me. No deal.”
Liam on May 16, 2013 at 7:56 PM
Gotta love him …..
pambi on May 16, 2013 at 7:57 PM
OT: This WSJ article is going to leave a mark…a hope the author is okay?
d1carter on May 16, 2013 at 8:04 PM
Excuse me. Those are not MILFs. They’re MULFs. Each to his own taste.
flataffect on May 16, 2013 at 8:05 PM
Pelosi said that large annual deficits are a NATIONAL SECURITY ISSUE and promised, both in writing and from the House Speaker’s rostrum “no more deficit spending”:
Again, Pelosi promised no more deficit spending.
Pelosi promised that both in writing (above) and live on C-SPAN:
Last budget passed by a Republican House, Republican Senate, and Republican President: FY 2007.
Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid (along with then-Senators Obama, Biden, and Clinton) took majority control of the budgeting process starting with FY 2008.
FY 2007 Deficit: $160.7 Billion
FY 2008 Deficit: $458.6 Billion
FY 2009 Deficit: $1,412.7 Billion
The FY 2009 budget, passed by the Nancy Pelosi House, the Harry Reid Senate, and signed by pResident Obama (that’s right, it wan’t Bush) “featured” an annual deficit that was 8.8 times the size of the annual deficit produced by the Republican majority just two years earlier for FY 2007.
And for Pelosi’s final two Fiscal Years (FY 2010 and the start of FY 2011) NO BUDGET WAS PASSED AT ALL!
But here are the deficit numbers from those Fiscal Years (as reported by the White House OMB):
FY 2010 Deficit: $1,293.5 Billion
FY 2011 Deficit: $1,299.6 Billion
After all those promises of “no more deficit spending”, Pelosi inherited a budget deficit under $161 Billion and created the four largest deficits in U.S. history, averaging $1,116 Billion ($1.116 TRILLION) per year… nearly SEVEN TIMES the size of the deficit she inherited.
So, let’s recap:
Under Pelosi, unemployment more than doubled.
Under Pelosi, discouraged workers more than quadrupled (almost quintupled).
Under Pelosi, deficits were supposed to go to zero (the implication of her promise of “no more deficit spending”), but instead grew to SEVEN TIMES the size.
ITguy on May 16, 2013 at 8:08 PM
Speaking of jobs, today’s number is 360,000 – the seasonally-adjusted number of people filing for initial jobless claims between May 5 and May 11. Oh yeah – had last year’s seasoning been applied, it would have been 365K instead of 360K.
Steve Eggleston on May 16, 2013 at 8:09 PM
Jay Leno last night: “It’s been a rough week for Obama. A lot of critics are comparing President Obama to President Richard Nixon, which is not fair. Nixon’s unemployment rate was only 5 percent.”
http://www.nbc.com/the-tonight-show/video/monologue-part-1/n36932/
J.S.K. on May 16, 2013 at 8:11 PM
Another example of congressional inbreeding.
ThePrez on May 16, 2013 at 8:15 PM
Imagine where this country would be if Obama and Pelosi got everything they wanted. Obamacare would only be a start.
hepcat on May 16, 2013 at 8:15 PM
F***ing harridan. Even our last loser, Walt Minnick (D), said he wasn’t aware of how looney toons this broad was until he actually got to DC.
I wish she and that loser Reid would just retire and go the hell away.
sage0925 on May 16, 2013 at 8:16 PM
Thanks…now I’m gonna have nightmares tonight.
sage0925 on May 16, 2013 at 8:17 PM
Madame,take this advice. Hamlet Act 3, scene 1,121
Mason on May 16, 2013 at 8:25 PM
Number of the Day Part Two – -5.2, the Philly Fed business index for the Mid-Atlantic states in May. Zero Hedge notes it was worse than the lowest forecast (the average was +2.0, which would have been up from April’s +1.3), and that it mirrors the NY Fed’s Empire Manufacturing index for May of -1.4 (versus expectations of +3.5).
Hang on, folks; it’s going to be a bumpy ride.
Steve Eggleston on May 16, 2013 at 8:26 PM
Leno’s rich enough to not care about an IRS audit.
slickwillie2001 on May 16, 2013 at 8:26 PM
Wonder what happened to the chant “Where are the Jobs?”. Doesn’t take long for these republican political hacks to change the subject does it?
HotAirLib on May 16, 2013 at 8:27 PM
What a bunch of mutts in that video…..
crosshugger on May 16, 2013 at 8:27 PM
Pelosi, I think you need to up your meds, your delusional thinking is getting worst.
Beastdogs on May 16, 2013 at 8:29 PM
Yep.
O_o <—you know what goes here.
SparkPlug on May 16, 2013 at 8:31 PM
I’m shocked, SHOCKED!
Steve Eggleston on May 16, 2013 at 8:33 PM
WTF? I thought you got killed in htat plane crash Mohammed Atta.
arnold ziffel on May 16, 2013 at 8:35 PM
I may start watching the NFL now. Speaking of piss-
Eagles OL Evan Mathis Peeing on IRS Building Sign
bazil9 on May 16, 2013 at 8:44 PM
This argument isn’t going to help her much. Conservatives don’t believe a word she says and liberals don’t want jobs.
Cara C on May 16, 2013 at 8:44 PM
distracting everyone with an elven dryad on the team
John Kettlewell on May 16, 2013 at 8:50 PM
Gallup: 74% Of Americans Want IRS Scandal Investigated Further
69% Want Benghazi Follow Up…
http://shar.es/Zs4Wf
Resist We Much on May 16, 2013 at 8:58 PM
Term limits, please.
Jocundus on May 16, 2013 at 9:13 PM
Dear Nancy,
Just watched “Oz.” The witch was prettier than you. And smarter, too. Retire already, will you!
EB
EdmundBurke247 on May 16, 2013 at 9:23 PM
Dear Lord thank you for sparing my family from the deadly tornados that passed closely to my house last night. I know I shouldnt ask for another favor so soon but please just one lightning bolt placed strategically on Nanzi’s head….pretty please?
neyney on May 16, 2013 at 9:28 PM
I bet Nancy thinks she rides a unicorn to work…
jjjdad on May 16, 2013 at 9:38 PM
So where are the 600,000 jobs that she said extending unemployment benefits would create? Oh wait, they cancelled those benefits, didn’t they? That “macroeconomic impact” isn’t all it’s cracked up to be, eh?
stukinIL4now on May 16, 2013 at 10:10 PM
She makes s much sense as that little girl on that commercial who yammers on about “more is better than less because blah, blah ,blah….”
DWoDiego on May 16, 2013 at 10:29 PM
Two words…term limits.
fight like a girl on May 16, 2013 at 10:29 PM
Nancy, Nancy, Nancy! You have to open investigations to find out what’s in them! What a crew with her; it looks like a lineup in a house haunting investigation.
Our ‘government’ has devolved into the scandal of the day club. We could hire a couple of third grade classes and get a better job done for way less. And these people are our ‘leaders’? They can’t even think up a half-assed excuse when caught – Holder, “I don’t know, I don’t know, I don’t know” and at the same time claiming he recused himself because “He had knowledge”.
ghostwalker1 on May 16, 2013 at 10:45 PM
Mental retardation is not a laughing matter.
Myron Falwell on May 17, 2013 at 2:46 AM
What? Is that a poster for The Ugliest Wh0rehouse in DC…?
JohnGalt23 on May 17, 2013 at 3:20 AM
No, they extended the 99-week benefits through the end of the year at the end of last year. The jobs, however, aren’t exactly showing up.
Steve Eggleston on May 17, 2013 at 7:31 AM
Can I send you the bill for the ruined keyboard from the coffee spit out as I read that!!!!
acyl72 on May 17, 2013 at 7:53 AM
Will someone …. ANYONE …. please throw a bucket of water on her already & give her broomstick to the wizard?!
easyt65 on May 17, 2013 at 8:34 AM
In addition to term limits we need age limits. There are far to many pols that seem to be demented or senile.
Dr. Frank Enstine on May 17, 2013 at 8:45 AM
This coming from a woman who a few years ago claimed that under GW Bush the US lost 500 Million Jobs….the country does not even have that many people. Damn what a dumbo!!!
logicman_1998 on May 17, 2013 at 10:01 AM
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