Video: Obama gun-control package not likely to get action in House … or Senate

posted at 9:01 am on January 16, 2013 by Ed Morrissey

With Barack Obama scheduled to unveil his sweeping gun-control package today, he’ll be surrounded by children rather than lawmakers.  Why?  It seems that lawmakers don’t share Obama’s enthusiasm for gun control.  According to Politico, the chances of Obama’s proposal seeing a floor vote approach nil:

Before President Barack Obama can even launch his campaign-style blitz for new gun control measures, there are strong indications that any comprehensive legislation restricting weapons and ammunition won’t even see a vote on the House floor.

Interviews with multiple House Republicans from the Midwest and Northeast reveal almost zero appetite to vote on any sort of sweeping gun bill. In the month after the school shooting in Newtown, Conn., none have brought up the issue with Speaker John Boehner. Without internal pressure from such center-right Republicans, and given his difficulties with restive conservatives in his conference, Boehner would seem to have little political incentive to move on guns.

And that may leave the president with few options besides focusing on background checks and what he can accomplish by executive action.

For all the coverage devoted to how much political capital Obama will spend on the hot-button issue and the details of what Vice President Joe Biden’s task force will come up with, the political realities of Congress have gotten short shrift. Leaders in both chambers have stalled on the issue, using the Biden commission as cover to not weigh in definitively. But even if Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid were to attempt to muscle through a bill — no sure thing given his own ties to the National Rifle Association and the many red-state Senate Democrats up for reelection next year — there is only the most minimal support among rank-and-file House Republicans for gun control.

Well, that’s OK.  Obama’s Democrats control the upper chamber and can force a vote on the proposal, right?  Er … not so fast, says CNN’s Dana Bash (via Mediaite):

CNN’s Dana Bash reported on Tuesday that the President Barack Obama may be forced to use executive orders to pass new restrictions on gun and ammunition ownership because he lacks support for new laws in the Democratic-controlled Senate. The political environment in the upcoming midterm elections may not be as favorable to Democrats as 2012 was, and even Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) is expressing his reservations about proceeding with new gun control measures hastily….

CNN notes that Senate Democrats facing reelection in 2014 have recently become aware of their own vulnerability. A look at the electoral landscape heading into the 2014 midterms makes it clear why Senate Democrats would be trepidatious about passing new gun control measures.

21 Democratic seats, won in the 2008 pro-Democratic wave election, are up next year. Several Democrats have opted to retire or remain undecided as to whether they will run again in 2014. Six Democratic senators currently represent states which Mitt Romney carried when the national electorate was heavily Democratic. Midterm election years feature a smaller turnout than presidential elections, and the partisan makeup of the total electorate is usually more balanced. …

An executive order by the president will give Democrats time and cover necessary to codify those orders into laws, but the charge that Congress’ priorities – and the priorities of Washington Democrats in general – are not those of average voters may still gain traction as the next election cycle heats up. Combined with the headwinds the president’s party historically faces in midterm election cycles, Democrats in Congress have much to fear from hastily passed gun control legislation.

Don’t forget that normal rules apply on this proposal in the Senate.  It’s not a budget package, for which cloture doesn’t apply.  It will need 60 votes to even get to a floor vote, and right now it’s not clear that it can get a majority.  Six Democrats have to face red-state voters in 2014, and Reid can only afford to lose three for a simple majority.  Small wonder House Republicans are insisting that the Senate has to act first before the House will consider the proposal; it puts all of the political risk on Democrats, and practically ensures that the issue won’t come to Republicans at all.

The more clear this becomes, the more Democrats will shy away from it. They don’t need the added encumbrance in the midterms of having demanded gun control and ending up on the fringe of the argument, thanks to bipartisan opposition stalemating the push.


Related Posts:

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Guess Obama’s vision for America isn’t even playing well on his home turf these days…

Coulda saved a lot of trouble had folks listened back in 2008.

coldwarrior on January 16, 2013 at 9:03 AM

What about the EO’s Obastard will throw out there? Will Boehner deny funding to implement?

Mr. Arrogant on January 16, 2013 at 9:03 AM

Sweet! Or whatever sesqui said about it earlier.

Still we must ask the question: Why are demorats child-hating racists?

Bishop on January 16, 2013 at 9:05 AM

Well, that’s OK.

It’s still okay.

By the time the 0bama sycophant media is done, it will be the fault of the evil NRA, congressional republicans and…Bush.

The low information sponges who revere 0bama will swallow it.

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 9:05 AM

No real actions are required because he is providing enough red meat rhetoric for his communist base and they will be fully satisfied with it…

mnjg on January 16, 2013 at 9:10 AM

Hmmmmm……

Obama gun-control push poses 2014 challenge for House Democrats
01/16/13 05:00 AM ET
*********************

President Obama’s decision to make gun control a priority could complicate the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s (DCCC) recruiting efforts for the 2014 midterm elections.

While many gun-control proposals being discussed by Democrats have fairly broad support at this point, several of the districts they need to pick up to win House control are more rural and pro-gun than the nation as a whole, mostly because of redistricting.
(More…)
=========

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/277395-gun-control-push-poses-14-challenge-for-house-dems

canopfor on January 16, 2013 at 9:15 AM

You would think Harry Reid would be eager to disarm people. It makes his child raping easier.

Flange on January 16, 2013 at 9:15 AM

Awesome,2014 could be a Political,ahem,K*ll-Zone!
(sarc)

canopfor on January 16, 2013 at 9:17 AM

It’s a shame that racist rednecks are going to torpedo meaningful assault weapons control.

The 2nd amendment is not a license to own nuclear missiles with big clips, no matter what the NRA fanatics say.

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM

So, the democrats are once again not willing to put their cushy jobs on the line to stand for their principles? I am shocked.

Night Owl on January 16, 2013 at 9:19 AM

oh well. it only makes victory sweeter.

sesquipedalian on January 16, 2013 at 8:12 AM

“Failure in the House and Senate. Who cares? This is what victory looks like! This is what victory looks like! This is what victory looks like!”

– sesquipedalian

Resist We Much on January 16, 2013 at 9:19 AM

Harry won’t bring gun control up for a vote in the Senate using the excuse it has no chance of passing that evil, Tea Party influenced Republican House. And of course, he doesn’t want his fellow Democrats in the Senate to go on record for their gun control vote. It might not go well politically if they do.

iamsaved on January 16, 2013 at 9:19 AM

Never underestimate the power of a dictator.

Pork-Chop on January 16, 2013 at 9:20 AM

It’s a shame that racist rednecks are going to torpedo meaningful assault weapons control.

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM

Wow, bigotry on display this morning.

Tell me, which one of these guns was banned under the AWB:

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/12/hit-me-with-your-best-shot-progs-which.html

By the way, if we reinstate the AWB, do you also want to return to the HIGHER homicide and overall violent crime rate?

Resist We Much on January 16, 2013 at 9:21 AM

It’s a shame that racist rednecks are going to torpedo meaningful assault weapons control. The 2nd amendment is not a license to own nuclear missiles with big clips, no matter what the NRA fanatics say. CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM

In case you’re joking: That’s a funny satire of the Left!

In case you’re not: It’s a shame that child molesters are allowed to post on HA.

Akzed on January 16, 2013 at 9:21 AM

It’s a shame that racist rednecks are going to torpedo meaningful assault weapons control.

The 2nd amendment is not a license to own nuclear missiles with big clips, no matter what the NRA fanatics say.

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM

Are you referring to the racist democrat rednecks in the Senate who are up for election in 2014, led by Harry Reid?

Night Owl on January 16, 2013 at 9:21 AM

Never underestimate the power of a dictator.

Pork-Chop on January 16, 2013 at 9:20 AM

Sounds like a rational explanation for the Second Amendment.

coldwarrior on January 16, 2013 at 9:23 AM

This can totally be a reconciliation bill, just like healthcare!

NickelAndDime on January 16, 2013 at 9:23 AM

canopfor on January 16, 2013 at 9:15 AM

Joe Manchin

Campaigned against 0bamacare, with a rifle, and got right into line when he took office.

The ignorant socialist sponge voters have the attention span of a gnat.

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 9:23 AM

It’s a shame that racist rednecks are going to torpedo meaningful assault weapons control.

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM

Isn’t is ironic that the HOMICIDE RATE IS AT THE LOWEST IT HAS BEEN SINCE THE 1960s (and maybe since 1909 according to other records like the Census and state databases) and 49 states now have CCW laws enabling citizens to carry the means to protect themselves (soon all 50 will given Illinois’ law has been held unconstitutional by the 7th Circuit Court of Appeals) and, yet, the Assault Weapons Ban a/k/a The Prohibition On Certain Guns With Cosmetic Changes That Make Them Look Skeery And Are Painted Skeery (And Racist!) Black Act EXPIRED NINE YEARS AGO?

Remember the “holocaust” that Dianne Feinstein predicted would occur if the expiration of the AWB was allowed to happen?

Yeah, me neither.

Resist We Much on January 16, 2013 at 9:24 AM

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM

Dang piggy, that was some good bait.

You caught some who should have known better.

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 9:26 AM

Obama gun-control package not likely to get action in House … or Senate

That is not the point Obama&Co makes right now, with this move.

They are preparing for the next horrendous ‘mass shooting’.

Next “Breaking News”, within 5 seconds all will be screaming for Obama’s leadership on Gun Control. And it won’t be JUST assault weapons, high capacity magazines ban

Sir Napsalot on January 16, 2013 at 9:28 AM

Are you referring to the racist democrat rednecks in the Senate who are up for election in 2014, led by Harry Reid?

Night Owl on January 16, 2013 at 9:21 AM

Indeed I am. It really wouldn’t surprise me if Harry Reid and his cohorts start turning up at Congress wearing white sheets. Historically, the Democrats are the party of the Klan.

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:29 AM

Those senators up for reelection also know that Obamacare kicks in full bore in 2014.The public is going to have a collective heart attack and they know it.

docflash on January 16, 2013 at 9:29 AM

Sir Napsalot on January 16, 2013 at 9:28 AM

Ed’s faulty thinking is still depending on the broken political system to FIX things.

“Imperial president”, any one?

Sir Napsalot on January 16, 2013 at 9:31 AM

The public is going to have a collective heart attack and they know it.

docflash on January 16, 2013 at 9:29 AM

Nope, just promise more Skittles to the likes of “0bama phone woman” and sail to reelection.

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 9:31 AM

Bottom line is that Obama is ruling like the dictator that he is, Congress like the dishonest scumbags that they are and 50% of the American people are asleep.

ORconservative on January 16, 2013 at 9:32 AM

Seems to me that the preponderance of homicides committed with a firearm occur in those bastions of liberalism, our inner cities. Sure, Sandy Hook took place in small town America and that’s part of the reason the state run propaganda machines have used it to fuel their hysteria over gun control. They ignore the 500 homicides in Chicago committed by mostly black assailants against black victims.

Maybe these liberals should leave the rest of the country alone where firearm violence is mostly limited to hunting and other accidental shootings and concentrate on their entitlement strongholds which are the result of their liberal social programs. But then again, that’s not in a liberal’s nature. If they don’t agree with something then no one can agree on it and it must be prohibitied.

iamsaved on January 16, 2013 at 9:34 AM

CNN’s Dana Bash reported on Tuesday that the President Barack Obama may be forced to use executive orders to pass new restrictions on gun and ammunition ownership because he lacks support for new laws in the Democratic-controlled Senate.

Wait, what? If Congress doesn’t give the president the power to do something by law, he can just usurp the power by executive order? This is exactly why the Second Amendment is needed.

rbj on January 16, 2013 at 9:38 AM

NY passes a new gun law yet when a gun crime comes to court with all the NY liberal judges the bad guy gets off easy unless the victim dies. They are not getting our guns

HAGGS99 on January 16, 2013 at 9:49 AM

This post from Godlike producitos as of 9/30/12 shows just how dictatorial ozero truly is.
By now he’s got to be pushing 1,000 including the 19 more for gun control.

Obama issues 923 executive orders! Prove me wrong!

EXECUTIVE ORDERS ISSUED……

Teddy Roosevelt: 3

Others Prior To FDR: NONE

FDR: 11 in 16 years

Truman: 5 in 7 years

Ike: 2 in 8 years

JFK: 4 in 3 years

LBJ: 4 in 5 years

Nixon: 1 in 6 years

Ford: 3 in 2 years

Carter: 3 in 4 years

Reagan: 5 in 8 years

Bush #1 3 in 4 years

Clinton: 15 in 8 years

Bush #2 62 in 8 years

Obama: 923 in 3½ years!

If you don’t get the implications you’re not paying attention. How many warnings do you need?

Obama issues 923 executive orders! Prove me wrong!

EXECUTIVE ORDERS ISSUED……

Teddy Roosevelt: 3

Others Prior To FDR: NONE

FDR: 11 in 16 years

Truman: 5 in 7 years

Ike: 2 in 8 years

JFK: 4 in 3 years

LBJ: 4 in 5 years

Nixon: 1 in 6 years

Ford: 3 in 2 years

Carter: 3 in 4 years

Reagan: 5 in 8 years

Bush #1 3 in 4 years

Clinton: 15 in 8 years

Bush #2 62 in 8 years

Obama: 923 in 3½ years!

If you don’t get the implications you’re not paying attention. How many warnings do you need?

http://www.godlikeproductions.com/forum1/message2004814/pg1

rodguy911 on January 16, 2013 at 9:56 AM

Never underestimate the power of a dictator.

Pork-Chop on January 16, 2013 at 9:20 AM

Obama ain’t no dictator. He just wants this to blow over so he can slink away from the pressure and go play a couple rounds of golf and give cotton candy interviews. Right now he’s in the cold, demanding grip of the hysterical institutionalized Left, and they got him squirming.

I kinda like watchin’ him founder.

RepubChica on January 16, 2013 at 9:57 AM

Nope, just promise more Skittles to the likes of “0bama phone woman” and sail to reelection.

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 9:31 AM

Good News! ObamaPhone Lady Will Not Be Voting For Obama For President In 2016! Nosireebob!

Resist We Much on January 16, 2013 at 9:57 AM

rodguy911 on January 16, 2013 at 9:56 AM

138 executive orders and counting for the usurper-in-chief

Snopes is tour friend:

http://www.snopes.com/politics/obama/executiveorders.asp

can_con on January 16, 2013 at 10:16 AM

Your friend….damn iphone

can_con on January 16, 2013 at 10:19 AM

The president can not subvert the constitution via E/O.

TX-96 on January 16, 2013 at 10:21 AM

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 9:26 AM

Hey, gnat-ear
Just an FYI: I actually applied for a CHL on Monday.
Aren’t I a good little twerp.
*Hint-the answer is YES. LoL*

annoyinglittletwerp on January 16, 2013 at 10:21 AM

Even dinghy Harry knows that the senate dems won’t support gun control legislation. This is now a dead issue. Obama will declare his meaningless EOs, and its over. His base will be satisfied.

tommy71 on January 16, 2013 at 10:22 AM

Hey, gnat-ear

annoyinglittletwerp on January 16, 2013 at 10:21 AM

Gnat ear?

My daughter can come up with something better than that.

Oh, and good for you. Had the class?

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 10:24 AM

cozmo on January 16, 2013 at 10:24 AM

Not yet. I though I had to get fingerprinted first. I get that done on Monday.

annoyinglittletwerp on January 16, 2013 at 10:29 AM

Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) is a squish of the worst kind. She’s up for re-election in 2014 and there is no way she will vote for any sort of gun-control, for fear of being handed over to Troy Landry and used as gator bait.

cane_loader on January 16, 2013 at 10:33 AM

Not yet. I though I had to get fingerprinted first. I get that done on Monday.

annoyinglittletwerp on January 16, 2013 at 10:29 AM

Hey, I’m really sorry about your Mom! Long-distance *hug* for you. Stay safe in Chicago, and have fun with your T-shirt….

cane_loader on January 16, 2013 at 10:35 AM

It’s deplorable Obama would use children as props for his speech today. What a shameful, disgusting political maneuver to try and convince people to agree with him on gun control. I also have to question what kind of parents would allow their kids to be used in such a manner.

GrannySunni on January 16, 2013 at 10:41 AM

Video: Obama gun-control package not likely to get action in House … or Senate

…Mortician and Moaner have surprised us before!

KOOLAID2 on January 16, 2013 at 10:57 AM

I also have to question what kind of parents would allow their kids to be used in such a manner.

GrannySunni on January 16, 2013 at 10:41 AM

Same kind that would have them sing a song about Obama.

LoganSix on January 16, 2013 at 10:59 AM

Couldn’t he find any teachers to stand with him? You know like the dead hero teachers who threw their unarmed, defenseless bodies in front of their students? Why aren’t there any teachers there applauding the criminalizing of more law abiding citizens?

Lily on January 16, 2013 at 11:02 AM

Historically, the Democrats are the party of the Klan.

CorporatePiggy on January 16, 2013 at 9:29 AM

So they prefer banning ropes?

Wait, what? If Congress doesn’t give the president the power to do something by law, he can just usurp the power by executive order? This is exactly why the Second Amendment is needed.

rbj on January 16, 2013 at 9:38 AM

Where have you been? How about the illegals made “legal” by executive order? How about the Internet security bill? How about attack on Libya supposedly authorized by the UN?

katablog.com on January 16, 2013 at 11:16 AM

Obama hates the black children.

Schadenfreude on January 16, 2013 at 12:55 PM