Romney up 92K in OH early voting? Update: Gannett pulls link; Update: EV up 14% in 2008 McCain counties, down in Obama counties; Update: Gannett “regrets the error”

posted at 9:21 am on November 6, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Update: The data is still up at the Gannett site, but they’ve pulled the link from the front page.  Justin Higgins says that OH won’t release EV data separately:

Original post follows, but if this turns out to be wrong, Gannett may have some explaining to do about why they put it up on their website’s front page.

Update II: Via MKH, Cook Report’s Dave Wasserman crunched the numbers and figures the GOP has achieved parity in Ohio early voting:

Update III: Since I owe you some good news on this topic, here’s Josh Kraushaar, via John Nolte:

That’s a huge enthusiasm advantage.

Update IV: Gannett finally issued a retraction and an apology:

A Cincinnati.com front-page link to a chart with dummy data, created as a design template for election results, was inadvertently posted early Tuesday morning.

It purported to show early voting totals in Ohio counties. However, no votes have been counted yet – by law counting doesn’t start until the polls close.

Cincinnati.com regrets the error.

======================

So says Gannett’s Cincinnati.com, which has the data from the state government posted at its site this morning. I put the question mark on the data because I don’t see anything up yet at the Ohio Secretary of State’s website, but occasionally the media will get updates prior to the website. According to the data, Mitt Romney already has 697,143 votes before the polls opened a couple of hours ago, while Barack Obama only has 605,546, a difference of almost 92,000 votes.  The data is time-stamped at 2:03 ET this morning, and the link on the front page of the site reads, “Early voters: How Ohio has voted.”

A few counties have not yet reported any early-voting results, but one county in particular looks huge.  Cuyahoga, which includes Cleveland, should be a Democratic stronghold, and perhaps the one area where Democratic early-voting efforts should have produced their biggest lead.  Instead, Romney has a lead of about 14,000 votes already, 127,570 to 113,373.  In Hamilton County, where Cincinnati itself is located, Romney leads by over 5,000, 29,969 to 24,808.  A quick scan of the data shows Romney leading in every county with more than 25,000 EVs.

This may be a very big deal, if these numbers are correct.  Obama had a big lead in EVs before Election Day in 2008, which allowed him to withstand the GOP’s better turnout on the day itself.  Frankly, Team Romney might have been thrilled to be trailing by 92K at this juncture.  To be ahead in early voting portends a big Republican turnout in the Buckeye State, and perhaps an early night for all of us.  We’ll see, but this is the first indication of unforeseen Romney strength in this election.


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“Stay Calm” ~ Yes, you will be arrested if you attempt to vote twice.

Rovin on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

The GOP has improved its ground game in OH. Could the uptick in GOP early votes just be a shift from people who would have otherwise voted on election day?

InDubly on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 AM

That’s certainly possible, but the GOP still tends to win the Election Day vote pretty handily. If Obama is trailing in O-I-H-O going into this morning, he’s finished.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Hope Dick Morris is right this time.He said the Reps would take the Senate in ’10, didn’t happen.Just hope he nails it this time.

jeffinsjvca on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Rumor is that Navy SEALs from @TrueTheVote are about to confront the Black Panthers at the Philadelphia polling location.

donkichi on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 AM

*raises eye brows*

Need a link for the carnage.

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 AM

Watch the first battle scene from “300″ to get the same effect.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

When Obama called the Seals, Osama bin Laden died.
When the Seals called Obama, the Seals died.

Thank you for standing up for America, gentlemen.

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 AM

*HUGS KING* Good call on the meme. FYI, got banned. LOL!

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Remember,

TROLLCOTT!

either orr on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Did Gannett pull the data from the front page because they are wrong or because it is inappropriate to post the data at this time?

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 AM

Good Grief!!

The numbers are WRONG and don’t match what the Ohio SOS has.

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 AM

It may be bad data, but I would more likely believe the newspaper published the correct data inadvertently and removed it because they are not permitted to release it before the polls close than to believe someone on twitter named Alla Ahkbar! has the inside scoop on Gannett.

Ted Torgerson on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

I don’t hear no fat lady singing!

Till I do, I assume nothing!

pilamaye on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

It’s going to be one laugh after another today with faulty data, crappy analysis from politically ignorant posters, and more than a little spin going on here.

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 AM

Must be a helluva reflection from your monitor.

M240H on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

Looked like a partial count on the Cincinnati page, i.e., 1.3mm early votes cast while Columbus dispatch was reporting over 1.7mm early votes cast.

FerdtheMoonCat on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

InN NW, MS, the line was incredible as the polls opened at 7 Central.

Today is going to be great!

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

If this happens, I don’t see it ending well for the New Black Panthers.

tgharris on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 AM

If the BPP’s are pro-gay marriage they’re going to enjoy it.

Archivarix on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

And BTW folks….no matter what any numbers released show: VOTE!!!

tgharris on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

stukinIL4now on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 AM

Dewey Wins!

Kagan on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

I pray this is right. With the help of sleeping pills, I slept through the night, but I said my prayers before going to bed. Dear Lord, let us be rid of this imposter, this fraud, who pretends to be President of the greatest nation on earth.

COgirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

New Black Panther thugs reportedly back at the polls in Philly; Update: Confirmed
http://twitchy.com/2012/11/06/new-black-panther-thugs-reportedly-back-at-the-polls-in-philly/

In Philadelphia, where GOP poll inspectors have reportedly been tossed out of polling locations in up to two dozen wards, reports are coming in of a New Black Panther presence in the 14th ward.

GOP inspectors reportedly kicked out of multiple Philadelphia polling places
http://twitchy.com/2012/11/06/gop-inspectors-reportedly-kicked-out-of-multiple-philadelphia-polling-places/

Reports are coming in that Republican poll inspectors have been ejected from as many as 25 polling locations in Philadelphia. Are the dirty tricks starting already?

Galt2009 on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

I live in one of the most liberal “gay friendly” districts in the state. In 2008 at 6:30 the line was around the block almost twice. Today I was 9th/10th person in line. Now it was sprinkling but still. When I left the line was a lot longer but not like it was in 2008 and we have the gay marriage amendment to vote for.

FWIW and all that.

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

My west coast polling place opens at 7:00 a.m. I’m voting against Starlite Brown’s tax increase proposals and for Romney.

God bless everyone out there whose R&R vote actually matters. My boss gave me the day off tomorrow. I’m going to need it.

Let the parades begin!! (Straight up or on the rocks, ma’am?)

texacalirose on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

No, take the coffee along.:-)

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 AM

Ha ha! Made me choke on mine. Good retort. I agree. Stand in line with your coffee, Norky.

freedomfirst on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

Watch the first battle scene from “300″ to get the same effect.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

LOL I love “300″. :) LTNS! Up early to watch the carnage at HA. I see the trolls are already pulling hair out. This is going to be an interesting night.

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

woo hoo!

this is too good to check, I’ll just assume accuracy

Slade73 on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

Not sure how reliable these numbers are. Of course this is purely anecdotal, but I was pleased to hear a few of my Dem friends in Ohio did indeed vote early and they voted Romney/Ryan. First time they’ve voted for a Republican in their lives.

GOPRanknFile on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

I wish you would stop using “EV” for “early votes”.

EV = Electoral Votes.

Abby Adams on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

Anyone else not gonna miss jamegumb this time tomorrow when we’re discussing President-elect Romney?

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 AM

He will still be posting made up stuff.

cozmo on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 AM

Is Trollcot still in effect?

freedomfirst on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 AM

The GOP has improved its ground game in OH. Could the uptick in GOP early votes just be a shift from people who would have otherwise voted on election day?

InDubly on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 AM

The GOP plan in early voting states was to get the intermittent voters who might not show up on election day to go early vote. Then the core “walk over broken class” GOP voters would be contacted to show up on election day, if they hadn’t already voted.

The Dems did it the other way, got the faithful Dems to eraly vote, and now have to pick up the unenthusiastic intermittent voters today. (Or they could just use vote fraud to vote in the intermittents’ names.)

Wethal on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 AM

Must be a helluva reflection from your monitor.

M240H on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

Go easy on the boy, he’s decided to go pantless today because of all the loads he will be dropping as the results roll in.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 AM

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

I know. I joined the Seals’ Facebook Page. I made sure the Bride updated her Voter’s Registration Card and she was standing in line with me this morning at the poll! She hasn’t voted in years.

I feel great today!!!

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 9:41 AM

Chicago Source Tells Author Brad Thor: Obama Campaign Planning to Proclaim Early Victory to ‘Demoralize Romney Supporters’
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/chicago-source-tells-author-brad-thor-obama-campaign-planning-to-proclaim-early-victory-to-demoralize-romney-supporters/

New York Times best-selling author Brad Thor, based in Chicago, tells TheBlaze that the Obama campaign may be planning to preemptively announce victory in the presidential election based on early voting numbers in an attempt to “demoralize Mitt Romney supporters.”

Galt2009 on November 6, 2012 at 9:41 AM

Watch the first battle scene from “300″ to get the same effect.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Nope, baby seal hunt. With SEALs being the hunters this time.

cozmo on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Please please PLEASE let these results in OIHO be true!!!!!!!

I just got back from voting in Omaha. It was very satisfying to not only vote for R&R, but also to vote against that carpetbagging lowlife Bob Kerrey. Deb Fischer for senate!

Benedict Nelson on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Also, Franklin County (Columbus) has Romney up 76,429 to 72,796

GrayDog on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Hyperventilating over each bit of “news”…
It is going to be a lonnnnng night.

;-)

albill on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

He will still be posting made up stuff.

cozmo on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 AM

Don’t most libs?

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Agree Abby

Confusion

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 AM

TROLLCOTT, please.

TXUS on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

It would be nice if this is at least something marginally close to true. I’m not seeing Romney pulling this out without both Virginia and Ohio, although there are countless scenarios out there, including one or two that get him to 270 without either.

The numbers are WRONG and don’t match what the Ohio SOS has.

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

What SoS numbers would those be, exactly?

The Schaef on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Remember,

TROLLCOTT!

either orr on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Yep, now he is ranting at data.

cozmo on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

Gannett may have some explaining to do about why they put it up on their website’s front page.

Light a fire under Democrat’s butts to get them to the polls?

ButterflyDragon on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

IMHO, NO WAY the R vote will be surpressed. Think about the state of the union. The economy, Bengazi, Obamacare. These people have been waiting 4 long years to end this administration and nothing will stop them or make them hesitate to vote RR today!

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

But if they wake up today and see Romney way ahead in EV, they might just go back to sleep for another hour, confident their vote isn’t needed. Multiply by 100,000. To Obama, any vote suppressed is a vote gained.

tdarrington on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Go Mitt!

Slade73 on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

I just got back from voting in Omaha. It was very satisfying to not only vote for R&R, but also to vote against that carpetbagging lowlife Bob Kerrey. Deb Fischer for senate!

Benedict Nelson on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

How were the lines? I haven’t voted yet…

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Nate Silver predicts 315-223 and a 92% chance of Obama winning. I guess there’s no point in even going to vote today.

(I’M JUST KIDDING!!! GET OUT THERE AND PROVE HIM WRONG.)

aunursa on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 AM

If it happens it will be all over the news as evidence of a “race war”. :-<

donkichi on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

freedomfirst on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 AM

Yup.

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Any indication yet that this was a hard count inadvertently posted?? Or just a practice run with pretend numbers? (And please, I am not interested in Gumby,damnit)

MississippiMom on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

It would be nice if this is at least something marginally close to true. I’m not seeing Romney pulling this out without both Virginia and Ohio, although there are countless scenarios out there, including one or two that get him to 270 without either.

The numbers are WRONG and don’t match what the Ohio SOS has.

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

What SoS numbers would those be, exactly?

The Schaef on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

TROLLCOTT

screwauger on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Bush/McCain counties- (+)14% increase
Bush/Obama counties- (+).66% increase, stagnant
Kerry/Obama Counties- (-)4% decrease

Glenn Jericho on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 AM

Whooooo-Ah!

petefrt on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Re: the update- Was it true, but a mistaken post or what? I’m more than a little scattered today.

BettyRuth on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 AM

Look at gumby’s link and my post above. They were looking at the changes in the number of EV ballots cast by county according to how each county voted in the past 2 Presidential elections. If Ohio is breaking like the rest of the data we are seeing, Romney should actually have more than a 92,000 lead from EV. But the table just gives totals, not a breakdown of R v. D as it stands.

Glenn Jericho on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Oh Please let this be accurate. Besides a Romney victory overall, I am wishing to see egg all over the faces of all these smug, Democrat pundits that have condescendingly insisted that Ohio was ALL Obama, and that PA was a pipedream joke.

BettyRuth on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 AM

My 85 year old mother-in-law, a “birthright Democrat” who’d never voted before, just went and voted for Romney in Philadelphia. She was so nervous because she didn’t know how to vote, but she was determined to cast her vote. Go Mom!!

Trafalgar on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

KJ is a great American.

SparkPlug on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

Hope Dick Morris is right this time.He said the Reps would take the Senate in ’10, didn’t happen.Just hope he nails it this time.

jeffinsjvca on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Well, he has the benefit of George Will and Michael Barone backing him up on this one. Neither of those men has a reputation for giving inflated electoral predictions…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

What SoS numbers would those be, exactly?

The Schaef on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

The ones that he refused to look at, all the while humping inflated EV numbers.

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

Don’t most libs?

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

This one especially.

Where you been girl?

cozmo on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

How were the lines? I haven’t voted yet…

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

There weren’t a lot of people at my polling place (in midtown Omaha). But I’m not surprised since it is still fairly early. I’d expect it will get a lot busier in a couple of hours, and stay busy until closing time.

Benedict Nelson on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

I can’t vote that pantload Gerry Connoly out of office. VA’s 11th congressional looks very “Gerry”mandered. I’m now in the more rural 1st CD.

freedomfirst on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 AM

I’ve done my part to oust the Moron family (for what that is worth) But anybody in the 11th needs to know that Connolly actually said his challenger’s 25-years in the military didn’t qualify him to represent the district. That he didn’t put the “sweat equity” into the district to be elected. You all have a chance to get rid of that rat-faced coward- please do it!

Happy Nomad on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

InN NW, MS, the line was incredible as the polls opened at 7 Central.

Today is going to be great!

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 AM

The vets have made their appearance at my polling place. Just got a phone pic from my buddy Pat, must be 30 dudes who just walked up wearing their various WestPac jackets, VFW and Legion paraphernalia. One guy has a patch on his shoulder which says “Peace Through Strength”….I wonder how he plans on voting.

Dog Eater is done, veterans are keeping Benghazi front and center as they vote.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

Dont know why, but im starting to get worried about Virginia. Virginia is as much a must as Ohio is.

bucsox79 on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

What SoS numbers would those be, exactly?

The Schaef on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdFJPNUt4U3F5MkxteTBoS29fSGN1S0E&toomany=true#gid=0

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

I was checking on a polling place in a very blue area of Orlando. No wait to vote.
Wife has been in line for 90 minutes in our red precinct.

Ronnie on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

is this what a first tingle is like?

tomg51 on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

“Stay Calm” ~ Yes, you will be arrested if you attempt to vote twice.

Rovin on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

where? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SyBfAqcSDmY

Dr. Demento on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

TROLLCOTT, please.

TXUS on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 AM

:)

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

Voted 20 mins ago–big turnout for a small central NJ town. Longest wait I’ve ever encountered at the polls. FYI, the sign ratio for Romney/Ryan is about 15 to 1 around these here parts. Purely anecdotal, but still…

RepubChica on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 AM

Wouldnt it be something if NY went red because of obummers EPIC FAIL on handling Sandy? I know its a pipe dream but its a given that, once in that booth alone, some NYorkers, WILL pull that handle for Mitt because of that.

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

I’d like a republican/conservative landslide as an early christmas present.

workingclass artist on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

SparkPlug on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

Thank you, but nope. Just an American. My late Daddy, who ran into Hell and survived on D-Day, was a great American.

This is going to be a Chick-Fil-A kind of day!

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

Benedict Nelson on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

I vote at the Unitarian Church on 30th & Harney, guess I’ll mosey down in a few…

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

If reps reached parity then 92k lead is indys breaking

jp on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

There’s only one number I really want to see tonight… 51.

51 percent of the EVs for Romney/Ryan.

51 Republicans in the Senate.

Anything higher than that will be gravy.

God, hear my prayer.

either orr on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

Hope Dick Morris is right this time.He said the Reps would take the Senate in ’10, didn’t happen.Just hope he nails it this time.

jeffinsjvca on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

He was actually asked about this schtick once. His answer boiled down to, “I make outlandishly bullish predictions, because then people will fight for that instead of settling for more conservative predictions.” In other words, he was predicting an R flip when other folks were expecting R+4 or R+5. And we wound up with R+6.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

This one especially.

Where you been girl?

cozmo on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

College… been studying my bum off. Ask KingJester, I am never on the computer unless it is morning. I am almost halfway done, getting 2 AAS this next semester and going on for a double BS. So, I take no time off, which includes school in summer.

upinak on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

Many people simply don’t realize the sheer terror that people feel at the prospect of a second term for O.

It is driving turnout higher.

KirknBurker on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 AM

The numbers are wrong.

The odds of Romney having a lead in Cuyahoga is clinically insane.

will someone just ban Gumby already? WTF is the holdup?

budfox on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 AM

Please Lord!

AnnaS on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 AM

In 2008, 67% of the electorate voted. In 2000, 68% of the electorate votes and is the highest participation in US history. If the turnout models are correct, if we pass 70%, this is bad news for the incumbent. I have 200+ years of election history to prove my point.

jjnco73 on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 AM

Michael Barone backing him up on this one. Neither of those men has a reputation for giving inflated electoral predictions…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

Barone was on local talk radio this morning. He’s sticking with Romney with somewhere in the neighborhood of 280-300 EVs.

Happy Nomad on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

I’d like a republican/conservative landslide as an early christmas present holiday gift.

workingclass artist on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 AM

FIFY. We don’t want to offend any libs trolling on here.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

Remain calm.

And get your arse out and VOTE!!!

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 AM

Already did in Ohio near Akron. Showed up at 6:15 and waited over an hour in near freezing temps with my fiance to vote.

I wish you would stop using “EV” for “early votes”.

EV = Electoral Votes.

Abby Adams on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 AM

Agreed, annoys the heck out of me.

jarodea on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

Reports are coming in that Republican poll inspectors have been ejected from as many as 25 polling locations in Philadelphia. Are the dirty tricks starting already?
Galt2009 on November 6, 2012 at 9:39

By the time they get a court order letting them back in, a lot of votes will have been registered on machines, and the names of people who nobody has seen in the precinct (some because they’re dead), will have been checked off the voting lists as “voted.”

Wethal on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

Wouldnt it be something if NY went red because of obummers EPIC FAIL on handling Sandy? I know its a pipe dream but its a given that, once in that booth alone, some NYorkers, WILL pull that handle for Mitt because of that.

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 AM

I wish!!! Seriously, though, it might at least make NY a lot closer than expected, and it might even swing Joyzee our way (or maybe not). If NY were to go red for any reason, we would be bordering on Reagan vs Mondale territory.

Benedict Nelson on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

Original post follows, but if this turns out to be wrong, Gannett may have some explaining to do about why they put it up on their website’s front page at all.

Fixed it for you, Ed.

I was about to ask how Gannett would know this. I suppose Ohio takes a tally after each day of voting to to guard against the possibility of losing a month’s worth of data somehow or tampering.

Otherwise I can’t imagine why the counts would be made before the close of the polls today.

The best guess here is someone leaked the information to Gannett. If so, all the shame is on Gannett for reporting it prior to the polls closing.

Dusty on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

But if they wake up today and see Romney way ahead in EV, they might just go back to sleep for another hour, confident their vote isn’t needed. Multiply by 100,000. To Obama, any vote suppressed is a vote gained.

tdarrington on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 AM

Have more faith in your fellow conservative Americans! We are not that easily fooled! :)

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

Hope Dick Morris is right this time.He said the Reps would take the Senate in ’10, didn’t happen.Just hope he nails it this time.

jeffinsjvca on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 AM

Didn’t he predict a McCain win?

neuquenguy on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 AM

+1 for GGR reference

onetrickpony on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 AM

OT but important:

According to Twitchy, Twitter feeds are reporting that GOP inspectors are being physically removed from Philly polling places and that one GOP inspector was physically assaulted. Romney’s lawyers supposedly in court as we speak to get an injunction. Also, Black Panthers are back in Philly for round 2 of suppression of the GOP vote. Fox News, I understand, picked up the story. And if all that’s not enough voter suppression to make you feel as if you’re in Leningrad, it’s being estimated that up to 70% of our military personnel who requested a ballot have not received one.

Spread the word, people. And pray. Pray hard.

idalily on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 AM

Hubris.

Let’s wait until the polls close in Ohio.

This is my inner Eeyore speaking.

Old Fritz on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 AM

The numbers are wrong.

The odds of Romney having a lead in Cuyahoga is clinically insane.

budfox on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 AM

And wanting to give the rat-eared wonder an unfettered four years more is sane and rational? I predict an atomic variation of the Bradley Effect in places like Cuyahoga County. People will say they support Obama but will vote for Romney. And it isn’t about race, it is about getting rid of the socialist.

Happy Nomad on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 AM

But anybody in the 11th needs to know that Connolly actually said his challenger’s 25-years in the military didn’t qualify him to represent the district. That he didn’t put the “sweat equity” into the district to be elected. You all have a chance to get rid of that rat-faced coward- please do it!

Happy Nomad on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 AM

Folks, if you’re in Fairfax or part of Prince William County that’s in the 11th CD vote for Perkins immediately. I’ve heard this Col (ret) Perkins speak and he’s the real deal. Get that leftist Connolly out of congress.

freedomfirst on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 AM

My 85 year old mother-in-law, a “birthright Democrat” who’d never voted before, just went and voted for Romney in Philadelphia. She was so nervous because she didn’t know how to vote, but she was determined to cast her vote. Go Mom!!

Trafalgar on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

WOoooo Hoooo! GOOOOO Grandma! Hug her for me, would ya?

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

on a side note. They showed this video at our church yesterday and I found it very moving and very much the meat of the discussion.

Kagan on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

Could be current counts – Jay Cost assumed Obama up a little over 100,000K votes after early voting – assuming the early voters went the way we expect. However, if the break is less Obama than assumed (what about Indies) then it could be less. This of course is way off of Obama’s ’08 effort.

If we are getting heavy turnout today – that will more than likely be good news for Romney, meaning Obama cannibalized his day of voters for the early voting build. On election day itself Ohio will go GOP – the more votes there, the better it will be for Romney.

Zomcon JEM on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

If this happens, I don’t see it ending well for the New Black Panthers.

tgharris on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 AM

They won’t be the BFFs of the Atty General anymore.

vityas on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

Trafalgar on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

God bless your mom! Getting out and about can be scary for an elderly lady. I told my daughter this morning, “This is the most important election of your lifetime.” Thank your mom for voting for my kids’ future.

Laura in Maryland on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

Is Gumby going to be allowed to troll all day long?

Today would be a great day to pull out the Zot gun.

kevinkristy on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

My 85 year old mother-in-law, a “birthright Democrat” who’d never voted before, just went and voted for Romney in Philadelphia. She was so nervous because she didn’t know how to vote, but she was determined to cast her vote. Go Mom!!

Trafalgar on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 AM

WOO HOO – go MOM!

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

Didn’t he predict a McCain win?

neuquenguy on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 AM

No Morris said McCain was the worst choice the GOP could have made. Cranky old guy matched up with a (supposedly) cool hipster was bad optics and would drive the youth vote.

Happy Nomad on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 AM

hide the incline?

/couldn’t resist.

ted c on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 AM

Get off that couch and vote!

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 AM

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