Final Politico/GWU Battleground poll shows Romney up 15 with independents

posted at 10:41 am on November 6, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Going into the final stretch of Election Day, we’ll see at least a couple of pollsters giving us their final look at the electorate.  Politico leads with its Battleground poll result showing a dead heat at 47% nationally,  with Barack Obama up six over Mitt Romney in their swing-state subgroups, 49/43.  That may be the last piece of good news for Obama in this poll, however:

The final POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — conducted Sunday and Monday — shows Mitt Romney and President Barack Obama each claiming 47 percent nationally.

Our previous poll, conducted Monday through Thursday of last week, found the race tied at 48 percent. Although Romney and Obama have each led at times, the two candidates have stayed within the margin of error since the spring.

Independents break for Romney by 15 points, 47 percent to 32 percent.

Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Obama leads 49 percent to 43 percent.

That’s at least three national polls in the final week that have showed Romney up by double digits among independents.  Most of them show Obama in the 30s, a very bad place for an incumbent President to be in the final day before the election.  Obama won the 2008 election by seven points while winning this demographic by eight.  So how can he be tied with Romney — and how can Obama be six points ahead in theswing states while tied nationally?

The first hint comes in the 2008 presidential vote question.  The split in the vote in this sample is 50/40 Obama, which understates John McCain’s vote by six full points.  Interestingly, independents in this group give Obama a ten-point lead in 2008, too, slightly higher than in the actual election — which negates the idea that these independents are proto-Republicans (only 36% say they voted for McCain).  It’s a D+3 sample, but only after allocating leaners, 43/40/17.  Based on the 2008 election recap, the leaners look as though they may have been a little more Democratic four years ago.

Let’s take a look at some of the other internals.  The 15-point deficit among independents doesn’t look like a fluke; Obama’s job approval among them is 41/51.  The overall poll also shows the gender gap neutralized, with Romney leading men by 16 points (55/39) and Obama winning women by 15 (55/40).  Sixty percent of the sample are married voters, and Romney has a 17-point lead, 56/39, among them.

As far as the split between supposedly ‘competitive’ states, as Politico calls them, and the national numbers, that seems inexplicable.  This swing-state analysis derives from subgroups of the overall poll, though, so the MoE is wider and the confidence level lower.  Mitt Romney actually has a lead among the 40 supposedly non-competitive states, 49/46, that’s narrower than Obama’s six point lead among the ten competitive states.  It’s curious, but that’s all.

If I’m a Republican presidential candidate with a 15-point lead among independents and a neutralized gender gap, I’m pretty confident of the outcome.  We’ll certainly see soon enough, but here’s one last piece of data:

The potentially more important number is a combination nationally of those who have already voted and those who call themselves “extremely likely” to vote. Romney leads this group by 3 percent, 51 percent to 48 percent.

Breaking on Hot Air

Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages: 1 2

Landslide.

Fish on November 6, 2012 at 10:43 AM

Romney should concede I guess.

nitzsche on November 6, 2012 at 10:43 AM

Folks getting pretty bullish on Romney taking Ohio. :-)

Punchenko on November 6, 2012 at 10:43 AM

I’m just getting up and out the door for work on the West Coast…

… Has the “media” called if for Pantload yet?

Seven Percent Solution on November 6, 2012 at 10:44 AM

Remember, folks: TROLLCOTT!

They’re going to be out in force today.

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 10:44 AM

what the press denied, the people proclaimed

no more socialist dictator

audiotom on November 6, 2012 at 10:44 AM

So Romney is winning indepdents and Republicans but yet tied. Is there a fourth category? Super Democrats that are being counted?

Oil Can on November 6, 2012 at 10:44 AM

So when does Obama declare victory so GOPer’s quit voting? Some years that might work. I don’t think this is one of those years.

UnderstandingisPower on November 6, 2012 at 10:45 AM


NO POLL TROLL TODAY…!!!

T R O L L C O T T

KOOLAID2 on November 6, 2012 at 10:46 AM

Oh sheesh polls polls polls, still?! Enough!

Akzed on November 6, 2012 at 10:46 AM

I am in the Toledo, OH area and this looks like Romney country to me. Romney signage actually plastered on top of Obama signage on the route into a major shopping center of town. And over one of our largest mall complexes an airplane towing an american flag and a message about Romney.

nitzsche on November 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

It’s going to be a wonderful day and tonight we’ll have President Elect Willard “Mitt” Romney. I think I’ll take tomorrow off from work and enjoy being proud of my country again, it has been four long years since I felt that way. Ahhhhhhhhh…

Tbone McGraw on November 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

But… axelrod told me that independent don’t matter…

runner on November 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

47%

Excellent

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

27 comments or bust.

HotGas, you might as well just post open threads as the old ones get full.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

Predictive Markets Update:

Obama odds increase to a 4.5:1 favorite:

Wed: 2.0:1
Thur: 2.1:1
Fri: 2.15:1
Sat: 2.25:1
Thur 3:0:1
Fri: 3.25:1
sat: 3.25:1
Sun: 3.5:1
Mon am: 3.75:1
Mon pm: 4.0:1
Tue am: 4.5:1
Wed: Blame Day (media, Sandy, ACORN, cheating, Satan, Christie, Bush)

Obama odds keep climbing. Positive polls, and reports of pro-Romney connected Wall St. CEOs throwing in the towel have kept the trend going. Paul Ryan’s religious attacks yesterday is a sad way to go out. This will be a black mark on him forever. McCain chose not to attack Obama on Rev. Wright, Obama chose not to attack Romney on Mormonism, but Ryan/Romney inject a religious attack on the final day….not an honorable way to go out. I thought more of Romney than this – but it may have been 100% Ryan.

Obama has led this election from day one. At his lowest point, Obama was about a 1.5:1 favorite, but he has been increasing ever since to the current 4.5 to 1 favorite status. Remember all of the sites, pundits, pollsters, etc that have fed you misinformation the whole time during this election cycle. The next cycle you will be more prepared to understand what it really going on.

Think for yourselves and do your own research.

http://sports.bovada.lv/sports-betting/political-props.jsp

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/sport/2012-10-23/presidential-election-odds-2012-barack-obama-mitt-romney-debate-white-house

ZippyZ on November 6, 2012 at 10:48 AM

Oh sheesh polls polls polls, still?! Enough!

Akzed on November 6, 2012 at 10:46 AM

The only poll that counts, is being conducted right this minuet. The results of which will start showing up around 3pm EST.

SWalker on November 6, 2012 at 10:48 AM

More like an 8 point lead among independents when you parse their pigeonholing. They tried to put every single respondent into one party or the other. As a result so called independents are fewer than 75 of the total respondents in their 1,000 person poll. Reassigning so called leaners to the independent category makes for a more realistic count of 259 independents out of 1,000 respondents.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 10:49 AM

Headin’ to the Romney headquarters in my state for the final day of calling!

I expect that the election will be called for Romney fairly early tonight. I will be at the victory party!

littlekittie on November 6, 2012 at 10:50 AM

ZippyZ on November 6, 2012 at 10:48 AM

Gibberish

A Balrog of Morgoth on November 6, 2012 at 10:50 AM

I believe Romney wins 320-218.

crash72 on September 13, 2012 at 10:23 PM

crash72 on November 6, 2012 at 10:51 AM

We just voted after waiting in line about five minutes. My wife voted for a Republican for president for the first time. (Technically, she voted for Sarah Palin for vice president in 2008.)

aunursa on November 6, 2012 at 10:52 AM

What’s Obummer’s lead with dead voters in this poll? That will be a key metric in those competitive districts.

KS Rex on November 6, 2012 at 10:52 AM

More like an 8 point lead among independents when you parse their pigeonholing. They tried to put every single respondent into one party or the other. As a result so called independents are fewer than 75 of the total respondents in their 1,000 person poll. Reassigning so called leaners to the independent category makes for a more realistic count of 259 independents out of 1,000 respondents.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 10:49 AM

Correction: Less than 100 (91).

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 10:52 AM

Court appointed republican pole watchers forcibly removed from poles. Replaced by black panthers. http://washingtonexaminer.com/philly-gop-poll-inspectors-being-ousted-for-dems/article/2512714#.UJkm9sXA-4d

davidk on November 6, 2012 at 10:53 AM

Whether the independents are 10 or 15%…the question that no liberal can answer.

If you lose that 10/15%, where do you pick up those votes, what segment will fill that voter void?

Women, minorities, seniors, students, businessmen? There is no category that exists where he can replace 10 or 15% of lost votes.

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 10:53 AM

Can we ban the oddsmaker snot as well? And if we’re talking small campaigns.. Bayonets and Binders Full of Women.

Illinidiva on November 6, 2012 at 10:54 AM

What’s Obummer’s lead with dead voters in this poll? That will be a key metric in those competitive districts.

KS Rex on November 6, 2012 at 10:52 AM

there have been unconfirmed reports of dead voter crossover, so hard to say

runner on November 6, 2012 at 10:55 AM

ZippyZ on November 6, 2012 at 10:48 AM

Huh?

KS Rex on November 6, 2012 at 10:55 AM

davidk on November 6, 2012 at 10:53 AM

This is where some guy pulls a gun and says “Make my day” remove me from my court appointed duty…this could get ugly.

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 10:55 AM

There is no category that exists where he can replace 10 or 15% of lost votes.

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 10:53 AM

Well, the dead invariably vote Democrat…

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 10:55 AM

Per Sean Davis:

Early voting in OH suggests Rommey just needs to win 52% of Election Day vote to win OH.

That’s less than Bush did in 2000 & 2004, similar to McCain in 2008.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 10:56 AM

Think for yourselves and do your own research.

http://sports.bovada.lv/sports-betting/political-props.jsp

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/politics-and-election/us-presidential-election/winner

http://linemakers.sportingnews.com/sport/2012-10-23/presidential-election-odds-2012-barack-obama-mitt-romney-debate-white-house

ZippyZ on November 6, 2012 at 10:48 AM

Think for yourselves, which is why you quote bookies and odds makers…you libs crack me up.

It’s like Clinton telling people don’t trust politicians who lie to the public…HHAHAHAHHAHA!!

Odds makers, think for yourself….oh, the irony…

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Final Rasmummen National Poll:

Romney 49.35%
Obama 47.88%

Rasmussen called both 2004 & 2008 elections perfectly.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Rasmussen had it 49/48 for romney but winning Indies 52/38.

gsherin on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

I have a stupid question: Do zombies count as dead votes?

Turtle317 on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

I live in a deep blue section of Maryland. Last election I waited in line 3 hours or so to cast my vote. Today, no wait. Literally, no one in front of me in line.

Last election, yard signs were everywhere. Today, you have to search hard to find one. I live on a street corner directly across from the polling place. There is one lonely sign for Ben Cardin where in years past I would see dozens of signs crowding one another.

Is enthusiasm down? Ohhh yeahh. Way down.

firegnome on November 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

Well, the dead invariably vote Democrat…

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 10:55 AM

Of course…so obvious and I missed it…but hard to make up that 10/15% with dead people.

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

I have a stupid question: Do zombies count as dead votes?

Turtle317 on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

No, but they do count as Democrat voters.

SWalker on November 6, 2012 at 10:59 AM

I have a stupid question: Do zombies count as dead votes?

Turtle317 on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Zombies/liberals/democrats…aren’t they all the same?

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 11:00 AM

Benghazi Barack is Hoping he can win at least some of the 57 States.

Southern by choice22 on November 6, 2012 at 11:00 AM

As long as we still doing poll porn, the same is found in the
IBD/TIPP poll

Barry 50, Romney 49. B +1
Party breakdown
D 38 R 31 I 32 . D+7
Romney leads indies 52 to 46 ,+6.

We’ll know soon enough what is the real result. Just vote.

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 11:02 AM

firegnome on November 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

Crowd was much smaller and older at my 60/40 Democrat polling place. It was packed in 2008 same time of day.

forest on November 6, 2012 at 11:02 AM

I have a stupid question: Do zombies count as dead votes?

Turtle317 on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Actually here is the answer to your question…

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 11:03 AM

Where is Obama going to pick up the 10/15 points he loses from Independents? Hint: the cemetery precincts, for one. Jose the Illegal Alien and his pals. Guys like his buddy in North Carolina who voted five times. Every “voter” registered from a park bench or a vacant lot. That is your fourth category of voter. 100% Democrat. Guaranteed.

pdigaudio on November 6, 2012 at 11:04 AM

Of course…so obvious and I missed it…but hard to make up that 10/15% with dead people.

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

You’re right, of course, and I’m just playing because today is so exciting.

I’m of the view Romney will win big, or Obama will win by the skin of his teeth. There will be no Obama blowout, however the election turns out. I won’t even try to predict the winner, but I think that whichever way it goes Chrissy Matthews is going to be seriously unhappy. And that’s good enough for me.

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Romney has a double digit lead and is goin’ to do some double dutchin’ on Dems tonight….

ted c on November 6, 2012 at 11:05 AM

Stay calm.

/tips.

ted c on November 6, 2012 at 11:06 AM

ZippyZ, you seem to know very little about odds makers and their predictive skills. Their main goal is to balance the “book”, ie make sure they set the odds where they get an equal number of bets on both sides. They don’t pick winners and losers.

Tater Salad on November 6, 2012 at 11:06 AM

Zombies/liberals/democrats…aren’t they all the same?

right2bright on November 6, 2012 at 11:00 AM

The Walking Dead are better-looking. I mean, have you seen Debbie Waffen-SS Schultz lately?

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 11:07 AM

Trollcott! Best thing to happen to Hot Air since trollcott!!

happytobehere on November 6, 2012 at 11:08 AM

Took out the trash this morning. Just like America is going to today.

happytobehere on November 6, 2012 at 11:09 AM

ZippyZ, you seem to know very little about odds makers and their predictive skills. Their main goal is to balance the “book”, ie make sure they set the odds where they get an equal number of bets on both sides. They don’t pick winners and losers.

Tater Salad on November 6, 2012 at 11:06 AM

Ding ding ding.

Gatsu on November 6, 2012 at 11:10 AM

Took out the trash this morning. Just like America is going to today.

happytobehere on November 6, 2012 at 11:09 AM

God be willing!

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 11:10 AM

The potentially more important number is a combination nationally of those who have already voted and those who call themselves “extremely likely” to vote. Romney leads this group by 3 percent, 51 percent to 48 percent.

Interesting tactic I heard on Fox a few minutes ago from Team Romney about their GOTV efforts: They concentrated on getting out less likely voters, assuming likely voters can be relied upon to vote.

Buy Danish on November 6, 2012 at 11:11 AM

As long as we still doing poll porn, the same is found in the
IBD/TIPP poll

Barry 50, Romney 49. B +1
Party breakdown
D 38 R 31 I 32 . D+7
Romney leads indies 52 to 46 ,+6.

We’ll know soon enough what is the real result. Just vote.

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 11:02 AM

I’ll hand it to IBD… they’ve stuck with that model throughout. Points for consistency.

And if it turns out D+7, we lose.

All evidence points to something less than D+7…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 11:11 AM

I live in a deep blue section of Maryland. Last election I waited in line 3 hours or so to cast my vote. Today, no wait. Literally, no one in front of me in line.

Last election, yard signs were everywhere. Today, you have to search hard to find one. I live on a street corner directly across from the polling place. There is one lonely sign for Ben Cardin where in years past I would see dozens of signs crowding one another.

Is enthusiasm down? Ohhh yeahh. Way down.

firegnome on November 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

Democrats don’t need to go to the polls to have their votes cast.

Archivarix on November 6, 2012 at 11:11 AM

How is stuff like even allowed?

https://twitter.com/Timodc/status/265845658798419969/photo/1

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 11:12 AM

What is interesting about that final GMU poll is if you dig down into page 86 of the poll data crosstabs you see 24% of people who describe themselves as a “soft Dem” saying they are undecided along with 15% of “ticket splitters”. “Soft GOP” is only 9% undecided. That’s huge.

crosspatch on November 6, 2012 at 11:14 AM

As long as we still doing poll porn, the same is found in the
IBD/TIPP poll

Barry 50, Romney 49. B +1
Party breakdown
D 38 R 31 I 32 . D+7
Romney leads indies 52 to 46 ,+6.

We’ll know soon enough what is the real result. Just vote.

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 11:02 AM

Polling period: 11/3 – 11/5
Margin of Error: +/- 3.7%
Sample Size: 712 likely voters (identified from 893 registered voters with party affiliation of 38% Dem, 31% GOP, 32% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples

That equates to 79.73 of registered voters = likely voters.
Once again a poll that barely screens for likely voters.
No wonder there is a Dem +7 skew.

Animal60 on November 6, 2012 at 11:14 AM

All evidence points to something less than D+7…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 11:11 AM

We had that permanent liberal shift after the 2008 election dontcha know. We saw it in the 2010 election where Dems added almost 70 seats to their House majority.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 11:15 AM

The potentially more important number is a combination nationally of those who have already voted and those who call themselves “extremely likely” to vote. Romney leads this group by 3 percent, 51 percent to 48 percent.

Okay, this is what is known as burying a lede.

On E-Day, the only people who are likely voters are “10′s”. If, the day before Election Day, there is any doubt in someone’s mind as to whether they are going to vote… they aren’t going to vote. A likely voter at this point is someone who knows they are going to vote, when they are taking time out of their day to vote, and where they have to show up to vote.

This should have been the lede, or close to it…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 11:15 AM

Remember,

TROLLCOTT!

either orr on November 6, 2012 at 11:16 AM

3am here in Sydney, Australia & driving a freight train up the Blue Mountains.
Updating the loco log book with “New drivers seat required;edge worn out..” I’ve been waiting for this for 4yrs..

DJcool on November 6, 2012 at 11:16 AM

Using Ohio as the example with the increased early voting for Romney and the decrease for Obama, can we now say there is an enthusiasm gap for Obama. If so the NBC/Marist polls which keep skewing the RCP average is bunk.

Tater Salad on November 6, 2012 at 11:16 AM

And while Romney gets 15% of indies over Obama, 20% of indies still claim to be undecided. Those will break Romney. That is also huge.

crosspatch on November 6, 2012 at 11:16 AM

47%

Excellent

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

Just proves the whole thing is rigged. Mitt knew that 47% number months ago. /liberalheadexploding

LoganSix on November 6, 2012 at 11:16 AM

davidk on November 6, 2012 at 11:13 AM

It shouldn’t be allowed. That’s a campaign sign even if it is painted on a wall.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 11:16 AM

Just spoke to a Dem/libtard cousin. He voted RR & Deb Fisher…

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 11:17 AM

I want so much for these D+6 and higher polls to proven to be garbage.

It’s highly implausible that Romney can be winning indies by 52-38 or better and lose the election.

Makes no sense whatsoever.

matthew8787 on November 6, 2012 at 11:17 AM


ZippyZ on November 6, 2012

…trollcott the idiots like this one today!

KOOLAID2 on November 6, 2012 at 11:17 AM

Zippy might not want to look at the Vegas odds, where real money is on the line…

OUCH.

M240H on November 6, 2012 at 11:17 AM

Is enthusiasm down? Ohhh yeahh. Way down.

firegnome on November 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

I’m in the People’s republic of Montgomery County, where are you? I haven’t gone to vote yet (came in to work too early). I’m hoping there’s no line when I get there today…

PetecminMd on November 6, 2012 at 11:18 AM

There is no enthusiasm in Chicago. None.

happytobehere on November 6, 2012 at 11:19 AM

We had that permanent liberal shift after the 2008 election dontcha know. We saw it in the 2010 election where Dems added almost 70 seats to their House majority.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 11:15 AM

Hey, midterms favor the GOP. We are, by our nature, more engaged. We don’t need rock stars and movie actors to tell us to vote. The Dems will turn out better than 2 years ago, I’m reasonably sure.

But when Team Liar has trouble filling college basketball arenas, when he was filling football stadiums the same time 4 years ago?

Enthusiasms…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 11:19 AM

ZippyZ, you seem to know very little about odds makers and their predictive skills. Their main goal is to balance the “book”, ie make sure they set the odds where they get an equal number of bets on both sides. They don’t pick winners and losers.

Tater Salad on November 6, 2012 at 11:06 AM

You are exactly right…the rational global predictive market based upon individuals wagering their own money after analyzing data has made Obama a massive favorite. Will the readers here be surprised when the massive favorite wins?

ZippyZ on November 6, 2012 at 11:20 AM

Lol
L6

:)

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 11:20 AM

The good thing: it’s pretty clear that neither will have a mandate.

No “comprehensive” OR “sweeping” new NOTHING on Day 1! This is a CRY for compromise in this country. You guys better get used to it. The hope is, maybe if you get a white version of Obama, that many of you will calm the F down and stop holding this country hostage from moving forward. I’m ok with a 4 to 1 ration to reduce the deficit, deport all illegal immigrants, make ObamneyCare better, tax breaks for businesses that create jobs only!

Romney win = COMPROMISING WITH THE SENATE MAJORITY LEADER HARRY REID!!!

Can.I.be.in.the.middle on November 6, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Michael Barrone is the best predictor in this, his analysis was based on each Congressional district voting and relating it to presidential politics.

If the R’s hold onto 245+/- House seats, then by all analysis Romney should win.

Tater Salad on November 6, 2012 at 11:21 AM

Final Rasmummen National Poll:

Romney 49.35%
Obama 47.88%

Rasmussen called both 2004 & 2008 elections perfectly.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 10:57 AM

It’s the 47.88% that scare the hell out of me! There are that many lunatics out there?!

I sort of understood the false feeling of euphoria in 2008, I didn’t like it and I knew the people were wrong. But, now?! We need to start thinning the herd.

Tbone McGraw on November 6, 2012 at 11:21 AM

After 4 long years of waiting I got to cast my ballot against the One again. It’ll be the vote that wins MI for Romney.

Northwoods on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

You are exactly right…the rational global predictive market based upon individuals wagering their own money after analyzing data has made Obama a massive favorite. Will the readers here be surprised when the massive favorite wins?

ZippyZ on November 6, 2012 at 11:20 AM

And the Redskins were 3.5 point favorites over the Panthers. Bettors are not omniscient.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

I prerdict a hundred hissy fits will be thrown today. And, that’s just by Mooch.

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

We The People are about to be heard:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHp7sMqPL0g

sing along, folks. We all know the words.

Laura in Maryland on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

After 4 long years of waiting I got to cast my ballot against the One again. It’ll be the vote that wins MI for Romney.

Northwoods on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

Sorry, yours only tied the race. Mine put Romney over the top.

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

Nervous and anxious and excited and the polls here were quite packed but this is OK and Okies have consistently voted for the Republican ticket…

I cannot however linger to stagger my way thru yet another poll thread…

I will see you all later!!

God Bless Romney and Ryan and God Bless America!!

Hope abides; therefore I abide.
Countless frustrations have not cowed me.
I am still alive, vibrant with life.
The black cloud will disappear,
The morning sun will appear once again
In all its supernal glory.

Scrumpy on November 6, 2012 at 11:23 AM

Northwoods on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

How’d you vote on the proposals if you don’t mind me asking.

I was:

Yes-1

No-2

No-3

No-4

Yes-5

Yes-6

NotCoach on November 6, 2012 at 11:24 AM

I prerdict a hundred hissy fits will be thrown today. And, that’s just by Mooch.

kingsjester on November 6, 2012 at 11:22 AM

If we can get that on video, I’m buying the Chivas and the popcorn.

Liam on November 6, 2012 at 11:24 AM

And if it turns out D+7, we lose.

All evidence points to something less than D+7…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 11:11 AM

There’s no way in he!! it’ll be D+7.

Right Mover on November 6, 2012 at 11:25 AM

And if it turns out D+7, we lose.

All evidence points to something less than D+7…

JohnGalt23 on November 6, 2012 at 11:11 AM

If it turns out D+7 the country is lost. I Pray that does not happen.

VegasRick on November 6, 2012 at 11:25 AM

I am upset to report that upon the better half and I having just returned from our polling place. Something was fishy. We have voted at the same polling place for 28 years. This year for the first time ever a man off to the side retrieved our ballot cards. This is a first. Every year the same protocol had been adhered to. Receive card, cast ballot, return card to election official from whom you received ballot card. I am not happy and have reported this to my local election board.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 11:26 AM

Deja vu, feels like 04 all over again? Obama zooms up to over 72% on inTrade….he’ll probably get to 90 before the day is over.

tkyang99 on November 6, 2012 at 11:26 AM

I hope all evangelicals in Ohio get out and vote today. That will be key. Romney/Ryan!

Angstlee on November 6, 2012 at 11:27 AM

Zippy might not want to look at the Vegas odds, where real money is on the line…

OUCH.

M240H on November 6, 2012 at 11:17 AM

Saw that this AM. Line down to -275 – EXTREMELY BAD sign for Obama

But hey, I am sure those European oddsmakers are superior /sarc

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 11:27 AM

I live in Los Angeles and the thing that strikes me is the absence of Obama bumper stickers and yard signs. In 2008 the place was plastered with them. Now nothing. To be fair, there arn’t that many Romney bumper Stickers either but I suspect that is because people just don’t want to get their car keyed.

Driving through Palos Verde, a hilly suburb of the 1% , I counted 14 Romney yard signs to 1 Obama sign. This confounded me because I expected that there would be more rich liberals up there. Maybe they still exist but they may not be as enthusiastic about this election as in 2008.

As far as California goes, the legislature is in the firm grip of the Democrats and their Union bosses. California died the day Governor Brown allowed Public Unions during his first term. We have since become the Zombie state. But instead of wanting your Brains, we will be coming to Washington after your Tax Money.

PS: I voted early for Romney; A candle in the windstorm.

Uniblogger on November 6, 2012 at 11:28 AM

I’m in the People’s republic of Montgomery County, where are you? I haven’t gone to vote yet (came in to work too early). I’m hoping there’s no line when I get there today…

PetecminMd on November 6, 2012 at 11:18 AM

Charles County

firegnome on November 6, 2012 at 11:32 AM

There is no enthusiasm in Chicago. None.

happytobehere on November 6, 2012 at 11:19 AM

It would be SWEET if Obama lost Illinois while playing pick up basketball… be still me beating heart…

Khun Joe on November 6, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Comment pages: 1 2