9 pm: Wisconsin, Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota Update: Denver Post calls CO for O

posted at 8:32 pm on November 6, 2012 by Mary Katharine Ham

According to Allahpundit’s electoral math made easy, we’ve got two deciders and two longshots.

Colorado is undoubtedly the most likely to fall in Mitt Romney’s column. Republicans won early voting— a change from 2008 when the Obama campaign won the early vote by several points on the way to a 9-point victory. As of 4 p.m. MST, thanks to our friend Kelly Maher, we know from the Secretary of State’s office that Republicans were at 82 percent of their 2008 turnout, Democrats at 80 and Independents at 79, seemingly good news for Republicans who can count on a decent boon in the after-work voting bloc.

Watch live returns, here.

Team Romney liked the signals from bellwether and swing counties earlier today:

Arapahoe (Swing County) — 4,860 Democrat & 5,271 Republican — Election Day so far.

Over 83% of the vote was AB/EV — 75,653 Democrat & 75,812 Republican.

Jefferson County (Swing) — 78,738 Democrat & 85,378 Republican for AB/EV.

Wisconsin, earlier tonight, the word from the GOP on the ground. Watch live results, here.

Scott Walker won his recall by seven points, with both GOTV efforts in full swing, but there were two types of Walker voters. 1) People who were backing Walker and 2) people who didn’t believe Walker had done anything warranting a recall, even if they didn’t agree with him. Not all of those folks are Romney voters.

If we have a better idea of where Virginia stands by the time these states’ polls closed, we’ll know whether it’s worth bothering with Michigan and Minnesota, the longest of the long shots. If Virginia goes blue, it’ll likely be an unfun night in these states for Team Romney.

Update: Fox calls Michigan for Obama. Romney loses his native state and one, albeit far-fetched, back-up route to 270.

Update: The spread looks like 52-48 for Obama and Sen. Debbie Stabenow wins the Senate seat.

Update: Two gone for Team Romney in this category as Fox calls Wisconsin for Obama.

Update: Hmm…

Update: Wisconsin has been called by several networks, and Minnesota goes blue, 53-45.

Update: Gulp.

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…Wisc. to JugEars…geez

KOOLAID2 on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

FoxNews called WI for Barry. This may be it.

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

Did I say Mittens was at 11% on Intrade? Well, it’s now 8%. I’ll keep you posted.

Armin Tamzarian on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

May you and yours suffer lots of ills.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

WI staying blue. Firewall intact.

BadgerHawk on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

This thing seems about over at this point, yeah. I was worried about Virginia for a moment but it’s looking like the electoral map I made a few weeks will probably hold up, all the major contested areas are leaning Obama now and they’re looking to win all challenged Senate races. Pretty big sweep for the Dems tonight, although the Republicans holding the house is sad but expected.

Typhonsentra on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

So if Obama wins, enjoy your pyrrhic victory. If you’re over 70, you’ll probably die before the system implodes.

talkingpoints on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

How you see higher defense spending and across the board tax cuts as key to seriously reducing the deficit baffle me.

This country never should have cut tax rates to such low levels during the housing bubble. You may have heard the phrase “save for a rainy day”. To “save during a rainy day” is foolish economic policy.
But let’s hope that all politicians can work together to reduce spending when the elections are over.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

I’m glad I cast my vote in FL instead of WI this election.

It was going to be a struggle for Mitt to get the win.

Midwestprincesse on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

The GOP WILL hold the House.

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Ok, time to seriously talk about literally dividing the nation in two. There is no common ground between us and the socialists.

Charlemagne on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Wisconsin called for Obama. But it was obvious Romney was never going to win their.

Put you head on the chopping block romneybots

Flapjackmaka on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

FOX just called Wisconsin for Obama, with less than 2% in. WTF?

idesign on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

I know that’s like the fifth state FOX has done that. WTF are they trying to pull?

Nutstuyu on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Well, if Romney loses a lot of people will miss their ‘free’ tax cut. It cuts both ways.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

So much for trollcott…listen asshole..I work for a home health care agency and if Obama loses there will be old people and sick people who lose their home care..that is a fact..so get off your high horse, it is not as if Obama actually gives a rats ass about people like you. He is just conning the rubes…but if he does win a second term…you will all find out soon enough what you got for your vote.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Well, Michael Barone has some egg on his face today.

And Scott Rasmussen’s party-ID survey seems to have been a pile of horse poop.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

I am ready to accept my accolades! Kneel down before the great political prognosticator!

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Death and Taxes..

Which one do you bow too?

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

I am thinking this will end badly

LtGenRob on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

In Miami-Dade, nearly 70% of precincts remain open 90 minutes after polls were to close – @MiamiHerald

3 mins ago from http://www.miamiherald.com by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Die all looters and moochers. To Hades with you all. I will starve you into oblivion, happily.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Please share your tips. I’m serious.

PatriotGal2257 on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Might as well have Obama win and have the whole thing collapse. Maybe then people will get their heads out of their asses and wake the hell up.

Decoski on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Calm down, folks. So far, Rove’s been pretty accurate. He saw PA and WI staying blue. But yeah, this is gonna be a nail biter, likely to the ecstatic (or bitter) end…

http://rove.com/election

JukeJointJoe on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Wisconsin called for Obama. But it was obvious Romney was never going to win their.

Put you head on the chopping block romneybots

Flapjackmaka on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

To win their…what? Oh that’s right, libs don’t know how to spell.

Nutstuyu on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Relax everyone. It’s demoralizing in a way because we had talked ourselves into the possibility of a comfortable win, but the original path is still there. VA, FL, and NC look to be in Mitt’s camp albeit tightly. So if that’s the case, it’s Ohio and either CO or IA. It’s doable. Everyone settle down.

RepublicanInMA on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

yep

israel is on their own…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

FoxNews called WI for Barry. This may be it.

bayview on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

Nope, not yet. But it’s got to be FL, NC, VA – Ohio and Colorado

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Well, if Romney loses a lot of people will miss their ‘free’ tax cut. It cuts both ways.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

i’m sorry if i’m violating TROLLCOTT..but this makes little sense.

i’m talking about the future of the Country..prosperity…you seem to be talking about other people’s pocketbook.

typical liberal person

r keller on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

If I were a business owner I’d lay people off based on their political party affiliation. No need to make Republicans suffer because of Democrat idiocy.

Charlemagne on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Republicans=Charlie Brown

HotAir=Lucy

Election Win = Football

I feel sick.

portlandon on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Still a lot of idiots in Wisconsin, most people have no idea how the govt covered up Benghazi.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Fox News, NBC News project Obama wins Wisconsin

1 min ago by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Ohio or bust kids. Looks like Romney will eek out Florida, North Carolina and Virginia. PA,MI, Wisky and Minn were pipe dreams.

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

a melting bunny in our future???

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Look at all the trolls stinking up the joint.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Lock in your vote, Load yourself with righteousness, Aim to be pure of nature.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Wait. Romney up in wiscosin by 2,000 with only 1% of the vote in

Is that based on exit polls?

audiotom on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

i blame the lsm…if they actually did their job
fast and furious
benghazi
sandy
this would not even be close…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

No offense, but I’m sick and tired of hearing that crap. You know the truth. I know the truth. Many others here know the truth.

The morons who vote for Obama don’t know or don’t care. They are nothing but welfare whores whose only concern is what’s in it for them. All other considerations are secondary.

Fazman on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

How can they call WI for Obama when Romney has 56% of vote with 2%

MoreLiberty on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

The GOP WILL hold the House.

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Big deal. Fat lot of good it does when Harry Reid will still be Senate Majority Leader.

PatriotGal2257 on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

I know that’s like the fifth state FOX has done that. WTF are they trying to pull?

Nutstuyu on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

Rush made this prediction- the liberal media at Fox would try and call the election early for Obama.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

I want impeachment proceedings started asap if this loser wins…

heads need to start rolling before Jan 2013

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

PA,MI, Wisky and Minn were pipe dreams.

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Why hasn’t Minnesota been called yet?

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

R/R now leading by 20k votes in Florida. Looks like FL is going red.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Ohio or bust.

BadgerHawk on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

My car has 180,000 miles on it..
Still running strong..
Cash For Clunkers 2.0?

Might as well prepare for the FORWARD Utopia mindset..

/

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

The Wisconsin thing doesn’t make sense.

Rose on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

How can they call WI for Obama when Romney has 56% of vote with 2%

MoreLiberty on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Probably exit polls.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

i blame the lsm…if they actually did their job
fast and furious
benghazi
sandy
this would not even be close…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

This. #1 enemy is not Obama, Iran, the enemy is the media. To paraphrase Breitbart. If we had a free and fair media Romney would already have surpassed 270 and be making his acceptance speech. Damn the media to hell.

levi on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

I’m getting depressed.

Cindy Munford on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Painful to watch.

But we chose to give Obama a second term when we nominated Mitt Romney who even denied being a Republican when he ran for office in 2002. Pure stupidity nominating him.

He also cost us the senate breaking Regans 11′th commandment to not diss fellow Republicans. Shame on Mitt Romney. Todd Akin nearly pulled off a win anyway. This was a give me though.

Steveangell on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

636 vote difference between Obama and Romney in Florida, with more than 7 million votes cast – @CNN broadcast

32 secs ago by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

Might as well have Obama win and have the whole thing collapse. Maybe then people will get their heads out of their asses and wake the hell up.

Decoski on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

If only, but they won’t. If Obama wins reelection in this economy, with his numbers, then people will never wake up, and the Reps will never win another presidential race in my lifetime.

I mean, honestly, do any of us think Hillary will be easier to beat in four years?

We’re screwed. Europe has come to America. I’m out.

Pope Linus on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

In other news, Allen West is barely clinging to a lead in his House race….
West 50.24%
Murphy 49.76%

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

The morons who vote for Obama don’t know or don’t care. They are nothing but welfare whores whose only concern is what’s in it for them. All other considerations are secondary.

Fazman on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

There we go again, let’s start the class warfare game. Do you actually believe that the wealthy liberals in NYC and NJ care are looking for government handouts?
This country’s problems aren’t rooted in the poor and old. Stop whining.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

TROLLCOTT

Hate to break it to you goofballs, the “trolls” are the only people left on here that have any credibility.

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/05/hot-air-survey-your-election-predictions-results/

Says everything you need to know about the vast majority of this site’s readership. BRAINDEAD. MOUTH-BREATHING. MORONS.

Embrace it guys, its what you are.

And how can the “trolls” be trolls, when they are RIGHT, and you dumb asses are WRONG. Suck it!

Daikokuco on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

R/R now leading by 20k votes in Florida. Looks like FL is going red.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Good….but will there be a recount?

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

If the GOP can’t win this election, they are dead as a party.

HarryBackside on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

How can they call WI for Obama when Romney has 56% of vote with 2%

MoreLiberty on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

Early counts/margins in indicator areas.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

Big deal. Fat lot of good it does when Harry Reid will still be Senate Majority Leader.

PatriotGal2257 on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

And Obama is allowed to circle Congress and issue EOs

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

The coalition of Welfare states may prevail.

tomas on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Somebody is “bothering with Michigan”!

During early voting in Southfield Township in Michigan on Monday, even a near-death experience couldn’t keep one elderly voter away from the polls….But the victim’s first question after his near-death experience took everyone by surprise. “Did I vote?” he asked astonished onlookers.The man’s wife tried to reassure him that it wasn’t important, but Houston says the man responded that only two things were important: “That I love you and that I finished what I came here to do—vote.”

They checked. He had.

Hope he voted for Romney.

AesopFan on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

nice guys finish last. where were the jeremiah wright commercials?

sbvft contributor on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Fazman on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

it pi$$es me off that they get away with this crapola

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

The Wisconsin thing doesn’t make sense.

Rose on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Sure it does.

When Walker won by 8 Mitt was 15 points behing Obama there.

A Conservative Republican would have won in a land slide.

Steveangell on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Ohio or bust.

BadgerHawk on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Earlier today, Billy Cunningham reported some great turnout numbers for Ohio – and he knows the state better than anybody. He guaranteed we would win it. It’s our only hope.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

636 vote difference between Obama and Romney in Florida, with more than 7 million votes cast – @CNN broadcast

32 secs ago by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

Painful to watch.

But we chose to give Obama a second term when we nominated Mitt Romney who even denied being a Republican when he ran for office in 2002. Pure stupidity nominating him.

He also cost us the senate breaking Regans 11′th commandment to not diss fellow Republicans. Shame on Mitt Romney. Todd Akin nearly pulled off a win anyway. This was a give me though.

Steveangell on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

He lives!!!

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

I am honestly not surprised by any of this. Its easy to win when you promise half of the nation everything for free. As a young college student, seeing how my generation thinks, its looking more and more like that there is no hope for this country. Things are going to have to get much worse before they get better.

tom2789 on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

lolololololol

HotAirLib on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

Well, what it comes down to is Ohio, as it did before.

It’s looking pretty bad there, but there you go. OH + CO is the last likely route to 270.

It’s not over until they lose OH or one of the Southern states.

HitNRun on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

Damn the media to hell.

levi on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

this

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

You know, I blame HA for keeping most of you in a “no bad poll” bubble. There were many, many polls predicting this outcome…but most were never posted here because they were too much like 2008. John King is saying how close O performance is to 2008…

the party ids are proving to be in line with most polls.

now WI is gone too…

Can.I.be.in.the.middle on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

How’s this smelling to you?
Zero doesn’t get over 47% for, well, forever, and now he’s over 50% in multiple states?

OkieDoc on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

So, it’s all down to Ohio…

ClintACK on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

I think people invested too much of themselves with Obama and never learned.

tomas on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

Daikokuco on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

Violating trollcott, but INSUFFERABLE HOLIER-THAN-THOUGH F*CKING SNOB!

nobar on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

The Tea Party now cost us Senate seats in Delaware, Nevada and Indiana. Well done.

milcus on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Might as well have Obama win and have the whole thing collapse. Maybe then people will get their heads out of their asses and wake the hell up.

Decoski on November 6, 2012 at 9:29 PM

That’s what we said in ’08. People don’t give a damn. They want their shi*t.
Mourdock down in flames. Fluke

levi on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Dick morrs. Way off
Barone. Likewise
Can billy cunningham and rove have it right?

Remain calm, pray

audiotom on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

EVERYONE f***ing nut up and hold on to your butts. this isnt over

blatantblue on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Dang. This could be over before the Thai food arrives.

urban elitist on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Stay Strong. We will win this. Pull out your favorite St. Crispin’s Day speech and watch it.

IdrilofGondolin on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Muourdock gone. Thanks SoCons – Maybe you’ll learn to shut the hell up about abortion, gays, and creationism, and start worrying about things that matter.

JFS61 on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

How’s this smelling to you?
Zero doesn’t get over 47% for, well, forever, and now he’s over 50% in multiple states?

OkieDoc on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

9% response rate.

The polls were crap.

There’s nothing to explain…

ClintACK on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Mourdock loses Indiana senate seat.

Stick a fork in this election up and down the lineup.

Status quo election.

Carnac on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

If the GOP can’t win this election, they are dead as a party.

HarryBackside on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

We are dead as a nation…
America was given the right to choose their fate..
Americans a strongly choosing a history proven failure..

I guess it’s our turn to go down in history…

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

It’s demoralizing in a way because we had talked ourselves into the possibility of a comfortable win, but the original path is still there. VA, FL, and NC look to be in Mitt’s camp albeit tightly. So if that’s the case, it’s Ohio and either CO or IA. It’s doable. Everyone settle down.

RepublicanInMA on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

Yeah. I had high hopes for WI and even PA so losing them hurts. However, they really were long shots and not as ripe as I convinced myself they were. So we’re back to “the standard model” of electoral victory for Mitt.

MJBrutus on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

The Vagyna/ Rape campaign has won. A return to responsibility………not so much.

FlaMurph on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

Screw the exit polls .. Those are NOT actual votes !
Breathe !

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

Still a lot of idiots in Wisconsin, most people have no idea how the govt covered up Benghazi.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:30 PM

And they never will thanks to the LSM. Hell, most couldn’t find Libya on a labeled map much less care about what happens even to Americans there.

Dr. ZhivBlago on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

If the GOP can’t win this election, they are dead as a party.

HarryBackside on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

They are not the problem. The problem are the people who want something for nothing. It is a culture that has been corrupted. Look at those poor idiots in Europe still rioting because of the inevitable austerity measures. They just can not believe the free stuff won’t keep coming.

I actually had a guy tell me he could not vote for Romney because Romney would expect him to get a job…like that is a bad thing.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

NUT. UP. READERS.

blatantblue on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

I’m getting depressed.

Cindy Munford on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Don’t worry, Cindy. If Romney can’t squeak this out you at least get a clear view of what type of country America wants to be and can plan accordingly.

BadgerHawk on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Andrew Kaczynski ‏@BuzzFeedAndrew

CBSs projects that President Obama will win New Hampshire.
Expand

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Axelrod knew he didn’t need independents if 25% of D’s voted twice.

The polls over-polling D’s covered this scenario.

Carnac on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Rush made this prediction- the liberal media at Fox would try and call the election early for Obama.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:31 PM

I couldn’t believe Fox! They sounded like it was over by 7:00! I

wolverinefan on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Painful to watch.

But we chose to give Obama a second term when we nominated Mitt Romney who even denied being a Republican when he ran for office in 2002. Pure stupidity nominating him.

He also cost us the senate breaking Regans 11′th commandment to not diss fellow Republicans. Shame on Mitt Romney. Todd Akin nearly pulled off a win anyway. This was a give me though.

Steveangell on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

There is no one the Pubs could of nominated who could have done bette than Mitt. None.

The blame game aint going to cut it this time around

It is what it is.

rickyricardo on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

The Media won this one for the commie. Last time – first black guy – meh- you could see that, historical racial bs…..this time around? A record of incompetence nicely covered up.

If the majority of Americans are this stupid….. The tipping point has already passed us by. The Marxist city rats know run this country…….

There is only one solution for preservation.

Split it up.

FlaMurph on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

The President, whether through incompetence, negligenceor treason allows an ambassador to be killed. The media ignores it.

We haven’t had a budget in 3 years. The media ignores it. We owe $140,000 per household (so about $280,000 per tax paying household). The media ignores it.

We’ve lost our religious freedom. The media ignores it.

More lobbyists work for the President than ever. The media ignores it.

Health care costs are higher than ever. The media ignores it.

Household income is down.

Household wealth is down.

We have record unemployment.

They’re still voting for Obama.

The leeches have taken over.

talkingpoints on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

evidently the Warren thing was a hoax

r keller on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM


But we chose to give Obama a second term when we nominated Mitt Romney who even denied being a Republican when he ran for office in 2002. Pure stupidity nominating him.

Well, yes. Yes it was.

casuist on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

We might just see a EC win for Obama and a popular win for Mittens.

watertown on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

Look at intrade now. He’s at FIVE (5)! %!

But its not over yet! LOL!

Daikokuco on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

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