9 pm: Wisconsin, Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota Update: Denver Post calls CO for O

posted at 8:32 pm on November 6, 2012 by Mary Katharine Ham

According to Allahpundit’s electoral math made easy, we’ve got two deciders and two longshots.

Colorado is undoubtedly the most likely to fall in Mitt Romney’s column. Republicans won early voting— a change from 2008 when the Obama campaign won the early vote by several points on the way to a 9-point victory. As of 4 p.m. MST, thanks to our friend Kelly Maher, we know from the Secretary of State’s office that Republicans were at 82 percent of their 2008 turnout, Democrats at 80 and Independents at 79, seemingly good news for Republicans who can count on a decent boon in the after-work voting bloc.

Watch live returns, here.

Team Romney liked the signals from bellwether and swing counties earlier today:

Arapahoe (Swing County) — 4,860 Democrat & 5,271 Republican — Election Day so far.

Over 83% of the vote was AB/EV — 75,653 Democrat & 75,812 Republican.

Jefferson County (Swing) — 78,738 Democrat & 85,378 Republican for AB/EV.

Wisconsin, earlier tonight, the word from the GOP on the ground. Watch live results, here.

Scott Walker won his recall by seven points, with both GOTV efforts in full swing, but there were two types of Walker voters. 1) People who were backing Walker and 2) people who didn’t believe Walker had done anything warranting a recall, even if they didn’t agree with him. Not all of those folks are Romney voters.

If we have a better idea of where Virginia stands by the time these states’ polls closed, we’ll know whether it’s worth bothering with Michigan and Minnesota, the longest of the long shots. If Virginia goes blue, it’ll likely be an unfun night in these states for Team Romney.

Update: Fox calls Michigan for Obama. Romney loses his native state and one, albeit far-fetched, back-up route to 270.

Update: The spread looks like 52-48 for Obama and Sen. Debbie Stabenow wins the Senate seat.

Update: Two gone for Team Romney in this category as Fox calls Wisconsin for Obama.

Update: Hmm…

Update: Wisconsin has been called by several networks, and Minnesota goes blue, 53-45.

Update: Gulp.

Breaking on Hot Air

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OBAMA WINS!!!
Pennsylvania not even close.

PappyD61 on November 6, 2012 at 9:16 PM

It’s 7% of the vote in-all Philadelphia. We knew Philadelphia was going for Obama. The rest of the state will go Romney, but they seem to be predicting Philadelphia turnout is too high for Romney to overcome.

talkingpoints on November 6, 2012 at 9:18 PM

PA was always a pipe dream. Romney still has paths to 270 without PA. It’s harder, but still there.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

No reason to rally the troops at this point, voting is closed everywhere except states where Obama will win on the west coast.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:18 PM

And the PA Romney trip was proven to be a desperation measure.

Seems like I might have told you guys that a time or two!

bgibbs, pay me the 100.00!

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:18 PM

OBAMA WINS!!!

Pennsylvania not even close.

PappyD61 on November 6, 2012 at 9:16 PM

Well yeah, he won, but it might be closer when more than 7% of the vote is in.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:18 PM

pittsburgh went blue…dang it…unions win again

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

Fox News just called PA for Obama… not much hope left at this point.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

At only 7%!?!? WTF is with these networks?!?!??!!!?

Nutstuyu on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

Trollcott!!!! do not take the bait. ignore them.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

This is one dumb country. How anyone could vote for Ovomit is beyond me.

envycat on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

PA was always a pipe dream. Romney still has paths to 270 without PA. It’s harder, but still there.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

Oh my!!!

antifederalist on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

Will the last Conservative in Michigan please turn off the lights on their way out?

portlandon on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

JJ Jr won again? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

If ever a turd rode his father’s name for all it’s worth it would be Junior.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 9:16 PM

No kidding. That simple-mined phuckwad hasn’t even been in Congress for months.

Yeah, I’m pissed although not surprised.

Cody1991 on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

http://hotair.com/archives/2012/11/05/hot-air-survey-your-election-predictions-results

Which of you all wants to admit what a bumbling inept uninformed fool you are first? Or like I predicted, are you all going to pretend you never thought nominating flip-flopping lying panderer northeast RINO Mittens was a good idea in the first place?

Daikokuco on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

ok i’m officially freaking out now

talking with mr cmsinaz it just boggles the mind that these folks want another 4 years of this idiot…

he says it boils down to abortion…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:16 PM

I am embarrassed for my sex is this becomes the deciding factor. Horribly horribly embarrassed.

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

I hate to say it but…I think it’s over. Obama’s got this. It says a lot about the state of the nation.

Django on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

PA was always a pipe dream. Romney still has paths to 270 without PA. It’s harder, but still there.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

Well, yes, PA was never a state Romney just had to have.

Terrye on November 6, 2012 at 9:21 PM

So, Romney needs to sew up VA and FL and NC, and then OH or WI/IA/CO. Ugh, not looking so hot…

Lawdawg86 on November 6, 2012 at 9:21 PM

Mitt has to win Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio and Colorado. Ohio will be the key – but I’m encourage by the turnout info I heard during the day.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 9:21 PM

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

ditto

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:21 PM

is anyone watching msdnc…can’t stomach it

I made it for about 45 seconds. Tingles was talking like he had a mouthful of marbles.

tbear44 on November 6, 2012 at 9:12 PM

They don’t even blush anymore when they call themselves a “news” report.

Pravda didn’t have this level of propaganda. Seriously.

KMC1 on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

PA can kiss its coal industry goodbye.

blue13326 on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

RELAX!!!! This is going to be a good night!!!

JAM on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

Mitt is finally pulling away in NC, 51%-49%

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

I hate to say it but…I think it’s over. Obama’s got this. It says a lot about the state of the nation.

Django on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

The moocher class has power.

CW on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

Fox News just called PA for Obama… not much hope left at this point.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

At only 7%!?!? WTF is with these networks?!?!??!!!?

Nutstuyu on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

Fox called PA for Obama long before CNN and MSNBC.

So much for the meme around the liberal media tilting the election towrad Obama. Fox did it first.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

No Nancy Pelosi – to Hades, witch.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

the post partisan president went big time negative

arrgghhhh

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

Will the last Conservative in Michigan please turn off the lights on their way out?

portlandon on November 6, 2012 at 9:19 PM

Conservatives run that state. But with Obama as the main event, there’s very little hope we had of winning.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

How can we gain seats in the house and have the Presidency be this close?

Boggles the mind.

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

I hereby call for a Trollban on Gumby and Daik.

nobar on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

And the PA Romney trip was proven to be a desperation measure.

Seems like I might have told you guys that a time or two!

bgibbs, pay me the 100.00!

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:18 PM

You know, if the so-called infamouse troll (you) turns out to be right, I wonder if a single one of your detractors will own up to the error of their judgement and accept responsibility for their slander and stupidity, as conservatives love to claim they care about (responsibility). Don’t hold your breath though.

Daikokuco on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 9:21 PM

I’m trusting IA this year too, finally…

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Well, I just got home. I refuse to give up PA with 7% of the vote counted. My anonymous internet credibility depends on this.

Night Owl on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

KMC1 on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

you’re not kidding

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

PA is awful. Free Stuff trumps coal, fracking and a future.

Sorry, PA…but thx for playing

r keller on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Good Lord people. The fact that it’s this close is great. Did anyone honestly think that it was going to be a blowout? With the corruption and the media (redundant).

It’s early. Relax. Lots of votes to count. Put on your big girl/boy pants and suck it up.

kim roy on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Pennsylvania Department of State
2012 General Election
Tuesday, November 06, 2012Unofficial Returns
*** 1,387 out of 9,257 Districts (14.98%) Reporting Statewide ***

So I guess they’re just counting (again!) the damn Philadelphia area.

PatriotGal2257 on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Good night.

KCB on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Have they seriously not called Minnesota yet?

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

TROLLCOTT TROLLCOTT TROLLCOTT

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

The morning MAY look very differently, folks.
Breathe.

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

i blame the lsm…if they actually did their job
fast and furious
benghazi
sandy
this would not even be close…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Big intrade crash on Romney. I making fat stacks

Flapjackmaka on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

I hate to say it but…I think it’s over. Obama’s got this. It says a lot about the state of the nation.

Django on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

No, it’s NOT over. Ohio is the key.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

House picks up seats.

Nancy flies broom to San Francisco’s retirement home.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

Geez…Intrade up to 89.9% for the O…holy cow.

Dr. ZhivBlago on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

I hate to say it but…I think it’s over. Obama’s got this. It says a lot about the state of the nation.

Django on November 6, 2012 at 9:20 PM

The moocher class has power.

CW on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

Do you really have to start talking up class warfare already?
The Nasdaq is up almost 100% since Obama was elected and I don’t think that benefits the poor. People can respectfully disagree without engaging in character attacks.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

Mittens down to 11% on Intrade, fellas. Any remaining true believers should hurry on over there and buy some stock. You could really clean up when he pulls an amazing upset.

Armin Tamzarian on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

Good Lord people. The fact that it’s this close is great. Did anyone honestly think that it was going to be a blowout? With the corruption and the media (redundant).

It’s early. Relax. Lots of votes to count. Put on your big girl/boy pants and suck it up.

kim roy on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

x2

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

Stay calm, folks .. Many folks, even in the east coast states ARE STILL IN LINE !!
No joke !!
Pray !,

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 9:18 PM

pambi:

Crap,this evening is like navigating through a narrow channel,
where there is a Sh*t-Load of mines!:)

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

If I believed in god, I’d start praying. America is lost.

hatecraft on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

The moocher class has power.

CW on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

They own the country now. What’s left of it. And they’re going to pick the carcass clean.

This is a major turning point for the country. We had a good run for 200+ but America is toast.

Django on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

States with greater then 60% reporting are for Romney..

States with less then 47% reporting show a lean toward Obama.
With only one exception..

It ain’t over yet..

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

It will be interesting to see if all the state calls hold –
I think Voter turnout will surpass 2008 by far. THAT I’ll bet on.

Have faith, breathe and have another sip of wine (oops my own self help!)

seesalrun2 on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Can I panic yet?

Donald Draper on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Good Lord people. The fact that it’s this close is great. Did anyone honestly think that it was going to be a blowout? With the corruption and the media (redundant).

It’s early. Relax. Lots of votes to count. Put on your big girl/boy pants and suck it up.

kim roy on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Agreed. I understand people’s disappointment that some states were called early (PA, MI), but the most likely path is still very much a possibility with FL, VA, OH, and one other state.

GOPRanknFile on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

PA is awful. Free Stuff trumps coal, fracking and a future.

Sorry, PA…but thx for playing

r keller on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Well, if Romney loses a lot of people will miss their ‘free’ tax cut. It cuts both ways.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

The Media won this one for the commie. Last time – first black guy – meh- you could see that, historical racial bs…..this time around? A record of incompetence nicely covered up.

If the majority of Americans are this stupid….. The tipping point has already passed us by. The Marxist city rats know run this country…….

There is only one solution for preservation.

Split it up.

FlaMurph on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Fox News just called PA for Obama… not much hope left at this point.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:17 PM

Well, I guess there are two questions of hope. Hope for a Romney victory. Hope for our country. I’m sure you were not hoping for a Romney victory. However, if you are under 70,if Obama wins, your golden years will be spent in poverty and misery, because all the big spending of the last 12-to be continued to the next 4 years under Obama-will need to be paid back and there won’t be money to pay for your food or medical care. (Or you may be euthenized depending on how those medical necessity panels go). So if Obama wins, enjoy your pyrrhic victory. If you’re over 70, you’ll probably die before the system implodes.

talkingpoints on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

WI gone

JFS61 on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Surely the SNAFUs in PA will take time to work out, no ??

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

WI to Obama damn damn damn

levi on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

i agree that there have been no ‘surprises’ yet…this has been pretty much CW…and if mitt does FL, VA, NC, CO…as ususual it comes down to OH…historically a slightly right leaning state…but, there’s a high prob of fraud…so mitt need 5 percent to win

r keller on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Wisconsin gone.

Ohio, Ohio, Ohio.

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

PA is awful. Free Stuff trumps coal, fracking and a future.

Sorry, PA…but thx for playing

r keller on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Too many damn jerks in this state. My liberal co-workers … I want to see every one of them be pissed off when our company loses its health care plan and when their energy bills skyrocket.

Don’t blame me. I didn’t vote for your damn Messiah.

I’m p!ssed and I want to go home now.

PatriotGal2257 on November 6, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Steady, friends.

Steady

blatantblue on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Did I say Mittens was at 11% on Intrade? Well, it’s now 8%. I’ll keep you posted.

Armin Tamzarian on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Obama gets Wisconsin: Fox

portlandon on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

Die all looters and moochers. To Hades with you all. I will starve you into oblivion, happily.

The night will be long and FL might have a recount, making it even longer. However, if the looters/moochers win, you can go to Hell.

WI goes Obama.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Dear Lord.

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Mark Knoller ‏@markknoller

Great live Electoral Vote map on http://CBSNews.com at http://www.cbsnews.com/election-results-2012/president.shtml

https://twitter.com/markknoller

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

ahhh f8ck…WI to ombama.
im throwing up

ted c on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

lol WI for Obama O my.

watertown on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Pennsylvania Republicans should have hiked up their skirts and voted to switch Pennsylvania from awarding their EV based on a plurality vote to a proportional vote. Western Pennsylvania, coal country, is getting killed by the abortion obsessed soccer moms and urban entitlement class in and around Philadelphia.

And Wisconsin is going to Obama now, so that’s it, Ohio or bust. Yet VA, NC, and Florida still aren’t called.

Daemonocracy on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

And we just lost Wisconsin per Fox.

I just don’t get it.

JPeterman on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

OK, early to bed tonight.

forest on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

That’s it. Wisconsin gone.

tru2tx on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

WI just turned blue on the FOX map?

TexasDan on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

i blame the lsm…if they actually did their job
fast and furious
benghazi
sandy
this would not even be close…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

Yes. Remember this.

kim roy on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Crap. Wisconsin.

ClintACK on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Wow…Fox calls Wisconsin for Obama already. I think we’re going to lose.

LukeinNE on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

i blame the lsm…if they actually did their job
fast and furious
benghazi
sandy
this would not even be close…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:23 PM

And we could have fore more years of this.

Many more bumps in the road….[graves]

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

The moocher class has power.

CW on November 6, 2012 at 9:22 PM

Hey, CW!

TOLD YA SO

I am ready to accept my accolades! Kneel down before the great political prognosticator!

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:26 PM

TROLLCOTT… the night is young…

Khun Joe on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

No need to panic so long as Ohio is in play, and Ohio is in play.

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

FOX just called Wisconsin for Obama, with less than 2% in. WTF?

idesign on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

WI not even close!

gumbyandpokey on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Romney is screwed so is the USA and the world.

Brian Mallard on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Wisconsin called. Too soon.

NC VA FL still not called.

You all say relax, but I’m not believing anymore.

Gingotts on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

PA was …interesting, but not needed

runner on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Okay, now WI is gone. That one hurts. Now the only way is with Ohio.

Ouch!

johnny alpha on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Wisconsin called for Romney!

MisterPundit on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Mittens down to 11% on Intrade, fellas. Any remaining true believers should hurry on over there and buy some stock. You could really clean up when he pulls an amazing upset.

Armin Tamzarian on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

8% as of now. ROFL.

Daikokuco on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Mittens down to 11% on Intrade, fellas. Any remaining true believers should hurry on over there and buy some stock. You could really clean up when he pulls an amazing upset.

Armin Tamzarian on November 6, 2012 at 9:24 PM

I’m so glad we had that constitutional amendment to switch from EC to Intrade.

Nutstuyu on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

its over. the country committed national suicide tonight.

sbvft contributor on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

Well, the only path is now Florida, VA, NC, Ohio, and then Colorado.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

No need to panic so long as Ohio is in play, and Ohio is in play.

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:27 PM

Maybe.

Josh Mandel just got skunked.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

I can’t believe Obama may be able to pull this thing out.

Un. Be. Liev. Able.

That’s what Romney gets for not talking about vaginas.

HarryBackside on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

#trollcott

MidniteRambler on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

This is crap. EEf everything!

envycat on November 6, 2012 at 9:28 PM

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