7 p.m.: Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina

posted at 6:16 pm on November 6, 2012 by Allahpundit

Free advice, take it or leave it: Don’t start obsessing about Ohio until we have a better sense of what’s happening in Virginia. Everyone’s going to go crazy when the OH early voting totals are revealed sometime after 7:30, as that’ll be the first strong sign of whether Romney’s overperforming or not. But there’s a reason I listed VA as a “prerequisite” in yesterday’s post on electoral math. Losing it won’t kill Romney but it’ll put him in the ICU; it would wipe out 13 of the 18 EVs he’s hoping to gain from Ohio. If he drops VA, then he’d have to win Ohio and Wisconsin and Iowa and another state or else somehow pull the rabbit out of the hat in Pennsylvania. Virginia is a big, big deal, and right now it’s a pure toss-up. Team Mitt likes what they’re seeing, though:

Southwestern Virginia and southwestern Pennsylvania are reportedly seeing big turnout for Romney. In both states, these are the rural conservative regions and Romney needs to run up his numbers in these areas.

Here’s the state’s page for election returns. Politico flags Henrico and Prince William Counties as ones to watch; both went for O last time. Given how tight the race is and the fact that Virgil Goode is a native son, the third-party vote here could potentially be a problem.

North Carolina is Romney’s safest swing state, so much so that I didn’t bother putting it up on the board in yesterday’s “electoral math made easy” post. RCP’s average has him ahead by three points exactly, so there’s your first benchmark in measuring whether GOP turnout nationally is higher than expected tonight. If this state is called early, that’s a good omen. If Obama somehow makes a contest of it, might be time to start drinking. You can follow the returns here.

Now for the big one. O led by 2.9 points in the final RCP average but anecdotal reports today are promising. First, a shot of optimism from Ari Fleischer:

Early voting is up in red counties and down in blue counties from 2008, which is what you’d expect and necessary for a Romney win. WaPo has a nice rundown of benchmarks for key counties: O’s aiming for close to 70 percent in Cuyahoga County, a la what he pulled in 2008, and he’s hoping to cut into Romney’s advantage in Delaware County the way he did to McCain, winning 36,000 votes there versus 27,000 for Kerry in 2004. Franklin County has gotten more Democratic over the last three elections, with Obama winning it in 60-39 four years ago, and both sides are hoping to win Hamilton County, which was reliably red until O won it in 2008. Here’s the Secretary of State’s page for returns. You can click the link there to view by county.

We’ve got a handy dandy Townhall election widget in the front page sidebar for you to follow results. Politico has a county-by-county map of the whole country to help simplify things too. And here’s the livestream for Ed and Guy Benson co-hosting the Hugh Hewitt show. One bit of recommended reading before we get into updates and results: This piece from National Journal explains in detail why Ohio’s rules for provisional ballots might, might lead to a weeks-long clusterfark a la Florida 2000. If you think Romney (or Obama) will win handily tonight then it’s no sweat, but do note that the candidates themselves are well prepared for this eventuality. Romney allegedly has a “go team” ready to roll.

Update: Mitt projecting confidence:

Speaking with reporters on his campaign plane for the last time, Mitt Romney revealed that he’s only written one speech so far.

“I just finished writing a victory speech,” he told the travelling press. “It’s about 1,118 words. And, uh, I’m sure it will change before I’m finished, because I haven’t passed it around to my family and friends and advisers to get their reaction, but I’ve only written one speech at this point.”

Update: The polls in Indiana closed at 6 p.m. ET. Victory is a foregone conclusion there for Romney but not for Richard Mourdock. As I’m writing this, the Indiana Secretary of State’s page is slow so I’m tracking returns on Politico’s page.

Update: Not unexpected, but not good either:

Update: It’s still early in Indiana but David Freddoso notices that Mourdock is underperforming McCain’s county numbers thus far — in a state that McCain lost narrowly. Ari Fleischer sees positive signs for O in Indiana too, but we’ll need Virginia numbers before we can try to deduce any national trends.

Update: Chris Cillizza of WaPo tweets that the bellwether counties in Virginia are Prince William and Loudoun. Both went to Obama in 2008 and then to Bob McDonnell in the gubernatorial race in 2009.

Update: A case study in why you shouldn’t trust early exit polls. According to CNN, the partisan split in Ohio tonight is D+7, which nearly equals the D+8 that Democrats produced in Obama’s wave year of 2008. No way is that correct.

Update: There’s good news in the dubious exit polls too.

Update: Another bellwether for you to watch in Virginia: Fairfax Villa in Fairfax County.

In 2004, John Kerry won Fairfax County, but lost Virginia 54-46. To be precise, Bush got 53.7% in Virginia. He got 52.5% in Fairfax Villa.

In 2008, Virginia voted 52.6% for Obama, and Fairfax Villa voted 53.0% for Obama.

A year later, in the governor election, the precinct and the state swung back to Republicans, big time. Virginia voted 58.6% for Bob McDonnell, and Fairfax Villa voted 60.1% for McDonnell.

Update: With nearly 15 percent reporting, Mourdock trails Joe Donnelly by two-tenths of a point.

Update: Over at the RCP live blog, Sean Trende is watching Virginia: “But with 77% in, Chesterfield [County] is 45% for Obama. That’s what he got last time. If that holds, it is very difficult for Romney to win.”

Update: Why Virginia is close:

Update: Consensus on Twitter right now among experts I follow, including Trende, is that Romney isn’t doing what he needs to do in the suburbs in Virginia to turn the state red. It’s still early and college towns appear to be underperforming for Obama, but the state looks to be close, which is in line with the RCP average showing Obama up by less than half a point. Voting in the state could be extended for hours tonight, so if you haven’t gone yet, now’s the time.

Update: Extremely early in Ohio but unless I’m misreading this, the Secretary of State has already posted the early voting totals. O leads right now by roughly 190,000 votes, which is just about what Jay Cost estimated this morning. Obama’s early vote lead from “strong” blue counties versus “strong” red counties four years ago was 323,000.

Update: Don’t give up on Virginia yet:

Update: Another hopeful sign from Conn Carroll: Romney’s up by 12 with 80 percent reporting in Chesapeake County, which Obama won narrowly four years ago.

Update: With 26 percent in, Romney’s lead in North Carolina is less than a point. But Jim Geraghty reports that the mood among GOP insiders about NC, FL, and especially VA has improved markedly in the past half hour or so.

Update: Meanwhile in Indiana, hopes of repealing ObamaCare are waning. Mourdock trails by more than three points with more than 45 percent reporting.

Update: Back in Virginia, Romney’s atoning for his underperformance in Chesterfield County with big numbers up north:

Ben Domenech also now thinks Romney will hang on in Virginia. Fingers crossed.

Update: Patrick Ruffini spies a 16-point swing against Obama in Arlington County and is now wondering if Virginia might even be called for the GOP before Florida.

Update: Erika and MKH have you covered in Pennsylvania and Michigan, but I’m hearing that news outlets just called the Senate race in PA for Bob Casey and the presidential race in MI for Obama at the top of the hour. That takes one potential Romney longshot state off the table and makes Pennsylvania seem unlikely. But then, Ohio and Wisconsin have always been our best bets.

Update: Tim Carney, who noted Fairfax Villa as a key bellwether in one of the updates above, is in Fairfax County tonight and doesn’t like what he sees. Interesting difference of opinion right now between him and Trende on the one hand and Rove and Ruffini on the other about Romney using northern Virginia to pull this out.

Update: With 62.5 percent reporting and more than six and a half million votes counted, Romney leads in Florida — by 12,000 votes. Bush/Gore deja vu!

Update: Oof — multiple news outlets now calling Pennsylvania for Obama. That leaves Minnesota as the only longshot on the table for Romney. If, as expected, that goes blue too, then he needs to win either Ohio or Wisconsin. And if Virginia slips through his fingers, he’ll need to win both.

Update: Some quick and dirty electoral math for you now that Michigan and Pennsylvania are off the table. If Obama holds on in Minnesota and Nevada, which he’s expected to do, then he’s at 243 electoral votes. Florida has 29, so if he pulls the upset there, then he doesn’t need any other state. He’d be at 272 and that would be it. Romney desperately needs to hold that slim lead in FL. If instead O pulls an upset in Virginia, that would put him at 256. He could get to 270 then with Ohio or with Wisconsin plus any other state or with Colorado plus Iowa.

Update: Oh boy. Fox News just called Wisconsin for Obama. All down to Ohio now for Romney. He needs to win OH + FL + VA + one other state.

Update: CBS just called New Hampshire for Obama, which simplifies things. If Romney doesn’t hold on in Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina and win Ohio and Iowa or Colorado, he’s done.

Oh: And Fox News just called the Indiana Senate for Joe Donnelly.

Update: With nearly 80 percent in, Obama’s actually ahead in Florida by 14,000 votes. And the word on Twitter is that he’s doing well in the bellwether counties.

Update: ABC just called Minnesota for Obama so all the longshots are now off the table. I assume Nevada will be called within the next 20 minutes or so (it’s 9:55 p.m. ET right now), which means Romney’s remaining path will be basically set. FL + VA + NC + OH + either CO or IA. Or bust.

Update: The good news is, with almost 77 percent in, Romney holds a lead in Virginia of nearly 90,000 votes. The bad news is in Florida, where, with 87 percent in, Obama’s clinging to a 37,000-vote lead. At the RCP blog, Tom Bevan says the remaining precincts there should favor … Obama.

Update: As noted above, Obama leads in Florida by 37,000 votes. Right now, Gary Johnson has … 39,000 votes.

Update: Elsewhere, in the suddenly forgotten state of Ohio, Obama holds a 90,000-vote lead with roughly half the state reporting.

Update: As of 10:30 ET, Romney’s ahead in the national popular vote by 1.3 million votes. Only eight percent of New York has reported, though, and none of the west coast has come in yet, so expect that to disappear quickly. Realistically, if Obama’s on his way to 300 or so electoral votes, he’s not going to lose the popular vote.

Update: O’s up by only 16,000 votes in Florida with nine percent of the state still be counted, but a big chunk of that is in Miami-Dade County, where 30 percent of the vote is still outstanding. That’s Obama’s stronghold; assuming that remaining 30 percent trends blue, he’s going to pad his lead, not lose it.

Update: At 10:54 ET, Romney finally wins the swing state that everyone thought would be easy pickings. The AP just called North Carolina for him. With nearly 98 percent reporting, he leads by two points. Meanwhie, with two-thirds of the vote in, Obama continues to lead in Ohio by 80,000 votes.

Update: Just as I’m reporting the first big Romney victory of the night, the Denver Post is calling Colorado for Obama. That makes the math easy: Romney now needs Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and Iowa. A loss in any of those states ends it.

Update: I’m hearing that George Allen has conceded to Tim Kaine in the Virginia Senate race, which bodes ill for Romney’s chances. He leads by 13,000 votes but there are blue counties still to come in. Larry Sabato called the state a likely win for O just 10 minutes ago.

Looks like the writing’s on the wall. The networks are holding off on calling these states, I think, simply because it amounts to calling the entire election.

Update: NBC just called Iowa for Obama. Assuming all the calls made by the networks are correct tonight (some Republicans are holding out hope for Wisconsin, although it’s been called by both Fox and ABC), then the election’s all but over. We’re just waiting on Nevada now, O’s strongest swing state, to clinch 271.

Update: At 11:13 ET, NBC calls Ohio for Obama. Fox follows a minute later. Ballgame.

Update: Assuming O holds on in Florida and ekes it out in Virginia, he’ll have swept all the swing states except NC and will finish with 332 electoral votes, not far off the pace from the 365 he won four years ago. Nearly four years of a miserable economy plus hundreds of millions of dollars in conservative campaign spending was worth 32 electoral votes. Indiana and North Carolina, essentially.

Update: I guess it’s time.

Update: This result is so bad that I think we need to double dip on misery videos. Did the Democrats actually pick up Senate seats this year?

Update: At 12:40 a.m., both the AP and CBS are calling Virginia for Obama. He’s over 300 EVs now, I believe. Still waiting on Florida, where he leads by 50,000 votes with 97.5 percent reporting. He’s ahead in the popular vote now too, with most of California and 20 percent of New York still to report.


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Exit polls – the last gasp of the MSM

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

yup

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

If you’re in line, STAY !! Says Paul Ryan.

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

Gonna chill out…

Prayers to those who need prayer and well wishes to those who are ill, and God Bless to everyone!

Scrumpy on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

I have to say I’m calm.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

As am I.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

I’m serene. Decency will win tonight.

It’s still the economy, stupid and the love of country will be the icing on the cake.

Revenge will go to HI.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

As am I.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

Whats your secret?

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

Look on the bright side, if Bark wins we all get to learn what it’s like to be Greek, and I for one loved the movie “300″; how bad can it be?

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

Just did the unthinkable and turned on MSNBC, 4 sad and pained faces is what i saw, and Rachael Madcow questionung if Romney really onky prepared an acceptance speach

Oh please, oh please, oh please

Floriduh Jim on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

“I’m having mouse issues”…making things slow. We Shall overcome! Oh,crap. they own that R word, I forgetted!

Chewy the Lab on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

I accepted defeat long ago…

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

You’re a Democrat.
Do you really think you are fooling anyone?

sharrukin on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

STAY CALM!!!!!!

HornetSting on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

Hey darlin’
Good to see ya’

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

I accepted defeat long ago, when I realized romney was a bad candidate and the message coming out from the GOP during the primary season was not popular.

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

You’re worse than gumball, you depressing P.O.S.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

Let’s do this Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina! Old Pulteney is waiting in the cabinet.

Demosthenes on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

To throw the first Black president out of office would be akin to America turning its back on the victims of Hurricane Katrina.

Obama needs to be re-elected to save the nation.

How many of you really believe there will ever be a President Romney?

Underground idea: Evangelicals will not vote for a Mormon candidate for President.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

I have to say I’m calm.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

As am I.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

So am I. I wonder if I’ve had an aneurism or something.

tru2tx on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

Whats your secret?

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

Obviously, I’m not Bmore, but mine is that, while the US has a lot of dummies, I believe she hasn’t reached the leftist Utopian ideal yet.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

No way paying ANY attention to the early polling … just silly.
Awaiting a family poll-officail’s report from NC. We’ll see.

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

My wife actually banished me to the Man Cave (some punishment) and said don’t keep coming up here and telling me updates until it’s all over.

Problem is, the bathrooms are up there and there’s a cover on the sump pump.

Litter boxes are down here, though.

Hmmmm….

Phoenix7 on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

Allah, I hate to be picky but the appropriate term is “cluster fiesta”. Thank you.

Mason on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

VOTED

John the Libertarian on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

TROLLCOTT!

MJBrutus on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

I hate exit polls..It makes folks lose their mind..:)

Dire Straits on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

Underground idea: You’re an idiot.

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

LOL at Exit Polls and those that get all worked up over them…

Nothing like a bunch doofus college students taking a unscientific poll of a few people who have nothing better to do than stand around and waste time by answering their questions.

Really come on…

William Eaton on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

I think I’m gonna be sick…

Hold me!

ted c on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

BRB–Time to go get my pizza until shrimp & champagne time arrives. Oh, and a good victory cigar, too.

predator on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

STAY CALM!!!!!!

HornetSting on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

Hard to do tonight. A drink may help…

Slainte on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

Hornet, you stick around tonight. You can calm the entire house all on your own.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

Someone has his head stuck up in his nathor-regions.

slickwillie2001 on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

Please do not feed the trolls.

novaculus on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

I really like Ryan, the way he speaks is outstanding, and of course he’s smart as hell.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

steve schmidt said that he personally told Palin not to give her “unprecedented” vp concession speech, as it would have “debased” the moment.

i did some obama debasing by voting against him today.

renalin on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

If there are sad faces at MSNBC I’m happy.
Otherwise I can’t bear to watch.

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

CNN Exit has turnout estimated at D+3.

If that is true, Romney wins.

The current RCP National Poll Avg has an average expected turnout of D+5 for an Obama lead of 0.8%.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

I’ve got my champagne on ice, and the shrimp is chilled too. I want to consume both in celebration!

Let’s go, R&R!

predator on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

I hope your champagne is not flat and your shrimp is not limp, by the time we get the good news!!

ROMNEY/RYAN 2012

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

where’s canopfor???

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

It’s going to be a night somewhere btw. 2004 and 1980.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Oh God is Fox actually giving a tour of the freaking set???

Phoenix7 on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

The states that Drudge indicates are “toss up” will go for Romney. Dems ALWAYS over perform on exit polls as much as 7 pts.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

I hate exit polls..It makes folks lose their mind..:)

Yeah, it really does.

Remember in 2004 where they showed Kerry winning rather handily?

SteveMG on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

It’s a dark, scary night in America. Mitt Romney is the last hope of light to change things. I fear for us all.
Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM
No! Even if by some horrible quirk of fate, we lose, it’s morning in America! Ronald Reagan taught me that, and I believe him. The fact that there are guys like Mitt Romney who are running speaks loads about our future and our potential as a nation. We are still awesome.
Kristamatic on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

There are still plenty of awesome people left in the country. That alone will not make a great nation. Especially if they are out numbered by takers and have Socialists running the country into the ground that are going to radicalize the Supreme Court and open the borders to 30-50 million people from South of the the Rio Grande.

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

renalin on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

I like to think that I did my part in taking out the trash this AM.

MJBrutus on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

1% in NH
dear leader winning

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Look on the bright side, if Bark wins we all get to learn what it’s like to be Greek, and I for one loved the movie “300″; how bad can it be?

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

And I must admit I’ve always had tremendous respect for the likes of Thales, Pythagoras, Euclid, and Archimedes.

Still, looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinking.

JimLennon on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Whowever wins Hampden county/OH wins the state.

It went Bush 2004, Obama 2008 and will go Romney 2012.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Hamilton.

E-R

electric-rascal on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

I have to go sell something to someone. I’ll be back in a while.

Meanwhile, go kick a cat or something and relax.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

You’re worse than gumball, you depressing P.O.S.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

get a grip, voting is over, now its reckoning time!

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Early voting is up in red counties and down in blue counties from 2008…

That really surprises me…I always thought Dems were more the early voting types. And just a hunch, but Virginia should go Romney’s way…and by a decent margin.

JetBoy on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

If there are sad faces at MSNBC I’m happy.
Otherwise I can’t bear to watch.

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Only go there after Romney is declared the winner.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

‘it’s going to be a long night’
DRINK!

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

a very tight race
DRINK

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

*clinky!*

*clinky!*

:)

Seven Percent Solution on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Ga polls should officially be closed. Ga. has done its part to remove the stain.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Bad news out of Indiana – looks like early results have Mourdock lagging Romney by 11 points. Obamacare-haters had better hope that closes up.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Look on the bright side, if Bark wins we all get to learn what it’s like to be Greek, and I for one loved the movie “300″; how bad can it be?

Haha…and I also love Gyros. This is Murica!

nextgen_repub on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

I have never wanted something so much in my life.
Please, Dear GOD……let it be so.
GOD BLESS AMERICA!!!!!!!

maelstrom on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Politico flags Henrico and Prince William Counties as ones to watch;

Henrico is geographically split, with the City of Richmond (a separate jurisdiction) in the middle. It’s also demographically split, with the eastern half skewing lower income and education, black, and Democratic. Western Henrico, where I live and vote, skews the opposite. For the first time in 18 years, there was a line at our polling place at about 10:45 this morning.

bgoldman on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Hamilton.

E-R

electric-rascal on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

If that is where Cunningham lives, I gladly stand corrected. Thanks.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

KEEP CALM

and

FINISH HIM

novaculus on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Look on the bright side, if Bark wins we all get to learn what it’s like to be Greek, and I for one loved the movie “300″; how bad can it be?

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

Americans! Tonight, We Dine in Hell!

William Eaton on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Who needs this freakin’ tour, Brett?

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Seven Percent Solution on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

*clink*
and to all those who have raised their glasses thus far

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Voting is not over. You are an a s s.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Enjoy your new title “Troll”

JPeterman on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

I have faith in the good people of this country. Patience is in order. Don’t let the trolls wind you up.

STL_Vet on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

NC, easy RR victory. No worries here.

Panther on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Chins up, guys. The evening has just begun and perhaps a new day:

http://www.aei-ideas.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/Romney-Reagan-600×377.jpg

Cody1991 on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Is it too late to yell…..BISHOP!!!!!!

HomeoftheBrave on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

I hate exit polls..It makes folks lose their mind..:)

Dire Straits on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

Yeah you hate exit polls because Gary Johnson didn’t fare so well.

/kidding

we need humor or else we will go berserk the next few hours.

SparkPlug on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Underground idea: Evangelicals will not vote for a Mormon candidate for President.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

Teh stupid is strong with this one…

tom daschle concerned on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

voted in dem stronghold east cleveland suburb this AM, no lines, not at all like 2008. Quietly optimistic.

clevbrian19d on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

I have a long night of studying ahead so I’m off to take a nap, but look forward to some results coming in when I wake up.

GO MITT GO!!!!

Midwestprincesse on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

Clock issue.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

I had to write in Gerald Johansen.

tom daschle concerned on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

switched over to cnn, don’t need a bloody fox tour

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

CNN Exit has turnout estimated at D+3.

If that is true, Romney wins.

The current RCP National Poll Avg has an average expected turnout of D+5 for an Obama lead of 0.8%.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

If exit polls only say D+3, then the ACTUAL turnout will be even, R+1 or R+2.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

Heh – Drudge had some cold water.

EXCITEMENT BUILDS…
EXIT POLLS: Economy still No. 1 issue…
Obama has 190 electoral votes and Romney has 191 locked…
FLASHBACK: Report Acknowledges Inaccuracies in 2004 Exit Polls…

EXIT POLLS TIGHT
R: NC, FL
O: NH, PA, MI, NV
TOSS UP: OH, VA, CO, IA

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

If there are sad faces at MSNBC I’m happy.
Otherwise I can’t bear to watch.

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Only go there after Romney is declared the winner.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

Gotta fix that a little…

Only go there after Romney is declared the winner steals the election.

JetBoy on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

Obviously, I’m not Bmore, but mine is that, while the US has a lot of dummies, I believe she hasn’t reached the leftist Utopian ideal yet.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

I guess I’m not so sure about that. I hope you are right and my fears are misguided. If we’ve reached that tipping point we will find out tonight and the America I knew will be no more.

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

Knowing that every other other person I encounter is either a lunatic or is at some level of mental dysfunction, a Romney win will be bittersweet for me.

Mr. Arrogant on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

ok i posted this on another thread but im gonna repeat myself. i just got home about ten minutes ago i have been standing on the corner near my polling place with a fire Obama sign since 8 am . stayed til 630 pm. i think i did my part today. i am however very tired and kinda cranky after haveing been subjected to so very many vile racist slurs all day from dems. so now i am ready to settle in and watch the results. lets go Romney/Ryan!

katee bayer on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

1% in NH
dear leader winning

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

Yes, he won the two novelty towns.

Polls are open in New Hampshire until 8.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

NC, easy RR victory. No worries here.

Panther on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

I only regret that I had only 1 vote to contribute to that win :-)

MJBrutus on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

I am going to get mind off exit polls, and go put a load of clothes in wash.

ConservativePartyNow on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

1% in NH
dear leader winning

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

For heaven’s sake it is LESS than 1%.

tru2tx on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

God please calm me! I am literally shaking like a leaf. I go from being wildly confident to terrified in a matter of seconds.

Nikkia2112 on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

Yes, writing in Colonel Sanders Huntsman was a task, but in the end, she shall prevail. Calm here too, listening to The Dead and awaiting the meltdown…

ahlaphus on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

Florida will go Obama tonight.

The Cuban-Americans will turn on Romney because he does not love Castro.

Jewish voters will overwhelmingly vote for the Messiah because they secretly want Israel destroyed.

White voters are afraid of minority voters. We can’t deny the first Black president a second term.

We need to sacrifice our country for our self-preservation.

Please Barack please take away our 2nd Amendment rights to please the UN.

Please impose on us a police state. We deserve it. We don’t deserve to pursue happiness.

We bow before the Messiah.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM
You’re worse than gumball, you depressing P.O.S.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

Ignore him KG, he’ll ruin your evening.

hawkdriver on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:42 PM

ooopsie, didn’t know that…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

Who needs this freakin’ tour, Brett?

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:41 PM

If they’re givin’ a tour of Megyn Kelly then I do.

Oldnuke on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

I accepted defeat long ago, when I realized romney was a bad candidate and the message coming out from the GOP during the primary season was not popular.

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

You’re worse than gumball, you depressing P.O.S.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:36 PM

“Defeat”?
I thought nathor was an Obot?

Count to 10 on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

Just relax

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

God please calm me! I am literally shaking like a leaf. I go from being wildly confident to terrified in a matter of seconds.

Nikkia2112 on November 6, 2012 at 6:43 PM

LOL, me too

El_Terrible on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

I just voted…..cracking a beer and it isn’t even 5 here yet…it’s not cuz I’m nervous just sick of Carl Cameron smug mug

Stray Cat on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

Hornet, you stick around tonight. You can calm the entire house all on your own.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:38 PM

I’ll be going between here and our FB page. :)

HornetSting on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

Still, looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinking.

JimLennon on November 6, 2012 at 6:39 PM

That’s for sure. So pass me some glue, crack, crank, and cigs.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

Hello my friendS!

KCB on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

John the Libertarian on November 6, 2012 at 6:37 PM

Good deal..:)

Dire Straits on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

Anyone who gets wobbly will be summarily thrown out of my kayak which can hold as many as one passenger, including myself.

SparkPlug on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

Seven Percent Solution on November 6, 2012 at 6:40 PM

*clink*
And, y’all might regret that … LOL !

IF YOU’RE IN LINE, STAY, AND VOTE !!

pambi on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

Ignore the trolls.

Don’t even write Trollcot. Just overlook their pap.

They are filling their diapers/Depends already.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:44 PM

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