7 p.m.: Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina

posted at 6:16 pm on November 6, 2012 by Allahpundit

Free advice, take it or leave it: Don’t start obsessing about Ohio until we have a better sense of what’s happening in Virginia. Everyone’s going to go crazy when the OH early voting totals are revealed sometime after 7:30, as that’ll be the first strong sign of whether Romney’s overperforming or not. But there’s a reason I listed VA as a “prerequisite” in yesterday’s post on electoral math. Losing it won’t kill Romney but it’ll put him in the ICU; it would wipe out 13 of the 18 EVs he’s hoping to gain from Ohio. If he drops VA, then he’d have to win Ohio and Wisconsin and Iowa and another state or else somehow pull the rabbit out of the hat in Pennsylvania. Virginia is a big, big deal, and right now it’s a pure toss-up. Team Mitt likes what they’re seeing, though:

Southwestern Virginia and southwestern Pennsylvania are reportedly seeing big turnout for Romney. In both states, these are the rural conservative regions and Romney needs to run up his numbers in these areas.

Here’s the state’s page for election returns. Politico flags Henrico and Prince William Counties as ones to watch; both went for O last time. Given how tight the race is and the fact that Virgil Goode is a native son, the third-party vote here could potentially be a problem.

North Carolina is Romney’s safest swing state, so much so that I didn’t bother putting it up on the board in yesterday’s “electoral math made easy” post. RCP’s average has him ahead by three points exactly, so there’s your first benchmark in measuring whether GOP turnout nationally is higher than expected tonight. If this state is called early, that’s a good omen. If Obama somehow makes a contest of it, might be time to start drinking. You can follow the returns here.

Now for the big one. O led by 2.9 points in the final RCP average but anecdotal reports today are promising. First, a shot of optimism from Ari Fleischer:

Early voting is up in red counties and down in blue counties from 2008, which is what you’d expect and necessary for a Romney win. WaPo has a nice rundown of benchmarks for key counties: O’s aiming for close to 70 percent in Cuyahoga County, a la what he pulled in 2008, and he’s hoping to cut into Romney’s advantage in Delaware County the way he did to McCain, winning 36,000 votes there versus 27,000 for Kerry in 2004. Franklin County has gotten more Democratic over the last three elections, with Obama winning it in 60-39 four years ago, and both sides are hoping to win Hamilton County, which was reliably red until O won it in 2008. Here’s the Secretary of State’s page for returns. You can click the link there to view by county.

We’ve got a handy dandy Townhall election widget in the front page sidebar for you to follow results. Politico has a county-by-county map of the whole country to help simplify things too. And here’s the livestream for Ed and Guy Benson co-hosting the Hugh Hewitt show. One bit of recommended reading before we get into updates and results: This piece from National Journal explains in detail why Ohio’s rules for provisional ballots might, might lead to a weeks-long clusterfark a la Florida 2000. If you think Romney (or Obama) will win handily tonight then it’s no sweat, but do note that the candidates themselves are well prepared for this eventuality. Romney allegedly has a “go team” ready to roll.

Update: Mitt projecting confidence:

Speaking with reporters on his campaign plane for the last time, Mitt Romney revealed that he’s only written one speech so far.

“I just finished writing a victory speech,” he told the travelling press. “It’s about 1,118 words. And, uh, I’m sure it will change before I’m finished, because I haven’t passed it around to my family and friends and advisers to get their reaction, but I’ve only written one speech at this point.”

Update: The polls in Indiana closed at 6 p.m. ET. Victory is a foregone conclusion there for Romney but not for Richard Mourdock. As I’m writing this, the Indiana Secretary of State’s page is slow so I’m tracking returns on Politico’s page.

Update: Not unexpected, but not good either:

Update: It’s still early in Indiana but David Freddoso notices that Mourdock is underperforming McCain’s county numbers thus far — in a state that McCain lost narrowly. Ari Fleischer sees positive signs for O in Indiana too, but we’ll need Virginia numbers before we can try to deduce any national trends.

Update: Chris Cillizza of WaPo tweets that the bellwether counties in Virginia are Prince William and Loudoun. Both went to Obama in 2008 and then to Bob McDonnell in the gubernatorial race in 2009.

Update: A case study in why you shouldn’t trust early exit polls. According to CNN, the partisan split in Ohio tonight is D+7, which nearly equals the D+8 that Democrats produced in Obama’s wave year of 2008. No way is that correct.

Update: There’s good news in the dubious exit polls too.

Update: Another bellwether for you to watch in Virginia: Fairfax Villa in Fairfax County.

In 2004, John Kerry won Fairfax County, but lost Virginia 54-46. To be precise, Bush got 53.7% in Virginia. He got 52.5% in Fairfax Villa.

In 2008, Virginia voted 52.6% for Obama, and Fairfax Villa voted 53.0% for Obama.

A year later, in the governor election, the precinct and the state swung back to Republicans, big time. Virginia voted 58.6% for Bob McDonnell, and Fairfax Villa voted 60.1% for McDonnell.

Update: With nearly 15 percent reporting, Mourdock trails Joe Donnelly by two-tenths of a point.

Update: Over at the RCP live blog, Sean Trende is watching Virginia: “But with 77% in, Chesterfield [County] is 45% for Obama. That’s what he got last time. If that holds, it is very difficult for Romney to win.”

Update: Why Virginia is close:

Update: Consensus on Twitter right now among experts I follow, including Trende, is that Romney isn’t doing what he needs to do in the suburbs in Virginia to turn the state red. It’s still early and college towns appear to be underperforming for Obama, but the state looks to be close, which is in line with the RCP average showing Obama up by less than half a point. Voting in the state could be extended for hours tonight, so if you haven’t gone yet, now’s the time.

Update: Extremely early in Ohio but unless I’m misreading this, the Secretary of State has already posted the early voting totals. O leads right now by roughly 190,000 votes, which is just about what Jay Cost estimated this morning. Obama’s early vote lead from “strong” blue counties versus “strong” red counties four years ago was 323,000.

Update: Don’t give up on Virginia yet:

Update: Another hopeful sign from Conn Carroll: Romney’s up by 12 with 80 percent reporting in Chesapeake County, which Obama won narrowly four years ago.

Update: With 26 percent in, Romney’s lead in North Carolina is less than a point. But Jim Geraghty reports that the mood among GOP insiders about NC, FL, and especially VA has improved markedly in the past half hour or so.

Update: Meanwhile in Indiana, hopes of repealing ObamaCare are waning. Mourdock trails by more than three points with more than 45 percent reporting.

Update: Back in Virginia, Romney’s atoning for his underperformance in Chesterfield County with big numbers up north:

Ben Domenech also now thinks Romney will hang on in Virginia. Fingers crossed.

Update: Patrick Ruffini spies a 16-point swing against Obama in Arlington County and is now wondering if Virginia might even be called for the GOP before Florida.

Update: Erika and MKH have you covered in Pennsylvania and Michigan, but I’m hearing that news outlets just called the Senate race in PA for Bob Casey and the presidential race in MI for Obama at the top of the hour. That takes one potential Romney longshot state off the table and makes Pennsylvania seem unlikely. But then, Ohio and Wisconsin have always been our best bets.

Update: Tim Carney, who noted Fairfax Villa as a key bellwether in one of the updates above, is in Fairfax County tonight and doesn’t like what he sees. Interesting difference of opinion right now between him and Trende on the one hand and Rove and Ruffini on the other about Romney using northern Virginia to pull this out.

Update: With 62.5 percent reporting and more than six and a half million votes counted, Romney leads in Florida — by 12,000 votes. Bush/Gore deja vu!

Update: Oof — multiple news outlets now calling Pennsylvania for Obama. That leaves Minnesota as the only longshot on the table for Romney. If, as expected, that goes blue too, then he needs to win either Ohio or Wisconsin. And if Virginia slips through his fingers, he’ll need to win both.

Update: Some quick and dirty electoral math for you now that Michigan and Pennsylvania are off the table. If Obama holds on in Minnesota and Nevada, which he’s expected to do, then he’s at 243 electoral votes. Florida has 29, so if he pulls the upset there, then he doesn’t need any other state. He’d be at 272 and that would be it. Romney desperately needs to hold that slim lead in FL. If instead O pulls an upset in Virginia, that would put him at 256. He could get to 270 then with Ohio or with Wisconsin plus any other state or with Colorado plus Iowa.

Update: Oh boy. Fox News just called Wisconsin for Obama. All down to Ohio now for Romney. He needs to win OH + FL + VA + one other state.

Update: CBS just called New Hampshire for Obama, which simplifies things. If Romney doesn’t hold on in Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina and win Ohio and Iowa or Colorado, he’s done.

Oh: And Fox News just called the Indiana Senate for Joe Donnelly.

Update: With nearly 80 percent in, Obama’s actually ahead in Florida by 14,000 votes. And the word on Twitter is that he’s doing well in the bellwether counties.

Update: ABC just called Minnesota for Obama so all the longshots are now off the table. I assume Nevada will be called within the next 20 minutes or so (it’s 9:55 p.m. ET right now), which means Romney’s remaining path will be basically set. FL + VA + NC + OH + either CO or IA. Or bust.

Update: The good news is, with almost 77 percent in, Romney holds a lead in Virginia of nearly 90,000 votes. The bad news is in Florida, where, with 87 percent in, Obama’s clinging to a 37,000-vote lead. At the RCP blog, Tom Bevan says the remaining precincts there should favor … Obama.

Update: As noted above, Obama leads in Florida by 37,000 votes. Right now, Gary Johnson has … 39,000 votes.

Update: Elsewhere, in the suddenly forgotten state of Ohio, Obama holds a 90,000-vote lead with roughly half the state reporting.

Update: As of 10:30 ET, Romney’s ahead in the national popular vote by 1.3 million votes. Only eight percent of New York has reported, though, and none of the west coast has come in yet, so expect that to disappear quickly. Realistically, if Obama’s on his way to 300 or so electoral votes, he’s not going to lose the popular vote.

Update: O’s up by only 16,000 votes in Florida with nine percent of the state still be counted, but a big chunk of that is in Miami-Dade County, where 30 percent of the vote is still outstanding. That’s Obama’s stronghold; assuming that remaining 30 percent trends blue, he’s going to pad his lead, not lose it.

Update: At 10:54 ET, Romney finally wins the swing state that everyone thought would be easy pickings. The AP just called North Carolina for him. With nearly 98 percent reporting, he leads by two points. Meanwhie, with two-thirds of the vote in, Obama continues to lead in Ohio by 80,000 votes.

Update: Just as I’m reporting the first big Romney victory of the night, the Denver Post is calling Colorado for Obama. That makes the math easy: Romney now needs Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and Iowa. A loss in any of those states ends it.

Update: I’m hearing that George Allen has conceded to Tim Kaine in the Virginia Senate race, which bodes ill for Romney’s chances. He leads by 13,000 votes but there are blue counties still to come in. Larry Sabato called the state a likely win for O just 10 minutes ago.

Looks like the writing’s on the wall. The networks are holding off on calling these states, I think, simply because it amounts to calling the entire election.

Update: NBC just called Iowa for Obama. Assuming all the calls made by the networks are correct tonight (some Republicans are holding out hope for Wisconsin, although it’s been called by both Fox and ABC), then the election’s all but over. We’re just waiting on Nevada now, O’s strongest swing state, to clinch 271.

Update: At 11:13 ET, NBC calls Ohio for Obama. Fox follows a minute later. Ballgame.

Update: Assuming O holds on in Florida and ekes it out in Virginia, he’ll have swept all the swing states except NC and will finish with 332 electoral votes, not far off the pace from the 365 he won four years ago. Nearly four years of a miserable economy plus hundreds of millions of dollars in conservative campaign spending was worth 32 electoral votes. Indiana and North Carolina, essentially.

Update: I guess it’s time.

Update: This result is so bad that I think we need to double dip on misery videos. Did the Democrats actually pick up Senate seats this year?

Update: At 12:40 a.m., both the AP and CBS are calling Virginia for Obama. He’s over 300 EVs now, I believe. Still waiting on Florida, where he leads by 50,000 votes with 97.5 percent reporting. He’s ahead in the popular vote now too, with most of California and 20 percent of New York still to report.


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The nailbiting begins…

OmahaConservative on November 6, 2012 at 6:17 PM

Let’s do this.

El_Terrible on November 6, 2012 at 6:19 PM

Dear God, let me be wrong!!!

Amen.

PappyD61 on November 6, 2012 at 6:19 PM

Counting on OHIO to step up for Mitt!!

Khun Joe on November 6, 2012 at 6:19 PM

bring.it.on.

Lost in Jersey on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

I feel like saying “I’m gonna drink, pass out, and you guys tell me the score in the morning.”

El_Terrible on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

Feels like watching a game on ESPN Classic. Polls might be telling us how this thing ends, but it’ll be a nerve wracking viewing experience regardless.

YYZ on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

I hope Drudge didn’t f up turnout with his constantly changing headlines.

MisterPundit on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

Finally! An election night thread! It’s time!

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

Cheers everyone!

we are in this together whatever happens

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

Drudge has already moved OH from Obama to toss up.

MobileVideoEngineer on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

The champagne is on ice….well, actually it’s in the fridge. But I’m hoping to have it opened before 11PM EST.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Clean sweep for the Messiah.

The polls are fixed.

Obama will win each state by 5 points.

White voters will not show up at the polls because of Black Panthers and the threat of race riots.

Let the minorities rule America. Abolish the 22nd Amendment. Obama the next Castro.

White guilt is here to stay.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Sorry folks, but it looks like Obama is going to win this with something like 300 EV…

Durandal on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Drudge has already moved OH from Obama to toss up.

MobileVideoEngineer on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

They called Ohio for Obama already?

El_Terrible on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Is anybody watching the actual #s on CNN for KY and IN? They look very good for RR.

matthew8787 on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Sorry folks, but it looks like Obama is going to win this with something like 300 EV…

Durandal on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Based on what? Exit polls? If you believe those, I have 2 words for you: President Kerry.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 6:22 PM

270, please. And the sooner the better.

predator on November 6, 2012 at 6:22 PM

Drudge has already moved OH from Obama to toss up.

MobileVideoEngineer on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

lol

HotAirLib on November 6, 2012 at 6:22 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Stub it out. You’ve choomed past the limit.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:22 PM

Stop with the doom and gloom- Belief is powerful! We can win this!

Kristamatic on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

John Ziegler claimed over 3 years ago the fix was in for Obama. I believe him. The media will make damned sure Obama prevails tonight.

And failing that the it’s who counts the vote, not who votes.

George Soros has paid off all the vote counters.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

Trollcott

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

cnn freaking out about those provisional ballots…

if a voter can make a mark on his ballot, he can write his own SSN on the provisional form

geez louise…

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

They called Ohio for Obama already?

El_Terrible on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

No, exit polls. Drudge had Ohio in O’s column based on the first round of exit polls. The second wave probably came in because now he has it as a toss up.

MobileVideoEngineer on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

We are going to finish this thing.

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

Shut up.

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Feeling a bit pessimistic

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Stub it out. You’ve choomed past the limit.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:22 PM

You too, Durandal. Troll central already…

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

switched over to msdnc, tingles has a worried look on his face

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Go votefor ROMNEY/RYAN! Stand in line until you cast your ballot. The polls have to stay open as long as you were in line by the closing time. If you are in a non-Eastern time zone state, go to the polls NOW. Don’t come back until it’s done.

ashleymatt on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Just a quick reminder. Exit polls are crap. Even huffington post knows they always skew hard democrat.

EXITPOLLCOTT!

Oh, and Drudge is trying to make money. Which is great, but he’s historically very untrustworthy on Election Day.

happytobehere on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Cheers everyone!

we are in this together whatever happens

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:20 PM

Cheers!

The champagne is on ice….well, actually it’s in the fridge. But I’m hoping to have it opened before 11PM EST.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

I’ve got my champagne on ice, and the shrimp is chilled too. I want to consume both in celebration!

Let’s go, R&R!

predator on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Is anybody watching the actual #s on CNN for KY and IN? They look very good for RR.

matthew8787 on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Kentucky and Indiana are both sure things for Romney.

sharrukin on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

To the powers that be: I hate liberals, but please be very liberal with the ban hammer tonight. Most of us here want news and not be taunted by O’ voting trolls.

mpthompson on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Technopeasant – you forgot your “sarc” tag.

Amjean on November 6, 2012 at 6:25 PM

Let’s go, R&R!

predator on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

:)

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:25 PM

Ohio report.

Bill Cunningham (famed WLW radio personality, that is occasionally on Hannity radio and tv show) says turnout in “traditional Republican” areas very strong (1.5 hour waits, well above 2000/2004 levels), while “those other areas” are down 40% in turnout.

Anecdotal, but encouraging.

E-R

electric-rascal on November 6, 2012 at 6:25 PM

Clink!

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 6:25 PM

And failing that the it’s who counts the vote, not who votes.

George Soros has paid off all the vote counters.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

No way do they win- all the state officials in Ohio are Republicans right now. We will be fine.

Kristamatic on November 6, 2012 at 6:25 PM

Yahoo.com had a poll up earlier: Who Did You Vote For? Mitt Romney was winning 57% to Obama 43%. Yahoo took down the poll at about 5:30 PM Eastern. Proof that when “exit polls” don’t go the media’s way, they suppress them.

ashleymatt on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

John Ziegler claimed over 3 years ago the fix was in for Obama. I believe him. The media will make damned sure Obama prevails tonight.

And failing that the it’s who counts the vote, not who votes.

George Soros has paid off all the vote counters.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:23 PM

Just stop!

Go back to C4P where you belong.

Amjean on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

Kentucky and Indiana are both sure things for Romney.

sharrukin on November 6, 2012 at 6:24 PM

Indiana does have a key Senate race, so the better Romney does, the more Mourdock becomes a lock.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

moment of truth arrives

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

Almost time to break out the Margarita kit! :)~

RedNewEnglander on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

I pray the man that loves America more wins. I can’t ask for anything more or less.

dillydally on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

The anticipation is killing me. I think I aged 3 years just this afternoon!

Longing4Lincoln on November 6, 2012 at 6:27 PM

Here we go!

Hoping and praying for R&R to win it!!

Which is best to watch? Am on Fox right now will tune in to C-SPAN, but oh boy if we win, I’ll be watching the fools over on MSNBC…

I wanna see tingles head explode hehehehehehe…

Scrumpy on November 6, 2012 at 6:27 PM

The 70-30 margins in KY and IN can be extrapolated – these must be better than McCain’s performance

matthew8787 on November 6, 2012 at 6:27 PM

Obviously, the country is completely divided if these exit polls are correct. I can’t believe that 50% of Americans believe that Obama has done a good enough job to be re-elected. Not with 7.9% unemployment, 45 million on welfare and food stamps, growth at 1.3% and on and on.

What it tells me is that it’s all about being an ideologue. Might as well be a tribe or a gang who no matter how bad the leader or the tribe is, they will blindly follow.

It spells doom for us as a nation. It also leads me to believe that at some point this will turn violent. Just voting won’t be enough.

It’s a dark, scary night in America. Mitt Romney is the last hope of light to change things. I fear for us all.

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Oh and don’t forget
.
.
.
.
.
TROLLCOTT!!!!

Scrumpy on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

WTF New Hampshire

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

The suspense in this election is all rigged to maintain high TV ratings.

The Dems and Team Obama know who is going to come out on top. This was predetermined over 2 years ago.

George Soros has had plenty of time to offer up his magic.

What’s the best way to depress conservatives after the election? Make them think Romney will win and then pull the rug out from under him at the end.

Conservatives will sink into a deep funk and destroy the Republican party for its futility. The Dems will rule forever.

All planned by the Marxists over the last 40 years.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Amjean on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

Thank you!

Someone needs to tell these paranoiacs to go back to their little bubble.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

The 70-30 margins in KY and IN can be extrapolated – these must be better than McCain’s performance

matthew8787 on November 6, 2012 at 6:27 PM

Very early returns based on about 1% of the vote. Still pretty big spread.

Oldnuke on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

electric-rascal on November 6, 2012 at 6:25 PM

Bill Cunningham knows Ohio better than anybody.

TarheelBen on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

May the citizens of this Great Nation have the wisdom to remove the stain.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

I’m cautiously optimistic.

Let’s do this.

byepartisan on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Lol.

wargamer6 on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Don’t listen to exit polls.

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 6:29 PM

Okay Gateway Pundit has some info from Ohio. High GOP turn-out in Butler county north of Cincinnatti which Bush and McCain won. Geuaga county turn-out up from 2008 which McCain won, expecting an 80% turn-out! Athens county which Obama won is down 10%
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/

Deanna on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

My stomach is in knots. I’m thinking this might be a good time to start mainlining heroin.

darwin on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Chillax. 1% reporting.

MJBrutus on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

good points

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

Make the following adjustments to the swing state exit polls:

Romney ahead = Romney winning big
Toss up = Romney with small lead
Obama ahead = Obama will small lead or toss up.

Wigglesworth on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

The 70-30 margins in KY and IN can be extrapolated – these must be better than McCain’s performance

matthew8787 on November 6, 2012 at 6:27 PM

That’s Michael Barone territory, wait for him. He can look at a county and a time and tell you how it compares to other years.

slickwillie2001 on November 6, 2012 at 6:31 PM

good luck everyone………..still praying.

Anyone see Flora Duh this afternoon? Hoping all went well with her sister’s surgery and hopefully Cold Warrior is also doing well.

CoffeeLover on November 6, 2012 at 6:31 PM

Conservatives will sink into a deep funk and destroy the Republican party for its futility. The Dems will rule forever.

All planned by the Marxists over the last 40 years.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

the gop will turn around by ejecting the crazies. its the only way.

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:31 PM

Don’t do it, darwin!
I’m stressing as well.
I can’t look at Drudge.

Belle on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Fox News just had a interesting discussion where they reported that the very early polls – very early - indicate that 40% of Americans think the economy is getting better and 30% say it’s the same. And the right track/wrong track number is 41/56.

If those numbers hold nationally up I can’t see Romney winning.

My heart says Romney but my head is screaming four more years.

SteveMG on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

I’d really like to believe Cunningham but he’s a buffoon. I can’t take this, feel like I’m going to puke.

kit9 on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

OMG 30 minutes to go, hold me!

Typhonsentra on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Chillax. 1% reporting.

MJBrutus on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

Thx I needed that

steel guy on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Obama will win Ohio. It was always in the bag.

Think Minnesota and Al Franken.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Blaming George Soros? Seriously?!

YYZ on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

It’s a dark, scary night in America. Mitt Romney is the last hope of light to change things. I fear for us all.

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 6:28 PM

No! Even if by some horrible quirk of fate, we lose, it’s morning in America! Ronald Reagan taught me that, and I believe him. The fact that there are guys like Mitt Romney who are running speaks loads about our future and our potential as a nation. We are still awesome.

Kristamatic on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

I had planned to stay away but I guess I need to stay a bit connected to everything, though I have to say I’m calm.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

john king spells doom in florida because less whites voted according to the exit polls than in 08

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Virgil Goode is a native son, the third-party vote here could potentially be a problem.

Hah. Not hardly. He hasn’t even made a blip here in the state. He was my rep in the 5th and I haven’t seen a single ad or anything.

The only way I found out he was even running was purely by chance while reading a story on Foxnews.

The people that would think about voting for Goode are the same people who cannot stand Obama’s policies and would crawl through hot coals and glass to vote against him.

So no, Goode is not going to impact the Virginia race.

ButterflyDragon on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Help me out–do I start drinking Jameson now or wait until later?

I hate to pass out and miss the defining moment but that being said, I won’t mind waking up in a puddle of my own vomit if it’s to President-elect Romney, either.

Phoenix7 on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

very early polls – very early

That’s exit polls.

SteveMG on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Whowever wins Hampden county/OH wins the state.

It went Bush 2004, Obama 2008 and will go Romney 2012.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

cheers

rob verdi on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Heard on radio: Exit poll taker in Ohio instructed to not ask any elderly white voters how they voted.

E-R

electric-rascal on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Indiana does have a key Senate race, so the better Romney does, the more Mourdock becomes a lock.

Doughboy on November 6, 2012 at 6:26 PM

“Lock?” Mourdock’s fighting for his life. If Romney drags his ass across the finish line, he’d better be grateful.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Help me out–do I start drinking Jameson now or wait until later?

I hate to pass out and miss the defining moment but that being said, I won’t mind waking up in a puddle of my own vomit if it’s to President-elect Romney, either.

Phoenix7 on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Now since Virginia comes in at 7.

rob verdi on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

Bill Cunningham was never wrong on his election reporting.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:33 PM

‘it’s going to be a long night’
DRINK!

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

I have to say I’m calm.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

As am I.

Bmore on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

Instead of answering the troll, just have a sip of something good.

Schadenfreude on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

My stomach is in knots. I’m thinking this might be a good time to start mainlining heroin.

darwin on November 6, 2012 at 6:30 PM

I accepted defeat long ago, when I realized romney was a bad candidate and the message coming out from the GOP during the primary season was not popular.

nathor on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

Pace yourselves. Got some nice meatballs and gravy in the Crockpot, rice in the rice cooker and Newcastle in the frig. TV is turned OFF!

a capella on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

john king spells doom in florida because less whites voted according to the exit polls than in 08

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Exit polls – the last gasp of the MSM

gophergirl on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

I had planned to stay away but I guess I need to stay a bit connected to everything, though I have to say I’m calm.

Bishop on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Well, we’re all glad you’re here. Why sit in a dark room drinking by yourself when you can get wasted with us?! ;)

Cody1991 on November 6, 2012 at 6:34 PM

Fox News just had a interesting discussion where they reported that the very early polls – very early – indicate that 40% of Americans think the economy is getting better and 30% say it’s the same. And the right track/wrong track number is 41/56.

Yes, but they had another option which was that people think the economy is worse and it had something like 35%. So, 60 odd % think the economy is the same or worse.

kit9 on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

a very tight race
DRINK

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:21 PM

Who the he!! is this idiot???!!

kcd on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

Clink!

d.l.johnson on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

STAY CALM!!!!!!

HornetSting on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

Obama will win Ohio. It was always in the bag.

Think Minnesota and Al Franken.

technopeasant on November 6, 2012 at 6:32 PM

Please go drink a six-pack of STFU. I’m sick of you already.

UpTheCreek on November 6, 2012 at 6:35 PM

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