10 pm: Iowa, Nevada, & the West

posted at 9:31 pm on November 6, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

If you’ve gotten this far without either popping champagne corks or cerebral arteries, the toughest of the two major swing states are next up for us.  Iowa has been too close to call through a number of polls, but Nevada’s been leaning toward Obama — even though the population contains a significant Mormon vote that should swing to Romney.  With any luck, Romney ends up not needing either state; if he does, this might be a tough night.

For Iowa, you can get updates on voting results from Twitter by following the Secretary of State’s account.  Otherwise, you can brave slow load times by going directly to the results page on their website.  In Nevada, they don’t have a Secretary of State — they have the Cashier’s Window.  Just kidding! Nevada’s SoS has a very nice web page set up to display the data as well as map the results as they come in.

Update, 9:56 ET: Nothing much to report on my section of the country, but Iowa closes in a few minutes.  The paths for a Romney win have all been eliminated except FL-NC-VA-OH and either Colorado or Iowa.  This thread may not make too much difference overall, but Iowa might still be important.

Update: An interesting point:

With so much voter dissatisfaction, it’s interesting that we’re on the cusp of keeping the status quo in the House, Senate, and White House.

Update: Not sure what this means:

Doesn’t sound as though CBS wants to make a call, but Iowa only has 11% of precincts reporting.

Update: Minnesota isn’t on my beat, ironically, but it’s worth mentioning that the early returns show both the voter-ID and traditional marriage constitutional amendments trailing, with about 41% Yes for each.

Update: The New York Post has a cheerier take:

Arizona has a key Senate race, but I expect Jeff Flake to win that pretty easily, too.

Update: Colorado is also not my beat, but this isn’t good news:

Harsanyi’s there on the ground.

Update, 11:04 ET: Pacific & Mountain Time calls for Romney: ID, MT, WY, UT, AZ.  For Obama: WA, CA.  Still not called: NV, OR.

Update: Jim Geraghty works out the numbers and discovers that elections aren’t exactly efficient:

Imagine what it would cost to flip California!

Update: CBS calls Iowa for Obama:

That’s been trending all hour, so it’s no surprise — but with Fox calling Ohio for Obama, it’s not very important.

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First for the love of God and country.

abobo on November 6, 2012 at 9:32 PM

Not looking good

newportmike on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

Oh goodie. It seems I’m first:

1. TROLLCOTT

2. Remain calm. It is early. Not all votes have been counted.

3. No eeyores or doom & gloomers. The trolls feed off it.

We can do this.

kim roy on November 6, 2012 at 9:33 PM

WTF?

Capitalist Hog on November 6, 2012 at 9:34 PM

For the love of All that is Decent and Good …

ShainS on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

Per AP: Sherrod Brown re-elected in OH.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:35 PM

Heckuvajob Mourdock!

Jeddite on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Romney is losing. I told you, every conservative told you. The romneybots threw the polls out and didnt listen

Flapjackmaka on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

Fox News projecting the Dem to win the IN Senate seat. Pickup for the Dems. Ugh.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

We’re going to lose aren’t we?

joekenha on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

C’mon Iowa or Colorado!

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

Got to win Virginia and Ohio or we all can hit the sack early. PA and WI are a disappointment . Too much union in PA and too much academics in WI

Hummer53 on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Yikes. New update in Florida puts Obama/Biden back in the lead. What a see-saw down there….

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

Romney is losing. I told you, every conservative told you. The romneybots threw the polls out and didnt listen

Flapjackmaka on November 6, 2012 at 9:36 PM

You’re right about one thing- all the bitching about the accuracy of polling was sheer idiocy. The polls have been very, very accurate predictors of the outcome on a state by state basis.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:38 PM

We’re going to lose aren’t we?

joekenha on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

Yep.

lorien1973 on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

A sitting President chose to let 2 former Navy SEALs get killed by Islamic terrorists and yet he will likely win.

A nation of idiots.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

We’re going to lose aren’t we?

joekenha on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

Yep…and I thought I was depressed when Roberts legislated from the bench.

Rogue on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

I work and travel in Nevada frequently. I don’t see Romney’s support in rural areas overtaking the union machines in Reno and Vegas.

Not impossible, but really a long shot.

Difficultas_Est_Imperium on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

So… are you guys still looking forward to see heads explode on MSNBC?

Durandal on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

Prospects are not looking goog but we have to take into consideration the fact that is not easy to win against an incumbent president. Another thing to take into consideration: USA is the country that likes to give people second chances. Call it naivitee but if Obama wins tonight this second chance mentality might have played a role. Oh, and don’t forget gov.Christie’s bear hug.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

RELAX!!!!

JAM on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

joekenha on November 6, 2012 at 9:37 PM

yep

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:41 PM

Fox news projects that Tammy Baldwin defeats Tommy Thompson in WI Senate race.
What a disappointing showing for our Senate candidates…

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:41 PM

A sitting President chose to let 2 former Navy SEALs get killed by Islamic terrorists and yet he will likely win.

A nation of idiots.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

You can add those who voted for Romney to the list.

Dante on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 PM

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

If we lose, there’s a lot of reasons why.

Media bias, Sandy and the bear hug, dependent underclass, huge minority vote, war on women demagoguery, the list goes on and on.

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 PM

I guess the tipping point has been reached – the takers outnumber the makers.

Nice run while it lasted, USA. Great nations are always destroyed from within – we’re no exception.

Ah, well. I got a couple of guns for when they come for my stuff! :)

RedNewEnglander on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 PM

Durandal on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

Don’t you have a runway somewhere to blow up?

Difficultas_Est_Imperium on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 PM

You can add those who voted for Romney to the list.

Dante on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 PM

And the lobotomized ones who voted for Gary what’s his face…how did tat work out for ya? :)

jimver on November 6, 2012 at 9:43 PM

Fox news projects that Tammy Baldwin defeats Tommy Thompson in WI Senate race.
What a disappointing showing for our Senate candidates…

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:41 PM

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Yecch.

I’ve grown to associate the Fox News “election alert” with immediate pain.

Gingotts on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 PM

Brace yourselves for Iowa not going for Romney since PA and Wisconsin were called so quickly. Aside from the East Coast states Romney clearly needs to win (VA, NC, FL), it’s all about Ohio and Colorado.

Daemonocracy on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 PM

this country will have to hit rock bottom before the kool-aid drinkers wake up

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 PM

Should I be preparing to stand before the death panels?

steebo77 on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 PM

Ok wait a sec. 5% reporting in Wisconsin with Romney leading (56%) and they’ve called it for Obama? What do they know that I don’t?

Browncoatone on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 PM

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:42 PM

You can add our candidates. I think Romney would be a fine president but geez louise, the Republican candidate has not been exactly what the majority of everyday people would pick x2 now.

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

We’re still hanging by a thread; there’s a chance, but it doesn’t look good.

Yep, we didn’t buy the polls. We had so much more enthusiasm than with McCain; yet Obama still was able to generate some too: class warfare baby.

Also, increasing hispanic and dependent population were not given their due.

Finally, there’s some credence to Dem. strategy of focusing super hard on swing states (if only they could have given a fraction of that attention to the economy).

Well, I haven’t given up yet, but not a happy camper.

G. Charles on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

Oh, and don’t forget gov.Christie’s bear hug.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

And don’t forget the decision to abandon Christie at the last minute and pick Ryan. It didn’t even give Willard Ryan’s home state. Terrible decision.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

If we lose, there’s a lot of reasons why.

Media bias, Sandy and the bear hug, dependent underclass, huge minority vote, war on women demagoguery, the list goes on and on.

let’s first wait for the final results and then, if we loose, we’ll have to adress these issues. One by one. By the way, the so called war on women was a self inflicted wound. Aikin was an idiot who should have never ran for office. I wonder who supported him in the first place.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

Big thanks to the ‘let’s ban abortion’ crowd, you idiots likely cost us this.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

Fix your damn EV map on the website FOX, you idiots!

nitzsche on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

Ok wait a sec. 5% reporting in Wisconsin with Romney leading (56%) and they’ve called it for Obama? What do they know that I don’t?

Browncoatone on November 6, 2012 at 9:44 PM

That’s why I’m waiting until they count more votes before I start rending my garments.

kim roy on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

A sitting President chose to let 2 former Navy SEALs get killed by Islamic terrorists and yet he will likely win.

A nation of idiots.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:39 PM

.
The tipping point has already occurred. Realistically this was going to be the last chance to win the presidency anyway. You got Hillary on deck next.

The American dream is being killed off. Si se puede.

FlaMurph on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

Takeaway: There is a lot of stupid in this country.

HornetSting on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

I am tired of being a maker who gets ripped off by the takers.

txmomof6 on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

O-H-I-O!!!!

Until that is called for someone other then Romney then I am hopeful.

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

Do not go gently into that good night, wheeping and sobbing are recommended

Goodbye United States. Glenn Beck was right, store some food for the coming years

Floriduh Jim on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

I don’t understand how they are calling these states with so few reporting.

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

Aikin was an idiot who should have never ran for office. I wonder who supported him in the first place.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

One of 2 Senate seats lost only because of the Tea Party brilliance.
Don’t like Obamacare? Go tell the Tea Party not to lose easy GOP wins.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

Boehner you better grow a pair fast.

FlaMurph on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

Fox broadcast types seem dejected. Of course it’s Shep, relegated to fourth string, but it’s still depressing.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

Time for plan B.

Rebar on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 PM

Big thanks to the ‘let’s ban abortion’ crowd, you idiots likely cost us this.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

If we had had someone at the top of the ticket who could articulate the message we might have won that issue, so back off.

txmomof6 on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 PM

We’re boned.

clancy_wiggum on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 PM

Nevada is highly union and Hispanic. The other people are like the cast of 1960′s beach movies and need their allowance every week.

IlikedAUH2O on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

New Yorkers voted for big Government even though they failed after Sandy..

It’s all they know….Government…

Electrongod on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

Realistically this was going to be the last chance to win the presidency anyway. You got Hillary on deck next

She is going to be too old. We should better think how we can bring more minorities in the party, esspecially hispanics.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

I don’t understand how they are calling these states with so few reporting.

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

My guess is that exit polling is showing huge turnouts for Obama in those states. After the 2000 debacle, networks are much less likely to call a race until they are more certain. It’s not 100% conclusive, but probably 99% so.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

I am tired of being a maker who gets ripped off by the takers.

txmomof6 on November 6, 2012 at 9:46 PM

You really don’t understand the world you live in. You’re not a victim and the poor aren’t the source of this country’s problems.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

Looks like four more years of Obama. He can’t blame Bush anymore. He owns the last 4 years and the next 4 years.

James on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 9:47 PM

Unless we lose, then it’s all the way up for legally-ambigious entrepeneours.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

If it is down to Iowa, the vote is lost. The cities have already voted for Obama, he is also immensely popular with the ridiculous corn ethanol boondoggles this State lives off. Iowa is now a parasite State.

pat on November 6, 2012 at 9:49 PM

I don’t post very serious stuff here much anymore, but here’s one for you.

Nut the f*ck up, HotAir. Nut the f*ck up.

This race is not over. We have people still voting in VA. It’s still being tallied in FL. Same in OH. People are confused as to why WI was called so soon with counties swinging towards Romney.

Everyone calm. The. Hell. Down.

This is NOT OVER.

blatantblue on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

And don’t forget the decision to abandon Christie at the last minute and pick Ryan. It didn’t even give Willard Ryan’s home state. Terrible decision.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

What? Had he chose Christie we’d have New Jersey? You could argue he should have chosen Rubio.

I’m sick SICK that we won’t have Paul Ryan and have Plugs. And John Boehner sounds like a drunk. We have Boehner and McConnell as our “leaders”.

Marcus on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

txmomof6 on November 6, 2012 at 9:48 PM

Uh huh, wait until the final numbers on women come out, that will likely be the difference in every swing state that we lose.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Can we win Ohio? Is it over?

Oil Can on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Some bellwether OH counties looking good for Romney.

Norwegian on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Oh, and don’t forget gov.Christie’s bear hug.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:40 PM

And don’t forget the decision to abandon Christie at the last minute and pick Ryan. It didn’t even give Willard Ryan’s home state. Terrible decision.

bayam on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

Screw Christie with a splintery one sideways. That fat bastard and his drooling over Obama guaranteed us four more years in hell. Likely more. I don’t see us winning another one after this. We’re too far gone after all.

Gingotts on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

At this point, I don’t even trust we’ll win Fl. Gary Johnson should burn in hell.

kit9 on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 PM

If you’ve gotten this far without either popping champagne corks or cerebral arteries, the toughest of the two major swing states are next up for us.
================

DEFCON 3 is creeping up to,

DEFCON 1!!

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 PM

This is NOT OVER.

blatantblue on November 6, 2012 at 9:50 PM

Nah. It’s over.

Goat cheese souffles with pomegranate gravy for everyone.

lorien1973 on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 PM

What? Had he chose Christie we’d have New Jersey? You could argue he should have chosen Rubio.

True. At least Rubio would have brought the hispanic vote with him.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 PM

I hope Romney did not send his speech writer home for the evening.

smokin hot politics on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 PM

Where are we headin’ Armageddon? This is the most depressing night in my life,I can’t believe anyone of sound mind would vote the narxist for a second term. Coal country beware.

tim c on November 6, 2012 at 9:51 PM

another 4 years without a budget and mr I won who won’t do crap

ugharoo

cmsinaz on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 PM

Christie wasn’t available to run with Romney. He backed out, remember?

kit9 on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 PM

Fake Indian wins in MA, what a disgrace.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 PM

***K

Mark Knoller ‏@markknoller

Another Senate Race: @CBSNews projects incumbent Sen Sherrod Brown, D-OH will retain his seat

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 PM

“They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety.” – Benjamin Franklin.

Welcome to America 2012.

God, please let me be wrong, but…

either orr on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 PM

If only there was a way to prevent we conservatives from the coming economic misery.

Can we seriously discuss a return to federalism now people?

Charlemagne on November 6, 2012 at 9:52 PM

Well, I haven’t given up yet, but not a happy camper.

G. Charles on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

The only reasons Romney even gained steam in this race is because Obama has a terrible economic record and Romney himself slapped him down in the first debate, otherwise the people running his campaign are complete imbeciles. They are too timid, too complacent, and remind me of the McCain campaign.

No Fast and Furious, No Benghazi, and I seriously doubt they made any calls to Christie Creme NOT to do the photo op with O. If Obama wins it will be off the wedge issues such as abortion which they hammered on incessantly.

Daemonocracy on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 PM

Memo to Republican Senators: Every interview will now lead with question about rape.

PortlandJon on November 6, 2012 at 9:53 PM

Anyone who blames Romney is an idiot! You have 47% on the government dole. You have unions, government workers, wealthy liberal elites and minorities making up the rest.

We have been plotted against since 1965 with social programs, soclists infiltrating schools, media and religious orginizations.

If we lose tonight it isn’t because of a flawed candidate. It is because of a flawed people. Of which the majority are now Socialists.

God save the Republic!!

Rockshine on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

Big thanks to the ‘let’s ban abortion’ crowd, you idiots likely cost us this.

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:45 PM

I was wondering how long before I started seeing nonsense like this…..

Romney was leading in the polls until the Hurricane Sandy took the wind out of his sails and Hurricans Christie staged his love-in-what did have to do with abortion?

Dreadnought on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

We get what we deserve, but as for me, I think they stole it. One solution to that, and it involves a very serious exercise of the 2nd amendment.

nobar on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

Obamacare is here to stay unless Red state governors band together and refuse to allow its implementation in their states.

Charlemagne on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

NBC News declares Obama the projected winner in New Hampshire

1 min ago by editor

Democrat Rep. Joe Donnelly will beat Richard Mourdock for the open US Senate seat for Indiana, CNN projects – @cnnbrk

2 mins ago by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

Rove had NH wrong.

rjl1999 on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

oh my. Allah better ban me tonight. lololol

HotAirLib on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

Screw Christie with a splintery one sideways. That fat bastard and his drooling over Obama guaranteed us four more years in hell. Likely more. I don’t see us winning another one after this. We’re too far gone after all.

We will but we need different type of candidates for a changing demographic. Candidates who can bring the urban vote, people who are economically conservative but don’t care too much for abortion instead. we should be carefull not to put on ballots people like Aijin who by himself is responsible for loosing lots of votes, and so on.

clemycali on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

New Hampshire called for Obama. Only 4 EVs though.

AngusMc on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

OMG! Did the fake Indian really win?

ORconservative on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

Dreadnought on November 6, 2012 at 9:54 PM

I’m sure women are breaking for Obama based on hurricanes and Chris Christie.

GTFO

WisCon on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

And Obama wins New Hampshire. This combined with GOP candidates getting swept in the Senate races has given me official reason for concern.

Daemonocracy on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

Double ***K

Fox News projects Democrat Tammy Baldwin will beat Republican Tommy Thompson in Wisconsin Senate race

35 secs ago by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

Toast, the RINO loses again. SHOCKER.

Greenshield on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

Sorry, blantantblue it’s feeling over. And Plan B is mentally kicking in. Plan B is not a happy plan. Plan B involves camping and hunting. Plan B is not the plan for a great nation. Plan B is “give up and live somehow”.

Who is John Galt on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

There goes New Hampshire. The Eat Debt and Die state.

Gingotts on November 6, 2012 at 9:56 PM

Hmmmmm………..

Massachusetts approves medical marijuana effort – @BostonDotCom

30 secs ago from live.boston.com by editor

canopfor on November 6, 2012 at 9:56 PM

Obama up 40k now in FL. Not looking good at all.

Bravesbill on November 6, 2012 at 9:56 PM

What now… where do we go?…. what do we do?….. Obamacare is here to stay…. Tonight we had a chance to stop our decline and we voted for decline…

Utica681 on November 6, 2012 at 9:56 PM

Toast, the RINO loses again. SHOCKER.

Greenshield on November 6, 2012 at 9:55 PM

What’s that about Richard Mourdock now?

KingGold on November 6, 2012 at 9:56 PM

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