Romney up 5 in FL, 1 in IA

posted at 2:41 pm on November 5, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

I’ll finish up my poll analysis today with a couple of last-minute polls in two key swing states.  First, corroborating the Mason-Dixon poll released this weekend for a Florida media consortium, Mitt Romney has a significant-if-not-comfortable lead in Florida in the Jacksonville Times-Union/Insider Advantage poll, 52/47:

Mitt Romney’s lead with independent voters has propelled him to a 5-point lead in Florida two days before Election Day, according to a Times-Union/InsiderAdvantage poll released Sunday night.

Likely/registered voters favored Romney 52 percent to 47 percent for Barack Obama, but Romney holds a 25-point lead with independent voters.

“Romney’s lead is made possible by the substantial advantage he enjoys among those who identify themselves as independent voters,” said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery. “Independent voters have been the determining factor in Florida political contests for many years.”

The poll surveyed 437 voters statewide with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points.

That is a pretty small sample for a state like Florida, but it corresponds with the earlier Mason-Dixon poll.  The newspaper didn’t release all of the internals, but those it does aren’t exactly surprises.  Obama has more than a 2-1 lead among younger voters, 67/32, but loses all other age demos 30 years old and above by ten or more points, and 17 among seniors (40/57).  Obama has a ten-point lead among Hispanics, better than the Mason-Dixon poll, but Romney’s lead among independents is too high to overcome.

The race is closer in Iowa, but Romney has a slight edge in the latest ARG poll.  He leads Obama 49/48 in a sample that’s D+1 at 36/35/29, but it’s tight all the way through.  Romney also has a one-point edge with independents at 48/47, but wins voters at 50 years and older by nine points (53/44), two better than Obama wins those under 50 (52/45).  Early voters comprise 44% of the sample and give Obama an eight-point lead, while Election Day voters give Romney a seven-point lead.  The D/R/I in 2008 was 34/33/33, and Obama won the state by nine points.  In 2010, it was 31/35/34, so this may lean a little more Democrat than we will see tomorrow.

Finally, we have the USA Today/Gallup swing-state poll:

Voters in the nation’s key battlegrounds have become as enthusiastic and engaged in the 2012 presidential election as they were in the historic contest four years ago, and they finally have made up their minds about President Obama and Mitt Romney.

It’s a tie: 48%-48%.

We don’t get the internals on this at all.  However, I’d say that an incumbent President at 48% and in a tie the day before Election Day is in serious trouble.  Late breaking voters at this point will go significantly more to the challenger, especially when jobs and the economy are the focus and we’re in the middle of a stagnant recovery.

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BRING IT HOME

Jackalope on November 5, 2012 at 2:41 PM

Time to increase the Dem sample.

Gunlock Bill on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

FINISH HIM!

Wait ’til they announce tomorrow night that IL is too close to call. Now we’re talking waaaaaay behind the Obama firewall!

swanzoid on November 5, 2012 at 2:43 PM

The video of Chris Matthews head ‘SPLODING will go viral within 5 minutes of MSNBC having to admit their mess-iah has lost.

AubieJon on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

The media wont really let us get away with this….will they?

Zaggs on November 5, 2012 at 2:46 PM

heh heh

DanMan on November 5, 2012 at 2:46 PM

hmmm, this does not look good for the Choomer-in-Chief, the Fifth Column Treasonous Media will have to come up with a mighty powerful distraction pretty damned quickly

SWalker on November 5, 2012 at 2:46 PM

Have the corpulent woman in the wings begin warming up?

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 2:47 PM

Geez, what scares me on Wednesday is the horde of Obama lawyers filing lawsuits in every state he loses less that 3%. We need a sweep. We need WI, IA, CO, OH, PA, HN, VA, and MI just to shut down that possibility.

Oil Can on November 5, 2012 at 2:47 PM

Romney unexpectedly wins masive landslide. LOL

pos4thst on November 5, 2012 at 2:47 PM

Have the corpulent woman in the wings begin warming up?

ted c

No one knows where Meghan McCain is. Sorry, couldnt resist.

Zaggs on November 5, 2012 at 2:48 PM

OBAMAPHONE!!!

antisocial on November 5, 2012 at 2:48 PM

Are we to see this tomorrow evening to make us think there is no need to go vote? DO NOT fall for anything, go vote!

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/chicago-source-tells-author-brad-thor-obama-campaign-planning-to-proclaim-early-victory-to-demoralize-romney-supporters/
L

letget on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

i’m tired of the polls that have been coming out just days before the election. would it kill everyone to wait until after election night, when we’ll actually know the results? i don’t care about polls at this point. i only care about the real thing.

Sachiko on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

The race is closer in Iowa, but Romney has a slight edge in the latest ARG poll. He leads Obama 49/48 in a sample that’s D+1 at 36/35/29, but it’s tight all the way through. Romney also has a one-point edge with independents at 48/47, but wins voters at 50 years and older by nine points (53/44), two better than Obama wins those under 50 (52/45). Early voters comprise 44% of the sample and give Obama an eight-point lead, while Election Day voters give Romney a seven-point lead. The D/R/I in 2008 was 34/33/33, and Obama won the state by nine points. In 2010, it was 31/35/34, so this may lean a little more Democrat than we will see tomorrow.

LOL Sorry ARG, but Romney will win independents with more than 1 point in IA… 4 national polls today show him with anywhere from a 12 to 24 point lead among independents.

Romney has FL, NC, VA & CO & IA in the bag. That’s 263 EV. He just needs one more state to win the presidency. Given the way independents are breaking for Romney, it looks like a slew of states could provide his final margin.

Norwegian on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

Obama up in PA, this things over. Get your guns while you still can, wingnuts!

akaniku on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

Ot: floating rock…. Gary Johnson thinks Obama will beat mitt. (Via politico)
You really want to vote for him? Its basically a vote for Obama to him

cmsinaz on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

Romney has FL, NC, VA & CO & IA in the bag. That’s 263 EV. He just needs one more state to win the presidency. Given the way independents are breaking for Romney, it looks like a slew of states could provide his final margin.

Norwegian on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

Agreed, I still think OH is going Romney, with PA being “icing on the cake” if it were to happen. There’s also NH and WI as well.

Obama may as well start packing.

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 2:52 PM

cmsinaz on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

On the issue you asked, have you or any here, found out who the paul voters will or will not vote for? There seemed to be lots of them also. paul, IIRC didn’t endorse anyone and don’t know what he told those who love him to vote for?
L

letget on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

It is supposed to rain tomorrow here in Florida. Wet weather is good news for Republicans.

INC on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

Comments disappearing?

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

Is it too early to start drinking?

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Have the corpulent woman in the wings begin warming up?

ted c

No one knows where Meghan McCain is. Sorry, couldnt resist.

Zaggs on November 5, 2012 at 2:48 PM

Horned Viking helmet, breastplate, a spear… and still, no one would take her seriously.

M240H on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Impossible. Debbie Wasserman Schultz said Florida’s in the bag for the President.

SoFlaCon on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Obama has more than a 2-1 lead among younger voters, 67/32, but loses all other age demos 30 years old and above by ten or more points, and 17 among seniors (40/57).

For a 35-point lead among voters under 30 to claw back 5 points of Romney’s lead among everyone else, under-30s must be more than 14% of the voters. That’s high, which means they’re using a 2008 turnout model. A 5-point Romney lead under a 2008 turnout model is not merely “comfortable”, it’s crushing. Obama should have taken Susquehanna’s word for it and pulled out.

Fabozz on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Poll threads sure are nicer around here today.

kingsjester on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Lets save the celebrations until its over… after Barney Frank sings….

Treat from MoonBattery: The 2nd Greatest Election Video… Facts, fun and frivolity

deedtrader on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Is it too early to start drinking?

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

If you’ve voted, drink.

If you’ve not voted, wait until you can vote, vote, then drink.

If you’re a Mormon and can’t drink, don’t drink. Get elected President.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Trollcott.

M240H on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Impossible. Debbie Wasserman Schultz said Florida’s in the bag for the President.

SoFlaCon on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Uhmmm…. I think DWS mistook another item in the shape of FL as being “in the bag” so to speak….

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Poll threads sure are nicer around here today.

kingsjester on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Axelturfer finally fired gumball?

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:57 PM

I don’t know why Obama is worried. After tomorrow, he’ll get what he wants, so what’s to worry: he’ll have all the time on a HI beach to chew, smoke and ‘do’ choomes and other ‘naturals’ and enjoy all the Shave-Ice his minders can carry for him. So what’s to worry?

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 2:57 PM

If you’ve voted, drink.

If you’ve not voted, wait until you can vote, vote, then drink.

If you’re a Mormon and can’t drink, don’t drink. Get elected President.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Hahaha, excellent.

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 2:58 PM

Letget dont have a clue about that

Floating rick can vote for whoever he wants just don’t understand it

cmsinaz on November 5, 2012 at 2:58 PM

WAIT! Is that Candy Crowley wearing a viking helmet?!?

AubieJon on November 5, 2012 at 2:58 PM

Poll threads sure are nicer around here today.

kingsjester on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

They’re all on twitter with their scary-egg-icons and 50 followers trying to harass the “baggers” and “haters”…

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 2:59 PM

Romney holds a 25-point lead with independent voters.

Could we be looking at a 60/40 landslide? I’m giddy.

faraway on November 5, 2012 at 2:59 PM

Iowa?
That would be huge.

LASue on November 5, 2012 at 3:00 PM

Sigh.

Larry Sabato predicts Obama landslide – gives him several swing states on account of Sandy.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:00 PM

Larry Sabato predicts Obama landslide – gives him several swing states on account of Sandy.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:00 PM

That’s too funny. Like the economy doesn’t matter? *snorts*

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 3:02 PM

Bruno Jr. reports from ISU in Ames:

“The Obama people are obnoxious and annoying. The hassle you every time you go to the library. The Romney people just put up signs and leave it at that. Most kids don’t care either way and there is not much excitement about the election at all.”

All voting-age Strozeks are going for Mittens, including Mrs. Strozek, who has never voted for a Republican in her life.

Bruno Strozek on November 5, 2012 at 3:02 PM

cmsinaz on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

On the issue you asked, have you or any here, found out who the paul voters will or will not vote for? There seemed to be lots of them also. paul, IIRC didn’t endorse anyone and don’t know what he told those who love him to vote for?
L

letget on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

What I proved to my own satisfaction LAST election was/is that the Paul supporters contain a great many Obama-supporters. They play this sick game trying to manipulate public perceptions but they’re, at least many of them on the internet, are Leftwingers whose goal is to dilute congregation on the Right. Time to vote, guess who they vote for? It’s not the Republican.

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:03 PM

Is it too early to start drinking?

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Don’t know if it’s too early to start, but it’s not too early to stock up. It’s illegal to sell alcohol here on election day so I made sure to restock in advance. If Romney wins Pa., wife and I are going to start the celebration with a glass of our favorite rye. If all goes well, we should be shloshed by 10:00.

Norky on November 5, 2012 at 3:03 PM

That’s too funny. Like the economy doesn’t matter? *snorts*

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 3:02 PM

Oh right – he also said that the 7.9% unemployment number was “not bad enough” to make a difference.

He gave Obama OH, PA, WI, IA, NH, MN, NV, and handed him CO just because.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:03 PM

I don’t know why Obama is worried. After tomorrow, he’ll get what he wants, so what’s to worry: he’ll have all the time on a HI beach to chew, smoke and ‘do’ choomes and other ‘naturals’ and enjoy all the Shave-Ice his minders can carry for him. So what’s to worry?

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 2:57 PM

He really doesn’t want this. Reelection? Pffffft….. more money to be made on the other side. He did his part, screwed the country and the Dems, but the bottom line with this guy is that he doesn’t really care about anything except living a life of luxury.

And that he will have – out of office.

Cody1991 on November 5, 2012 at 3:04 PM

WAIT! Is that Candy Crowley wearing a viking helmet?!?

AubieJon on November 5, 2012 at 2:58 PM

Need brain bleach–stat!

ElectricPhase on November 5, 2012 at 3:04 PM

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:00 PM

He didn’t really put a whole lot of confidence behind it.

“There are elements of the 2012 election that still confound us, and this is not one we project with supreme confidence. The picks presented in this edition represent our best judgment, but we’re as fallible as all prognosticators. Expect some — many? — of our projections to prove inaccurate.”

I’ve seen him project with more confidence. And several of the states he put in the Obama column are suspect…especially in light of the latest polling.

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 3:05 PM

I can’t wait for this to be over with. The suspense is killing me.

COgirl on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

this is great news, especially if you look at what hte polls did in 2008 in Iowa. If you look at final Iowa polls in 2008, you will see Obama up over 16% in the polls. On election day he won by less than 10% points. Iowa could be a big surprise on election day.

On the same note Pennsylvania was the exact opposite. It was within the margin of error for McCain but Obama won big on election night.

Creston on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Bruno Jr. reports from ISU in Ames:

“The Obama people are obnoxious and annoying. The hassle you every time you go to the library. The Romney people just put up signs and leave it at that. Most kids don’t care either way and there is not much excitement about the election at all.”

All voting-age Strozeks are going for Mittens, including Mrs. Strozek, who has never voted for a Republican in her life.

Bruno Strozek on November 5, 2012 at 3:02 PM

And among the “Obama people” are the union people who withhold your Absentee Ballot by one worker or another and do whatever else they can to trip you up.

The Left is a bunch of dirty, uncouth and indecent people. I say, “indecent,” because they refuse to observe even the most basic of human courtesy. Like not playing dirty, not resorting to crime, not harming others intentionally….

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Awwww … No drama in Florida this ti

KS Rex on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

I vote that we not only have the humpbot on standby, but the Kraken as well.

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

If you’ve voted, drink.

If you’ve not voted, wait until you can vote, vote, then drink.

If you’re a Mormon and can’t drink, don’t drink. Get elected President.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Have not voted yet, worked my bum off for the 3 weekends in Nevada with not one drop consumed in that time.

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

The easiest way for Obama to win is to secure an early-morning interview with Fox News for Moochelle, and have her undress there. Millions of conservatives will be so horrible scared (not to mention blind) and won’t be able to reach the polls on time.

Archivarix on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Obama is stuck in a Funky Cold Katrina

faraway on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:03 PM

Thanks, you have the same mindset I have from what I have seen of the paul supporters.
L

letget on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Oops – darn fat fingers.
Awwww … No drama in Florida this time. I’ll bet their Secretary of State was anxious to show how prepared they are for a recount!

KS Rex on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

I vote that we not only have the humpbot on standby, but the Kraken as well.

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Kraken must be held in reserve for a Senate majority.

If we take that body after the faceplants by so many of our guys, it will be nothing short of a miracle.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

Axelturfer finally fired gumball?

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:57 PM

Where is our little clay freind?

SHARPTOOTH on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

Obama sounds like the loser kid on a college campus who keeps harping away from the library steps about “the Man, the Administration, the Maaannnn…”

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

And the next target after the White House? The corrupt, useless, media. Throw those bums out too! Call them what they are to their face and often. Mark Levin for press secretary! “Sit down you moron!”

KCsecurity1976 on November 5, 2012 at 3:09 PM

If we take that body after the faceplants by so many of our guys, it will be nothing short of a miracle.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

Okay, but I’m going to play the Kraken at my house… just to annoy the liberal neighbors.

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 3:09 PM

SHARPTOOTH on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

He ran away this morning. He doesn’t seem to care for Trollcott! and being ignored.

kingsjester on November 5, 2012 at 3:10 PM

Is it too early to start drinking?

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

No, but I’m pacing myself.

Thank goodness I went to the liquor store today. I had no idea that, by law, they were closed on election day (in my state).

I’m stocked up and ready to go. Having said that I will say now …………. pay no attention to me tomorrow!! ;)

BTW, JP, thanks for your efforts in this election. Glad you’re here in the US with us!

Cody1991 on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Via Twitchy :

Chuck @CNNEditorChuck
Just in: CNN has confirmed from #Romney officials that Gov Romney will campaign in Cleveland and Pittsburgh tomorrow. 5 Nov 12
…………..
Mitt Romney’s campaign has confirmed that they are adding campaign stops to the election day schedule: In Cleveland, Ohio and Pittsburgh, Pa.

pambi on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Hmm.

Sounds an awful lot like Althouse is rooting for Romney, at least. Here’s hoping that enough of her fellow Wisconsinites agree.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Obummer still has a few more hours for a strike on some generic terrorists, or a big executive order, or a major funding grant to some key constituency. Bank on one or more of the above.

KS Rex on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Obama is stuck in a Funky Cold Katrina

faraway on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Hehehe…

http://youtu.be/0OP5EnaaYjQ

I like Tone Loc, I confess.

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Still shocking that a President who went on national tv and said he didnt know the facts but the police department acted stupidly, even has a chance.

How many things has this man done or said, that did not get the whiplash from the media he should have and would have if he were a Republican? Too many to even remember.

bucsox79 on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

We don’t get the internals on this at all. However, I’d say that an incumbent President at 48% and in a tie the day before Election Day is in serious trouble.

Ed, the D/R/I for the USA Today/Gallup poll is buried in the text. It’s 37/29/34, D+8. To me, this sample is confusing since Gallup’s party affiliation right now is R+3 with leaners.

TarheelBen on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Time to vote, guess who they vote for? It’s not the Republican.

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:03 PM

Ron Paul has gotten by on the votes of Dow Chemical union workers for years. Hopefully his district was realigned enough to dilute some of that. Nick Lanpson is a perineal candidate that his little support except for die hard dems.

DanMan on November 5, 2012 at 3:12 PM

I’m With Obama

Twitchy meme bait?

Sailfish on November 5, 2012 at 3:12 PM

SHARPTOOTH on November 5, 2012 at 3:08 PM

He ran away this morning. He doesn’t seem to care for Trollcott! and being ignored.

kingsjester on November 5, 2012 at 3:10 PM

Ohh, ok…so Trollcott worked..

SHARPTOOTH on November 5, 2012 at 3:12 PM

What the heck is up with Larry Sabato?

John the Libertarian on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

Finish him.

Bishop on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

BTW, JP, thanks for your efforts in this election. Glad you’re here in the US with us!

Cody1991 on November 5, 2012 at 3:11 PM

Thank you, Comrade. I learned much and met many fine people. It will be icing on the cake if Mitt takes Nevada.

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 3:17 PM

OT: BTW, YouTube/Google is doing its part to help Obama.

If you search ‘mitt romney’, barackobamadotcom is 1st, collegehumor is 3rd, Mitt Romney is 4th

If you search ‘barack obama’, barackobamadotcom is 1st, 2nd, and 3rd

faraway on November 5, 2012 at 3:18 PM

What the heck is up with Larry Sabato?

John the Libertarian on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

He was wrong in 2008 (by size of win) and in 2004, he said Kerry would win.

ConservativePartyNow on November 5, 2012 at 3:19 PM

If you’ve voted, drink.

If you’ve not voted, wait until you can vote, vote, then drink.

If you’re a Mormon and can’t drink, don’t drink. Get elected President.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:56 PM

Have not voted yet, worked my bum off for the 3 weekends in Nevada with not one drop consumed in that time.

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

heh, you have to be sober to persuade those low propensity voters or whatever they heck they call those lazy bums to get off their couch and go vote!!! :)…Are you stil in NE??

jimver on November 5, 2012 at 3:20 PM

It is supposed to rain tomorrow here in Florida. Wet weather is good news for Republicans.

INC on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

“The Lord works in mysterious ways.”

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:20 PM

Landslide! Landslide! Landslide!

claudius on November 5, 2012 at 3:20 PM

Twitchy meme bait?

Sailfish on November 5, 2012 at 3:12 PM


Way, way too easy.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:20 PM

ConservativePartyNow on November 5, 2012 at 3:19 PM

Phew!

I’m sticking with Michael Barone.

John the Libertarian on November 5, 2012 at 3:21 PM

Sigh.

Larry Sabato predicts Obama landslide – gives him several swing states on account of Sandy.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 3:00 PM

That is what you call utter delusions… He expects the majority of voters to forget about the misery and failure of Obama 4 years in office and only remember Obama photops during a storm… I will go with Michale Barone on this who predicted a Romney landslide…

mnjg on November 5, 2012 at 3:21 PM

Finish him.

Bishop on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

King takes Pawn.

Then we all throw our hands in the air and go, “HOOO-AHH!”

Lourdes on November 5, 2012 at 3:22 PM

Have the corpulent woman in the wings begin warming up?

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 2:47 PM

..Candy Crowley is making her NYO debut in Carnegie?

The War Planner on November 5, 2012 at 3:22 PM

it’s the Invasion of the Polls! No, Not those Pols, The other Polls! The Pollsters have to get in the last income for a while. The Likelyhood of anyone being swayed by any of these last minute fight for headlines is just, not very likely. Whatever floats your boat.
Addendum on the fight against the Obama Enemy media: http://paratisiusa.blogspot.com/2012/09/an-open-letter-to-those-who-should-know.html?spref=tw

God Bless America!

paratisi on November 5, 2012 at 3:23 PM

I learned much and met many fine people. It will be icing on the cake if Mitt takes Nevada.

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 3:17 PM

That would be fantastic, and if it happens, you can be sure that you played an important part.

Cody1991 on November 5, 2012 at 3:23 PM

OT: BTW, YouTube/Google is doing its part to help Obama.

If you search ‘mitt romney’, barackobamadotcom is 1st, collegehumor is 3rd, Mitt Romney is 4th

If you search ‘barack obama’, barackobamadotcom is 1st, 2nd, and 3rd

faraway on November 5, 2012 at 3:18 PM

Sorry, not true.

Archivarix on November 5, 2012 at 3:23 PM

Oh my

Schadenfreude on November 5, 2012 at 3:25 PM

Legacy of the Prince of Darkness, a perfect depiction.

Schadenfreude on November 5, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Obama will be playing his “traditional” basketball game on election day. Really.

claudius on November 5, 2012 at 3:26 PM

The question no liberal or dem can answer….

If Obama has lost the independent vote, and Romney leads that segment by double digits, a group the liberals, and specifically Obama has relied on…

Where, what segment, what group, will fill that double digit void?

Let’s just say that the U.S. is split 50/50 dem/Republican, those declared, and that is a fact.

Where does Obama get that 5-10% or even 25% of the vote needed to overcome the independent vacuum?

Minorities, greater number, anyone see that? Blacks were over 90%, how could he double that, since they are about 14% of the population.
Women, that fire was put out
Students…not this time, but even if so, he would need practically 100% because he carried such a huge number last time
Seniors…hardly that one, for sure
Businessmen, no way
Union…he carried that substantially last time, can be triple 63%?

Where does he get the extra 5,10,15,20,25% from his base???

Mathematically, it can’t be done…

right2bright on November 5, 2012 at 3:26 PM

Oh my

Schadenfreude on November 5, 2012 at 3:25 PM

VA is gone.

ConservativePartyNow on November 5, 2012 at 3:27 PM

letget, I have looked around and see no articles on the Lampson vs Weber race to replace Ron Paul. The Chron endorses Lampson of course but they sway no one.

DanMan on November 5, 2012 at 3:29 PM

mitt romney

barack obama

faraway on November 5, 2012 at 3:31 PM

letget on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

That would be a huge risk for them…If bronco has already got it sewed up, they’ll not feel the need to get off of the Obamacouch to go vote…I hope they try it! They say DWS is already going on every news outlet she can saying they have FL in the bag! Ha! My case of the Eeyores from yesterday has completely disappeared!

Chewy the Lab on November 5, 2012 at 3:32 PM

heh, you have to be sober to persuade those low propensity voters or whatever they heck they call those lazy bums to get off their couch and go vote!!! :)…Are you stil in NE??

jimver on November 5, 2012 at 3:20 PM

Got back to Utah at 6:00 this morning. I have friends fleeing Chicago to visit for a few days.

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 3:32 PM

whoops! there is a contributing blogger that endorsed Weber on Saturday…http://blog.chron.com/bigjolly/2012/11/cd14-randy-weber-is-the-only-conservative/

DanMan on November 5, 2012 at 3:32 PM

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