Rasmussen: Romney up in VA, MT, IN

posted at 2:01 pm on November 5, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

The final polls will come at us quickly today and possibly tomorrow as well, so we’ll tighten up our focus and try to cover as many as we can.  Rasmussen has three new polls out over the last 24 hours, but only one in a big-focus swing state, Virginia.  Mitt Romney maintains a small edge in the Old Dominion that he has kept for the last three weeks, but it’s small enough to get one last visit from the candidate in the final hours of the campaign:

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia just before Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided.

This is unchanged from two weeks ago and the week before that when it was Romney 50%, Obama 47%.

This one’s tight enough to look at the internals, which are somewhat surprising given the closeness of the toplines.  Obama actually loses the overall gender gap by three points (-7 among men, +4 among women), but he’s also losing independents in Virginia by 21 points, 58/37.  In 2008, Obama had a +11 in the gender gap and won independents by one point, 49/48.  The D/R/I in this sample is D+2 at 38/36/25; in 2008 it was 39/33/27 but in 2009′s gubernatorial election it was 33/37/30.

Romney wins the economic argument by six points, 51/45 over Obama.  There’s a significant gender gap on this question as well, but it also favors Romney (+10 among men, +1 among women).  Romney has a 25-point lead among independents on this question, 58/33.  On the other hand, Obama does have a positive job-approval rating at 51/49, which is probably why the toplines look as close as they do.  I’d guess, though, that Virginia’s going to break significantly for Romney.

Romney has better leads in two other states Rasmussen polled.  In Indiana, which Obama won in 2008 by about one point, Romney leads by nine points, 52/43, making this Rust Belt state safe.  In Montana, a traditionally Republican state that Obama came within three points of winning in 2008, Romney has a 10-point lead, 53/43.  No one seriously considered either in play, so these come as no big surprise.

Rasmussen’s national tracking poll puts Romney back up on top by one again today:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided.

Their swing-state tracking poll has been down for a week following the impact of Hurricane Sandy.  The results of the national poll have all been margin-of-error tremors, but Romney has led more than he’s been tied or behind since the end of the debates.  Here again, though, the internals look much brighter for Romney.  He has a fifteen point lead among independents (53/38), and a fifteen-point lead among seniors (57/42).  Romney wins the gender gap by five points overall with a +15 among men and a -10 among women.  That’s roughly the same as we saw with the internals of the CNN poll with the D+11 sample.

It’s going to be a close race overall, but I’d prefer to be on Romney’s side of those internals in both polls than Obama’s.


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Side-splitting laughter…..

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 2:28 PM

Anything is possible but you’ll note that I did not mention the cold snap in hell by the time it happens. ;0

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:35 PM

WORK IT HOT AIRIANS!!!!!

PappyD61 on November 5, 2012 at 2:35 PM

It’s not going to be close. R+5 is a rout.

Basilsbest on November 5, 2012 at 2:34 PM

boom

Turtle317 on November 5, 2012 at 2:36 PM

Crossroads is running very effective ads in CA.

Is there hope for this state?

PattyJ on November 5, 2012 at 2:11 PM

Wouldn’t that be wonderful?

John the Libertarian on November 5, 2012 at 2:37 PM

Did you guys see this – R+6?

NumbersMuncher ‏@NumbersMuncher
I dont think people understand that Rasmussen polls 15,000 people a month. Showing a flip from D+7 in 08 to R+6 today is no small thing.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 2:25 PM

Yep,that’s the most interesting polling thing that’s come out all day and am surprised Ed didn’t even mention it…

Rasmussen’s party ID data have it at R+6 which is amazingly high and yet he uses a D+2 for his national tracking…his party ID #’s was pretty much accurate going back to 2004 and actual election results so not quite sure why he’s using a D+2. Really odd.

jaygatz33 on November 5, 2012 at 2:37 PM

At Daily Kos they’re already posting articles predicting what excuses Republicans will offer for Romney’s loss.

They’re that confident.

aunursa on November 5, 2012 at 2:06 PM

Because they are bunch of delusional liberals… Have you seen a liberals who do not always think that they are victorious and superior all the time even when they are utterly defeated? They suffer from the Arabism sickness of utter delusion…

mnjg on November 5, 2012 at 2:38 PM

I predict Obama will panic and say something stupid by the end of the day. I mean, more stupid than usual.

Meh. The cake is baked. Nothing that either candidate does or says today will change the result tomorrow. It’s now basically a turnout contest.

YYZ on November 5, 2012 at 2:39 PM

So I wonder when tommorrow somebody in the rat-eared wonder’s campaign slips in a tape of the 08 election returns to keep Mooch from realizing her lazy days of living off the government teat are coming to an end.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:39 PM

You know what my favorite U2 song is?

Here are the lyrics sung in the saddest ObamaBot voice…….

I can’t believe the news today
Oh, I can’t close my eyes
And make it go away
How long…
How long did we sing this song
Mmmm mmmmm mmmmmm
How long, how long…
’cause tonight…Obama is done
Tonight…

Broken bottles under the moocher’s feet
Bodies strewn across the benghazi street
But Obama didn’t heed the battle call
And It puts my back up
Puts my back up against the wall

Tuesday, Bloody Tuesday
Tuesday, Bloody Tuesday
Tuesday, Bloody Tuesday

Dedicated to those in CO who saw U2 at Red Rocks.

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 2:39 PM

Meh. The cake is baked. Nothing that either candidate does or says today will change the result tomorrow. It’s now basically a turnout contest.

YYZ on November 5, 2012 at 2:39 PM

That is not entirely true but the fact of the matter is that the clock has almost run out. Even with a “hail mary” there is virtually no time for the effects to filter to the electorate in a substantive way.

I’ve got to say, I was expecting some sort of an October surprise but I think they probably burned through those by the end of August.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

CeeInIn has declared that “Poor’s Fate Rests with Winner”.

Best sweaty palmed plea EVAH!

Limerick on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

Gallops final poll in 2004 had Bush and Kerry tied 49/49. Bush eked out 50.7 to 48.3.
That is good for Romney being up 1.

1nolibgal on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

How is DailyKos different from some conservative sites? Have you checked out Drudge these past few months? Anyone can cherrypick polls.

YYZ on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:33 PM

The election dynamics are different, yes, but the sampling and such remains, bewilderingly, the same. And since the GOP ground game is actually funded this year, we can expect – unlike in ’10 where our guys underperformed the polls a bit – our folks to overperform a point or two.

This is looking good. Obama needed a bigger lead than this.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

The poll games are just maddening. I wonder what they’re up to?

clnurnberg on November 5, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Because they are bunch of delusional liberals… Have you seen a liberals who do not always think that they are victorious and superior all the time even when they are utterly defeated? They suffer from the Arabism sickness of utter delusion…

mnjg on November 5, 2012 at 2:38 PM

That is why Liberals have to be totally defeated before they will admit defeat. You can’t work with them. You can’t cross the isle. You can’t negotiate. You have to scorch the earth, politically. Only at total defeat will they give up, and only temporarily.

No quarter can be given, even temporarily.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 2:43 PM

it will be a miracle if mitt wins this. He will have faced the unified hatred of the institutional Left (including the state-run
media)…and a massive effort to buy votes via free contraception, free abortion, mortgage assistance, student loan…a veritable cornucopia of goodies from uncle barry

all this while the Fed is trying to prop up the economy with highly unconventional means (they themselves take credit for 2M job created by their policies)

the media is especially despicable…destroying the vision of our founders of a free press

and then their is the fraud

r keller on November 5, 2012 at 2:44 PM

it is the end of the nation as we know it. Seriously.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:08 PM

Unfortunately, this is how I see it too. I’m optimistic, yet nervous for our future.

Can’t wait to register my vote…and it’s NOT 3rd party. I’m serious about saving our nation and purging the thugs infesting its leadership positions.

freedomfirst on November 5, 2012 at 2:44 PM

Both states show swings of 7-8 points which is what Obama’s been losing in most states compared to 2008. That’s why I think he’s in big trouble in O-I-H-O. He won that state by 4 1/2 points. If the same trend holds true in that state, Romney wins by 3-4 points.

Doughboy on November 5, 2012 at 2:11 PM

This is exactly true… There is nothing different about Ohio from the rest of the nation…

mnjg on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

No quarter can be given, even temporarily.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Junebug appreciated the bacon but PETA just showed up with 1/2 a dead cat.

Limerick on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

Yep,that’s the most interesting polling thing that’s come out all day and am surprised Ed didn’t even mention it…

Rasmussen’s party ID data have it at R+6 which is amazingly high and yet he uses a D+2 for his national tracking…his party ID #’s was pretty much accurate going back to 2004 and actual election results so not quite sure why he’s using a D+2. Really odd.

jaygatz33 on November 5, 2012 at 2:37 PM

I’ve read numerous comments which claim his model is D+4. The information is available only to subscribers. Anyone here subscribe to Rasmussen?

Basilsbest on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

Tuesday, Bloody Tuesday
Tuesday, Bloody Tuesday
Tuesday, Bloody Tuesday

Dedicated to those in CO who saw U2 at Red Rocks.

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 2:39 PM

I think it will be “Smokey Wednesday”. Followed by “Bloody Thursday”.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

I don’t understand polling MT and IN at this point…

changer1701 on November 5, 2012 at 2:07 PM

Pretty sure they wanted to poll the senate and gubernatorial races in both states, and just figured they’d ask about president since they were making the calls anyway.

acasilaco on November 5, 2012 at 2:47 PM

wait….now VA is in play again?

Can.I.be.in.the.middle on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

Look, folks, it is the same thing every cycle. The pollsters cover their patudy’s at the last minute. They call it close so they get another four years of revenue stream. They milk the campaigns/media all summer and duck for cover in the fall.

Limerick on November 5, 2012 at 2:49 PM

Given the splits on the internals, I find it impossible to believe that Romney is up by only two in VA. Either the splits are completely wrong, or Romney’s going to take VA by at least 5-7 points. There’s simply no other way to read this.

nukemhill on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

The poll games are just maddening. I wonder what they’re up to?

clnurnberg on November 5, 2012 at 2:43 PM

..I know it will be hard for the next 36 hours, but forget ‘em. Take comfort in the LARGE CROWD SIZES AND ENTHUSIASM of the Romney appearances versus stuff like 18,000 drop off for the Springsteen last gasp.

Also, take note of the “Preference Prediction Cascade” that has occurred over the last week. Morris (obligatory), but also Rove, Barone, Krauthammer (elicited by Hannity last Thursday), and even old Georgie Will is eschewing hot stove league palaver to say that Romney will win more than 300 EVs.

The handwriting is on the wall, old son!

The War Planner on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

I’ve got to say, I was expecting some sort of an October surprise but I think they probably burned through those by the end of August.

Staten Island would like a word with you.

YYZ on November 5, 2012 at 2:52 PM

Junebug appreciated the bacon but PETA just showed up with 1/2 a dead cat.

Limerick on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

Only have an old sock and a couple of buried chewies left. Nothing close to 1/2 a dead cat…

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 2:52 PM

Staten Island would like a word with you.

YYZ on November 5, 2012 at 2:52 PM

..and, if you’re Obama, it’s probably a four-letter word.

The War Planner on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

The War Planner on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

Thanks, here’s to President Romney.

clnurnberg on November 5, 2012 at 2:53 PM

OK, I’ve a couple of steaks for the grill to get going before my boss gets home. Gawd knows that is one poll I don’t want to come out losing. Nail biters, relax, you only have so much to bite.

Limerick on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

Has anyone looked at the internals from the Survey USA Ohio poll that has Obama +5 with a D+5? I noticed something that has me scratching my head:

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 910 adults from the state of Ohio 11/01/12 through 11/04/12. Of the adults, 822 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 803 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned a ballot, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=32d7a523-b7b4-40fe-81e6-cd91eb6a23a1
Obama leads on the cell phone voters, which isn’t surprising. What is confusing is why weren’t they able to use the same recorded voice when contacting people by cell phone? So 28% of likely voters in this poll were basically emailed or texted so they could respond through their electronic device? I wouldn’t call that a “cell-phone response”. This smells fishy. People are much more likely to respond to an electronic poll than they are to a call to their landline.

weaselyone on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

My brother (a Florida resident) visited this past weekend for a wedding in NY (I’m upstate in a Rochester suburb which is predominantly rep/con). I asked if he was voting on Tues and he told me he wasn’t registered, but if he was he’d vote for Obama. Thank God he didn’t have the smarts to register! Although I have no reason to believe NY will go for Romney, however there are plenty of local, state, and congressional races that are close. I (and the spouse) can’t wait to stand in line on November 6th, 2012. I look at this date as a second day of Independence for this great nation. It is HIGH time we take back the United States of America, not only for us, but especially for our children and grandchildren!

mrmagoo on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

10,000+ for Romney in Fairfax, VA? “This is a big F’n deal”.

donkichi on November 5, 2012 at 2:50 PM

Had to be relocated to the Patriot Center to handle the crowds. Funny, the rat-eared wonder didn’t have that problem.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:55 PM

Some interesting tidbits from Fox News Sunday a couple of weeks ago. Gallup does not adjust for Party ID and I think Rasmussen is the same. I think these pollsters are just calling people until they get to their total number of registered voters/likely voters to answer, independent of party ID. Democrats apparently are more likely to respond to pollsters, which gives them an inherent advantage in polling. I don’t know how Gallup would actively call random people that just so happen to be Democrats willing to respond. I don’t however, put it past other pollsters that might be less “random” with who they call.

Interview with Frank Newport, Gallup Editor in Chief is the 2nd segment:
http://www.foxnews.com/on-air/fox-news-sunday-chris-wallace/2012/10/21/senators-dick-durbin-lindsey-graham-debate-us-foreign-policy-middle-east

WALLACE: Well, let’s talk about the other big controversy, and this isn’t just for you. It’s all for all pollsters, and that’s the question of how do you weight by party. What percentage of Republicans, what percentage of Democrats?

Some people say, do you use the 2008 model? As to how many — what the percentage of Republicans and Democrats are? Did you the 2010 model? Which obviously is different.

How do you weight by party?

NEWPORT: We do not weight by party at all. We never have, we don’t now. We think party identification is an attitudinal variable that fluctuates just like who you’re going to vote for. So, we let that be floating, whatever people tell us near at the end of the survey, when we say — as we say at Gallup — as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, an independent, or a Democrat, that’s what we just measure at the end for the informational purposes.

But we make no effort to try to weight by it. There are no national numbers on party identifications. The Census doesn’t measure party identification.

The exit polls in ’08 are flawed themselves because they are a poll and certainly nobody things that nothing will have changed over four years. You don’t have to register in some states, so there is no national registry of what party ID, quote, “should be”. We know what age should be and gender because the Census measures that. But we don’t know if the party ID. So, we don’t weight by party IDs.

WALLACE: Frank, let me just interrupt for a second. Because I just — this is the thing the critics ask, if we see a poll and we see, well, it’s 39 percent Democrats in the poll and 30 percent Republicans, that doesn’t necessarily mean that it’s biased or skewed?

NEWPORT: No. I mean, you can have — that’s like saying you see a poll that shows Obama up by nine points over Romney, is that biased or skewed? Well, it may be a particular poll has a spurt as we call in the business, that is, you know, margin of error, unusual one way or the other. But usually if the ballot is going one direction, the party ID will follow right along behind it.

Again, party ID is just as much in many ways an attitude as who are you going to vote for. So, we certainly don’t think — and actually most of the major national polls do not weight by party ID because that’s a concept which doesn’t have a lot of science behind it.

weaselyone on November 5, 2012 at 3:04 PM

The poll games are just maddening. I wonder what they’re up to? clnurnberg on November 5, 2012 at 2:43 PM

Think of it this way. The same people hiring these pollsters are the same people covering Benghazigate. They are corrupt.

Basilsbest on November 5, 2012 at 3:06 PM

I’ve got to say, I was expecting some sort of an October surprise but I think they probably burned through those by the end of August.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 2:42 PM

What kind of “October” surprise could be played against a guy who doesn’t drink, doesn’t have a mistress, is loyal, doesn’t have anything in his “closet”, gives to his church, works for his church…the fact is, as much as their is things I don’t like about Mitt, perhaps their has never been a “cleaner” person running for a major office…their is no surprises in his background, at least nothing that Obama would be able to come up with.

The October surprise was how ineffective Obama is, what a dismal failure he is…at least a surprise to his followers, but not to us.

right2bright on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

OT :
Via Twitchy …

Chuck @CNNEditorChuck
Just in: CNN has confirmed from #Romney officials that Gov Romney will campaign in Cleveland and Pittsburgh tomorrow.
…..
Mitt Romney’s campaign has confirmed that they are adding campaign stops to the election day schedule: In Cleveland, Ohio and Pittsburgh, Pa.

pambi on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Mitt Romney’s campaign has confirmed that they are adding campaign stops to the election day schedule: In Cleveland, Ohio and Pittsburgh, Pa.

pambi on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

Bad news?

portlandon on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

Bad news?

portlandon on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

You’re worse than Allahpundit. Man up!

Schadenfreude on November 5, 2012 at 3:25 PM

I predict Obama will panic and say something stupid by the end of the day. I mean, more stupid than usual.

hepcat on November 5, 2012 at 2:32 PM

like what, call us racist whiteys? :-)…I think he delegated that job to Tingle and the whole MSNBC crew…they do a stellar job st it so that he doesn’t have to stoop that low himself and say it, even thought we all know he thinks it.

jimver on November 5, 2012 at 3:26 PM

OT : Via Twitchy …

Chuck @CNNEditorChuck Just in: CNN has confirmed from #Romney officials that Gov Romney will campaign in Cleveland and Pittsburgh tomorrow. ….. Mitt Romney’s campaign has confirmed that they are adding campaign stops to the election day schedule: In Cleveland, Ohio and Pittsburgh, Pa.

pambi on November 5, 2012 at 3:07 PM

This sounds like desperation to me. I just don’t feel good about this.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Bad news?

portlandon on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

Insurance. Mitt doesn’t quit.

Mitsouko on November 5, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Mitt might as well keep going until the polls close. What else is there to do?…and Ohio and PA are right where he needs to be….hearts and minds….hearts and minds

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Yep,that’s the most interesting polling thing that’s come out all day and am surprised Ed didn’t even mention it…

Rasmussen’s party ID data have it at R+6 which is amazingly high and yet he uses a D+2 for his national tracking…his party ID #’s was pretty much accurate going back to 2004 and actual election results so not quite sure why he’s using a D+2. Really odd.

jaygatz33 on November 5, 2012 at 2:37 PM

I’ve read numerous comments which claim his model is D+4. The information is available only to subscribers. Anyone here subscribe to Rasmussen?

Basilsbest on November 5, 2012 at 2:45 PM

Yeah, Ras uses D+4 sometimes and even D+6 IIRC but I read today he used D+2…either way it’s all a long ways from R+6…

Oh and Romney being in Pittsburgh tomorrow is good news, wouldn’t go there if it wasn’t seriously in play. Obama did the same thing with Indiana in 2008…

jaygatz33 on November 5, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Bad news?

portlandon on November 5, 2012 at 3:15 PM

More like adding stops just to be on the safe side.

Othniel on November 5, 2012 at 3:39 PM

I think when the pundits look back on the Obama Nov 6 debacle they will see that it was really Mooch’s lunch program that really killed The Won’s re-election bid. Can you think of a more loyal group of his followers besides the black community than union dominated school teachers? The open rebellion that we’re hearing about in school lunch rooms has got to have some sort of blowback affect with the teachers. Here you have a perfect example why big government, one size fits all type policies are bound to fail and why re-electing The Won will only lead to more of the same. Also Parents in households with school aged children are likely feeling the heat on this issue.

JimK on November 5, 2012 at 3:47 PM

jimk … you aren’t serious are you …. I guarantee you if Romney does win …your theory will never espoused by any political analyst … democratic or republican … wait you were joking and I fell for it … right ?…( then again in your defense… over one million school children have run away from home because of the “ALARMING LUNCHROOM ISSUE” but the damn liberal media is covering up this fact… thanks for exposing this crisis … you should go apply to work for Sean Hannity ( he loves your kind of true news)

U2denver on November 5, 2012 at 4:05 PM

This sounds like desperation to me. I just don’t feel good about this.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Ever compete in sports? Ever hear of the finishing kick? Ever hear of “going all out”, ever hear of “swing through, follow through”?

Even when ahead, narrowly ahead, you keep pushing to the end…you can run out the clock by taking a knee…but if there is still time on the clock the other team can win…best to keep pushing until time the game is over.

What would happen if he lost PA by 500 votes, 500 he could have picked up for just a little effort…that is why Romney needs to be elected, he is an overachiever.

right2bright on November 5, 2012 at 4:23 PM

Mitt might as well keep going until the polls close. What else is there to do?…and Ohio and PA are right where he needs to be….hearts and minds….hearts and minds

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 3:33 PM

Plus he is just an hour or so away from home in PA…a quick flight and he is home…

right2bright on November 5, 2012 at 4:26 PM

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=32d7a523-b7b4-40fe-81e6-cd91eb6a23a1
Obama leads on the cell phone voters, which isn’t surprising. What is confusing is why weren’t they able to use the same recorded voice when contacting people by cell phone? So 28% of likely voters in this poll were basically emailed or texted so they could respond through their electronic device? I wouldn’t call that a “cell-phone response”. This smells fishy. People are much more likely to respond to an electronic poll than they are to a call to their landline.

weaselyone on November 5, 2012 at 2:54 PM

A bigger clue to the polling error……822 registered voters and 803 are voting…..that is over 97% likely voter screen. Ohio has had a turnout of 62, 60 and 55% of registered voters. They let too many “non likely voters through the screen which gooses the dem side as well

Animal60 on November 5, 2012 at 4:38 PM

This sounds like desperation to me. I just don’t feel good about this.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 3:28 PM

Not desperation, if he takes PA and a couple of other typical blue states…..it gives him a mandate even if we don’t retake the senate.

Animal60 on November 5, 2012 at 4:40 PM

Rasmussen probably polled Montana and Indiana not for the presidential election but mainly for the Senate races which are really close. The presidential poll was probably an afterthought or a secondary focus.

Bravesbill on November 5, 2012 at 2:26 PM

Yep.

MontanaMmmm on November 5, 2012 at 5:04 PM

It’s going to be a close race overall, but I’d prefer to be on Romney’s side of those internals in both polls than Obama’s.

Who says? Go ahead and repeat the CW.

I say Romney wins BIG! All of the analysis I keep reading has little bean counters scurrying around totaling up the different demographic groups. This minority, that minority, single women, college kids and on and on. This election will be decided by white voters. Particularly suburban, white voters. They don’t often weigh in with force, but when they do they provide an electoral tsunami.

Middle class wage earners have been getting shafted and we all know it. We’re sick and tired of seeing our wages confiscated to pay for the latest urban welfare program, stimulus boon doggle, shovel ready green bottomless pit of corruption and all the other creative theft of Obama and his pals.

Whether it is willful ignorance or out and out bias the media, including the pollsters, have missed what is right in front of them. They can play around with all of hyphenated votes that they want, it won’t make of hill of beans. These are OUR Grapes of Wrath and there is a bumper crop all across this nation of ours, ready for harvest tomorrow.

MJBrutus on November 5, 2012 at 5:17 PM

Ace’s epic video…Righteous with Cheezy Glory!

SCOAMF Wars

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hnmag05JNZg&feature=player_embedded#!

workingclass artist on November 5, 2012 at 5:24 PM

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