Internal polls: Romney up one in OH, two in IA, three in NH, tied in PA and WI

posted at 5:27 pm on November 5, 2012 by Allahpundit

The skeptical view of leaking these is that it smacks of what desperate campaigns do when they know they’re losing. Remember Tom Barrett? He wanted the world to believe, contra nearly all of the independent polling, that he and Scott Walker were dead even two weeks out from the recall election this summer. That made perfect sense in his case: He was behind, everyone knew it, and he needed a morale booster to keep his base from giving up. How is that analogous to Romney’s situation? Is there any Republican anywhere who’s given up and thinks O’s slight lead in Ohio in the independent polls is immune to huge GOP turnout tomorrow? The final Gallup and Rasmussen national tracking polls each have Romney ahead by a point, a fact Drudge is trumpeting as I write this. There are no Romney voters at this point who need rosy internal polls to nudge them out the door tomorrow.

Mitt Romney is ahead by a single percentage point in Ohio, according to internal polling data provided to MailOnline by a Republican party source.

Internal campaign polling completed last night by campaign pollster Neil Newhouse has Romney three points up in New Hampshire, two points up in Iowa and dead level in Wisconsin and – most startlingly – Pennsylvania.

Internal poll show Romney trailing in Nevada, reflected in a consensus among senior advisers that Obama will probably win the state. Early voting in Nevada has shown very heavy turnout in the Democratic stronghold of Clark County and union organisation in the state is strong.

Yeah, at this point I’m treating Nevada for O the way I’m treating North Carolina for Mitt — technically still in play, but easily the hardest “get” for the opposition. The good news is, there are few scenarios realistically in which the election would come down to Nevada. One is if O wins the big four in the Rust Belt and midwest — Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin — and needs one more state to push him over the line. If that happens, though, then he’ll probably be riding enough of a wave that he can grab one of the more competitive battleground states — Colorado, New Hampshire, or Iowa — to give him the election. Ditto for Mitt: If he wins Colorado, then he can get to 270 either with Ohio alone or with Wisconsin plus Iowa or New Hampshire, both of which look like genuine toss-ups vis-a-vis Nevada. The only way that Nevada is decisive is if there’s some truly odd scramble among the battleground states where, say, Romney wins Ohio but loses Colorado and Wisconsin and Iowa and New Hampshire. Not worth worrying about, especially if Romney’s internal polls are accurate. But just in case, our loyal readers in Nevada will be turning out tomorrow, right? No excuses, especially with Dean Heller in a tight race. Even if Nevada slips away from Romney, it might be the difference in whether he gets to work with a Republican or Democratic Senate.

Exit question: Seriously, are we going to know who won this election tomorrow night? Quote:

[I]n the wee hours Wednesday morning, [Ohio] counties will begin their count of the provisional ballots. These are votes that have been challenged for a wide variety of legitimate reasons. They include: Ohioans who are not registered; registered voters who moved but failed to update their addresses; people who showed up at the right polling place but were directed to the wrong precinct; voters who did not bring proper identification to the polls; and those who requested an absentee ballot but decided to vote in person…

The rough Republican rule of thumb is that Romney requires a statewide lead of, at least, 50,000 votes to survive the provisional ballot phase of the Ohio long count. The requisite election night margin for Romney may, in fact, need to be higher. It all depends on the number of provisional ballots plus valid absentee ballots (postmarked Monday or earlier), which are still in the mail. And despite the best efforts of the secretary of state’s office to release an accurate count of disputed and missing ballots Wednesday morning, the final numbers will probably trickle in from Ohio’s 88 counties over the following few days.

Accepted provisional ballots won’t be added to the state’s vote totals until November 17-21. Legal challenges could drag things out weeks longer, a la Florida 2000. Consider this another motivator for 100 percent Republican turnout tomorrow: If we can’t stop Ohio from being very, very close, maybe we can stop it from mattering at all.


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I dropped off my households 3 ballots this morning. 3 votes for Mitt in Oregon. I know. Big whoop.

portlandon on November 5, 2012 at 6:06 PM

Hey, at least you can sport one of those “Don’t blame me, I voted for Romney” bumper stickers!
But seriously, you done the right thing and at least you can lay your head down tonight and know you did the right thing for your country, even if the obama idiots in your state didnt. :)

kcd on November 5, 2012 at 6:50 PM

I guess (can’t remember) that the night before election 1980 everybody was saying it was “too close to call” and look how that turned out.

arrghhh

tru2tx on November 5, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Nope. IIRC, some fluctuations in the polls and an argument among the talking heads that showing “Bedtime For Bonzo” equaled unfair campaigning on the part of Reagan supporters. None of Reagan’s decent movies were being shown.

cozmo on November 5, 2012 at 6:51 PM

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 6:46 PM

+1 gg, well said

cmsinaz on November 5, 2012 at 6:51 PM

HMmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm……………

EdMorrissey ‏@EdMorrissey

@BuzzFeedAndrew @JazzShaw Reminds me of old SNL spoof of horror movies: The Guest Who Wouldn’t Leave (with Belushi as the houseguest)

https://twitter.com/EdMorrissey
——————————–

Andrew Kaczynski ‏@BuzzFeedAndrew

@EdMorrissey @JazzShaw Jokes on you, they keep sending them anyway.

https://twitter.com/BuzzFeedAndrew
———————————-

https://twitter.com/JazzShaw

canopfor on November 5, 2012 at 6:56 PM

alchemist19 on November 5, 2012 at 6:49 PM

However, there are several notable and significant differences.

That was a week before the election, not the afternoon before. And…

The campaign likely will take solace from the daily Rasmussen Reports tracking poll, which today showed Obama up by 5 points, compared to an 8 point lead as of Sunday. Still, the pollsters note that “with today’s results, Obama has been ahead by four-to-eight points every single day for 32 straight days.”

… And at the time almost every pollster had Obama beating McCain by a significant margin.

farsighted on November 5, 2012 at 6:56 PM

It’s a different election. We’ve never had to combat such skewed polls and MSM basically campaigning outright for the dems.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 6:46 PM

I have vivid memories of 2004 where early exit polls had Republicans go weak kneed. The failure of the media in that election just taught them they have to amp it up and we see the results today.

mpthompson on November 5, 2012 at 6:57 PM

Washington Post ABC final poll the President up by 3 …another sign of the trend for President Obama … also a great day for Chris Christie when the President put him on the phone with Bruce Springsteen…Christie says he weeped in happiness … I can’t wait … Rush is going to lose it when he hears this … U2denver on November 5, 2012 at 6:37 PM

It’s D+6 moron. The current party identification is R+6, moron. Republicans are more enthusiastic, moron. Your final Corrupt Media poll overstates support for Obama by at least 12 points, moron.

Basilsbest on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

Via Drudge:

Obama Campaign to Supporters: Don’t Panic Over Early Exit Polls

Sounds like they know we’re going to destroy them in Election Day voters.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 6:29 PM

If they already know Exits will be bad, that says alot about where they think this race is heading.

Norwegian on November 5, 2012 at 6:59 PM

Everyone be calm. There is no truth to the rumors the Americans have occupied the Baghdad Airport.

– Baghdad Bob

farsighted on November 5, 2012 at 6:37 PM

ROFLMAO! I wonder whatever happened to ol Bagdad Bob? He was such a lovable character! /sarc

kcd on November 5, 2012 at 7:02 PM

I have vivid memories of 2004 where early exit polls had Republicans go weak kneed. The failure of the media in that election just taught them they have to amp it up and we see the results today.

mpthompson on November 5, 2012 at 6:57 PM

Exactly. I wouldn’t be surprised to see most polls go bye-bye after this election.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:03 PM

LOL at the trolls hanging their hats on studies based on polls.

Garbage in garbage out.

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Via Drudge:

Obama Campaign to Supporters: Don’t Panic Over Early Exit Polls

Sounds like they know we’re going to destroy them in Election Day voters.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 6:29 PM

Wow. If the ultimate partisan hack realizes that the exit polls will be bad, the election might be called for Romney before 10:00 p.m. tomorrow (I have said by 11:00 Mitt Romney will be the President of the United States).

Tomorrow might be a glorious day.

milcus on November 5, 2012 at 7:09 PM

Jay-Z Substitutes ‘Mitt’ for ‘B-tch’ While Singing at Obama Rally… (Via DRUDGE)

They show such class, dont they?

kcd on November 5, 2012 at 7:11 PM

Exactly. I wouldn’t be surprised to see most polls go bye-bye after this election.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Honestly, I think most of us are poll-exhausted at this point. I live in a swing state so I can’t sneeze without it being polled.

Not really, but let’s be honest here. I am so sick and tired of this agnst over polling. What needs to happen is a re-evaluation over how polling happens. I’m not certain that the traditional ways of doing so still give an accurate opinion. I won’t answer the phone if I don’t recognize the number. I am sure that I missed both robocalls and pollsters. How many others did likewise? You end up with polls who are comprised solely of losers who actually have answered the phone.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:12 PM

LOL at the trolls hanging their hats on studies based on polls.

Garbage in garbage out.

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 7:03 PM

What? Does that mean you don’t think everyone in the “princeton election consortium”, and the trolls who hang on their every word, have bet everything they own, and every dollar they could borrow, including their children’s college funds, on their can’t lose 99.9% confidence prediction that Obama will win?

farsighted on November 5, 2012 at 7:14 PM

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:12 PM

The problem with polls is they can be so easily manipulated to fit whatever narrative you want. Low information voters don’t know that.

I’m sick of polls. Have the campaigns do them but quit having so many public ones.

I’m getting butterflies – let’s get this party started.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:14 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

Come down off the ledge, The fact that Romney is fighting til the very end to save this country should make you more motivated than ever.

Would you rather have Juan “suspend my campaign” “You have nothing to fear from an Obama presidency” McCain right now or Mitt?

The guy has done everything he possibly could to win this election, It’s just up to us now to turn out for him. Rassmussen, and Barone said this earlier today, Mitt will win if he gets the turnout he expects.

Back up and think for a minute what he’s on the verge of doing. Unseating an incumbent has only been done a few times EVER. unseating the first black president, with the entire MSM openly campaigning for him? Mitt has done the impossible, and erased Obama’s 2008 landslide leads and left us with an even playing field.

1984 in real life on November 5, 2012 at 7:16 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

LADIES AND GENTLEMEN…

I AM HERE TO ACCEPT MY ACCOLADES.

If this thing has broken open for Obama like it appears, then even if the hurricane hadn’t hit, Romney was a goner.

The winning campaign never releases internals unless it is to create a false narrative.

The whole Romney campaign has that rancid stench of a loser.

gumbyandpokey on November 5, 2012 at 7:17 PM

1984 in real life on November 5, 2012 at 7:16 PM

Well said!

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:18 PM

Obama’s fail and desperation are apparent.

he’s a loser doing what a loser does…..LOSING.

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 7:18 PM

I’m sick of polls. Have the campaigns do them but quit having so many public ones.

I’m getting butterflies – let’s get this party started.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:14 PM

Nervous, gophergirl?

I’m going to be rubbing these results in so hard to you fools, that your skin will be chafed when I’m done.

Now do you believe the polls don’t matter?!?!

gumbyandpokey on November 5, 2012 at 7:20 PM

Via Drudge:

Obama Campaign to Supporters: Don’t Panic Over Early Exit Polls

Sounds like they know we’re going to destroy them in Election Day voters.

KingGold on November 5, 2012 at 6:29 PM

he’s worried about the libs turning on him.

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 7:20 PM

1984 in real life on November 5, 2012 at 7:16 PM

Amazing that some people aren’t upbeat, isn’t it? The verge of an important and historic win for Romney, and people can’t accept good news for what it is.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 7:20 PM

as soon as the failbomb explodes, the libs will realize that homeslice spent 4 years vacationing, golfing, and watching Americans die in Benghazi…..

then they’ll turn on him….

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 7:21 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

Um…. He’s pushing a close decision in Ohio and then heading over to PA a state that wasn’t considered in play until last week and apparently vulnerable enough that while Mitt is there Bill Clinton is making four stops and a union leader is being rushed in to strong-arm union folk. This is precisely what winning campaigns do, you rat-eared loving loser.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:21 PM

TROLLCOTT

BeachBum on November 5, 2012 at 7:21 PM

Wow. Trolls and eeyores are out in full force today. I guess it boils down to people that want to think Romney will lose (even though who are voting for him) will find something that they say is a “bad sign”. He released his internals. He is campaigning tomorrow. He wore a blue tie. He sneezed during a speech.

JennM111 on November 5, 2012 at 7:21 PM

I’m scerd!

lorien1973 on November 5, 2012 at 7:21 PM

What stinks? did the dog drag a carcass in the back door?

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 7:22 PM

Troll Alert!!! Please ignore!

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 7:22 PM

I’m outta here.

farsighted on November 5, 2012 at 7:22 PM

Every REpublican with a heartbeat is voting tomorrow ..

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 7:23 PM

Is American Crossroads – Rove’s PAC?

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:25 PM

Romney Narrowly Holding Bellwether Ohio County, N.H. Towns

By Jim Geraghty

Credit Suffolk for doing some of the most interesting polling of this cycle. Rather than toss another statewide poll onto the pile, they took a detailed look at one bellwether county in Ohio and two bellwether towns in New Hampshire. The verdict? Good news for Romney, but not much room for comfort:

In Lake County, Romney led Obama 47 percent to 43 percent with Independent Richard Duncan receiving 4 percent and Stewart Alexander (Socialist Party) receiving 1 percent, while 2 percent were undecided and 4 percent refused a response. Romney led 49 percent to 44 percent among those planning to cast ballots and led 43 percent to 41 percent among those who had already voted. Duncan, an Ohioan listed on the presidential ballot, received most of his support from voters who have already cast ballots for him in Lake County, causing neither major candidate to reach a decisive 50 percent there.

“What better place to decide this presidential election than on the banks of Lake Erie,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “A word of caution about Lake County. It is widely recognized as an Ohio bellwether, correctly predicting the last four presidential elections. But there have been some elections where it has trended more Republican. That was the case in 1996 and 2008, where Lake County voted for the Democratic nominees who won, but still leaned more Republican than the statewide vote.”

Meanwhile, over in the Granite State:

Two New Hampshire towns, Epping and Milford, have mirrored the statewide New Hampshire vote in four out of four presidential elections going back to 1996. In Milford, Romney led Obama 51 percent to 46 percent and in Epping, a closer bellwether, Romney led Obama 49 percent to 47 percent.

At the link, they provide the history of the county and towns and how they compare statewide.

Of course, any trend may be broken. Vigo County, Indiana, is a county that has voted for the winner in every election since 1956 and is being mentioned as a bellwether again this cycle (http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-04/watch-vigo-county-indiana-for-who-will-be-president) — except the Obama campaign hasn’t really contested Indiana this cycle, and Romney’s expected to win the state by a healthy margin — so perhaps the dynamics in Vigo won’t quite as representative of the country as a whole this cycle.

One local station did call 100 residents, a quite small sample: “The result: 42 residents planning to vote for President Barack Obama and 48 in favor of Governor Mitt Romney; which matches other polls across the country.”

Resist We Much on November 5, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Is American Crossroads – Rove’s PAC?

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:25 PM

Yeah, and he’s involved in Crossroads GPS too.

forest on November 5, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Same here. Got to go. Can’t stand the stink.

Upbeat everyone. It is all in Romney’s favor. Vote. Call friends and neighbours. He will win, and everything points to a possible landslide.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 7:26 PM

The problem with polls is they can be so easily manipulated to fit whatever narrative you want. Low information voters don’t know that.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:14 PM

And poll geeks attack the cross-tabs.

I’m with you. Too much polling leads to voter fatigue. Tommorow I will be in line a quarter to six to vote when the polls open. I’ve got a late meeting and might not get to the polls in time otherwise BUT the fact of the matter is that I don’t care about what the polls say. I am going to vote the way I vote no matter what.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:27 PM

I completely forgot about Dixville Notch at midnight.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:27 PM

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

this dude’s been playin both ways on this site if ya know what i mean. get lost jerk…we don’t need trolls and traitors ’round here.

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 7:28 PM

Vote. Call friends and neighbours. He will win, and everything points to a possible landslide.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 7:26 PM

Neighbours? What country you from? I’ll wait whilst you contemplate your answer.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:28 PM

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:27 PM

I’ll be in line at 6:30 with a charged up IPOD and warm gloves. If I could vote at midnight I would.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:29 PM

I

completely forgot about Dixville Notch at midnight.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:27 PM

this is always a riot…i think they had 12 people voting last election…3 of ‘em died so we should be down to 9 tonite.

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Every REpublican with a heartbeat is voting tomorrow ..

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 7:23 PM

The problem is all the Democrats without a heartbeat that are also voting.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:30 PM

this is always a riot…i think they had 12 people voting last election…3 of ‘em died so we should be down to 9 tonite.

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 7:30 PM

It’s one of my favorite election day traditions. Don’t they put their ballots in a coffee can?

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:30 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

LADIES AND GENTLEMEN…

I AM HERE TO ACCEPT MY ACCOLADES.

If this thing has broken open for Obama like it appears, then even if the hurricane hadn’t hit, Romney was a goner.

The winning campaign never releases internals unless it is to create a false narrative.

The whole Romney campaign has that rancid stench of a loser.

gumbyandpokey on November 5, 2012 at 7:17 PM

A pair of concern trolls that don’t know what a winner looks like. Flip on Fox, and take a look at how self-assured and Presidential Romney looks. That is what a winner looks like.

ghostwriter on November 5, 2012 at 7:31 PM

Neighbours? What country you from? I’ll wait whilst you contemplate your answer.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:28 PM

Linux/firefox defaults to a more colourful English.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Is American Crossroads – Rove’s PAC?

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:25 PM

I dont think so. Last night on Fox, he said he has volunteered for Crossroads for many years. He was responding to some left winger that said he was making money off Crossroads. Karl said he does not get a penny and as a matter of fact, all the running around he does for them, volunteering, he pays expenses from his own pocket.

kcd on November 5, 2012 at 7:32 PM

I’ll be in line at 6:30 with a charged up IPOD and warm gloves. If I could vote at midnight I would.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:29 PM

Lucky you! VA’s polls open at 6am. I’ll be there by 5:45. Fortunately for me, my polling place is in walking distance.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:32 PM

bgibbs1000 on November 5, 2012 at 6:58 PM

this dude’s been playin both ways on this site if ya know what i mean. get lost jerk…we don’t need trolls and traitors ’round here.

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 7:28 PM

Actually bgibbs made a wager with me when everyone else was to chicken. So at least he had the courage of his convictions. But the internals (and they aren’t the real one’s) and going back to campaign tomorrow look so friggin’ desperate, it’s almost sad.

gumbyandpokey on November 5, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Linux/firefox defaults to a more colourful English.

oldroy on November 5, 2012 at 7:32 PM

OOOOH! That explains it.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Lucky you! VA’s polls open at 6am. I’ll be there by 5:45. Fortunately for me, my polling place is in walking distance.

Happy Nomad on November 5, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Mine too – just a couple blocks down. I, however, have the dumbest poll workers on the face of the earth. One year I tried to show them my ID and they almost had a heart attack.

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:34 PM

Is American Crossroads – Rove’s PAC?

gophergirl on November 5, 2012 at 7:25 PM

It’s his PAC, however, he does not draw a salary or make a dime from it as he explained last night.

JPeterman on November 5, 2012 at 7:35 PM

TROLLCOTT

Alberta_Patriot on November 5, 2012 at 7:36 PM

I’m outta here, something is stinking up the joint.

BeachBum on November 5, 2012 at 7:36 PM

We’ll know as soon as PA announces for Mitt! It will be an early night.

MJBrutus on November 5, 2012 at 7:38 PM

The rancid stench of the Prince of Darkness’ legacy – a perfect depiction.

Schadenfreude on November 5, 2012 at 7:38 PM

Every REpublican with a heartbeat is voting tomorrow ..

ted c on November 5, 2012 at 7:23 PM

And a whole of Dems without one :-)

MJBrutus on November 5, 2012 at 7:39 PM

And a whole *lot* of Dems without one :-)

MJBrutus on November 5, 2012 at 7:40 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000

Says who?

xblade on November 5, 2012 at 7:44 PM

this is always a riot…i think they had 12 people voting last election…3 of ‘em died so we should be down to 9 tonite.

gracie on November 5, 2012 at 7:30 PM

They voted 15-6 in 2008 for Obama. This will be the bench mark. If its 13-8, its a huge gain for the Republican.:)

KMav on November 5, 2012 at 7:45 PM

We’ll know as soon as PA announces for Mitt! It will be an early night.

MJBrutus on November 5, 2012 at 7:38 PM

Saw that it’s going to be cold, and wet in PA on election day. Between that and Halo 4 coming out, I can see alot of lazy liberals deciding they’d rather stay in an slay some aliens rather than vote for Bronco.

1984 in real life on November 5, 2012 at 7:46 PM

As I read these posts complaining about the poll samples used by the various pollsters I think that Republicans are setting up an excuse as to why Romney lost.

At the same time Democrats are using voter suppression as setting up an excuse was to why Obama lost.

Two sides of the same coin.

smokin hot politics on November 5, 2012 at 7:48 PM

Joe Trippe was on Lou Dobbs show saying either Obama’s model of winning is right and he sweeps all 9 swing states or he is wrong. This sounds like an omission that Obama’s modeling may be wrong.

jjnco73 on November 5, 2012 at 7:54 PM

TROLLCOTT

Alberta_Patriot on November 5, 2012 at 7:36 PM

Watching a troll have a nervous breakdown in real-time is a scary thing. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that kind of screeching from someone who wasn’t 13-years old…

PetecminMd on November 5, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Lot of strange names popping up tonight. TROLLS?

Barred on November 5, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Not feeling good at all. Romney schedules two election day stops iin states that he needs at least one or the other then releases internals. This is not what winning campaigns do.

bgibbs1000

Obama campaigned in Indiana on election day 2008, troll dole

jjnco73 on November 5, 2012 at 7:56 PM

This will be in the bag for Romney before the polls close on the west coast. You might say otherwise, but you probably also live under a bridge. And your parents probably didn’t hug you enough.

M240H on November 5, 2012 at 7:57 PM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4zClHTIccXs

xblade on November 5, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Joe Trippe was on Lou Dobbs show saying either Obama’s model of winning is right and he sweeps all 9 swing states or he is wrong. This sounds like an omission that Obama’s modeling may be wrong.

jjnco73

Sounds like he really went on a limb by saying Obama will either win or he will lose, lol.

xblade on November 5, 2012 at 8:00 PM

To you dinks who thought my using November 7 as an end date for this torment was a foolish typo:

I hope you are right!

And if it goes the other way we can watch the movie 2016 for a glimpse of the future.

I’m glad the Republicans were too busy playing crabs in the barrel in the primaries and then trying to be acceptable to Morning Joe to bother helping the American people see the left wing theater of poison that put this man where he is.

IlikedAUH2O on November 5, 2012 at 8:06 PM

Sounds like he really went on a limb by saying Obama will either win or he will lose, lol.

xblade on November 5, 2012 at 8:00 PM

His point was that the election model, favorng Obama despite Independents going for Romney could be correct. Trippe seems to think that it is correct, and he picked Obama.

ghostwriter on November 5, 2012 at 8:06 PM

O’Reilly is such a self-important tool.

ghostwriter on November 5, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Can I remind my fellow partisans that we need to have unity. “Trollcot” worked great yesterday. Please don’t engage them—–yes, I have been guilty myself.

arnold ziffel on November 5, 2012 at 8:08 PM

Duncan, an Ohioan listed on the presidential ballot, received most of his support from voters who have already cast ballots for him in Lake County, causing neither major candidate to reach a decisive 50 percent there.

That’s amazing. I remember when he announced and thought he was off his meds. Its either his second or third run.

budfox on November 5, 2012 at 8:18 PM

He IS Mitt Romney! And he sees a whole army of his countrymen, here in defiance of tyranny. You’ve come to vote as free men… and free men you are. What will you do with that freedom? Will you vote?

Bishop on November 5, 2012 at 5:53 PM

Loved Mel’s movie, but as an election metaphor, I’m not so sure? As I recall, it didn’t end well…

bofh on November 5, 2012 at 8:34 PM

The reason to release the internal polling is to put pressure on Obama to show his own cards. Won’t happen, and Team O will call Romney’s move ‘flailing,’ ‘desperate,’ etc…
…until tomorrow night, that is…

Ha haa, HA HAAA, Bwaa-ha-haa, NYAH-HE-HAAA-HE-HEE-HAAA!!! Sweet are the tears.

DublOh7 on November 5, 2012 at 6:01 PM

Mitt must be one helluva poker player. He let O bluff raise all summer, then laid down the 4 kings doing the first debate. Now with the final hand dealt, he laid down the king high straight flush and challenged the O to beat it.

Animal60 on November 5, 2012 at 8:53 PM

O’Reilly is such a self-important tool.

ghostwriter on November 5, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Are you just figuring that out? :)

Animal60 on November 5, 2012 at 8:54 PM

If Romney lose, omma start a riot.

Norky on November 5, 2012 at 9:26 PM

Catching an overseas flight late tomorrow and will be in the air for 11 hours and will have no access to media until Wednesday morning (and then somewhere the US election may get fourth place on any news reports). First time I’ve looked forward to a long flight.

Over50 on November 5, 2012 at 9:31 PM

I want a chorus line of humpbots tomorrow.

Left Coast Right Mind on November 5, 2012 at 9:36 PM

We have Air horns to drive around Possum Holler after HOPEFULLY we change the Presidency tomorrow.

We just had us a long day doing what we been preaching.

Me and Mammy ready to vote tomorrow at the turnip factory.

Everyone pray and have a great nighty night.

PappyD61 on November 5, 2012 at 10:23 PM

Obama campaigned in Indiana on election day 2008, troll dole

jjnco73 on November 5, 2012 at 7:56 PM

And Bush campaigned in Ohio on election day 2004.

Both won the states they campaigned in on election day, too.

JenWestin on November 5, 2012 at 10:50 PM

Trolling 101 — How to spot a troll.

Part 1 — The obvious unskilled unimaginative amateur attention seeking troll. About 90% of trolls fall into this category.

A. Generic attention seeking post

Generic

Actual — Example 1

farsighted on November 5, 2012 at 10:53 PM

haha Willard reeking desperation!

DBear on November 5, 2012 at 11:01 PM

What is that stink? It smells like donkey dung that has sat on a hot Georgia highway for an August afternoon.

slickwillie2001 on November 5, 2012 at 11:07 PM

Chrisie deserves to lose his position… What a self oppirtune jerk. I also love the leak about being VP. Classy. Cory Booker seems like a nice guy and a DLC type.. just saying. Let’s nip jerky’s ambitions in the bud.

I think this is 2004.. but sadly there is really no good candidates in 2016 outside of ambitious loudmouth. Seriously.. Rubio has done nothing in the Senate, soI’m not sure why he gets play. Ryan will be branded a loser and Jindal is incapanle of giving a speech.

Illinidiva on November 5, 2012 at 11:10 PM

Chrisie deserves to lose his position… What a self oppirtune jerk. I also love the leak about being VP. Classy. Cory Booker seems like a nice guy and a DLC type.. just saying. Let’s nip jerky’s ambitions in the bud.

I think this is 2004.. but sadly there is really no good candidates in 2016 outside of ambitious loudmouth. Seriously.. Rubio has done nothing in the Senate, soI’m not sure why he gets play. Ryan will be branded a loser and Jindal is incapanle of giving a speech.

Illinidiva on November 5, 2012 at 11:10 PM

Why do you say the same exact thing in every comment?

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 11:31 PM

Ummm.. different wording, but the same sentiment. I’m really sad and upset that this is the last best chance of electing a Republican before I turn forty. Seriously, I don’t even want to hear Jindal’s acceptance speech. Will he get sympathy votes after people stop cringing? As for Rubio.. different problem, he’s the Republican version of Barack Obama. The guy’s pretty fluffy and lacking accomplishments, but he can give pretty speeches. Christie is basically dead to me and should be run out of office. He and Charlie Crist should set up an ambulance chasing law practice together.

Illinidiva on November 5, 2012 at 11:46 PM

Illinidiva on November 5, 2012 at 11:46 PM

No honey, you say the same exact thing every single time.

This comment section isn’t about 2016. It’s not about Christy or Rubio.

Seriously, seek some help.

HumpBot Salvation on November 5, 2012 at 11:49 PM

Christie is making sure that Romney loses, so it is darn well about him.

Illinidiva on November 5, 2012 at 11:52 PM

Carter and Reagan were supposedly locked in a dead heat right up to Election Day, too. We saw how that turned out. I have one word to predict what happens tomorrow: Chick-fil-A. Bank on it. And I’m not even a Mittbot. Far from it in fact; I stood and stared at my ballot for a long time trying to decide between Mittens and Johnson before finally voting for Mittens. Told the formerly dyed-in-the-wool Democratic mother of my best friend about it and she told me a vote for anyone but Mittens was a vote for Obama. There are a lot of former Dems like her who feel like the party has abandoned them for their left-wing fringe. Between the PUMAs and the conservatives, I think I like Mittens’ odds a lot.

NoLeftTurn on November 5, 2012 at 11:56 PM

So were you this optimistic for McCain too? I’m sorry, but I totally discount people who were optimists in 2008.

Illinidiva on November 6, 2012 at 12:01 AM

Diva seems like such a big title for someone with so little to say. Just sayin’….. :->

DevilsPrinciple on November 6, 2012 at 12:11 AM

Between the PUMAs and the conservatives, I think I like Mittens’ odds a lot.

NoLeftTurn on November 5, 2012 at 11:56 PM

And blond MILF’s…… :-o

DevilsPrinciple on November 6, 2012 at 12:14 AM

Okay.. Please tell me how optimistic you were in 2008.. just saying?? I really get annoyed by optimism when it is very misplaced. Like say after a major financial crisis. There was no way McCain was going to win, but all the commenters and posts on the blog told me this was the case. Prove me wrong please.

Also, why is my 2016 analysis incorrect… Christie’s a jerk, Rubio’s fluffy, Ryan’s branded a loser, and Jindal’s a bad public speaker.

Illinidiva on November 6, 2012 at 12:16 AM

Diva seems like such a big title for someone with so little to say. Just sayin’….. :->

DevilsPrinciple on November 6, 2012 at 12:11 AM

The moniker illinicra-cra was already taken.

HumpBot Salvation on November 6, 2012 at 12:17 AM

Again… the peeps who were predicting a McCain win are also predicting a Romney win.. just saying. Why is it any different?

Illinidiva on November 6, 2012 at 12:19 AM

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