Romney up 6 in Florida

posted at 10:01 am on November 3, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

According to a new poll by the Tampa Bay Times and Miami Herald, we can put Florida firmly into Mitt Romney’s column.  With just three days left for campaigning, Romney has a 51/45 lead over Barack Obama in a state Obama won by three in 2008.  Romney even takes an edge in foreign policy now over Obama:

Florida continues to look good for Mitt Romney. The Republican holds a 6-point lead in the state essential to his hopes of defeating President Barack Obama, according to a new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald poll.

The poll shows slight tightening, with Romney’s 51-45 lead down 1 percentage point from the Times’ statewide poll a month ago. …

Still, nearly every key indicator in theTimes’ pre-Election Day poll reveals Romney’s advantage in a state Obama won four years ago.

Florida voters trust Romney more to fix the economy and give him an edge, 50 percent to 48 percent, on who will look out more for the middle class — a stark turn from past months when Obama and his allies unleashed a barrage of TV ads portraying Romney as an out-of-touch corporate raider.

Romney even has a slight advantage on foreign policy, with 2 percent more voters saying they trust him over Obama, who has faced criticism over the fatal attack on a U.S. consulate in Libya.

The Herald has an interesting analysis, one that confounds the national media narrative.  Romney now gets more crossover votes than Obama, contra to the common assumption that independents are proto-Republicans and Romney has trouble with his base:

Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

We have to go to Bay News 9 to get the internals from Mason-Dixon.  They look pretty good for Romney, as one might imagine with a relatively strong lead.  One caveat: the internals do not include the partisan split in the sample.

With that said, let’s dive in. Romney wins the topline 51/45 as noted above, but he’s also winning the gender gap.  Romney has a 17-point lead among men, 56/39, while losing women only by two points, 47/49, giving Romney a +15 overall.  In 2008, Obama won the gender gap by nine points.  Romney also wins independents by six points, down from 13 in the last poll, 49/43; Obama won independents in 2008 by seven, 52/45.  Obama wins 4% of Republicans, but Romney wins 14% of Democrats; in 2008, both Obama and John McCain won 12% of each other’s voters. Most interestingly, Obama is narrowly losing the Hispanic vote in Florida, 44/46.  He won them by 15 in 2008, 57/42.

On likeability and approval, Obama has sunk underwater, while Romney has begun to soar.  Romney’s favorability has ascended to a +19, 53/34, while Obama’s has sunk to a -7, 42/49.  Obama’s job approval is -11 at 43/54, with independents rating it 43/55.  Even women put his job approval under water, 47/50.

On two key issues, Romney has beaten Obama at his own game. Obama tried to paint Romney as the One Percent while hailing himself as the champion of the middle class.  That effort failed, at least in Florida, with Romney winning the middle-class trust vote 50/48, and 51/47 among independents.  After Romney added Paul Ryan to the ticket, Obama tried Mediscaring seniors, telling them that Romney and Ryan wanted to kill Medicare.  A majority of Florida voters think Obama is doing more harm to Medicare than Romney will by a wide margin, 52/44, 53/43 among independents.

If Obama hopes that early voting will save him in Florida, he’d better expect change instead.  Romney leads respondents who have already voted by a 50/47 margin and leads absentee voters 53/45.  Romney also has a six-point lead among those who will vote on Tuesday.  Looks like Florida is locked up.


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Thank goodness, 2008 was almost as embarrassing as 2000.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

Obama better start preparing a very gracious concession speech.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

Let’s hope all those Romney voters are pulling the lever for Connie Mack. I’m gonna be super PO’d if we win the Presidency handily yet fail to retake the Senate.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

And the NBC/Wall St Journal poll with a D+2 split and twice the sample of MD (1200 LV) is ignored.

Why was it ignored? Because is showed Obama +2.

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

Ohio……. I only care about OHIO.

ThePrez on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

Waiting for Gumby analysis on how Obama will win Florida…

Khun Joe on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

I live in Orlando and can confirm Forida is locked for Romney. I’ve had crazy support getting folks registered in the hispanic community.

brut4ce on November 3, 2012 at 10:06 AM

Obama wins 4% of Republicans,

Old evangelical women?

OldEnglish on November 3, 2012 at 10:07 AM

OT, but some piece of filth columnist at HuffPo today is again raising “concerns” and just asking “questions” about Mitts faith.
Smell the desperation.

juliesa on November 3, 2012 at 10:08 AM

Waiting for Gumby analysis on how Obama will win Florida…

Khun Joe on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

He’s praying for another hurricane. One that will hit Florida and show let obambi show them how presidentin’ he is, bomber jacket and all!

VegasRick on November 3, 2012 at 10:08 AM

Old evangelical women?

OldEnglish on November 3, 2012 at 10:07 AM

And Oompa Loompas named Charlie.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:08 AM

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

…SHUT UP…!!!

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 10:10 AM

Why it’s almost as if people have come to the conclusion the last four years have been a failure of leadership and delivery on promises to virtually EVERYONE in this country?

Go out and vote for Romney if the last four years are the last thing you want for the next four years.

PolAgnostic on November 3, 2012 at 10:10 AM

You know…I’m getting confident again. The polls are turning back towards Obama and the most recent, Ohio, Wisconsin and even Florida polls are extremely encouraging. Also there are 3 and 4 hour lines of black voters in Miami-Dade early voting. You know what? Obama may win. In fact, I’m beginning to think its likely that he will win. In fact, mark it. Obama is going to win. If he loses I’ll be in the threads eating crow, but I think he’s going to win.

libfreeordie on November 3, 2012 at 8:33 AM

lol, I swear these threads are timed to keep libfreeordie on a non-stop emotional roller coaster ride.

hawkdriver on November 3, 2012 at 10:10 AM

Meanwhile, Romney is down 6 in Ohio (per WSJ) today, but that poll is probably skewed of course.

YYZ on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

If you know evangelicals in Ohio, PA, and WI: CALL THEM! Share with them the qualities Romney will bring to the Presidency and enlighten them as to what Obama’s plans for a 2nd term are. Do everything you can to ensure that the right has a tsunami turnout on Tuesday!

BettyRuth on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

And the NBC/Wall St Journal poll with a D+2 split and twice the sample of MD (1200 LV) is ignored.

Why was it ignored? Because is showed Obama +2.

gumbyandpokey

The one where they oversample the southern part of FL, aka the only area Obama enjoys support? Well even then it puts it at a tie. Don’t owrry gumby, Obama’s corrupt DOJ is already in place to fix the vote in South Florida.

Zaggs on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

On likeability and approval, Obama has sunk underwater, while Romney has begun to soar. Romney’s favorability has ascended to a +19, 53/34, while Obama’s has sunk to a -7, 42/49. Obama’s job approval is -11 at 43/54, with independents rating it 43/55. Even women put his job approval under water, 47/50.

Obama deserves this so much. After the absolutely reprehensible way he and his allies tried to trash Romney the man and tea partiers over the last few years, it is good to see Obama’s personal favorability ratings take a very deserved nosedive. Obama deserves to go out on a low, sour note like this.

Good riddance to bad trash. Obama and his obsession with skin color has been one of the worst things for race relations in the last 30 years. He divides people like almost no one else.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

Waiting for Gumby analysis on how Obama will win Florida…

Khun Joe on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

I caught the opening moments of “Up With Chris Hayes” on MessNBC and he started with “We have new Marist (sp??) polling data showing Obama up by four in Ohio and up by two in Florida!”

Gumby will probably use that. Yeah, I turned the channel to cartoons. ;-) More educational.

Marcus on November 3, 2012 at 10:12 AM

Axelrod must pay Gumby to troll this site 24/7… I’m just here in my spare time…

But since I don’t have crr6 to kick around anymore, it will do…

I’m not sure there is a basement deep enough to hide in on Tuesday when the FINAL POLL results can’t get the Gumby spin treatment…

Khun Joe on November 3, 2012 at 10:12 AM

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2012/11/03/maher-if-you-vote-romney-black-people-know-who-you-are-and-will-come

davidk on November 3, 2012 at 10:08 AM

We have guns. Come and get it.

VegasRick on November 3, 2012 at 10:12 AM

YYZ on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

Wow, long time no see, where have you been. You looked at poll (but did not link) what were the ratios?

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 10:13 AM

Meanwhile, Romney is down 6 in Ohio (per WSJ) today, but that poll is probably skewed of course.

YYZ on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

Sorry, but I no longer pay any attention to the NBC poll. Their samples have been a joke the entire election.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:13 AM

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM


EVERBODY!!!…TODAY-LET IT PLAY WITH ITSELF!

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 10:13 AM

Although things looked shaky in September, I’ve never seen any way that Obama could win Florida this time. Same for NC and VA. In 2010, Democrats in those states were as popular as a fart in church.

juliesa on November 3, 2012 at 10:13 AM

There are still a lot of articles on the internet where libs say Obama is ahead of Romney in Florida.

Dextrous on November 3, 2012 at 10:14 AM

Somebody please post the new Romney “revenge vs love of country” ad. It is sensational for the final 72 hrs.

The real Obama is being unmasked.

matthew8787 on November 3, 2012 at 10:15 AM

Who ARE these 4 percent of Republicans??? Bin Laden disciples living in a cave. WTF?

msupertas on November 3, 2012 at 10:15 AM

Zaggs on November 3, 2012 at 10:11 AM

…let it whack itself today….don’t give it any Vaseline!

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 10:16 AM

Vote for the love of your country.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:16 AM

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2012/11/03/maher-if-you-vote-romney-black-people-know-who-you-are-and-will-come

davidk on November 3, 2012 at 10:08 AM

Obama and his supporters engage in straight up racism, but we’re not allowed to acknowledge it if whites are the targets. This is disgusting. Wasn’t Obama supposed to be post-racial and post-partisan? What we got is a race-obsessed incompetent with a huge chip on his shoulder. Someone’s race or skin color should be totally irrelevant, but Obama and his supporters want to divide us by race at every turn.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:17 AM

Ohio……. I only care about OHIO.

ThePrez on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

.
Then watch the video of the rally last night (many of us watched it and blogged live on C-SPAN) in West Chester, Ohio (Northern Cincinnati suburb)

The crowd was estimated at 30,000 by the local fire chief. The crowd, by the way was not just the people in the stadium area – the majority were standing outside the arena area.

http://www.therightscoop.com/watch-live-mitt-romneypaul-ryan-rally-in-west-chester-ohio/

PolAgnostic on November 3, 2012 at 10:18 AM

Please stop responding to Gumby. I beg you all. Please just stop.

happytobehere on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

We have guns. Come and get it.

VegasRick on November 3, 2012 at 10:12 AM

@ 1:10

davidk on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

Wow, long time no see, where have you been. You looked at poll (but did not link) what were the ratios?

Hard to link from a smartphone, but if the pollster is reputable, I don’t care about ratios. I assume the Florida poll showing Romney ahead and the Ohio one showing Obama ahead are credible and probably accurate.

YYZ on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

Somebody please post the new Romney “revenge vs love of country” ad. It is sensational for the final 72 hrs.

The real Obama is being unmasked.

matthew8787 on November 3, 2012 at 10:15 AM

http://freedomslighthouse.net/2012/11/03/revenge-or-love-of-country-new-romney-ad-uses-obamas-revenge-remark-against-him-video-11312/

VegasRick on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

We have guns. Come and get it.

VegasRick on November 3, 2012 at 10:12 AM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLkokNuIojw

@ 1:10

davidk on November 3, 2012 at 10:20 AM

Obama better start preparing a very gracious concession speech.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

I think you mean he’d better start preparing to read a gracious concession speech. Maybe to keep it fun, we could take away ToTUS.

Ukiah on November 3, 2012 at 10:20 AM

I live in Orlando and can confirm Forida is locked for Romney. I’ve had crazy support getting folks registered in the hispanic community.

brut4ce on November 3, 2012 at 10:06 AM

Likewise, Florida friends told me a month ago that Romney had Florida sewn up.

I’m cautiously hopeful about Tuesday, especially after reading Barone.

Drained Brain on November 3, 2012 at 10:20 AM

Florida Today—-Ohio Tomorrow—and Pennsylvania on Tuesday!

Rovin on November 3, 2012 at 10:20 AM

My dad is one long time Dem voter who will be voting for Mitt and Connie Mack. The Dems have really PO’d a good chunk of their base. Their loss will be epic.

JimK on November 3, 2012 at 10:21 AM

Guess someone needs to tell Blightbringer as he is sched to campaign tomorrow in Hollywood, FL–Obama luvs him the Hollywoods…

hillsoftx on November 3, 2012 at 10:21 AM

HEY ALL YOU OBAMABOT TROLLS! (you know who you are):

Spend some time watching this video, and then make your arguments for 4 more years of your Boy King. Don’t make the same small ball arguments he makes, make the big issue arguments that count. We’re not talking about contraception for college girls, or bayonets and binders. Give us your big picture.

NOMOBO on November 3, 2012 at 10:23 AM

Let’s hope all those Romney voters are pulling the lever for Connie Mack. I’m gonna be super PO’d if we win the Presidency handily yet fail to retake the Senate.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:05 AM

Yes, Mitt’s gotta help pull Mack over the finish line, or I’ll have to pull the pic of Mack n me off my FB page. No losers allowed. We’ve got a rally here in Sarasota today with Gov Scott & Rep V Buchanan this afternoon at Dolphin Aviation, 3pm.

ornery_independent on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

Hard to link from a smartphone, but if the pollster is reputable, I don’t care about ratios. I assume the Florida poll showing Romney ahead and the Ohio one showing Obama ahead are credible and probably accurate.

YYZ on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

Obama won O-I-H-O in 2008 by 4.5 points. There’s no way he’s upped that margin by a point and a half in the 4 years since. Let’s see the breakdown of that NBC poll cuz based on their track record, I’m willing to wager it’s another skewed sample looking to give Dems an emotional boost(and Republicans the opposite) with just 3 days left.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

Gumby and you ignored these polls. Why? Gfuck off.

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

Gumby and you ignored these polls. Why? *uck off.

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

As I said earlier, of course Obama will lose Florida. But the partisan breakdown in that WSJ/Maris/NBC poll is interesting. Do we know the partisan breakdown of this poll?

libfreeordie on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

happytobehere on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

…yeah!
DON’T EVEN THINK ABOUT IT!

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 10:25 AM

One caveat: the internals do not include the partisan split in the sample.

Always best to know this. But other polling companies just left Florida a month ago because it was already going Romney. That’s kind of indicative of the rest of the race too.

Romney will win. BIG.

dogsoldier on November 3, 2012 at 10:26 AM

Obama better start preparing a very gracious concession speech.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

I don’t think he has a gracious bone in his body. He will play the blame game.

derft on November 3, 2012 at 10:26 AM

Ahhh…The disruption strategy begins. Ignore them.

Americans are fed up. Barone is right.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

…not even once today ok?…I know it’s tough!

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

In fact, I’m beginning to think its likely that he will win. In fact, mark it. Obama is going to win. If he loses I’ll be in the threads eating crow, but I think he’s going to win.

libfreeordie on November 3, 2012 at 8:33 AM

Your use of grammar and the logic you express in this post only exposes you further as the dishonest b*tch you are. Games.

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Obama won O-I-H-O in 2008 by 4.5 points. There’s no way he’s upped that margin by a point and a half in the 4 years since. Let’s see the breakdown of that NBC poll cuz based on their track record, I’m willing to wager it’s another skewed sample looking to give Dems an emotional boost(and Republicans the opposite) with just 3 days left.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

As I mentioned last night, the Ohio poll is terrible. It has a D+9 split, which is beyond ridiculous.

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Looks like the next big political question will be: Will President Romney pardon ex-president Obama for the Benghazi coverup?

Rational Thought on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Barky will add a belt of .50 BMG ammunition over his shoulder to really accentuate the bomber jacket.

Bishop on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Florida is red. North Carolina is red. Colorado is red. The fact that pollsters and lefty news orgs use their skewed data to offer an Obama is winning narrative says it all.

Bensonofben on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:24 AM

…not even once today ok?…I know it’s tough!

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

Sorry I missed your plea.

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:28 AM

Obama will blame his loss on us “bitter clingers”.

To quote Flounder,

Oh, boy! this is gonna be great!!!

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:28 AM

In 2010, Democrats in those states were as popular as a fart in church.

juliesa on November 3, 2012 at 10:13 AM

Uh, some churches are … inclusive. They embrace perversion diversity. You do understand, right?

platypus on November 3, 2012 at 10:29 AM

Very good ad for the last weekend from Romney…

http://www.mittromney.com/forms/revenge-or-love-country

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 10:29 AM

Looks like the next big political question will be: Will President Romney pardon ex-president Obama for the Benghazi coverup?

Rational Thought on November 3, 2012 at 10:27 AM

I’d prefer he put Obama and Hillary in a cage and let them duke it out. The winner gets a pardon.

Doughboy on November 3, 2012 at 10:29 AM

You know…I’m getting confident again. The polls are turning back towards Obama and the most recent, Ohio, Wisconsin and even Florida polls are extremely encouraging. Also there are 3 and 4 hour lines of black voters in Miami-Dade early voting. You know what? Obama may win. In fact, I’m beginning to think its likely that he will win. In fact, mark it. Obama is going to win. If he loses I’ll be in the threads eating crow, but I think he’s going to win.

libfreeordie on November 3, 2012 at 8:33 AM

You know I’m getting an uneasy feeling about livefreeoffothers again. For a while there I thought he had come to his senses. I saw the polls changing and livefreeoffothers starting to accept the inevitable defeat of his precious one. Then there was one skewed poll and then another and livefreeoffothers begin to waiver. Then came the tie in Rasmussen and tilt of RCP poll of polls to the one and livefreeoffothers is in fact back on the plantation in la la land once again.

bgibbs1000 on November 3, 2012 at 10:30 AM

Jack Welch just told Cavuto,

This is the most important election of my life!

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:30 AM

Wow, long time no see, where have you been. You looked at poll (but did not link) what were the ratios?

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 10:13 AM

WSJ/NBC/Marist poll of Ohio was D+9 split.

Ted Torgerson on November 3, 2012 at 10:30 AM

YYZ on November 3, 2012 at 10:19 AM

Who knows about polls but I thought I detected a touch of snark at your mentioning of them being skewed. I truly don’t know why in a country so evenly split that there must always be a + Democrat sampling but such is life. I only recently found out that the PPP is owned by a union organization. I don’t pay too much attention since I am not sure if they are for information or to bolster the people who contracted them.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 10:30 AM

Vote for the love of your country.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:16 AM

“Cuba or North Korea?”

-average lib

Bishop on November 3, 2012 at 10:31 AM

Take that Obama . . . and NBC, WSJ, and Marist.

WannabeAnglican on November 3, 2012 at 10:32 AM

Obama will blame his loss on us “bitter clingers”.

….
kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:28 AM

And us boring suburbanites.

Obama: Bringing people together.

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:32 AM

For the next three days I’m going to do everything in my power to avoid anything election related. I’m going to rent some movies, watch football, work on some web design projects and immerse myself in a little Left4Dead2.

I will be back Tuesday night after the polls close. See you then.

Have a great weekend everyone!

chumpThreads on November 3, 2012 at 10:32 AM

bgibbs1000 on November 3, 2012 at 10:30 AM

They tried, they really did, but the ingrained “Barky can do no wrong” and the willful disregard of demorat malfeasance just couldn’t be overcome.

Bishop on November 3, 2012 at 10:34 AM

PolAgnostic on November 3, 2012 at 10:18 AM

I saw it and it did pump me up. :) But I read too much about Obama up a bit or it being tied. I should just shut the news off for a while.

ThePrez on November 3, 2012 at 10:34 AM

Obama better start preparing a very gracious concession speech.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

I don’t think he has a gracious bone in his body. He will play the blame game.

derft on November 3, 2012 at 10:26 AM

Now this is a bet I’d like to make with people. It is my opinion Romney could rack up over 350 EV on election night and you will NOT get an Obama concession speech, but a promise to “do a through investigation.” In fact, Obama could win Reagan’s 469 and say the same.

Marcus on November 3, 2012 at 10:34 AM

Our buddy Bob Beckel at The Five said yesterday that Obama had a slight lead in Florida, which I found highly dubious.

I actually like Bob. Despite the terrible loss he had as manager of the Mondale campaign (I really think it was more of a Reagan win than a Mondale loss), I think he’s one of the BEST political analysts out there. Whenever there is an election going on, he has to play the part of the partisan hack, just to get the Democrat to win; that’s why you get all of this outrageous polling nonsense from him about now. When it was just the Republican primary, you got some real, quality analysis from him. When asked, he was spot on telling the Republican primary candidates what they should do to win.

Glenn Jericho on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Florida Today—-Ohio Tomorrow—and Pennsylvania on Tuesday!

Rovin on November 3, 2012 at 10:20 AM

Amen!

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OLkokNuIojw

@ 1:10

davidk on November 3, 2012 at 10:20 AM

I had forgotten about that video. Saw it when first aired.

CLASSIC! Let’s hope Tuesday takes care of it.

HoustonRight on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

thorough investigation, darn Iphone

Marcus on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Both Mason-Dixon and Marist did polls about three weeks ago in FL after the first debate. MD had R +6 and Marist had Obama +1. Nothing has changed.

Both were outliers, so this may actually be the case where taking the average makes sense. Romney +2.

bobs1196 on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

In 3 more days, Michelle Obama will no longer be proud of her country.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

As Chuck Todd and NBC release their juicy-juiced-juicery from a propagandist named Marist predicting Obama will nearly double his 2008 turnout advantage with a D+9 poll, in his first trip to Ohio since Hurricane Sandy, Mitt Romney attracted a jaw-dropping crowd of 30,000 at a rally Friday evening.

Mean while(while) at the Franklin County Fairgrounds in Ohio, President FailureTeleprompter drew a crowd of 2800.

-Biggovernment-

OUCH. Kaboom!!!!

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Left4Dead2.

chumpThreads on November 3, 2012 at 10:32 AM

Which platform? Is the game any good?

Even partisan hacks can find common ground in gaming.

Bishop on November 3, 2012 at 10:36 AM

. Also there are 3 and 4 hour lines of black voters in Miami-Dade early voting. You know what? Obama may win.
libfreeordie on November 3, 2012 at 8:33 AM

How sure are you about which way their votes are going?

katy the mean old lady on November 3, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Romney could win Reagan’s 469…..

Well you know my point. Obama is not conceding on Tuesday.

Marcus on November 3, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Gumby and Libfree–Hate to burst your bubble, but that Marist Ohio poll has Obama up 6 because it’s a D+9 poll, almost double what it was in 2008. Also, Marist has never shown Romney ahead in Florida and all it’s polls have been more pro-Obama than even that joke of an outfit PPP. It’s also telling that Obama hasn’t been in Florida in ages, much like North Carolina.

Bravesbill on November 3, 2012 at 10:37 AM

I’ve been in Florida for forty years and live in the Tampa Bay area. The Tampa Bay Times (formerly the St. Pete Times) is one of the most leftist birdcage liners in the country. The Miami Herald isn’t much better. If these two leftist newspapers grudgingly concede that Romney remains up by six fricking points then Florida is indeed lost to Obama.

The GOP GOTV efforts this election have been far superior to anything we’ve ever seen in this state. Volunteers are engaged and determined.

Kirin on November 3, 2012 at 10:37 AM

This poll pretty much confirms that NBC’s polls continue to be garbage propaganda. Obama leading in Florida and up more in Ohio than he won it by in 2008; oh look, a pig just flew by.

TheDriver on November 3, 2012 at 10:38 AM

I actually like Bob. Despite the terrible loss he had as manager of the Mondale campaign (I really think it was more of a Reagan win than a Mondale loss), I think he’s one of the BEST political analysts out there. Whenever there is an election going on, he has to play the part of the partisan hack, just to get the Democrat to win; that’s why you get all of this outrageous polling nonsense from him about now. When it was just the Republican primary, you got some real, quality analysis from him. When asked, he was spot on telling the Republican primary candidates what they should do to win.

Glenn Jericho on November 3, 2012 at 10:35 AM

Bob’s a drug addict and you should do some searches on youtube. He’s a bomb ready to off…in other words he’s nuts.

CW on November 3, 2012 at 10:38 AM

Obama will blame his loss on us “bitter clingers”.

….
kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:28 AM

And we demented Florida seniors!

katy the mean old lady on November 3, 2012 at 10:39 AM

In February we’ll be moving from a blue state to Florida (RED STATE) to enjoy retirement. Florida going for Romney makes me ecstatic. I’m sooooooo looking forward to Obama and Mooch-elle being run out of Washington on a rail.

rpjkw11 on November 3, 2012 at 10:39 AM

PPP is owned by a union organization. I don’t pay too much attention since I am not sure if they are for information or to bolster the people who contracted them.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 10:30 AM

A business survives on it’s ability to give one’s customers what they want. Polling businesses are no exception and there are many many ways to make any given poll come out any way you want it.

Real polls would have adjusted their models to reflect the change in the electorate since the 2008 election. They would have adjust several times even after the 2010 crushing defeat of dems, but they don’t. THEY LIE.

But recent elections do not lie. In WI for example the dems have suffered one crushing defeat after another.

Why would anyone expect next Tuesday to be different? After nearly four years of misery, people will get to vent their anger on the source of their anger and boot the socialist out of the white house.

dogsoldier on November 3, 2012 at 10:39 AM

oh look, a pig just flew by.

TheDriver on November 3, 2012 at 10:38 AM

Gumby can fly? Wow.

Bishop on November 3, 2012 at 10:40 AM

For the next three days I’m going to do everything in my power to avoid anything election related.
chumpThreads on November 3, 2012 at 10:32 AM

You know you will be checking this site many times today and tomorrow. Don’t fight it.

To clarify something I said earlier, I should have said that some Obama administration officials (eg, at DOJ) and supporters have engaged in straight up racism.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:40 AM

katy the mean old lady on November 3, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Yep. I ‘m suspecting that Mooch will lose her mind…and you know whom she will blame.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:40 AM

In February we’ll be moving from a blue state to Florida (RED STATE) to enjoy retirement. Florida going for Romney makes me ecstatic. I’m sooooooo looking forward to Obama and Mooch-elle being run out of Washington on a rail.

rpjkw11 on November 3, 2012 at 10:39 AM

Welcome to Florida! Where will you be?

katy the mean old lady on November 3, 2012 at 10:41 AM

Obama better start preparing a very gracious concession speech.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

It’ll be gracious alright.

“God D*** AmeriKKKA! F YOU RACISTS!”

And then he’ll disappear in a cloud of marijuana smoke.

CorporatePiggy on November 3, 2012 at 10:41 AM

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