Romney up 6 in Florida

posted at 10:01 am on November 3, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

According to a new poll by the Tampa Bay Times and Miami Herald, we can put Florida firmly into Mitt Romney’s column.  With just three days left for campaigning, Romney has a 51/45 lead over Barack Obama in a state Obama won by three in 2008.  Romney even takes an edge in foreign policy now over Obama:

Florida continues to look good for Mitt Romney. The Republican holds a 6-point lead in the state essential to his hopes of defeating President Barack Obama, according to a new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald poll.

The poll shows slight tightening, with Romney’s 51-45 lead down 1 percentage point from the Times’ statewide poll a month ago. …

Still, nearly every key indicator in theTimes’ pre-Election Day poll reveals Romney’s advantage in a state Obama won four years ago.

Florida voters trust Romney more to fix the economy and give him an edge, 50 percent to 48 percent, on who will look out more for the middle class — a stark turn from past months when Obama and his allies unleashed a barrage of TV ads portraying Romney as an out-of-touch corporate raider.

Romney even has a slight advantage on foreign policy, with 2 percent more voters saying they trust him over Obama, who has faced criticism over the fatal attack on a U.S. consulate in Libya.

The Herald has an interesting analysis, one that confounds the national media narrative.  Romney now gets more crossover votes than Obama, contra to the common assumption that independents are proto-Republicans and Romney has trouble with his base:

Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

We have to go to Bay News 9 to get the internals from Mason-Dixon.  They look pretty good for Romney, as one might imagine with a relatively strong lead.  One caveat: the internals do not include the partisan split in the sample.

With that said, let’s dive in. Romney wins the topline 51/45 as noted above, but he’s also winning the gender gap.  Romney has a 17-point lead among men, 56/39, while losing women only by two points, 47/49, giving Romney a +15 overall.  In 2008, Obama won the gender gap by nine points.  Romney also wins independents by six points, down from 13 in the last poll, 49/43; Obama won independents in 2008 by seven, 52/45.  Obama wins 4% of Republicans, but Romney wins 14% of Democrats; in 2008, both Obama and John McCain won 12% of each other’s voters. Most interestingly, Obama is narrowly losing the Hispanic vote in Florida, 44/46.  He won them by 15 in 2008, 57/42.

On likeability and approval, Obama has sunk underwater, while Romney has begun to soar.  Romney’s favorability has ascended to a +19, 53/34, while Obama’s has sunk to a -7, 42/49.  Obama’s job approval is -11 at 43/54, with independents rating it 43/55.  Even women put his job approval under water, 47/50.

On two key issues, Romney has beaten Obama at his own game. Obama tried to paint Romney as the One Percent while hailing himself as the champion of the middle class.  That effort failed, at least in Florida, with Romney winning the middle-class trust vote 50/48, and 51/47 among independents.  After Romney added Paul Ryan to the ticket, Obama tried Mediscaring seniors, telling them that Romney and Ryan wanted to kill Medicare.  A majority of Florida voters think Obama is doing more harm to Medicare than Romney will by a wide margin, 52/44, 53/43 among independents.

If Obama hopes that early voting will save him in Florida, he’d better expect change instead.  Romney leads respondents who have already voted by a 50/47 margin and leads absentee voters 53/45.  Romney also has a six-point lead among those who will vote on Tuesday.  Looks like Florida is locked up.


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kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 11:36 AM

..we’re all set on IGNORE, K.J. It’s the new unofficial HG policy. In the mean time, here’s a case of air freshener for you.

The War Planner on November 3, 2012 at 11:38 AM

The War Planner on November 3, 2012 at 11:37 AM

Their masks are now completely off…and Americans are not liking their the true faces of Obama, Mooch, and the rest of the Regime.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 11:39 AM

There is hardly anyone at the Obama rally outside Cleveland. Half full HS gymnasium.
matthew8787 on November 3, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Another day, another embarrassingly low turnout for an Obama rally.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 11:40 AM

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Your analysis is laughable. Legitimate analyst study the facts and reach their conclusions. You start with the conclusion and interpret the facts to justify it.

So … Romney doesn’t go to a state means he’s lost that state but Obama campaigns in states that he’s sure that he’s won on the day before the election.

But if it were the other way round you’d claim that Obama wasn’t going to Wisconsin as evidence that he had it sewn up and Romney would be going to Wisconsin in a desperate attempt to flip it.

It’s heads I win, tails you lose with you Gumby.

That’s why you have no respect on this board. It’s not that we object to your political positions, we just all think you’re an idiot.

PackerBronco on November 3, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Awesome Ad

Love of Country

gophergirl on November 3, 2012 at 11:18 AM

BOOM…!!!

Seven Percent Solution on November 3, 2012 at 11:41 AM

Guliani at the Ohio rally…

Rudy Giuliani Calls on Obama to Resign

http://www.buzzfeed.com/zekejmiller/rudy-giuliana-erupts-at-obama-over-benghazi-the-e

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 11:42 AM

Cavuto just showed an early voting line in Tampa, people waited up to 4 hours to vote. They aren’t waiting for 4 hours for the 0

Conservative4ev on November 3, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Voters like Isabel Rodríguez, a 73-year-old Democrat from Miami Gardens, felt let down. She said she switched her vote to Romney this year. She said Obama broke his word.

“He is a liar,” she said. “He said he would do so many things in four years and the truth is he did nothing.” Source
Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 11:07 AM

Yup, pretty much what I am hearing from minorities here in Broward.

katy the mean old lady on November 3, 2012 at 11:43 AM

The only alternative path to the necessary EV’s without OH involves WI, since NV is off-the-table. If Mitt thought that route was a good possibility, he would be back in WI before Tuesday.

Obama is just firewalling any possible way that Romney can get to 270.

The PA decision by Team Romney will be thought of in the same derisive way as McCain’s visit was in the postmortems on Wednesday.

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Firewalling? It is called face saving to avoid being blown out

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 11:46 AM

ONCE AGAIN, RuPoll, if Obama is so far ahead in state polls, which are oversampling Democrats or, perhaps, I should say that they are predicting a higher Democratic turnout than in 2008 v national polls, which have a more realistic turnout model, why isn’t this Democratic advantage showing up in the House races?

One would think that Democrats would be on the verge of sweeping out a majority of the Tea Party Congressmen and retaking the House, if Democratic turnout was going to be as strong or stronger than in 2008.

A funny thing is happening though. Almost all of the Tea Party Congressmen are going to be safely reelected.

What’s up with that?

Resist We Much on November 3, 2012 at 11:48 AM

It looks like some brain-dead troll needs to take a look at the upper left hand corner of DRUDGE.

Fair or not, a president gets held responsible for stuff like that in the minds of those experiencing it.

I saw and heard it personally after hurricane Andrew when Floridians were ready to go to DC, drag Clinton out of the WH, and string him up.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 11:48 AM

You are living in fantasyland if you think the “new media” and somebody’s tweet (lol) have the same impact as the MSM breathlessly reporting day-after-day on Obama and Christie. That had a huge impact on the election…took Romney’s momentum away immediately and he never got it back. No polls have him in as good a shape as he was in pre-hurricane. That is just a FACT.

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 11:35 AM

The fantasyland is where one thinks that headlines like these will helf o’s momentum

Drivers Waiting For 6 Hours At Midtown Gas Station

‘Sons of Anarchy’ star: Storm aftermath ‘a lot worse than how it’s being portrayed by media’

Sandy death toll in US rises to 109; ‘there could be more,’ Bloomberg warns

Price gouging complaints in New Jersey

Staten Island Resident Confronts Chuck Schumer; ‘We Are Gonna Die!’

New York fuel “panic” grows even as ports open, reserves tapped

Utility workers pelted with eggs after Bridgeport, Conn. mayor blasts provider

Near-freezing temps add to Sandy misery; potential nor’easter looms

Staten Islanders On Sandy Response: We’ve Been Left FAR Behind

We Need Food, We Need Clothing’: Staten Island Residents Plead for Help 3 Days After Sandy

Stranded New Yorker: “People Are Defecating in the Hallways”

Christie Orders Odd-Even Rationing System For Filling Up Gas Tanks

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 10:36 AM

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 11:52 AM

Did you see what that doofus Maher said this time? That guy has more nerve than brains.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 11:30 AM

.
Well, there are a number of solutions to Bill Mahrer …

1) People cancel their HBO subscriptions. HBO is run by a group of liberals. Take away their money supply and you take away their incentive to believe they are right.

2) Contact your congressperson’s office and ask whether Mahrercan be prosecuted for inciting violence and HATE speech. If enough people do that, Mr. Mahrer might find himself called to testify in front of a Grand Jury. If indicted, Mr. Mahrer’s legal bills would cost him enough money to make him think twice. If convicted … well, that’s not a “white collar” crime and Mr. Mahrer would get an up close and personal understanding of the state of the American penal system.

3) My personal fantasy – take Mr. Mahrer to a third world country out past the point where ‘civilization’ ends and leave him there with no money, credit cards or phone. (It’s easy to spot where ‘civilization’ ends, there are guys with AK-47′s charging a “toll” to let people come back into ‘civilization’ in those countries.) He would find it very educational … if he survived, which I wouldn’t bet money on given his ego and his mouth.

PolAgnostic on November 3, 2012 at 11:53 AM

VegasRick on November 3, 2012 at 11:35 AM

I caught some of Fox & Friends this morning, Brian Kilmeade lost everything on the first floor of his home. Even in Long Island, they are running out of food and it sounds like help hasn’t gotten there yet. He said that crime is beginning to be a real concern.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 11:56 AM

Made my day this morning Romney had a crowd of 30,000 in OH. WOW.

scalleywag on November 3, 2012 at 11:57 AM

PolAgnostic on November 3, 2012 at 11:53 AM

I can’t much help here, I don’t get HBO, I don’t want to stop any speech, especially stupid speech by liberals but I do like your fantasy, I’m sure he considers himself a world traveler because he’s been to Caan.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 11:59 AM

Utility workers pelted with eggs after Bridgeport, Conn. mayor blasts provider

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 11:52 AM

Is that a prime example of getting the government you deserve? Stupid mayor and stupid constituency.

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 12:02 PM

It looks like some brain-dead troll needs to take a look at the upper left hand corner of DRUDGE.

Fair or not, a president gets held responsible for stuff like that in the minds of those experiencing it.

I saw and heard it personally after hurricane Andrew when Floridians were ready to go to DC, drag Clinton out of the WH, and string him up.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 11:48 AM

If Katrina was GWB’s fault then Obama owns Sandy.

Schadenfreude on November 3, 2012 at 12:05 PM

Vote for the love of your country.

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 10:16 AM

Vote for saving her.

Schadenfreude on November 3, 2012 at 12:09 PM

NumbersMuncher ‏@NumbersMuncher

Rasmussen stays tied today at 48%. Romney ticks up w/ independents, but Obama holds party support better than yesterday.

Resist We Much on November 3, 2012 at 12:10 PM

If Romney wins Florida by 6 points then there will be a red wave on November 6th!

redware on November 3, 2012 at 12:11 PM

I don’t care how much it is “locked up”. Get out and vote. And by the way, Florida has a chance to remove Harry Reid as majority leader in the senate so we can have the senate pass a budget and get out of the way of the recovery. VOTE!

yetanotherjohn on November 3, 2012 at 12:12 PM

If Katrina was GWB’s fault then Obama owns Sandy.

Schadenfreude on November 3, 2012 at 12:05 PM

A politician should observe a catastrophe and commit to federal funds and then shut up. Otherwise they’re just in the way. Besides, everyone knows why they are there. Especially this year. It’s not surprising that this is turning into Obama’s Katrina. He’s made a mess of everything he’s ever tried to do, why should this be any different. And really, who trusts FEMA or Janet Napolitano to get anything right? Even the Red Cross, seriously, they brought cookies and hot chocolate for crying out loud. How is that supposed to sustain anyone?

scalleywag on November 3, 2012 at 12:14 PM

The oversample of women seems unusual. If the sample has Mitt up by 6 and the men sample a +17 while the women sample at -2 it would require that the portion of women in this is sample is 10. This seems like a streach even in Florida and can only lead one to belive that Florida will tilt even more to Romney on election night.

nicknack60 on November 3, 2012 at 12:20 PM

I think because most of the visuals we all receive from Wisconsin are from Madison, we might not be getting an actual portrayal. I also don’t understand how 2010 gets left out of the models, is it because it wasn’t a presidential election?

Cindy Munford on November 3, 2012 at 11:08 AM

That could be their rationalization, but it’s invalid. They are deluded or they desire to justify a deliberately false measurement, like the CRU did with the global warming data. They deliberately changed the data to conform the their belief system in order to sway public opinion, gain support and directly effect the political system.

dogsoldier on November 3, 2012 at 12:27 PM

Who ARE these 4 percent of Republicans??? Bin Laden disciples living in a cave. WTF?

msupertas on November 3, 2012 at 10:15 AM

They’re “gumby’s” who register Republican and claim they’re conservative, but vote straight ticket socialist every year.

njrob on November 3, 2012 at 12:29 PM

Made my day this morning Romney had a crowd of 30,000 in OH. WOW.

scalleywag on November 3, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Now that right there is a poll. People dragged their butts out to see Romney. No one paid them or dragged them off the side walk or had their union thug boss tell them they had to go.

dogsoldier on November 3, 2012 at 12:31 PM

Obama better start preparing a very gracious concession speech.

bluegill on November 3, 2012 at 10:03 AM

I don’t think Obama will concede, even if it’s a GOP landslide. I think his speech to his cult will be an announcement that he’ll be back to run again in 2016, because Romney and the greedy, obstructionist, racist, woman-hating GOP will have ruined our country and undone all the wonderful work he did, so don’t despair comrades, Forward!, etc., ad nauseum. Crowd goes wild.

idalily on November 3, 2012 at 12:31 PM

I don’t think Obama will concede, even if it’s a GOP landslide. I think his speech to his cult will be an announcement that he’ll be back to run again in 2016, because Romney and the greedy, obstructionist, racist, woman-hating GOP will have ruined our country and undone all the wonderful work he did, so don’t despair comrades, Forward!, etc., ad nauseum. Crowd goes wild.

idalily on November 3, 2012 at 12:31 PM

He’s already calling for “revenge” as though he knows he’s gonna lose. His concession speech will not be gracious. I expect him to call for violence.

BTW folks in NY and NJ are still without food and heat. Why isnt the media screaming at Oblama?

dogsoldier on November 3, 2012 at 12:34 PM

I saw and heard it personally after hurricane Andrew when Floridians were ready to go to DC, drag Clinton out of the WH, and string him up.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Actually, Pappy Bush was President when Andrew hit. Wiki:

In Florida, then-President of the United States George H. W. Bush assessed damage in the Miami area with then-Governor of Florida Lawton Chiles. Shortly thereafter, Bush declared the region a disaster area, which provided public assistance to victims of the storm in Broward, Collier, Miami-Dade, and Monroe Counties.

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:37 PM

Marist is showing 94% of the registered voters they contacted planning to vote and voter enthusiasm tied.

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 11:06 AM

And if you believe that I have a bridge to sell you. It might be underwater though…

njrob on November 3, 2012 at 12:38 PM

Another day, and still absolutely no job approval bounce for Dear Leader from the Godsend Hurricane. He’s flatlined since October 26th.

And still absolutely no updates to the original WaPo “poll” asking how brilliantly he handled Sandy. They last updated that “poll” 4 days ago.

And apparently no other “pollsters” want to follow their cretinesque example of desperately trying to milk tragedy for political gain for the “candidate” they endorsed for President.

Gumby Sez: “My Brain Hurts!”

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:43 PM

From Instapundit: Staten Island = the new Lower 9th Ward.

slickwillie2001 on November 3, 2012 at 12:49 PM

Fear progresses among Progressives…

“As Election Day nears, Obama supporters step up riot threats…”

http://twitchy.com/2012/11/02/as-election-day-nears-obama-supporters-step-up-riot-threats/

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Further proof that Democrats are the Party of the French, not American, Revolution!

Anti-Control on November 3, 2012 at 12:50 PM

Fear progresses among Progressives…

“As Election Day nears, Obama supporters step up riot threats…”

http://twitchy.com/2012/11/02/as-election-day-nears-obama-supporters-step-up-riot-threats/

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Further proof that Democrats are the Party of the French, not American, Revolution!

Anti-Control on November 3, 2012 at 12:50 PM

Also further proof that they know full well they’re losing.

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:55 PM

But NBC told me this morning that Obama was winning every swing state poll (snark).

Carnac on November 3, 2012 at 1:00 PM

Romney winning the Hispanic vote in FL by 2 points?? Awesomeness!

Obviously Cuban Americans see right through a wannabe tyrant like Obama.

Obama has been running a cult of personality a la Chavez and Castro ever since he appeared on the national scene in 2004.

He personalizes everything, setting himself up as the “savior” of the masses.

If you thought Obama’s revenge comment was creepy, check out this supposed “public service announcement” (i.e. free campaign ad) that aired last night apparently during the NBC telethon.

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/morning-jay-why-i-think-romney-will-win_660041.html?page=2

Nicole Coulter on November 3, 2012 at 1:05 PM

Whoops, wrong link. Here is Obama’s free promotional Sandy ad:

http://youtu.be/dfC-4n5Rn-8

Nicole Coulter on November 3, 2012 at 1:06 PM

And apparently no other “pollsters” want to follow their cretinesque example of desperately trying to milk tragedy for political gain for the “candidate” they endorsed for President.

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:43 PM

I wonder how many pollsters are asking questions about Benghazi.

“As Election Day nears, Obama supporters step up riot threats…”

http://twitchy.com/2012/11/02/as-election-day-nears-obama-supporters-step-up-riot-threats/

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Further proof that Democrats are the Party of the French, not American, Revolution!

Anti-Control on November 3, 2012 at 12:50 PM

That will motivate GOP voters even more, I think.

dogsoldier on November 3, 2012 at 1:06 PM

And that unrealistic attitude is why I have to be here.

gumbyandpokey on November 3, 2012 at 11:01 AM

And the unrealistic attitude that anyone here gives a damn what you have to say about.. well.. anything.

ShadowsPawn on November 3, 2012 at 1:12 PM

Mason/Dixon Florida poll is the 2nd in a row to show Mitt with HUGE gains among women. Both the ABC/WaPo poll yesterday and the Mason/Dixon poll today show Romney behind by only 2 points…’If barky doesn’t win women by at least 10 points he simply cannot win the election…no chance.
Not….Lookin’….Good….For….bronco bomma….

Strike Hornet on November 3, 2012 at 1:16 PM

Actually, Pappy Bush was President when Andrew hit. Wiki:

In Florida, then-President of the United States George H. W. Bush assessed damage in the Miami area with then-Governor of Florida Lawton Chiles. Shortly thereafter, Bush declared the region a disaster area, which provided public assistance to victims of the storm in Broward, Collier, Miami-Dade, and Monroe Counties.

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:37 PM

Yes, you’re right of course. I sometimes forget about Bush 41. I must have written Clinton because I remember him and Gore showing up in FL, but of course, that was in the lead up to an election.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 1:38 PM

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:37 PM

Yes, you’re right of course. I sometimes forget about Bush 41. I must have written Clinton because I remember him and Gore showing up in FL, but of course, that was in the lead up to an election.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 1:38 PM

An election Bush lost.

He got no “Godsend Hurricane Bump” at all.

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Ouch!… Only 45 People Show Up for Catholics For Obama Rally

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2012/11/ouch-only-45-people-show-up-for-catholics-for-obama-rally/

*snicker*

The Bishops have drawn a clear line in the sand…And Catholics are listening.

These folks have done great ads to re-enforce the USCCB message to American Catholics.

This Is Religious Freedom Ad

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JdBtebWvrJo

A Prayer for America

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZrzGKNYA_Fs&feature=channel&list=UL

We are Catholics

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5_0FfPXkGM

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 2:02 PM

Meanwhile Rasmussen has Obama tied with Romney. Ras also has Obama approval rating at 51 for the first time in a long time. Also the split for the last Ohio poll looked brutal for Romney. Obama was up nine points with independents. He also up 56 to 41 with those that have already voted. Game over.

Ric on November 3, 2012 at 2:07 PM

If I run into any Republicans that voted for Obama, my first reaction will be… “Get out of my Party!”

CliffHanger on November 3, 2012 at 2:15 PM

Where’s Hotair’s outrage over Scott reducing early voting hours?

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Gumby Sez: “My Brain Hurts!”

Del Dolemonte on November 3, 2012 at 12:43 PM

So true, but why does he have to bray on this site? Grrr!

22044 on November 3, 2012 at 2:25 PM

Romney winning the Hispanic vote in FL by 2 points?? Awesomeness!
Nicole Coulter on November 3, 2012 at 1:05 PM

Obama has awakened a sleeping giant…The Church Militant

Obama will not decide how we worship and practice our faith…For Catholics there is no separation of church,charity or education as liturgical practice for us and it has been this way since apostolic times. Catholics are shepherded by our Bishops and we answer to the higher authority of God as the Body of Christ. We are all of us guaranteed this freedom to practice religion in our constitution.

The Church has seen many Neros.

The Church Militant – Bringing Catholic Back
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTYpZ4kIg3Y&feature=fvwrel

This ad reminds Catholics of our heritage.

Great short video ad…these by Catholic Bloggers,Catholicvote and other outreach organizations have been outstanding this year.

The Bishops have drawn a line in the sand…Catholics are listening and will vote in large numbers for Romney/Ryan.

1 in 4 Americans self identify as Catholic…And if Romney/Ryan can split that vote it matters.

On Catholic blogs in the comment threads many “liberal” catholics see Obamacare as a threat to religious liberty and are shaken by it…The Bishops have united in this message with clarity and Catholics know it. They know what this constitutional threat entails for the Catholic Church and for all Americans.

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 2:29 PM

Yes, you’re right of course. I sometimes forget about Bush 41. I must have written Clinton because I remember him and Gore showing up in FL, but of course, that was in the lead up to an election.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 1:38 PM

We all have our moments.

riddick on November 3, 2012 at 2:32 PM

Where’s Hotair’s outrage over Scott reducing early voting hours?

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Illegals were given plenty of time to do so by now.

riddick on November 3, 2012 at 2:33 PM

Where’s Hotair’s outrage over Scott reducing early voting hours?

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:24 PM

There should be no early voting at all.

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 2:41 PM

Obama has awakened a sleeping giant…The Church Militant

Obama will not decide how we worship and practice our faith…For Catholics there is no separation of church,charity or education as liturgical practice for us and it has been this way since apostolic times. Catholics are shepherded by our Bishops and we answer to the higher authority of God as the Body of Christ. We are all of us guaranteed this freedom to practice religion in our constitution.

The Church has seen many Neros.

The Church Militant – Bringing Catholic Back
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wTYpZ4kIg3Y&feature=fvwrel

This ad reminds Catholics of our heritage.

Great short video ad…these by Catholic Bloggers,Catholicvote and other outreach organizations have been outstanding this year.

The Bishops have drawn a line in the sand…Catholics are listening and will vote in large numbers for Romney/Ryan.

1 in 4 Americans self identify as Catholic…And if Romney/Ryan can split that vote it matters.

On Catholic blogs in the comment threads many “liberal” catholics see Obamacare as a threat to religious liberty and are shaken by it…The Bishops have united in this message with clarity and Catholics know it. They know what this constitutional threat entails for the Catholic Church and for all Americans.

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 2:29 PM
——

There is no end to how entertaining drive by, salad bar, fair weather Catholics are.

Or how clueless they are about the perils of picking sides in presidential politics.

Would you like your little religion to lose its tax free status?

“In exchange for the receipt of tax-exempt status, I.R.C. § 501(c)(3) absolutely prohibits churches and other tax-exempt organizations from campaigning for or against a candidate for public office. If a church participates or interferes, directly or indirectly, in any political campaign for or against any candidate for public office by publishing and distributing certain written material or making oral statements regarding the candidate, then a church can lose its tax-exempt status for violating the campaigning ban. I.R.C. § 1.501(c)(3)-1(c)(3)(iii). Quite simply courts have interpreted 501(c)(3) to ban any degree of participation or intervention in a campaign for public office. Ass’n of the Bar of N.Y. v. Comm’r of Internal Revenue, 858 F.2d 876, 879 (2d Cir. 1988).”

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:46 PM

According to a new poll by the Tampa Bay Times and Miami Herald, we can put Florida firmly into Mitt Romney’s column.

I would still call it a lean rather than one to count on. There is a reason why Romney was just there.

lexhamfox on November 3, 2012 at 2:47 PM

There should be no early voting at all.

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 2:41 PM
——–

Such a well thought out opinion.

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:47 PM

Where’s Hotair’s outrage over Scott reducing early voting hours?

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:24 PM

Our early voting has been going on for 8 days now. If people can’t find the time to vote during that period, plus Tuesday’s voting hours from 7a.m. to 7 p.m., I’d say the problem is with them, not Governor Scott.

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 3:03 PM

Hot Air lunacy : at least 85% of the recent battleground polls showing President Obama winning and thus winning the election again …yet Hot Air gets excited over the 15% that say Romney is winning… sorry your math doesn’t add up …(just like Romney’s tax and budget proposals I mean lies don’t ) You think you can deconstruct the 85% of the polls that say President Obama is winning and refute them… and then claim the Romney winning polls are fine … I will take the science of Nick Silver over the ravings of Dick ( worst forecaster of future events except maybe for Hannity clone Cincinnatian Bill Cunningham in history)Morris…

then again Karl Rove has said Hurricane Sandy is hurting Romney and Landslide Morris( forecaster of not only a landslide for Romney but one for a GOP U.S. Senate majority said he is seeing troubling news for Romney )… where is that famous Hot Air momentum for Romney ?…
The poll you at Hot Air love to hate NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll has President Obama winning by six in Ohio today …
but we all know That damn liberal publication The Wall Street Journal wants to be involved with polls that slant democratic …

so who can offer the most clever(?)retort…from your lunatic fringe here on Hot Air ?…let the cleverness begin ….sorry jimver I didn’t say lewdness and crudeness ( you ALWAYS win that contest …

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Uh, some churches are … inclusive. They embrace Uh, some churches are … inclusive. They embrace perversion diversity. You do understand, right?

platypus on November 3, 2012 at 10:29 AM. You do understand, right?

platypus on November 3, 2012 at 10:29 AM

In a good church all are welcome to attend but to be a member you must uphold the tenets of the church. The mistake too many churches make is when they bend to the perversion diversity of attendees instead of standing on the tenets of their church.

IowaWoman on November 3, 2012 at 3:16 PM

so who can offer the most clever(?)retort…from your lunatic fringe here on Hot Air ?

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

you mad bro?

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 3:18 PM

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Smells like fear

The Notorious G.O.P on November 3, 2012 at 3:23 PM

Cavuto just showed an early voting line in Tampa, people waited up to 4 hours to vote. They aren’t waiting for 4 hours for the 0

Conservative4ev on November 3, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Across the bay in Pinellas County The time in line was 34 minutes this afternoon.

meci on November 3, 2012 at 3:23 PM

Wait. Didn’t we just hear about FL was in play and the Big Dog was whoofing it up on the I-4 corridor to win one for the Bammer? And the Obama camp is pretending that Mitt is desperate for wooing PA :-)

MJBrutus on November 3, 2012 at 3:24 PM

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Your retort will come on Tuesday.

MJBrutus on November 3, 2012 at 3:25 PM

Obama Appearance With Stevie Wonder Draws Under 200 People in Cleveland

Stevie Wonder not so popular anymore I guess.

Akzed on November 3, 2012 at 3:34 PM

so who can offer the most clever(?)retort…from your lunatic fringe here on Hot Air ?…let the cleverness begin ….sorry jimver I didn’t say lewdness and crudeness ( you ALWAYS win that contest …

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Bellevue Psychiatric ward has internet now?

riddick on November 3, 2012 at 3:49 PM

Obama Appearance With Stevie Wonder Draws Under 200 People in Cleveland

Stevie Wonder not so popular anymore I guess.

Akzed on November 3, 2012 at 3:34 PM

Communist media reported that 13,000 (supposedly) showed up for Katy Perry/Hussein tag team last week in Vegas. No video nor pictures were provided (but of course) to support the claim.

And yet locals that went reported maybe 3000. I am guessing that 3 of those 3000 were there for Hussein. Harrietta Reid was not available as her 4 large SUV fleet was rammed by the police escort cars, even cops in Vegas now don’t like Reid it seems.

NV will go for Romney next week.

riddick on November 3, 2012 at 3:53 PM

so who can offer the most clever(?)retort…from your lunatic fringe here on Hot Air ?…let the cleverness begin ….sorry jimver I didn’t say lewdness and crudeness ( you ALWAYS win that contest …

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

You wouldn’t know cleverness if it hit you along the backside of your side. You are definitively retarded and intellectually challenged and thetefore easily dismissable as irrelevant to any discussion here, this is why I am having fun with you when I mention your obama fetish and masturbatory practices when it comes to the aforementioned character…in other words, you are so stupid spewing those ridiculously inane, old and boring dem talking points, that you make yourself an easy target for ridicule, champ…carry on, I will oblige…I can do it in many languages too, your choice :)..not that you speak any other than grammatically incorrect English :)…

jimver on November 3, 2012 at 3:56 PM

so who can offer the most clever(?)retort…from your lunatic fringe here on Hot Air ?…let the cleverness begin ….sorry jimver I didn’t say lewdness and crudeness ( you ALWAYS win that contest …

U2denver on November 3, 2012 at 3:06 PM

Bellevue Psychiatric ward has internet now?

riddick on November 3, 2012 at 3:49 PM

Oh, yeah. But they only let that one post as a reward for good behaviour (meaning non-violent and non-threatening to self and others). Looks like today he mt that standard :)

jimver on November 3, 2012 at 3:59 PM

Met that is…

jimver on November 3, 2012 at 4:01 PM

There should be no early voting at all.

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 2:41 PM
——–

Such a well thought out opinion.

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:47 PM

I have my reservations about early voting and the possibility of voter fraud. I live in South Carolina where there is no early voting. I do know that North Carolina, Georgia and Florida all allow it.

SC.Charlie on November 3, 2012 at 4:09 PM

Oh, yeah. But they only let that one post as a reward for good behaviour (meaning non-violent and non-threatening to self and others). Looks like today he mt that standard :)

jimver on November 3, 2012 at 3:59 PM

Their measurement is less than 5 rabid bites against hospital personnel the day prior. Thus access to internet today as “award” for good behavior.

There will be a run up on valium by liberals next Tuesday night.

riddick on November 3, 2012 at 4:16 PM

Would you like your little religion to lose its tax free status?

“In exchange for the receipt of tax-exempt status, I.R.C. § 501(c)(3) absolutely prohibits churches and other tax-exempt organizations from campaigning for or against a candidate for public office. If a church participates or interferes, directly or indirectly, in any political campaign for or against any candidate for public office by publishing and distributing certain written material or making oral statements regarding the candidate, then a church can lose its tax-exempt status for violating the campaigning ban. I.R.C. § 1.501(c)(3)-1(c)(3)(iii). Quite simply courts have interpreted 501(c)(3) to ban any degree of participation or intervention in a campaign for public office. Ass’n of the Bar of N.Y. v. Comm’r of Internal Revenue, 858 F.2d 876, 879 (2d Cir. 1988).”

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:46 PM

ehemmm….My little religion is the largest single denomination in the US comprising 77.7 million registered members and comprises 25% of the US population. If Romney/Ryan can split that vote…that’s a good thing.

The Bishops have not endorsed either candidate and have broken no American law.

They have issued public statements on Moral guidance for Catholics & Catholic Teaching. They publish voting guides all the time and have done this for years.

The Bishops have also stated the fact that Catholic Charities,Hospitals and Schools will shut down across the nation if Obamacare is not repealed.

The Bishops have the authority and means to do that & the Head Bishop of Rome, Pope Benedict XVI supports them.

Sheeesh!

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 4:20 PM

There is no end to how entertaining drive by, salad bar, fair weather Catholics are.

Or how clueless they are about the perils of picking sides in presidential politics.
Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:46 PM

Clueless thy name is Dave Rywall

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 4:24 PM

Unf…believable, the chutzpah of this man/boy/girl/androgynous being

Jim Messina
@Messina2012
The Romney campaign’s message today is revenge, ours is the President’s plan for the middle class. I’ll take that contrast any day.
3 Nov 12

jimver on November 3, 2012 at 4:25 PM

Unf…believable, the chutzpah of this man/boy/girl/androgynous being

Jim Messina
@Messina2012
The Romney campaign’s message today is revenge, ours is the President’s plan for the middle class. I’ll take that contrast any day.
3 Nov 12

jimver on November 3, 2012 at 4:25 PM

OY!

and yeah…Messina is as creepy as his boss

Axelrod is focused on Obama’s speeches coming from his loins…They’re all freekin delusional

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 4:34 PM

The desperation of the Obama trolls is palpable. Friday night rally in Ohio: Romney 30,000, Obama 2800. Earlier, Obama held a rally in the same HS gym McCain did four years ago, for the same reason (couldn’t fill the stadium). McCain at least drew the Fire Marshall to stop the crowd at 4200, Obama just got 4000.

What enthusiasm gap?

And just for gumby’s meme about Sandy’s bounce for Obama: FEMA has run out of bottled water for the stricken Northeast and won’t have more until Monday at the earliest. It seems that contrary to their claims on their website, they did NOT pre-position stashes of water, food, blankets, fuel, etc. like they did for Katrina and other hurricanes.

Heckuva job, Brownie!

Adjoran on November 3, 2012 at 4:42 PM

CluelessAzzhole thy name is Dave Rywall

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 4:24 PM

FIFY

KOOLAID2 on November 3, 2012 at 4:50 PM

I think the pollsters can’t believe the swing toward Mitt. And NV isn’t out of reach. If Obama doesn’t get the same turnout as in 2008, he may well lose it. But I think if Obama loses NV, it’ll be over way before then.

MrX on November 3, 2012 at 4:53 PM

kingsjester on November 3, 2012 at 11:39 AM

Exactly

SparkPlug on November 3, 2012 at 5:03 PM

Where’s Hotair’s outrage over Scott reducing early voting hours?

Dave Rywall

We save our outrage for liars like you. He did NOT reduce early voting hours. But you knew that, didn’t you, you lying pos?

So, douche bag, what’s the matter, you getting worried? Or maybe you just lie about everything because that’s what you are….a pathetic liberal liar whose political philosophy is so fluked up, he has to lie about everything to try and make it look good.

xblade on November 3, 2012 at 5:36 PM

I went to go early vote today in Winter Park (Lefty dream suburb of Orlando – just don’t go two blocks off the uber-rich Park Ave where the fair-minded libs keep all of the minorities) and the line was wrapped around the library.

Unfortunately by that point the puppy had been in the crate for 3 hours already so I decided to go ahead and brave the lines on Tuesday and try not to lose my cool if a snarky lefist gets in my face.

Defenestratus on November 3, 2012 at 5:51 PM

On Nov. 7th, Thank a Catholic: Obama’s support among Catholics has collapsed. BONUS – only 45 attend “Catholics for Obama” rally and bishops are having priests read letters this Sunday specifically touching on “religious freedom”.

Doubt me not when I say: MASSIVE LANDSLIDE.

Mutnodjmet on November 3, 2012 at 5:59 PM

I went to go early vote today in Winter Park (Lefty dream suburb of Orlando – just don’t go two blocks off the uber-rich Park Ave where the fair-minded libs keep all of the minorities) and the line was wrapped around the library.

Unfortunately by that point the puppy had been in the crate for 3 hours already so I decided to go ahead and brave the lines on Tuesday and try not to lose my cool if a snarky lefist gets in my face.

Defenestratus on November 3, 2012 at 5:51 PM

Was that the Winter Park library they had to evacuate this afternoon because of 2 suspicious packages being found?

Flora Duh on November 3, 2012 at 6:03 PM

On Nov. 7th, Thank a Catholic: Obama’s support among Catholics has collapsed. BONUS – only 45 attend “Catholics for Obama” rally and bishops are having priests read letters this Sunday specifically touching on “religious freedom”.

Doubt me not when I say: MASSIVE LANDSLIDE.

Mutnodjmet on November 3, 2012 at 5:59 PM

Dominus Exaudi orationem nostram.

workingclass artist on November 3, 2012 at 7:01 PM

Meanwhile, back in reality…

Constantine on November 3, 2012 at 6:43 PM

reality=huffpo article?

HA
HA
HA
HA
HA
HA
HA

tom daschle concerned on November 3, 2012 at 7:26 PM

http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/11/aff-poll-minnesota-a-tossup-148296.html

Romney UP 1 in Minnesota

Paging Gumby to the white courtesy phone at Axelrod headquarters..

AirForceCane on November 3, 2012 at 8:31 PM

IF you want to figure out what going on:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=fvwp&v=ZwahotPj3XU&NR=1

nicknack60 on November 3, 2012 at 10:10 PM

There should be no early voting at all.

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 2:41 PM
——–

Such a well thought out opinion.

Dave Rywall on November 3, 2012 at 2:47 PM

Grounded in the Constitution…..unlike your liebral blather…

Article 2 – The Executive Branch
Section 1 – The President
The Congress may determine the Time of chusing the Electors, and the Day on which they shall give their Votes; which Day shall be the same throughout the United States.

Animal60 on November 3, 2012 at 10:41 PM

OT:

New poll out this AM has Romney up one in MICHIGAN, 47% R; 46% Obama.

http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/story/19996781/2012/11/04/romney-and-obama-in-dead-heat-in-latest-michigan-poll

Wouldn’t that be something…a Romney win in Michigan?

Grace_is_sufficient on November 4, 2012 at 9:50 AM

The Republicans (hopefully Conservatives) have a REAL chance to increase their House seats and take over the Senate by several seats.

Worthwhile reading for the day before the presidential election 2012:

Romney for President
The Obama record is unimpressive.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/332484/mitt-romney-president-editors

AdrianS on November 5, 2012 at 2:17 PM

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