Messina: Our map is set, unlike that flailing Team Romney

posted at 5:21 pm on October 31, 2012 by Erika Johnsen

The wave of post-debate momentum that has erased and even reversed the leads that President Obama once had in both national and swing-state battles is still going strong, and with a hefty bit more cash on hand than the Democratic camp and only six days left until the election, they’ve got plenty of spending left to burn through. Via the WashTimes:

A late surge of support and months of restrained spending have left the Republican National Committee flush with cash with little time to spend it — $68 million as of Oct. 17, which was nearly seven times the amount the Democratic National Committee had in the bank.

Adding in the cash from other presidential campaign committees, the mismatch still was stark: $156 million for Mitt Romney and his GOP allies to $94 million for President Obama and his allies. State Republican parties also had 50 percent more cash than their Democratic counterparts, according to an analysis by The Washington Times.

The last few days, however, have seen significant shifts in even a few states in which President Obama held hitherto commanding leads — Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota, of this morning‘s “Axelrod will shave his ‘stache if Obama loses them”-fame, spring to mind — and the Romney campaign has seen fit to start diverting some of their resources into those states. Obama campaign manager Jim Messina labels this as last-minute “flailing,” per Politico:

Obama campaign manager Jim Messina said Wednesday that he doesn’t anticipate Chicago opening any new fronts in the final six days of the campaign — essentially ceding states like Arizona where advertising might move the needle. …

“In these final days, our map is set — unlike the Romney campaign which is flailing, trying to make the map different than it is,” he said, in response to a question about the possibility of trying to contest Arizona. …

The Romney campaign and their allies have gone up with last minute buys in states like Minnesota, Michigan and Wisconsin — all states expected to end up in Obama’s column. The Romney campaign says they’re simply expanding the map, but the Obama campaign says they’ve realized their pathway to victory is now implausible.

Even if the shifting-towards-Romney numbers in all of these states don’t even mean that all of these states are necessarily in real play, how is putting Team Obama on the defensive and forcing them to divert their own resources, while simultaneously even just supporting the nationwide impression of wildly strong momentum, doing anything other than capitalizing on recent gains? What Messina calls flailing, I’d call calculating.


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The War Planner on October 31, 2012 at 6:56 PM

With you I’d gladly share the stage…take a bow.

OTTO on October 31, 2012 at 7:00 PM

Most of the left is still without power and their world has stalled as well. I’m living out of a cooler right now, but still have the world at my fingertips. Broken glass, power lines and puddles can’t stop me now!

OTTO on October 31, 2012 at 6:58 PM

..here’s hoping that it has the requisite quantity of Molsen’s therein. Stay thirsty, my friend!

The War Planner on October 31, 2012 at 7:01 PM

Resist We Much on October 31, 2012 at 6:53 PM

you should post this after EVERY pokey comment

gerrym51 on October 31, 2012 at 6:56 PM

I tried to do just that a while back, but good luck with keeping up with the maniacal flurry of his posts… In his dumbness, he is actually quite prolific…

jimver on October 31, 2012 at 7:01 PM

With you I’d gladly share the stage…take a bow.

OTTO on October 31, 2012 at 7:00 PM

..no one would see me, so strong is the blinding light of your talent, amigo!

The War Planner on October 31, 2012 at 7:02 PM

The War Planner on October 31, 2012 at 7:01 PM

It ain’t Friday yet, but what the hey…clink!

OTTO on October 31, 2012 at 7:04 PM

The War Planner on October 31, 2012 at 7:02 PM

OK now, stop, really, stop.
:)

OTTO on October 31, 2012 at 7:07 PM

you should post this after EVERY pokey comment

gerrym51 on October 31, 2012 at 6:56 PM

I have a bunch of RuPoll posts that he wish he hadn’t posted. :-)

Resist We Much on October 31, 2012 at 7:14 PM

Rational Thought on October 31, 2012 at 6:16 PM

Great link. Thanks!

PatriotGal2257 on October 31, 2012 at 7:14 PM

bayview on October 31, 2012 at 6:57 PM

Not everyone. Give it a couple of days. P.S. Christie is not helpful.

Bmore on October 31, 2012 at 7:16 PM

So, RuPoll, will you admit that, if Democrats do not turn out in greater numbers and Republicans do not turn out in lower numbers than they did in 2008, the odds are extraordinarily great that the polls are incorrect?

Will you also admit that the polling companies do no one any favours when they use sampling models that are highly unlikely to come to fruition?

Do you think that Democrats will vote in greater numbers than they did in 2008?

Do you think that Republicans will vote in lower numbers than they did in 2008?

Would you agree that pollsters are, by and large, ignoring the midterm predictive model as its applies to turnout?

Why won’t you answer the questions?

Resist We Much on October 31, 2012 at 8:07 PM

24 hours out and the worm is turning in the hurricane areas already. Folks have no power, that’s a given, but also no sewer, no water, and now the gas stations have no gasoline and local water supplies have been polluted with human waste. Christie, admittedly a fat opportunist, knows he’s about to enter a hellstorm of criticism, thus the Zero fawning. It won’t be enough. By election day, the folks in that part of the country are going to be pissed, pissed, pissed. They’ll want a guy at the top who can get things done. That won’t be Zero.

Rational Thought on October 31, 2012 at 8:20 PM

If they have the money, they need to get up signs all over the swing states such as:

Want a job?
Vote Republican

Want to save Social Security?
Vote Republican

Want lower gas prices?
Vote Republican

Want to save Medicare?
Vote Republican

Want religious freedom?
Vote Republican

talkingpoints on October 31, 2012 at 8:54 PM

Poor hapless Mitt never stood a chance when Mother Nature intervened on Obama’s behalf.

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Yeah, the only thing that could be more pro Obama than Hurricane Sandy would be a massive earthquake that destroys California between now and Tuesday. If that occurs, I, for one, will believe Romney is God’s chosen candidate.

talkingpoints on October 31, 2012 at 9:04 PM

I’m getting beyond tired of these bullshit-shoveling apparatchiks of the Obama machine. The whole lot of them need to be thrown down a deep mineshaft. They’re poisoning this nation with their garbage.

/maybe we can bury them in Yucca Mountain, since Obama made sure to stop that 30yr project on the eve of its completion.

rayra on October 31, 2012 at 9:24 PM

I have two friends that both lost their homes in New Jersey this week and they and their families are in dire straits. We’re now in the process of getting one of the families down here to NC to stay with us until they turn right side up again.

I’m not thin-skinned, but I really find gumbyandpokey’s commments completely beyond the pale. Hot Air makes me just as sick to be an enabler. Is this site completely unmoderated now? Guess it’s off to another website where they keep some modicum of decorum and decency.

UpTheCreek on October 31, 2012 at 9:25 PM

Relax, Creek. While I agree that gumby’s comments are juvenile (probable because he is), you should learn to laugh at the tactics of the opposition. Go to Salon, HuffPost, TNR and read comments there. Hysterical. Even less blatantly partisan dailies like NYT and WaPost can be sources of much entertainment.

Count Mahdrof on October 31, 2012 at 9:41 PM

The War Planner, I have to say – your posts have made me laugh so hard that I had to log in just to post in response to your posts. And as we all know, laughing is sooooooooo good for the soul. You truly have a great imagination and sense of humor with a great (and funny) choice of words, esp. when you’re “describing” someone (the ‘bag lady’). Keep up the good work and keep the libs/lefties fuming mad – and ME laughing.

brendy on October 31, 2012 at 10:02 PM

So, RuPoll, will you admit that, if Democrats do not turn out in greater numbers and Republicans do not turn out in lower numbers than they did in 2008, the odds are extraordinarily great that the polls are incorrect?

–If the Dems have slightly lower turnout than 08, but don’t collapse, they’ll still win.

Will you also admit that the polling companies do no one any favours when they use sampling models that are highly unlikely to come to fruition?

–yes

Do you think that Democrats will vote in greater numbers than they did in 2008?

–no

Do you think that Republicans will vote in lower numbers than they did in 2008?

–no

Would you agree that pollsters are, by and large, ignoring the midterm predictive model as its applies to turnout?

–I don’t think the general election will be a more favorable climate than the 2010 midterm. The bigger pool of voters, the better for the Dems, imo.

Why won’t you answer the questions?

Just saw them and just did.

Resist We Much on October 31, 2012 at 8:07 PM

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 10:11 PM

In case we haven’t noticed, Messina rarely says anything that is not a lie….

Sherman1864 on October 31, 2012 at 10:57 PM

Note that Obama’s map DOES NOT HAVE ONE SINGLE RED STATE FROM 2008 going his way!

NOT ONE.

Kentucky will be called FIRST for Romney. Remember us if it goes wrong. The resistance starts here.

wildcat72 on October 31, 2012 at 11:30 PM

Poor hapless Mitt never stood a chance when Mother Nature intervened on Obama’s behalf.

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 6:28 PM

Your ATOMIC BOMBS don’t work very well…perhaps they were made in North Korea? LOL
6 more days sonny…and we say goodbye to you and all of Axeldouche’s HOPENCHANGE TROLLS FOREVAH!!!
BUH-BYE NOW! See ya in about 40 years…LOL

:) :) :) :)

Strike Hornet on November 1, 2012 at 4:35 AM

Jim Messina’s Dirty Secret

FRIDAY, JUN 15, 2012 10:10 AM EDT
Obama chief’s anti-gay secret
Jim Messina’s old boss once denied involvement with a homophobic ad. A new profile suggests they knew all along
BY DAVID SIROTA

http://www.salon.com/2012/06/15/jim_messinas_dirty_secret/

mountainaires on November 1, 2012 at 9:48 AM

The lefties can have the world’s most perfect map but it’s not the truth, it’s a dream on paper.

mixplix on November 1, 2012 at 10:52 AM

Poor hapless Mitt never stood a chance when Mother Nature intervened on Obama’s behalf.

gumbyandpokey on October 31, 2012 at 6:28 PM

fifty people get killed in a storm and that is good for Obama?

You are nothing but stacked s@$t son.

tom daschle concerned on November 1, 2012 at 1:53 PM

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