Quotes of the day

posted at 11:04 pm on October 30, 2012 by Allahpundit

The expected force of the superstorm, combined with its timing and the growing importance of early voting in battleground states, had the potential to affect the outcome like no other weather event in U.S. presidential election history.

“We’ve never seen anything like this before,” said Allan J. Lichtman, a professor of history at American University in Washington…

“I don’t have a clue what this will do,” said Charlie Black, a Romney adviser. “Neither does anyone else.”

***

My advice to everyone is to hold your breath, say a prayer for everyone affected or donate to the recovery, wait as patiently as you can, and ignore any polls until this weekend at the earliest. Up until Sandy hit the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast, this extremely tight race had been roughly stagnant for two weeks. Mitt Romney had a slight advantage in the national popular vote, and Obama had a slight advantage in the Electoral College. (A split between the popular vote and Electoral College I spoke about as a possibility in a column in June.) That is the last signal we had as of Monday a.m.

Sandy could turn this race in a way none of us anticipated. A few months ago, I said that there would be five events in October that would determine who was going to get elected: three presidential debates, one vice-presidential debate, and an unexpected event. I never anticipated the unexpected moment would be a historic hurricane hitting the most populous regions of the country. Just shows you there are some things in life we can’t predict or control—an important life lesson and political lesson. No we wait and see what the result of all this will be.

***

But Romney has one big advantage: He is free of the risk the president bears in failing, or even appearing to fail, to pull the levers of government to effectively respond to the expected devastation. And he has little choice but to limit his campaigning…

Romney appears to have learned a valuable lesson from Obama’s approach to the optics of how a campaign reacts to real-world crises: Sometimes in politics, less is more.

In September 2008, the financial crisis provided a perfect metaphor for Obama’s team, which had sought to portray its relatively young and indisputably inexperienced candidate as the steady, presidential hand and McCain as unpredictable. McCain made that contrast easy: He suspended his campaign, temporarily pulled out of a debate and raced back to Washington to pass the TARP bill. Only it didn’t work out that way. Many Americans hated the Wall Street bailout, most House Republicans defected from McCain and the bill was defeated on the House floor — before it was brought up a second time and passed.

McCain’s over-the-top response to the financial crisis was the opposite of George W. Bush’s too-little, too-late reaction to Hurricane Katrina, which, though it did not strike in the midst of an election, did more damage to Bush’s image than any other domestic issue during his presidency. At times since then, Republicans have shown extra sensitivity to natural disasters, abbreviating both their 2008 and 2012 national conventions because of hurricanes.

***

It’s as simple as this: If the storm knocks out your power, you can’t watch TV.

Both campaigns are planning to spend tens of millions of dollars on a final assault of campaign commercials. But Sandy could knock those plans off the air in such battleground states as Virginia, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and the lean Obama-state of Pennsylvania, which are all in the storm’s path. And while it won’t get a direct hit, battleground Ohio will also feel the wrath of Sandy.

“In areas without power and thus without either TV advertising or TV news, the race is likely to be frozen in place,” said Elizabeth Wilner, vice president at Kantar Media/Campaign Media Analysis Group, which tracks political ad spending on broadcast and national cable TV.

***

Imagine a scenario in which Romney edges Obama by 100,000 in Ohio, 30,000 in Iowa, 15,000 in New Hampshire, and 50,000 in Virginia. That’s 41 electoral votes with a microscopic edge of 195,000 votes in four states. That 195,000 would be slightly more than a third of the average Democratic margin since 2000 in New Jersey and one-tenth of the average Democratic winning margin in California.

Here’s where Sandy comes in and could make a profound difference in terms of the popular vote and electoral vote…

Storm-diminished turnouts in [Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York] could cost Obama tens of thousands of popular votes. It could also cost him 20 electoral votes in Pennsylvania. The implications are obvious in Virginia as well, but that state was always going to be close and the margin of victory understood to be narrow. There are ways Obama can win without Virginia but not many without Pennsylvania.

The chance of a Romney popular-vote victory and Obama Electoral College victory were always statistically and mathematically remote. The chances of the opposite occurring were always easier for me to see. And Sandy may alter that terrain in ways that prove more harmful to Obama than Romney.

***

Under the Constitution, Congress has the authority to change the “first Tuesday in November” date for the presidential election. But as of Tuesday morning, there had been no serious discussion of moving the date of Election Day by the top leaders in the Republican-led House or the Democratic-led Senate, according to senior congressional aides. A spokesman for the House Committee on Administration did say that the committee “is closely monitoring the impacted states.”

Delaying the election might be an option given that hard-hit states are likely to be dealing with power outages and flooded locales that could extend well past Nov. 6. And with this presidential race projected to be close electorally, imagine the controversy and lawsuits that would inevitably result because enough back-up generators can’t be found to power electronic voting equipment, or if voters are displaced from home or can’t get to polling places…

Federal Emergency Management Agency officials are telling states that the federal government would help them pay to move polling places, or to bring in generators next week to areas without power. But political and legal experts underscore that — even after 9/11, which occurred just before a mayoral election in New York — that the federal government has never put in place any solid plan to deal with such disruptions. “So we are left with the situation where the people who probably most know where we might stand on Election Day are the utility companies,” says Edward Foley, an election law expert at Ohio State University Law School in Columbus.

***

All of this chatter about delaying Election Day is ridiculous on every level. First, it’s not going to happen. Despite the chatter, the president has no authority to change Election Day. None. Zip. Nada. Those people who simply assume this is a presidential decision are betraying the degree to which they simply accept the legitimacy of an imperial presidency. Now I understand limitations on presidential power haven’t always curtailed this president. But if he tried to move or delay Election Day, it would be a national scandal and outrage (or at least it should be). The power to set the Election Day lies with the states. You’d have to change a vast patchwork of state laws (all the Constitution requires is that the states deliver their electors in mid-December). Also, Congress has a role to play because it determines, by statute, the timing of elections.

Chuck Todd who knows vastly more about politics than I do, should recall that 9/11 did not delay the New York mayoral race. It delayed the primary — which was scheduled on 9/11. Sandy made landfall eight days before the election — and wasn’t an act of war. If 9/11 is the best precedent for moving the federal election day, there is no precedent for it. And there is none. Sure, some local elections have been delayed for this or that reason. But this country held elections during the Civil War! Even FDR who violated a near-sacred tradition to run for a third term and fourth term, still ran for them.

***

Via Breitbart.

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

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Are the Democrats taking advantage of a horrible situation? Does Moochelle love her taxpayer-funded vay-cays? My take.

kingsjester on October 31, 2012 at 6:35 AM

I hope Ed becomes more of a common sight on those shows. He did so well on morning Joe the last time, and he comes across as very nice and very intelligent.

I never understand how some of these other people become regulars on those morning shows. I mean, Eugene Robinson? What were they thinking with that guy? He acts like a rude buffoon. And what’s with Donny Deutsch? What is he supposed to offer? I’ve never been able to figure it out.

bluegill on October 31, 2012 at 6:41 AM

Capt-Dax on October 31, 2012 at 6:17 AM

despicable

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 6:41 AM

Marcus on October 31, 2012 at 6:23 AM

halerpin does it so the ‘conservative’ joe doesn’t have to….joe is an idiot…

bluegill on October 31, 2012 at 6:41 AM

agree more Ed time on morning joe

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 6:43 AM

silly rabbit kj, only dems are allowed photo ops, they are not politicizing, no way
/

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 6:45 AM

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 6:45 AM

Tyrone Woods, Chris Stevens, Glen Doherty, and Sean Smith remain unavailable for comment.

kingsjester on October 31, 2012 at 6:49 AM

Holy cow. Read it all with this, from this same and very thread, providing context:
 

…and then demonstrated that the only thing you knew about King was the I Have a Dream speech…
 
libfreeordie on October 30, 2012 at 11:55 PM

 
From that MLK-referenced thread:
 

Bye is a term of dismissal, lord..y’all really don’t know any black people do you?
 
libfreeordie on October 30, 2012 at 10:44 PM

 
“_____ is a term of ______, lord..y’all really don’t know any _____ do you?”
 
Keep that in mind.
 

Do you honestly think you even get a taste of my full command of the English language. I don’t proof read or revise my posts and I still dance rhetorical circles around most everyone here…
 
libfreeordie on October 30, 2012 at 11:52 PM

 
I’m pretty sure we’ve seen everything you’ve got to offer.
 
Mitsouko on October 31, 2012 at 12:01 AM

 
Says the poster named after a line of beauty and perfume products.
 
libfreeordie on October 31, 2012 at 12:03 AM

 
Actually Mitsouko Yorisaka is a character in Claude Farrère’s novel La Bataille. that’s where Shalimar took the name of their perfume from. FAIL, honey!
 
jimver on October 31, 2012 at 12:20 AM

 
And, strangely, our local
 

All you need to know is that I’m a professional academic
 
libfreeordie on June 14, 2012 at 11:10 PM

 
abandoned the thread after jimver’s 12:20 literature-not-perfume response.
 
That was absolutely hilarious, and easily the funniest exchange I’ve seen here in weeks. Thanks to all parties involved. You, too, libfreeordie. It certainly couldn’t have been possible without you.
 

“_____ is a term of ______, lord..y’all really don’t know any _____ do you?”

 
Perfume. Ha. Well done, professor.

rogerb on October 31, 2012 at 6:50 AM

kingsjester on October 31, 2012 at 6:49 AM

*sigh*

God Bless them….this administration is truly despicable…

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 6:50 AM

kj, did you see that link on drudge where facebook shut down a navy seal link that was against obama…

yeah, free speech for me but not for thee…

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 6:53 AM

Yes, ma’am, I did. GoHawgs e-mailed it to me last night. All of his minions know that this a huge scandal/tragedy/dereliction of duty/screw-up…and they are all shoveling as fast as they can. Look at the Trolls around here the last couple of days.

kingsjester on October 31, 2012 at 6:56 AM

The Q-polls from OH, VA and FL that had gumbypoked squealing yesterday

OH B 50 R 45 B +5
FL B 48 R 47 B +1
VA b 49 R 47 B +2
MOE +/-3

Party ID
D/R/I
OH 37/29/30 D +8
FL 37/30/29 D +7
VA 35/27/35 D +8

R turnout all less than 30% , RIGHT!

bayview on October 31, 2012 at 7:00 AM

i looking at a clip of christie gloming on to some poor woman from jersey devastated by sandy. she’s bawling her head off, and theres christies camera crew getting a close up of fat boy trying to look like he give a rats patootie.

renalin on October 31, 2012 at 7:03 AM

kingsjester on October 31, 2012 at 6:56 AM

cripe

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 7:03 AM

Romney leads among Indies

OH R 49 B 43 R +6
VA R 57 B 36 R +21
FL R 49 B 44 R +5

gumby poked very hard.

bayview on October 31, 2012 at 7:05 AM

If you were al Qaeda, would not the events in Libya be according to the doctrine set out in The Management of Savagery? If you look at events through that doctrine, then isn’t the outcome at the large scale, just what has been called for? The results on the ground speak for themselves…

ajacksonian on October 31, 2012 at 7:09 AM

Romney leads among Indies
OH R 49 B 43 R +6
VA R 57 B 36 R +21
FL R 49 B 44 R +5
gumby poked very hard.
bayview on October 31, 2012 at 7:05 AM

Another day, another set of bad polls for Obama.

Even with ridiculously oversampling Democrats, these polls still can’t mask the bad news for Obama.

No wonder the Obama campaign is in a state of panic.

bluegill on October 31, 2012 at 7:09 AM

Obama sure looked like he had some great video and tools in that situation room pic after Sandy……mmmmmmm

And WHY didn’t he send aid to help those brave Americans being brutalized by the Muslim thugs in Benghazi????

Did he watch it happen?

For him, was it just another moment like the Limp bodies of the babies that he talked about in the Illinois Senate?

PappyD61 on October 31, 2012 at 7:10 AM

Yet how embarrassed and chagrined the sycophants in Barack Obama’s Situation Room must have been by the heroics of two American former SEALs who disobeyed orders twice repeated, rescued whomever they could from the besieged consulate, and then died defending them. But how embarrassed and chagrined we should be at the leadership which let them die rather than stand up to Barack Obama. Because if the people among that leadership had but half the courage of those two Navy SEALs who disobeyed direct orders and saved the Americans at the consulate, Obama, with only weeks to go before his hoped for re-election, would have folded, because he is not a brave man himself — only clever and calculating.

Indeed, what Benghazi teaches us is not only have we a faulty system of command, but that there aren’t any men in Barack Obama’s White House. Except of course those enlisted Marines he has in dress blues holding the doors open for his friends. They could have told him what to do and where to get off.

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/10/no_men_in_the_white_house.html#ixzz2AsFb0vEw

ted c on October 31, 2012 at 7:11 AM

ohio voters think the economy is getting better so there is no way mitt can win there
-mj crew

looking at some quinnipiac polls

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 7:15 AM

So the Barry +5 in OH meme that had gumbypoked all giddy was looking through a +8 D sample with a MOE of +/- 3 and where Romney leading 6 among Indies.

bayview on October 31, 2012 at 7:16 AM

Perfume. Ha. Well done, professor.

rogerb on October 31, 2012 at 6:50 AM

Watch Libfree’s use of the language. There is more than one person writing is posts. Hmmm much like more than one person wrote OBama’s books.

CW on October 31, 2012 at 7:18 AM

*his posts.

CW on October 31, 2012 at 7:21 AM

ohio voters think the economy is getting better so there is no way mitt can win there
-mj crew

looking at some quinnipiac polls

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 7:15 AM

Cause it has nothing to do with a GOP gov does it mj screw..

hillsoftx on October 31, 2012 at 7:24 AM

…when you’re utterly unfamiliar with their life, their writings, their ideology or their contribution to the world? It makes you look massively superficial.
 
libfreeordie on October 30, 2012 at 10:47 PM

rogerb on October 31, 2012 at 7:25 AM

Do the people who worry about having no power on election day not realize how wimpy they sound? Hello. November was chosen back when there was no electricity and folks had to travel through severe weather with horses or their feet on little to no roads. They managed. We can too.

txmomof6 on October 31, 2012 at 7:27 AM

looking at some quinnipiac polls

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 7:15 AM

Look closer to see what those polls are telling you. Axelrod and those Obots who did not fail high school math will not be happy.

bayview on October 31, 2012 at 7:28 AM

I meant to post this here. This is an excellent point that someone made in another thread recently:

Obama took independents by about 7 last time. He’s losing them by about 10 this time.
Also, everyone should remember that the Dems have been pushing their most reliable voters into early voting, while the GOP has been going after marginal voters. Election Day is going to lean GOP even more than usual.
TallDave on October 31, 2012 at 7:24 AM

bluegill on October 31, 2012 at 7:28 AM

hillsoftx on October 31, 2012 at 7:24 AM

2nd that

bayview on October 31, 2012 at 7:28 AM

internals be damned this looks good for obama so we are going to tout it big time and mitt can’t win there because he ‘lied’ about the jeep…
nevermind the LIES obama ads have touted

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 7:32 AM

feeling like a nervous nelly this am….

cmsinaz on October 31, 2012 at 7:37 AM

I am feeling very eager for Election Day. I wonder how much the traffic for this site will take a dip in the weeks following Obama’s loss.

bluegill on October 31, 2012 at 7:40 AM

Perfume. Ha. Well done, professor.

rogerb on October 31, 2012 at 6:50 AM

Good morning rogerb
Usually I ignore him but yesterday I was a bit ornery
I’m glad you and the others enjoyed it :)

Have a great day!

22044 on October 31, 2012 at 7:53 AM

The outspoken Republican governor, who gave the keynote address at this year’s GOP convention and endorsed Romney, has been effusive in his praise for the president in the aftermath of the storm.

“The federal government’s response has been great. I was on the phone at midnight again last night with the president, personally — he has expedited the designation of New Jersey as a major disaster area,” Christie told NBC News on Tuesday.

Asked by reporters if Romney might also visit the state, as had been previously rumored, Christie said he had “no idea, nor am I the least bit concerned or interested.”

“If you think right now I give a damn about presidential politics, then you don’t know me,” Christie added.

This is from the article currently linked at the top of Drudge. You know, I’m not happy with how Chris Christie is going out of his way to promote Obama. That is totally unnecessary. This will not be forgotten.

Seems like Chris Christie cares about himself first and making himself appear so above it all.

bluegill on October 31, 2012 at 8:09 AM

First.

Bishop on October 31, 2012 at 8:30 AM

Too bad the Won wasted all that stim and green energy money. They could have used it to bury the power lines in communities close to the ocean and maybe beefed up the levees in NJ that failed, wait, didn’t that happen in NO, too. Maybe the new Sec of Biz will be able to find the shovels for this project.

Kissmygrits on October 31, 2012 at 8:46 AM

By visiting New Jersey, Obama is doing what any president would do and campaigning in a dark blue state does nothing for him. If Obama would have shown this much interest when his ambassador and 3 other Americans were being attacked and murdered maybe they would still be alive. This little kabuki dance he’s doing with Christie is as phony as a $3 bill.

rplat on October 31, 2012 at 9:01 AM

The outspoken Republican governor, who gave the keynote address at this year’s GOP convention and endorsed Romney, has been effusive in his praise for the president in the aftermath of the storm.

“The federal government’s response has been great. I was on the phone at midnight again last night with the president, personally — he has expedited the designation of New Jersey as a major disaster area,” Christie told NBC News on Tuesday.

Asked by reporters if Romney might also visit the state, as had been previously rumored, Christie said he had “no idea, nor am I the least bit concerned or interested.”

“If you think right now I give a damn about presidential politics, then you don’t know me,” Christie added.

Screw you Christie . . . you belong in that dark blue state.

rplat on October 31, 2012 at 9:03 AM

Obama Intentionally Mocks Death Of Ambassador, SEALs In Hurricane Speech: ‘We Leave Nobody Behind’

For almost a week, the biggest criticism he faced, the talk of the nation, was that he left Stevens et al behind to die. Obviously, he was well aware of that fact.

This statement was no accident. This was a ‘f@ck you’.

http://patdollard.com/2012/10/obama-on-hurricane-sandy-we-leave-nobody-behind/

Capt-Dax on October 31, 2012 at 6:17 AM

Yeah, that little message stuck in my craw, too. Obama is revealing himself to be a very small, nasty and vindictive man. Jimmy Carter on steroids.

Fallon on October 31, 2012 at 9:15 AM

My advice to everyone Democrats is to hold your breath, say a prayer for everyone affected or donate to the recovery, wait as patiently as you can, and ignore any polls until this weekend at the earliest.

You’ll feel better. Trust me.

Dexter_Alarius on October 31, 2012 at 9:59 AM

Does it really matter?
After el Presidente Ø is swept from office, the ambulance chasers will be out in full force. They will contest the election results until the cows come home – hell, they’re still whining about Florida in 2000 ferchrisake.
~(Ä)~

Karl Magnus on October 31, 2012 at 11:17 AM

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