Obama campaign now buying ads in … Detroit

posted at 7:39 pm on October 30, 2012 by Allahpundit

Via Mark Halperin and Jim Geraghty, who points out that Detroit’s TV market doesn’t reach Ohio. This is all about defending Michigan, which would have seemed crazy a month ago but now, in a world where The One is under 50 percent in Oregon, makes lots of sense. This is, after all, a state capable of electing a Republican governor (by a landslide) and a Republican legislature, and there’s a native son at the top of the GOP ticket. The last poll of Michigan — taken one week ago — showed a dead heat. I wonder what those Hopenchange internal numbers are showing right now. From Halperin:

An Obama aide tells me this on the Michigan ad buy:

“Restore Our Future went up with a $2 million buy in Michigan. We’re matching states where they go up. We’re not going to let them make a play anywhere.”

Both sides have enough money for these end-game ad forays. The real issues remain candidate time/visits, the psy-ops involved here, and the belief of some Republicans that a combination of Minnesota, Michigan, and Pennsylvania could surprise on Election Day.

My only question: How likely is it that any of those three states comes through for Romney if Ohio doesn’t? And if Ohio comes through, why do we need any of those states? Seems like maybe the Romney Super PAC’s ad buy is less about stealing Michigan to capture the presidency even if Ohio falls through than it is (a) forcing Obama to divert money to a formerly “safe” state, and (b) increasing the odds of a big red wave if there’s a final small tilt towards Romney nationally (or regionally) over the next seven days. In that case, he wouldn’t “need” Michigan to win but it’d be lovely to have it as proof of a mandate to govern, and that’ll come in handy in twisting Democratic arms during those fiscal cliff/deficit reduction negotiations.

Elsewhere in “painting the map red” news: Romney just went up with his first ad in Pennsylvania, a state that ABC moved from “safe Democratic” to “lean Democratic” just yesterday — along with Minnesota. In the northwest, Team Mitt may be eyeing not only Oregon but even Washington state(!) as having turned more purplish than anticipated. And here’s a new ad from Citizens United that’s going up in Wisconsin and New Hampshire — a.k.a. Romney’s Plan B — but it’s not aimed at drumming up GOP turnout. In fact, it’s airing not on Fox News but on CNN and MSNBC. When you watch, you’ll understand why.


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Excellent.

spiritof61 on October 30, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Make them defend every inch.

rob verdi on October 30, 2012 at 7:41 PM

Did anyone see the last CBS poll? Has 0 up 1 yet loses indys by 11.

wargamer6 on October 30, 2012 at 7:42 PM

Detroit-I’m amazed they can still field major league teams in various sports. Last I heard, they had to turn off many streetlights to save money.

Dr. ZhivBlago on October 30, 2012 at 7:43 PM

As noted, it is sweet that this Romney and RNC

CoffeeLover on October 30, 2012 at 7:43 PM

Stay strong and stay focused.

Grunt on October 30, 2012 at 7:43 PM

good ad

southernms on October 30, 2012 at 7:43 PM

BOO-YAH ALL 50 STATE BABY!!

Let Romney have is 47%. Conquer the rest.

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

What ? No ” Obama money ” from his ” stash ” for the sistahz ?

burrata on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

As noted, it is sweet that this Romney and RNC has enough money in 2012 unlike in 2008 to actually mount an effective race against Obama and the DNC.

(Sorry, I guess my fat finger slipped!)

CoffeeLover on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

*states

How do I edit my post?

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Oh, wow. I’m trying not to get too excited.

Cody1991 on October 30, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Obama is likely to win Michigan anyways. Or is he??? Wayne county can’t possibly carry Michigan. lol

jaymil on October 30, 2012 at 7:45 PM

I guess Obama has so much money coming in from his Bin Ladin contributions he can just remind safe places that he’d appreciate their votes.

And BTW, Detroit media may not make it to Oiho but it does reach Canada.

Happy Nomad on October 30, 2012 at 7:45 PM

My only question: How likely is it that any of those three states comes through for Romney if Ohio doesn’t?

My answer: Given the fact that Obama has inundated Ohio for months with negative ads and auto bailout nonsense, moderately likely, actually.

Nessuno on October 30, 2012 at 7:45 PM

There’s always a percentage of voters who will vote for who they think will win. Keep the positive, confident messages and actions coming, and get their votes too.

Marcola on October 30, 2012 at 7:45 PM

Obama’s doing as well there as the Tigers did…

End game. Sweep.

patman77 on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

When Obama loses Nov 6, he will be buying campaign ads in Venezuela.

VorDaj on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

I was yelling OREGON! a month ago.

SouthernGent on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

It’s to “change the conversation” and emphasize the momentum moving with Romney in that region and nationally.

We can dig in and bicker about partisan splits in Ohio, or do this and get people talking about how all these states are moving.

It’ll impact the way people are thinking in Ohio and everywhere else. Obama = losing.

forest on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Last I heard, they had to turn off many streetlights to save money.

Dr. ZhivBlago on October 30, 2012 at 7:43 PM

Only in the mostly abandoned parts of the city.

Happy Nomad on October 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

My only question: How likely is it that any of those three states comes through for Romney if Ohio doesn’t? And if Ohio comes through, why do we need any of those states?

1. To limit the impact of voter fraud.

2. To reduce the chance of the legal challenges that will arise if the race is close.

3. The bigger the victory for Romney, the more momentum he will have to institute major changes, repeal Obamacare, pass a balanced budget amendment, change the tax code, etc.

talkingpoints on October 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

There’s been a lot of talk about Ohio being so drowned in anti-Mitt ads that his potential there is diminished, whereas these other blue firewalls are still pristine and have a much higher potential for swaying voters.

hisfrogness on October 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

WJR can be heard into northern Oiho and into central Ontario.

jaymil on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

Will Dick Morris be proven right?

aunursa on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

In the northwest, Team Mitt may be eyeing not only Oregon

Most Oregonians may have already voted by now.There has been plenty of time to do so.

VorDaj on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

*states

How do I edit my post?

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Go f*ck yourself.

spinach.chin on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

It’s good to see some Used-By-Obama voters being…
More Flexible.

Electrongod on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

O/T: If this doesn’t put Mia Love over the top in her election, nothing will. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ys_FSTGh4a0

Donald Draper on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

Damn! WOW! My jaw dropped reading this. Just taking a break while phone banking for the local GOP. First MINNESOTA and now DETROIT!?!?!?!?

I have Pusser’s, I have a pretty decent absinthe, but now I need to find something EPIC to start drinking when I get home from the watch party on Election Night.

Sekhmet on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Okay, let’s suppose Romney wins, and wins BIG.

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Did anyone see the last CBS poll? Has 0 up 1 yet loses indys by 11.
wargamer6 on October 30, 2012 at 7:42 PM

Won’t matter to the trolls!!!!!

mrscullen on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Will they be running the Granny cussing ad?

JPeterman on October 30, 2012 at 7:50 PM

I think it’s great that they’re doing what they can to enable as large a win as possible, and since it’s not using the scarce resource of principal time it shouldn’t *hurt* Ohio.

But there’s another reason. Everyone keeps saying how unlikely it is that Romney could be ahead in the national polls and still several points behind in Ohio — that Ohio should match the national polls within a point or two. If they do diverge, it’s because of the huge spending difference in how much Obama has saturated Ohio for months. And if that’s the case it might be cheaper to move Michigan 4 points to victory since the voters there are much less saturated than it is to move Ohio another point or two.

SoRight on October 30, 2012 at 7:50 PM

When Obama loses Nov 6, he will be buying campaign ads in Venezuela.

VorDaj on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Nah. He’ll follow in Putin’s steps and give Chavez a dog – probably the First Dog, Bo – and suggest they have a bar-be-que.

Cody1991 on October 30, 2012 at 7:50 PM

mrscullen on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

I was wrong….he beats 0 by 12.

wargamer6 on October 30, 2012 at 7:51 PM

AAAAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

Bishop on October 30, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Obama campaign now buying ads in … Detroit

That raises this fundamental question:

If Obama runs ads in Detroit, does anyone other than the cows grazing downtown see them?

Resist We Much on October 30, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Okay, let’s suppose Romney wins, and wins BIG.

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Racism !

burrata on October 30, 2012 at 7:51 PM

*states

How do I edit my post?

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Go f*ck yourself.

spinach.chin on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

“Spittin’ out my coffee” funny!

UpTheCreek on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

If this really is true, there will be last minute ads in California and Illinois.

nobar on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Gumby hardest hit

johnnybgood on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Where’s pokey ?

burrata on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Okay, let’s suppose Romney wins, and wins BIG.

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Messaging..
Or lack of..

Electrongod on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Is Allah, dare I say, optimistic about Nov. 6th? Whoa. That might be more telling than any ad buy!

I don’t know what to think at this point. None of the numbers really make sense. Romney seems up by a little nationally, up big with indies, with an electorate that-per Ras and Gallup-is leaning GOP. Yet, a lot of states remain very tight. How likely is it these bluish states are in any danger if the poll avg for VA, for example, is tied?

changer1701 on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

I was yelling OREGON! a month ago.

SouthernGent on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Yes you were!

Key West Reader on October 30, 2012 at 7:53 PM

Okay, let’s suppose Romney wins, and wins BIG.

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

The Republicans politicized the election.

VorDaj on October 30, 2012 at 7:54 PM

Are they afraid of a light “voter turn-out” in Detroit?

I can’t believe too many Detroit residents are going to vote “R”.

listens2glenn on October 30, 2012 at 7:54 PM

*states

How do I edit my post?

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Go back to skool.

chewmeister on October 30, 2012 at 7:54 PM

That raises this fundamental question:

If Obama runs ads in Detroit, does anyone other than the cows grazing downtown see them?

Resist We Much on October 30, 2012 at 7:51 PM

Yes all those people with Obama phones, Obama shoes, Obama tee vee, Obama cable channel, Obama food stamps.

Key West Reader on October 30, 2012 at 7:55 PM

The obligatory “Take him to Detroit” clip.

Steve Eggleston on October 30, 2012 at 7:55 PM

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Republicans failed to believe in and fund global warming/climate change/climate chaos/global weirding, which led to Sandy, which caused Obama to have to leave the campaign trail and depressed turnout.

Resist We Much on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Okay, let’s suppose Romney wins, and wins BIG.

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

The hurricane

gophergirl on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

changer1701 on October 30, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Not knowing which polls you’re referring to, my newshound take is that almost all of the articles I’m reading which spout numbers are RCP numbers which go back to the beginning fo the month and include many smaller polls that are D+5 or 7.

The big discrepancy is turnout. Will it really be D+3 or more like R+1.

I’m betting it’s R+1 just from the optics of everything which means most of those polls are BS.

hisfrogness on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

0 is not so much running anymore as he is being chased around. Fun to watch. On the run! Lol!

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

1. To limit the impact of voter fraud.

talkingpoints on October 30, 2012 at 7:47 PM

Good point. If all the eggs were in the Ohio basket, every sketchy Democrat political operative and voter fraud bus from Detroit, Madison, Pittsburgh and Milwaukee would be at work in Ohio.

forest on October 30, 2012 at 7:57 PM

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Definitely not Bishop.

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 7:57 PM

O/T: If this doesn’t put Mia Love over the top in her election, nothing will. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ys_FSTGh4a0

Donald Draper on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

Wow! Has Romney been cutting ads for other R’s running for Congress? We know Obama sure isn’t.

txhsmom on October 30, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Wow! Just WOW! I love the “failure” part. If the Jeep ad offended his delicate sensibilities, image what this one would do. Something tells me no one is going to say, “Yo, Obama, come watch this”.

behiker on October 30, 2012 at 7:58 PM

spinach.chin on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

Now, now, that one is quite fragile. ; )

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 7:58 PM

0 is not so much running anymore as he is being chased around. Fun to watch. On the run! Lol!

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Thread winner!!

SoRight on October 30, 2012 at 7:59 PM

Will Dick Morris be proven right?

aunursa on October 30, 2012 at 7:48 PM

This is what scares me. Dick Morris is the perfect “REVERSE” barometer. Whatever he says, the opposite happens.

Alabama Infidel on October 30, 2012 at 7:59 PM

Just on pins and needles til this is over. Talk about a roller coaster ride.

Jvette on October 30, 2012 at 8:00 PM

Amazing what ‘flexibility’ will get you.

Obama dominates Romney in Russian opinion poll
http://rt.com/politics/obama-romney-election-us-russia-putin-576/

An overwhelming percentage of Russians said the reelection of US President Barack Obama would better serve Russia’s national interests as opposed to the presidential challenger, Mitt Romney.

Southern by choice22 on October 30, 2012 at 8:01 PM

Okay, let’s suppose Romney wins, and wins BIG.

So what will be the ‘excuse de jure’ of the liberals?

They’re so good at making excuses.

GarandFan on October 30, 2012 at 7:49 PM

Racism 24/7. To justify the riots.

Akzed on October 30, 2012 at 8:01 PM

Meanwhile…………………….

RomneyResponse ‏@RomneyResponse

Lee Iacocca & Hal Sperlich: @MittRomney Is The Leader Our Auto Industry Needs http://mi.tt/ScsLUc #RomneyRyan2012 #tcot

http://www.mittromney.com/blog/mitt-romney-leader-our-auto-industry-needs
================

RomneyResponse ‏@RomneyResponse

.@MittRomney’s momentum leads to Michigan ad buy by @BarackObama: http://bit.ly/Ro0bhC #ExpandTheMap #tcot

https://twitter.com/RomneyResponse

canopfor on October 30, 2012 at 8:01 PM

Wow! Has Romney been cutting ads for other R’s running for Congress? We know Obama sure isn’t. txhsmom on October 30, 2012 at 7:58 PM

Who would want him to?! He doesn’t have coat tails, he has anchors!

Akzed on October 30, 2012 at 8:02 PM

Racism 24/7. To justify the riots.

Akzed on October 30, 2012 at 8:01 PM

This^^^. Gird your loins, people.

chewmeister on October 30, 2012 at 8:03 PM

0 is not so much running anymore as he is being chased around. Fun to watch. On the run! Lol!

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

LOL…

Just remembered one of the political pics of Obama walking and the LSM following behind him.

Now the image is still the same but Obama’s pace is much faster..

Electrongod on October 30, 2012 at 8:06 PM

Death Star deploying.

KCB on October 30, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Yea…about Oregon…

I live in Central Oregon. We are in the sane part of the state.. We’re had Greg Walden (R) as our congressman and he’ll win again. The problem is there are not enough people out here to over come the population of the hippie infested stink holes of Eugene and Portland. Team Romney needs to spend their money where it will make a difference.

Agent of the Cross on October 30, 2012 at 8:07 PM

BOO-YAH ALL 50 STATE BABY!!

Let Romney have is 47%. Conquer the rest.

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

You ain’t very good at this.

cozmo on October 30, 2012 at 8:07 PM

cozmo on October 30, 2012 at 8:07 PM

I think he was her first.

KCB on October 30, 2012 at 8:09 PM

Okay, I’m safe… nobody has seemed to post the requisite

BWAHAHAHAHgigglehahahaha *gasp* *snort*

yet.

SteveInRTP on October 30, 2012 at 8:09 PM

Did anyone see the last CBS poll? Has 0 up 1 yet loses indys by 11.

wargamer6 on October 30, 2012 at 7:42 PM

wargamer6:Dis it!!
======================

Andrew Kaczynski ‏@BuzzFeedAndrew

RT @philipaklein: NYT/CBS poll: 38% approve of Obama’s handling of Libya attack, 51% disapprove http://nyti.ms/XVxNcv

Andrew Kaczynski ‏@BuzzFeedAndrew

NYT/CBS poll: Obama 48% Romney 47%. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10

canopfor on October 30, 2012 at 8:09 PM

Wow! Has Romney been cutting ads for other R’s running for Congress? We know Obama sure isn’t.

txhsmom on October 30, 2012 at 7:58 PM

He did one for Mourdock in IN.

changer1701 on October 30, 2012 at 8:09 PM

I’m mostly a lurker here, but I’m coming out of the closet because I don’t understand the polls and need reassurance that we have a sporting chance. Is Nate Silver a partisan hack? Sean Trende sounds discouraged … or am I projecting? Numbersmuncher doesn’t seem to use declarative sentences. WHY?? Talk to me, Allah. Where are we on the Eyore-meter?

Infidoll on October 30, 2012 at 8:09 PM

I was yelling OREGON! a month ago.

SouthernGent on October 30, 2012 at 7:46 PM

Very True. I remember this clearly, because shortly after you said that, it was Rand Paul.

budfox on October 30, 2012 at 8:10 PM

You ain’t very good at this.

cozmo on October 30, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Its really, really not. Maybe it will sell me its nic.

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 8:10 PM

*states

How do I edit my post?

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

How much pay does Axelrod deduct for typos?

midgeorgian on October 30, 2012 at 8:10 PM

And if Ohio comes through, why do we need any of those states?

If it’s not close, they can’t cheat.

-Hugh Hewitt

Wethal on October 30, 2012 at 8:10 PM

Go Tigers!

Oh, wait.

Never mind.

Bruno Strozek on October 30, 2012 at 8:11 PM

The legacy media be intolerable the next five days…

d1carter on October 30, 2012 at 8:11 PM

During the past two weeks, I’ve been seeing Obama ads in California of all places. I have no idea what the poll numbers are in my loony state, but I can’t understand why he would need to run ads in CA. I luckily live in Orange County, which is one of the most conservative counties in the state. Love it. Romney stickers everywhere.

Callie C. on October 30, 2012 at 8:11 PM

Seriously? obaka feels the need to advertise in Detroit? But…but…but…I was told Osama is dead and GM is alive?!?!?

Was I lied to?

ladyingray on October 30, 2012 at 8:12 PM

BOO-YAH ALL 50 STATE BABY!!

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

I like it. Obama wins only 7 states.

Alabama Infidel on October 30, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Alabama Infidel on October 30, 2012 at 7:59 PM

Oh c’mon. He’s not that bad. He was right about 2010.

jawkneemusic on October 30, 2012 at 8:12 PM

Elsewhere in “painting the map red” news: Romney just went up with his first ad in Pennsylvania, a state that ABC moved from “safe Democratic” to “lean Democratic” just yesterday — along with Minnesota.

SuperPAC has been running Romney ads for a week now.

Wethal on October 30, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Let Romney have is 47%. Conquer the rest.

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Naw, Romney wins the rest. The 47% is yakiniku.

ladyingray on October 30, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Check out this link from 2004: http://www.surveyusa.com/2004_Elections/OH041026pressen.pdf

This same group today has Obama up on Romney by 3,even though Romney is up big w/ Indies.

jaygatz33 on October 30, 2012 at 8:13 PM

How likely is it that any of those three states comes through for Romney if Ohio doesn’t? And if Ohio comes through, why do we need any of those states?

I don’t get it….Aren’t these states independent of one another? How do the results of one, affect the other.?

ted c on October 30, 2012 at 8:13 PM

Dear Leader actually said these words today at a “campaign” stop at the Red Cross…”We leave nobody behind”.

d1carter on October 30, 2012 at 8:14 PM

The hurricane

gophergirl on October 30, 2012 at 7:56 PM

gophergirl:

Dems shouldn’t been whinning,Sandy was putting out,er wait,thats
gonna get misconstruded!
(sarc):)

canopfor on October 30, 2012 at 8:14 PM

R^2 356/182 EV 55/44 popular.
Senate R 55/45.
HOR +17 R

Believe it!

jukin3 on October 30, 2012 at 8:16 PM

Seriously? obaka feels the need to advertise in Detroit? But…but…but…I was told Osama is dead and GM is alive?!?!?

Was I lied to?

ladyingray on October 30, 2012 at 8:12 PM

No. Someone here calls Obama the Blightbringer. Quite appropo’ and nice to see you!

/Obaka LMAO

Key West Reader on October 30, 2012 at 8:16 PM

*states

How do I edit my post?

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Edit, there is none. Only, preview.

ladyingray on October 30, 2012 at 8:17 PM

Dear Leader actually said these words today at a “campaign” stop at the Red Cross…”We leave nobody behind”.

d1carter on October 30, 2012 at 8:14 PM

He also threw in “Lean Forward” for good measure.

JPeterman on October 30, 2012 at 8:17 PM

If the White House announces a last minute trip to Cambridge to campaign with Granny Warren, I’m braking out the champaign.

turfmann on October 30, 2012 at 8:18 PM

Just think, he would have had another $60K if it wasnt for that ad buy in Pokee-stahn where he had to defend Benghazi…

hillsoftx on October 30, 2012 at 8:18 PM

BOO-YAH ALL 50 STATE BABY!!

akaniku on October 30, 2012 at 7:44 PM

Goodness gracious, and to think for a minute I thought you were Bishop pulling our chains. My most humble apologies to Bishop.

Bmore on October 30, 2012 at 8:18 PM

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