Romney thinking of running 30-minute “closing argument” ad in battleground states?

posted at 6:41 pm on October 23, 2012 by Allahpundit

An intriguing pair of tweets from a Fox News producer given the sourcing. Sounds like they are, or were, thinking about doing this, but maybe are debating whether the home-stretch budget will allow it.

Obama’s running a 30-minute ad this week too, in the guise of a half-hour MTV interview to air this Friday. The network’s also invited Romney but it’s O whose chances depend upon turning out young voters. Awfully nice of Viacom to give him a pipeline right before the election.

I’m debating with myself over whether it’s a smart use of dwindling campaign funds for Team Romney to pop for a half-hour spot. Con: If Mitt starts to see real movement in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin, he might wish the millions earmarked for the ad had been available for organizational purpose. Pro: Thirty-second ads probably aren’t moving many votes at this point so you’re better off doing something splashy to grab eyeballs. No one will sit through half an hour of Romney at a whiteboard explaining the deficit but they might watch something that incorporates biography and personal detail. After all, one of the strongest aftershocks of Romney’s Denver debate performance was the rise in his favorable rating; people like him more than they used to, and many are no doubt curious to better know the man who might be the next president. Check out the spot from Crossroads below as a starting point. If you believe that women respond to soft-focus ads like this more than men do, then here’s one way to chip a point or two off of the gender gap.

Obama ran a 30-minute ad too in the last few days of the 2008 campaign, incidentally. Victory was all but assured at that point, but he still managed to crack a 20 rating in markets where it ran. Part of that may have been due to curiosity about his historic candidacy, so Romney likely wouldn’t draw as many viewers. But then, he doesn’t have to. The race is tight enough that even a one-point move in the polls could be decisive.


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30 minutes is too much–nobody would watch the whole thing. Have a bunch of traditional 0.5-minute ads, along with perhaps a few longer ones (2-3 minutes?).

Mr. Prodigy on October 23, 2012 at 6:44 PM

No. If nobody’s watching 30-second spots then nobody’s watching 30-minute infomercials. Spend the money on GOTV efforts in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

Caiwyn on October 23, 2012 at 6:45 PM

That video causes tears.

Man it’s dusty in here.

portlandon on October 23, 2012 at 6:45 PM

That couple made me tear up.

gophergirl on October 23, 2012 at 6:46 PM

Did you mean to have a lead-in for that Crossroads ad, AP?

I watched it anyway. Dusty in here, I’m tellin’ ya.

Red Cloud on October 23, 2012 at 6:46 PM

That would be brilliant and, hopefully, effective.

RedRedRice on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

AP… any thoughts on the freakshow Trump and Allred are going to unleash tomorrow?

I think it could be damaging to Romney (oddly enough, I am more worried about Trump then Allred).

If Trump reveals that Michelle wanted to divorce Barack, that will make people feel sorry for them since that is an invasion of privacy and seems like a petty attack. People, I am afraid, will then link Trump to Romney, and lo and behold Obama gains 2 points or so.

As for Allred, she makes me nervous too.

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

One thing we learned from the debates is that people want to know just who this Romney character is. I say go for it.

Gordon Winslow on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

I like the idea of two 15 minute ads. One kinda touchy feely and the other about his economic vision.

Charlemagne on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Sounds good but I’d rather see that money go towards GOTV and other activities. It’s nice to see that we have such a choice though. This isn’t McCain’s or Steele’s GOP anymore.

joekenha on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Mitt would be better to put up huge FREE beer gardens in Pro Obama areas of Cleveland away from any polling areas. Make them go for the free Beer instead of the free ObamaPhones.

portlandon on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

They don’t need it. It’s over. D+9 for a tie isn’t going to happen.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

If it’s 30 minutes it needs to be all economic; debt, taxes, trade, EPA, energy, and stuff like that.

But I think he needs to go negative on some ads…or it too soon?

Oil Can on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

This video might cause riots in Berkeley.

Mark1971 on October 23, 2012 at 6:48 PM

a 30 minute ad?

what can you say in 30 mins that you can’t say in 5?

dude, we live in a twitter/text and hotair-little-white-text box world.

If you’re going to make it 30 mins, call it a full length movie, sell tickets and popcorn.

twocent

ted c on October 23, 2012 at 6:49 PM

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Unless there is something in the divorce papers? gay sex? drugs? violence?

If it’s not these issues, you could be right. It could help O.

Oil Can on October 23, 2012 at 6:50 PM

http://www.radaronline.com/exclusives/2012/10/gloria-allred-mitt-romney-october-surprise-gag-order

Gloria Allred will be in a Boston area courtroom Wednesday in an attempt to unseal the sworn testimony given by Republican Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, in a prior court case, RadarOnline.com is exclusively reporting.

The Boston Globe is headed to court tomorrow morning for an emergency hearing in an attempt to obtain a court order to unseal the sworn testimony given by Mitt Romney in a prior court case and to lift a gag order so that the parties can speak about Romney. Gloria Allred will be in court representing one of the parties in the case.

Media and scum working together, or is that redundant.

bayview on October 23, 2012 at 6:50 PM

This video might cause riots in Berkeley, + Oakland, LA, Detroit, Chicago, Baltimore, Milwaukee, Madison, New Orleans….

Mark1971 on October 23, 2012 at 6:48 PM

FTFY.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 6:51 PM

No one will sit through half an hour of Romney at a whiteboard explaining the deficit but they might watch something that incorporates biography and personal detail.

yeah really…. that would move the needle in the wrong direction.

ted c on October 23, 2012 at 6:51 PM

I don’t know if it’s a good idea or not. What I can say is that Romney can well win without OH and he should do what he can to hedge his bets in this regard. If Mitt wins WI then he would be only 3 EV’s away from victory with plenty of other states ripe for the picking to push him over. For example NH, NV or IA could all tip the balance if he can win in Wiscy. So I say, sure keep fighting hard in OH but also keep plan a very plausible B in motion.

MJBrutus on October 23, 2012 at 6:51 PM

Meanwhile…….over at YAHOO NEWS.

Obama holds narrow edge over Romney

A Reuters/Ipsos poll has the candidates essentially tied two weeks ahead of Election Day. Swing-state lead
Related links

What $600 bil cliff?
Candidates in final dash
Obama: It’s about trust

PappyD61 on October 23, 2012 at 6:52 PM

This video might cause riots in Berkeley.

Mark1971 on October 23, 2012 at 6:48 PM

What caused the burning of the hemp store?

It was the video!!!

RedRedRice on October 23, 2012 at 6:52 PM

I feel mixed about this. Ever since Obama ran that 30-minute infomercial right before the World Series with illegal contributions while our candidate was hamstrung with public financing, I’ve always wanted my candidate to have Romney campaign store product placements on Glee as a F-U back to them. Whether or not the infomercial makes strategic sense, I’ll leave it to them. Everything they’ve been doing so far has been turning up aces.

The Count on October 23, 2012 at 6:53 PM

People are tired of all the ad’s and folks are not factoring in all the ads for local races they keep seeing.

Spend it elsewhere, Mitt. GOTV?

JPeterman on October 23, 2012 at 6:53 PM

http://www.radaronline.com/exclusives/2012/10/gloria-allred-mitt-romney-october-surprise-gag-order

Gloria Allred will be in a Boston area courtroom Wednesday in an attempt to unseal the sworn testimony given by Republican Presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, in a prior court case, RadarOnline.com is exclusively reporting.

The Boston Globe is headed to court tomorrow morning for an emergency hearing in an attempt to obtain a court order to unseal the sworn testimony given by Mitt Romney in a prior court case and to lift a gag order so that the parties can speak about Romney. Gloria Allred will be in court representing one of the parties in the case.

Media and scum working together, or is that redundant.

bayview on October 23, 2012 at 6:50 PM

Romney better be all over this.

SIX WORDS: Vera Baker, Larry Sinclair, Donald Trump.

PappyD61 on October 23, 2012 at 6:54 PM

What’s with all the pollen in the air…?

Seven Percent Solution on October 23, 2012 at 6:55 PM

MJBrutus on October 23, 2012 at 6:51 PM

Errrrr…. If he wins Wisconsin, he will have won Ohio by 4 or 5% more. These swing states don’t have firewalls around them. If Romney is doing well in one, he is doing equally well in others, historical patterns factored in.

It’s over. Romney 300+ electoral votes. I think the Obama campaign absolutely knows it.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 6:55 PM

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Barack Obama pulled slightly ahead of Republican Mitt Romney in a Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll on Tuesday, but the race remained essentially tied with two weeks to go until the November 6 election.

Obama led Romney among likely voters by a statistically insignificant margin of 1 percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. The four-day online tracking poll includes some responses taken after the two candidates’ final televised debate, but the full impact will not register for several days.

Obama maintains a larger advantage in the state-by-state battle that will determine the outcome of the election. Ipsos projects that Obama holds an edge in the most hotly contested states, including Florida, Virginia and Ohio, and is likely to win by a relatively comfortable margin of 332 electoral votes to 206 electoral votes.

The poll has reflected a tight race since shortly after the two candidates met for their first debate on October 3. But a substantial portion of voters remain up for grabs. Roughly 20 percent of those surveyed say they could switch their votes or have not yet made up their minds.

Among the larger pool of registered voters, Obama leads Romney 46 percent to 42 percent.

The accuracy of Reuters/Ipsos online polls are measured using a credibility interval. The survey of 1,030 likely voters has a credibility interval of 3.5 percentage points.

PappyD61 on October 23, 2012 at 6:56 PM

Why not just go on talk shows like O’Reilly Factor, Hannity, etc? Or even do some interviews with ABC/NBC? (yeah I know ur gonna scream PALIN but come on, Mitt isn’t Palin) Isn’t that free and much more effective?

tkyang99 on October 23, 2012 at 6:56 PM

RCP Average….10/15-22…………..48.0…….47.1….R +0.9

Ras……….10/20-22…1500 LV 3.0….50………46….R…+4

ABC/WP…….10/19-22…1382 LV 3.0….49………48….R…+1
Sample: 34/29/32 D +5

Gallup…….10/16-22…2700 LV 2.0….51………46….R…+5
Sample: D +3

IBD/TIPP…..10/17-22….938 LV 3.5….45………47….O…+2
Sample: 37/30/32 D +7

CBS News…..10/17-20….790 LV 4.0….46………48….O…+2
Sample: 32/32/35

NBC/WSJ……10/17-20….816 LV 3.4….47………47…….Tie
Sample: D +3

Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun
………….10/18-21…1402 LV 2.6….48………45….R…+3
Sample: 35/31/34 D +4

Pol’co/GWU/Battleground

………….10/15-18…1000 LV 3.1….49………47….R…+2
Sample: 35/31/33 D +4

WashTimes/JZ Analytics*

………….10/18-20….800 LV 3.5….47………50….O…+3
Sample: 37/35/28 D +2

Resist We Much on October 23, 2012 at 6:57 PM

Obama holds narrow edge over Romney

A Reuters/Ipsos poll has the candidates essentially tied two weeks ahead of Election Day. Swing-state lead
Related links

PappyD61 on October 23, 2012 at 6:52 PM

Reuters/Ipsos?

HaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHaHa!!

JPeterman on October 23, 2012 at 6:57 PM

0 will win no more than 18 states.

Bmore on October 23, 2012 at 6:57 PM

AP… any thoughts on the freakshow Trump and Allred are going to unleash tomorrow?

I think it could be damaging to Romney (oddly enough, I am more worried about Trump then Allred).

If Trump reveals that Michelle wanted to divorce Barack, that will make people feel sorry for them since that is an invasion of privacy and seems like a petty attack. People, I am afraid, will then link Trump to Romney, and lo and behold Obama gains 2 points or so.

As for Allred, she makes me nervous too.

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

We’re gonna have to let the chips fall where they may, but Mitt Romney hasn’t come this far to let a democrat hack ambulance chaser cost him the election without a fight. Have a little faith. Zero’s *cough, cough* closet is filled with more skeletons than a Halloween store. Romney won’t hold back if Allred-Obama give them a dirty fight. If it’s a dirty fight they want, it’ll be a dirty fight they’ll get. We’ll just have to let it play out. My gut right now tells me that whatever Allred-Obama have planned, it is going to backfire spectacularly. This shit works in pissant state races. At the national level? The risk is all Zero’s with a dirtbag stunt like this. Guess he figures he’s got nothing to lose — because he’s already lost.

Rational Thought on October 23, 2012 at 6:58 PM

Wow, Axelrod activating more stealth trolls?

Hi Axel!

tkyang99 on October 23, 2012 at 6:58 PM

Whether he does or doesn’t, I can tell you why he’s talking about it:

For the sheer lulz of hearing the rank, fetid, leprous hypocrisy of the liberal media and blogs when they scold him for it, after treating Obama’s precedent setting infomercial of four years ago like a holy visitation.

HitNRun on October 23, 2012 at 6:59 PM

Among the larger pool of registered voters, Obama leads Romney 46 percent to 42 percent.

The accuracy of Reuters/Ipsos online polls are measured using a credibility interval. The survey of 1,030 likely voters has a credibility interval of 3.5 percentage points.

PappyD61 on October 23, 2012 at 6:56 PM

Pappy…so IPSOS/Reuters has this at 3.5 Obama and Gallup has -6.5 Obama and Rasmussen -5 Obama? So Ipsos has the correct formula?

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:00 PM

Not 30 minutes … 15, 20 max.

darwin on October 23, 2012 at 7:00 PM

He should do it and have it run during infomercial hours (ie late night/early morning). That’s actually not too expensive but given enough play, most people see those things eventually.

Nessuno on October 23, 2012 at 7:01 PM

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Well, we don’t know yet, but I’m pretty concerned about it too. This whole campaign has been about dragging Romney through the mud, and obviously they think there’s something in that sealed record that would be damaging.

These people make me sick.

changer1701 on October 23, 2012 at 7:01 PM

bayview on October 23, 2012 at 6:50 PM

Team Obama unsealing something to help them politically? That’s never happened before…

joekenha on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

Obama ran a 30-minute ad too in the last few days of the 2008 campaign, incidentally.
=========================

Not 30 minutes on this one,tho!!

Andrew Kaczynski ‏@BuzzFeedAndrew

Romney’s 2008 ad on stopping a “global jihadist caliphate.” http://youtu.be/CimYzQQbFXE
============================

Mitt Romney 2008 Ad on Jihadism
*******************************

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CimYzQQbFXE&feature=youtu.be

canopfor on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

You know, if you guys post 3 polls in a row, it summons GumbyPokey.

STOP!

portlandon on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

AP… any thoughts on the freakshow Trump and Allred are going to unleash tomorrow?

I think it could be damaging to Romney (oddly enough, I am more worried about Trump then Allred).

If Trump reveals that Michelle wanted to divorce Barack, that will make people feel sorry for them since that is an invasion of privacy and seems like a petty attack. People, I am afraid, will then link Trump to Romney, and lo and behold Obama gains 2 points or so.

As for Allred, she makes me nervous too.

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

I don’t like Trump doing this either. He already has a bad reputation among alot of people for the Birther thing.

Romney chose to take the high road last not, he’s clearly trying to play it safe and wants to focus on the economy. The last thing he needs now is Trump tossing out divorce papers.

If that’s what it is, who cares? Lots of politicians on both sides and millions of people get divorced. This very well could back fire.

Does anyone think if Romney asked Trump not to do this that Trump would listen?

LevinFan on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

30 minutes is too much–nobody would watch the whole thing. Have a bunch of traditional 0.5-minute ads, along with perhaps a few longer ones (2-3 minutes?).

Mr. Prodigy on October 23, 2012 at 6:44 PM

The problem you run into is, if you buy a three minute block of commercial time, you’ve already purchased half of the cost of the program. Why not just buy the whole block of programming for the cost of the six minutes of ads, plus a premium?

Although I’m generally against it, Mitt is in a position where, if he had to write a $50 million check to himself, knowing it would be the difference between victory and defeat, it would certainly be $50 mil well spent.

JohnGalt23 on October 23, 2012 at 7:03 PM

Does anyone think if Romney asked Trump not to do this that Trump would listen?

LevinFan on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

If he did it very publicly, and before the fact, it would make Mitt look like a stand up guy, and still leave a question mark hanging in the air…

JohnGalt23 on October 23, 2012 at 7:05 PM

AP… any thoughts on the freakshow Trump and Allred are going to unleash tomorrow?

I think it could be damaging to Romney (oddly enough, I am more worried about Trump then Allred).

If Trump reveals that Michelle wanted to divorce Barack, that will make people feel sorry for them since that is an invasion of privacy and seems like a petty attack. People, I am afraid, will then link Trump to Romney, and lo and behold Obama gains 2 points or so.

As for Allred, she makes me nervous too.

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

I think the Allred thing is a gag order that Romney testified for in family court. In other words this was family court which means Romney was protecting a child who was sexually abused or abused, and Romney probably testified about it.

Conservative4ev on October 23, 2012 at 7:06 PM

Again. They don’t need the 30 minutes. They have it in the bag. GOTV efforts for a guarantee, but D+9 in Ohio for an Obama tie isn’t going to happen.

All of the internals show independents +6 to +10 for Romney. All of the internals show greater Dem crossover for Romney than Rep crossover for Obama. Build a spreadsheet and calculate it. Obama has to have d+9 for a tie in Ohio.

In Axlerod’s wildest dreams they will get +4% with the fraud vote. Obama loses Ohio. It’s over. They know it. Romney knows it.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:06 PM

Does anyone think if Romney asked Trump not to do this that Trump would listen?

LevinFan on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

This whole election goes negative tomorrow watch.

Oil Can on October 23, 2012 at 7:07 PM

From NRO…

“How the Campaigns . . .
By Rich Lowry
October 23, 2012 6:02 P.M. Comments6
. . . see the electoral state of play, according to a CNN report:

- Obama campaign officials now privately acknowledge that North Carolina, a state they can afford to lose, is moving perilously out of reach. Internal polling shows Florida also moving slightly toward Romney, but few in either camp believe the Republican nominee has more than a 1- or 2-percentage-point edge….

- Both campaigns consider Virginia and Colorado tight, with Romney perhaps hanging on to a tiny shred of a lead. New Hampshire is now a jump ball. …

- The president’s re-election chances increasingly hinge on a “Big Ten” firewall of Iowa, Wisconsin and, most importantly, Ohio – a state where Romney has been stymied by his opposition to the federal auto bailout and a concentrated effort by Obama forces to portray the former private equity whiz as out of touch with the middle class.

- . . . One high-ranking Romney official, granted anonymity to speak frankly about campaign tactics, admitted that Michigan is probably off the table because Democrats “have done such a job of sticking a knife in us on the auto bailout.””

gumbyandpokey on October 23, 2012 at 7:07 PM

Am I getting worked up over nothing?

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Geez I wish Trump would go away. This is such a huge “so what” but it can backfire. As if he’s one to talk about divorce…. sheesh.

As for Allred – she’s a media whoo-re and no thinking person will pay much attention at this point.

tru2tx on October 23, 2012 at 7:08 PM

I think I’ll send Mitt another $50. Can’t hurt.

SailorMark on October 23, 2012 at 7:08 PM

30 minutes? I dunno. Overkill. The free beer idea is good, though. I’d settle for free M&Ms.

Philly on October 23, 2012 at 7:08 PM

Donate the money to a charity that feeds homeless people.

“We thought about this, but we don’t need it.”

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:09 PM

I’m with someone up top who said people are sick of ads at this point. Voters surely know by now who they’re going to vote for, since the debates are over. I think Romney just needs to keep talking to the folks. I know it must be exhausting, but it appears to be working.

And whoever brought up the totally off topic Trump/Allred fiasco screw both of those clowns and their crap sandwiches.

scalleywag on October 23, 2012 at 7:09 PM

I am not holding out much hope for Trump’s October O Surprise. It would have to be unbelievable and completely provable.

Philly on October 23, 2012 at 7:10 PM

Trump has a “big announcement”???

Feh.

ted c on October 23, 2012 at 7:10 PM

Buy the 30 minute ad just in Ohio.

It’s where Romney should be today and tomorrow, not wasting valuable time in Nevada, a state he’s not going to win.

gumbyandpokey on October 23, 2012 at 7:10 PM

You know, if you guys post 3 polls in a row, it summons GumbyPokey.

STOP!

portlandon on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

You win :(

JPeterman on October 23, 2012 at 7:10 PM

Mitt, I live in PA and I never see your regular TV ads. How about some of those? No billboards, one mailing. You need to do more of that and less of prime-time programming.

Philly on October 23, 2012 at 7:11 PM

- The president’s re-election chances increasingly hinge on a “Big Ten” firewall of Iowa, Wisconsin and, most importantly, Ohio – a state where Romney has been stymied by his opposition to the federal auto bailout and a concentrated effort by Obama forces to portray the former private equity whiz as out of touch with the middle class.

- . . . One high-ranking Romney official, granted anonymity to speak frankly about campaign tactics, admitted that Michigan is probably off the table because Democrats “have done such a job of sticking a knife in us on the auto bailout.””

gumbyandpokey on October 23, 2012 at 7:07 PM

Got all your hopes pinned on D+9 for a tie, or D+11 for an Ohio win I see. Good for you. Optimism in the face of disaster can be helpful sometimes.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:12 PM

gumbyandpokey on October 23, 2012 at 7:07 PM

That the Obama camp is even talking about losing Ohio is a stunning turn of events.

No wonder, then, that Romney seemed like the man who was winning last night. When he spoke, you thought “energy in the executive.” When Obama spoke, the words that came to mind were “fatigue,” “apathy,” “frustration.” In his closing statement the president was clearly rattled, lamely reciting talking points we’ve heard too often before, not even pretending to care about what he was saying — simply wanting it to be over. It was as though a light had gone out. Was he disconcerted by the smoothness of Romney’s performance? Or is his campaign’s internal polling in Ohio less pretty than his people are letting on?

Bye gumby

Conservative4ev on October 23, 2012 at 7:13 PM

My mute button is about worn out, I don’t know if it can take any more campaign ads, from either party. I can hardly get through the news with with all the clips from the big Oaf.

scalleywag on October 23, 2012 at 7:13 PM

Didn’t Kevin Madden deny the 30 minute ad today? Pretty sure I saw that Allah.

As far as the Trump Allred thing….If Trump actually has something substantive I wouldn’t mind him releasing it, but he shouldn’t if it’s stupid…Allred hasn’t even went to court yet over what is sure to be a nothingburger.

jaygatz33 on October 23, 2012 at 7:14 PM

For you Trail Watchers:

Romney Road Team
@RomneyRoadTeam

Giving you insight into all things happening on the campaign trail as we follow @mittromney and @paulryanvp on the road

USA · http://www.MittRomney.com/

https://twitter.com/RomneyRoadTeam
==================================

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Great PHOTO: NV is #RomneyRyan2012 country! Awesome crowd for @MittRomney & @PaulRyanVP #tcot #GOP2012 pic.twitter.com/QbU2lNF1

https://twitter.com/ZacMoffatt/status/260841885986336770/photo/1

canopfor on October 23, 2012 at 7:14 PM

Gloria Bloom the next Trump bride?

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:15 PM

Trump has a “big announcement”???

Feh.

ted c on October 23, 2012 at 7:10 PM

Yeah, they should forget the big announcment and start hammering on the “no sequestration” remark. That was a huge foot-in-the mouth.

SailorMark on October 23, 2012 at 7:15 PM

Would Gloria use her birth name on a marriage certificate?

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:16 PM

The people in the swing states are sick and tired of all the ads, no matter which side they’re on. If you’re going to run ads at this point, do 30-second ones, with beautiful scenes of sunrises and serene music, no written or spoken words, and at the end, of course, “I’m Mitt Romney and I approve this message.”

Then, take the money you will save and plow it into GOTV in those counties and precincts that will make a difference.

TXUS on October 23, 2012 at 7:17 PM

You know, if you guys post 3 polls in a row, it summons GumbyPokey.

STOP!

portlandon on October 23, 2012 at 7:02 PM

portlandon:

BeetleJuiceGumbyPokey…….BeetleJuiceGumbyPokey…..Beet….. …
(snark)

canopfor on October 23, 2012 at 7:17 PM

Did that CBS Poll that had Obama in the lead really have a 32/32/35 split?

Yeah, no samples on the Reuters poll. It’s an advocacy poll no doubt.

Any ideas if MSNBC will be in Boston tomorrow for the court record unsealing?

Will Jeri Ryan be there too? Maybe she can testify how those records helped her career.

PappyD61 on October 23, 2012 at 7:20 PM

(oddly enough, I am more worried about Trump then Allred).

Indy82 on October 23, 2012 at 6:47 PM

Agreed. Would Trump be stupid enough to do something that has the potential to backfire on Romney? Probably not, but his ego and desire to “stick it” to Obama may cloud his judgement.

If it’s the dumb divorce story, Romney better be on the phone tonight telling Trump to can it. It’s just going to make voters feel sorry for the Obamas and would not be the least bit helpful two weeks before the election.

mpthompson on October 23, 2012 at 7:21 PM

This 30 minute spot sounds like a good idea.

Anybody remember Perot’s on air infomercials? They pushed him to 17% of the electorate voting for him for President.

I think if Romney were to do this, even just online like on Youtube or some other media website, it would benefit him. In fact, running it online is cheaper by far where he could reach every state. TV spots in toss up states would be good in conjunction with the online video for everybody else.

Let people ask him questions directly. Let professional media personalities like Eastwood or righty reporters do the majority of the show while letting the “people” ask him questions.

Do it Romney-Ryan! Do it

SauerKraut537 on October 23, 2012 at 7:21 PM

I don’t know, beetlejuice is good but he reminds me more of Horshack.

BeachBum on October 23, 2012 at 7:21 PM

SEALs

Schadenfreude on October 23, 2012 at 7:23 PM

Well, we don’t know yet, but I’m pretty concerned about it too. This whole campaign has been about dragging Romney through the mud, and obviously they think there’s something in that sealed record that would be damaging.

These people make me sick.

changer1701 on October 23, 2012 at 7:01 PM

Lawyer types: how easy (or difficult) is it to get testimonies unsealed and gag orders lifted?

Grace_is_sufficient on October 23, 2012 at 7:23 PM

I think the people who would actually watch the 30 minutes have already decided. I think the independent middle will never watch 30 minutes of the thing. Let’s face it, if you don’t know enough about the election to have decided at this point- then you aren’t going to sit and watch a 30 minutes tv ad. I think small pointed ones work better with that segment of the population.

melle1228 on October 23, 2012 at 7:24 PM

From ace’s place:

It’s the divorce case of Mitt’s former partner. I live in

Boston and Howie Carr just got the word on his radio show. Trust me on this.

Posted by: MT at October 23, 2012 07:09 PM (A6Bqs)

Jon0815 on October 23, 2012 at 7:25 PM

That thing they played at the convention even made me like Romney much more than I had. Especially when his son was explaining that Mitt was too cheap to get the right lightbulb for the range hood.

I think a 30-minute version of that sort of thing, combined with a solid explanation of what Mitt could do, would be pretty effective.

gatsbysgirlontheside on October 23, 2012 at 7:28 PM

Run this ad over and over and over.

The Dinner Table.

And then run it some more.

JPeterman on October 23, 2012 at 7:29 PM

Speaking of MTV!!

CNN Political Ticker ‏@PoliticalTicker

Obama to appear on MTV http://bit.ly/SoCgQI

canopfor on October 23, 2012 at 7:29 PM

Not to belabor an obvious point.

MITT has not donated to his campaign.

NOW IS THE TIME FOR HIM TO SINK 25 MILLION INTO HIS OWN CAMPAIGN

gerrym51 on October 23, 2012 at 7:29 PM

30 minutes with todays attention spans is a dumb idea. Chances are pretty good that folks who will watch that are already on your side. 60, 30 second spots would be smarter.

Bmore on October 23, 2012 at 7:31 PM

Do it Romney-Ryan! Do it

SauerKraut537 on October 23, 2012 at 7:21 PM

Not needed. It’s over. It’s over. It’s over.

Everybody. Be happy. Be calm. Math is hard, but math does not lie. Obama will lose. Romney will win. The only uncertainty is whether this will be a Romney landslide or Romney by as little as 4%.

Next election cycle, the pollsters will start hiding their internals too, so that you can’t calculate their D+ a million samples.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:32 PM

Not to belabor an obvious point.

MITT has not donated to his campaign.

NOW IS THE TIME FOR HIM TO SINK 25 MILLION INTO HIS OWN CAMPAIGN

gerrym51 on October 23, 2012 at 7:29 PM

According to Breitbart.com you’ve got it bass ackwards.

LevinFan on October 23, 2012 at 7:33 PM

Let’s see what RuPoll’s “gold standard” has to say:

IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll

Day 15: Oct. 23, 2012

Obama: +2.0
Obama 46.5% | Romney 44.5%

Sample: 37/30/32 D +7
MOE: +/- 3.5

* Obama’s lead over Romney eroded further in a polling taken the day of the final debate.

* Romney strengthened among males, going from a 1-point deficit two days ago to a 4-point lead.

* Likewise, Romney has gained 6 points among those described as “working class.”

* Romney also appears to have regained momentum among Catholic voters, among whom he was trailing three days ago, but has opened up an 8-point lead.

All of the movement is in Romney’s direction. I’m sure that RuPoll will tell us that, unlike his predicted Obama second-debate bounce, Obama’s third-debate bounce will materialise and reverse Romney’s momentum.

Resist We Much on October 23, 2012 at 7:38 PM

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:32 PM

I’m with you in thinking its over but lets see how the polls play the next week or so. We’ll know more as we move on but Obama’s performance in the final two debates could start to take hold.

I hate to be a negative Nellie but I don’t know what others are thinking.

You don’t let up on an opponent in war, and this is political war. Consider the 30 minute spot sticking the sword in your foe as he lays before you.

What is best in life?

SauerKraut537 on October 23, 2012 at 7:38 PM

LevinFan on October 23, 2012 at 7:33 PM

I knew mitt and his wife gave 75,000 each to the joint RNC/romney victory committee. this is NOT to his own campaign(under the law)

under the law he can donate ANY AMOUNT directly to his own campaign.

NOW IS THE TIME FOR MITT TO DONATE 25 MILLION TO HIS OWN CAMPAIGN

gerrym51 on October 23, 2012 at 7:45 PM

I don’t think anyone is saying “let up”….

I think as a campaign you just keep doing what you have done. Ad content form debate 3? Sure. 30 minutes? No.

How about a 30 second spot of all of the moderator and Obama interruptions? should be about 80 or 90. Precede that with Romney interruptions. Should be 10 maybe? Follow all of this will content from the three debates of Mitt laying out his plan. Follow that with non-existent content of Obama’s plan.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:49 PM

You know, if you guys post 3 polls in a row, it summons GumbyPokey.

STOP!

portlandon

Too late.

Agreed. Would Trump be stupid enough to do something that has the potential to backfire on Romney? Probably not, but his ego and desire to “stick it” to Obama may cloud his judgement.

mpthompson

Trump is a democrat. That alone is cause for concern.

xblade on October 23, 2012 at 7:50 PM

gerrym51 on October 23, 2012 at 7:45 PM

agree wholeheartedly

SauerKraut537 on October 23, 2012 at 7:51 PM

RNC’s sitting on $80M while the DNC is bankrupt. If the DON’T do it they are fools.

rayra on October 23, 2012 at 7:52 PM

Funny how the blogosphere and the pundits claim Romney will be responsible and suffer for Trumps actions, but if Gloria Bloom goes on the veejayjay warpath, it’s going to hurt Romney, and won’t look at all sleazy for Obama.

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:54 PM

How about a 30 hour spot?
Someone get a hold of Ken Burns.

connertown on October 23, 2012 at 7:56 PM

That couple made me tear up.

gophergirl on October 23, 2012 at 6:46 PM

The “Mitt and David” video above is a condensed version of the speech Mr. and Mrs. Oparowski gave at the Republican National Convention.

But because the Oparowski’s speech was early in the day, it was not included in the prime time national TV coverage and few people saw it.

Pam Finlayson’s speech at the convention about the compassion Mitt Romney and his family showed when her daughter was born 3 1/2 months early is another must see video.

Fair warning: Have a hanky handy to wipe away tears.

Here is a link to Pam Finlayson’s beautiful speech:

RNC 2012: Church Member Says Mitt Romney Devotes Life to ‘Quietly Serving Others’

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwjc9T4Rd98

If we all share these videos of how Mitt Romney helped the Oparowski and Finlayson families with all of our friends and family, perhaps we can save the Romney campaign the expense of running a 30 minute closing argument.

I don’t see anything in Barack Obama’s life that even comes close to the caring and compassion that Mitt Romney has displayed multiple times during his life.

Vote for Mitt Romney!

wren on October 23, 2012 at 7:57 PM

How about a 30 hour spot?
Someone get a hold of Ken Burns.

connertown on October 23, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Maybe a 30 hour spot of what the Dems were doing during the 100 years before the civil rights era? Couple of choice quotes from LBJ about how the Dems would get the “N” vote? Plus about 29 hours of b roll with pictures of Republican through history and as much slander as you can make up?

oldroy on October 23, 2012 at 7:59 PM

nolte of breitbart thinks it is a three-way hit.

Wright, Sully, Allred

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/23/Obama-unleashes-freak-show

Alternet is filled with anti-Mormon stuff, so the sully piece fits right in…(but, like this is really NOT news)

r keller on October 23, 2012 at 8:05 PM

As someone from Ohio I vote no on the 30 minute ad. I’m sick of the ads. Spend the money on GOTV in the battleground states.

buckichick1 on October 23, 2012 at 8:07 PM

Please leave the greek columns at home.

And throw in an appearance with a dog and cat since Americans love their pets…oh wait…that does not show gravitas….um…um..um..

Just show a photo of Moochelle and say “Do you really want 4 more of her…..when you can have her (photo of Ann R.)….oh wait….

Grab a gun and shoot a copy of Obamacare…oh wait…been done already.

Oh forget it.

Just be yourself.

“I’m President Romney, and I approve of this message.”

KirknBurker on October 23, 2012 at 8:09 PM

Do not endorse either World Series Team. It will divide America if you do.

KirknBurker on October 23, 2012 at 8:13 PM

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