Rasmussen: Get ready for a small Romney bump out of the second debate

posted at 11:21 am on October 19, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

Today’s presidential tracking poll from Rasmussen shows a two-point gain for Barack Obama, bringing him into a tie with Mitt Romney at 48/48.  At first blush, that looks as though Obama may have righted the ship after the second debate, but Rasmussen warns that the most recent surveys show momentum in the opposite direction:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

These updates are based upon nightly polling and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, roughly one-third of the interviews for today’s update were completed before Tuesday night’s presidential debate. In the two nights of polling conducted since the debate, Romney has a slight advantage. Tomorrow morning (Saturday) will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the second debate.

One has to know how tracking polls work in order to understand how Romney could be getting a bump while the overall number tracks the opposite direction.  Today’s result dropped the surveying that took place the day before the debate, which apparently wasn’t terribly good for Obama, and retains the day of the debate, which apparently was better for the incumbent President, at least relative to Romney.  The changes involved are relatively minor if one looks at the tracking history anyway.

However, Obama didn’t need to just trim Romney’s sails in that second debate.  He needed an outright victory over the Republican challenger in order to reverse the momentum that now appears to be a preference cascade.  And if Rasmussen is seeing improved standing for Romney in all three post-debate polls, Obama didn’t even achieve the sail-trimming objective.

That’s true with another Rasmussen poll released today.  While the race in Virginia remains very close, Romney has now hit the 50% mark as most voters have settled on their choice:

Mitt Romney has now hit the 50% mark in Virginia.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters, taken two nights after the second presidential debate, shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 47%. Two percent (2%) remain undecided. …

A week ago, Romney led 49% to 47% in Virginia. Prior to this survey, the candidates have been within two points or less of each other in every survey here since April.

Ninety-four percent (94%) of likely voters in the Old Dominion say they are certain to vote in this election. Among these voters, Romney leads 52% to 47%.

Romney is +3 with or without leaners.  With leaners, het gets 49% of the independent vote to Obama’s 45%, and amazingly, wins both men (51/47) and women (50/47).  Obama won Virginia in 2008 by six points, 53/47, while winning independents by one (49/48) but men and women by four and seven points, respectively.  Rasmussen uses an R+2 sample, 32/34/33; 2008′s exit polling was D+6 (39/33/27), but 2009′s gubernatorial election was R+4 at 33/37/30.  Independents ended up breaking 2-1 for the GOP in 2009, too — something to keep in mind when looking at late vote momentum.

If nothing else, one can assess at this point that the second presidential debate didn’t do anything to arrest Romney’s momentum — and that’s bad news for Obama as his foreign-policy position erodes ahead of the last debate on Monday.


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Now that’s Optimal.

FlaMurph on October 19, 2012 at 11:23 AM

The dumbest commenter on HA will have a seizure.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:23 AM

https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/259310680635744256

NumbersMuncher ‏@NumbersMuncher

Rasmussen has Romney up 5 in FL, 51-46. Taken post second-debate. Romney up 13 w/ indys. Was R+4 last week.

INC on October 19, 2012 at 11:24 AM

If they’re within the margin of error the incumbent loses.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:24 AM

Obama – A man caused disaster..

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:24 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

RCP has VA now in the Romney column.

Happy days are coming, folks.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Great read

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Uh-oh. Oy, Gumby! You got some spinning and propaganda dealin’ to do in here!

Gingotts on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Hear that sound, gumby? It’s the incoming landslide against Obama.

Do us all a favor, and stand in front of it.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:26 AM

That is all good news…bad news – approximately half of this great country needs a lobotomy

runner on October 19, 2012 at 11:26 AM

Chris Matthews’ face at the Catholic dinner in NY last night told the entire story. He knows his boy is history.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:26 AM

If nothing else, one can assess at this point that the second presidential debate didn’t do anything to arrest Romney’s momentum — and that’s bad news for Obama as his foreign-policy position erodes ahead of the last debate on Monday.

Well that puts Obama in a bind…..er.

Doughboy on October 19, 2012 at 11:27 AM

Gingotts on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

It’s good for HA Capitalism!

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:27 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

case in point to my previous post

runner on October 19, 2012 at 11:27 AM

Keep going for the jugular Mitt

No complacency now

cmsinaz on October 19, 2012 at 11:28 AM

Empty suit running on empty.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Subtract the Gumby lean…
And it is a virtual tie..

Remember….vote on Nov. 7th..

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Only the fat lady’s yet to sing.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

The meekness of this comment is gratifying.

lorien1973 on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Now that’s Optimal.

FlaMurph on October 19, 2012 at 11:23 AM

Not really. Optimal would be zero votes for the zero. But I get your point.

jwolf on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Winning Florida would be nice

Winning Virginia would be nice

But Romney must win Ohio to have a chance and he’s losing there.

And then even if he gets the miracle and gets Ohio, he needs NH, CO or IA.

That’s a much tougher road to victory than Obama has.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

And don’t forget, Rasmussen is using a D +5 weighting in his polls despite his own figure showing the electorate to be R +4 with almost double digit enthusiasm advantage to Republicans.

If this makes sense to anyone, please share with me. If Republicans lead on party affiliation and lead on enthusiasm, why is a Dem +5 turnout model being cooked in? I must be missing something.

I believe THE reason Gallup has Romney up by more is that they are simply NOT baking in a D +4 or better turnout model. I believe they are doing this to get ahead of the curve. They see a Republican wave coming and want to be the ones to say they are the first to see it coming.

Gallup is baking in Republican enthusiasm while no one else is.

mitchellvii on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Schadenfreude..

Tingles will be on a tear today..mitt was disrespectful towards Obama yada yada yada (despite him laughing at mitts jokes )

cmsinaz on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Obama is Chauncey Gardner, always was, except the former was not maliciously destructive.

Being There is a great movie, for any political time.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Cascade slowly turns to avalanche…..

dogsoldier on October 19, 2012 at 11:32 AM

That’s a much tougher road to victory than Obama has.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Just bumps in the road..

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Romney needs to come out strong in the last debate. Don’t let wording get in the way. Call the president out on his BS.

Zaggs on October 19, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Winning Florida would be nice

Winning Virginia would be nice

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

We’ve gone from FL And VA as “definite wins” for Obama to “would be nice” in like 2 days.

lorien1973 on October 19, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Tingles will be on a tear today..mitt was disrespectful towards Obama yada yada yada (despite him laughing at mitts jokes )

cmsinaz on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Last night, in that room, the media and others kissed Mitt’s azz, not Obama’s. They know, they know.

There was one president in that room and it wasn’t the tiny man.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:32 AM

The markets are crashing today. Not good signs for Obama.
Just shows no one has any faith in the economy’s present trajectory.

tkyang99 on October 19, 2012 at 11:32 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Rasmussen Swing State Poll

Romney: 49%
Obama: 47%

sentinelrules on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

RCP has VA now in the Romney column.

Happy days are coming, folks.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Also just one 2 week old WMUR poll keeping New Hampshire from flipping.

Gingotts on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

This election will not be close. The polls mean little as people lie to the pollsters like never before.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

I thought you said that those states were an Obama lock. What happened?

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Indeed he is. That’s very good news for an incumbent who’s spent hundreds of millions over the past several months trashing his opponent…to be up 1 in a tracking poll without leaners.

I think it’s over, folks. /

changer1701 on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

0 will win no more than 18 states. 43%. It’s all but over for him.

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Winning Florida would be nice

Winning Virginia would be nice

But Romney must win Ohio to have a chance and he’s losing there.

And then even if he gets the miracle and gets Ohio, he needs NH, CO or IA.

That’s a much tougher road to victory than Obama has.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Not really. Romney is locking down VA and FL(NC was decided months ago). So now he has to get O-I-H-O and one more state. NH, WI, or CO seem to be ripe for the picking.

Obama on the other hand has to hold onto PA and MI. Likely, but not a sure thing by any stretch. He also either has to win OH or hang onto all of the remaining swing states, CO, NH, NV, WI, and IA.

Now I ask you objectively, whose situation would you rather be in right now?

Doughboy on October 19, 2012 at 11:35 AM

Also just one 2 week old WMUR poll keeping New Hampshire from flipping.

Gingotts on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

Ignore that fake WMUR poll. I keep telling ya, NH flipped red in 2010 and stayed that way. No way skippy wins NH. Or Maine.

dogsoldier on October 19, 2012 at 11:36 AM

Oh yeah schadenfreude

:)

cmsinaz on October 19, 2012 at 11:37 AM

Gumby, will you cry when your messiah loses?

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:37 AM

That’s a much tougher road to victory than Obama has.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Remember when you were claiming just days ago how 0bama was going to win in an atomic blow out?

No, I didn’t think so.

cozmo on October 19, 2012 at 11:38 AM

It’s been sad for me to read gumby’s posts in this past week…

…that’s because he goes from day to day, hour to hour grasping at any/all poll or survey or news bit to bolster his failing confidence in Obama. Only to realize that what was grasped was wrong, misconstrued or just plain lacked the impact gumby thought it would have.

Much like a drowning man in a sea of debris desperately grabbing bits of flotsam and jetsam but discarding each one because they won’t keep him afloat.

The whole election was building toward a pivot point and that point came in the first debate.

Now that we are PAST that point, Obama is also PAST the point of no return.

There may be minor “hiccups” in the general movement, but the momentum is slow and steady and unstoppable.

Religious_Zealot on October 19, 2012 at 11:38 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

“the post brought to you by the letter O and the number
16,000,000,000,000″ (sorry to be stealing gov, but just too good of a line …)

runner on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

You know our poll troll isn’t bothering me today. Wonder why :)

One more debate Romney – one more to finish this thing up.

gophergirl on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

Gallup is baking in Republican enthusiasm while no one else is.

one caveat however. i read an article on this gallup poll. with the country divided by north,east south,west

South Romney +22
east OBAMA +4
west obama +4
midwest obama +4

now there is no historical anlysis how region plays out in prior elections. no candidate up in gallup in october has ever lost though

gerrym51 on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

Only the fat lady’s yet to sing.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

CNN has Eat Crowley practicing her lyrics…

hillsoftx on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

“the post brought to you by the letter O and the number
16,000,000,000,000″ (sorry to be stealing gov, but just too good of a line …)

runner on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

That was my favorite line!

gophergirl on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

“This election will not be close. The polls mean little as people lie to the pollsters like never before.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM”

What a pile of crap.

If Romney is truly ahead, the best thing Republicans can do is answer every freaking poll they get, and put Mitt out in front of Obama for all to see. Then you blunt the “air of invincibility” that Obama still has (look at intrade).

The best thing for Romney would for him to be ahead in Ras, PPP, IBD, GAllup and all the network polls. Lying to pollsters accomplishes the exact opposite.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

Romney will win,OH, PA and WI.

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:40 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

LOL. Where were you yesterday? Everyone was asking about you… some of us were genuinely worried. Were you in a top secret meeting with some VIPs in Wisconsin politics? You still haven’t answered my question from yesterday: Do you think Obama can win the EC with only 47% of the popular vote?

happytobehere on October 19, 2012 at 11:40 AM

Unfortunately, Romney will need a bigger winning margin to drag Allen across the finish line. Without control of the senate, a Romney victory might not make much of an improvement in the economy.

Bob in VA on October 19, 2012 at 11:40 AM

FL: R 51% O 46%… DEVELOPING…

Resist We Much on October 19, 2012 at 11:41 AM

Winning Florida would be nice

Winning Virginia would be nice

But Romney must win Ohio to have a chance and he’s losing there.

And then even if he gets the miracle and gets Ohio, he needs NH, CO or IA.

That’s a much tougher road to victory than Obama has.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Wait a minute, I thought whoever wins Ohio wins the Presidency? Isn’t that what you said a couple of weeks ago?

MobileVideoEngineer on October 19, 2012 at 11:41 AM

…that’s because he goes from day to day, hour to hour grasping at any/all poll or survey or news bit to bolster his failing confidence in Obama. Only to realize that what was grasped was wrong, misconstrued or just plain lacked the impact gumby thought it would have.

does sound like US in september though-just being fair

lol

gerrym51 on October 19, 2012 at 11:41 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

It’s over, gumby. The messiah has lost and will be heading back to Hawaii.

Punchenko on October 19, 2012 at 11:41 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

I just heard on the radio that Romney is up in PA! So is Smith, who is running against Casey for the Senate!

Night Owl on October 19, 2012 at 11:41 AM

On November 7, gumby is gonna’ look like Big Tex does now.

Too bad for Big Tex.

cozmo on October 19, 2012 at 11:42 AM

“the post brought to you by the letter O and the number
16,000,000,000,000″ (sorry to be stealing gov, but just too good of a line …)

runner on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

That was my favorite line!

gophergirl on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

It was the best line of the event. gg, thanks for the link to the gown, my better half really enjoyed! ; )

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:42 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

The fear in you is strong.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:42 AM

“South Romney +22
east OBAMA +4
west obama +4
midwest obama +4″

Wow. Obama wins with those numbers.

That breakdown would make a popular vote/electoral college split very possible.

Didn’t see that info before. Thanks.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Lying to pollsters accomplishes the exact opposite.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

Not optimal.

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:43 AM

It was the best line of the event. gg, thanks for the link to the gown, my better half really enjoyed! ; )

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:42 AM

You and your better half are most welcome. I’m sure she liked it – it was stunning.

gophergirl on October 19, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Let’s wait until Nov 7 to party hard. In the meantime, keep working.

bayview on October 19, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Didn’t see that info before. Thanks.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:43 AM

Your welcome…

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

You know, you would be useful as a human drill with all the spinning you do.

Are you dizzy yet?

Bitter Clinger on October 19, 2012 at 11:44 AM

Well folks, dinner time, enjoy the clay figurine. He won’t be around much longer. ; )

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:44 AM

You’re welcome…
That is..

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:44 AM

If they’re within the margin of error the incumbent loses.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:24 AM

If they are within margin of fraud, the incumbent wins.

Archivarix on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

“gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

LOL. Where were you yesterday? Everyone was asking about you… some of us were genuinely worried. Were you in a top secret meeting with some VIPs in Wisconsin politics? You still haven’t answered my question from yesterday: Do you think Obama can win the EC with only 47% of the popular vote?

happytobehere on October 19, 2012 at 11:40 AM”

I was here yesterday.

And looking at the Gallup breakdown, which I had never seen, it would be very possible for Obama to win the EC and lose the popular vote.

With 47%…no, that’s stretching it.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Ahead of Election, President Stops Releasing ‘Stimulus’ Reports…

I wonder why.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

A bump has a downside. I’d rather think that the gains Mssrs Romney and Ryan have made have not been mere bumps, but will persist even as voters leave the voting booth.

unclesmrgol on October 19, 2012 at 11:46 AM

changer1701 on October 19, 2012 at 11:33 AM

I’ve been thinking this for a while now – just look at what each campaign is doing. Romney looks like someone that is preparing to win while Obama just looks, well, apathetic. Still going through the motions but deep down knows that the party is just about over. His internals have been bad for awhile I’d suspect – the campaigns have polling that is better than any of the info produced by the bigs for public consumption. They see trends weeks and months out and their polling is VERY precise (like down to the township level precise). Barring some crazy event, Romney pretty has this in the bag at this point. Count it.

volnation on October 19, 2012 at 11:46 AM

Winning Florida would be nice

Winning Virginia would be nice

But Romney must win Ohio to have a chance and he’s losing there.

And then even if he gets the miracle and gets Ohio, he needs NH, CO or IA.

That’s a much tougher road to victory than Obama has.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:31 AM

Reading the dozens of non-sensical posts that this troll writes on a daily basis is like watching an Obama speech or debate. A lot of shifting promises and lies, masked by talk that seeks to exhibit competence, but shows no basic understanding of the subject matter.

milcus on October 19, 2012 at 11:46 AM

If they are within margin of fraud, the incumbent wins.

Archivarix on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

The American people know this, instinctively. It ain’t gon’ be close.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:46 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

He’s at the grasping at straws phase. Next week, he’ll be sitting in the corner, weeping and staring at a HOPE poster.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:46 AM

Ahead of Election, President Stops Releasing ‘Stimulus’ Reports…

I wonder why.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Probably stores them in binders.

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

Wait a minute, I thought whoever wins Ohio wins the Presidency? Isn’t that what you said a couple of weeks ago?

MobileVideoEngineer on October 19, 2012 at 11:41 AM

What? You mean the broomstick of the Wicked Witch isn’t enough?

unclesmrgol on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

With all the southern enthusiasm we’re seeing, has anyone measured New Mexico lately, or it is too far gone into Old Mexico territory to be a real battleground?

Archivarix on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

NumbersMuncher ‏@NumbersMuncher
Rasmussen has Obama up 2 in WI, 50-48. Same margin as last week’s poll. This is post second-debate. O up w/indys, Romney up on economy.
Expand Reply Retweet Favorite

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

Chris Matthews’ face at the Catholic dinner in NY last night told the entire story. He knows his boy is history.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:26 AM

You noticed, too. Not only Chrissie’s face, but when Hussein mentioned him as a “heart attack victim” that was more than a joke. Couric gave Chrissie this glance that said it all at the time…

riddick on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

It is over for Barack.

Starting next summer liberals/Marxist, will see what a REAL recovery looks like.

Companies will Finally be ALLOWED to give their employees pay raises, and hire more workers.

BroncosRock on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

I never thought I’d see a day where our only hope was Mitt, but damn I hope he wins and wins it decisively.

J.H. on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

I was here yesterday.

And looking at the Gallup breakdown, which I had never seen, it would be very possible for Obama to win the EC and lose the popular vote.

With 47%…no, that’s stretching it.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

I’m convinced you are either Stephanie Cutter or that new red head shrill speaking spokesperson for Obama.

The spin is just amazing.

gophergirl on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

SSDD. Obama’s getting crushed via Indys. Monday’s debate will be the final blow.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Well folks, dinner time, enjoy the clay figurine. He won’t be around much longer. ; )

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:44 AM

In Europe :)

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Ahead of Election, President Stops Releasing ‘Stimulus’ Reports…

I wonder why.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Probably stores them in binders.

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:47 AM

Easier to move larger sums this way. They will steal way more in the last 2 months of his golf vacation.

riddick on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Unfortunately, Romney will need a bigger winning margin to drag Allen across the finish line. Without control of the senate, a Romney victory might not make much of an improvement in the economy.

Bob in VA on October 19, 2012 at 11:40 AM

The Senate races have been very frustrating. You have a lot of Dem candidates in sure thing Romney states, or even leaning Romney, once again pretending to be moderate, “independent” voices…and people in these states seem to be buying it. MT, IN, ND…these shouldn’t be close.

changer1701 on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

Then you blunt the “air of invincibility” that Obama still has (look at intrade).

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

You do realize Intrade had Kerry beating Bush 90-10 a week before the election, right?

Washington Nearsider on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

Only the fat lady’s yet to sing.

Schadenfreude on October 19, 2012 at 11:29 AM

Are you referring to Moochelle???…

PatriotRider on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

What a pile of crap.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

U mad, bro?

JPeterman on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

I am not greedy, I will take a small 1% bump every week until election…no problem with that at all…

right2bright on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

RCP has VA now in the Romney column.

Happy days are coming, folks.

wargamer6 on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Not yet–the RCP average in VA went from Obama +0.8 to a tie, after including Rasmussen’s 50-47 for Romney. But things are going in the right direction, after the second debate. Maybe the voters didn’t think to highly of “eye Candy’s” interruptions, and have a lot of questions about Obummer’s handling of the Libya debacle.

Steve Z on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

“air of invincibility” that Obama still has (look at intrade).

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:39 AM

The altitude in Denver put your boy King to sleep and the winds of political fortune haven’t been blowing his way since. That haughty air may be all Barry has left before he goes on a ventilator.

Slainte on October 19, 2012 at 11:49 AM

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

Do you have plans for what you’re going to do after the election? Do you have anything else lined up?

a capella on October 19, 2012 at 11:50 AM

Bmore on October 19, 2012 at 11:34 AM

Dangerous Learning Curve after Leaving the Media Track.

Yes, VA is about done. It is only Ohio (or however you spell that) with a string holding it in O’s camp.

Another scandal or appearance by Biden and the Republicans are heading for 300 EV’s. .

I thank God that the public heard the debates. You guys are so well informed that you can’t appreciate the learning which has taken place in recent weeks. I could write a book.

IlikedAUH2O on October 19, 2012 at 11:50 AM

With 47%…no, that’s stretching it.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:45 AM

There you go.

Now just lie back and think of England.

happytobehere on October 19, 2012 at 11:50 AM

Obama is actually +1 on Rasmussen without leaners.

gumbyandpokey on October 19, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Can’t wait for 3 days from now seeing, “well 3 days ago Obama was up 1 without leaners, and he won the debate so,… you know…”.

I almost want to see a Downfall Hitler’s bunker parody of you liberals.

Reality – “Romney is on the offensive, we have no reserves, IN is lost, NC is lost, our lines in WI and IA are being penetrated,…”

Hitler – “Just have Florida attack from the north, it’ll be good”

Reality – “Florida is under fierce assault and can only retreat”

Hitler – “Then have Colorado and Nevada attack from the south, hit Romney in the rear”

Reality – “Colorado and Nevada are doing all they can to not be surrounded by Romney”

Hitler – Then have Ohio come from the west, Ohio will save us”

Reality – “Ohio is going in the wrong direction, it can’t save us”

Hitler – *fits and raging* “I told you to turn Ohio around, that is an order. You’ll all see, I’ll be right. Ohio will come…”

Hitler – “Ohio will come.”

Somehow I imagine gumby will be mumbling “Ohio will come” in his sleep soon.

jarodea on October 19, 2012 at 11:50 AM

gumby, if Obama is doing so well, then how do you explain that he dropped 3 points on inTrade this morning?

The markets are in meltdown. AMD is laying off 15% of its workforce. Even Apple is tanking. No one thinks the economy is going to get any better.

The fatal blow for Obama will be the horrible Nov jobs report, and gumby and the dems know this though they won’t admit it.

tkyang99 on October 19, 2012 at 11:50 AM

Companies will Finally be ALLOWED to give their employees pay raises, and hire more workers.

BroncosRock on October 19, 2012 at 11:48 AM

Gumby ain’t complaining

Electrongod on October 19, 2012 at 11:50 AM

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