Surprise! Jobless claims return to 18-month range …
posted at 9:21 am on October 18, 2012 by Ed Morrissey
It’s funny what happens to a data series when consistency returns to its collection. Last week’s weekly jobless claims numbers dropped dramatically to nearly a four-year low, but later it was discovered that one large state didn’t report all of its claims properly. This week, the level returns to the same range we’ve seen since the spring of 2011:
In the week ending October 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 388,000, an increase of 46,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 342,000. The 4-week moving average was 365,500, an increase of 750 from the previous week’s revised average of 364,750.
The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.5 percent for the week ending October 6, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point from the prior week’s unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemploymentduring the week ending October 6 was 3,252,000, a decrease of 29,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,281,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,275,500, a decrease of 5,750 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,281,250.
The Associated Press confirms that California bolloxed up the works, and that the data series is back on track:
Weekly applications for U.S. unemployment benefits jumped 46,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 388,000, the highest in four months. The increase represents a rebound from the previous week’s sharp drop. Both swings were largely due to technical factors. …
Last week, California reported a large drop in applications, pushing down the overall figure to the lowest since February 2008. This week, it reported a significant increase as it processed applications delayed from the previous week.
A department spokesman says the seasonally adjusted numbers “are being distorted … by an issue of timing.”
In other words, nothing really changed. Initial jobless claims are being created at about the same relative pace as it has for at least the last 18 months; although this is the highest number we’ve seen in the last four months, it’s not statistically significant from the series to be exceptional. This series does not provide a direct correlation to job creation, but over time this data series does have some indirect correlation to the health of job creation in the economy. What this tells us over the long term is that the labor market is still stagnant.
Amusingly, CNBC initially had this story on its breaking-news ticker with the phrase “unexpectedly rises.”
This is perhaps the most expected rise we’ve seen in this data series, thanks to the widespread knowledge of the faulty data reporting in last week’s numbers.
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What possible sense is there in “aborting” a baby once it is viable? All of the work of pregnancy is over; people already know you were pregnant; so far as I know, no law forces you to keep the baby instead of sending it to social services for adoption. There is no coherent rationale for late-term infanticide except “I just don’t want to deal with it”.
It sounds like there were many cases where the mother was not, in fact, the one making the decision. So, what does the “pro-choice” label really mean?
Bravo.
AesopFan on April 16, 2013 at 3:57 PM
I never thought I’d see the day Kirsten Powers was more conservative than Megan Kelly.
Fox has become a disgrace. At least Martha is still good.
AmeriCuda on April 16, 2013 at 4:04 PM
Well for one thing, it’s a moneymaker.
2L8 on April 16, 2013 at 4:17 PM
Can you link to this? I’m gathering and highlighting on my Facebook page. Generating quite a discussion.
cptacek on April 16, 2013 at 4:17 PM
If doing calculus was the litmus test of if someone should live or not, wowee, imagine the carnage that would generate.
However, when babies are born, they recognize their mothers. If the doctor whispers in one ear and the mother whispers in the other, they will turn to try to look at the mother. Even if the doctor is a woman, so that the modulation of the voice is not a factor. Same too with the father, if the father was around during the pregnancy. They can hear and recognize familiar sounds when they haven’t been born yet.
If your baby is breach, one technique to try to turn the baby is to shine a flashlight through the skin at the bottom of your tummy. It doesn’t always work, but the reasoning is that their eyes see the light and try to investigate it.
Their brains are working in utero. Even if they aren’t doing calculus.
cptacek on April 16, 2013 at 4:23 PM
I’ll wager that the relationship between this fellow Gosnell and madam Holder will soon be covered under Executive Privledge.
Any takers?
Missilengr on April 16, 2013 at 4:25 PM
Her abortion clinic appears to be in Georgia instead of PA.
Cindy Munford on April 16, 2013 at 4:32 PM
I’ve lived a good life, I’m going to volunteer to check out before I have to do anything beyond simple math.
Cindy Munford on April 16, 2013 at 4:33 PM
Yes! The right wing should propose laws to lock up every woman and doctor involved in any abortion. Best solution.
HotAirLib on April 16, 2013 at 4:58 PM
The vast majority of adults I’ve ever met in my whole life couldn’t do calculus to save their lives. Are you suggesting they should be required to?
There is no limit that you will ever accept as a pro-abortionist. You call yourself pro-choice, but care nothing for the choices of 2 of the 3 people involved in the practice, the father and the child. The father can’t decide to keep the baby if the mother doesn’t want it and he can’t choose to ignore it if she does. He still has to pay child support.
The child, on the other hand, would only make one choice while still in the womb. To live. Could you possibly disagree with this? If so, the only way you will ever convince me is to off yourself. Go ahead, show us the depth of your own convictions.
runawayyyy on April 16, 2013 at 5:02 PM
Aren’t you the least bit concerned of the sheer numbers of women who can’t make a pro choice before conception? Hmmmm, maybe that explains liberals after all.
Cindy Munford on April 16, 2013 at 5:08 PM
“I’ve noticed that everyone who is for abortion has already been born.” –Ronald Reagan
“You first” is also an effective response to the envirofreaks who believe that humanity is a cancer on the planet and that we should voluntarily reduce our own ranks.
Of course, it is all part of the same thinking. The ruling class deciding who gets to live and who doesn’t.
Missy on April 16, 2013 at 5:31 PM
Well, I guess you can kill most children up until the age of rational thought of around age 12.
http://www.learningrx.com/4-cognitive-stages-for-child-development-faq.htm
If you believe that, you need to be arrested for being a danger to society……IOW, “commitable”.
avagreen on April 16, 2013 at 5:48 PM
You apparently didn’t learn anything from the turtle lesson.
Lets start over:
Why is it a felony to smash turtle eggs?
BobMbx on April 16, 2013 at 5:52 PM
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MichaelGabriel on April 16, 2013 at 5:55 PM
??
avagreen on April 16, 2013 at 6:11 PM
I think . . . those are tombstones.
Axe on April 16, 2013 at 6:19 PM
Got it.
What a great graphic once the message is clear. What a contrast……
avagreen on April 16, 2013 at 7:15 PM
Won’t work Cindy. The vampires must defend their “right” to thirst. They thrive on the death of innocence, whether killing babies to sexualizing our youth…
dominigan on April 16, 2013 at 7:18 PM
How about something REALLY simple — like a fetal viability law with teeth. Every abortion must be attended by two doctors — the doctor for the mother (the abortionist), and the doctor for the children (a obstetrician). The abortionist is restricted to using methods which will not reduce the viability of the fetus, and the obstetrician is there to assure that he doesn’t.
Of course, this would mean that someone other than the parents or the abortion mill must provide the obstetrician, because those don’t give a rat’s patootie about the rights of the children.
The fees perhaps should come as a tax on abortions.
unclesmrgol on April 16, 2013 at 7:23 PM
So very sad.
Cindy Munford on April 16, 2013 at 9:08 PM
.
Conservatives don’t have to propose/make laws specifying penalties.
They just need to lawfully define a “fetus” as a REAL, LIVE PERSON.
The rest is up to judges and juries.
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People cannot escape the consequences of sexual intercourse.
Women cannot escape the scientific, medical fact that they are designed (by a higher intelligence) to develop newly conceived little REAL, LIVE PERSONS within the reproductive organ in their bodies.
listens2glenn on April 16, 2013 at 10:50 PM
The problem with your argument is that a fetus is not a part of a woman’s body. A fetus is a unique, separate entity that attaches itself, and grows inside the mother.
HarryBackside on April 17, 2013 at 10:56 AM
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