Romney edge expands post-debate in Rasmussen tracking poll

posted at 10:41 am on October 18, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

The Left seemed pretty pleased with Barack Obama’s performance in Tuesday night’s debate, cheering his renewed energy and aggressiveness.  How did it play with voters overall?  The spot polls produced mixed results, generally agreeing with most pundits that it had been a draw.  Today’s Rasmussen tracking poll shows Obama falling slightly further behind as the first post-debate data gets added to the mix:

 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history. …

These updates are based upon nightly polling and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, roughly two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were completed before Tuesday night’s presidential debate. Saturday morning will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the second debate. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

Interestingly, Romney’s 49% is solid with or without leaners.  Without leaners, Obama only gets to 46%. Among those “certain” to vote, Romney leads 46/44.  Republicans now have an eight-point advantage on enthusiasm, 83/75, with independents nearly as enthused as Democrats at 72%.

Party loyalty is about even between the two candidates, but Romney leads by nine points among independents, which Obama won in 2008 by eight points.  With leaners, Romney’s above the majority mark among these unaffiliated voters, 51/42. Obama has a narrow lead among millenials (49/46) and a much wider lead among thirtysomethings (56/36), but those are also the least enthusiastic age demos at 61% and 59%, respectively.  Romney has wide leads in the other age demos, which have enthusiasm numbers ranging from 84%-88%.

Also, the gender gap now favors Romney rather than Obama.  In 2008′s exit polling, Obama won women by 13 points and men by one for a +14 gender gap over John McCain and a seven-point victory overall.  In the tracking poll data, Rasmussen reports that Obama only leads among women by four and trails among men by 10 for a -6 gender gap.  That’s a flip of 19 points, combined with a 17-point flip among independents.

Those are daunting numbers for Obama.  Combine those with the enthusiasm changes since 2008, and it’s not difficult to imagine that Romney’s actual lead might be significantly wider than the +2 overall here.  At least in the first round of data, it doesn’t appear that the debate on Tuesday night did Obama any good.


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Chuck Schick on October 18, 2012 at 12:01 PM

Clean up on Aisle 5!

Resist We Much on October 18, 2012 at 12:10 PM

Actually, people did see what was coming, and the GOP actually underperformed in the Senate races.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:18 AM

You’re not even a very good troll.

http://thehill.com/homenews/house/98839-bring-it-on-says-pelosi

eyedoc on October 18, 2012 at 12:10 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

Dude.

You mean the two guys in that FedEx ad? They don’t count.

Stick to phony polls. And be sure to be here the night of November 6th. We’ll bring plenty of tissues for you.

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on October 18, 2012 at 12:11 PM

You need to start issuing “Spew Alerts.”

Resist We Much on October 18, 2012 at 12:06 PM

Actually the “spewing” was part of his meeting with the VERY popular politician in WI.

Something to do with fapping to the old, fading Hope poster on his basement wall.

HumpBot Salvation on October 18, 2012 at 12:11 PM

Chuck Schick on October 18, 2012 at 12:01 PM

That is some devastating stuff. Poor guy.

happytobehere on October 18, 2012 at 12:11 PM

Watch out. Mika got into it with Scarborough this morning about ‘Bindergate’. They are pumping the whole ‘binder’ thing to keep it in the media cycle. Now rumors of Allred. They’re scheming up something.

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 12:12 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

HAHAHAHAH!

ShadowsPawn on October 18, 2012 at 12:12 PM

PERR just doesn’t have the same ring as PEBO, jes’ sayin’. :)

Bob's Kid on October 18, 2012 at 12:13 PM

Watch out. Mika got into it with Scarborough this morning about ‘Bindergate’. They are pumping the whole ‘binder’ thing to keep it in the media cycle. Now rumors of Allred. They’re scheming up something.

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 12:12 PM

What is Allred going to do – sue Romney?

Yeah that will go over well.

gophergirl on October 18, 2012 at 12:14 PM

RCP EV map now has Romney leading for the first time I’ve seen 206 to 201 with 131 toss up.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

peski on October 18, 2012 at 12:15 PM

The Romney campaign’s idea of GOTV is “voter contacts” which is nothing more than phone calls, mailers, and some door knocks. That does not get voters to the polls, which is why Romney is getting swamped in early voting in states like Ohio and Iowa. Here in WI, the Obama campaign has people coming in to get people to the polls while the Romney campaign has zero plans to do any of that when early voting starts.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:42 AM

LOL Once again you have no idea what you’re talking about. 2 Saturdays ago the GOP had over 124,000 people out on the streets – just in Florida.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 12:15 PM

some may pokey gumby where it hurts

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 12:15 PM

Watch out. Mika got into it with Scarborough this morning about ‘Bindergate’. They are pumping the whole ‘binder’ thing to keep it in the media cycle. Now rumors of Allred. They’re scheming up something.

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 12:12 PM

Awesome O’Butthead! Focus on the binders!

Surely a can’t miss strategery \\

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on October 18, 2012 at 12:16 PM

Ruh roh. Even bringing in shill Mount Cowley wasn’t enough.

Sleazy Holder may have to enact plan B vote fraud… not that he hasn’t already.

viking01 on October 18, 2012 at 12:16 PM

What is Allred going to do – sue Romney?

Yeah that will go over well.

gophergirl on October 18, 2012 at 12:14 PM

No probably trot out some Binder chick saying mistreated or something, or a maid like she did with Whitman. Remember the press and Lib memo your guilty till proven innocent

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 12:17 PM

I probably shouldn’t say this but if I were Mitt I would be making sure that my security detail was beefed up. I do not trust the left at all.

bgibbs1000 on October 18, 2012 at 12:19 PM

How do you spell ‘landslide’?

faraway on October 18, 2012 at 12:09 PM

ATOMIC

Now forgive me, I’m off to have lunch with Ringo Starr and his brother-in-law Joe Walsh.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:19 PM

andpokeygumbo,

Notwithstanding Ms Clinton’s skirts to hide behind and “I take full responsibility” etal. How hard would it be for Pres. Obama to advise U.S. that the youtube vid played no part in Amb. Stephens death. Once that is clear the reasons Amb. Stephens and other Americans were left on their on in a pure ambush death trap.

What was Amb.Stephens doing in a war zone controled by islamic thugs with possible control of unknown high tech American arms handed to them by orders from the U.S. Comander in Chief Pres. (Democrat) Obama.

Try that with facts or good rebutal with out name calling.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 12:20 PM

OT, listening to Barky live in Manchester, NH right now. Did anyone know that being a WOMAN is not a pre-existing condition?

Huh, you should hear the drivel. That and “Don’t Boo, Vote” he has already said that a couple of times.

I did see a great sign along the motorcade route in front of a small business, Mr. President, We Did Build This. Nice. All the way around the back side of the airport is industrial zone loaded with small businesses, not an Obama sign in sight but plenty of Romney ones!

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:20 PM

What is Allred going to do – sue Romney?

Yeah that will go over well.

gophergirl on October 18, 2012 at 12:14 PM

A couple of weeks ago I said to be prepared for All-RED to rear her ugly head, with the DEMwits refurbished crap about the “war on women” I’m not surprised to hear there’s rumblings of something from her.

And remember, she didn’t have to sue Cain, just the accusations alone was enough to knock him out of the race.

All we can do is hope people are smart enough to see that any last ditch attempt by All-RED to smear Romney is nothing more than a desperation move by the Dems.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 12:21 PM

This election cycle is a mirror image of the one in 1980 where Reagan was underperforming in the electoral map yet barely ahead in the general election.

The problem with polls is that they do a very poor job of predicting shifts in turnout. Most of the polls out there today are basing their numbers on a 2008 or at least close turnout.

Romney is going to paint the entire country red. He isn’t just going to win Ohio and Colorado. He’s going to win blue states like WI too.

jhffmn on October 18, 2012 at 12:21 PM

Romney has now taken the Electoral College lead per RCP:

Romney: 206
Obama: 201

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

sentinelrules on October 18, 2012 at 12:22 PM

All the way around the back side of the airport is industrial zone loaded with small businesses, not an Obama sign in sight but plenty of Romney ones!

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:20 PM

Good to hear.

That back side of the Manchester Airport also has a hidden gem, namely the Aviation Museum of New Hampshire. Check it out if you’re ever in the neighborhood.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:25 PM

Good to hear.

That back side of the Manchester Airport also has a hidden gem, namely the Aviation Museum of New Hampshire. Check it out if you’re ever in the neighborhood.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:25 PM

You are so right Del, my office is less that 1/2 mile from it.

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:27 PM

The American People are re-painting the entire country red.

Romney is just the brush we are using.

Romeny will find out real fast that it is a new America he and other Presidents and the Senate and House will be dealing with for a long long time.

U.S.A.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 12:27 PM

People lie when they have no other options.

The fact gumby is on here day and night lying his face off is a positive leading indicator.

Chuck Schick on October 18, 2012 at 12:01 PM

Gee, one gumby post seconds after you post that, and now no more sign of him. What a coincidence.

peski on October 18, 2012 at 12:28 PM

As for gumby… I wouldn’t take advice from anyone who isn’t smart enought to use the quote feature on a blog.

Just sayin.

Ampersand on October 18, 2012 at 12:28 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

Your girlfriend from the summer lives in Canada, doesn’t she? She’s super hot though, but we wouldn’t know her…

happytobehere on October 18, 2012 at 12:29 PM

tweet from Drudge

MATT DRUDGEVerified‏@DRUDGE

Here she comes. Hearing Gloria Allred out there again, about to make a move. After all, it’s her time of the campaign. Team O at the ready!!

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 12:29 PM

Real Americans have taken the lead in the Electoral Collage.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 12:29 PM

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:25 PM

You are so right Del, my office is less that 1/2 mile from it.

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:27 PM

Haven’t had a chance to check it out since their recent expansion but hope to get there soon! Last time I was there (early 2011?) they had just started the new addition to the original building.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:30 PM

Once, back during the WI recalls this past summer, I was on Twitter when Michelle Malkin was rallying the grassroots. I made a simple tweet, nothing special. I came back a couple of hours later to find that it was retweeted by Rebecca Kleefisch. I remember thinking that with all of the recall attention on both sides, the #Rally4Rebecca tag Michelle Malkin had trending, the supporters and the trolls, that my minor tweet of encouragement from my piddling little account with all of three followers managed to get attention.

What does all this mean? Absolutely nothing. But its a heck of a lot closer to contact with a popular Wisconsin politician than ol’ gumby has ever had.

Gingotts on October 18, 2012 at 12:33 PM

Haven’t had a chance to check it out since their recent expansion but hope to get there soon! Last time I was there (early 2011?) they had just started the new addition to the original building.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:30 PM

It came out very nice, you will be pleased with it.

If there was a way I would love to get a coffee with you, you have been very enlightning to me over the last few years.

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Gumby, I’m fol;lowed on Twitter by the House of Representatives and the Senate Republicans

…And, I’ve talked to Jerry Lawler3 times in Memphis. So there. LOL.

Pitiful Troll.

kingsjester on October 18, 2012 at 12:38 PM

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM
Your girlfriend from the summer lives in Canada, doesn’t she? She’s super hot though, but we wouldn’t know her…

happytobehere on October 18, 2012 at 12:29 PM

Perhaps she’s a “composite.”

Right Mover on October 18, 2012 at 12:41 PM

A couple of weeks ago I said to be prepared for All-RED to rear her ugly head, with the DEMwits refurbished crap about the “war on women” I’m not surprised to hear there’s rumblings of something from her.

And remember, she didn’t have to sue Cain, just the accusations alone was enough to knock him out of the race.

All we can do is hope people are smart enough to see that any last ditch attempt by All-RED to smear Romney is nothing more than a desperation move by the Dems.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 12:21 PM

You know, I hope they do. It may be the final nail in the coffin for the democrats.

Romney has spent a lifetime being Mr. Clean.

The reactions of the average person has been kind of surprising to me – that all the crap that the left has been flinging hasn’t really stuck. It will be interesting to see if that’s true.

We know something is coming though. May as well be something stupid and sleazy like Allred.

kim roy on October 18, 2012 at 12:41 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

Rosie Palm is from Wisconsin?

viking01 on October 18, 2012 at 12:42 PM

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:36 PM

Sad to say I don’t get down that way much as I am up in the Lakes Region. Really sucks having to live where other people go on vacation lol.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:43 PM

tweet from Drudge

MATT DRUDGEVerified‏@DRUDGE

Here she comes. Hearing Gloria Allred out there again, about to make a move. After all, it’s her time of the campaign. Team O at the ready!!

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 12:29 PM

Oh boy /

gophergirl on October 18, 2012 at 12:43 PM

good news, I enjoy their lamentations. I wonder, what is the D/R/I split for these numbers?

joeindc44 on October 18, 2012 at 12:44 PM

Oh my! He needs medication…

“I’m still trying to figure out how to get the hang of this thing (presidential debates). We’ll keep on improving as time goes on.”

- Barack Obama, yesterday

The next and LAST debate is in 4 days. How much time does he think that he has left in which to improve?

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2219392/Obama-just-starting-figure-presidential-debates-Mitt-Romney-extends-poll-lead-6-points.html

Resist We Much on October 18, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Sad to say I don’t get down that way much as I am up in the Lakes Region. Really sucks having to live where other people go on vacation lol.

Del Dolemonte on October 18, 2012 at 12:43 PM

Ayep, I hear ya!

D-fusit on October 18, 2012 at 12:47 PM

We know something is coming though. May as well be something stupid and sleazy like Allred.

kim roy on October 18, 2012 at 12:41 PM

If that story on Daily Caller about Benghazi turns out to be true, trotting out Gloria and whatever she has in her sleazy bag of tricks could be a tactical move to divert attention away from it.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 12:51 PM

Actually, people did see what was coming, and the GOP actually underperformed in the Senate races.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:18 AM

A reminder…

Richard Nixon resigned on August 9, 1974, and three months later, Democrats flipped:

3 seats in the US Senate
49 seats in the US House
628 seats in state legislatures

In the wake of Democrats’ Porkulus and Obamacare, Republicans in 2010 flipped:

6 seats in the US Senate
63 seats in the US House
680 seats in state legislatures

As Ed Morrissey wrote in 2010:

GOP wins “all-time high” in state legislative seats
posted at 2:55 pm on November 4, 2010 by Ed Morrissey
——————–

Who could have suspected that Barack Obama, Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi would spark a national rejection of their party that outdid Watergate?

Obama has been called Nixonian before, but never in this context. When he charged to victory in 2008, Democrats thought they had unlocked the secret of marrying a progressive to the broad center of American politics. Instead, his radical agenda has alienated the center and leaves Democrats with a sharply reduced national base for their future.

ITguy on October 18, 2012 at 12:52 PM

Can someone please explain how, in the Rasmussen poll, Obama is leading among women by 4 and Romney is leading with men by 10, yet Romney is ahead only by 2 overall. Given that women would only represent 52-53% of the total electorrate at best, why isn’t the lead closer to 6%? What am I missing?

The Good Doctor on October 18, 2012 at 12:56 PM

She wouldn’t be going to Duluth if that were the case.

gophergirl on October 18, 2012 at 12:05 PM

She’s going to Minneapolis and Duluth, both of which have at least radio markets that spill over into northwestern WI. After that she is going through WI.

jarodea on October 18, 2012 at 12:58 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

I just had dinner with a current sitting U.S. President on Monday and he told me he knows he is going to lose.

Monkeytoe on October 18, 2012 at 12:59 PM

The media has shown they’ll throw the mechanics of the debate to obama. Give him the last word and more time. He still needs to do more than say he’ll hire teachers and that Mitt will lower taxes to move the dial.

joeindc44 on October 18, 2012 at 1:00 PM

Google’s earnings plunge

Stock price plunge’s

The left’s favorite search engine taking a dive with Obama.

bgibbs1000 on October 18, 2012 at 1:03 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7
gumby poked painfully.

bayview on October 18, 2012 at 1:04 PM

People are sick of liberals.

SparkPlug on October 18, 2012 at 1:04 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7
gumby poked painfully.

bayview on October 18, 2012 at 1:04 PM

BOOM!

Hey Gumby, do like apples?

Chuck Schick on October 18, 2012 at 1:05 PM

Gallup Thursday

Romney 52
Obama 45

No worries Ohio in the bag for Obama.

dumbygumbyanddopey

bgibbs1000 on October 18, 2012 at 1:05 PM

OMG! Liberal Gannett Newspaper, The Tennessean, Endorses….Romney!

Traditional Democratic TN newspaper endorses Romney

To say this endorsement by The Tennessean is an eyebrow raiser is an understatement. This is the same newspaper, where former Vice President Al Gore got his start in journalism, that endorsed Obama in 2008. Of course, the paper endorsed Gore in 2000. In 2004, the paper endorsed Democrat John Kerry over President Bush. Also, Middle Tennessee is a traditional Democratic stronghold.

sentinelrules on October 18, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Can someone please explain how, in the Rasmussen poll, Obama is leading among women by 4 and Romney is leading with men by 10, yet Romney is ahead only by 2 overall. Given that women would only represent 52-53% of the total electorrate at best, why isn’t the lead closer to 6%? What am I missing?

The Good Doctor on October 18, 2012 at 12:56 PM

It is out of 96% of respondants, so let’s say women are 53%, then the math would be:

Candidate – ((male vote * male share) + (female vote * female share)) * 0.96

Romney – ((0.47 * 0.55) + (0.53 * 0.48)) * 0.96 = 49.23%
Obama – ((0.47 * 0.45) + (0.53 * 0.52)) * 0.96 = 46.76%

Round them and you have Romney up 49-47.

jarodea on October 18, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7

No frickin way…..

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:08 PM

I’m afraid the only way for the Democrats to stop the bleeding is to dress up as “binders”.

Catahoula on October 18, 2012 at 1:08 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

In the meeting did you fawn over Scott Walker like a teenage girl with a raging case of puppy love? I would have, I’d be doodling Mr. and Mr. Scott Walker all over my notebook as I made plans for our trip to Vermont.

jarodea on October 18, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Resist We Much on October 18, 2012 at 12:46 PM

Relax, bro. He has four days left to undo his major foreign policy blunders. And his old man was a TV repairman with this ultimate set of tools. He can fix it.

Christien on October 18, 2012 at 1:10 PM

Wow, Google just laid a bomb. Even the top internet company in the world isn’t immune to Obama’s failed economy.

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:10 PM

Gallup Thursday

Romney 52
Obama 45

They have no choice but to bring out Gloria

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 1:11 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7

Bu bu bu but how can this be??…I thought Obama won the debate?

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:12 PM

“Google Takes a Dive for Obama”

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7

Bu bu bu but how can this be??…I thought Obama won the debate?

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:12 PM

As someone already said here or on L-com:

“Candy Crowley finally tipped the scales on media bias.”

viking01 on October 18, 2012 at 1:15 PM

Where’s gumby?

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:16 PM

It’s fascinating that the original purpose of the Axeldump poll trolls(i.e., gumby-greg-dagny) was to repeatedly post and massage polls showing that Obysmal was just invincible and to persuade conservatives/Republicans to give up, stay home and not even vote.
.
Now,even their best case polls show O losing narrowly and the majority showing a big swing toward Romney.
That’s hardly going to discourage Rs not to vote.
.
I would think they would better spend their resources on getting their left-Dem base to not slit their wrists.

Dr. Carlo Lombardi on October 18, 2012 at 1:17 PM

We know something is coming though. May as well be something stupid and sleazy like Allred.

kim roy on October 18, 2012 at 12:41 PM

If that story on Daily Caller about Benghazi turns out to be true, trotting out Gloria and whatever she has in her sleazy bag of tricks could be a tactical move to divert attention away from it.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 12:51 PM

ITA. That’s what they want, but Monday is approaching and they can’t hide from that and F&F (maybe).

You think they’ll haul out her bones on Tuesday morning?

kim roy on October 18, 2012 at 1:18 PM

You think there are trolls here? HA, Try Yahoo News.

Screwballpalooza out there folks.

PappyD61 on October 18, 2012 at 1:18 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7

B-b-but …binders!

Right Mover on October 18, 2012 at 1:18 PM

Gallup +7 for Romney! Choke on that gumby!

wargamer6 on October 18, 2012 at 1:18 PM

jarodea on October 18, 2012 at 1:09 PM

Ha! Pretty good!

a capella on October 18, 2012 at 1:19 PM

Re: Drudge/Allred …..

http://209.157.64.201/focus/f-bloggers/2946720/posts

pambi on October 18, 2012 at 1:19 PM

Oh my Romney up 7 in Gallup.

buckichick1 on October 18, 2012 at 1:19 PM

Gallup Thursday

Romney 52
Obama 45

They have no choice but to bring out Gloria

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 1:11 PM

“No worries. Obama is going to win Ohio, and that’s all that matters.”

gummedbrain

NotCoach on October 18, 2012 at 1:19 PM

kingsjester‏@kingsjester1

I heard that Obama is blaming the replay of the Debate for his falling poll numbers. It’s the video’s fault again.

kingsjester on October 18, 2012 at 1:21 PM

It’s fascinating that the original purpose of the Axeldump poll trolls(i.e., gumby-greg-dagny) was to repeatedly post and massage polls showing that Obysmal was just invincible and to persuade conservatives/Republicans to give up, stay home and not even vote.

Well, gumby is gamely hanging in there, still ducking his soft clay head in here daily to get it smashed and mangled like Mr. Bill.
It looks like some of the other trolls who were breathlessly posting just a couple of weeks ago, like tommyhawk, lester and sesquipedalian, have meekly taken their failed talking points and gone home to the boarding house.

Right Mover on October 18, 2012 at 1:22 PM

I was just in a meeting with a VERY popular WI politician on Tuesday.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:56 AM

I thought all democrat WI politicians were in Illinois until Walker is recalled?

Strike Hornet on October 18, 2012 at 1:23 PM

It is out of 96% of respondants, so let’s say women are 53%, then the math would be:

Candidate – ((male vote * male share) + (female vote * female share)) * 0.96

Romney – ((0.47 * 0.55) + (0.53 * 0.48)) * 0.96 = 49.23%
Obama – ((0.47 * 0.45) + (0.53 * 0.52)) * 0.96 = 46.76%

Round them and you have Romney up 49-47.

jarodea on October 18, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Thanks :)

The Good Doctor on October 18, 2012 at 1:23 PM

It’s fascinating that the original purpose of the Axeldump poll trolls(i.e., gumby-greg-dagny) was to repeatedly post and massage polls showing that Obysmal was just invincible and to persuade conservatives/Republicans to give up, stay home and not even vote.
.
Dr. Carlo Lombardi on October 18, 2012 at 1:17 PM

Well, you have to admit Axe’s QC must have been disengaged when making his manpower selections. Pitiful.

a capella on October 18, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Today’s Gallup
Romney 52
Barry 45
Romney +7
gumby poked painfully.

bayview on October 18, 2012 at 1:04 PM

So, Big Bird hasn’t worked. The smiling idiot hasn’t worked. Binders full of women hasn’t worked. A passionate and lying Obama hasn’t worked.

Back to dog on the roof? Or tax returns?

milcus on October 18, 2012 at 1:25 PM

Well, you have to admit Axe’s QC must have been disengaged when making his manpower selections. Pitiful.

a capella on October 18, 2012 at 1:24 PM

Beggars can’t be choosers. He selected the best of the best from the binders full of trolls he was given.

NotCoach on October 18, 2012 at 1:25 PM

GALLUP ROMNEY 52% OBAMA 45%

logman1 on October 18, 2012 at 1:26 PM

ITA. That’s what they want, but Monday is approaching and they can’t hide from that and F&F (maybe).

You think they’ll haul out her bones on Tuesday morning?

kim roy on October 18, 2012 at 1:18 PM

In an unusual move, Megyn Kelley is devoting the first hour of her show today to nothing but the Benghazi attack. Do they know something we don’t? If so, Tuesday may be too late to trot out GR.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Karl Rove:

No Candidate over 50% in Gallup’s “Likely Voter” Poll in Mid-October has Gone on to Lose the Presidential Election.

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:28 PM

Just thinking like a lawyer.
Re: Google bad earnings and stock price plunge.

Minority stock holder class action aginst current board of directors causing this fall due to their support of Obama and that causeing the stock to take a beating and causing the loss of capital invested by the public in the stock.

Management gets canned and goole goes from unAmerican to American with new board of direcorts.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 1:30 PM

And Obama remains ahead in Ohio.

Lose Ohio and lose the election.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 10:42 AM

Your side should be afraid. Want to know what I see here, since I live here? There were some Obama signs before the debates, and almost no Romney ones. But after the first debate, Romney signs have been popping up faster than dandelions without lawn treatment! Even my neighbor, who I’ve NEVER seen put up a political sign in 15 years, has put out a Romney sign! If you think D+5 is accurate after the first debate, you need your head examined!

dominigan on October 18, 2012 at 1:31 PM

Karl Rove:

No Candidate over 50% in Gallup’s “Likely Voter” Poll in Mid-October has Gone on to Lose the Presidential Election.

tkyang99 on October 18, 2012 at 1:28 PM

“Gallup’s poll of unregistered dead people has Obama up 75 to 25. You people crack me up with your exuberance over polling of living people. Obama has come roaring back with his last debate performance. Say goodbye to Romney! Nuclear winter!!”

gummedbrain

NotCoach on October 18, 2012 at 1:31 PM

Gallup Thursday

Romney 52
Obama 45

They have no choice but to bring out Gloria

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 1:11 PM

ATOMIC……BOMB!

Strike Hornet on October 18, 2012 at 1:33 PM

Flora Duh,

Amb. Stephens possible was attempting to get back via $ unknown high tech/ very dangerous weapons hand off to islamic fighters in Lybia with Obama etal thinking that was better than sending U.S. forces to help take out Qudaffy Duck.

Very very bad to send Amb. Stephens and the Navy Seals etal into and staying in a known amushable death trap there in Benguazeie.

What it may be is a Fast and Furious gone BIG TIME.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on October 18, 2012 at 1:35 PM

As for gumby… I wouldn’t take advice from anyone who isn’t smart enought to use the quote feature on a blog.

Just sayin.

Ampersand on October 18, 2012 at 12:28 PM

LOLOL…..HAHAHAHAHAHA

The Notorious G.O.P on October 18, 2012 at 1:36 PM

They have no choice but to bring out Gloria

Conservative4ev on October 18, 2012 at 1:11 PM

Gloria Allred: Romney looked at me with lust in his heart back in 2002.

bayview on October 18, 2012 at 1:38 PM

In an unusual move, Megyn Kelley is devoting the first hour of her show today to nothing but the Benghazi attack. Do they know something we don’t? If so, Tuesday may be too late to trot out GR.

Flora Duh on October 18, 2012 at 1:26 PM

Ooooooo. Nice. Yes, that may be way too late. A whole weekend of Gloria, then?

It will be nice when the calendar rolls on November 7.

kim roy on October 18, 2012 at 1:38 PM

{smile}

and Rassmussen is a lagging average…no where to go but up.

socalcon on October 18, 2012 at 1:41 PM

If Obama wins the election, one of the reasons will be the very good team Obama put together to figure out where to target their ad buys down the stretch and what specific ads to run in specific markets.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:16 AM

If Obama is as smart as you claim, why did he blow millions of dollars just in Ohio only to be completely countered by Mitt in his first debate without using any ad dollars?

dominigan on October 18, 2012 at 1:45 PM

I agree, I live in Columbus and there is no enthusiasm for Obama.

buckichick1 on October 18, 2012 at 10:54 AM

Yep. And Columbus is a key swing portion of the state.

I live in the Dayton area, btw.

Bitter Clinger on October 18, 2012 at 10:57 AM

Columbus area (Westerville) here. A few early Obama signs, then lots of Romney signs after first debate.

dominigan on October 18, 2012 at 1:47 PM

I just had dinner with a current sitting U.S. President on Monday and he told me he knows he is going to lose.

Monkeytoe on October 18, 2012 at 12:59 PM

Me too. He said that he was amazed at how naive his supporters had been these last 4 years. He is very happy to have pulled off such a huge scam for so long.

FTR He was high as kite and chain smoking. It was a pleasant enough evening though O kept bogarting the choom out of turn and , of course, Mooch had that nasty farting problem.

BoxHead1 on October 18, 2012 at 1:51 PM

Right, but they aren’t physically taking voters to the polls like the Obama team does. Rent some vans/busses and get their butts to the polls. It’s just a different philosophy on how to do things.

gumbyandpokey on October 18, 2012 at 11:51 AM

Unlike the DNC and OFA, the Romney team has a problem with busing “voters” from town to town where they can vote early and often. Sorry, gumball, but where the Obama camp is busy “helping” the so-called disenfranchised, fraud can’t be far behind.

totherightofthem on October 18, 2012 at 1:52 PM

What’s bothering me is the difference between Gallup and Rasmussen. Gallup in the past has favored the Democrat by several points. Rasmussen generally trends higher for the Republican but this time it’s different. Odd. I hope this is an outlier year for Rasmussen and Gallup is correct.

crosspatch on October 18, 2012 at 2:01 PM

Rassmussen MoE 4

Incumbent looks to be in poor shape.

socalcon on October 18, 2012 at 2:02 PM

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