One man’s opinion: THIS will be the election where the “polls” are revealed as a crock. No land lines, nobody wanting to talk to pollsters (would you?) combined with obvious sample bias and most pollsters will be dumped in with the rest of the biased MFM.

There is a rout on its way and the debate just accelerated it!

winston on October 10, 2012 at 8:57 AM

…despite the MSM…I’m feeling the same way.

Romney definitely helped himself with the debate, but the vast majority of his ‘bounce’ is just polls changing from Democratic-fantasy-land to reality.

BTW, Rasmussen is weighting to a D+3 election, but IMHO it will be at worst even, with a Republican tilt more likely.

besser tot als rot on October 10, 2012 at 10:16 AM

Aw shucks honey boo. Did you have anything substantial to add?

Or were just just coming to the aid of a flailing fellow ABR nutball?

The thing that most impressed me in Romney’s debate performance wasn’t the zingers or his job-interview-like recitation of points and counterpoints or his “happy warrior” demeanor. What impressed me most is seeing that Romney understands Leftist ideology…and since Barack Obama is nothing but your typical, intellectually shallow Leftist, he understands him as well. He understands the flawed ideas and fallacious arguments that always under gird the Left’s ideology. But most importantly…he understands that beneath the average Leftist’s facade of intellectualism, moral righteousness, and “concern” for “the people”, there usually lurks a petty, self-involved little tyrant that can’t stand to be challenged on his views and thinks that he knows what’s best for everyone.

That was the beauty of the 3-4 little shots he took at Obama. They weren’t directed at Obama personally; thus, the public didn’t perceive them as harshly negative…instead, they were directed at the Leftist that resides inside Obama. And it was that that was Obama’s undoing, because I’ll wager you dollars-to-dimes that the reason that Obama became more and more of a bumbling mess as the nite went on is because while he was trying to focus on the particular topic at hand, he was unable to let go of the things that Romney had said earlier.

And that’s all that Romney has to do – i.e., take a couple of well-timed, good-natured shots at Little Lord Barry. The mockery is the part that will always get to him. And no matter how hard he tries, he simply won’t be able to let it go. As long as Romney keeps the digs light-hearted, Obama will have no defense against it.

Anyone who’s still waiting for some reason to vote for Romney is dangerously uninformed.

darwin on October 10, 2012 at 9:12 AM

They aren’t “waiting” for anything. They were always ABR-tards, only their reasons for being so have changed. Usually they spout some incoherent jibber-jabber about the “GOPe” – the Republican establishment – conspiracy. IOW, don’t bother trying to debate those numbskulls.

Romney is winning comfortably.

I’m not trying to bring anybody down. I’m glad people believe Obama will be beaten. I believe it too, and it needs to happen.

But the reality is what it is. Action is needed. If nothing is done, the ship is going down, and no polls can change this. That reality should always be remembered.

After Mitt Romney is elected, a serious struggle will begin to get action, meaning border control and no amnesty, to begin with.

(Of course if Obama was re-elected, there would be no struggle: the left would claim victory, and the right would be shut out of the conversation. So I can’t understand anyone who claims that Romney or Obama is a matter of indifference.)

The drudge has this right now:

The V.P. debate is being moderated by an Obama Administration Wife. Who didn’t see that? She has a different last name.

President Barack Obama was a guest at the 1991 wedding of ABC senior foreign correspondent and vice presidential debate moderator Martha Raddatz, The Daily Caller has learned. Obama and groom Julius Genachowski, whom Obama would later tap to head the Federal Communications Commission, were Harvard Law School classmates at the time and members of the Harvard Law Review.

Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/10/abc-news-scrambles-to-cover-up-barack-obamas-attendance-at-vp-debate-moderators-wedding/#ixzz28uaJ9JFf

We all need a new president.

He is, however, getting up to the 40% rate and that is as good as any other modern politician I’ve seen in my lifetime. He appears to even have a clue and even able to wield a cluebat.

We need more of that, not less.

And against a guy who I have trouble identifying more than two things that he has done right in his time in office… well… the guy with the clue and wielding the cluebat on them wins, hands-down.

The variance in this race has been the varying degrees of indecision voters (6% to 10% in most unforced polls) have had about Romney as a competent alternative while under a record barrage of Obama attack ads repeated faithfully by the Democrat press.

Romney did not win the first debate with Obama based on his brilliant rhetoric or scintillating ideas of governance, but rather because the GOP challenger was able to speak unfiltered to a record setting number of viewing voters and successfully offered himself as a competent alternative.

As with the 1980 Reagan/Carter debates, the Romney/Obama debate broke the media dam and undecided voters are now flowing toward Romney.

http://thecitizenpamphleteer.wordpress.com/2012/10/08/the-media-dam-is-breaking/

2012 is essentially the 1980 dynamic with the 2010 electorate – a fired up GOP joined by a heavy majority of Independents.

a. IBD/ITP poll released today: Romney 52% Obama 34%.

..watching Varney & Co. this AM and this “was a big f**king deal” with the IBD/TIPP guy. He really emphasized it. It is said that this poll was dead-ballz accurate in 2004 and 2008.

Now, ‘scuze me while I duck and cover; I feel an earthquake coming on!

My suspicion is that he’s using weighting to avoid abrupt shifts in the numbers. This however, begs the question, what happens when weekend data is entirely worked out of the system, AND Rass is using a realistic skew?

OT : O’Keefe says these incidents have provided plenty of video !!

http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/10/new-okeefe-video-obama-campaign-staffer-caught-helping-activist-vote-twice/

pambi on October 10, 2012 at 11:12 AM

I hope at least Fox will talk about that. The rest of the media won’t go in there.

“The pollsters have to start reflecting a more accurate representation of the true electorate, to preserve their own reputations…”

ICanSeeNovFromMyHouse on October 10, 2012 at 8:51 AM

This is exactly what happened leading up to Carter’s end. And you can add to the list: the water-carrying pundits, the MSM, the sheeple, etc.

They all started wandering listlessly, bumping into walls and sharp corners – trying to disappear into the woodwork, answering “Carter who?” to all of us saying “I told you so”.