Suffolk pollster: We’re not polling Florida, Virginia, or North Carolina anymore, because Romney’s going to win them

posted at 10:17 pm on October 9, 2012 by Allahpundit

Via Gateway Pundit, I’ll give you the RCP averages tonight and leave you to judge. They’ve got Romney by three points in NC (although the latest poll has him up nine), Romney by less than a point in FL, and Obama by less than half a point in VA.

See Guy Benson for more good news in various state polls. Ohio and Pennsylvania are getting tighter.


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From his lips to God’s ears — nonetheless, don’t let this good news allow for complacency — GOTV!!

Dark Star on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

…go over to A P‘s 8:41 PM thread from beginning to end…and see how you used to have threads!…NOW start reading this thread…along with a ton of other threads…and tell me what is being accomplished while you listen to the loud joyous rhythmic slapping… coming from its moms basement while it is plugging her drains with the secretions you help it emit… because all of us dumb flukes want to keep keep playing its fluken game!…when is enough…enough?
The other side is laughing!…Look what our one dumbazz is doing over there!…It’s like Jesus with the loaves and the fish!

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

Via Gateway Pundit, I’ll give you the RCP averages tonight and leave you to judge. They’ve got Romney by three points in NC (although the latest poll has him up nine), Romney by less than a point in FL, and Obama by less than half a point in VA.

Maybe the Suffolk pollster is looking at the unfudged polls, with a plausible D/R/I split, unlike the release-a-poll just to generate enthusiasm for little Bammie -crowd?

slickwillie2001 on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

What?! No write up from our Eeyore to analyze this?

El_Terrible on October 9, 2012 at 10:30 PM

Not even a caption under the picture on the main page!

DavidW on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

We got this thing.
Just read this: Landslide on the Horizon

Now, look at the date it was published. August 9th. Before Libya and before McSandTrapJugEars got his clock cleaned in the debate almost a week ago.

the new aesthetic on October 9, 2012 at 10:34 PM

Freaking amazing how the author nailed it! I hope his final prediction is as accurate!

litebeam1 on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

{{{{HUGS}}}}

before I log off for the night.

Take good care and God bless.

GrannyDee on October 9, 2012 at 10:51 PM

Awww, Hugs & God Bless to you too, darlin’
Prayers ascending for you…

OmahaConservative on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

He got the old heave-ho.

RickB on October 9, 2012 at 10:51 PM

When? on which thread?

massrighty on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 10:50 PM

HA!
Gumbyandpokey, again, how do you feel about Obama’s performance so far?
Is socialism conducive to this Republic?
What about the 10th Amendment?
Does it really mean anything at all?

Badger40 on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

It all comes down to Ohio(or Pennsylvania) and one other state, even one as EV-deprived as New Hampshire. Romney gets those and he’s President.

Doughboy on October 9, 2012 at 10:21 PM

12K for Mitt tonight in OH, in a true 50/50 county.

You only see Barry signs around the college area.

Otherwise, it’s all Romney, even in the harder-hit financial areas.

This is territory that went Barry in ’08.

It’s Mittland now.

The only changeup could come is Romney seems to W on the international front. He needs to listen to Buchanan and reign the neoconism language back.

budfox on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

Yep, don’t produce polls Dear Leader and his Regime like, it comes after you.

wildcat72 on October 9, 2012 at 10:50 PM

I think Gallup can attest to that as well.

ccrosby on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

Maybe the Suffolk pollster is looking at the unfudged polls, with a plausible D/R/I split, unlike the release-a-poll just to generate enthusiasm for little Bammie -crowd?

slickwillie2001 on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

I like the way you think.

JPeterman on October 9, 2012 at 10:55 PM

Yep, darlin’
But here I am…

OmahaConservative on October 9, 2012 at 10:51 PM

4 weeks my friend and we get our country back. My faith is strong in this. We will win.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 10:55 PM

I’ve trained for the Fra Mauro Highlands. And this is flightsurgeon hogwash, Deke!

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 10:56 PM

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

Allah should drop the glorious hammer on it.. Why he hasn’t is inexplicable.

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 10:57 PM

When? on which thread?

massrighty on October 9, 2012 at 10:54 PM

He got it about the time MKH came aboard.

RickB on October 9, 2012 at 10:57 PM

Allah, I am disappointed.

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 10:46 PM

While he’s annoying as hell, this is a thread about polls so technically it is not really trolling. It’s when it brings up polls in threads that have nothing to do with polls that ticks me off.

btw, notice how it is now including, “imo” in its predictions. That tells me it is not as cock sure of itself as it was before today.

lol

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 10:57 PM

Pretty amazing to go out on the limb like that. He did say it was overwhelming, which is more sweet.

HopeHeFails on October 9, 2012 at 10:59 PM

4 weeks my friend and we get our country back. My faith is strong in this. We will win.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 10:55 PM

We just have to get it back. WE have too…

OmahaConservative on October 9, 2012 at 10:59 PM

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 10:57 PM

The problem is alla y’all feel the need to answer it 3 hours after it’s gone.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

My faith is strong in this. We will win.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 10:55 PM

I’m with you. I don’t feel nearly as hopeless as I did the last time.
I had a feeling America needed 4 years of a major screw up to go in a different direction.
Unfortunately, I don’t see my America ever coming back.
Too much socialism, not enough people in this country who want to be free.

Badger40 on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

Suffolk pollster: We’re not polling Florida, Virginia, or North Carolina anymore, because Romney’s going to win them

I want to believe this, but it’s just not credible. These races are within the margin of error. Romney and Obama wouldn’t be spending so much time and resources in these states that are in the bag.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

We just have to get it back. WE have too…

OmahaConservative on October 9, 2012 at 10:59 PM

Yep – we just can’t lose. Luckily Romney is in it to crush Obama. He wants to win.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 11:01 PM

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

The Farce is strong in this one.

ManlyRash on October 9, 2012 at 11:01 PM

..send ya a case of Sebrbo-Croatian peach brandy?

The War Planner on October 9, 2012 at 10:47 PM

Your bringing back sweet memories of Sarajavo & Brcko.

D-fusit on October 9, 2012 at 11:02 PM

I’m with you. I don’t feel nearly as hopeless as I did the last time.
I had a feeling America needed 4 years of a major screw up to go in a different direction.
Unfortunately, I don’t see my America ever coming back.
Too much socialism, not enough people in this country who want to be free.

Badger40 on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

Hang in there. America will come back; there are more people that want to be free here than any place else in the world.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:02 PM

I think Suffolk is correct. Romney will easily win all 3 states.

I would add CO to the list. Romney will win here with a healthy margin, perhaps double digits.

Norwegian on October 9, 2012 at 11:03 PM

I’m with you. I don’t feel nearly as hopeless as I did the last time.
I had a feeling America needed 4 years of a major screw up to go in a different direction.
Unfortunately, I don’t see my America ever coming back.
Too much socialism, not enough people in this country who want to be free.

Badger40 on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

I knew we were done and buried in 2008 even after Palin’s nomination.

This time it’s different. Romney has been left for dead how many times and he keeps roaring back. There is a reason for that.

I think we’ll get more of America back than you think.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 11:03 PM

The problem is alla y’all feel the need to answer it 3 hours after it’s gone.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

Really? Gee, I could’ve sworm I’ve avoided responding to it since yesterday afternoon. And it wasn’t 3 hours after it was gone.

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 11:04 PM

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 10:53 PM

The Farce is strong in this one.

ManlyRash on October 9, 2012 at 11:01 PM

Have you been told yet today how happy we are to have you back? Good to read your posts.

hawkdriver on October 9, 2012 at 11:05 PM

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 11:04 PM

I don’t mean you personally.

And by three hours I mean an inordinate amount of time.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:06 PM

I think Suffolk is correct. Romney will easily win all 3 states.

I would add CO to the list. Romney will win here with a healthy margin, perhaps double digits.

Norwegian on October 9, 2012 at 11:03 PM

I don’t disagree that Romney ultimately will win these states. I just question the wisdom of thinking that they’re out of reach.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:06 PM

Jesus, it was 23 years ago last week when I moved to Floraduh.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:07 PM

If I’m wrong on a state, it will be FL. OH is a 100% lock/firewall for Obama and VA is 90% locked up, imo.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 10:37 PM

You are so wrong about Ohio, it’s not head-shakingly silly.

I was totally bearish on OH until the night of the debate. I knew 20 minutes in, the state was back in play.

Barry is down to the colleges, cities and first ring of suburban homes, 15 minutes freeway from the downtown areas and the edges of the big counties.

Previously, he extended into the outer suburban areas, 20+ minutes out and into different counties.

Not anymore.

Northeast Ohio is a bleed between Regan Dems and Clinton-era Repubs.

Only thing keeping Obama in the hunt is Kasich signed an overhaul to all the public pensions late last month, which is forcing mass retirements. So once W-era public-sector R voters are now leaning Barry out of protectionism and spite.

But Barry is coming across as unreliable, so the rank-and-file SCME will sit it out if Romney wins the townhall.

We are on the verge of a 2010 wave.

Barry will hold a good amount of Electoral votes, but the Popular is going to be a landslide.

What’s crazy, is right now, Team Obama knows the best hope is for a 2K outcome, where Barry gets an Electoral win.

The Pop vote is gone for 0. He knows it.

Otherwise, he’s banking on a coalition of black, college, and public sector.

budfox on October 9, 2012 at 11:09 PM

I want to believe this, but it’s just not credible. These races are within the margin of error. Romney and Obama wouldn’t be spending so much time and resources in these states that are in the bag.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:00 PM

Well, I’m a skeptic too, but most people have had NC in Romney’s column for some time, and I don’t think the Obama campaign is spending much money there. So, that one makes sense. And the Romney team has been optimistic on FL throughout…the dynamics of the state favor Romney, and you’ve had a big drop-off in Dem registration since ’08, and Obama’s spread then wasn’t all that much.

And, he is putting his credibility on the line here by saying what he did, so he must have a great deal of faith in the numbers he’s seeing.

changer1701 on October 9, 2012 at 11:10 PM

I saw my first obama sign today.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:10 PM

Jesus, it was 23 years ago last week when I moved to Floraduh.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:07 PM

42 years ago for me. btw, did you see this?

Todd Long Fights To A Statistical Tie With Alan Grayson In CD9 Race

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 11:11 PM

lol

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 10:57 PM

Good point. Allah is getting too soft however. There was a time not long ago when the tedious nature of that one would have been a sure hammer swinging. John Henry would be made proud. The incessant lying and distortion make some of the threads not worth reading. I don’t always comment on all the threads. I do read them all. Well mostly all. If I were as tedious, the hammer would swing, and rightfully so. Not my site. If the moderators think its cool, then I will just have to agree to disagree. I will continue to call on Ed and Allah to remove the pest. P.S. You were in my dreams at nap time today. My better half and Mr. duh were there as well. So there was nothing unseemly about it. You were quite the hostess. We were having a grand time. There were a lot of folks there. It was a lovely party! Thanks! Lol!

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:12 PM

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 11:11 PM

Grayson’s ads are the most childish sounding things ever.

Counting on the stupidity of Hispanics, I guess.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:12 PM

Sorry, Mr. Duh. Dang iPad thingy!

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:15 PM

Sorry, Mr. Duh. Dang iPad thingy!

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:15 PM

Mrs.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:15 PM

I saw my first obama sign today.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:10 PM

…I’ve written “S T U P I D” on at least a couple of dozen of them with my Sharpie…since my car got keyed with it’s R & R sticker…but then…I’m in the Detroit area.

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 11:17 PM

P.S. You were in my dreams at nap time today. My better half and Mr. duh were there as well. So there was nothing unseemly about it. You were quite the hostess. We were having a grand time. There were a lot of folks there. It was a lovely party! Thanks! Lol!

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:12 PM

I do hope Mr. Duh offered you sufficient beverages. And what did you think of his smoked mullet dip? He puts a tad too much pickle relish in it for my taste.

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 11:17 PM

If I’m wrong on a state, it will be FL. OH is a 100% lock/firewall for Obama and VA is 90% locked up, imo.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 10:37 PM

Obama doesn’t have a firewall.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:19 PM

I’m in the Detroit area.

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 11:17 PM

As in where? Huntington Woods? Melvindale? Romulus?

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:19 PM

…I’ve written “S T U P I D” on at least a couple of dozen of them with my Sharpie…since my car got keyed with it’s R & R sticker…but then…I’m in the Detroit area.

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 11:17 PM

Things are getting ugly out there.

Rebar on October 9, 2012 at 11:22 PM

I

saw my first obama sign today.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:10 PM

I saw 3 in total and I am in Cali.

jimver on October 9, 2012 at 11:23 PM

I do hope Mr. Duh offered you sufficient beverages. And what did you think of his smoked mullet dip? He puts a tad too much pickle relish in it for my taste.

Flora Duh on October 9, 2012 at 11:17 PM

It was all flawless! The best part, well one of the best parts was the yard. It wasn’t really as much a yard per say as it was a giant glass wall. An aquarium. Just fascinatingly cool. I had a nice time sitting by the fire too. Schmores, I think they’re called. Good times! I awoke quite happy and revived. ; )

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:25 PM

Mrs.

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:15 PM

I know. For some odd reason the iPad thingy took away the Capitol letter from Mr. duh. See it did it again. Mr. Duh. ; )

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:28 PM

This guy was 100% in 2004. If anything Suffolk leans left in it’s polling. But let’s not get COMPLACENT.

Raquel Pinkbullet on October 9, 2012 at 11:29 PM

The polls have been like this for some time. You can tell by the way the Dems are acting that they know their time is up. Polls are useless unless you are the one asking the questions and tabulating the results. It’s never as bad for Romney as the polls would have you believe. This race has been over for quite some time. The pollsters do not want to report how bad it is for Obama for various reasons. People can’t wait to get into that voting booth. I know I can’t.

BetseyRoss on October 9, 2012 at 11:32 PM

“gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 10:37 PM

I’d like to know your opinion regarding Obama.
Do you think Obama is good for this country?
His policies of socialism, do you think this is a good direction for America to continue down?

Badger40 on October 9, 2012 at 10:44 PM”

No to the first question.

No to the second question.

And yes, he’s still going to win.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 11:35 PM

And yes, he’s still going to win.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 11:35 PM

Who are you voting for?

Chuck Schick on October 9, 2012 at 11:43 PM

Tedious little puke.

Bmore on October 9, 2012 at 11:43 PM

…..locked up, imo.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 10:37 PM

There you have it. The Obama’s have ordered the moving van and opened escrow on the Hawaiian mansion.

Locked up!!

socalcon on October 9, 2012 at 11:44 PM

And yes, he’s still going to win.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 11:35 PM

Oy. Do you have anything else to contribute? You’re incessant repetition of the same point over and over again is really boring. You’re almost as bad as Obama himself.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:45 PM

Locked up!!

socalcon on October 9, 2012 at 11:44 PM

Another scandal and they might get locked up.

hawkdriver on October 9, 2012 at 11:46 PM

This suspiciously feels like a trap: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piVnArp9ZE0

goflyers on October 9, 2012 at 11:48 PM

4 weeks my friend and we get our country back. My faith is strong in this. We will win.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 10:55 PM

…it’s chicken soup for the soul…

socalcon on October 9, 2012 at 11:53 PM

As in where? Huntington Woods? Melvindale? Romulus?

Lanceman on October 9, 2012 at 11:19 PM

…Milford-Brighton

KOOLAID2 on October 9, 2012 at 11:53 PM

And yes, he’s still going to win. – gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 11:35 PM

Thus spake Baghdad Gumby. I rather enjoy its incessant prattlings. Reminds me of the Black Knight

ManlyRash on October 9, 2012 at 11:59 PM

Gumbyandpokey is a long time “concern troll.” Posts on Ace under the pseudonym of “Greg.” The more people FEED it the more it will post. If it is ignored it will just Moby along. I think “it” lives off of getting use “riled up” and engaging “it”

Raquel Pinkbullet on October 9, 2012 at 11:59 PM

Let this be a lesson to the poll worshippers. The reason a poll months away from an election is not predictive, and not worth obsessing over, is because no one is paying attention. Once the electorate is involved(70 million watching a debate a month before the election) and then you can look at the polls.

Think of all the energy that was spent by HAers sweating over swing state breakdowns and 3 point spreads–then 1 week after the debate the whole map changed.

And Romney didn’t have to pander to an ethnic group or talk up womyns issues or avoid confrontation in order to move the #s. All he had to do was clearly express a free market stance and contrast that with BOs big gov boondogle. Romney called out the green cronyism. He called out the 15 member board(death panel) in Obamacare. He stood on the 10th. He even went after pbs – a big hug to the base.

His adherence to conservative ideology ,and OBo’s flame out, flipped the polls.

BoxHead1 on October 10, 2012 at 12:01 AM

Let’s not forget that Obama’s Super PAC Pulled out of FL as well.

Quote:

The pro-Obama “super PAC” that has spent millions of dollars attacking Mitt Romney in ads is pulling commercials from Florida and Wisconsin, part of what the group says is a realignment of its advertising campaign.

The cancellations by Priorities USA Action, coupled with new purchases of television time in other key swing states, indicate where Democratic strategists think the presidential race may and may not be competitive with a month left to Election Day.

Raquel Pinkbullet on October 10, 2012 at 12:04 AM

If Obama’s Super Pac pulled out, that means their internals are showing FL is out of reach for Obama.

Raquel Pinkbullet on October 10, 2012 at 12:05 AM

Politico: 5 things to watch at first debate

1. Can Romney win the first half-hour?

2. How hard will Obama attack?

3. How do “47 percent” and Libya play?

4. Is Obama ready for prime time?

5. Who brings up Bill Clinton?

I know, it’s old. But as the Boy King hides behind Big Bird’s feathers, the surrogates have disappeared.

Gumby, Obama is toast. ‘IMO’ he gets five states, Illinois, New York, California, Oregon and Hawaii. Romney is Reagan incarnate, as far as the landslide.

socalcon on October 10, 2012 at 12:05 AM

Worst case scenario: Obama wins New York, all of New England except New Hampshire, New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii.

Medium case scenario: Obama wins Vermont, Maryland, Hawaii.

Best case scenario: Obama wins Maryland.

ardenenoch on October 10, 2012 at 12:06 AM

Gumbyandpokey is a long time “concern troll.” Posts on Ace under the pseudonym of “Greg.” The more people FEED it the more it will post. If it is ignored it will just Moby along. I think “it” lives off of getting use “riled up” and engaging “it”

Raquel Pinkbullet on October 9, 2012 at 11:59 PM

Kinda like The Blob?

ardenenoch on October 10, 2012 at 12:10 AM

BoxHead1 on October 10, 2012 at 12:01 AM

What he said…also, the polls start to filter for ‘likely voters’ and away from ‘adults’ and ‘registered voters’.

socalcon on October 10, 2012 at 12:10 AM

A Bomb dropped on Gumbo and Poke a little 8yr old boy!

anchorman on October 10, 2012 at 12:15 AM

Didn’t this guy say something about Iowa? I was in and out of consciousness (sleeping) when he was on!

anchorman on October 10, 2012 at 12:17 AM

I knew we were done and buried in 2008 even after Palin’s nomination.

This time it’s different. Romney has been left for dead how many times and he keeps roaring back. There is a reason for that.

I think we’ll get more of America back than you think.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 11:03 PM

I really don’t know much about the Mormon faith. But there are three things I do know about it:

1. It’s uniquely American.

2. They believe that America represents a new Promised Land.

3. Mormons seem to be very upstanding citizens.

Maybe it will take an upstanding, generous, successful, and ridiculously handsome Mormon to save us from the evil, lying, Marxist serpent.

ardenenoch on October 10, 2012 at 12:18 AM

Correct me if I’m wrong, but I think I saw Rasmussen had the breakdown of the electorate as R37/D33/I30. Yet, even he uses a D+3 model in his pres tracking poll. So he’s not even using his own R/D/I model for that. If the breakdown really is R+3 or better, it points to a huge Romney win and the dems won’t know what hit em. Just like in 2010, they greatly underestimate the power of the anti-obeyme vote.

phillysfinest on October 10, 2012 at 12:19 AM

I live in the bluest county of one of the bluest of all states.

I do not see any Romney signs, which does not surprise me because I have never seen any non-Dem signs here.

Nor do I see any Obama signs, which does surprise me because in 2008 and 2010 I saw hundreds of them.

Something happening here. What it is, is becoming clear.

drunyan8315 on October 10, 2012 at 12:23 AM

Gentlemen let’s not start sucking each other d*cks quite yet.

jukin3 on October 10, 2012 at 12:24 AM

We’re not polling Florida, Virginia, or North Carolina anymore, because Romney’s going to win them

That’s good because if Romney doesn’t win those states he most likely will lose. He has to win Florida and North Carolina for sure, there are ways for Romney to win without Virgina but he really needs Virgina and Ohio too. These are pretty much “must win” states for Romney unless he can take a blue state like Michigan or Pennsylvania away from Obama.

Dollayo on October 10, 2012 at 12:26 AM

One unusual thing about Virginia is the influence of the Washington DC metro area (I live just outside of this area). Unlike many people who post here, I actually see a fair number of Obama stickers on the cars on the highway. But the increased support for the Dems is comes mostly from people who directly (or indirectly) benefit from our oversized government. The treasure of the nation heads to Washington DC, so – of course – the economy there is doing great. (A buddy of mine in my reserve unit is a transportation guru for Lowes in his civilian life. He notes that, even in the worst phases of the Great Recession, building materiel shipments to Washington DC always did well.)

From the perspective of the inside-the-beltway crowd, the economy is hunky dory, and they have no idea why the pesants are revolting.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk47saogI8o

From the latest polls, it seems like the rest of Virginia is finally balancing out the “beltway vote”.

SubmarineDoc on October 10, 2012 at 12:51 AM

I’m in NE TN.

Obama isn’t winning NC.

Romney has at least a 70% shot at VA.

It all depends on GOTV. See the local media over there often. Know many people in both states.

Moesart on October 10, 2012 at 12:53 AM

I see the details under the Ohio numbers coming into play for Ohio – I think this may be the one state most effected by the debate.

Kasich just seems to be a lightning rod! But the same stuff is there – Obama is losing independents, the voter registration losses for the democrats are very high, the gender gap is muted.

NC has been ROmney’s forever – I am in state for business – seeing at least three different Romney ads, and just one Obama one – the $5T tax cut one that is pretty easy to destroy.

I think ROmney is on the verge of a 300 to 200 type of win.

Zomcon JEM on October 10, 2012 at 1:08 AM

The trend is on Romney’s side, and the media has to follow the silliness Obama puts out about Big Bird and Bernie Madoff in order to minimize coverage of Benghazi, Egypt, Iran, and Obama’s record on the economy and Obamacare.

Not in the bag, but it is now Obama who needs something to change the dynamic, and staff shake-ups won’t do it four weeks before the election with early voting already under way in several key states.

We need to keep working hard because we need a big win to carry the Senate convincingly enough to cow Democratic obstruction. A LOT of cutting needs to be done, and quickly, and we can’t get it passed with strong majorities.

Adjoran on October 10, 2012 at 1:29 AM

I think the main reason Suffolk gave has been ignored.

Even before the debate Obama couldn’t break 46% no matter what Romney’s number is Obama can’t break 46%.

Now after the debate, Romney is clearly seen as a doable option.

Therefore, Mr. 46% or less, has absolutely no chance.

Also important, this is an indication that the public polling was all smoke and mirrors. If the race was close like the public polling shows… no way they go out on a limb and say 1 MONTH before the election that Romney is the winner.

petunia on October 10, 2012 at 1:32 AM

I wonder if some of this is a Dem attempt to keep people away from the polls by lulling them into a false sense of security.

JFS61 on October 10, 2012 at 2:05 AM

There is no way that Pubs will be deterred from voting this year. Any efforts by the Dems to depress and demotivate the conservative electorate will not succeed. All they are doing is shoring up fundraising and cover for themselves and the media.

We. Are. Winning.

Ozwitch on October 10, 2012 at 3:43 AM

Atomic…..Bomb…..

Strike Hornet on October 10, 2012 at 4:30 AM

And Pennsylvania too (fingers crossed.) It would be reassuring that the people you drive on the roads with every day have basic common sense enough to know when they’ve been had.

curved space on October 10, 2012 at 6:13 AM

Just how important was Romney’s line, “I LIKE COAL” in the debate?

Ohio, Pennsylvania.

stenwin77 on October 10, 2012 at 6:44 AM

We got this thing.
Just read this: Landslide on the Horizon

Now, look at the date it was published. August 9th. Before Libya and before McSandTrapJugEars got his clock cleaned in the debate almost a week ago.

the new aesthetic on October 9, 2012 at 10:34 PM

Romney is doing the three things the author cited at the end of the article:

1. take the moral high ground on spending and entitlements
2. Force Obama to make errors (Big Bird)
3. Show strength in the debates

esr1951 on October 10, 2012 at 6:50 AM

History tells us that a incumbent Pres. under 50% nationality or in a state in the middle Oct.before the election with no (Major )third party candidate running (like a Ross Perot)Does not win.It also tells us that (True) undecided break for the challenger 85% to 90%. most of the time.The Suffolk polling comp.has a very good record for being a true nonpartisan polling comp.Does this all mean a Romney win?No because anything can happen to change the out come.One last thing.In 2008 Obama won Conn.by 15% and 2 days before the last debate he held a 13%lead over Romney in this state .Now the latest Rasmussen poll Obama lead over Romney in this state is 6% 51% to 45%.Obama will probably win Conn.but no way will he win with the margin he did in 2008.

logman1 on October 10, 2012 at 7:18 AM

4 weeks my friend and we get our country back. My faith is strong in this. We will win.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 10:55 PM

If so, then the hard work begins!

God speed, Mr. Romney, Mr. Ryan!

Go Freedom!

FastTalker on October 10, 2012 at 7:25 AM

I have a feeling we’ll soon being seeing an October surprise.

zoyclem on October 10, 2012 at 7:29 AM

does ANY pollster do this a month before an election?

Rasmussen? Zogby even?

PappyD61 on October 10, 2012 at 7:45 AM

While the DC metro area is in a bubble (and that is one that is protecting bubble-era home prices and cost of consumables), it is not immune to gas price hikes and to concerns about the future. Particularly in NoVA there are lots of DoD families and Obama has done nothing about sequestration.

The problem with becoming the public employee President is that those employees expect you to protect their jobs. Obama isn’t doing that for DoD. Thus support begins to erode in the Blue areas, which then shifts the nature of the NoVA vote.

Until the cocoon is pierced in NoVa and the reality of the rest of the nation allowed to assert itself, you will see no clamor for attacking the source of our National ills. I’ll give Obama and the Leftists this: they are the ones starting it with DoD employees which is their perennial self-destructive target. As no action continues to be taken, as employees at DoD and other agencies face cutbacks and the word RIF (Reduction In Force) begins to be whispered, these voters will either sit out or switch sides. They are being given no choices, though, as a vote for Obama is a vote for sequestration and cuts, a vote for Romney (while good for DoD) means major restructuring with possible changes in force levels for the civil side, and sitting it out is just putting fingers in one’s ears and singing ‘la-la-la-la-la I CAN’T HEAR YOU’.

After NOV the NoVA bubble will begin to implode, and only after that is the time to really start paring back the beast and start letting ex-government employees find something useful to do with their lives. And once you start trimming the beast, you best have that chainsaw ready to go after the main tentacles as a wounded beast gets nasty.

ajacksonian on October 10, 2012 at 8:06 AM

Hang in there. America will come back; there are more people that want to be free here than any place else in the world.

ghostwriter on October 9, 2012 at 11:02 PM

I’ll never give up. But until I see enough people who really really want to fight for this, I remain skeptical & pessimistic.

I’d like to know your opinion regarding Obama.
Do you think Obama is good for this country?
His policies of socialism, do you think this is a good direction for America to continue down?

Badger40 on October 9, 2012 at 10:44 PM”

No to the first question.

No to the second question.

And yes, he’s still going to win.

gumbyandpokey on October 9, 2012 at 11:35 PM

Notice I never asked you if he was going to win or not.
Thanks for the bone, though.
So if you think he’s so bad for this country & his policies are a bad direction for us, why do you carry his torch so gleefully?

Badger40 on October 10, 2012 at 8:10 AM

I think we’ll get more of America back than you think.

gophergirl on October 9, 2012 at 11:03 PM

I’m ready to believe you. But honestly, we are nothing like we were intended to be.
We will always have all of these programs & agencies. The corruption is so deeply rooted I seriously doubt this will ever happen.
Look at what Palin tried to do & look what it cost her. She will be vilified forever for doing the right thing.
I know so many ‘conservatives’ who are redistributionists with different stripes.
They scream & cry about their goodies when they’re about to be messed with in any way. So many people dependent upon the Federal & state governments in so many ways.
Look at what the EPA & the ESA does to American families & businesses.
Look at what the EAJA abuse has done to people in this country.
Look at taxes.
Look at regulations coming from places like OSHA.
It is so ridiculous I do not have faith it will be dismantled enough to make a huge difference.
Bcs there are just too many parasites that have sucked the blood out of America. IT really may just be too late.
But I will not lose all hope. I can summon a healthy dose of optimism when necessary.
And I do believe Mitt can help heal our nation with just good leadership.
Question is, do Americans have enough courage to be led by a good man?

Badger40 on October 10, 2012 at 8:16 AM

I’d love to see an honest poll of California. That would be telling.

tdarrington on October 10, 2012 at 8:25 AM

I’ve said this many times already and it’s good Suffolk agrees.

Obama isn’t going to win Virginia. He isn’t even close. Romney wins by a minimum of 5 points.

makattak on October 10, 2012 at 10:50 AM

The results of this election were written in concrete in March of 2010.

We’ve just been waiting, waiting, waiting to execute our vote in November 2012.

Two and half years of ‘talking heads’ wasting there time.

Carnac on October 10, 2012 at 11:06 AM

Suffolk pollster: We’re not polling Florida, Virginia, or North Carolina anymore, because Romney’s going to win them Obama has directed us not to report negative news about him.

The real reason.

BobMbx on October 10, 2012 at 11:07 AM

I’d love to see an honest poll of California. That would be telling.

tdarrington on October 10, 2012 at 8:25 AM

November 6th is fast approaching.

Carnac on October 10, 2012 at 11:07 AM

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