Bloomberg poll: Obama losing support on national security

posted at 3:21 pm on September 28, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

I missed the Bloomberg poll in the recent avalanche of polling results, but The Cable didn’t — and for good reason.  One month after Democrats bragged at their convention that they would pound Mitt Romney on foreign policy and national security, Barack Obama suddenly finds himself at a disadvantage on the issue of terrorism.  That wasn’t the only decline Bloomberg measured, either:

The foreign-policy results of the new Bloomberg National Poll haven’t gotten much attention yet, but the survey contains some bad news for the Obama campaign. According to the poll, Mitt Romney has a 48-42 advantage over Barack Obama on the question of which candidate would be tougher on terrorism. Romney, in other words, has encroached on one of Obama’s signature strengths.

What makes this result so surprising is that the president has consistently trounced Romney when it comes to counterterrorism. A Fox News poll earlier this month found that 49 percent of respondents trusted Obama to do a better job than Romney in protecting the United States from terrorist attacks, compared with 41 percent who put their faith in the Republican candidate. The president had a 51-40 advantage on handling terrorism in an ABC News/Washington Post poll around the same time, and a 50-35 edge on carrying out the war on terror in an Ipsos/Reuters poll in August. The Democrats’ rare national-security muscle was on full display at their convention, where speakers boasted about the administration’s successful raid against Osama bin Laden and targeted killings of al Qaeda leaders.

The Bloomberg poll contains other grim findings for Obama — such as declining approval of the president’s diplomacy and a neck-and-neck battle between Obama and Romney on flashpoint campaign issues such as energy independence, Chinese trade practices, relations with Israel, and Iran’s nuclear program (61 percent of respondents were skeptical about Obama’s pledge to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon).

This appears to be the first national poll taken after the White House’s Benghazi narrative began to collapse.  The poll itself doesn’t ask any confirming questions about that issue, though, so it’s unclear to what extent this may be driving those numbers.  The shift, though, is significant, giving Romney a six-point lead on terrorism, the first such lead I can recall this year. Romney also has a narrow two-point lead on relations with other countries, well within the margin of error, but putting support for Obama at just 45% — very low for an incumbent President who pitched his diplomatic skill at the convention.

Obama has a six-point lead in this poll among likely voters, 49/43, but there are other danger signs.  Romney has a bigger lead on the economy, winning by 12, 53/41, and the biggest issue by far in this poll is unemployment/jobs (43% rank it #1).  Obama only gets majorities on two issue questions: understanding your problems and struggles (51/38) and womens’ issues (54/34).  The rest of the issues are virtual toss-ups, except for the Romney six-point lead on terrorism and the Romney seven-point lead on gas prices, and a six-point Obama lead on health care — usually a huge Democratic advantage.

So how did Obama end up with a six-point lead?  It might have something to do with the D/R/I split among likely voters of 30/24/41, which narrows to 38/36/21 with leaners included.  Despite this split, though, Republicans have a narrow lead on the Congressional ballot, 43/41 and 45/43 with leaners, so either the sample split may not be impacting the poll numbers, or the GOP will be stronger in Congressional races that the media assumes.

Update: “Declines” was supposed to be “decline.”

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Comment pages: 1 2

letget on September 28, 2012 at 4:31 PM

Heard that about a 3 dozen times over my life so far. It is true.

So, the question is, when do we actually do something, anything, just one damned thing at all to stop this continued attack on us?

I have been voting for 24 years. There was one total politician on the national level that has done anything to thwart this insidious self destruction, that man did not win the primary this year, instead a man who actually did many of these things while in office won our primary.

he will just do the same, but on a slower scale.

When do we turn the tide and move things the other way?

astonerii on September 28, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Obama shows he is more charitable than Romney by promising free Bamaphones for all.

LSM on Anyday, Anyyear, at Anytime.

.

.

Gunlock Bill on September 28, 2012 at 4:37 PM

Obama explains that because he is closer to God than that Romney guy, he doesn’t need to pray.

LSM on Anyday, Anyyear, at Anytime.

.

.

Gunlock Bill on September 28, 2012 at 4:35 PM

Thats because he believes he is god

steel guy on September 28, 2012 at 4:39 PM

But I thought all polls were Liberal creations meant to depress Republican voter turnout and thus not to be trusted because of their lack of factual information.

I swear you guys keep me on my toes here.

Politricks on September 28, 2012 at 3:40 PM

Man you guys are desperate.

tommyhawk on September 28, 2012 at 3:50 PM

Translation: We can’t think of any rational reason he should be reelected either, but we get paid to post here so we’ll just resort to ridicule.

Flora Duh on September 28, 2012 at 4:39 PM

ROTFLMAO… You’re not fooling anyone but yourself there duffus…

SWalker on September 28, 2012 at 4:23 PM

So, there is no plan. You really have only thought outward exactly to November 6, 2012, and after that is is all hope for change.

Thanks for clarifying.

astonerii on September 28, 2012 at 4:28 PM

Explaining strategy to you is just like try to teach a pig to sing… it just don’t work. So…. What is your fantasmagoric plan? Oh yea… it’s to criticize everyone elses plan and not actually have a plan with a prayer in hell of working…

SWalker on September 28, 2012 at 4:41 PM

The cognitive dissonance of these polls is mind-numbing. How can Obama be leading in the head to head match up when he trails on all the things that voters say matter to them?

PrincipleStand on September 28, 2012 at 4:36 PM

He’s not leading, only in fantasyland that the media try’s to create

Conservative4ev on September 28, 2012 at 4:42 PM

There was one total politician

astonerii on September 28, 2012 at 4:36 PM

Oh yea…your messiah Herr Doktor white Supremest…

SWalker on September 28, 2012 at 4:43 PM

When do we turn the tide and move things the other way?

I, like you have voted for years hoping that who I voted for would keep their word to help if I voted and funded them. I can not answer the question on how/what we can do, just see what is now the option and each person decides, you like that or want do do something else?

I have been talking to God for help with our nation and if He has another plan, guess He will help us vote for the best choice?

I know what bho is and I can’t see R&R near as bad as he/team has been/are!
L

letget on September 28, 2012 at 4:48 PM

Isn’t anyone going to complain that the Bloomberg poll is skewed?

chumpThreads on September 28, 2012 at 4:33 PM

O’bamna will win 100% of the high school dropout vote this time.

You must be so proud of him.

Del Dolemonte on September 28, 2012 at 4:52 PM

Bloomberg poll: Obama losing support on national security

gummeandpokeme stuck in a septic valve somewhere?

KOOLAID2 on September 28, 2012 at 4:56 PM

Ummm, cool cell phones for My Norities?

SWalker on September 28, 2012 at 3:32 PM

Do you do anything besides race-bait?

libfreeordie on September 28, 2012 at 4:22 PM

Ahh, I see our Little Professor here has duly digested today’s Leftist Talking Points from The Atlantic.

Just How Racist Is the O’bamna Phone Video?

Well Played.

/

Del Dolemonte on September 28, 2012 at 4:59 PM

Ahh, I see our Little Professor here has duly digested today’s Leftist Talking Points from The Atlantic.

Just How Racist Is the O’bamna Phone Video?

Well Played.

/

Del Dolemonte on September 28, 2012 at 4:59 PM

.

Seriously? Rebutting LibFreeOffTheTaxpayer ??

Just WHAT DOES a Community Organizer do ??

IN A NUTSHELL, HE BUYS VOTES. And yes, ACORNs are involved as well.

The Corruptocrats BUY VOTES ! For decades ! thats their deal.

That’s why a GOD is inconvenient for them.

FlaMurph on September 28, 2012 at 5:09 PM

The question many are asking is if he is polling better head to head on the issues, how can Romney be losing.

The answer is simple. He’s not losing.

Don’t take the bait. Romney margin of victory will be at minimum as large as Bush’s over Kerry … probably greater.

jdflorida on September 28, 2012 at 5:24 PM

Al Qaedians for Obama ’12
4 More Years – Inshallah

Typicalwhitewoman on September 28, 2012 at 5:45 PM

jdflorida on September 28, 2012 at 5:24 PM

.
2008 Ocmmie got 50.9% of Florida vote- Messiah Time at its highest.

Some of these fraud pollsters want people to believe the Fraudulent One is already polling at 53-54% here in Fla.
It’s a LIE.

They want you to believe his support has grown.
Ive seen maybe 10 Hopey/Slo Joe bumper stickers in the corridorthe past 2 months -and 1/3 those look they were tattered 2008s.

Don’t believe these lying dishonest journalists, who are citing these polls trying to create another Obamagasm. Oy vey….

FlaMurph on September 28, 2012 at 5:51 PM

MSNBC has Obama winning in essentially every poll. Why doesn’t a credible conservative media outlet evaluate the sampling statistics and other data then either validate or discredit these left wing polls. Even Fox does nothing but regurgitate the poll results of the mainstream media. The message from the media is, give up it’s over. Even if the polls are invalid they are accomplishing exactly what the Democrats want them to do . . . generating doubt among Republican and other conservative voters. Things look bad and are getting worse each day. Is Romney still in the fight or has he given up? As terrible as it sounds it looks like we’re heading for McCain II.

rplat on September 28, 2012 at 5:52 PM

generating doubt among Republican and other conservative voters.

rplat on September 28, 2012 at 5:52 PM

don’t be one of them.

watching msnbc is not good for anyone’s health so don’t do that either.

gracie on September 28, 2012 at 5:56 PM

rplat on September 28, 2012 at 5:52 PM

Aside from The Faxtor dissecting polls all the time, most FOX shows have addressed this issue.

Rasmussen is a frequent guest and Dick Morris attacks polls like Sherman went through the south. Dick has backed off his Romney landslide, however.

Fox can’t do it 24/7 though.

IlikedAUH2O on September 28, 2012 at 6:00 PM

watching msnbc is not good for anyone’s health so don’t do that either.

gracie on September 28, 2012 at 5:56 PM

I don’t know about that as a general proposition but I was watching HARDBALL quite a bit and had my testosterone drop like a rock!

And out POTUS started looking strange to me so I carried pics of him, had cutouts in my bedroom…

IlikedAUH2O on September 28, 2012 at 6:03 PM

Apparently a whole lot of people are paying attention. Blogs rock while the media sleeps.

tarpon on September 28, 2012 at 6:08 PM

So it’s official: the U.S. believes the September 11 attack on the Benghazi consulate was a “deliberate and organized terrorist attack.”

And with that Friday night dump statement, Director of National Intelligence (an oxymoron if there ever was one) James Clapper threw himself under the bus.

de rigueur on September 28, 2012 at 6:41 PM

don’t be one of them.

watching msnbc is not good for anyone’s health so don’t do that either.

gracie on September 28, 2012 at 5:56 PM

I understand the statistics of polling and I accept essentially nothing until I review the data and the mathematics. Unfortunately, many see polls as some kind of dark magic and accept them without question. If one sees constant positives for Obama, that can, and does in many cases influence their attitudes toward him, and can in-turn influence their voting behavior. Political polling by the media is done for only three reasons; first to make money for the pollsters, second, to inform the public, and third, to influence the outcome of a political event.

rplat on September 28, 2012 at 6:59 PM

According to the poll, Mitt Romney has a 48-42 advantage over Barack Obama on the question of which candidate would be tougher on terrorism. Romney, in other words, has encroached on one of Obama’s signature strengths.

Tough on terrorism?

Obombastard?

Danny on September 29, 2012 at 12:59 AM

Most Historically Important Thread This Month

If Mitt was the flimsy, spineless, groveling moderate he ahs been called by conservatives, I think that a quick fix of his problems with “women’s issues” and “understanding your problems” would be quickly eradicated.

Mitt needed Roseanne Barr or maybe a female executive from big business as a VP choice.

But he wants to win with quality.

He may lose with it.

IlikedAUH2O on September 29, 2012 at 7:23 AM

Obama couldn’t fill that arena with adoring fans, remember? The busses were ready. The weather was fine. The free tickets were available. But they couldn’t hack it. Yet it was all part of the grandiose strategy. The idea was to project the illusion of mass adoration and inevitability. Same with these recent media polls. But the facts on the ground don’t tally.

His black vote is down. His Hispanic vote is down. His youth vote is down. The Jewish vote is down. The Catholic vote is down. He’s way behind with the middle class vote. He’s way behind with veterans. He’s way behind with the white vote. He’s way behind in party enthusiasm. He’s behind with the economy. Now he’s behind in foreign policy. The early Ohio vote is down from ’08. And so is his latest job approval rating.

Romney will win this thing–and probably win it decisively.

writeblock on September 29, 2012 at 4:13 PM

Must see

Schadenfreude on September 29, 2012 at 4:56 PM

The cognitive dissonance of these polls is mind-numbing. How can Obama be leading in the head to head match up when he trails on all the things that voters say matter to them?

PrincipleStand on September 28, 2012 at 4:36 PM

He’s not leading, only in fantasyland that the media try’s to create

Conservative4ev on September 28, 2012 at 4:42 PM

The only one living in fantasy land is you and other conservatives who think Romney is ahead. Even Rasmussan, the only poll hotair poster trust, has Obama up by two for two straight days now.

Ric on September 29, 2012 at 8:30 PM

Comment pages: 1 2