Pelosi: A House Democratic majority is “very doable” this November

posted at 4:01 pm on September 5, 2012 by Erika Johnsen

Well… her confidence, at least, is compelling. From the WashTimes:

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi isn’t a mathematician, but on Wednesday she shared with reporters an intricate arithmetical formula that shows a “very doable” path for Democrats to win back the House in the November elections.

Most political experts and race forecasters predict Democrats will pick up up only a handful of the 25 seats needed to recapture the chamber from Republicans. But the California Democrat, while speaking at a breakfast news briefing Wednesday sponsored by the Christian Science Monitor, said the task is “very doable.” And her victory plan hinges on the 63 Republican-held seats won by President Obama four years ago.

Of the 18 Obama-won seats also carried by 2004 Democratic presidential candidate, Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, Mrs. Pelosi says her party should win at least 12.

And of the 45 remaining seats, she said that, conservatively, her party should win one-third, or 15 seats. If her math proved true, the tally would be a pickup of 27 seats — two more than needed to win the House.

Uh huh. Of course, anything’s possible, I suppose, and who knows what might happen in the two remaining months until the election. But, if I absolutely had to put my money somewhere, at this moment I’d bet on the Congressional status quo remaining as-is. Just generally, with the national presidential poll numbers being so interminably close, I’m thinking Democrats may net a few House seats (and it seems like many of the pundits and pollsters concur), but I’m not sure I would count on the 27-seat swing Rep. Pelosi is looking for to jeopardize Boehner’s speakership. And as of July, at least, the Republicans are still besting their rivals in terms of campaign cash:

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) outpaced its Democratic rival in July fundraising, bringing in $11.7 million to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s (DCCC) $8.2 million.

The NRCC expanded its cash-on-hand edge as well, with $48.9 million in the bank to the DCCC’s $36.2 million. The committee whose party is in the majority usually has the edge in fundraising.

Anyhow, the Senate is in much closer contention for a change-up, with 23 Democratic and 10 Republican seats in the mix, and some tough toss-ups in presidential battleground states — gotta’ admit, I’m a wee bit more nervous about the Senate and obviously the presidency than I am about Pelosi’s prediction’s for an upset.


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Comment pages: 1 2

Let’s not forget that this dunce also predicted a net gain of seats for Democrats in 2010. That should tell you all you need to know about San Fran Nan’s predictive powers. This is going to be another wave election where by the Romney voters help build an even bigger gain in the House, net pick up of 10 seats, plus a gain of 8 in the Senate. Romney skates with 354 Electoral Votes to Zero’s 184.

Flyovercountry on September 5, 2012 at 5:37 PM

The Botox is seeping into the brain.

FlaMurph on September 5, 2012 at 5:38 PM

The House has had a pro democratic (mob rule) majority ever since the R’s kicked Gingrich out as Speaker…and that is why we are in this economic big spending nightmare.

aposematic on September 5, 2012 at 5:45 PM

It is clear that Nancy is skipping some very vital meds…

Clearly, she remains out in left field…

(double pun: liberal left and baseball reference to Babe Ruth)

Khun Joe on September 5, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Princess Nana’s medication of choice is Grey Goose vodka. She always had to have her Air Force Nana plane stocked with it.

slickwillie2001 on September 5, 2012 at 5:54 PM

It’s going to to take a wooden stake, I tell ya…

SickofLibs on September 5, 2012 at 6:01 PM

Strike Hornet on September 5, 2012 at 4:20 PM
And my beloved Cubbies Winning the WS Making the playoffs finishing above 500 is also ‘doable’.
annoyinglittletwerp on September 5, 2012 at 5:00 PM

LOL

Strike Hornet on September 5, 2012 at 7:52 PM

This is your brain on Botox.

Resist We Much on September 5, 2012 at 7:56 PM

Heck, I think the GOP will pick up 10 or 15 more seats this fall. Don’t forget that about 25 to 28 states redistricted with the GOP in charge for the first time in decades. That will account for some seats flipping that may never have flipped before. And of the 10 seats lost, at least 8 went to really red states.

karenhasfreedom on September 5, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Meanwhile, Nancy Pelosi remains eminently not doable.

Blacklake on September 5, 2012 at 7:57 PM

Translation of Pelosi’s statement: “Please, please, PLEEEEEZ make me Speaker again!”

RebeccaH on September 5, 2012 at 8:09 PM

It’s going to to take a wooden stake, I tell ya…

SickofLibs on September 5, 2012 at 6:01 PM

No, it’s going to also take a mirror, a cross, a silver bullet, and sunshine. And you may have to throw a bucket of water on her just to make certain.

BMF on September 6, 2012 at 8:17 AM

She sounded drunk and made no sense yesterday during her speech to the DNC or maybe that’s how she sounds all the time. It must be easy for the dems to compose speeches when all they do is spout the same talking points over and over.

Kissmygrits on September 6, 2012 at 9:25 AM

Comment pages: 1 2