Quotes of the day

posted at 11:05 pm on September 4, 2012 by Allahpundit

President Barack Obama says his Republican challenger has the “wrong vision” for the country. So what’s his?

Some of his agenda for a second term is a continuation of the first. He’d raise taxes on annual family incomes above $250,000. He’d continue to spend on education and green energy. He’d implement the health care law and financial regulations already enacted. And he’d continue to withdraw U.S. combat troops from Afghanistan with a goal of getting them all out by the end of 2014.

Much of his plan is an open question, though, rendered all the more mysterious when he was caught on an open microphone telling Russian President Dmitry Medvedev earlier this year that he’d have “more flexibility” after the November election. To do what isn’t yet clear. Though he’s offered broad themes on the campaign trail, Obama has yet to flesh out the details.

***

What should Mr. Obama push for? The richest American earners must pay more taxes on personal incomes, but the president should also propose comprehensive tax reforms to level the business playing field and encourage growth. A modest carbon tax should also be part of the mix—and I would strongly favor using the revenues to pay equal dividends directly to each American. Dividends would do more for low- and moderate-income families, buffering them against higher energy costs and boosting consumer demand. They also would give all citizens a visible and easily understood stake in the transition to a greener economy…

Perhaps the GOP will remain grumpy about the Affordable Care Act through 2014 and refuse to cooperate on routine legislative fixes. But a second Obama administration can move full speed ahead with the states. With repeal no longer possible, governors of both parties will have strong incentives to accept most Medicaid expansions and get the new health-insurance exchanges right. Mr. Obama should continue to welcome state-level experimentation, so that the best solutions can be found and spread across the land.

***

Above all, we need to slow, stop and reverse climate change. A generation ago, as we faced another man-made global threat, the United States provided the leadership that produced an international agreement to ban chlorofluorocarbons from consumer products. Those chemicals had been destroying Earth’s life-protecting ozone layer.

The coming 25th anniversary of that Montreal Protocol serves as a timely reminder as we confront this generation’s planetary crisis: The world can come together. We can conquer climate change.

Doing so starts with presidential leadership, and the Obama administration has made a good start—most notably through carbon-reducing performance standards like the auto fuel-efficiency standards it issued last week. Fundamentally, though, Americans will need to finally put a price on carbon pollution.

***

The president should approach the Republican leadership with an outstretched hand on a broad front of issues and be prepared to consider steps he has resisted. By doing so, he’ll seize the political high ground. And if the Republicans join him, his second administration would have the best chance to leave the country in better shape than he found it in 2009.

Here’s some of what this might mean:

Reaching a long-term fiscal agreement somewhere in the zone demarcated by the Simpson-Bowles and Domenici-Rivlin commissions.

Stabilizing the long-term finances of Social Security within the framework of the current program, which could be achieved through modest and well-understood changes in both revenues and benefits. For example, earnings subject to the Social Security payroll tax could be gradually raised to 90% from 85%, while benefits for upper-income beneficiaries could be indexed to inflation rather than wages.

***

If Barack Obama wins re-election, Republicans will accept the fruitlessness of strategic obstruction. Unencumbered by the imperative to defeat Obama, who will be a lame duck president anyhow, they will begin to work with him on matters of urgent importance to the country.

That’s the White House’s operating theory, anyhow. In their words, the GOP’s fever will break. Or, as Obama himself recently put it, the “blister” will pop, and a new birth of good will will ooze forth into our politics.

There’s just one problem with the theory. Republicans and conservative thought leaders both openly say Democrats are kidding themselves. Even if Obama wins, the GOP is prepared to stymie him all over again — unless he more or less adopts a Republican governing agenda. Some have even used the promise of ongoing obstruction as an argument for a Romney president: Better to let us run the whole show than to keep government divided, because we won’t work with Obama if that happens.

It’s a brazen admission, and one the White House doesn’t really have an answer for.

***

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Thursday that if President Barack Obama is reelected, there would be potential under a divided government to make real progress on tax reform and entitlements.

With one caveat.

“I think it depends on whether Obama has an epiphany,” McConnell said in an interview…

“People ask me all the time to kind of psychoanalyze the guy, because I know him pretty well. I have no idea what he really is like,” McConnell said. “I can only assess what he has done. And what he has done so far is neither Reagan-like or Clintonian. And I can’t predict what he would be like in a second term. But I know this: he will not be able to do anything like what he did in the first two years.”

***

If Obama wins, he will almost certainly win with a smaller majority of the vote than he got in 2008, in defiance of the usual trend: Incumbents who win re-election usually do better the second time around. Republicans will almost certainly add to their ranks in the Senate, and may take a majority. No way would they see this set of election results as a “decisive” statement of support for Obama’s views…

The Republicans aren’t going to change. Judging from the interview, neither will the president. He said that after the election he would tell Republicans “you no longer need to be focused on trying to beat me; what you need to be focused on and what you should have been focused on from the start is how do we advance the American economy.” He would reiterate that he has always been open to compromise. And he would “look at how we can work around Congress,” if needed…

If the public renders a split verdict — returning Obama to the presidency and giving Republicans more power in Congress — both parties will insist that it’s the other that needs to “listen to the American people.” The choice before those people is looking more and more like one between Romney and a unified Republican government, or Obama and four more years that look a lot like the last two.

***

Personally, I wish Obama would use this convention to embrace Bowles-Simpson. That would lay the foundation for decades of prosperity. It would galvanize a new center-left majority.

But, mostly, I wish he’d be for something. I wish he’d rise above the petty tactical considerations that have shrunk him over the past two years. I wish he’d finally define what he stands for. A liberal populist? A Clintonian moderate? At some point, you have to choose.

Four years ago, Obama said we could no longer postpone tackling the big problems. But now he seems driven by a fear of defeat. His proposals seem bite-size. If Obama can’t tell us the big policy thing he wants to do, he doesn’t deserve a second term.

***

Nevertheless, the Obama team remains cautiously confident that they are on track to win reelection for the President. As David Plouffe put it in an interview with me, while Obama advisers fully expect the race to be extremely close until the end, as long as he maintains a small but persistent lead in the battleground states, “we’re right on the cusp of victory.”

The Romney camp seems to be hoping for a big, late break of undecided voters his way. But Dems remain convinced they understand who these voters are and what motivates them better than the Romney team does — and don’t see a way that these voters break to Romney in large enough numbers to overcome a two or three point deficit in the key battlegrounds.

“The question is, Is Romney going to get enough of the undecided vote to overcome a two or three point deficit in the battle ground states?” Plouffe told me. “Most assuredly not.”

***


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Michelle’s speech was full of snide pot shots at wealth. That was ugly.

Paul-Cincy on September 4, 2012 at 11:06 PM

First and Second. whoop whoop

Paul-Cincy on September 4, 2012 at 11:07 PM

Incomplete.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:08 PM

President Barack Obama says his Republican challenger has the “wrong vision” for the country. So what’s his?

“This seat’s taken” <—- Expiration date Nov. 6th 2012…

With Glint of Steel and speed of hand the knife doth cut so fast the victim feels not the mortal wounds.

SWalker on September 4, 2012 at 11:08 PM

Above all, we need to slow, stop and reverse climate change.

Racist. That already happened when Obama was nominated in 2008.

malclave on September 4, 2012 at 11:08 PM

Totally incomplete. Couldn’t cut it.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:09 PM

fifty third!

Laura in Maryland on September 4, 2012 at 11:10 PM

Ugggh. What a bunch of ugly mean spirited creeps at that convention…

OmahaConservative on September 4, 2012 at 11:10 PM

Fundamentally, though, Americans will need to finally put a price on carbon pollution.

Anybody remember smog alerts? Yeah, good times.

John the Libertarian on September 4, 2012 at 11:10 PM

Plouffe is the toad who took Iranian money.

jawkneemusic on September 4, 2012 at 11:10 PM

MO was about government programs and benefits and how they help everyone succeed…

d1carter on September 4, 2012 at 11:10 PM

The president should approach the Republican leadership with an outstretched hand on a broad front of issues and be prepared to consider steps he has resisted. By doing so, he’ll seize the political high ground

It’s not in his DNA to do these things, he’s a hard-core marxist through and through.

Rio Linda Refugee on September 4, 2012 at 11:11 PM

The Obama’s are so nouveau riche!

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:11 PM

Who moves the world?

Good Lt on September 4, 2012 at 11:12 PM

Here a perfect Republican ad…

Show Thursday night when the entire convention is chanting…

FOUR MORE YEARS! FOUR MORE YEARS!

Then continue the audio of the chant while showing unemployed workers, Solyndra, etc.

aunursa on September 4, 2012 at 11:12 PM

President Barack Obama says his Republican challenger has the “wrong vision” for the country. So what’s his?

Himself.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:14 PM

What drives Obama is his inborn nature, which is similar to that of a Vampyroteuthis Infernalis, lit. “Vampire Squid from Hell”, ramming his blood funnel into every part of America to suck dry all remaining individual freedoms. His blood lust will not be satiated unless the United States Constitution, especially including it’s Bill of Rights, is a withered corpse. If this throwback fascist monstrosity wins reelection this November the mask will come completely off and he will go into a rabid freedom killing frenzy such as this nation has never before even imagined.

VorDaj on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

Obama is not going to win re-election…

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

No word on jobs yet.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Thursday that if President Barack Obama is reelected, there would be potential under a divided government to make real progress on tax reform and entitlements.

He’s a real cheerleader, isn’t he.
This guy should have been replaced yesterday by Marco Rubio.
McConnell cares about his own position, period. “Yeah, I could work with the guy.”
Woo-hoo.

Marcus on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

Anyone want to give it a shot at explaining this??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

Yes. Good idea. Take the whole carbon taxes thing to PA, OH, and VA, and run with it.

Good call…

JohnGalt23 on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

I think Tim Geithner pretty much summed up Obama’s platform:

“We don’t have [any] definitive solution[s] to our problem[s]…we just don’t like yours.”

That’s why Obama is left to giving retread speeches from 2008.

To quote 44:

“Just words. Just speeches.”
.
.

“690 Reasons to Defeat Obama”

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/09/690-reasons-to-defeat-obama.html

M2RB: Aerosmith

Resist We Much on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

First and Second. whoop whoop

Paul-Cincy on September 4, 2012 at 11:07 PM

O_o

Bishop on September 4, 2012 at 11:18 PM

Incomplete.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:08 PM

THIS..

But Moochelle can make up the difference..

Electrongod on September 4, 2012 at 11:18 PM

The Obama’s are so nouveau riche!

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:11 PM

Yeah, and I eat at Chez Nous.

Lanceman on September 4, 2012 at 11:18 PM

The word on jobs: The line starts back there. Further. A little further. Keep going. Keep going …

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:18 PM

Honestly, I couldn’t take more than 5 minutes of this convention.

VBMax on September 4, 2012 at 11:19 PM

Anyone want to give it a shot at explaining this??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

Dude, that’s gay.

Lanceman on September 4, 2012 at 11:19 PM

FLASH: Barack’s brother still lives and shtruggles in a hut. He cares.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:20 PM

I thought there were some boring RNC speeches, but the DNC is making those look like high adrenaline action flicks with lots of sex and violence.

Slade73 on September 4, 2012 at 11:21 PM

VorDaj on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

I like your style, man. Blood funnel.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:22 PM

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

I hope nobody can explain it…LOL.

d1carter on September 4, 2012 at 11:24 PM

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Thursday that if President Barack Obama is reelected, there would be potential under a divided government to make real progress on tax reform and entitlements.

Sure, Reid. We have divided government now and you can’t even make any progress on passing a budget, which you are required by the Budget and Impoundment Control Act of 1974 to do.

It’s only been 1,245 days since the Senate last performed its legally-required duty.

You’re still hung-up on Romney’s tax returns even though the New York Times, really!, showed how ridiculous your claim was.

That’s because Mr. Romney paid income tax to foreign countries, and as result claimed in 2010 a $129,697 foreign tax credit, which he used to offset taxes he owed in the United States. American taxpayers who claim the foreign tax credit are required to report their total foreign taxes paid and tax credits used for the previous 10 years. So that return contains foreign tax data going back to 2000.

The good news for Mr. Romney is the forms suggest that he paid at least some federal income tax every year, as he has said he did. He used the foreign tax credit every year to offset his taxes in the United States, and American taxpayers can’t use a tax credit if they owe no federal income tax. This casts even more doubt on the claim by the Senate majority leader, Harry Reid, attributed to an unnamed Bain Capital source, that Mr. Romney paid no income taxes during that time.

And, if that weren’t enough to rebut your asinine claim “The word’s out that he hasn’t paid ANY taxes for 10 years. Let him prove that he has paid taxes, because he hasn’t,” Romney’s tax returns do:

Romney paid $3,009,766 in Federal income taxes in 2010.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/romney-2010-tax-return.html

He paid $3,226,623 in Federal income taxes in 2011.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/documents/romney-2011-estimated-1040.html

Further, the whole “investor” thing is ludicrous, too. What investor is privy to the individual tax returns or lack thereof of the ownership of an investment firm … especially when the alleged tax evader hasn’t been involved in the management of the company for more than a decade?

Lastly, after you made your accusation, the Salon.com writer Alex Seitz-Wald consulted several tax attorneys about its theoretical plausibility and determined that it was “nothing short of ludicrous.”

Resist We Much on September 4, 2012 at 11:25 PM

He’s a real cheerleader, isn’t he.
This guy should have been replaced yesterday by Marco Rubio.
McConnell cares about his own position, period. “Yeah, I could work with the guy.”
Woo-hoo.

Marcus on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

Romney has an uphill battle still. It doesnt help Virgil Goode made the ballot in virginia. I dont think the republican big wigs thought romney ever stood a chance. they wanted him in to bring bush 2016.

Flapjackmaka on September 4, 2012 at 11:25 PM

I have trouble trying to figure out AP’s approach to QOTD.

There is no attempt to provide a conservative outlook which would benefit from discussion.

There isn’t even an attempt to provide a beta male Republican outlook which would stir discussion.

I believe he comes up with a sub-headline (Second term?) finds the left of center articles which touch on it and then departs for the day … perhaps feeling he has “done no harm”.

If he is just acknowledging the rambling socialfest QOTD has become why bother with the squishy mish-mash?

Why not just call it, “End of Day Free for All” and be done with it?

PolAgnostic on September 4, 2012 at 11:25 PM

Wow.. listening to DFW radio .. an obviously black male just called to thank the host for sharing all of the Dem lies, compared to the convention speeches.
‘How can he turn his back on his brother in Africa ?’

surprised, here.

pambi on September 4, 2012 at 11:27 PM

Talk all they want, nothing will change the fact that TFGRP is a dog-eater.

Bishop on September 4, 2012 at 11:28 PM

Did the unemployment rate go down tonight?

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:28 PM

d1carter on September 4, 2012 at 11:24 PM

+ 100..I hear you!!!..

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:29 PM

Anyone want to give it a shot at explaining this??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

.
Somehow you are surprised to discover BF is tacky old man?

PolAgnostic on September 4, 2012 at 11:29 PM

No word on jobs yet.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:16 PM

Steve might be dead, but he’s still gonna vote for Obama, early and often.

Laura in Maryland on September 4, 2012 at 11:31 PM

Flapjackmaka on September 4, 2012 at 11:25 PM

shhh, don’t tell that to the romney supporters. they still believe we have a shot at this.

no way. look at the filth and lies tonite. and romney’s going to play nice guy?

nope, don’t look good for us at all.

renalin on September 4, 2012 at 11:31 PM

Somehow you are surprised to discover BF is tacky old man?

PolAgnostic on September 4, 2012 at 11:29 PM

Is that what that was.

Lanceman on September 4, 2012 at 11:31 PM

FLASH: Barack’s brother still lives and shtruggles in a hut. He cares.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:20 PM

Of course, Barry cares about his brother. But, Michelle? Not so much. She has appearances to keep up. I mean, her sneakers cost more than that clown makes in a year. Nouveau Riche types are very sensitive to that sort of thing.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:31 PM

At least Carter had what little courage it took to fill the TV screen with his face and say “Trust Me”.

He didn’t send his wife to say it.

Speakup on September 4, 2012 at 11:32 PM

Anyone want to give it a shot at explaining this??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

Something to do with dogs. You can take it from there.

Curtiss on September 4, 2012 at 11:33 PM

(lurk off)

Is it safe to say “Kapla!” over here…?

*clink*

:)

(lurk back on)

Seven Percent Solution on September 4, 2012 at 11:33 PM

I like coming to Hot Air because it reinforces what I already believe. This releases dopamine in my brain and makes me feel content and safe!

Alpha_Male on September 4, 2012 at 11:33 PM

First and Second. whoop whoop

Paul-Cincy on September 4, 2012 at 11:07 PM

O_o

Bishop on September 4, 2012 at 11:18 PM

…oh oh!…they may be uncovering a body at the sandy base of Mount Obama!

KOOLAID2 on September 4, 2012 at 11:34 PM

Honestly, I couldn’t take more than 5 minutes of this convention.

VBMax on September 4, 2012 at 11:19 PM

I didn’t turn it on, and I don’t plan on watching any of it.

I found their platform online, but I found myself feeling literally sick to my stomach skimming it. The main thing I noticed was that Obama’s name was there all over the place. Then I found that Brietbart had already discovered that Narcissist-in-Chief: Obama Most Cited Term in Dem Platform. (I’ve been off the grid so maybe everyone else already knew that).

He is a dangerous megalomaniac. The GOP Platform mentions Romney once in the intro and not at all in the body. It’s a policy and principle statement–which is what a platform should be. The Dem Platform is a Jim Jones Personality Cult Kool-Ade document.

INC on September 4, 2012 at 11:34 PM

That’s how President Obama gets more money. A carbon tax on EVERYBODY! If you breathe, you pay.

athenadelphi on September 4, 2012 at 11:35 PM

Pierce Morgan asking hard hitting questions tonight… What does the American Dream mean to you?

He has 2 far left anti-American activists in front of him.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:36 PM

When will the Greek columns be raised?

OmahaConservative on September 4, 2012 at 11:36 PM

no way. look at the filth and lies tonite. and romney’s going to play nice guy?

nope, don’t look good for us at all.

renalin on September 4, 2012 at 11:31 PM

It’s looking exactly like 2004. Romney like Kerry doesnt have as big of a money advantage to make it count. Seeing as there are states he has to win, that money can be matched by Obie since it’s only four states. Not to mention Obama still has his gigantic GOTV in place. Comes with the perks of being an incumbent

And I really think the debates will be like 2008, nobody remembers them.

Flapjackmaka on September 4, 2012 at 11:36 PM

AP: Did you help with the Democratic platform..?

d1carter on September 4, 2012 at 11:36 PM

If,Gawd-Forbid,theres a second term,its going to be a `Mandate for Obama“!

The National Nightmare NeverEndus!!

canopfor on September 4, 2012 at 11:37 PM

Nevertheless, the Obama team remains cautiously confident that they are on track to win reelection for the President. As David Plouffe put it in an interview with me, while Obama advisers fully expect the race to be extremely close until the end, as long as he maintains a small but persistent lead in the battleground states, “we’re right on the cusp of victory.”…

May they continue to believe this.

May it not even be close.

May they be mocked out of town, into oblivion, so as to never repeat such charlatanry.

Schadenfreude on September 4, 2012 at 11:37 PM

This whole thing is about restoring this country from the Middle Class outwards. Sort of like a giant Albanian pyramid scheme.

Curtiss on September 4, 2012 at 11:37 PM

tomorrow is AP’s 4-0! Please start considering what videos you will be showing in his ‘honor’

annoyinglittletwerp on September 4, 2012 at 11:37 PM

After hearing Moochelle’s speech tonite, I think they are preparing Barack for sainthood. She made him sound like Gandhi. She presented him as completely nonpartisan, and he just loves, loves, loves everybody!

TarheelBen on September 4, 2012 at 11:38 PM

I have trouble trying to figure out AP’s approach to QOTD.

There is no attempt to provide a conservative outlook which would benefit from discussion.

There isn’t even an attempt to provide a beta male Republican outlook which would stir discussion.

I believe he comes up with a sub-headline (Second term?) finds the left of center articles which touch on it and then departs for the day … perhaps feeling he has “done no harm”.

If he is just acknowledging the rambling socialfest QOTD has become why bother with the squishy mish-mash?

Why not just call it, “End of Day Free for All” and be done with it?

PolAgnostic on September 4, 2012 at 11:25 PM

This man, Allahpundit, is a typical case of knee jerk reactionary who who believes by the crap that liberals and some other knee jerk reactionaries on our side say and gets very intimidated by them… It is really pathetic… Notice that he is the only main writer on HotAir who is afraid to use his real name, this should tell you a lot about his character…

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:38 PM

Did the unemployment rate go down tonight?

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:28 PM

Well, no — are you talking about actual measures or political measures? — not that it matters.

On the other hand, Michelle and the girls plan to tour the Andes this Fall. Won’t that be great?

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:38 PM

Anyone want to give it a shot at explaining this??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

turdfreeordie lost his belt?

KOOLAID2 on September 4, 2012 at 11:38 PM

This year the polls mean little. Most people lie like never before, to protect themselves and their kin.

Schadenfreude on September 4, 2012 at 11:39 PM

But, mostly, I wish he’d be for something. I wish he’d rise above the petty tactical considerations that have shrunk him over the past two years. I wish he’d finally define what he stands for.

The only thing I wish is that he will be gone from the Presidency come November 6th.

Btw, has anyone noticed that there is not really anything on the television tonight? Is it always that way on a Tuesday, or is the media trying to help the dems get more viewers for their crap-fest.

I also noticed that on the pics of the convention, like on the Yahoo front page, how angry all the dems look that they are spotlighting. Must be fun watching that tripe.
I am glad we have people to watch it, because I could never.

Sterling Holobyte on September 4, 2012 at 11:39 PM

I see Ritalin is still being a pathetic loser..

wargamer6 on September 4, 2012 at 11:40 PM

Hey Dire, Obviously Barney is in a hurry to get up to his room and do his David Carradine impression.

bigmike on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

I see Ritalin is still being a pathetic loser..

wargamer6 on September 4, 2012 at 11:40 PM

Cuda!!!..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:38 PM

you’re gross

blatantblue on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

It will be scrotched earth from Nov 7th to Jan 20th.

Lanceman on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

bigmike on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

LoLz..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

Anyone want to give it a shot at explaining this??!!??..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:17 PM

Rabid dog escaped the communist compound?

Schadenfreude on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

It’s looking exactly like 2004. Romney like Kerry doesnt have as big of a money advantage to make it count. Seeing as there are states he has to win, that money can be matched by Obie since it’s only four states. Not to mention Obama still has his gigantic GOTV in place. Comes with the perks of being an incumbent

And I really think the debates will be like 2008, nobody remembers them.

Flapjackmaka on September 4, 2012 at 11:36 PM

The most important two metrics that would determine who wins the elections are the percentage of Obama 2008 voters who would stay home in 2012 and the percentage of Obama “White Voters” from 2008 who would switch and vote for Romney in 2012…

Based on my elections prediction model if 3% of Obama 2008 voters who would stay home in 2012 and if on average 10% Obama “White Voters” from 2008 who would switch and vote for Romney in 2012 then Romney is going to win this election… It is that simple…

Based on polling, and despite all the bias in the polls, they show without any doubt that Republicans are much more energized to vote than democrats so assuming 3% of Obama 2008 voters staying home in 2012 is a very realistic scenario and in fact it is a highly probable scenario… Also the polls are showing that Obama is losing 15% to 18% of his 2008 “White Voters” so assuming that 10% of Obama 2008 “White Voters” switching and voting for Romney in 2012 is a very realistic scenario and in fact it is a highly probable scenario…

Based on the above Romney chances of winning are higher than Obama… It is that simple…

PS: In some battleground states it would even take less than 10% of Obama “White Voters” in 2008 to switch and vote for Romney in 2012 for Romney to win these states…

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

FLASH: Barack’s brother still lives and shtruggles in a hut. He cares.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:20 PM

How I Became George Obama’s ‘Brother’

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/08/how-i-became-george-obamas-brother.html

M2RB: The Hollies (A tribute to our troops, past and present)

Resist We Much on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

This is not surprising:

The Democratic Party released a platform late Monday night that makes just three direct references to the U.S. Constitution, in contrast to the Republican platform from last week that cites the founding document more than two dozen times.

Unlike the GOP platform, the Democratic platform makes no mention of the “Founding Fathers,” nor does it mention Benjamin Franklin, Thomas Jefferson or George Washington. The GOP platform refers to the Founding Fathers twice, and mentions Washington three times, Jefferson twice and Franklin once.

The Republican platform includes six full pages on the need to restore constitutional government….

A related difference can be seen in the use of the word “God” in the two platforms. The GOP platform mentions “God” or “God-given” rights in the context of the Constitution about a dozen times, but the Democratic platform makes no mention of “God,” although it twice notes the freedom of religion in the United States. [And we all know that was a sop to try to pretend Obama isn't working to make churches and religious institutions pay for abortions].

INC on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

Cuda!!!..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

+ 1000!

Lanceman on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

Did the nat’l stations stick to only one hour, tonight ?

pambi on September 4, 2012 at 11:43 PM

tomorrow is AP’s 4-0! Please start considering what videos you will be showing in his ‘honor’

annoyinglittletwerp on September 4, 2012 at 11:37 PM

Forty? Oh, please. Give him a sucker.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:43 PM

FLASH: Barack’s brother still lives and shtruggles in a hut. He cares.

faraway on September 4, 2012 at 11:20 PM

And Barack’s dear Aunt Zeituni lives in Public Housing in Boston Massachusetts, at the expense of the taxpayers.

Barack Obama does not even help his own family.

wren on September 4, 2012 at 11:43 PM

Cuda!!!..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

that love doll of his must be disgusting by now.

wargamer6 on September 4, 2012 at 11:44 PM

The Thrill Is Gone
Luther Allison

thatsafactjack on September 4, 2012 at 11:44 PM

Schadenfreude on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

LoLz..:)

Dire Straits on September 4, 2012 at 11:44 PM

It is really pathetic… Notice that he is the only main writer on HotAir who is afraid to use his real name, this should tell you a lot about his character…

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:38 PM

So, is mnjg your first name?

Curtiss on September 4, 2012 at 11:44 PM

Above all, we need to slow, stop and reverse climate change.

OMG, do we still have such stubbornly stupid and ignorant people around ?
Does this guy even live in the real world where the GW/AGW/CC scam has been busted many times over ? Watts Up With That dude ;-)

burrata on September 4, 2012 at 11:44 PM

President Obama: “Well, I Don’t Think That They Are Better Off Than They Were 4 Years Ago”

http://predicthistunpredictpast.blogspot.com/2012/09/president-obama-well-i-dont-think-that.html

M2RB: The Clarks

Resist We Much on September 4, 2012 at 11:45 PM

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:42 PM

Thats what democrats said in 2004, that enthusiasm would bring them to the top. Not to mention Obama’s GOTV

this election isnt something you can win by national enthusiasm numbers. All that matter are Ohio, Virginia, Florida and if Virgil Goode siphons even 3% in VA, it’s in obama’s court.

Flapjackmaka on September 4, 2012 at 11:45 PM

Yeah, I think Obama will get a considerable bump from this convention. The media is having multiple orgasms and Michelle basically described Obama as Jesus. I feel like retching at the thought of Obama winning, but it’s looking extremely probable. :”””””(

andy85719 on September 4, 2012 at 11:45 PM

i’m watching my twitter feed, which is way more funny than the leftist convention.

we can now look forward to weeks of obama.love from the media…weeks. Camelot was never this good…for them. And just like camelot, they have to hide a lot of things

the personality frenzy of Michelle…our dearest flotus. And the radical abortion stuff while no one is watching. And, yes, michelle math is hard. and emotion and barry.love is fun, and we are all part of the government now

gag

but the numbers don’t lie. from the 1q of 2011 to the 1q of 2012, the debt went up 1300 billion. the nominal gdp, about 750 billion. Now michelle, i know you don’t want to talk about numbers…it scary and hard…but seriously…can you do that math

r keller on September 4, 2012 at 11:46 PM

Forty? Oh, please. Give him a sucker.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:43 PM

My 40th was almost 2 years ago. My favorite card played ‘Don’t fear Reaper’ and had a hand-written note about being from the Obama Death Panels who were there to help me.

annoyinglittletwerp on September 4, 2012 at 11:46 PM

The rumors of my death and/or untimely disappearance have been exaggerated.

Manly Rash has returned to Hot Air.

ManlyRash on September 4, 2012 at 11:46 PM

It will be scrotched earth from Nov 7th to Jan 20th.

Lanceman on September 4, 2012 at 11:41 PM

What do we a have a U.S. Marshall Service for?

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:46 PM

So, is mnjg your first name?

Curtiss on September 4, 2012 at 11:44 PM

I am not a “main writer” on this forum… I do not post articles, I just reply. My first name is Joseph…

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:46 PM

Yeah, I think Obama will get a considerable bump from this convention. The media is having multiple orgasms and Michelle basically described Obama as Jesus. I feel like retching at the thought of Obama winning, but it’s looking extremely probable. :”””””(

andy85719 on September 4, 2012 at 11:45 PM

Calm down…

Forget the favorability crap and focus on the basics and fundamentals about what matter to the voters and what are the metrics for winning the elections…

This election is about the Economy and not about the candidates favorability… This election is about Jobs and not about the candidates favorability… This election is about Debt/Deficit and not about the candidates favorability… This election is about the size of the government and not about the candidates favorability… This election is about Obamacare and not about the candidates favorability… This election is about Obama utterly failed and not about the candidates favorability…

mnjg on September 4, 2012 at 11:48 PM

This year the polls mean little. Most people lie like never before, to protect themselves and their kin.

Schadenfreude on September 4, 2012 at 11:39 PM

The pollsters were wrong in Wisconsin by 7 points. Seven points!

John the Libertarian on September 4, 2012 at 11:48 PM

annoyinglittletwerp on September 4, 2012 at 11:46 PM

Ha! You’re still a mere child.

minnesoter on September 4, 2012 at 11:48 PM

And Barack’s dear Aunt Zeituni lives in Public Housing in Boston Massachusetts, at the expense of the taxpayers.

Barack Obama does not even help his own family.

wren on September 4, 2012 at 11:43 PM

His illegal uncle, too. He just got his driver’s licence back a couple of months ago.

“Hide your wives, kids, wheelie bins, cars, bikes, prams, mailboxes, and anything else parked within 50 feet of the street and run for your lives!

Onyango Obama’s got his drunk on, freak flag flyin’ and Governor Deval Patrick has made sure that he is, once again, licenced to drive drunk!”

Resist We Much on September 4, 2012 at 11:49 PM

tomorrow is AP’s 4-0! Please start considering what videos you will be showing in his ‘honor’

annoyinglittletwerp on September 4, 2012 at 11:37 PM

annoyinglittletwerp:

Wait a tick,I sent AP an e-mail,2 days ago,so when is it again!:)

canopfor on September 4, 2012 at 11:49 PM

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