Family Research Council poll of Missouri: Akin 45, McCaskill 42
posted at 3:21 pm on August 29, 2012 by Allahpundit
Given that they’re among his biggest (i.e. few) supporters, this is roughly as credible as an internal poll. But since we’re in a holding pattern news-wise until Ryanpalooza erupts at the convention tonight, let’s toss it out there.
I don’t remotely believe that Akin is winning right now, but I also don’t believe that McCaskill’s double-digit margin will survive September. Hence Reince Priebus’s conundrum.
That’s not to say Akin hasn’t sustained damage: his personal image is weak, with 44 percent of voters having a favorable impression of him and 50 percent having an unfavorable impression. But he still leads McCaskill by 10 points among independent voters and in the conservative-leaning state, Akin wins about the same percentage of Republicans (78 percent) that McCaskill wins among Democrats (82 percent.)…
“Despite the firestorm of news in the Senate race over the past few weeks, most voters have already made up their mind in the race, the survey shows,” [pollster Fritz] Wenzel writes. “The fact that 80% said they were firm in their choice certainly indicates that this is a race that will be decided more by ideology and turnout efforts by the campaigns and less by breaking news that flashes across the news pages and cable news channels.”…
The Family Research Council poll was conducted by Wenzel Strategies from Aug. 27 to Aug. 28, testing 829 voters for a margin of error of plus or minus 3.38 percent. The sample was 32.7 percent Democrats, 34.1 percent Republicans and 33.2 percent independents.
Missouri must be a tough state for political pros to predict turnout. Four years ago, with Hopenchange fee-vah running wild, it was D+6; eight years ago, for Bush vs. Kerry, it was R+1. Romney should win the state comfortably this time regardless, but I wonder if Akin’s hurt himself just enough with Republicans to suppress turnout to the point where it’s fatal to his chances. If he’d kept his mouth shut, maybe he’d have been looking at R+2 for his race. As it is, who knows? R+1? Even?
Meanwhile, the effort to replace him continues apace — quietly:
[S]ources close to Akin acknowledge that he is monitoring developments in the race, including campaign donations and his standing in the polls, and that it isn’t out of the question he will change his mind.
Should Akin decide that his sliding poll numbers — he now trails McCaskill by ten points and many of his own supporters want him to exit the race — dictate dropping out, he will certainly want a say in who replaces him. John Brunner, a wealthy businessman, and Sarah Steelman, a former state treasurer, both challenged him in the GOP primary and are viewed as unacceptable by Akin forces. On the other hand, Wagner is respected in the Akin camp and a sufficiently conservative presence to satisfy Tea Party members who are suspicious of anyone the Missouri GOP establishment might anoint…
“It’s clunky, but it would work so long as it doesn’t look like a back-room deal,” one Akin supporter who is a Missouri delegate told me. “Todd would be treated with dignity and could go back to the House and we would have a candidate with very strong skills who could beat McCaskill.”
Roy Blunt also said this morning that he still thinks Akin will quit, but I’m not sure he himself quite believes it. Supposedly people are leaning on Huckabee too to get him to change his mind and nudge Akin towards the exit. I don’t think that’s out of the question, actually: Huckabee may be framing this as a “Mount Carmel moment” now, but if the polls still look awful for Akin in two weeks, he’s going to get nervous about being held responsible for almost singlehandedly propping this guy up on the way to defeat. That’d be a major black mark on his record ahead of 2016, and he’s already got enough of those (the latest being his endorsement of Dewhurst over Cruz). That’s what this FRC poll is all about, I assume — reassuring social conservatives who might be wavering in light of the recent gruesome polls from Missouri that Akin’s hanging in there.
Two new ads for you below, one from the man himself and one from the Susan B. Anthony List that’s set to run in Missouri. Reminds me a bit of Romney’s Medicare strategy after picking Ryan: Now that the conversation has changed, the best defense is a good offense.
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Leaving anyway. Heh, throwing Dear Liar under the bus.
rbj on May 15, 2013 at 8:19 PM
Over at the Clinton estate:
Big Screen TV on MSLSD….
Bill to Hellbeast….
“How the hell did we let that dumb ass clown get the best of us? Were we that blasted on marijuana?”
Dam we look like fools ,,, shit, shit, shit,,,
You will have to take this laying down hon…..
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:19 PM
That’s a good way of looking at it. He didn’t have to admit he was soon to leave, anyway.
Liam on May 15, 2013 at 8:22 PM
The old “I meant to do that” trick.
Cindy Munford on May 15, 2013 at 8:22 PM
So the complete persecution of one political party for 2+ years by the IRS is punished by making one guy who had nothing to do with it take his vacation early by two weeks???
ModerateMan on May 15, 2013 at 8:23 PM
It’s all about being “historical”
Cindy Munford on May 15, 2013 at 8:23 PM
Push, Push, Push,
Never Forget these are the 1960′s unamerican commie loveing democrats who with their ongoing incest with the msm lied the Vietnam war lost. They spit on our men, spit on U.S. and still follow William Ayers and his hate American crap to this very hour.
They will dishonor all of U.S. until we vote them out of office.
They have no solution other than over tax over spend waste and the lie tell the cows come home.
Fight.
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:24 PM
YEP!
Just like I said 2.5 seconds after you posted the first update.
Bullsh!t
ted c on May 15, 2013 at 8:24 PM
Theory:
These leftists want you outraged. They know you want someone to be held responsible so they bait you in, pretend to “hold someone accountable” then flip you the bird when it means jack and sh!t.
Holder and Obama ask you, “What the f*ck are you going to do about it?”
ted c on May 15, 2013 at 8:26 PM
Obama lied to the American people, again.
Schadenfreude on May 15, 2013 at 8:27 PM
The IRS once went after Al Capone. Now the IRS is Al Capone.
VorDaj on May 15, 2013 at 8:27 PM
Could it be that Obama and the Clintons were out on the town and just ended up in front of a D.C. bus and they all got their feet and lies tangled up and all of them fell under their on lie built bus.
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:27 PM
He wants to spend more time auditing and wiretapping his family.
viking01 on May 15, 2013 at 8:27 PM
That should tell you something about how this was planned. They took it through the election, and then replaced the first perp with a substitute, who still played dumb. Plausible deniability.
A lot of this was leaked. It got leaked just about the time Miller was scheduled to bail. But he left a little early.
The Obama gang went for broke at the election. There was so much in this, it was going to come out. So it was allowed to come out almost on schedule.
Benghazi was hitting Obama hard, so they had to leak early.
Obama is impeach proof, due to the DEM Senate, so as long as he got elected he could pull anything to get elected
I have to admit, I was surprised old Harry Reid made that statement about needing to get the shadowing political groups. He is approaching his biological demise, so maybe he decided to go for the gold ,
All this made me decide one thing, however. I am going to join a tea party group and also work to help Michelle Bachmann. I need to get on the enemies list, officially
entagor on May 15, 2013 at 8:29 PM
Ys, but this new age Al Capone will not even give out free beer or throw a C note or two out the window to U.S. little people…
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:29 PM
Watch the other hand.
What is the current status of the immigration “reform” act? What’s Rubio up to? What’s going on with the debt? The current hot-issues will not stop the proggies from continuing to press everywhere else – they’re good at multitasking, and ironically, Benghazi and IRS issues are just another crisis not to be wasted…
bofh on May 15, 2013 at 8:30 PM
So what, Miller has only been in charge since Nov 2012. The abuse has been going on since 2010. Why doesn’t anybody get that guy and Geitner? Huh?
jake49 on May 15, 2013 at 8:31 PM
OK,
News Conferance with Pres. Obama tomorrow….
“Sir,,, this IRS guy, he says he was going to quit any how June, would you tell us what the f’ is up you fool”!!
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:34 PM
INC on May 15, 2013 at 8:35 PM
Obama: “This is the first I heard about it.
Liam on May 15, 2013 at 8:38 PM
Oh, I don’t know. Miller staying in place would have meant someone who knows about everything and could answer questions would also have access to all relevant documents and might be forthcoming about producing them.
Now we’ll have someone who’ll be guaranteed to know nothing about what went on and can’t find anything answering for the IRS after checking with Obama, while the guy who could do it on his own is on the outside but has access to nothing and likely will be able to say “I’m not sure” and “I don’t remember exactly”.
Dusty on May 15, 2013 at 8:40 PM
Dennis Miller: If this keeps us Dear Leader will be claiming that he is a Kenyan…
d1carter on May 15, 2013 at 8:43 PM
What shear arrogance. They really do take us as fools (the Press included)
What I wouldn’t give to hear someone in the press get up at the next press conference and say: “we’re the only thing between this Administration and Pitch Forks”.
WisRich on May 15, 2013 at 8:43 PM
By the way, Mark Levin has been asking where were the GOP a year ago, when the complaints were coming up?
IMHO, the RINOs dislike the Tea Party about as much as the DEMs. They may well have went slow on this one, with pleasure
Remember there has been a misinformation campaign going on for about a year now, that the Tea Party had petered out, and had lost influence with the electorate. The feed has come from the top of both parties
IMHO the pack controlling the campaign did not want the Tea Party to pop out its ugly head like a jack-in-the-box. The last election was supposed to be run without the Gadsden rattler getting in the way
entagor on May 15, 2013 at 8:44 PM
Good point…
d1carter on May 15, 2013 at 8:47 PM
So what golden parachute position does Doug Shulman have now?
A commenter at freerepublic notes that Ohio has been a critical state in several federal elections, the last one being no exception. If the influence of conservative groups was hampered through IRS malfeasance during that period, then the corruption of Ohio votes is rather evident.
I’m not sure that I even like the definition of eligibility for the 501(c)(4) exemption. Its defining framework appears to promote socialist values.
onlineanalyst on May 15, 2013 at 8:48 PM
Two Party Evil Money Cult in Washington D.C..
Tax and Spend.
Now they want to tax these new illegals to cover up the prior crime of the 20 Trilion of debt and We The Peop have nothing to show for it but sore backs, older shoes, second hand cars, getting used to living two families in one home, and looking at this IRS doleing out the last few pain pills at the end.
Fight.
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:50 PM
Even the resigning of Miller has become a scandal. This just keeps getting better and better!
iceman1960 on May 15, 2013 at 8:51 PM
Dear Main Stream Media,
You too will grow old.
Beware what you may be doing to yourselves.
We the Others.
APACHEWHOKNOWS on May 15, 2013 at 8:52 PM
That’s hard to believe, isn’t it?
And these are the people who “fixed” healthcare…
rogerb on May 15, 2013 at 8:57 PM
The Keynans falsified his BC to make it look like he was born in the US.
VegasRick on May 15, 2013 at 8:59 PM
What kind of leak is there that the DOJ needs to be able to get phone records from AP journalists and the House of Representatives without either Obama or Holder knowing about it?
ninjapirate on May 15, 2013 at 9:05 PM
Wait until next year when the government knows everything about your body and the IRS is in charge of all the paperwork and blackmail attempts. Lovely.
Philly on May 15, 2013 at 9:06 PM
Resignation to scrotch one scandal begets it’s own scandal called
IRS ResignationGate
SparkPlug on May 15, 2013 at 9:07 PM
I was transported to another thread. Weird.
SparkPlug on May 15, 2013 at 9:09 PM
Dusty;
Actually, i think this innoculates Obama and his administration somewhat. If the ” fired” director turns on Obama, it will be because he’s a ‘disgruntled ex-employee.”
LASue on May 15, 2013 at 9:10 PM
government newspeak. thats all it is. nobody gets fired. someones “re assignment comes to a scheduled end”. just crap-laden newspeak. face saving. he’s going to end up working in some other department probably with a step increase. its probably that OR he really is taking a swipe at TFGP. but i doubt the latter.
t8stlikchkn on May 15, 2013 at 9:11 PM
Heh!
Saltysam on May 15, 2013 at 9:17 PM
Obama will certainly try to use it that way.
Dusty on May 15, 2013 at 9:18 PM
Wormhole, but just a little one.
Watch out for the big ones, bro. You could wind up at HuffPo or The New Yorker.
novaculus on May 15, 2013 at 9:21 PM
I’m tired of always being outraged, so now I’m just laughing with contempt at President Obungler and his clown car of gangster buffoons.
Aitch748 on May 15, 2013 at 9:24 PM
Open comment to all conservative bloggers and politically active conservative groups with an online presence:
On your web pages, post a special section that lists every visit to your site from a government IP in real time.
Turn the lights on and the roaches run away.
BobMbx on May 15, 2013 at 9:24 PM
Posted from entagor
That should tell you something about how this was planned. They took it through the election, and then replaced the first perp with a substitute, who still played dumb. Plausible deniability.
A lot of this was leaked. It got leaked just about the time Miller was scheduled to bail. But he left a little early.
The Obama gang went for broke at the election. There was so much in this, it was going to come out. So it was allowed to come out almost on schedule.
Benghazi was hitting Obama hard, so they had to leak early.
Good take.
My guess and that’s all it is, would be that this entire hit on the conservative 501C3′s that lasted until only a month or two before the election was always so blatant the regime and the underling players were pretty sure they would get caught.But since there was no down side by the time they were caught,now, zero would be in for as second term.
Money is always the mother’s milk of any election. Take it away and you have a better shot.
Add in the fat bastard from nj,colin powell,a really lackluster Republican candidate,low enthusiasm on our part and you have a winner for the socialists.
Sacrificing a couple of lower underlings at IRS and a commissioner who was temporary anyway was hardly a tough thing to do.
Politically the left is so far ahead of us its not even funny. The regime knew if done properly they could lose a few guilty underlings at the IRS and look like they are really clamping down by firing them.doing so they would come out of the mini-scandal better than they went in.
The left is so far ahead of us politically we may never ever win another election in my lifetime.
Undoubtedly, the perps who hassled all the tea party types at the IRS knew their day would come so they had to have had agreements with the Chicago thuggery of ample rewards for the risk they took long before they ever started hassling the old patriots who make up the Tea Party pats.
Getting fired from the IRS with a pocket full of money and an extended vacation in the Bahamas is not really all that bad a duty for screwing with tea party types.
rodguy911 on May 15, 2013 at 9:27 PM
June,eh!
Acting IRS Commissioner Miller will leave in June – @KellyO
Submitted 2 hours ago by editor
http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/irs-flagged-conservative-political-groups
canopfor on May 15, 2013 at 9:28 PM
Obama’s got some explaining to do.
Documents: IRS letters harassing conservative groups came from Washington, DC headquarters and from California offices, despite Inspector General’s focus on Cincinnati employees
Wigglesworth on May 15, 2013 at 9:30 PM
Slightly OT…but just gotta point out (from the top) that Michelle Malkin has now come out against demonizing political opponents.
That’s a major conversion story right there…sort of deserves it’s own post.
verbaluce on May 15, 2013 at 9:36 PM
So,I caught the Hopey OutRagey snippet on *NN,
and the Perception/Deception Operational that,
Team Obama ProgTard is trying to pull…..
is that he is more CONCERNED,LIVID,UPSET,AS ANGRY,
MORE PISSED OFF,PERTURBED,OUTRAGEOUS OUTRAGEY,
then any TEA_PARTY,JEWISH GROUP,CONSERVATIVE
or CATHOLIC GROUPS could ever be!!!
And,Team OBAMANIXONCYBERWATERGATE is FULL of
Donkey Sh*t!!!
canopfor on May 15, 2013 at 9:40 PM
Yep it does, post with GTFOH.
arnold ziffel on May 15, 2013 at 9:42 PM
The IRS commissioner must have fallen under a bus or something. Shocker.
Philly on May 15, 2013 at 9:43 PM
Ah, yes … funny you should mention …
And there’s this, too. Feel free to forward and/or post in other venues.
PatriotGal2257 on May 15, 2013 at 9:47 PM
.
That’s NOT what she said.
“Demonizing” is in the eye of the beholder.
One person’s “demonizing” is another person’s view of the truth, and vice-verse.
listens2glenn on May 15, 2013 at 9:49 PM
FIRST!
So what’s this thread all about?
Bishop on May 15, 2013 at 9:50 PM
OT
Tonadoes ripping through North Central Texas…
It’s Spring
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 9:51 PM
GRANBURY, Texas (AP) – A tornado slammed into a North Texas lakefront town of Granbury, demolishing homes and injuring an undetermined number of people.
The tornado was part of a system of severe thunderstorms that spawned several tornadoes across North Texas, dropping large hail in some areas.
The extent of the damage and injuries was not immediately clear. However, police reported the hardest hit area was the Rancho Brazos subdivision and adjoining areas along Lake Granbury.
Another tornado hit the small town of Millsap, about 40 miles west of Fort Worth. Parker County Judge Mark Kelley said roof damage was reported to several houses and a barn was destroyed, but no injuries were reported.
Hail up to the size of grapefruit pelted the area around Mineral Wells on Wednesday evening. A police dispatcher reported only minor damage.
http://www.newswest9.com/story/22265297/tornadoes-large-hail-keeps-north-texas-on-edge
Triage centers setup for walking wounded – WBAP
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 9:53 PM
They fired Steve Miller? Oh man…the Space Cowboy is gone.
Bishop on May 15, 2013 at 9:54 PM
Meanwhile,as the Democrats are acting as ahem,Domestic
Terrorists,utelizing the IRSGoons as there instrument at
Terrorizing the Right,
Foreign Hacking will continue,and dare I say,and I do hate
to be cyinical,
is the Obama Administration in Co-Hoots with the Chinese,to
hack into Rightsphere Groups,and the MSM!!!!
Jus Say’n(snark)
================
Chinese military unit accused of launching cyber attacks against American companies
to resume hacking, official says – @LATimes
Submitted 15 mins ago from http://www.latimes.com by editor
====================================================
http://www.latimes.com/news/world/worldnow/la-fg-wn-china-military-cyberspying-20130515,0,996844.story?track=rss
canopfor on May 15, 2013 at 9:54 PM
A tornado warning is in effect for Dallas and Tarrant counties until 9:15 p.m. Dozens of homes are reported damaged in a subdivision near Granbury, and there are injuries. Tune to WFAA Channel 8 now for continuous information. – WFAA
http://www.wfaa.com/news
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 9:55 PM
They fired Steve Miller? Oh man…the Space Cowboy is gone.
Bishop on May 15, 2013 at 9:54 PM
Bishop:Lol,well,if he does any (prison) time,
enter:
Jungle Love!!:)
canopfor on May 15, 2013 at 9:57 PM
Obama learns everything by watching TV…so he doesn’t know anything.
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 9:58 PM
.
The mid-west is usually beautiful this time of year, when the tornadoes are in bloom.
This has been a lean year for them, up till now.
Professional chaser/scientists are frustrated, but insurance companies and the local citizens are relieved.
listens2glenn on May 15, 2013 at 9:59 PM
OMG Bwaaah. Good one.
SparkPlug on May 15, 2013 at 10:03 PM
This thread is about the scandal plagued Obama mis-administration and their culture of corruption and egregious abuses of power. .
SparkPlug on May 15, 2013 at 10:05 PM
You in the line of fire?
I don’t think we’ve had a drop of rain but we are surrounded by red and purple on the radar (in Frisco).
tru2tx on May 15, 2013 at 10:06 PM
Uh oh, even NBC is dumping on Eric Holder’s testimony about the AP phone tapping lies…
d1carter on May 15, 2013 at 10:07 PM
Workingclassartist:
Oh Sh*t???
Texas severe weather, May 15, 2013
Mass Casualty Incident declared near Granbury, Texas, after reported tornado injures multiple people, causes heavy damage – @DFWScanner
Submitted 1 min ago by editor
http://www.breakingnews.com/
canopfor on May 15, 2013 at 10:08 PM
Huh?
And you’re defending Malkin with this…right?
verbaluce on May 15, 2013 at 10:14 PM
Obama forces IRS chief to take an extra 3 week vacation before he was gonna leave anyway..
@AsalamaTweetum
Opinionnation on May 15, 2013 at 10:21 PM
That’s some weak tea you’re bringing to the table, sister, and seriously no match for the curb stomping your boy is receiving this week.
But I suppose a girl has to try, right?
Bishop on May 15, 2013 at 10:23 PM
I heard Levin say earlier* that all the GOP has to do is defund the IRS from being able to implement Obamacare.
*I can only take his voice in 2-minute clips. It’s truly annoying.
SouthernGent on May 15, 2013 at 10:27 PM
No…But funnel spotted over Methodist Hosp. Oak Cliff
Bad lightning.
Wall cloud creeping along I35…conflicting reports by spotters as to direction – WBAP
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 10:44 PM
Moving east north east toward Downtown Dallas – WBAP
Sirens back on in Oakcliff
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 10:47 PM
The Daily Mail is coming up with the goods quite often.
can_con on May 15, 2013 at 10:49 PM
Multiple Tornado circulations out of the same storms which converged to a super cell as they hit Dallas County.
Lightning…Hail…lots of rain. They keep revising the warnings expanding the counties. – WBAP
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 10:49 PM
Monster storm…
live radar of North Central Texas links
http://www.wfaa.com/weather/radar?radar=64242082&img=2&c=y
http://www.nctcog.org/weather/
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 10:52 PM
Ardmore Ok will get pounded by this storm too…
workingclass artist on May 15, 2013 at 10:57 PM
I know it’s late, but what’s with the ‘Oh, Snap’ flourishes?
You have a TLC record on tonight or something?
verbaluce on May 15, 2013 at 11:03 PM
.
It’s NOT a defense of her ….. it’s a criticism of your deliberate, flagrant misinterpretation of her “tweet”.
listens2glenn on May 16, 2013 at 12:08 AM
What is there to defend, MM could go punch one of the Obama kids in the face right now and she would still be worlds more a better person than any of you jackboot government loving thugs.
You did hear that your immoral crowd just admitted to using a government agency to single out, intimidate, and punish political opponents. This is not some faux scandal, like your trumped up fantasies of racial voter suppression. This is hand in the cookie jar corruption which is the norm for people of your character.
ClassicCon on May 16, 2013 at 12:16 AM
CIC = Criminal in Chief
You don’t think he wants the patriots to get all weewee’d up so they can finish the deal?
Why did the DHS buy all that ammo again? What was that about a Civilian Army to match our military readiness again?
Why did these scandals/crises all get ‘divulged’ and coalesce at the same time – two out of three over a weekend? The IRS confessed and apologized. The AP report was divulged simultaneously. And well, Benghazi was getting hot anyway, what with those darned whistle blowers.
Bad luck??? Time to go for broke?
The bad luck boys are ‘fomenting’ a rev o lu tion. Then they won’t allow their supreme crisis to go to waste.
Opinionator on May 16, 2013 at 2:04 AM
That’s exactly what it does.
jimver on May 16, 2013 at 2:27 AM
Some call him Maurice.
Difficultas_Est_Imperium on May 16, 2013 at 2:53 AM
My take.
kingsjester on May 16, 2013 at 6:47 AM
So Obama came out last night & said he is Angry over the IRS scandal (though I am usre for different reasons)…
Funny…he wasn’t angry about the scandal when his administration used leaked IRS documents to attack the Koch brothers in 2010….and he didn’t voice any anger in this last Presidential election when his campaign co-chair used leaked tax documents/info to attack Mitt Romney….
…which leads me to no other conclussion that the only reason he is angry now is because he / his administration got BUSTED used the IRS as a weapon to attack the TEA Party, Conservatives, & Jewish groups!
easyt65 on May 16, 2013 at 9:15 AM
No one fired this guy…his time was up in early June anyway.
Obama saying he fired this guy over the scandal is like a worker no one likes coming into your office & giving his 2 week resignation & you calling everyone else together to brag about how you fired him. Ibama is hoping this ‘act of accountability’ will put the IRS scandal to bed, preventing another ”Watergate’…
easyt65 on May 16, 2013 at 9:18 AM
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