Rasmussen’s MO poll: McCaskill 48, Akin … 38

posted at 11:21 am on August 23, 2012 by Ed Morrissey

You knew this was coming, right? Oh, our Akin electoral hopes for Republican control of the Senate:

What a difference one TV interview can make. Embattled Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill has now jumped to a 10-point lead over her Republican challenger, Congressman Todd Akin, in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race. Most Missouri Republicans want Akin to quit the race while most Missouri Democrats want him to stay.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Show Me State finds McCaskill earning 48% support to Akin’s 38%. Nine percent (9%) like some other candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Don’t forget that Rasmussen had Akin edging McCaskill by three before the primary — the weakest of the three Republican candidates, but still a formidable challenger to the Democratic incumbent.  Another pollster had Akin up by ten before the Republican nominee offered up his disastrous analysis of rape-repelling uteri and questioning whether a pregnant woman could legitimately claim she’d been raped.  Not surprisingly, more than a few Missouri voters found this nonsense to be disqualifying.

However, let’s not be too rash.  A number of Missouri voters want Akin to stay in the race.  Hey, they’re mostly Democrats, but at this point, Akin can’t afford to be choosy:

Forty-one percent (41%) say Akin should withdraw from the campaign and have Republicans select another candidate to run against McCaskill. But just as many (42%) disagree and say Akin should not quit the race. The partisan divide reveals voter understanding of the underlying dynamics. Most Republicans (53%) think he should quit; most Democrats (56%) do not, and unaffiliated voters are evenly divided.

Amazingly, the internals actually look a little better for Akin than one might expect.  Independents split between Akin and McCaskill, 39/39, despite Akin’s faux pas.  Akin has a one-point lead among men (45/44), but unsurprisingly gets buried among women, 32/52.  There is some support for the argument that this is as bad as it gets, with 93% having followed the Akin controversy either very or somewhat closely.  On the other hand, Akin’s favorability has cratered to 35/63, which makes it difficult to argue that he’s going to pick up much more than 38% of the vote, at least where the race stands now.

Claire McCaskill is undoubtedly doing a happy dance with this poll, but this isn’t good news for her, either.  Despite being the other binary choice in a race against someone who questioned the legitimacy of rape victims, McCaskill only gets 48% — not even a majority.  Her favorability rating is a zero, 48/48, with almost twice as many people rating her very unfavorable as very favorable (19/36).  While she has solidified Democratic support (96%) against Akin, drawing only 39% of independents in a two-way race with Akin on the ticket is a stunningly bad performance.  This shows just how much Republicans might gain if Akin can get out of the way and allow a better candidate to square off against a clearly unimpressive incumbent.


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McCaskill’s surrogates should spend a little money with some positive ads on Akin. You don’t want it to look like a landslide in the polls right now or Akin might quit the race.

Wigglesworth on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Why hasn’t the GOP found a write in candidate yet? That should have been done already, even if it’s not a “dream” candidate.

I hope the national GOP doesn’t have any delusions that we have to just let Akin “walk” and move on to greener pastures. The nation is watching and the GOP needs to send a message. Already, Scott Brown is getting hurt in his race over this clown.

Akin is done, so there’s no risk in running a write in candidate. Some might say that guarantees a McCaskill victory, but I’d rather have the moral high ground and Akin lose by 40 points and run out on a rail than McCasklii win by 15 points and Democrats crow about Akin until Election Day.

Plus, there’s a very good chance Akin could still withdraw, especially when he can’t pay his staff or run a commercial, but the GOP has to do it at gunpoint and make him surrender. This guy is not going to do what’s right for the nation.

The GOP will save a lot of face by slitting Akin’s throat instead of letting Missouri’s voters do it, and we have an outside shot of salvaging that seat to boot.

BradTank on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

OhEssYouCowboys on August 23, 2012 at 11:49 AM

Hey, they contributed to a Republican, that’s a pretty big change. Probably the most we can hope for.

Cindy Munford on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Regardless of how anyone feels about Akin, I wonder what this poll would be like if every Republican under the sun hadn’t jumped all over him on TV and in print.

The Rogue Tomato on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Don’t worry, he’s in Tampa right now trying to cut himself a deal with the elites. He’s gotta get something for his effort, like maybe support for another run in the house. This is how the game is played.

Kissmygrits on August 23, 2012 at 11:32 AM

He is not playing with the party’s elite at this point.He is playing with the SoCon elite in hopes of getting enough financial support to stay in the race.

McDuck on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Amazingly, the internals actually look a little better for Akin than one might expect. Independents split between Akin and McCaskill, 39/39, despite Akin’s faux pas.

This is a DISASTER number for the barack team. It means independents understand that the dem outrage is manufactured. They aren’t buying the war on women. An absolute disaster for him. I bet his team is looking at this and absolutely pissing all over themselves, while screaming “Stand down on the abortion convention! Stand down! Stand down!”

Rational Thought on August 23, 2012 at 11:58 AM

This morning, one of my friends, who doesn’t pay much attention to politics but tends to vote straight ticket republican, said Romney needs to get rid of his running mate. She was talking about Akin.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 11:54 AM

She’s not even a low info voter. She’s a no info voter. Most of them vote D. Now we know at least one of them votes R.

farsighted on August 23, 2012 at 11:58 AM

Holding our collective noses for almost every presidential election is getting old. I’ve been doing it for years. However, defending ‘stupid’ is not on my radar screen anymore. Man up MO Republican Party. Get it over with. Be creative. Get him out. Your country is at stake.

BetseyRoss on August 23, 2012 at 11:59 AM

Why not , he does a really stupid thing and then tries to hide behind his faith.

the_nile on August 23, 2012 at 11:55 AM

Ooooh…so him bringing up somethign he heard from DOCTORS (which, btw, I disagree with him on) is him hiding behind his faith. oookaaaay….

DethMetalCookieMonst on August 23, 2012 at 11:59 AM

Once McCaskill starts running ads after the 9/25 deadline, assuming she wants to run up the score, Akin will quickly fall to the low 30s. I can even see him in the 20s.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:00 PM

After being up more than 10 less than a week ago. And this number is only going to get worse. Believe it or not, there are a lot of non-political junkies that have not fully absorbed the news, so these things usually take at least a few weeks to fully play out. Add the easy McCasket attacks…. McCaskill is ahead by 30 or more I predict. Get a 3rd candidate, Akin is toast, and kryptonite for everyone else. And never again include in the Repub plank that we are against abortion even in cases of rape and incest. That’s barbaric. How could the establishment Repub plank writers (walkers) speak for such a small extreme minority of the party?

anotherJoe on August 23, 2012 at 11:25 AM

~~~~

I couldn’t agree more…

ellifint on August 23, 2012 at 12:01 PM

C’mon, Akin, the Dems will vote for an imbecile who says that Guam could tip-over!

You can do it!

OhEssYouCowboys on August 23, 2012 at 12:01 PM

She’s not even a low info voter. She’s a no info voter. Most of them vote D. Now we know at least one of them votes R.

farsighted on August 23, 2012 at 11:58 AM

No info voters don’t even know there’s a campaign going on, let alone about Akin.

Low-info voters are more or less evenly divided between parties and they are the ones deciding elections.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:02 PM

he does a really stupid thing and then tries to hide behind his faith.

the_nile on August 23, 2012 at 11:55 AM

I thought he was trying to hide behind the ‘liberal media’.

faraway on August 23, 2012 at 12:03 PM

Ooooh…so him bringing up somethign he heard from DOCTORS (which, btw, I disagree with him on) is him hiding behind his faith. oookaaaay….

DethMetalCookieMonst on August 23, 2012 at 11:59 AM

No stupid, him going all out holy warrior after doing his stupid thing is hiding behind his faith.

the_nile on August 23, 2012 at 12:04 PM

After being up more than 10 less than a week ago. And this number is only going to get worse. Believe it or not, there are a lot of non-political junkies that have not fully absorbed the news, so these things usually take at least a few weeks to fully play out. Add the easy McCasket attacks…. McCaskill is ahead by 30 or more I predict. Get a 3rd candidate, Akin is toast, and kryptonite for everyone else.

anotherJoe on August 23, 2012 at 11:25 AM

Yeps.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:04 PM

Akin’s refusal to get out of the race has to top the ‘most selfish act of all time’ list. Getting him out of the race must be a top priority for the Republicans. If we are stuck with offering a write-in candidacy, then spend serious ad money to get the word out.

Akin’s incorrect theory and phrasing are forgivable. His refusal to get out ISN’T.

Hannibal on August 23, 2012 at 12:04 PM

RNC got no game.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on August 23, 2012 at 12:05 PM

A lot of the credit for this boneheads actions after the fact should probably land at the feet of his adoring fawning staff.

These politicians live in a bubble surrounded by “advisers” that tell them when to take a dump every morning…

No doubt they were encouraging him to stay in all along , after all who want’s to go looking for a job right now…

His the liberal media is trying to force me out statement tells you he was and is totally out of touch, fed info no doubt from his trusted inner circle…

Every one has an agenda.

His is obviously being played the stupid old fool..

RockyJ. on August 23, 2012 at 12:07 PM

Even swapping places with Ann Wagner would not be wise. He would still be used against the entire GOP ticket, imo.
Please drop out for the good of the entire country, sir.

poli-nana on August 23, 2012 at 12:08 PM

e. Man up MO Republican Party. Get it over with. Be creative. Get him out. Your country is at stake.

BetseyRoss on August 23, 2012 at 11:59 AM

There is only so much anyone can do when a man goes totally rogue. I don’t blame the MO Repubs for his decision to stay in.

McDuck on August 23, 2012 at 12:08 PM

Come February 2013, no matter who is in the White House, the GOP and Romney/Ryan in particular should denounce and shun Phuckabee. That pompous serpent has cost the party and subsequently the nation, way too much. I don’t want to see his front arse, loosely referred to as “face”, anywhere outside his Fox show which I don’t watch anyway.

Archivarix on August 23, 2012 at 12:10 PM

Regardless of how anyone feels about Akin, I wonder what this poll would be like if every Republican under the sun hadn’t jumped all over him on TV and in print.

The national media would have made sure it was front and center regardless, even Obama did a press conference on it immediately to make sure of that. The damage would have seeped into other races all the way to the top of the ticket had Republicans “circled the wagons” to defend Akin.

Ultimately, what’s destructive about Akin is not that he’s stupid about female biology, but the slavish devotion to the wingnut position of criminalizing abortion for rape victims to the point where they’re just casually making up lies and dismissing rape victims to bolster their argument.

So far, the polling shows me Akin hasn’t really affected races outside of his own, and I think a lot of that is because every Republican took a turn slitting his throat.

The GOP had a lot of momentum going into the Convention before Akin, and campaign are won and lost on momentum.

BradTank on August 23, 2012 at 12:13 PM

Texas Republican Party leadership in Texas would not do a thing about the nut case David Barton and his nutty groups hold on the Texas Republican Party and we the majority had to take 8 years of hard work to get them out and rational leadership in place.
It is working.

The national RNC needs to step up its game and now.

First thing we did once that bunch of nutty Bible “Akin like” Thumpers were voted out was to Vote in Ted Cruz for Senate.

Cornyn is next.

Rick Perry who used these “Akin like” ones is next.

There will be others.

Goverment is not religion.

Religion is not a form of Goverment.

Except in the middle east.

Force the RNC to Act.

APACHEWHOKNOWS on August 23, 2012 at 12:13 PM

Akin’s incorrect theory and phrasing are forgivable. His refusal to get out ISN’T.

Hannibal on August 23, 2012 at 12:04 PM

THIS.

Mutnodjmet on August 23, 2012 at 12:14 PM

This morning, one of my friends, who doesn’t pay much attention to politics but tends to vote straight ticket republican, said Romney needs to get rid of his running mate. She was talking about Akin.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 11:54 AM

Bless her heart, I hope she’s cute. :)

faraway on August 23, 2012 at 12:15 PM

Regardless of how anyone feels about Akin, I wonder what this poll would be like if every Republican under the sun hadn’t jumped all over him on TV and in print.

The Rogue Tomato on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Then probably you’d see Romney’s and Ryan’s numbers down too, because the Republicans didn’t emphasize enough their dissociating themselves from this idiot. That would be the Dem narrative anyways. So, thank god ‘every Republican under the sun jumped all over him on TV and print’. And even then, this senile crazy might actually cos us MO :(…

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 12:15 PM

I am shocked, SHOCKED I tell you!!!!

But hey, this MORON really really is all about taking back the Senate and getting rid of Obamacare for the good of the country.

That is why he stayed in the race.

IMBECILE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Gunlock Bill on August 23, 2012 at 12:15 PM

He’s going down but by god, he’s standing on principle! (SARCASM)

djl130 on August 23, 2012 at 12:16 PM

There are many more important issues facing the country than abortion. One of them is THE SURVIVAL OF THE NATION!

Old eagle on August 23, 2012 at 12:19 PM

No stupid, him going all out holy warrior after doing his stupid thing is hiding behind his faith.

the_nile on August 23, 2012 at 12:04 PM

God forbid someone stick by his religious faith….

BTW, he got all of this crap from all of you prior to him even sticking up for himself.

DethMetalCookieMonst on August 23, 2012 at 12:20 PM

No info voters don’t even know there’s a campaign going on, let alone about Akin.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:02 PM

People who don’t even know there’s a campaign going on generally don’t vote.

IMHO no info voters votes but don’t pay much attention to what is going on. They vote D or R anyway. They only need to know how to vote D (or R), where to do it, when to do it, and how often to do it. Chicago is filled with no info voters.

At any rate, I wasn’t trying to argue with you. I was sharing your dismay regarding an R voter who thinks Akin is Romney’s VP candidate.

For the record, I want Akin to drop out.

farsighted on August 23, 2012 at 12:20 PM

This morning, one of my friends, who doesn’t pay much attention to politics but tends to vote straight ticket republican, said Romney needs to get rid of his running mate. She was talking about Akin.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 11:54 AM

You got to be kidding me…well, having a friend who knows much more about politics than she does and who can educate her on it hopefully will help keep her vote in our column :)…on a different note, do you think at this this crazy staying in the race is that toxic that would cause Romney to lose MO??

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 12:22 PM

Don’t worry, he’s in Tampa right now trying to cut himself a deal with the elites. He’s gotta get something for his effort, like maybe support for another run in the house. This is how the game is played.

Kissmygrits on August 23, 2012 at 11:32 AM

If he’s in Tampa, he’s probly ‘spainin how he’s special and can get he hurricane to go East.

Stupid, arrogant, pompous pig’s rump.

Portia46 on August 23, 2012 at 12:22 PM

Romney staff etal,

You guys call up the RNC and the Republican leadership in Mo..

“You get this Akin out now or we go direct to the People of Mo ouselves and get them to put up a write in vote for who we pick.”

“Act or get cut out of the game.”

Sign it,,,”The next Pres. of the U.S. and his VP.”

APACHEWHOKNOWS on August 23, 2012 at 12:22 PM

Man.Up.Get.Out.Now.

ladyingray on August 23, 2012 at 12:23 PM

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters

A few phone calls of voters in MO cities tells me nothing. Aiken won’t win the city people’s votes anyway.

Aiken can still win this if he is wise about how he handles the kerfluffle over his ignorant statement. And McCaskill knows it.

If Aikne takes the lead on this debate and focuses on the core right-to-life issues painting McCaskill as a baby-killer, then he’ll probably still win. But I don’t know if he has the media savvy to pull it off without the full support of the GOP.

Lawrence on August 23, 2012 at 12:25 PM

This race needs a write-in. The state GOP needs to intervene now.

Rusty Allen on August 23, 2012 at 12:25 PM

Well, it looks like democrat sleeper-agent Todd Akin’s plan is coming to fruition.

Pork-Chop on August 23, 2012 at 11:55 AM

I don’t get comments like yours about Akin. The guy’s voting record in the house is very conservative–since 2000. Why the hell would be be a “democrat sleeper-agent?” The guy screwed-up and/or believed things that he has since acknowledged are not true. It will no doubt be a fatal blow to his career, but the pile-on of the republican party is waay over the top. I heard republican strategist Noelle Nikpour (frequent guest on Hannity) on Geraldo Rivera yesterday absolutely trashing this guy in a very personal way–after he decided to stay in the race. This does not help the GOP and makes them look like disloyal backstabbers. I want to win the Senate as much as anyone, but the hate fest going on within the republican party is really distressing. At this point, the GOP needs to find a constructive way of minimizing the damage Akin has caused while letting him and the party save face.

It also doesn’t help the “civility” around here when several posters are taking this opportunity to get in their “religious” bashing comments. One poster compared Akin to the “Santorum” wing of the party. If the intent was to insult Catholics, it should be kept in mind that Ryan is himself a pro-life Catholic.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

Again…and again…and again: There is a jumping the beluga qualitative difference between what Akins said and any other example of garden variety GOP infighting. The idea that this was “elites” calling the tune is nonsense on stilts. He committed career suicide.

ConservativeLA on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

It’s fascinating.

Todd Akin and his bunch are birds of a feather with the CAGW crowd, agenda-driven technical incompetents who pick and choose (and manufacture) their facts to support their ideology.

The only real difference between an Akin and a James Hansen is that the latter’s work attracted a whole lot of backing from entities that found it useful to further a central-command-and-control agenda.

JEM on August 23, 2012 at 12:29 PM

All Akin had to do was keep his mouth shut for 10 weeks. He couldn’t even manage that.

The longer he waits, the less likely the courts will let him off the ballot. If he moves quickly, there will be sufficient public pressure to demand the change.

And, of course, Dem-affiliated groups will keep Akin alive with just enough money to pay the bills until September 25.

I have NEVER seen such a selfish, pig-headed politician given the stakes to our nation.

matthew8787 on August 23, 2012 at 11:27 AM

Makes my blood boil….a bloody arrogant fool who can cost us the state in the presidential elections too…

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 12:29 PM

Makes my blood boil….a bloody arrogant fool who can cost us the state in the presidential elections too…

I wonder how much McCaskill is paying him to stay in.

hawkeye54 on August 23, 2012 at 12:31 PM

Man.Up.Get.Out.Now.

ladyingray on August 23, 2012 at 12:23 PM

He should’ve done that before the deadline…..alas.

Always enjoy your posts, BTW

ToddPA on August 23, 2012 at 12:31 PM

This race needs a write-in. The state GOP needs to intervene now.

Rusty Allen on August 23, 2012 at 12:25 PM

Ed floated Jim Talent’s name in a post yesterday…I know he has name recognition in MO, so why not? Or anyone for that matter…oh, and the faster the better….

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 12:32 PM

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

LOL! How is it easier to go with conspiracy over stupid? And I agree with you about the denigrating of the faithful, very wide paint brushes being used to define people in a very small way is helpful to no one.

Cindy Munford on August 23, 2012 at 12:32 PM

ConservativeLA – the point here is not that Akin is no-exceptions anti-abortion.

It’s that he tried to wrap it up in some Jenny McCarthy-grade pseudoscience to try to sell it.

JEM on August 23, 2012 at 12:33 PM

HA’s headlines says it all…….

NYT – Akin could still win

You know when the NY Slimes is cheerleading for a Republican in this case, they want him to stay in real bad.

Stick a fork in this already.

FlaMurph on August 23, 2012 at 12:35 PM

oesn’t help the “civility” around here when several posters are taking this opportunity to get in their “religious” bashing comments. One poster compared Akin to the “Santorum” wing of the party. If the intent was to insult Catholics, it should be kept in mind that Ryan is himself a pro-life Catholic.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

I don’t know the context surrounding what that person said, but I would consider the “Santorum wing” to be the SoCon wing and not anything to do with Catholics.

McDuck on August 23, 2012 at 12:39 PM

Makes my blood boil….a bloody arrogant fool who can cost us the state in the presidential elections too…

I wonder how much McCaskill is paying him to stay in.

hawkeye54 on August 23, 2012 at 12:31 PM

Who says the Dims cannot be evil geniuses, as much as it pains me to admit it….all it took was an idiot on our side and their evil machinations got rolling….the sad part is that with a tight elections like this, we don’t need this crappola, both in terms of distractions (Romney and Ryan having to continually answer media questions on this and disassociate themselves from that cretin from now till election day + wait for the DNC Convention and how they will cast this useful idiot’s position as the position of our front ticket or the whole party or something) and in terms of literally losing a state for Romney/Ryan…

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 12:40 PM

This poll is bad news for Akin but it also tells me that after all Akin as done to destroy himself McCaskill has a high water mark of 48%.This could mean that a replacement for Akin could still win big.I thought McCaskill would be up to at least 52%.

logman1 on August 23, 2012 at 12:41 PM

Morons. I’ve got legions of liberal morons on my ‘side’.

rayra on August 23, 2012 at 12:41 PM

illiberal morons, too.

rayra on August 23, 2012 at 12:42 PM

A lot of the credit for this boneheads actions after the fact should probably land at the feet of his adoring fawning staff.

RockyJ. on August 23, 2012 at 12:07 PM

His staff is composed of his wife; his son, an executive (read political liason) in the agriculture machinery industry; a long time political assistant called Lauren Ellis who works for him in the Hill and a political operative for the FRC who consults with their endorsed candidates. And I guess Rex Elsass, a specialist on attack ads who worked for Bachmann’s presidential campaign and other top names but makes most of his money with the niche of Christian Right candidates.

They’ve raised $100k in the last couple of days. That money is going to enter their pockets. Then there’s the mission from God angle – Akin and his wife are true believers in that, as well as most of his congressional staff.

Chris LaCivita and Karl Hansen were running Akin’s Senatorial campaign early on. But they quit early in the year when they found out that Akin is a complete nutjobs. That’s the type of professional staff that would advise Akin to withdraw. You know that when someone like LaCivita dumps a candidate with such good chances of winning (per CW) there’s something very wrong going on.

The only people who can get Akin listening now are those self-appointed “pro-life” leaders like FRC’s Tony Perkins, AFA’s Tim Wildmon, Huckabee, etc. But they thrive in this kind of situation because it excites and engages their base whose money they want.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:49 PM

This stupid ass showed up for the big time job interview unprepared. There is no defense for that.

SurferDoc on August 23, 2012 at 12:49 PM

I don’t get comments like yours about Akin. The guy’s voting record in the house is very conservative–since 2000. Why the hell would be be a “democrat sleeper-agent?” The guy screwed-up and/or believed things that he has since acknowledged are not true. It will no doubt be a fatal blow to his career, but the pile-on of the republican party is waay over the top. I heard republican strategist Noelle Nikpour (frequent guest on Hannity) on Geraldo Rivera yesterday absolutely trashing this guy in a very personal way–after he decided to stay in the race. This does not help the GOP and makes them look like disloyal backstabbers. I want to win the Senate as much as anyone, but the hate fest going on within the republican party is really distressing. At this point, the GOP needs to find a constructive way of minimizing the damage Akin has caused while letting him and the party save face.

It also doesn’t help the “civility” around here when several posters are taking this opportunity to get in their “religious” bashing comments. One poster compared Akin to the “Santorum” wing of the party. If the intent was to insult Catholics, it should be kept in mind that Ryan is himself a pro-life Catholic.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

What would you suggest, in terms of the “constructive” way of minimizing the damage while letting both sides save face? I will say that I sympathize with Akin to a certain extent…’legitimate rape’ sounds worse than what he meant, and the pregnancy remarks were simply ill-informed. I don’t think he meant any malice towards rape victims at all.

That being said, he’s not going to get the benefit of the doubt from most people and it was a really poor way to answer a question that every pro-life Republican should know how to answer by now. Plus, he’s now hung the issue around the necks of every Republican running.

changer1701 on August 23, 2012 at 12:50 PM

This poll is bad news for Akin but it also tells me that after all Akin as done to destroy himself McCaskill has a high water mark of 48%.This could mean that a replacement for Akin could still win big.I thought McCaskill would be up to at least 52%.

logman1 on August 23, 2012 at 12:41 PM

McCaskill hasn’t started running ads against him. He’ll lose another 4 or 5 points when she does start hitting him, and he doesn’t have the money to run ads in response.

Unless he drops out, McCaskill is gonna win this.

PetecminMd on August 23, 2012 at 12:52 PM

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:49 PM

That sounds like a solid analysis to me. Nothing new here: just time-honored ego, delusion and selfishness. Unable to confront his own stupidity (because he’s stupid) it becomes about a “higher” purpose, such “providence” or taking on the “liberal elite.” Very boring, but also, unfortunately, uniquely destructive.

rrpjr on August 23, 2012 at 12:53 PM

Why isn’t it the Mo branch of the Rep Party more pro-active and engaged in this, as in work promptly and faster on getting a third party candidate on the list…am sure there’s gotta be a former house or senate member from Mo with name recognition there who’s without office now that might be interested …it’s still not to late, but they seem to be in some sort of a perplexed stupor over this whole thing….the party needs to learn to expect these things and have plan Bs at hand, there will always be d-bags like Akin (or think Weiner on the Dim side, who lost them a safely locked Dem seat in NY)….they have to be more prepared, flexible, and nimble when situations like this occur…

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 12:53 PM

I don’t get comments like yours about Akin. The guy’s voting record in the house is very conservative–since 2000. Why the hell would be be a “democrat sleeper-agent?” The guy screwed-up and/or believed things that he has since acknowledged are not true. It will no doubt be a fatal blow to his career, but the pile-on of the republican party is waay over the top. I heard republican strategist Noelle Nikpour (frequent guest on Hannity) on Geraldo Rivera yesterday absolutely trashing this guy in a very personal way–after he decided to stay in the race. This does not help the GOP and makes them look like disloyal backstabbers. I want to win the Senate as much as anyone, but the hate fest going on within the republican party is really distressing. At this point, the GOP needs to find a constructive way of minimizing the damage Akin has caused while letting him and the party save face.

It also doesn’t help the “civility” around here when several posters are taking this opportunity to get in their “religious” bashing comments. One poster compared Akin to the “Santorum” wing of the party. If the intent was to insult Catholics, it should be kept in mind that Ryan is himself a pro-life Catholic.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

Stop being paranoiac. It’s not healthy.

There’s a crazy wing in the party. That’s the wing people are attacking. It’s not an attack on Catholics, Evangelicals, Christians or Social Conservatives. It’s an attack on the crazy – for example, Todd Akin and the people who are enabling him to stay by supporting him.

How hard is this to understand?

Now, if you and others are part of the crazy, stop trying to hide yourself behind Evangelicals, Catholics and SoCons. That’s exactly what Akin is doing.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:53 PM

Who says the Dims cannot be evil geniuses

I’ve known for quite awhile the Dims have more than their share of evil geniuses. By far, considerably many more than the GOP has good, or any, geniuses.

hawkeye54 on August 23, 2012 at 12:54 PM

McCaskill hasn’t started running ads against him. He’ll lose another 4 or 5 points when she does start hitting him, and he doesn’t have the money to run ads in response.

Unless he drops out, McCaskill is gonna win this.

PetecminMd on August 23, 2012 at 12:52 PM

Rush just played from a Warren ad in MA that uses Akin’s comments against the GOP. The national influence of Akin’s stupidity really can’t be understated.

Happy Nomad on August 23, 2012 at 12:55 PM

This is awful! I’ve gone from anger to pity for this guy. He either has a staff of “yes men” or they are just plain lying to him. He has to understand this is not a ’80′s sitcom where you can screw up and say “sorry” and everything is cleared up and fixed at the end. I like Akin. I really do. He seems like a decent man, but it’s over. He should have done a press conference on Sunday or Monday morning apologizing for his comments, then withdrew from the race. He would have at least still been likable and respected.

Conservative Independent on August 23, 2012 at 1:00 PM

We really need more like Paul Ryan. Why would Akin say something like this without investigating it? We have plenty of stupid in DC, we need more brains.

megthered on August 23, 2012 at 1:00 PM

Regardless of how anyone feels about Akin, I wonder what this poll would be like if every Republican under the sun hadn’t jumped all over him on TV and in print.

The Rogue Tomato on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

We’ve seen this show before. Last time it starred Christine O’Donnell.

I watched Rove just eviscerate her on Fox after she won the primary and she never quite recovered. Her idiot comment of being a witch was recoverable if played properly. However, having Rove give the left a bunch of talking points wasn’t.

kim roy on August 23, 2012 at 1:00 PM

New rule for primaries: in statewide primaries, be very careful before voting for Congress backbenchers from deep red districts, especially if they belong to the crazy wing.

There’s a good chance they’re unelectable loonies but we still don’t know that as they never had to face a hostile press and well-funded opponents with oppo-research departments or the public scrutiny they’d get if they were in leadership positions.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 1:01 PM

It is probably reasonable to assume that a man who has such an abysmal understanding of female reproductive anatomy would be similarly confused when trying to find his own testicles given that functioning ones are needed to give him the testosterone required for him to “man up” get out of this race.

natasha333 on August 23, 2012 at 1:01 PM

Rush just played from a Warren ad in MA that uses Akin’s comments against the GOP. The national influence of Akin’s stupidity really can’t be understated.

Happy Nomad on August 23, 2012 at 12:55 PM

What’s worse is that this didn’t have to happen. If Akin had acknowledged that his mistake was fatal and dropped out last Monday or Tuesday, it would be all over by now.

Murf76 on August 23, 2012 at 1:01 PM

If the intent was to insult Catholics, it should be kept in mind that Ryan is himself a pro-life Catholic.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 12:27 PM

Yet, I assume he is supportive of Romney’s position on exceptions during the campaign. Yes? No? Maybe?

a capella on August 23, 2012 at 1:01 PM

They’ve raised $100k in the last couple of days. That money is going to enter their pockets. Then there’s the mission from God angle – Akin and his wife are true believers in that, as well as most of his congressional staff.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:49 PM

I doubt they’ve raised that much. He was raising about $1000 an hour yesterday afternoon and apparently hit his goal of $25k. At that point they turned off the donation meter on their Piryx site and switched the count to rally.org–and miraculously raised another $75k in the next nine hours.

Besides, it’s a miniscule amount compared to what the RNC and PACs would have spent in his behalf, and it’s not enough to compete with what the Dems are gonna spend.

If he’s NOT fluffing the numbers, it might be enough to keep him in the race for a few days, or he may use that number to try and leverage some money from groups like FRC. But it’s not enough to run a campaign on.

PetecminMd on August 23, 2012 at 1:02 PM

joana on August 23, 2012 at 12:53 PM

Describe the “crazy” wing of the republican party for me Joana. If you say it is people like Akin and those who enable him, what do you mean by “people like Akin?” Exactly what kind of people are they??

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:02 PM

Rush just played from a Warren ad in MA that uses Akin’s comments against the GOP. The national influence of Akin’s stupidity really can’t be understated.

Happy Nomad on August 23, 2012 at 12:55 PM

It does fit nicely into the “anti-woman” rhetoric that the left wants to sell, doesn’t it?

Any pol that is stupid enough to give the left this kind of gift should be shunned and turfed out of general principle.

The GOP really does need to find an “independent” candidate that can not only give a fighting chance at the seat, but also rebut the collateral damage.

kim roy on August 23, 2012 at 1:03 PM

Well, it looks like democrat sleeper-agent Todd Akin’s plan is coming to fruition.

Pork-Chop on August 23, 2012 at 11:55 AM

I don’t get comments like yours about Akin.

KickandSwimMom on August 23,

Well, My point is that by remaining in the race, Akin is helping democrats in general, and McCaskill directly – AND HE KNOWS THIS (either he knows this or he is the dumbest person on the planet).

Personally, I do not have a huge problem with Akin’s misguided comments – he has retracted and apologized for the inappropriate and inaccurate parts of his statement (he handled this pretty well , I thought), AND, of course, he was correct about pregnancy resulting from rape being rare.

BUT – fair or not, every democrat is going to use his comments as ammo – obama is already doing so – and although this alone is not a reason for him to drop out, it is a BIG, unnecessary distraction. Akin knows that he is toxic and that he is giving McCaskill a huge boost by staying in the race, but he simply doesn’t seem to care – he comes across as very selfish and arrogant and does not seem concerned in the least about the future of Missouri or America. Well, we should care – the people of Missouri should care, the GOP should care, all Americans who oppose the democrat agenda should care. It is vital that Republicans garner a Senate majority, and until Akin’s unfortunate remarks, it was almost a certainty – now, not so much. Akin can no longer count on nation-wide public and GOP support and money – he has decided to go it alone, even though he knows that his chances become slimmer by the minute.

Any Republican who knowingly assists the democrats is a huge problem. Akin should withdraw immediately – we cannot afford to lose – we cannot afford to pass up a chance at a Republican majority in the Senate.

Pork-Chop on August 23, 2012 at 1:03 PM

Rush just played from a Warren ad in MA that uses Akin’s comments against the GOP. The national influence of Akin’s stupidity really can’t be understated.

Happy Nomad on August 23, 2012 at 12:55 PM

And this is what I am afraid of…that a deluded, providence-believer crazy will bring anathema on the whole party ..and we really don’t need this right now…somebody get him out of there, pls!! Maybe we can try special audio effects, and credible at it, that would make him believe he heard the voice of god telling him to withdraw :)…

jimver on August 23, 2012 at 1:04 PM

changer1701 on August 23, 2012 at 12:50 PM

I think that the GOP should have cut a deal with Akin in private before all the consultants and operatives went out and trashed him all over the airwaves. Now, they’ve made it hard for him to back away out of pride.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:05 PM

We’ve seen this show before. Last time it starred Christine O’Donnell.

I watched Rove just eviscerate her on Fox after she won the primary and she never quite recovered. Her idiot comment of being a witch was recoverable if played properly. However, having Rove give the left a bunch of talking points wasn’t.

kim roy on August 23, 2012 at 1:00 PM

As if they’d have trouble finding talking points themselves. You really overstate the importance of a single pundit, especially one like Rove in a very democratic state.

O’Donnell was always unelectable in Delaware (and probably every other state), Rove or no Rove, witch or no witch.

Same with Akin.

What the GOP needs is to be stronger denouncing this type of people. They need to start thinking twice before running for higher office without being fit for it.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Regardless of how anyone feels about Akin, I wonder what this poll would be like if every Republican under the sun hadn’t jumped all over him on TV and in print.

The Rogue Tomato on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

Akin’s comments didn’t give them any choice about that. It was sooooo bad that they HAVE to disavow it. And that’s why they can’t come back to him later. Democrats can’t tie you to a statement that you’ve adamantly rejected.

Murf76 on August 23, 2012 at 1:06 PM

Regardless of how anyone feels about Akin, I wonder what this poll would be like if every Republican under the sun hadn’t jumped all over him on TV and in print.

The Rogue Tomato on August 23, 2012 at 11:57 AM

You didn’t jump all over his stupidity? What rock do you hide under?

beatcanvas on August 23, 2012 at 1:07 PM

Romney number went down both in Gallup and Rasmussen.
He is tied with Barry.

It is depressing to see a sea of blue in RCP latest polls for today. Do not know if those are just statistical noises or the Akin stink.

BTW, Akin is now publicly bragging that he raised 100k online.

bayview on August 23, 2012 at 1:07 PM

Yet, I assume he is supportive of Romney’s position on exceptions during the campaign. Yes? No? Maybe?

a capella on August 23, 2012 at 1:01 PM

As far as I know, Ryan has not directly answered that question so I don’t know where he stands on that.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:08 PM

what do you mean by “people like Akin?” Exactly what kind of people are they??

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:02 PM

Stupid people.

rrpjr on August 23, 2012 at 1:10 PM

As far as I know, Ryan has not directly answered that question so I don’t know where he stands on that.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:08 PM

Shouldn’t he take a stand? We know what his religious faith tells him. Why avoid directly answering that question?

a capella on August 23, 2012 at 1:11 PM

Akin’s incorrect theory and phrasing are forgivable. His refusal to get out ISN’T.

Hannibal on August 23, 2012 at 12:04 PM

THIS! He needs to understand forgiveness doesn’t equal removal of consequence. He’s a Christian, and he needs to take a look at the story of Adam and Eve. I’m sure they apologized until they were blue in the face, and God took mercy on them and taught them how to hunt and make clothes, but in the end, God didn’t remove the consequence of their action and drove them out of the Eden. Akin needs to take a hint…

Conservative Independent on August 23, 2012 at 1:11 PM

Pork-Chop on August 23, 2012 at 1:03 PM

After how many years in D.C., 20, this guy was still stupid enough to say what he said? And given his post stupid interviews, he still thinks that he can win. I don’t think he is even thinking about the Democrats, he is an attention seeking whore with delusions of grandeur.

Cindy Munford on August 23, 2012 at 1:12 PM

HA’s headlines says it all…….

NYT – Akin could still win

You know when the NY Slimes is cheerleading for a Republican in this case, they want him to stay in real bad.

Stick a fork in this already.

FlaMurph on August 23, 2012 at 12:35 PM

…one thousand percent correct!

KOOLAID2 on August 23, 2012 at 1:12 PM

This stupid ass showed up for the big time job interview unprepared. There is no defense for that.

SurferDoc on August 23, 2012 at 12:49 PM

SPOT ON.

When the hell are candidates on our side going to start
realizing this???

ToddPA on August 23, 2012 at 1:12 PM

This morning, one of my friends, who doesn’t pay much attention to politics but tends to vote straight ticket republican, said Romney needs to get rid of his running mate. She was talking about Akin.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 11:54 AM

Are we supposed to be impressed you have stupid friends?

NotCoach on August 23, 2012 at 1:13 PM

And I was looking so forward to Claire’s concession speech…still could happen, Mizzou – it’s up to you.

fortcoins on August 23, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Describe the “crazy” wing of the republican party for me Joana. If you say it is people like Akin and those who enable him, what do you mean by “people like Akin?” Exactly what kind of people are they??

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:02 PM

I shall not today attempt further to define the kinds of material I understand to be embraced within that shorthand description, and perhaps I could never succeed in intelligibly doing so. But I know it when I see it.

For example, the bunch of people who keep confusing attacks on the crazy like Akin with attacks on SoCons, Evangelicals, Catholics, etc. Or those who have persistently tried to sell the theory that Akin was salvageable, that this wasn’t a major gaffe, that people would forget quickly, that he actually had science on his side, that this is about the “party bosses” are committing “political assassination” or that people were overreacting and misjudging this because, as one of the crazies here put it, “these handwringing folks don’t know American people, Akin will be up in the polls, y’all never been at a Chik-Fil-A”.

joana on August 23, 2012 at 1:13 PM

a capella on August 23, 2012 at 1:11 PM

Based on things said and not said, I believe Rep. Ryan may be a no exceptions guy who has bowed to the top of the ticket. I could be wrong.

Cindy Munford on August 23, 2012 at 1:13 PM

I knew unhinged socons would end up getting in Romney’s way somehow.

Who knew it would be a Senate race in MO that was supposed to be a easy Repub pickup? Thanks, abortion obsessed types. Aiken was only parroting the nonsense I see all the time from you.

Moesart on August 23, 2012 at 1:13 PM

Stupid people.

rrpjr on August 23, 2012 at 1:10 PM

Oh. I didn’t realize they are so numerous they comprise an actual “wing” of the republican party. Gee, if that’s the case, maybe the republican party isn’t such a “smart” party to be a member of.

KickandSwimMom on August 23, 2012 at 1:14 PM

he is an attention seeking whore with delusions of grandeur.

Cindy Munford on August 23, 2012 at 1:12 PM

He thinks he is Joshua and this is his Jericho. The problem is that God only hears him tooting his own horn, so the only thing coming down for Akin is his potential for election.

beatcanvas on August 23, 2012 at 1:15 PM

Romney number went down both in Gallup and Rasmussen.
He is tied with Barry.

It is depressing to see a sea of blue in RCP latest polls for today. Do not know if those are just statistical noises or the Akin stink.

BTW, Akin is now publicly bragging that he raised 100k online.

bayview on August 23, 2012 at 1:07 PM

Last Thursday (8/16), Romney was behind Obama in the Rasmussen poll.

sentinelrules on August 23, 2012 at 1:15 PM

Bwhahaha.

Abortion is always a winner for the GOP.

SoCons and their political ineptness continue to be the Dems best friend.

rickyricardo on August 23, 2012 at 1:18 PM

I predict Akin goes “full retard” at some point before the election. The farther he gets behind, the less he will temper his fanatical religious beliefs. He views himself as some sort of holy warrior in a battle against evil. He is fighting for Jesus, and the corrupt Republican party wants him to step down. I bet he believes that he can become a hero to the bible-belt types. I eagerly await to see what he does next.

ZippyZ on August 23, 2012 at 1:18 PM

Based on things said and not said, I believe Rep. Ryan may be a no exceptions guy who has bowed to the top of the ticket. I could be wrong.

Cindy Munford on August 23, 2012 at 1:13 PM

You are correct…no exceptions. But Ryan acknowledged that this will be the Romney administration with exceptions for rape, incest and life of the mother.

gracie on August 23, 2012 at 1:19 PM

We are witnessing the Mark Foleying of the Republican PArty which led to the Pelosi takeover in 2006.

The Dems are pros at waiting for mistake they can parlay into electoral advantage. Our SoCon senatorial idiot just opened the door.

rickyricardo on August 23, 2012 at 1:19 PM

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